managing nuclear knowledge and nuclear renaissance quo vadis?
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Managing Nuclear Knowledge and Nuclear Renaissance Quo Vadis?. Global Energy Needs and Nuclear Power Nuclear Power and Nuclear Knowledge The Challenges for Knowledge Management IAEA NKM program. Yanko Yanev IAEA. DESPERATE ENERGY NEED. ACCELERATING GROWTH. ONGOING DEMAND. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Managing Nuclear Knowledge
and Nuclear RenaissanceQuo Vadis?
1. Global Energy Needs and Nuclear Power2. Nuclear Power and Nuclear Knowledge3. The Challenges for Knowledge
Management4. IAEA NKM program
Yanko Yanev IAEA
DESPERATE ENERGY NEED
ACCELERATING GROWTH
ONGOING DEMAND
Energy proportions
Energy and Development Every significant advance in the
20th century has been created by “modern energy”:
Great energy milestones: Big oil era began in 1901 Electricity replaced coal, gas and
kerosene generated light Internal combustion engine created
cars Middle East oil created “cheap oil
forever” Atomic energy created electricity
”too cheap to meter” Piping natural gas created miracle
of energy heat Wind and Solar are promising an
“energy paradise” for all
5
The Human Development Index
█ over 0.95█ 0.90-0.949 █ 0.85-0.899 █ 0.80-0.849
█ 0.75-0.799 █ 0.70-0.749 █ 0.65-0.699 █ 0.60-0.649
█ 0.55-0.599 █ of 0.50-0.54█ of 0.45-0.49 █ 0.40-0.449
█ 0.35-0.399 █ 0.30-0.349 █ <0.30 █ N/A
HDI
HDI and Electricity Use
World of Scenarios and Projections
World population
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mto
e Hydro
Nuclear
Biomass
Gas
Coal
Oil
World energy demand expands by 45% between now and 2030 – an average rate of increase of 1.6% per year – with coal accounting for more than a third of the overall rise
World energy demand
Solar
World
World of Climate Change Realities
Can Nuclear Energy Provide a Solution to the Energy Dilemma?
Nuclear PowerIndividual countries requesting IAEA assistance
Mature Nuclear Countries & continue developing
Mature Nuclear Countries & phase out decision made
New comer Nuclear Countries & never finished to built
New comer Nuclear Countries with previous experiences Countries which has information in Country Nuclear Power Profiles
European landscape
Demand for Nuclear Knowledge
With a forthcoming high growth in nuclear industry worldwide, maintaining nuclear competencies both in industry and nuclear regulatory authorities will be the most critical challenge in the near future.
Governments and the nuclear industry have already recognized the need to secure qualified human resources in the nuclear energy field.
1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 20051945
Nuclear Knowledge a remarkable achievement of human development
Nuclear Power Development
16
Nuclear knowledge is an asset and should be managed
efficiently
16
Industry Knowledge
Corporate and Executive Knowledge
Nuclear Processes / Manager and Supervisor Knowledge
Front line / Craftsperson / Skilled Labor Knowledge
Asset Classes:
Physical Capital - Equipment/Hardware
Technology Capital - IT/Process Knowledge
Human Capital - People
A resource which was created by absorbing other resources, Has its own cost .Has to be managed in an efficient and effective manner to help to reach organizational or national goals.
The Knowledge Load for Nuclear Power
Needed Knowledge for Nuclear power development
InstrumentationControl and Indus. Info.
Safety,Fuel,
Neutron Physics
Metallurgy,Structure of Materials,Non intrusive Control
Civil Engineering
ElectromechanicalEngineering
Operations
Design, Process
Thermohydraulics
Radiation protection
Chemistry Environment Calculation code
Signal processing
15%
14%
11%
6%11%
25%
10%
2% 4% 2%
20
The “Knowledge challenges” Aging of nuclear personnel, retirement,
Loss of valuable nuclear knowledge, Degradation in technology skills and know-
how, Possible degradation in safety of current
installations? Dilution or loss of innovation potential? Status of Nuclear R&D? - Gen4,INPRO Education & Training, where are we heading?
Developed countries are the custodians of nuclear knowledge accumulated over decades. There is consensus that actions need to be taken to preserve its key parts.
Problem: effective knowledge transfer between generations of workers, the need to sustain and develop sufficient human resources to sustain the operation of existing facilities and to prepare for a possible expansion in the future.
21
Developing countries face different knowledge problems: capacity building, access to and transfer of knowledge to the “country of growth”.
Knowledge and human resources need to be build up for new nuclear power programmes, and knowledge needs to be sustained (and not be brain-drained).
22
Countries Review
Do we have the people with the right knowledge and skills to
achieve a sustained growth in Nuclear power worldwide?
