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VegasInsider.com

Volume 32, Issue 7 October 4-9, 2017

GREEN BAY AT DALLASHIGHLIGHTS NFL CARD!

Marc’s Perfect System Play Of The Year Goes Saturday!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

92% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOKCOPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published

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Current 2017 Associated Press Poll Top 25:1 ALABAMA2 CLEMSON3 OKLAHOMA4 PENN STATE5 GEORGIA6 WASHINGTON7 MICHIGAN

8 TCU9 WISCONSIN10 OHIO STATE11 WASH STATE12 AUBURN13 MIAMI FLA14 USC

15 OKLAHOMA ST16 VIRGINIA TECH17 LOUISVILLE18 SOUTH FLORIDA19 SAN DIEGO ST20 UTAH21 FLORIDA

22 NOTRE DAME23 WEST VIRGINIA24 NC STATE25 UCF

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

LOVEREIGN O’ER ME

A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

Play On any NFL team the game after they played

in London if they scored 30 or less points

“ Only love can bring the rain that makes you yearn to the sky

Only love can bring the rain that falls like tears from on high

On the dry and dusty road the nights we spend apart alone

I need to get back home to cool, cool rain.”

Returning home from a long trip generally requires an extra day or two to re-charge the batteries.

It’s one of the reasons the NFL Players Association mandated teams get a week of rest after playing games in London. Such was the case for all teams from the inception of NFL Euro games in 2007 until last season. That’s when the Indianapolis Colts opted to play the following week in early October rather than playing 12 consecutive games without rest to conclude the season. It worked in Indy’s favor as they defeated Chicago, 29-23, at home

…you would have scored more often than Lamar Odom at a Bunny Ranch, as these teams have gone 14-7-1 SU and 15-5-2 ATS, including a staggering 14-2-2 ATS in games in which the

Over / Under total was set at less than 48 points.

Last year witnessed Indianapolis, Jacksonville, the LA Rams, and the NY Giants go a collective 3-0-1 ATS in the super subset role, with the Baltimore Ravens failing in this role last week.

This weekend the Miami Dolphins complete a circuitous route this year as they fi nally play their fi rst home game of the campaign, where love fi gures to reign o’er the Fish this Sunday.

So don’t let cloudy skies rain on your parade this NFL season. Instead, wait on teams in their return engagement after playing in London. You’ll be glad you did.

“ I can’t sleep and I lay and I think

The night is hot and black as inkOh God, I need a drink

of cool, cool rain.”

the week immediately after losing to Jacksonville in London, while going 7-5 SU the rest of the season.

This season, two NFL teams will hop right back in the battle after squaring off against one another in London, namely Baltimore and Jacksonville. Meanwhile, six other teams will love taking advantage of the week off in 2017 as no less than four games are scheduled on tap in England this campaign. What we do know is teams have fared well after having fi sh and chips overseas. In fact, if you were to…

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach is 21-7-1 ATS in his career as a dog against foes off a SUATS win, including 17-2-1 ATS the last twenty games.

Who is this week’s best-in-class top dog?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

ATS W-L Record Since 2005:

12-1-1(92%)

411CALLING

PLAY ON any NFL road dog from Game Five out that won 11 or more games last year

versus a favorite off a SUATS win that won 4

or fewer games last year.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Play ON: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (Sun, 10/8)

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

BYU is 30-0 SU at home since 2006 against foes that allow more than 28 PPG.

Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Saturday, October 7Wake Forest SERIES: 3-0 L3… 4-0 as conf dogs > 14 pts… 4-1 bef Ga TechCLEMSON 5-1 aft Va Tech… 5-2 Game Six… 0-3 bef Syracuse

Michigan St SERIES: 9-0 L9… 9-1 w/ conf revenge… 6-2 aft IowaMICHIGAN 4-1 home vs conf revenge… 8-2 as conf HF’s 12 > pts

Stanford 11-1 bef Oregon… 7-1 L8 as conf RF’s… 5-1 Game Six UTAH SERIES: 3-0 L3… 6-1 off SU road fav win… 4-1 w/ rest

California SERIES: Visitor 5-0… 1-5 as RD’s 17 > pts… 2-6 aft Oregon WASHINGTON SERIES: 9-3 L12… 0-4 bef ASU… 1-4 as conf HF’s 14 > pts

Wash St SERIES: 7-0 L7… 5-2 bef Cal… 0-3 away vs conf revengeOREGON 5-0 as HF’s < 10 pts… 0-5 in 2nd of BB HG… 0-2 Game Six

Georgia 10-1 as favs w/ conf revenge… 1-6 as RF’s > 11 ptsVANDERBILT SERIES: 4-0 L4… 4-1 as conf HD’s 10 > pts

West Virginia SERIES: 3-1 L4… 6-2 Game Five… 1-8 w/ rest vs conf oppTCU 13-2 w/ rest… 9-2 home w/ revenge… 3-1 Game Five

Lsu SERIES: 3-1 L4… 6-2 Game Six… 1-3 away w/ conf revengeFLORIDA 5-1-1 in 2nd of 3 straight HG… 4-1 aft Vanderbilt

Wisconsin 4-0 L4 as DD RF’s… 10-1 aft N’Western… 4-1 bef PurdueNEBRASKA 5-1 as dogs w/ conf revenge… 1-9 off SU conf road win

Alabama SERIES: 3-0 L3… 16-3-1 as RF’s 16 > pts… 1-3 aft Ole MissTEXAS A&M 0-5 Game Six… 1-8 in 2nd of BB HG… 3-10 w/ conf rev

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

Thursday, October 5New England 10-1 Away Two vs non-div… 9-2 favs vs NFC w/ rev TAMPA BAY Ser: 0-3 L3… 1-7 Thursday… 1-4 Home Three off non-div

Sunday, October 8LA Chargers 9-1 bef Oakland vs foe w/ rev… 0-4 A vs < .500 NFC NY GIANTS Ser: 0-3 L3… 4-1 off BB away… 1-4 1st BB AFC

Buffalo 6-1 off NFC… 5-1 A off non-div vs foe off div CINCINNATI 4-1 bef Rest… 17-2 off away vs .500 > non-div off away

NY Jets 12-2 RD’s bef New Eng… 1-5 Away Three vs foe w/ revCLEVELAND Ser: 0-4 L4… 1-10 2nd BB home… 1-4 1st BB non-div

Jacksonville 5-1 off away vs foe off away… 2-9 .500 > away bef NFC PITTSBURGH Ser: 3-1 L4… 5-0 1st BB non-div… 1-7 favs aft Baltimore

Tennessee 0-5 .500 > bef Indy… 0-5 2nd BB away vs foe w/ rev MIAMI 8-1 NFC sandwich… 9-2 2nd BB non-div bef NFC

San Francisco 5-1 Game Three… 4-1 w/ rev aft Arizona vs < .500 foe INDIANAPOLIS 7-1 2nd BB AFC (1-0)… 1-4 < .500 home btwn 2A

Arizona 1-6 aft San Fran vs non-div… 1-5 away 1st BB non-div PHILADELPHIA 6-0 Game Five home w/ rev… 1-5 .500 > favs w/ dbl rev

Carolina 1-6 off non-div away vs non-div off away w/ revDETROIT 0-5 .500 > Game Five vs non-div… 1-6 H btwn 2A

Seattle 5-0 off AFC vs foe w/ rev… 10-2 bef rest LA RAMS Ser: 3-1 L4 / 5-0 L5H… 6-1 .500 > Home Three

Baltimore 0-5 w/ double rev… 1-7 bef BB NFC OAKLAND Ser: 3-1 L4… 5-0 1st 3H… 2-13 bef La Chargers

Green Bay 10-1 off SU Chicago win… 6-1 A off div bef MinnesotaDALLAS 1-6 Home Three favs < 5 pts… 2-9 .500 > bef rest

Kansas City 7-0 .500 > Away Three favs… 6-1 aft NFC (1-0) HOUSTON Ser: 2-5 L7H… 5-1 vs .500 > off MNF… 4-1 aft Tennessee

Monday, October 9Minnesota 1-7 .500 > away 2nd 3-division games… 1-6 MNF vs divCHICAGO Ser: 11-3 L14H… 10-1 < .500 H w/ rev aft Green Bay

WEEK FIVE BYES: ATLANTA, DENVER,NEW ORLEANS, WASHINGTON

SMARTBOX

5-0 FAT CATSIt’s the time of the season in which undefeated teams start fi ghting like cats and dogs while entertaining ideas of playing in the College Football Playoffs – especially those squads that have managed to open the season with fi ve consecutive wins in their fi rst fi ve games.

Forewarned is forearmed, however, when it comes to ‘playing on’ these 5-0 clubs as Game Six is often times a major chuckhole on the road to the playoffs for these Fat Cat favorites. That’s confi rmed by the fact that, since 1980, teams who fi nd themselves favored in these games are just 138-182-4 ATS, or a 43.1% ATS proposition. This week we fi nd Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Penn State, San Diego State, Washington and Washington State dressing up as Fat Cat favorites.

Send them out on the road as favorites when facing an avenging conference opponent and they fall to 30-50-2 ATS, including 19-39-2 ATS when taking to the road following a home win. It looks like powerhouses Alabama, San Diego State and Washington State will likely fi nd themselves in a cat fi ght this Saturday.

On the fl ip side, these 5-0 teams tend to fatten up as dogs, going 51-32-1 ATS overall, including 28-9 ATS away versus conference opponents allowing more than 15 PPG. And they zoom to 25-5 ATS in these same games when taking 3 or more points. There are no qualifying plays this week but keep an eye on Utah at USC next week, should the Utes emerge victorious this week. In addition, Navy and TCU will dress up as ‘5-0 Fat Cats’ next week with wins this Saturday. Play accordingly.

So don’t be surprised to hear the Travelin’ Wilburys crooning one of their all-time favorites, ‘End Of The Line’, for a handful of fattened favorites.


Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Seminoles Show Hurricanes Who’s Boss In Florida...Seahawks Smother Rams, No Charges Pending...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 4-9

Thursday, October 5

NC STATE over Louisville by 6 After a season-opening setback versus South Carolina, the Wolfpack have reeled off four straight wins (including a 27-21 shocker in Tallahassee) thanks to an offense that has committed ZERO turnovers during that stretch, and now stand 2-0 in ACC play for the fi rst time since 2006. Sure, they took advantage of a Seminole squad that has had trouble cooking without QB Deondre Francois in the lineup. And, most certainly, that won’t be the case tonight with Heisman winner Lamar Jackson rolling into Raleigh for this primetime affair. However, HC Dave Doeren and his 22 seniors will be eager to atone for a 54-13 throttling they suffered last year in Louisville, matching the Pack’s worst defeat in the Doeren era. Our database has no problem backing the Pack as State is 5-1 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back homers and 5-1 ATS in weekday home games while the Cards are 1-3 ATS in Game Six of the season and 1-3 ATS away off three straight home games. Our NCAA Coaches League also sides with the revenge-minded hosts as Doeren is 23-4 SU and 18-8 ATS in games following consecutive wins, including 7-0 ATS as a dog and 4-0 SUATS as a single-digit pup. Meanwhile, head Cardinal Bobby Petrino is 3-7-1 ATS as a road favorite off a win of 32 or more points, including 1-6-1 ATS before Game Ten. Hence, we’re not ‘Doeren’ in making this selection. Grab the confi dent home dogs with something to prove.

