map growth paths and post-secondary readinessserconf file share
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Paths to Post Secondary Readiness
Dash WeerasingheAssessment and Accountability
Plano ISD
4th Annual Texas MAP User Conference - July 28, 2010
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Why College Readiness?
•Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Surveys, March 1998, 1999, and 2000.
$23,400
$30,400
$36,800
$38,200
$52,200
$62,300
$89,400
$109,600
Some High School
High School Graduate
Some College
Associate's Degree
Bachelor's Degree
Master's Degree
Doctoral Degree
Professional Degree
Ave
rage
Ann
ual E
arni
ngs
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College Preparation Program • Students that undergo a rigorous college program
are more likely to: Stay in high school Score higher on college readiness test Enroll in college (by 12 percentage points) Be prepared for credit-bearing college courses Not need remedial courses in college Achieve a first-year college grade point average (GPA) of
3.0 or higher (by 9 percentage points) Persist in college (by 7 percentage points) Earn a college degree (by 8 percentage points)
* The Role of Nonacademic Factors in College Readiness and Success, Issues in College Readiness, ACT 2007
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College Readiness Program
EXPLORE PLAN ACT/SAT
Successful transition into high school
Explore personally relevant career options
Information about students' perceived needs
World-of Work Map, study skills checklist, coursework planner
As a "pre-ACT" test, PLAN is a powerful predictor of success on the ACT
Focuses attention on both career preparation and improving academic achievement
Links students with relevant college and scholarship information
ACT tests are curriculum based and directly related to what is taught in high school courses
Can measure growth towards collage readiness
SAT scores can be converted to ACT scale to measure growth
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Measuring PSR
Test EXPLORE PLAN ACT SAT Equivalent
English 13 15 18 471 – VMath 17 19 22 520 – Q
Reading 15 17 21 470 – VScience 20 21 24
• Students who meet a Benchmark have approximately a 50 percent chance of earning a B or better and approximately a 75 percent chance of earning a C or better in English Composition, College Algebra, and Biology Typical first year college coursework
* How Much Growth toward College Readiness Is Reasonable to Expect in High School?, ACT 2009* ACT-SAT Concordance, ACT 2008
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Using PSR Benchmarks
Test EXPLORE PLAN ACT SAT Equivalent
English 13 15 18 471 – VMath 17 19 22 520 – Q
Reading 15 17 21 470 – VScience 20 21 24
• Evaluating students’ early progress toward college readiness• For timely interventions• For educational counseling• Career planning tool
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College Readiness to College GPAM
athematics
• EXPLORE, PLAN, or ACT score and College First-year GPA
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Growth to PSRAverage Growth in Achievement between 8th and 11th grade: Using the vertical scale from Explore, Plan, and ACT
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TAKS and College Readiness
EXIT TAKSScore
Predicted English
ACT Score
Predicted Verbal SAT
Score
Predicted Math
ACT Score
PredictedQuant. SAT
Score
2100 17.7 461 19.5 472
College Readiness Reading Standard = 18
2200 20.1 502 21.9 521
College Readiness Math Standard = 22
2300 22.5 534 24.3 570
2400 24.9 584 26.7 618
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• Math EXIT TAKS Score 2100 ► 5%2200 ► 26%2300 ► 77%2400 ► 100%
• ELA EXIT TAKS score 2100 ► 57%2200 ► 77%2300 ► 90%2400 ► 100%
Exit TAKS and College Readiness
Probability of being ready for College Algebra
Probability of being ready for freshman English Composition
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Aiming for 2250 in EXIT TAKS• What is the equivalent standard for 2250 in EXIT TAKS
Reading Mathematics
Grade 3 2330 2308
Grade 4 2282 2291
Grade 5 2269 2308
Grade 6 2320 2276
Grade 7 2263 2193
Grade 8 2298 2216
Grade 9 2228 2201
Grade 10 2221 2181
* Identifying Appropriate College-Readiness Standards For All Students, National Center for Education Accountability, May 2006.
Unequal standards in grades 3-6; Need to set significantly higher expectation in elementary to meet the required standard in secondary…
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PSR – Begins in Elementary!
MAP EXPLORE PLAN, ACT, SAT, EOCs
Grades 1 – 8
MAP RIT Growth in Reading and Math
Progress to College Readiness in 8th Grade
Grade 8 Status Check
High school Planning
Career Analysis
EOC College Readiness Measures
Grade 10 Status Check – PLAN, SAT
Grade 11 Readiness: SAT, ACT, EOCs
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Charting PSR Growth• Based on ACT recommended standards - College
Readiness MAP RIT Scores Mathematics: RIT Score of 244 by Grade 8 Spring Reading: RIT Score of 226 by Grade 8 Spring
• Find the typical growth path for students District or school specific growth path Growth path dependent of student demographics
LEP path or Non-LEP path Economically disadvantaged Ethnicity Combination of above
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Charting PSR Growth• In Plano, using a regression model, we formularized
the fall to spring growth for each grade level• This enabled individual growth paths for each
student based in their starting MAP score from KN to grade 9 Reading Mathematics Science – Grade 3 to 9
• Apply the growth trajectory formulae to identify students on track at grade 3 and above
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Grade 3 Fall to Grade 8 Spring
171
190
205
215
224
235237
244
249
177
196
240
214
226
231
238
243
218
226
235
245249
254258
192
207
218
229
234
241
246
208
220
226
234
186
202 Target = 244
160
180
200
220
240
260
Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
RIT
Ran
ge
Target: 244 in Grade 8 Spring
Mathematics Path
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Grade 3 Fall to Grade 8 Spring
Mathematics Path244
249
240
231
238
243
254258
234
241
246
234
160
180
200
220
240
260
Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
205
215
177
196
218
226
192
186
160
180
200
220
240
260
Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
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171
190
205
215
224
235237
244
249
177
196
240
210
222
229
237
244
234
226
220
208197
177
Target = 244
160
180
200
220
240
260
Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
RIT
Ran
ge
Accelerated Growth path: 4 more RIT points required than typical growth
Target: 244 in Grade 8 SpringMathematics Path
Accelerated Growth to PSR
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Target: 244 in Grade 8 SpringMathematics Path
244
249
240
237
244
234
160
180
200
220
240
260
Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
Accelerated Growth to PSR
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237
244
249
217
232
241
227
236
243
248
253
257
217
226
233
210
220
230
240
250
Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring
RIT
Ran
ge
PSR – Intervention in 6th Grade
Accelerated Growth path: 11 more RIT points required than typical growth
Target: 244 by Grade 8 Spring
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Presenting to Teachers
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Presenting to Teachers
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Presenting to Teachers
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PSR - Challenges• Key To Readiness: Motivating students early
at upper elementary grade levels educating students and parents from non-college degree
households on what college readiness mean
• Setting College Readiness Standards too low students not being ready for credit bearing courses
• Setting High Standards aspiring college students, currently not “On track” could be
discouraged
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Why Post Secondary Readiness
•The PayScale Report, 2010
$32
$34$35$35$36
$36$37
$38$40
$42$49$49
$51
$53$56
$65
Elementary EducationArt
Fashion MerchandisingEducation
JournalismSpecial Education
MusicBiology
FrenchAgriculture
EconomicsInformation Systems
PhysicsNursing
Computer ScienceChemical Engineering
Starting Salary in Thousands
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Paths to Post Secondary Readiness
Dr. Dash WeerasingheAssessment and Accountability
Plano [email protected]
4th Annual Texas MAP User Conference - July 28, 2010