USA landscape
Nuclear Engineering Trends in Nuclear Chemistry
Programs
Source: NEDHO 2004
Trends In Graduates Enrollment Trends In Graduates Enrollment and and Federal Investment – Federal Investment – 1990-20081990-2008
DO
E I
nve
stm
en
t ($
in M
illio
ns
–re
d)
Nu
mb
er o
f Un
de
rgra
d S
tud
en
ts - yello
w
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
0
500
1000
1500
2000
35 2500
2008
undergrads
DOE-NE $
“Enrollment Metric”
26/15
The needs of the French nuclear program
Per year 2011Per year after
2011
TotalEnginee
rs & PhD
TotalEnginee
rs & PhD
Industry 1 200 900 1 100 650
R&D 250 120 200 100
Sub contractors
1 000 500 700 300
Total 2 450 1 500 2 100 1 050
27
The Russian nuclear workforce
The German Phase-out
Need for nuclear specialists in Germany
Manpower for Operating China NPPs
No
. o
f E
mp
loye
es (
cum
ula
tive
)
Year
31
UK Nuclear human resource
Time to build competence
National Priorities of IAEA Member States
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
National NKMPriorities
Education Knowledgetransfer
R&D Knowledgesharing
Training andqualification
Series1
Critical Knowledge Issues
How to retain existing skills and competences for the long period during which a plant is operating, especially when facilities in that country may be at the end of the life cycle and no additional facilities are foreseen in the near future.
How to develop new skills and competences in areas such as decommissioning and radioactive waste management, which may be viewed as "sunset" activities and therefore unattractive to young people.
How to support a revival of nuclear power in countries wishing to do so, with an ageing workforce and declining programs.
Markets can create and preserve knowledge only in areas of commercial interest and during the time this interest lasts.
Managing nuclear knowledge requires long-term planning and remains in the responsibility of governments as a part of national development plans and international obligations both for developed and developing countries.
35
Are we not duplicating industry?
Can the nuclear industry protect knowledge alone?
Industry must address immediate requirements◦ Design, delivery, and
operations need constant focus
◦ Safety and regulation◦ Economics
Governments must address longer term issues◦ Policy-making◦ R&D for
Pre-commercial Strategic Regulatory
◦ Underlying science◦ Education & infrastructure◦ Agency Government
focus
36
Players and Roles
Lower RiskShort Term
Higher RiskLong Term
Ris
k
Time
IndustryFocus
GovernmentFocus
Lower RiskLong Term
Higher RiskShort Term
The role for the Agency is to assist in the transfer of knowledge from “centres of competence” to the “centres of growth”.
Potentially high risk of knowledge loss and additional cost for future generations must be avoided, and the Agency can help to integrate this long-term aspect into today's strategic decisions.
37
The Role of the IAEA
38
Agency’ Programme Evolution
Analyzing Needs
2000
2011
2003
2005
2007
2009
Promoting NKM
Guidance & Methodology
Providing Services & Support
20041st NKM Conference
ANENT, WNU SI established
GC/RES on Managing Nuclear Knowledge
2002 Meeting of Senior
Officials st GC RES on Managing Nuclear
Knowledge
2006/72nd NKM ConferenceNuclear Knowledge
PortalANENT Cyber
platform launched 3rd GC RES
Knowledge MANAGEMENT
Knowledge CULTURE
2005 1st KM Assist Visit NKM Methodology
& Guidance developed
2008/9 – 2010/111.Promoting Knowledge Management Culture2. Providing Services3. Developing knowledge products4. Facilitate networking and knowledge sharing.
Nucl
ear
Energ
y
Seri
es
Knowledge Management Methodology and Guidance
50-SG-Q1 to Q7Safety Guides
50-C-Q CodeQuality Assurance
GS-G-3.1 Thematic Guidance on Management Systems
GS-R-3Safety Requirements onManagement Systems
50-SG-Q8 to Q14Safety Guides
DS 349 Specific Guidance for MS
Of Nuclear Facilities
+ new material(Knowledge Management)
+ new material(Knowledge Management)
+ new material
NKM is part of Integrated Management Systems
IAEA NKM Publications
NKM Guidance underdevelopment
Knowledge Management for Radwaste Management Organizations,
Process Oriented Knowledge Management in Nuclear operating Organizations
Managing Knowledge in New NPP Builds
NKM Program 2008/9 43
Post
Con
stru
ction
Cons
truc
tion
Proc
urem
ent
Pre
Cons
truc
tion
Perm
itting
Valu
e En
gine
erin
g
Due
Dili
genc
e
Assi
gn P
roje
ct T
eam
Proj
ect B
uy-o
ut
Subc
ontr
acts
Purc
hase
Ord
ers
Mob
iliza
tion
Stag
ing
Layo
ut
Ope
ratio
ns
Proj
ect C
lose
Out
Ow
ner A
ccep
tanc
e
War
rant
y
Proj
ect E
valu
ation
Long
Lea
d Ite
ms
30 Months 16 Months 36 Months 16 Months
Build Bid PackageRFQ
Bid Eval Award NTP Scheduled Construction
Design Commitment Design Completion RFI’s Submittal Review Change Order Review Time Extension Justification
BFO
COL
COLA
Lice
nse
Ope
ratio
nal
Ong
oing
Lic
ense
Doc
s
Ope
ratio
nal S
uppo
rt
24 months Continuing
Development Evaluation Assessment Supportive Conclusion Continuance
Appl
icati
on D
evel
opm
ent
Review Review
.