Wednesday, October 4

Arkansas St over GA SOUTHERN by 10 Week Six on the college circuit begins in the ‘Fun Belt’ but it’s been anything but that for a once-proud Georgia Southern squad that’s done a 180 under the guidance of 2nd-year head coach Tyson Summers, the clubhouse leader in the ‘fi rst coach to be fi red’ department. After rushing out to a 3-0 start, Summers – who inherited a program that went 18-7 SU and 15-8 ATS in their fi rst two years in the FBS – is 2-10 SU and 3-7-1 ATS in his last 12 games, including 0-3 SU this season highlighted by an embarrassing home loss to New Hampshire. Thanks to a running game that is on the downslide (down 182 YPG and 3.1 YPC from 2015 when they rushed for a nation’s best 363 YPG and 6.5 YPC), the Eagles rank 127th in the nation in red-zone offense while losing the stat battle by a whopping 276 YPG. And though we’d love to take full advantage of the Eagles’ newfound ‘Southern’ hospitality, we can’t with Arkansas State QB Justice Hansen and WR Dijon Paschal (both listed as probable) still not 100%. However, we can ride the two-time defending Sun Belt champ’s 10-1 SUATS mark as favorites of 20 or less points against foes off a double-digit loss on this hump day and suggest you lay it if you play it as the Red Wolves fi gure to improve to 16-1 SU and 13-4 ATS in conference play since 2015.

Friday, October 6

Memphis over CONNECTICUT by 13 We realize it’s hard to back the mutts from East Hartford who have yet to outgain a foe this season and are riding a 0-8 SUATS streak against FBS opposition since mid-October of last year. Especially here against the high-potent Cats, who fi gure to score often and early against a toothless Huskies’ stop-unit that is surrendering 37 points and 547 yards per game through the fi rst month of the season. The concern, however, is laying double-digits on the road with a timid Tigers’ defense that was shredded for 603 yards against UCF last Saturday and is allowing 36 PPG of their own. Not to mention a squad that arrives off their initial loss of the season with a revenger against Navy on deck. Still, the men from Memphis fi gure to get their ‘points’ across which has us overlooking a series history that fi nds the series host 2-0 SUATS all-time, and a coach (Randy Edsall) who is 5-1 ATS as a home dog of more than 13 points. Nonetheless, we’re not overlooking a Tigers’ defense that ranks 126th in the land and is asked to lay doubles on the road. See our dilemma? You’re on your own here.

GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

BYU over Boise St by 6 When the South Point posted its ‘Games of the Year’ lines at the end of May, you would have had to lay 6 points with Kilani Sitake’s Cougars. Now, four months and fi ve games later, the home-standing Cougars check in as 8.5-point dogs. Granted, the 1-4 Cougs appear to have lost their claws after an opening-win scrimmage over Portland State but it’s not like the Broncos have been anything special, losing two games in September for just the third time in 16 years. In fact, the Broncos have struggled mightily under Bryan Harsin, going 18-24-1 ATS in all games, including 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 contests. They’ve also surrendered more yards than they’ve gained this season while allowing 29 PPG, a twist that brings into play our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3. In addition, the Mormons are 59-12 SU at home the last 12 years (0-2 this season) with only seven losses by more than 7 points. They’re also 3-0 SUATS in games when riding a 4-game losing skid exact. And if you still don’t think these Cougars are eager for this visit from the ‘Boise’ in blue, check out THE CLINCHER: BYU is 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS at home following a SU favorite loss.

Saturday, October 7

IOWA over Illinois by 20 The ‘Growing Pains’ in the Seaver household have nothing on those in Champaign. Despite a 2-0 start, Illinois head coach Lovie Smith continued on his youth-kick, starting 10 true freshmen three weeks ago against USF. And he’ll start SOPH QB Jeff George Jr. today. As a result, they’ve taken it worse than the International’s in last week’s President Cup, getting outscored 75-29 and outgained 1,091-553 in their last two games against the Bulls and Huskers. The Hawkeyes have also dropped their last two after a 3-0 start but our machine says another loss is not par for an Iowa team that hasn’t dropped three straight regular season contests since 2012. That’s because Captain Kirk’s crew is 6-1-1 ATS at home in conference games off back-to-back SU losses when owning a .500 or greater record while Lovie’s Illini are a Gilligan-like 0-6 ATS as road dogs of more than 3 points versus a foe off back-to-back setbacks. The problem, though, is this is a Homecoming affair for the Hawkeyes and we’re not fond of laying large double-digits with the alumni in town. Hence, we’ll stick to the sorority after-party and suggest you do the same.

Notre Dame over N CAROLINA by 13 Our fi rst reaction after seeing this opening line was to ask who died and anointed Notre Dame the biggest road favorite in Chapel Hill since Martha Stewart went to jail for insider trading and the last episode of ‘Friends’ aired (2004). However, a closer look fi nds the Heels ‘Tarred and Feathered’ with 15 players already out for the season due to injuries and suspensions, along with six more on the questionable list this week. Nonetheless, we’re not about to lay this kind of wood on the road with an Irish squad that is just 6-12 ATS as double-digit road chalk off a SU win and 2-5 ATS as road favorites of more than 8 points. Brian Kelly’s bunch does hit Tobacco Road with some good numbers (5-2 ATS away versus the ACC, 5-2 ATS before USC and 6-3 ATS in Game Six) but that can be offset by UNC’s 5-1 ATS mark as home dogs of 7 or more points and 7-2 ATS log as dogs after scoring 7 or fewer points. We should also point out that the Heels have only dropped two games by more than 17 points since the start of the 2015 season. Yes, the Irish are averaging over 46 PPG since a 20-19 loss to Georgia in Week Two (which doesn’t look bad at all now) but, like Martha, we’re into Home Goods – especially when it comes with this many points. It’s certainly a recipe worth trying.


W Michigan over BUFFALO by 3 Anyone looking to take a nap should start now as we put our MAC blinders on for the next fi ve games. Actually, this tilt in Buffalo has a little intrigue as the Bulls are seeking their fi rst 4-game winning streak since 2013. Now before getting too excited, we should note that one of those foes is better at fi ghting cavities (Colgate), another is more dangerous off the football fi eld (Kent), and the third is coached by Lane Kiffi n. And though this is a much taller task with the defending conference champs rowing into town off of their 55-3 beatdown of Ball State, Buffi e’s 7-3 ATS log as home dogs of more than 7 points has us intrigued. We won’t overlook the Western whitewash in Kalamazoo (38-0) last season and call for the outright win but the Bulls’ more-than-competitive 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS mark in this matchup since 2009 has us roaming on their range. A must take.

TOLEDO over E Michigan by 8 Sure, the Rockets – with their 16-1 SU and 13-4 ATS series mark since 2000, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in the Glass Bowl – have been on the EMU’s like Crystal Harris was on Hugh Hefner just before the publishing mogul departed for the pearly gates. The only difference is Hef died with a smile on his face while the Eagles have suffered a century-long torture. And though we don’t think Eastern will get the last laugh today in Toledo, the ‘Glass’ may be more than half full (as in cover) for an Eagles group that owns the nation’s 18th ranked defense (302 YPG), 123 YPG stingier than that of the Rockets. And don’t forget: two of the EMU’s three losses came in overtime while the third was a 4-point loss at Kentucky (a game in which the Eagles outstatted the Wildcats, 312-228). In fact, Chris Creighton’s crew is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when taking points. Homecoming in Toledo is just icing on the cake for this moneymaking MAC dog. And like Hugh, you know what to do.

OHIO U over C Michigan by 16 Poor special teams and a lack of discipline has left the Chippewas staggering into this conference road opener as a 2-0 start has been nullifi ed by a 0-3 SUATS and ITS slide, including a 31-14 home setback to Miami Ohio in their MAC lid-lifter two Saturday’s ago. Making matters worse, the 4-1 Bobcats – winners of eight of their last 10 regular-season contests – enter on a 3-0 SUATS win skein and a large ‘Chip’ on their shoulders as they have dropped the last three in the series, including a 26-23 decision in this building in 2013 as 20-point favorites. You can be sure that HC Frank Solich – a long-term 44-12 SU and 33-21-1 ATS in games against foes off consecutive losses – will have that game tape playing in a theater near Athens. We’ll make it a double-feature and run the ones that show Central Michigan 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS as road dogs off an away game. Enjoy the show!

AKRON over Ball St by 4 Uh, oh. This fi rst Saturday in October fi nds another large Homecoming favorite looking to pad its record against a foe that hasn’t had a winning campaign since 2013. The problem, however, is this host is ‘leaking oil’ or in this case air, as the Rubbermakers are 0-4 ‘ITS’ against FBS foes this season. They’ve also been burning more than treads, posting a 9-16 ATS mark as chalk since 2008. The good news for Terry Bowden’s bunch is that the visiting Cardinals have picked up where they have left off in conference play (3-13 SU last two seasons), dropping a 55-3 unanimous decision at Western Michigan last week. The good news for us? That mauling adds value to this week’s line while bringing this juicy tidbit into play: since 2000, the Gonads are 11-1 ATS in games after scoring 3 or fewer points. So if you don’t want to get caught with your pants down, you’ll ‘hang’ with us today in Akron.

MIAMI OHIO over Bowling Green by 10 The RedHawks let us down in the MIDWEEK ALERT and on the phones last week when Notre Dame hit them up for 45 fi rst-half points. And we see no reason to play ‘double or nothing’ today in Oxford as a post-Irish letdown is likely in order. Yes, it’s been a ‘Tragedy’ to back the winless BeeGees these days as they are 0-5 on the SU scoreboard and 0-4 on the ATS scorecard. However, they are 3-0 SUATS on this fi eld since 2009 and did out-stat the Hawks in a 14-point home loss as small chalk last season. And despite their inept record, they do lead the nation in most fumbles recovered this year. Then again, that wouldn’t happen if you weren’t behind every contest and allowing the opposition 45 rushing attempts per game and a net stat advantage of nearly 200 YPG in FBS tilts. In a nutshell, it’s probably best not to get involved, but if ‘you lose control and you got no soul’ (try getting that ditty out of your head now), there’s really only one way to look. The ‘Green’ fi nally cashes.

Marshall over CHARLOTTE by 11 Following last week’s SU dog win in the Queen City, the 3-1 Thundering Herd have already matched last season’s win total and fi gure to surpass it tonight in Charlotte – where the 49ers are still winless this campaign and riding an 8-game losing streak dating back to 2016. However, before taking aim with Doc Holliday’s crew, we should point out that today’s role reversal does not suit the Herd as they are 17-32-2 ATS as road favorites, including 0-4 ATS off a SU dog win. And despite the obvious improvement on the SU scoreboard, the Herd are still blundering on our MIDWEEK pages, allowing more yards then they have gained this season. We can’t call for the outright upset with the Niners on Marshall’s radar after topping the Herd, 27-24, in Huntington as 8-point dogs last season but we can’t pass up the lumber, either, with a squad that had three SU dog wins in 2016. You know what to do.

Central Florida over Cincinnati by 8 It’s looking more and more like the AAC East will come down to a November 24th showdown between USF and UCF, schools separated by a mere 96 miles along I-4. The high-scoring 6-0 Bulls don’t have much standing in the way as four home games and a lone roadie at Tulane dot their slate before the post-Thanksgiving tilt. The 3-0 Knights’ schedule is far more challenging and for them to have the turkey tasting good they’ll have to dodge a few road bumps along the way, starting tonight in Cincy. The Bearcats have been a bit ‘Fickell’ this season, performing admirably in road losses at Michigan and Navy and a road win at Miami Ohio, but playing down to their level of opposition in a close home victory over Austin Peay and an upset loss in this building last Saturday to Marshall. Their 10-4 SUATS log at home off a previous home loss, including 6-1 ATS in conference play and 5-1 ATS as a dog, suggests they come to play as does UCF’s 2-10 ATS mark as road favorites versus a foe off back-to-back losses. It will be a stern test to keep the Knights out of the end zone as they’re No. 2 in the nation in red zone offense but they do have an Achilles Heel as they are tied for the most penalties allowed per game (10.67). Yes, these two are headed in opposite directions – giving us more reasons to back these unpredictable, red-faced hosts. You know the drill.

COASTAL CAROLINA over Georgia St by 1 Coastal Carolina’s maiden voyage into FBS waters was a success as they won at UMass, 38-28, as 3-point dogs. However, thanks to a turnover bug (10 to 1 the last three contests), they’re suddenly on the same path as the S.S. Minnow – with no Ginger or Mary Ann in sight. To their credit, they did hang tough in Monroe last week, outgaining the Warhawks by nearly 100 yards before almost blowing the cover on the last play of the game (see Redskins vs. Chiefs on Monday night). If the professor, err, head coach Joe Moglia can come up with a solution to the turnovers, they should be able to beat a disciplined (we’ll give you a 130 guesses on who has the fewest amount of penalties per game of all FBS schools this season and the fi rst 129 don’t count!) yet inept Georgia State squad (No. 129 in red zone offense) that is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games and 2-4 SUATS all-time as FBS chalk. The bottom line is this unit shouldn’t be laying points to a high school team. Take it or leave it.

3� BEST BET

Not only do the Nittany Lions fi nd themselves in the wrong paragraph in this week’s SMART BOX, they’re also not a fan ‘favorite’ of this week’s MIDWEEK ALERT as their yards (370) did not match their point production (see the RES category – a formulated Re-Score of the game based strictly on actual yardage gained and allowed) for the fourth time this season in their 31-point win over Indiana last Saturday. They did convert two early turnovers into TDs but that might not be the case this week as the Lions are 0-6 ATS away with conference revenge. In fact, the Wildcats have upset the Lions in each of the past two meetings, so they will not be intimated by these ‘5-0 Fat Cats.’ How could they be with the Square and Alert joining forces and coming to their aid – not to mention our database which notes Northwestern’s 4-1 ATS Game Five log and 7-3 ATS mark after meeting Wisky, as well as Penn State’s 3-10 ATS record as favorites before dancing with the Wolverines. Even our NCAA Coaches League wants a piece of the action, noting Wildcats’ HC Pat Fitzgerald is 14-4 ATS as a dog of more than 7 points off a loss while saving the best for last in the form of THE CLINCHER: PSU is 3-10-2 ATS away under James Franklin, including 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 AT against foes that allow less than 26 PPG.

Penn St over NORTHWESTERN by 3


Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

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Temple over EAST CAROLINA by 3 It would be strange to see the Owls – a team that is the epitome of a ‘leaking oil’ favorite, having lost the stats in ALL fi ve games this season – showing up as road chalk were it not for the fact that East Carolina HC Scottie Montgomery is probably in every mall in Greenville interviewing defensive coordinators (and maybe passing out a few resumes of his own). Even Ripley didn’t believe it when we told him that the ECU’s stop-unit has allowed at least one 70-yard play in every game this season, not to mention 34 or more points in nine straight contests. However, there may be a light at the end of the tunnel. Even though USF scored on 10 of its 12 possessions with their starting offense on the fi eld, the 575 yards gained by the Bulls last week was the FEWEST surrendered by the Pirates this season. That was a lame attempt at sarcasm – as is the fact that someone has to assume the favorite moniker in this meaningless AAC East tilt. It may as well be the Owls as they’ve won 10 of their last 18 road games. Thus, we’ll say this one is for the Birds (from a SU standpoint) and pass. We suggest you follow suit.

Duke over VIRGINIA by 7 According to Webster (not the one played by Emmanuel Lewis), overreaction means to respond to something with an emotion that is too strong or an action that is unnecessary. Playbook’s defi nition of the word (which can be of Greek origin to the casual observer) is similar but involves money. Let’s put it in a sentence. “Duke’s 25-point loss to Miami coupled with Virginia’s surprise win at Boise State has created a severe overreaction, causing the opening line to move a full fi ve points” (Duke opened as a 2.5 point favorite and is now is a 2.5-point pup). Sure, the Wahoos are No. 1 in the land in red-zone offense and picked up their fi rst win west of the Mississippi River with its victory at Boise State two Fridays ago but the Broncos are playing more on reputation these days, having dropped four of their last six dating back to last season. And let’s not forget: the 14th-rated Duke defense has held two foes to season-low yardage while limiting opposing offenses to 80 rushing yards per game on 2.7 yards per carry. The Devils are also 15-7-1 ATS in this series but more importantly now 5-0-1 ATS the last six as dogs. That makes this a must take in this False Favorite special.

Pittsburgh over SYRACUSE by 3 After watching game fi lm of last year’s wild 76-61 season ending win over the Orange, Pitt QB Max Browne (a USC transfer) has to be ecstatic to reclaim the starting job. He was benched after a lethargic 1-2 start but was re-inserted into the starting lineup last week and responded with a 28 of 32 effort for 410 yards in a 42-10 rout of Rice. “He’s got the ability to do that every game,” head coach Pat Narduzzi said. “We’ve got the tools out there. Overall, you’ve gotta be happy with the passing game.” Relax Pat… it was Rice! However, Syracuse isn’t that much higher on the food chain – at least not to a Panthers’ bunch that is 11-1 SU in this series since 2005. In fact, the Orange were getting points in 10 of those contests, making Pitt one of our famous DIA DIA plays – dominating dog in action, doing it again. Our dominating database also likes the fact that we’ve underlined and bolded Pitt as the Panthers are 29-8 ATS as dogs in which they score 30 or more points while Syracuse HC Dino Babers is 1-6 ATS as chalk in games where his teams allow 30-plus points. Thus, if you’re like us and feel the scoreboard operator will earn his keep, then a False Favorite money line parlay (see Duke above) may be worth a shekel or two. Either way, the points are the play today in the Carrier Dome.

Va Tech over BOSTON COLLEGE by 20 If it weren’t for the fact that Hokies’ HC Justin Fuente knows how to get his team off the mat (11-4 SUATS in games off a SUATS loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven – 3-0 ATS with Tech), we’d fl y like an Eagle today in Chestnut Hill. We also don’t like the idea that time keeps on slippin’ for BC’s Steve Addazio in these spots as he is 9-19-2 ATS in games his team loses SU as a dog, including 3-11 ATS at home. Toss in the Eagles’ 0-4 ATS mark as home dogs of 9 or more points and 1-6 ATS mark in the second of back-to-back home games and you can see why we feel the Hokies

will improve to 3-0 ATS in this matchup of late (and a chin-up 11-2 ATS after clashing with Clemson). As our good friend Gabe Morency from GAME TIME DECISIONS would say, this one is a ‘lay or pray.’ And we’re not about to bend the knee today in Alumni Stadium.

APPALACHIAN ST over New Mexico St by 7The Aggies showed their true colors last week in an 18-point loss/push at Arkansas but we’re still high on them and their 17 returning starters. Star RB Larry Rose III was completely shut down by the Hogs, gaining just 25 yards after rushing for 144 the previous week against UTEP, so he should be due for a bounce-back performance. Also, revenge from a 30-point loss to the Mountaineers in the fi nal home game of the season last year should have New Mexico State fully focused today. On the fl ip side, the Mountaineers take pleasure in rising to a challenge against well-known programs, but fall short against the bottom-feeders, going just 1-7-1 ATS at home against losing teams. ASU is coming off a bye week, which means they had extra time to be haunted by the blocked FG suffered against Wake Forest with 5 seconds to play that cost them a big win. Play it by the book and grab the points.

OHIO ST over Maryland by 27The Terps held Minnesota to a season-low 309 yards in a 7-point road win last week, while rushing for 262 yards against a defense that was ranked No. 1 in the country against the run. The 31-24 victory came against an undefeated Gopher team under new coach P.J. Fleck that had given up a total of 24 points in their fi rst three games. Revenge should also be on the table today, as a 62-3 home loss last year to the Buckeyes, the worst home defeat for Maryland since 1993, provides added motivation at the ‘Shoe. For Ohio State, freshman RB J.K. Dobbins has gotten most of the headlines, but Mike Weber – a 1,000-yard rusher last year as a freshman – scored 3 TDs in the shutout win over Rutgers, showing signs that the hamstring injury that limited him to seven carries this season has healed. Ohio State returns home off that 56-0 blanking of the Scarlet Knights knowing Urban Meyer is 11-0 SU in games after tossing a shutout, but only 5-5-1 ATS, including 1-5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points. We don’t like that, not in a dreaded Homecoming affair. OSU rolls to another win, but not by enough to satisfy the alumni.

CLEMSON over Wake Forest by 14A tip of the cap to Dabo Swinney as the Tigers shot down our featured 5* Game-of-the Month call with Virginia Tech on the phones last week, when the Tigers became the fi rst team in CFB history to defeat three Top 15-ranked teams in the opening month of September (if we’re going down on featured plays, it’s by the grace of record-breaking performances). In fact, Clemmie is now 10-1 SU in the last 11 games matching top 15 squads with the only loss coming in the 2015 National Championship game to Alabama. Don’t underestimate the Demon Deacons, though, who have covered the number in the last three meetings, and are now leading the nation in tackles for a loss (10 TFLs per game). They had 17 TFL’s last week against the Seminoles and are now ranked 8th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 8 PPG. Dave Clawson is 11-2 ATS as a dog of 19 or more points, including 6-0 ATS when they have a .500 or greater record. Meanwhile, Clemson is just 1-6-1 ATS as a conference home favorite of 15 or more points. The Tiger D has been suffocating, but the offense was outgained by the Hokies last week by 10 yards. The bottom line here is the SMART BOX has spoken and we’re all ears in fading these 5-0 Fat Cats once more.

PURDUE over Minnesota by 8Bad news for Minny here as the Golden Gophers are just 1-8 SU in Big Ten games after losing SU as favorites of more than 7 points in their previous contest (lost, 31-24, as 13.5-point chalk at home to Maryland last week). Goldy is also just 5-22 SU on the road versus .500 or greater Big Ten foes. In addition, the Boilermakers have dominated this series in recent years when favored, going 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games as chalk. Be sure and check the status of Purdue QB David Blough, who suffered a slight shoulder strain in the game with Michigan two weeks ago (we’re guessing he plays). Expect the Boilermakers to dedicate this contest to Joe Tiller, the school’s winningest coach, who passed away at the age of 74 last Saturday. In 12 years at Purdue, Tiller made 10 bowl trips and coached fi ve teams that fi nished in the top 25, including the 2000 squad that won a Big Ten title in Drew Brees’ senior season. We don’t like the line movement (Gophers opened as 1.5-point favorites) or coughing up 100 yards in defense but the feeling here is emotions will be high in West Lafayette.


NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

MICHIGAN over Michigan St by 4The Wolverines own the No. 2 pass effi ciency defense in the nation, and the MIDWEEK ALERT reports Michigan has held all four foes to season-low in yardage this season. But then again, MSU has held three of their last four foes to season-low yards as well. Despite losing 10 starters and seven of its top eight tacklers, Michigan held Purdue to 189 total yards and 3.8 yards per play in a 28-10 win two weeks ago, and has a dominant defensive front led by Rashan Gary and Chase Winovich. Meanwhile, John O’Korn gets the start at QB after Wilton Speight went down against Purdue. As for Sparty, the green warriors are 7-2 SU and 9-0 ATS in this series, plus 9-1 ATS overall with conference revenge and 5-1 versus the number as Big Ten pups of 11 or more points. There are just too many good numbers to ignore in this rivalry series, especially with Mark Dantonio the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2 (21-7-1 ATS in his career as a dog against foes off a SUATS win, including 17-2-1 ATS the last twenty games). You know what to do – back the ‘mission dog’ for all its worth.

Southern Miss over UTSA by 1The Roadrunners are No. 1 in pass effi ciency defense and No. 2 in red zone offense, but their Achilles heel has been the fact that they are tied with UCF for most penalties per game this campaign (10.67). UTSA’s 3-0 start this season has come against foes that are 0-8 SU versus other FBS opponents this year, along with Southern University (the opener against Houston was cancelled by Hurricane Harvey). The talk around San Antonio involves more than a bowl appearance – heck, they did that last year – words like ‘undefeated’ and ‘conference title’ are being muttered under the breaths of fans, but this game is critical. The next six games are against teams without a winning record last season, before the season closes at Louisiana Tech. Meanwhile, the Golden Eagles have had this game circled in red ink ever since last year’s 23-point loss here as 17-point chalk! Smissy ran up 562 yards of offense, and outgained UTSA in that contest, but lost the TOs, 3-0. A 4-1 ATS mark as underdogs with revenge does it in this payback deluxe.