Com
plia
nce
Mat
rix
ASME SECTIONS 3 + 11
43
Construction Oversight Knowledge Management Tool for new build NPPs
NKM and Construction Oversight
44
The NKM project for nuclear education
Comprehensive, supporting materials
All the Agency’s resources
INIS
Library
Training materials
Nuclear Safety Series
Nuclear Energy docs.
National reports
Others
The Cyber Learning Platform
Operated jointly by Member States and IAEA
(Industry?)
Programs and Curricula
Cooperation with MEPhI, ENEN, Dalton Inst., etc.
Provision of Educators, Mentors, and Tutors
A bit more complicate
d
INFORMATION RESOURCES
CYBER PLATFORM
NUCLEAR DISCIPLINES
IAEA Global Nuclear Education Platform –
Operated from KAERI, Vienna, Bariloche, Johannesburg
Agency Network for Education in Nuclear Technology
Support to develop, consolidate, and utilize the web-based standardized education and training materials
Provide infrastructure for distance, knowledge sharing and communication in nuclear education.
Currently operate or under consideration:
ANENT
LA NENT
AFRA NENT(?)
A - N E N T
NKM Program 2008/9 46
World Nuclear University
The Agency is a founding supporter of the WNU.
IAEA supports fellows from developing countries through the TC program.
IAEA provides faculty to WNU Summer Institute and other WNU programs.
46
The Knowledge Assist Visits
Evaluation of organizational
NKM elements,
Analysis of organizational
needs for NKM,
Support in developing a
Strategy for NKM,
Assistance in methods and
tools for NKM,
Risk assessment of
knowledge loss.
48
Fast Reactor Knowledge System
IAEA
JAPAN
USA
GERMANY
FRANCE
RUSSIA
UK
IAEA-broker
andprovider
END
USER
+ links to other Knowledge Resources
General Principles:
•Electronic Documents Access
•Confidentiality and Intellectual property rights
•Sharing and commercial access
DATA
FA
ST
RE
AC
TO
RS
INF
OR
MA
TIO
N
KNOW-HOW
INDIA
49
“NuArch” - Archiving the “Nuclear Internet”
1. A web crawler identifies and downloads (harvests) nuclear information resources from the Internet.
2. The harvested materials is automatically indexed and stored in a high-volume archive with version control.
3. A customised version of an advanced search engine indexes all contents.
4. Specialised analysis tools are developed.
Nu
Arch
Nu
Arch
Three reasons to consider about Nuclear Renaissance…
The world is in desperate need of energy.
By releasing waste from fossil energy production into the atmosphere, we pollute the environment and we pass on to our children a little more each day. Is that acceptable? Is it sustainable?
Mankind has - since its beginnings - proved itself capable of controlling technical progress to ensure its own well being and the smooth development of the planet.
The two High-Tech laws that apply also to nuclear…
"The beginnings of any technology-rich business are all characterized by a shortage of large numbers of technically trained people needed to support ultimate growth"
"The resources will come when the business becomes attractive to the best-and brightest who adapt skills to become part of an exciting opportunity"
The Role of Nuclear Power Nuclear power is the most scaleable cost
competitive source of non carbon electricity.
Whether or not North America and Europe will expand nuclear power, China , India and the rest of the world will, for a cost effective reduction of greenhouse gases.
Nuclear power alone will not take us where we want to be but we will not make it without nuclear power!
Nuclear Knowledge ManagementPriorities Nothing ever
works on its own. It always has to be managed.’
New talent is badly needed if Nuclear power will play its role in the energy future.
Number one priority!
QUO VADIS - Where are we going?
When Saint Peter met Jesus as he was running from being crucified in Rome, Peter asked Jesus the question – Quo vadis?
Jesus answered, "I am going to Rome to be crucified again“.
This prompted Peter to gain the courage to continue his ministry and eventually become a martyr.
THANK YOU,
Browse your best resource on Managing Nuclear Knowledge :http://www.iaea.org/inisnkm