Western Kentucky over UTEP by 16If you had Sean Kugler in this year’s annual college coaches ‘dead pool’ you are a winner as Kugler resigned following last week’s 35-21 loss at Army. He leaves the program with an 18-36 career mark, including a trip to the 2014 New Mexico Bowl. After being outgained by 284 YPG this season – the worst of all FBS teams – it’s understandable that Kugler (a UTEP alum) had the best interests of the program in mind while choosing to step down. Can’t say the same for new interim coach and former UTEP and Washington State HC Mike Price (yeah, that Mike Price!) who is famous for accepting the top job at Bama in 2003 but never coached a game after an infamous tryst with a stripper in Pensacola (oh, those strippers). Still, with the Miners in disarray, we just can’t lay this kind of wood with a WKU program still being priced like Jeff Brohm is on the sidelines. The fact of the matter is they are being outyarded by 33 YPG (+147 YPG last season) behind an offense that has gone backwards 22 points and 181 yards per contest. Get the biggest nose-plug you can fi nd and apply it – fast!

UTAH over Stanford by 3We think the wrong team is favored here as Stanford’s defense is nowhere near past standards – allowing a staggering 445 YPG. Sure, TB Bryce Love is an absolute stud, averaging an amazing 11.1 yards per carry while leading the nation in rushing (1008 yards, 255 yards ahead of 2nd place rusher, SDSU’s Rashad Penny). He is coming off a 301-yard effort against Arizona State on just 25 carries with TD gallops of 61, 43 and 59 yards (Christian who?). Starting QB Keller Chryst is questionable with a concussion, although K.J. Costello stepped in for Chryst in the UCLA game two weeks ago and has actually given the Cardinal a lift. Meanwhile, Utah has some QB question marks of their own as apparently 2016 starter Troy Williams will take over for starting QB Tyler Huntley (right arm) if he can’t go in this game. However, we just can’t lay points into a team with 140 YPG the better defense and 100 total net YPG overall. No matter who starts under center, Ute need to be with us, as the points become the play in this fray.

IDAHO over UL-Lafayette by 11If you haven’t been watching closely, this number may surprise you just a bit, but the Vandals edged South Alabama on the road in OT last week to even their record at 2-2 as they now begin the quest to become bowl-eligible in their swan-song FBS season. Idaho is ranked 8th in the country in passing defense, and on the fl ip side, the Ragin’ Cajuns are last in the

nation in scoring defense (53.8 PPG) and ahead of only Tulsa and East Carolina in total defense, giving up 563.5 YPG. ULL returns here having lost each of the last three straight games SUATS and ITS, allowing season-high yardage in all three contests. Plus, they lost SU as home favorites to the Vandals last year in a game in which they were outyarded by 120 yards. People forget that Idaho covered their fi nal eight games last season en route to a 9-4 SU mark, and are 2-1-1 versus the spread this year. However, it’s the 4-1 SUATS mark in their last fi ve as home favorites for Vandals HC Paul Petrino that seals the deal.

Colorado St over UTAH ST by 1The Rams hit the road for their third straight away game, following last week’s 30-point romp at Hawaii, with Homecoming on deck. QB Nick Stevens had a big game in the pineapple patch, hitting receiver Michael Gallup 8 times for 212 yards and tossing 4 TD passes. However, this is not a good spot for CSU as the Rams are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in the last fi ve games of this series. Meanwhile, the Aggies were pummeled by Wisconsin and Wake Forest in September before bouncing back with big wins over San Jose State and BYU. Last week against the Cougars, Utah State came up with SEVEN turnovers in Logan, including three interceptions by DB Jalen Davis, who took two of them to the house. Unfortunately, the Aggies are tied for last in red zone offense this season, but on the plus side are 6-0-1 ATS as home dogs following a double-digit ATS win. A 28-6-1 SU record in their last 35 home games cements this potential upset selection… a take is in order.

Tulsa over Tulane by 6We’ve chronicled the defensive woes of the Golden Hurricane over the past few seasons on these pages, but things seem to be on the upswing lately under Phil Montgomery – Tulsa has allowed just 23.5 PPG over the last two contests after allowing 51+ PPG in the fi rst three. So we’ll call this our DIA DIA (dominating dog, doing it again) play of the week, especially since the Hurricane is 11-1 SUATS in this series, favored in all 12 games. A win today is mandatory if Tulsa hopes to hit the alleys for the third straight season this year. We’ve also mentioned how the Wave has improved their offensive numbers dramatically under Willie Fritz, although the defense fi nds itself in slippage-mode this campaign. Both teams lost to Navy this season, but the Green Wave picked up their fi rst FBS win of the season last time out against Army. However, with a 5-10 ATS as home chalk since 2006, we simply can’t trust them in this major series role reversal.

Army over RICE by 8The Cadets are back in the state of Texas where they have dominated foes over the years – no coincidence since many of the players dotting the roster are from the Lone Star State. The problem is that they are just 1-4-1 SU in this series, and are laying doubles today, a role in which they are a miserable 2-17-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the Owls are 15-4-2 ATS as home pups with revenge (they lost 31-14 at Army last season), but we hesitate here since Rice is just 1-10 SU during the fi rst six games of the season the last two years. Also, the Owls have shown a complete lack of offensive fi repower this season (averaged last than 7 PPG in their four losses). Still, the men from West Point are just not good enough to be laying 2 TDs on the road to anyone, and with the revenge factor in the mix, the doubles will do it for us.

San Diego St over UNLV by 3After suffering the indignity of losing their season opener as 40-point home favorites to Howard, the Runnin’ Rebels have played hard to even their record at 2-2 following an easy win over San Jose State on Saturday night. The Rebs jumped to a 35-13 halftime lead and defeated the Spartans for the fi rst time since 1994, rolling up 548 yards behind QB Armani Rogers, who threw 2 TD strikes and ran for 2 more. Meanwhile, the Aztecs played as a ranked team last week for the fi rst time since 1995 (their highest ranking since 1978) and it showed as they edged Northern Illinois in a game in which they were outstatted by 161 yards. Senior RB Rashaad Penny is having a phenomenal year thus far after taking over for the graduated Donnell Pumphrey, posting 823 yards and 7 TD’s, but last week’s game marked his lowest output on the ground this year (107 yards and no scores). This week they dress up as 5-0 Fat Cats and by order of the SMART BOX, they are on our fade list, especially since Rocky Long is just 2-6-1 ATS as road chalk versus .500 or better foes.

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

page 8 • www.VegasInsider.com

NAVY over Air Force by 13This military rivalry fi nds two teams that love to run the ball: Navy leads the nation with 400 RYPG while the AFA is in the Top 10 with 274.8 RYPG. While double-digits look tempting, the fact of the matter is Navy is 28-7 SU in its last 35 games, going 19-12-2 ATS in those contests, and will be looking to avenge a 28-14 loss in Colorado Springs last season. In addition, the Flyboys have been dominated in this series despite last year’s win, going 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS over the last 14 years, including 0-6 SUATS when coming off a loss. On the Navy side of the coin, QB Zach Abey continues to impress, and the Midshipmen will control the football – that is just what they do (HC Niumatalolo has the nation’s No. 1 team in Time of Possession offense). The Middies are also 5-1 ATS off 4 straight wins-exact when facing a foe off a loss and they desperately want that Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy back from Air Force.

S CAROLINA over Arkansas by 3At 3-2 on the season, the Gamecocks are once again entertaining bowl hopes and a win here would make their path a whole lot easier with Clemson, Florida and Georgia still on the docket. However, they need to play four quarters of football, unlike last week when they allowed Texas A&M to come back in the fi nal stanza in a 24-17 loss. QB Jake Bentley has been solid, if not spectacular, and WR Bryan Edwards will need to continue to step up after the devastating loss of Deebo Samuel. For Arkansas, senior RB David Williams is part of a three-pronged rushing attack for the Hogs and is making his return to Williams-Brice looking to make an impact after spending three seasons at South Carolina before transferring to Fayetteville. The Hogs are riding a 6-16 ATS mark as SEC road chalk into this contest, but are 9-1 ATS as a favorite in this series. This is a tough call here as Bielema continues to ride the hot seat while Arky Pig has major revengers on deck with Alabama and Auburn. We’ll pass on the bacon today.

COLORADO over Arizona by 1The Wildcats own a 24-19-2 SU and 35-19-1 ATS long-term conference records with rest, including 17-4-1 SU and 18-3-1 ATS against foes off an ATS win. They have also been outyarding FBS foes by 129 YPG this season, up dramatically from last year as Rich Rod has his back to the wall in an effort to save his job (he’s hoping to still be around to see a new indoor facility that is planned for Tucson). A road win in Boulder would be a good start but the Buffs are tough to beat at home, for sure, as confi rmed by a 9-1 SU mark here since last season. Still, the visitor is 5-0 ATS in this series and while Colorado beat the Wildcats by 25 points in the desert last year, they have been outstatted in their last two games (both SU losses). The serious revenge factor says take it if you play it.

Texas Tech over KANSAS by 13The Jayhawks, playing with a week of rest, sport vastly improved numbers in 2017 as they’re being outstatted by only 5 YPG (as opposed to 97 YPG last season, and 229 YPG in 2015). They are also 3-1-1 ATS as home dogs since last season. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are 8-18 ATS as road chalk off an ATS win, and they are coming off a SU loss as 11-point dogs to Oklahoma State 41-34 in a game in which they were outgained 597-384. According to Matt Brown of Sports on Earth, this was the 14th time they have scored 34 points and still lost under Kliff Kingsbury, now in his fi fth season at Lubbock. In that time, only UMass tallied more, owning 10 such games in that role (nobody else has more than eight). The bottom line is we simply can’t trust the TTRR matador defense laying more than two TDs on the road, regardless of the foe, or their 8-18 ATS as road chalk off an ATS win. With FOUR consecutive Big 12 revengers on deck, we must look at the improved hosts.

WASHINGTON over California by 21The Golden Bears lost 66-27 at home to U-Dub last year but beat them, 30-24, here in 2015. Cal head coach Justin Wilcox has done a great job improving this once-lethargic Bear defense (15 PPG and 64 YPG improvement this season), but it was an unsatisfying return to Autzen Stadium last weekend against Oregon for Wilcox, a former defensive back for the Ducks, as his rushing attack managed just 8 yards and his offensive line allowed 7 sacks. Still, the road team has covered the last fi ve games in this series and Washington has been prone to spurts of offensive ineptitude – just take a look at last Saturday’s ugly fi rst half when the Huskies led a weak Oregon State team just 7-0 at the intermission (their second slow start in a row). In fact, Chris Petersen’s team is tied for last in red zone offense this season; imagine what happens once he addresses this glitch. But since he hasn’t done so yet and because the sled dogs appear on this week’s 5-0 Fat Cat list as outlined in the SMART BOX, we’re ready to fade them today.

OREGON over Washington State by 6The Ducks’ injury report reads like a M.A.S.H. unit, with 8 players on the list including RB Royce Freeman (arm), QB Justin Herbert (out 4-6 weeks with a broken collarbone), and his backup Taylor Alie (questionable with a concussion). Freshman QB Braxton Burmeister, headed for a redshirt, could get the start now, but rushing the ball is what the Ducks are all about as they bring a well-balanced offense into this fray (rushing for 262 YPG, passing for 277 YPG under Taggart this season). Washington State is 5-0 for the fi rst time since 2001, but keep in mind that all fi ve September victories were at home in Pullman and now three of the next four games are on the road at Oregon, Cal and Arizona. This is a bad letdown spot for the Cougars coming off Friday night’s home upset over powerful USC as teams are just 7-16 ATS away after upsetting the Trojans, including 1-5 SUATS in the last six. Besides, it’s been 12 years since the Cougars fi nished a season ranked in the top 25, so who knows how Mike Leach will try to keep their egos in check? Leach had the best line after looking at the massive celebration on the fi eld after the USC upset: “There’s a lot of people. It’s like Woodstock, but everybody has their clothes on.” And unlike the days after the 1969 rock festival, let’s hope the Cougars are not suffering a horrible hangover. Otherwise, the Ducks will run right over them.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE over Florida Int’l by 11The Blue Raiders weren’t even fair-to-middlin’ without starting QB Brent Stockstill. While they did manage to gain 439 total yards against Florida Atlantic, the yardage didn’t translate into points and Middle Tennessee fell, 38-20, to a FAU squad they had previously beaten nine straight times. Five more players are questionable with injuries for the Raiders this week, including Stockstill and WR Richie James (neither of whom played last week). The opening line of MTSU -8.5, though, indicates many of them may be playing this week. FIU head coach Butch Davis will take note of the ridiculous 385 passing yards Middle Tennessee’s secondary gave up to the Owls, but his pass defense usually gives up as many yards as their opponents gain through the air. The Panthers’ numbers are up on both sides of the ball under Davis, as well as their win-loss record (3-1 for the fi rst time since 2011. But remember, FIU was a 17.5-point home dog in this matchup last year. The MIDWEEK ALERT also calls out the fact that the Cats were actually outgained in last week’s win against lowly Charlotte. While the points look tempting, MTSU needs this like blood to get back in the Sun Belt chase. Be careful here.

USC over Oregon St by 28In Dante’s Inferno, hell is depicted as nine concentric circles of torment located within the Earth. We think it’s time to add a 10th ring, one that runs straight through Corvallis, Oregon – ending in the offi ce of the head football coach for the Oregon State Beavers. Submitted for your approval, the story of current HC Gary Andersen. In 2013, Andersen took over the top spot at Wisconsin after Bret Bielema bolted for Arkansas. Andersen’s record in two seasons at Madison? 20-7, with two bowl appearances. And so far at OSU? Mr. Andersen owns a lost-in-The-Matrix record of 7-22, including a disastrous 3-17 record in Pac-12 play. Now he has to lead his Beavers against the hordes of Troy – in a Coliseum, no less – who are still spitting fi re over last week’s loss to Washington State. But before we pile more misery onto coach Andersen, we should note that THIS is his best ATS role, going 14-5 as a double-digit road dog. His Beavers also don’t shy away from the role of big underdogs, going 4-0 ATS of late as conference dogs of 21 or more points. However, Oregon State has lost 10 fumbles so far this season, not encouraging against an ornery, physical USC defense. Yes, the series host is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings but the Trojans were outgained 462-327 – and had the ball for only 24:33 – in their fi rst loss to WSU since 2002 last Friday. We’re not anxious to lay 5 TDs with this bipolar bunch so we’ll watch from the Laz-Y-Boy while we listen to ‘Up Down’ on the radio.

UL-Monroe over TEXAS ST by 7Seriously, folks… can we not somehow vote on Idaho to remain in the Sun Belt and give hapless Texas State the boot instead? Granted, San Marcos is probably a bigger tourist destination than Moscow, Idaho, but the Bobcats are currently riding a 14-game losing skein agasint


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FBS opponents! Still, our fi rst reaction after seeing ULM installed as 6.5-point chalk was basically ‘WTF?’ (and we don’t mean wrong team favored). Fortunately, our crack database came to the rescue, pointing out that the Warhawks are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last fi ve appearances as road favorites. As inviting as that sounds, our MIDWEEK ALERT says to back off: Monroe was outstatted in last week’s 51-43 win over Coasal Carolina, and have now surrendered 93 points in its last two games. And despite that hideous losing streak to 1-A competition, the Bobcats have somehow gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS the last three years in this series. Add it all together and this one looks like a pass. Proceed at your own risk.

Georgia over VANDERBILT by 10Last Saturday morning we had a call from Jaybird The Bulldog, our SEC scout, who amended his earlier-in-the-week opinion of Georgia winning and covering at Tennessee by saying, “I’m not 100% sure but I think the Dawgs might tear Tennessee to pieces.” The 41-0 result may not earn Jaybird a Carnak The Magifi cent hat but it certainly has our attention here. Talk about a matchup of High vs. Low: the Bulldogs arrive on the cloud of a 41-0 revenge win over reeling Tennessee to take on a Vanderbilt team that was outscored 21-7 in the second half to fall to Florida in the Swamp. Even worse for the Commodores was last week’s late ATS giveaway. Vandy had the cash in hand versus the Gators before a 39-yard TD burst off-tackle on 4th and 1 with 1:42 remaining padded the score – and ravaged Vandy backers. Can the Commies get up off the deck and slow down one of the hottest teams in football? The ATS archives suggest they have a chance. Not only has Vanderbilt covered four straight in the series, the Nashville cats are 4-1 ATS their last fi ve shots as SEC home dogs of 10 or more points. That stat fi ts perfectly with Georgia’s weak 1-6 ATS as road chalk of more than 11 points, plus Kirby Smart’s squad is facing some terrible ‘befores and afters’ heading into this game: 0-5 ATS bef Missouri and1-5 ATS after Tennessee. But the biggest factor at work today is the SMART BOX as it says to fade the 5-0 Fat Dawgs, er Cats. With that, we’re all-hands-on-deck with the Commodores again.

TCU over West Virginia by 18Despite a 3-0 start, Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs weren’t getting much love from the polls – until last Saturday’s surprisingly easy win over Oklahomas State vaulted TCU into the No. 8 spot this week (AP). Like Don Henley sang, “Everything is different now” – and Patterson is hell bent on avenging last season’s 4-8 effort, especially against foes that pounded nails into their coffi n (lost to WVU, 34-10). In fact, Boss Frog owns a moneymaking 20-7 ATS mark with conference revenge versus winning foes, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 6 points. West Virginia has looked equal to or better than its current No. 23 ranking, bouncing back from a hard-fought, season-opening loss to Virginia Tech to win three straight games by an average of 33.7 PPG. In truth, however, that trio of wins came against East Carolina, FCS foe Delaware State and Kansas, teams that have combined for a 2-10 SU and 3-6 ATS start in 2017. Further investigation turns up WVU’s awful 1-8 ATS performance with rest when taking on a Big 12 foe and 1-4 ATS mark as a double-digit conference underdog. Meanwhile, the horned ones make the most of a week off, logging an outstanding 13-2 ATS record when rested and ready. Even more disturbing for the Hillbillies is a defense that’s getting scorched for 452 YPG – 128 more than TCU. The always informative MIDWEEK ALERT seals the deal, noting that the Froggies have held all four foes to season-low yards this year. Yes, they are for real… lay it if you play it.

Louisiana Tech over UAB by 8Okay, it’s not quite mid-term time for the Blazers but we should take a look at how they’ve performed after a 2-year absence from the FBS gridiron. UAB stands 2-2 SU and 2-1 ATS, they score 35.5 PPG and gain 40 YPG more than they give up, and QB A.J. Erdely has thrown for 6 TDS against only one pick. Louisiana Tech has faced a much tougher schedule and if not for a late collapse against South Carolina (lost 17-16 on a last-second fi eld goal) the Bulldogs would be 4-1 SU. But as we’ve come to learn on these pages, LTU head coach Skip Holzt may be the master dog, but he’s also a big-time chalk buster. The all-knowing database confi rms the notion, pointing out Skippy’s 12-19-1 ATS record as a road favorite. Historically, the Blazers have been great as home dogs, going 23-10 ATS overall in their last 33 tries, including an eye-popping 17-4-1 ATS mark when playing off a loss. To top it off, the Fire Breathers are hosting Homecoming today, where dogs are at their best. A quick check of the Stat Logs from the MIDWEEK ALERT shows

the Blazers winning the stats by 39 YPG this season – as opposed to the Bulldogs’ 34 YPG. Sorry, Skippy… with a double-revenger against Southern Miss on deck for the dogs, we’ll lean with our well-oiled machine and back the Blazers.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS over Kent St by 24Huskies are starting to bring back memories of Dave Doeren’s teams that went 23-5 in two seasons and faced off with Florida State in a BCS bowl game. This year’s pack of sled dogs proved their worth when they nearly took down nationally ranked San Diego State in California last week (they also beat Nebraska in Lincoln earlier and are just 10 points away from being undefeated). Will the narrow loss to the Aztecs provide a spark for better things to come? Or will a letdown occur with NIU playing down to KSU’s level? Regardless, it’s almost impossible to make a case for a Kent State team that is being outyarded by 248 YPG against FBS foes this season, and whose offense currently ranks No. 128 (2nd worst) in red zone offense. The Flashes have also suffered power outages in this series of late, going 1-7-1 ATS. While that’s more than enough to get us off KSU, it’s not in our DNA to lay over three TDs in any game. Thus, we’ll take a seat on the sidelines here. Pass.

OLD DOMINION over Fla Atlantic by 4The Monarchs had a week off to recover from back-to-back beatings by ACC teams, losing by 30 to UNC and by 38 to Virginia Tech. Seventeen-year old QB Steven Williams made his fi rst CFB start against the Hokies two weeks ago (he was only 8-for26 for 85 yards), so ODU head coach Bobby Wilder might want to consider exploiting a soft FAU rush defense that’s allowing 4.7 yards per carry. In fact, the Owls have been outyarded in all four FBS games this season, and are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road chalk appearances. Old Dominion has been a tough out at home since the start of the 2016 season, going 8-1 SU in its last nine tries at Norfolk (lone loss in this year’s opener against Navy). Our database wraps things up with this beauty: home dogs playing with rest off a shutout loss are 19-11 ATS since 1982, including 7-2 ATS as dogs of less than 5 points. A must take as the Monarchs force FAU’s Lane Kiffi ng to bend the knee.

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Go ahead and scoff… we understand. If ever the Bayou Bengals looked ripe for slaughter, it’s NOW. But this trip could also be just what the doctor ordered for the home-stale Tigers – getting away from Death Valley where they’ve failed miserably in each of the last two weeks. The all-knowing database concurs, noting that CFB road dogs off three consecutive ATS losses, the last as a double-digit favorite, are 16-4 ATS if they won 8 or more games the previous season. Florida QB Feleipe Franks takes over for good (we think) from Luke Del Rio, who broke his collarbone last week and is out for the season (the hard-luck Del Rio had undergone two offseason shoulder surgeries earlier this year). However, we think the Florida offense is a fraud and last week’s late gravy cover over Vandy brings value to the play. With leading WR Tyrie Cleveland out today for the Gators with an ankle injury, we remind you that LSU was the 3-point favorite in this game at the South Point in Vegas when they posted their ‘Games of the Year’ plays before the season began. Yes, LSU’s Ed ‘Mushmouth’ Oregeon sucks in games against winning SEC foes, but he is also 4-0 ATS in his career when not favored by 20 or more points games following a SU favorite loss, which ties nicely into THE CLINCHER: LSU is 15-4-1 ATS as a dog following a SU favorite loss, including 12-1-1 ATS when facing a greater-than .700 opponent.

Lsu over FLORIDA by 7

OKLAHOMA over Iowa St by 27With teams like Georgia climbing up the polls, the Sooners are anxious to get back on the fi eld after a week off and prove to voters that their struggle against Baylor was a fl uke (28-point favorite OU beat the Bears by only 49-41). Iowa State brings some good numbers into this matchup, going 6-1 ATS with conf revenge last year and posting an identical 6-1 ATS mark after being held to 7 or fewer points. The problem is (as we so cruelly witnessed last week with our Upset Special pick with ISU over Texas), the Cyclones are tied for last nationally in red zone offense this season. That won’t work against the vaunted Sooner offense, a machine that’s averaging 48 PPG. Oklahoma has also cashed


four straight tickets as conference chalk of 21 or more points and is 4-1 ATS recently after rest. Still, there’s a Texas-sized shadow looming over this matchup as the Sooners must face the resurgent Longhorns in next week’s Red River Rivalry game, and they’re just 2-10 ATS as double-digit conference road favorites in games before taking on UT. Our biggest concern over covering a 4-TD spread, though, is the fact that OU’s Lincoln Riley might park the heavy artillery on the bench if the Sooners race out to a big early lead. Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell’s 5-0 ATS mark as a dog of 17 or more points convinces us to take it or leave it.

HOUSTON over Smu by 11Cougars return to the Rocket City off a lethargic win-no-cover at Temple – which was preceded by SU home loss (as 7-point chalk) to Texas Tech. As a result, new head coach Applewhite is feelng some ‘major’ heat in Houston these days – and we’re not referring to the temperature (apparently a 3-1 start isn’t good enough for fans spoiled by previous head coach Tom Herman’s 22-5 run with the Cougars). Former Clemson OC Chad Morris has got his Mustangs on the move this year, proving that SMU is already one of the season’s most improved teams (offense +73 YPG, defense +19 YPG and a 48.5 PPG scoring output – nearly double that of Houston). Normally we’d jump on the Ponies with both boots, but last year’s shocking upset of the Cougs (38-16 win as 23-point home dogs) makes today’s line a value-plus play for avenging Houston. With the Cougars now 4-2 SUATS in this series when playing off a pair of ATS losses, we’ll lay the short number and look for the rocket men to bring SMU back down to earth.

KENTUCKY over Missouri by 17Wildcats emptied many a fan’s pocket last week by playing down to Eastern Michigan’s level (UK closed -14), barely escaping with a 24-20 win despite being outstatted by the Eagles, 312-228. However, we can forgive Mark Stoops and his troops for playing with a severe hangover against EMU after suffering a gut-wrenching loss to Florida (doesn’t everybody?) the previous week. What we can’t fi gure out is why the opening line in this contest has moved 4 points in Missouri’s direction, not when the Tigers rank dead last in Time Of Possession this season behind San Jose State and Nevada – and are being outyarded 118 YPG in FBS games this season. Mizzou is also taking to the road for the fi rst time this year following a 4-game season-opening home stand, not good news considering the Columbia Cats are 0-5 ATS under 2nd-year HC Barry Odom. Kentucky counters with a 6-0 ATS mark as conference home favorites off a win and if the Wildcats continue to get solid play out of QB Stephen Johnson (65% completions with a 7-1 TD-INT ratio), they should ride a stingy 18.8 PPG defense straight to the pay window.

Wisconsin over NEBRASKA by 6Kudos to the Cornhuskers, who fi nally played some old-school Nebraska football last week in their spread-covering 28-6 strangulation of Illinois. They’ll need to channel more of that energy from days gone by if they hope to halt a 4-game losing skid to the Badgers, including blowout defeats of 70-31 in 2012 and 59-24 in 2014. But the children of the corn have signifi cantly closed the gap the last two seasons, going 2-0 ATS while losing outright by margins of just 2 and 6 points. Both times the high-powered Wisconsin offense was held to only 23 points, which makes today’s double-digit line favoring the Badgers look a bit out of whack. And if you like the Huskers at that price, you’ll love knowing they were getting 8 points in this matchup in the South Point ‘Game of the Year’ lines before the season started! Our database leans to the Silk as well, noting Nebraska is 5-1 ATS as a dog with Big Ten revenge and 5-1 ATS as a conference home dog of 5 or more points. Yes, Bucky has cashed four sraight of late as double-digit road chalk but his minions are also just 1-5 ATS as double-digit road favorites against a foe off a win. Beleaguered Huskers head coach Mike Riley is still looking for a signature win against the league’s better teams and one here would go a long way to easing the pressure in Lincoln – at least until Ohio State shows up next week! A must take.

AUBURN over Mississippi by 24Auburn’s 8-point road loss to Clemson in Week Two looks pretty good now, doesn’t it? Since then the Tigers have gone 3-0, including a pair of blowout wins over SEC foes by an average of 38 PPG. However, we can’t overreact knowing that until last week’s victory over Mississippi State marked the fi rst time Aubbie covered as chalk of more than 10 points in the previous TEN tries. Seems like maybe we should ask them

to put back-to-back blowout efforts together before we anoint them as the second best team in the SEC West. But the truth is these Rebels are not the same without ousted head coach Hugh Freeze patrolling the sidelines: under Freeze, the Rebs had covered the previous two meetings with the Tide (including a 43-37 SU win at Tuscaloosa in 2015); without him last week, Ole Miss was humbled in a 66-3 rout. The visitors also have to grapple with the diffi culty of playing a third straight road game, and they’ve already sunk to 1-6 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back away contests. No, we can’t count on a Mississippi team to show up big when Auburn has posted a healthy 6-1-1 ATS series mark versus the Rebs. As much as we don’t like laying the big lumber, we still have no choice but to fade the struggling visitors.

Kansas St over TEXAS by 1Yes, it’s still early but this season’s Longhorns look light-years better than 2016’s miserable squad that lost to Kansas. New head coach Tom Herman continues molding this team with each passing game and Texas is fi nally regaining some much-needed respect after disappearing for three years under Charlie Strong. The problem for Herman here is that today’s role is not one of his best: he’s just 2-6 ATS in his eight tries as a conference home favorite. UT is also just 3-11 ATS in the game before locking horns with the Sooners, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS the last fi ve. Enter Grandpa Snyder and his Wildcats, who bounced back from an ugly road loss to Vandy by throttling Baylor, 33-20. Our database informs us that KSU’s Snyder owns a 37-18 SU and 35-18-2 ATS record in Big 12 games since 2011, including 21-8 ATS when taking points. He’s also brought home the series bacon in the last ten get-togethers, going 8-2 ATS. In a chess match between two of college football’s best coaches, it looks like we’ll be Wildcattin’ this evening in Austin.

Alabama over TEXAS A&M by 14After leading the hot seat brigade for most of the season, A&M head coach Kevin Sumln has cooled things off a bit with a recent 4-game win skein. What we fi nd interesting here is the fact that the line on this game at the South Point in their preseason ’Game of the Year’ sendout had the Tide installed as -10.5 point chalk – that’s a 15-point advancement against an Aggies squad that sits at 4-1 on the season. And here’s a stat we’ll bet you didn’t know: the Aggies lead the nation for most yards in tackles for a loss. Will it pan out against what clearly looks to be an unstoppable force in the Tide? Bama’s lofty 8-1 ATS record versus .750 or greater conference foes and a 16-3-1 ATS success as a road favorite of 16 or more points suggest the Aggies will eventually wear down. Impressive numbers, to say the least, but none of them were put up with the presence of the SMART BOX lurking in the background! Let’s face it… every year Alabama plays at least one ‘scare game’ where the heavily-favored Tide ekes out a close win. We think this is it. Remember, A&M has performed well in the role of double-digit home dog, cashing in four of its last fi ve tries. Finally, coach Sumlin has been a dog of 20-plus points just ONCE in his career when he took 23.5 at Auburn in 2015. By the way, A&M won the whole game, 41-38. Just sayin’…

Fresno St over SAN JOSE ST by 10A few weeks ago we told San Jose State’s football team that they’d have to do better if they wanted us to use the accent mark over the ‘E’ in Jose. The Spartans responded by getting blown out by Utah State (61-10) and UNLV (41-13), so the ‘E’ stays clean this week. However, if you put tape over the names of these teams, you’ll fi nd one (Fresno State) that is 1-13 SU in its last 14 away games – now laying more than two touchdowns, no less! Yes, Bulldogs head coach Jeff Tedford has done a nice job heading this program back in the right direction, but we must point out that Fresno’s two wins this season have come against Incarnate Word (there they are again) and 0-5 Nevada. Not surprisingly, the Spartans lead the nation with the most fumbles lost this season (11), and are a viable candidate for WORST FBS team in the land. However, the host in this series currently stands 4-0 ATS and San Jose State is making an appearance as a Homecoming dog, usually a profi table role. Still, we’re not getting anywhere near this train wreck. Neither should you.

NEVADA over Hawaii by 1What’s going on with the Mountain West this season? It seems the conference’s lower-echelon teams are as weak as we’ve seen in recent memory. Hawaii as road chalk over Nevada? Hey, we don’t care that the Wolf Pack has gone winless so far: the Warriors haven’t won outright at Reno since 2007, losing by an average of 14 PPG in their four trips to Mackay Stadium since then. Perhaps even worse, UH is 1-7 ATS against .333 or less opposition, and is also 5-29 SU in its last 34 away games. Yuck.


We’ll admit that the silver wolves are struggling under 1st-year head coach Jay Norvell, currently tied with lowly San Jose State for the fewest Time of Possession minutes so far this season. But the Wolf Pack does get some timely help from the well-olied machine, as it notes that 0-5 conference home dogs are 40-24-1 ATS in Game Six of the season since 1982, including 14-4-1 ATS when hosting a losing foe. That’s enough for us to buck a Hawaii squad making its fourth trip to the mainland in their fi rst six games. You know the drill – hold your nose and take the pointsl

PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, October 5

New England over TAMPA BAY by 8It’s not in our wheelhouse to play road favorites with rotten defenses. But it’s also not in our playbook to fade Patriots QB Tom Brady in games after he lost SU as a favorite the previous game. That’s because he is 16-3 SUATS away in his NFL career in this role. In addition, Brady is also 9-1 SU in his NFL career on Thursdays, including 3-0 SUATS away. Couple that with Tampa’s 0-4 ATS record all-time at home on Thursdays and you’ll be walking on a minefi eld should you hunker down with the sputtering Bucs tonight. That being the case, look for the Pirates to fall to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in head-to-head battles with AFC East foes, while the Pats improve to 6-1 ATS away on Thursdays here tonight.

5� BEST BET

Seminoles went into a real snake pit last weekend in Winston-Salem and somehow emerged with their fi rst win of a season that could not have started in a more bizarre fashion (3-week gap between fi rst two contests thanks to hurricane cancellations). Second-year Miami head coach Mark Richt has his Canes off to a 3-0 start and a No. 8 ranking in the Top 25. However, history does not bode well for them today as they’re 0-3 SUATS when playing with a perfect record and with revenge in this series. Depending on where/when you shop, we either pushed or were half-ticked in our 5* call with the Seminoles on these pages last week, and we’re coming right back with them again here. Florida State boss Jimbo Fisher is an intimidating 43-7 SU at home and he’s gone 14-3 SU the last 17 games versus undefeated foes, including 7-1 ATS at home and 8-0 ATS in games where Jimbo’s boys are allowng 16 or less PPG on the season. Simply put, it’s hard not backing a quality home dog that has dominated its opponent in head-to-head games in the series, winning SEVEN in a row on the scoreboard. With solid numbers like those (both SU and ATS), we’ll take the better coach and a desperate group of Seminoles trying to avoid an unthinkable 1-3 start. THE CLINCHER: Florida State is 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games as an underdog in this series.

FLORIDA ST over Miami Fla by 11

Sunday, October 8

L.A. Chargers over NY GIANTS by 3We’d be lying to you if we said things are about to get better for the woeful Giants. After three successive losing seasons, and then fi nally crashing the NFL playoff party last season, they are destined to return to their old ways this year following a pathetic 0-4 start. Considering the plight of 0-4 teams in Game Five (5-18 SU and 7-16 ATS since 2009), the good news for not-so-Big Blue is that the Chargers have yet to taste victory this season as well. And with this being a 1:00 PM ET kick-off, there are no excuses should the Giants not handle their sleepy west coast visitors today. The problem is – and there are many of them for NYG – the Giants are 3-14 ATS as favorites following an away game versus non-division opponents coming off a home game. In addition, QB Eli Manning is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in his last six games versus AFC West opponents. On the fl ip side, Eli’s counterpart, Philip Rivers, is 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in his career versus NFC East opponents. And not to mention the Chargers are 9-1 SUATS away following consecutive home games. Early start aside, the bottom line is in his 182nd consecutive NFL start, Rivers owns the superior numbers. And numbers don’t lie. FYI: there have been only three matchups of 0-4 teams in Game Five since 1980 (the last was in 2003 between Jacksonville and San Diego). The dog went 2-1 ATS in those meetings.

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Sometimes there’s nothing better for an ailing team than a trip to the Dawg Pound. It’s there where confi dence is renewed and sputtering teams often get back on track. After opening the season with three straight losses, the Bengals found their groove on the North coast last week and are now prepared to crash the ‘party-of-three’ as only 3 NFL teams have made it to the playoffs following 0-3 starts. The upstart Bills – with a coaching staff that features 10 coaches with Super Bowl experience – fi gures to oblige, too, as they’re 0-12 SU and 2-8-2 ATS in non-division games before a bye week. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is 17-2 ATS following an away game when facing a .500 or greater non-division opponent coming off an away game. THE CLINCHER: Bengals QB Andy Dalton is 12-2 ATS against opponents coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-0 ATS the last eight, and 9-0 ATS the last nine versus non-division foes.

CINCINNATI over Buffalo by 14

NY Jets over CLEVELAND by 3The Brown nosers still lead the chase for Sam Darnold (or Josh Rosen) in this year’s NFL quarterback sweepstakes with the early odds-on favorite, the Jets, falling back into mid-pack with a pair of wins to start the season. And if we’re correct in our assumption, Cleveland will still reside in the pole position at the end of the day. Remember, everything they did in last year’s draft was about this year’s draft, even so far as trading down and passing on what should have been their star QB of the future (Deshaun Watson). Just keep stockpiling the picks, Cleveland, and one day you’ll become the Philadelphia 76ers of the NFL. The Browns dress up as favorites again today for the second time in the Hue Jackson era (see debacle at Indianapolis two weeks ago) looking to shake a 1-10 ATS record at home following a home game, and a paltry 0-4 SUATS mark the last four games in this series. The Jets are 12-2 ATS as road dogs before facing New England and have rushed for 100 or more yards in 7 of their last 8 games. That’s important given the fact that Cleveland is 0-21 SU and 3-17-1 ATS in their last 21 games in which they have surrendered 100 or more rush yards. Remember, the Browns are 2-28 SU and 7-22-1 ATS the last 30 games, including 1-19 SU and 5-15 ATS under HC Jackson. They lost 31-28 here to the Jets as 2.5-point dogs last year. They can do the same today.

PITTSBURGH over Jacksonville by 10A tough call here with QB Ben Roethlisberger holding the trump card over QB Blake Bortles. However, the Jaguars are 5-1 ATS away against opponents coming off an away game, while Bortles is 4-1-2 ATS in his career versus AFC North division foes. The Steelers counter at 5-0 ATS in the fi rst of consecutive non-division games, and 11-2 ATS at home between away games when facing an avenging opponent. The stat of the day, though is that Jacksonville is 1-43 SU in games when they allowed 125 or more rush yards, and with RB LeVeon Bell looking like he’s fi nally in game shape, that likely spells the end of any upset thoughts the Jags were entertaining. That, and the fact that Big Ben is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in his last six games versus AFC South opponents. Steelers, or bust.

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Call this the Chubby Checker special this week – our ‘how low can you go’ ditty. After getting their asses kicked in front of the Queen last week, the road weary Dolphins fi nally return to Miami to host their home opener with more mud on their face than the Kardashians at a press conference. Yes, we’re aware of the fact [we’re the ones reporting it, for god’s sake] that NFL teams are 0-5 SU in their home opener in Game 4 of the season since 1989. But we also know that dogs in home-opening games off a shutout loss are 3-1 ATS since 2000. Better yet, Miami is 25-12 SU in home openers, and also 8-1 ATS in NFC sandwich games. Meanwhile, the Titans are 3-12-1 ATS before facing the Indianapolis Colts, 1-5 SUATS in their last six games against AFC East opponents, and 2-8-1 ATS away following the Houston Texans. The bottom line, though, is there is no better elixir in the NFL than red-faced humiliation. And the red Fish are frying. THE CLINCHER: NFL non-division dogs off a shutout loss are 34-10 ATS against .500 or less opponents since 1980, including 8-0 ATS versus foes off a SU favorite loss.

MIAMI over Tennessee by 10


Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

VegasINSIDER.com

INDIANAPOLIS over San Francisco by 4Whoever coined the phrase good teams fi nd ways to win while bad teams fi nd ways to lose defi nitely invented ‘live’ betting! Was there any doubt that the Niners would somehow fi nd a way to let the Cardinals drive 75 yards for a game-winning touchdown with just over two minutes left in overtime after keeping the Redbirds out of the end zone for the fi rst 67 minutes? Or that the Colts would go sleepless in Seattle for the entire second half? Not really. Yet somehow for teams that should be playing on Wednesday (when the Sun Belt shines) instead of Sunday, they arrive with some surprisingly good numbers. The winless 49ers are 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS away in the middle of a three-game road trip while their quarterback, Brian Hoyer, is 12-3-1 ATS following a SU loss, including 9-1-1 ATS against losing opposition. As for the 1-3 Colts, HC Chuck Pagano is 25-8 SUATS off a SU loss, including 16-6 SU and 18-4 ATS against non-division foes and 13-5 ATS at home. It’s probably best to steer clear of this mess but if you want to get involved we should probably point out that 0-4 NFL teams are 35-74 SU since 1980, including 4-18 SU since 2009. In addition, San Francisco has been no treat on the road, logging a 2-16 SU record the last 2-plus seasons. Thus, it’s lay it or leave it in what could very well be another Frisco fi asco.

Arizona over PHILADELPHIA by 3After beating the Giants on a last-second 61-yard FG at home two weeks ago and holding off the Chargers in front of 11 fans – the rest were Eagle fanatics – last Sunday on the West Coast, it would come as no surprise to see the Eagles relax a bit and get off to a rare slow start (they have outscored their fi rst four opponents 20-3 in the opening quarter this season) in front of the home faithful. As it is, they’re just 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC West opposition. In addition, Eagles HC Doug Pederson is 0-3 ATS at home against foes arriving off an ATS loss. HC Bruce Arians, meanwhile, does some of his best work against opponents coming off a SUATS win, posting a 19-6 SUATS log. That leads us to believe that even if the Boo Birds aren’t out early, they’ll certainly be around late. Too many points to pass up in game we can see the birds winning outright. The Cardinals, not the Eagles, land the win and cover.

Carolina over DETROIT by 1Surprised to see Carolina on the winning side of this prediction after knocking off the Pats last week in Foxborough? While a letdown is normally in order after knocking off the defending Super Bowl champs, the last fi ve teams who have pulled the upset are 5-0 ATS the following game. That doesn’t bode well for a Detroit team that is 0-7 ATS at home off an away game against non-division opponents also arriving off an away game (where else but Playbook can you fi nd that kind of info!). In addition, our NFL Quarterback League reminds us that Matthew Stafford is just 5-10 ATS against NFC South opposition. A short work week ahead (the Panthers host the Eagles on Thursday night) is a concern but sitting tied atop the NFC South after just having defeated the Brady Bunch tells us nothing could be fi ner than to be Carolina these days. A win today gives them clear possession of fi rst place, too, with the Falcons on a bye week. And while you’re still divulging all the numbers we’ve shared with you in this surprise call, swallow this one, too: Cam Newton is a mind-blowing 39-1 SU in his NFL career in games when he rushes 8 times or more. An easy take, as Cam’s Cats improve to 6-1 ATS away in Game Five of the season.

5� BEST BET

If history has a say in this game – and it usually does – it could be argued that the wrong team is favored today. The surprising Rams, who haven’t been to playoff game since 2005, adorn themselves with favorite’s clothing for the 4th time this young season, on the heels of last week’s upset win at Dallas knowing they are 1-5 ATS at home between away games, and 1-5 ATS in division games following consecutive away games. Enter the postseason-tested Seahawks, a playoff squad each of the last fi ve seasons, who are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in games before their bye week the last fi ve seasons, as well as 16-7 SUATS following an AFC opponent, including 5-0 ATS as a dog. Yes, the success of the Rams has been pleasant, but an 11-30-2 ATS mark since 2012 by 1st-year coaches that fi nd themselves favored in games following a SU underdog win has not. And fi nally to rest our case, we turn to THE CLNCHER: See this week’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.

Seattle over L.A. RAMS by 13

Baltimore over OAKLAND By 6Oh my how the Raiders have gone from NFL fans’ penthouse to the outhouse in one short season. It’s what happens when a rabid fan base grows tired of losing. And it’s happened in a blink, too, as last year’s 12-win Oakland squad won it fi rst two games of the 2017 season before dropping a pair of SUATS losses the past two weeks. And just like that, like a franchise headed to Las Vegas, they’re outta here. Making matters worse, with starting QB Derek Carr out 2-6 weeks with a back fracture, the Raiders turn the keys over to E.J. Manuel – and that’s never been a good thing. From our NFL QB database: Manuel is 6-11 SU and 7-10 ATS in the NFL, including 0-5 SUATS the last fi ve, and 1-7 SUATS against foes off a loss (0-7 SUATS the last seven). That’s not good. Not when Oakland is 2-13 ATS in games before facing the Chargers. And not when Baltimore QB Joe Flacco is 13-5 ATS as a dog against opponents coming off a loss. While both teams have problems, the Ravens have a former Pro Bowl quarterback… and they’re the underdogs.

DALLAS over Green Bay by 1To set the table here, the most important ingredient being served up today is the fact that the Packers eliminated the Cowboys from the playoffs last season. And for a team off a home loss currently sitting at 2-2 on the season – one that lost only 3 regular games last season – this becomes a huge revenge chip. However, the fact that Dallas is just 9-17 SU and 5-21 ATS at home following a home loss, while head coach Jason Garrett is 4-16 ATS as a home favorite against opponents coming off a win, including 0-6 ATS versus .727 or greater foes, gives cause for concern. It’s never easy laying points into an Aaron Rodgers team, even as banged up as they are at the moment. Granted, the Pack is just 2-8 ATS the last ten games as a visitor in this series, but too many negative numbers abound in the Cowboy camp to suggest we ride the revenge train here today.

HOUSTON over Kansas City by 3 By the grace of a botched last play of the game lateral-gone-bad, the Chiefs are 4-0 SUATS to start the 2017 season. And while these 4-0 SUATS starters are 25-12 SU in Game Fives of the season, they are just 16-17-4 ATS, meaning a cool-down is generally right around the corner. To help maintain that notion, KC is 1-7 ATS in non-division games following a non-division Monday night game. It should also be noted, however, that the Featherheads are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS as favorites of late in Sunday night games. Houston enters tonight’s scrape knowing they are 2-7 SU and 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine Sunday night appearances. The good news for Texans backers is the fact that NFL home teams are 8-3 SUATS after scoring 50+ points at home the previous game. Coupled with the fact that Sunday night teams are just 1-8-1 SUATS in their last ten performances on the heels of a Monday night contest, look for that cool-down to start tonight.

Monday, October 9

CHICAGO over Minnesota by 3They are falling like trees in Minnesota these days with star rookie RB Dalvin Cook’s season now history following an ACL knee injury. With starting QB Sam Bradford (knee) still on the unknown list, the likelihood is that QB Case Keenum will be behind center once again this week. Given Keenum’s crummy 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS career mark in division games – including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS against sub .333 foes – it sounds an ominous note for the Vikes. And speaking of QBs, Chicago will give high profi le Mitchell Tribusky his fi rst start tonight. It doesn’t hurt knowing that the Bears are 10-2 SUATS at home following a loss to the Packers by more than 10 points. They are also 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS the last fourteen games at home in this series, including 9-0 SUATS following a SU loss of 4 or more points. On the other side of the coin, Minny is 1-6 ATS against division opponents on Monday nights, including 0-4 SUATS the last four, and also 0-9 ATS on Monday nights following a SUATS loss. If it looks like the Vikings can’t see the forest for the trees, it’s because they can’t. Timber.


GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 7 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K F I V E

New EnglandTAMPA BAYLa ChargersNY GIANTS

BuffaloCINCINNATI

NY JetsCLEVELANDJacksonville

PITTSBURGHTennessee

MIAMISan Francisco

INDIANAPOLISArizona

PHILADELPHIA

10-1 O/U as non-conf RF’s < 8 pts... 6-1 O/U favs < 10 off SU home loss... 3-1 O/U Thur RG... 7-3 O/U bef NYJ... 4-2 O/U Gm 5 7-0 O/U Thursdays (+12.3 ppg)... 3-0 O/U off SU win / ATS loss... 10-3 O/U L13 non-conf HG... 5-2 O/U Gm 4

7-1 O/U vs NFC East... 3-1 O/U off 3 straight HG... but 0-4 O/U aft Phil... 1-6 O/U bef Oak... 1-3 O/U Gm 54-1 O/U L5 vs LAC (50.8)... 4-1 O/U as non-conf HF’s... 7-3 O/U Gm 5... 6-2 o/U Bef Den... but 1-4-1 O/U aft TBay

7-0 O/U bef Bye... 7-1 O/U L8 vs Cin (53.1)... 6-1 O/U w/ line < 40 pts... 8-3 O/U Gm 5... but 1-6 O/U dogs off road dog win 6-2 O/U bef Bye... 6-2-1 O/U vs AFC East... but 1-4 O/U w/ line < 40 pts... 3-9 O/U aft score 31+ pts... 3-6 O/U aft Clev

5-1 O/U w/ line < 40 pts... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Cle (45.7)... but 1-6 O/U off home ‘OVER’... 1-4 O/U bef div HG... 3-6 O/U aft Jac4-1 O/U vs AFC East... but 0-5 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 2-6 O/U off div HG... 2-6 O/U bef Hou... 3-8 O/U aft Cin

12-2 O/U non-div RD’s 7 > pts... 5-2 O/U Gm 5... but 0-7 O/U aft NYJ.. 3-9 O/U vs AFC North... 1-3 O/U in 2nd of BB RG4-1 O/U vs AFC South... 16-6 O/U aft Balt... but 0-4 O/U Gm 5... 0-4 O/U as non-div HF’s 6 > pts... 1-6 O/U aft allow < 10 pts

9-0 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 4-0 O/U bef Ind... 4-0 O/U Gm 5... 11-2 O/U bef Mon gm... but 1-6 O/U aft allow 35 > pts6-0 O/U home off SU loss 20 > pts... 7-1 O/U home LY (50.2)... 4-1 O/U L5 vs Ten (46.4)... 4-1-1 O/U bef non-conf RG

4-1 O/U as non-conf RD’s... 8-2 O/U L10 non-div RG... 7-2 O/U Gm 5... but 0-5 O/U 2nd of 3 straight RG... 0-3 O/U vs Ind (32.3)5-1 O/U Gm 5... 5-1 O/U vs NFC West... 7-2 O/U as non-conf HF’s... but 0-3 O/U bef Mon gm... 1-4 O/U 2nd of BB non-conf gms

3-0 O/U Gm 5... 11-1 O/U L12 road gms... 4-1 O/U non-div dogs 5 > pts... 9-3 O/U aft SF... but 1-4 O/U L5 vs Phil (43.4)4-0 O/U Gm 5... 4-0 O/U bef Thur gm... but 0-4 O/U off road dog win... 1-4 O/U aft LAC... 2-6 O/U vs NFC West

The fi rst EIGHT games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. *This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Patriots @ Buccaneers ’OVER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants (5 others with 3 pts not shown) from the 2017 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

La-Nyg UNDER 44.5

PANTHERS (+3)

Nebraska (+11.5)

NY JETS (+2)

LIONS (-3)

Florida State (+3)

Sea-La OVER 46

Sea-La OVER 46

Texas A&M (+26.5)

Texas A&M (+26.5)

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

4-3-1 / 3-1 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

7-1 / 3-1 / 10 pts

4-4 / 3-1 / 7 pts

4-4 / 3-1 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

4-4 / 3-1 / 7 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 31st year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Andy Iskoethelogicalapproach.com

Billy [email protected]

Billy The Kidplaybook.com

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Cincinnati Kidplaybook.com

Dwayne Bryantdbpicks.com

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

JH-Sportslinejhsportsline.com

Joe Lisigoforthe2.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

COWBOYS (-2)

TEXANS (+1.5)

NY GIANTS (-3.5)

Wash State (+2.5)

Tulsa (+3.5)

BROWNS (-2)

Nebraska (+11.5)

LA RAMS (-2)

Ole Miss (+21)

CHARGERS (+3.5)

6-2 / 3-1 / 9 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

7-1 / 3-1 / 10 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-2-1 / 2-2 / 7 pts

6-2 / 3-1 / 9 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 8 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

Mike Muzykaplaybook.com

Mr. [email protected]

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Rob [email protected]

Special K Sportsspecialksports.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

TD Tonyashnetwork.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252

Vegas [email protected]


3’HAWAII10:30 PM NEVADA CBSSN

MIAMI FLORIDA3:30 PM FLORIDA ST ESPN

413 414

417 418

1

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 8

MONDAY, OCTOBER 9

MINNESOTA 8:30 PM CHICAGO ESPN

475 476 PK 3

LA CHARGERS1:00 PM NY GIANTS

BUFFALO1:00 PM CINCINNATI

NY JETS1:00 PM CLEVELAND

JACKSONVILLE1:00 PM PITTSBURGH

TENNESSEE1:00 PM MIAMI

SAN FRANCISCO1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS

ARIZONA1:00 PMPHILADELPHIA

CAROLINA1:00 PMDETROIT

SEATTLE4:05 PM LA RAMS

BALTIMORE4:05 PM OAKLAND

GREEN BAY4:25 PM DALLAS

KANSAS CITY 8:30 PM HOUSTON NBC

451 452

453 454

455 456

457 458

459 460

461 462

463 464

465 466

467 468

469 470

471 472

473 474

2’

1’

3

PK

6

2’

10

4

3

1

13

6

1

1

14

ILLINOIS12:00 PM IOWA

NOTRE DAME3:30 PM TIME CHANGE N CAROLINA ABC

W MICHIGAN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BUFFALO

E MICHIGAN12:00 PM TOLEDO CBSSN

C MICHIGAN 2:00 PM TIME CHANGE OHIO U BALL ST3:30 PM TIME CHANGE AKRON BOWLING GREEN 2:30 PM TIME CHANGE MIAMI OHIO

MARSHALL 6:00 PM TIME CHANGE CHARLOTTE

CENTRAL FLORIDA8:00 PM TIME CHANGE CINCINNATI ESPNU GEORGIA ST 6:30 PM TIME CHANGE COASTAL CAROLINA

PENN ST 12:00 PM N’WESTERN ABC

311 312

313 314

315 316

317 318

319 320

321 322

323 324

325 326

327 328

329 330

331 332

2’

1

8

14 3

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 7

10’

MEMPHIS ESPN7:00 PM CONNECTICUT

BOISE ST 10:15 PM BYU ESPN

307 308

309 310

9 4

16

NEW ENGLAND8:25 PM TAMPA BAY CBS

LOUISVILLE 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE NC STATE ESPN

303 304

305 306

7’

6

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 5

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 6

2017 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 4-9

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 9, 2017 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

NORTHWESTERN LSU FLORIDA STATE

DOLPHINS BENGALS SEAHAWKS

BYU“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any portion of this information,

in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening

lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 4

OL PB333 334

335 336

337 338

339 340

341 342

343 344

345 346

347 348

349 350

351 352

353 354

355 356

357 358

359 360

361 362

363 364

365 366

367 368

369 370

371 372

OL PBTEXAS TECH 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE KANSAS

CALIFORNIA ESPN 10:45 PM TIME CHANGE WASHINGTON

WASHINGTON ST8:00 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON

FLORIDA INT’L3:00 PM TIME CHANGE MIDDLE TENN

OREGON ST4:00 PM TIME CHANGE USC PAC12 UL-MONROE3:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS ST

GEORGIA12:00 PM TIME CHANGE VANDERBILT ESPN

WEST VIRGINIA3:30 PM TCU

LOUISIANA TECH4:00 PM TIME CHANGE UAB

KENT ST3:30 PM TIME CHANGE NO ILLINOIS

FLA ATLANTIC6:00 PM OLD DOMINION

LSU 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA CBS

IOWA ST12:00 PM TIME CHANGE OKLAHOMA

SMU7:00 PM HOUSTON CBSSN

MISSOURI7:30 PM KENTUCKY SEC

WISCONSIN8:00 PM NEBRASKA

MISSISSIPPI12:00 PM TIME CHANGE AUBURN SEC KANSAS ST7:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS

ALABAMA7:15 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS A&M ESPN

FRESNO ST 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE SAN JOSE ST

373 374

375 376

377 378

379 380

381 382

383 384

385 386

387 388

389 390

391 392

393 394

395 396

397 398

399 400

401 402

403 404

405 406

407 408

409 410

411 412

OL PB OL PB4’

2’

3’

17

10

30

21’

1’

12

9

18’

4’

17

27

1

8’

34

6’

14

12

12

TEMPLE12:00 PM E CAROLINA ESPNU

DUKE12:20 PM TIME CHANGE VIRGINIA ACC

PITTSBURGH 12:30 PM TIME CHANGE SYRACUSE ACC

VIRGINIA TECH7:15 PM TIME CHANGEBOST COLL ESPN2

NEW MEXICO ST3:30 PM TIME CHANGE APPALACHIAN ST

MARYLAND4:00 PM TIME CHANGE OHIO ST

WAKE FOREST 12:00 PM CLEMSON ESPN2

MINNESOTA 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE PURDUE ESPN2

MICHIGAN ST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE MICHIGAN ABC SOUTHERN MISS7:00 PM TIME CHANGEUTSA

W KENTUCKY8:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTEP

STANFORD10:15 PM TIME CHANGEUTAH

UL-LAFAYETTE 5:00 PM TIME CHANGE IDAHO COLORADO ST 4:30 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH ST

TULSA4:00 PM TIME CHANGETULANE ESPNU

ARMY6:30 PM TIME CHANGE RICE

SAN DIEGO ST 10:45 PM TIME CHANGE UNLV ESPN2 AIR FORCE3:30 PM NAVY CBSSN ARKANSAS 4:00 PM TIME CHANGES CAROLINA SEC

ARIZONA 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE COLORADO

ARKANSAS ST ESPN2 8:00 PM GA SOUTHERN

301 302

6 10

3

7

3

20

7

27

14

8

4

1

16

3’

7

3

3

11

1

6

13

21

6

11

28

7

10

18

23

4’

26’

8

24

7

27

1’

4

12

10

8

3

14

13’

17

6

8’ 11

10

2

13

3

20 24

5’

1

25’ 14

6’ 1

14’ 10

18 20

16’ 13

14 10

3

1 14

3

1

3

4 8

1

6

15 11

13 8

8’ 10

NFL WEEK FIVE BYES: ATLANTA FALCONS, DENVER BRONCOS,

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS, WASHINGTON REDSKINS

�

�

�

�

�

�

�

14 13

10’ 3

PK 11

PK 3

marc’s perfect system play of the year goes saturday ... · reign o’er me a weekly insight into...

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