october 11-16, 2017 marc’s perfect system p.o.y. - lsu - w ... · pdf filepost 3-0...

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Volume 32, Issue 8 October 11-16, 2017

NFL BEST BETSPOST 3-0 SWEEP!

Marc’s Perfect System P.O.Y. - LSU - WINNER!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

100% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!

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Current 2017 Associated Press Poll Top 25:1 ALABAMA2 CLEMSON3 PENN STATE4 GEORGIA5 WASHINGTON6 TCU7 WISCONSIN

8 WASH STATE9 OHIO STATE10 AUBURN11 MIAMI FLA12 OKLAHOMA13 USC14 OKLA STATE

15 VIRGINIA TECH16 NOTRE DAME17 MICHIGAN18 SOUTH FLORIDA19 SAN DIEGO ST20 NC STATE21 MICHIGAN STATE

22 UCF23 STANFORD24 TEXAS TECH25 NAVY

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

PLAY ON any college football conference home dog

with rest and revenge if they won SU in their last game.

“ Every Saturday night, you know what it’s like,

All revved up with no place to go.”

He was a varsity tackle and a hell of a block. And when he played guitar, he made the

canyon rock. But without a game or a scheduled foe, he’s simply all revved up… with no place to go.

Much like music from the past that today is digitally re-mastered, my new age sports database allows me the luxury to remix results from the past, too.

Take, for instance, our ALL REVVED UP theory form the late ‘80’s. It pertained to college football underdogs that were hitting on all cylinders, all focused and set to keep on rolling, when suddenly the

schedule-maker steps in and orders up a week off. Talk about bad timing.

Or is it? What we found was that if our teams were playing at home as underdogs with rest and revenge following a win, we could count on the momentum to continue.

That’s verifi ed by an outstanding W-L record of 136-95-5, or 58.8% ATS, in all games since 1980.

Better yet, stamp this game important (read: versus a conference foe) and watch what happens when we…

Talk about getting the blood fl owing. Here we are, you and me, standing

atop the handicapping world with another technical angle, looking to draw fi rst blood from your bookmaker. That’s because we’re going out on a date with a good-looking 109-66-5 ATS proposition.

Better yet, bring a sub .667 home dog into the fray and we ratchet our record up to 65-31-4 ATS, including 19-3-2 ATS in games in which our revved up home dog is off consecutive wins. That’s real good news this week for North Texas.

So in closing, it all goes to prove that when you’re hitting on all cylinders, an extra week of rest won’t hurt. Because, if you’re ALL REVVED UP, you’ll have a place to go – right into the winner’s circle!

ALL REVVED UPA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

ATS W-L Record Since 1988:

11-0(100%)

FAT CAT DOGS

PLAY ON any 5-0 dog in Game Six of the season if they are facing a foe

that scored 50 or more points in its last game.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Play ON: NAVY MIDSHIPMEN (10/14)

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach shines as a home dog off a loss, going 17-4 ATS in his career, including 8-0 ATS when

off an ATS loss. Who is this week’s pedigree pup?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 6

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Thursday, October 12Ga Tech 1-5-1 Game Five… 1-4 Weekdays… 1-3 bef Wake ForestMIAMI FLA SERIES: 7-1 L8 / 4-0 home… 3-1 home off BB RG

Friday, October 13Wash St SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 4-1 away… 3-0 aft Oregon… 1-5 WeekdaysCALIFORNIA 1-4 as conf HD’s 7 > pts… 2-7 aft Wash… 3-10 Weekdays

Saturday, October 14Tcu 0-8 L8 as DD RF’s… 1-4 bef Mia Fla… 2-5 2nd of BB RG’sKANSAS ST SERIES: 3-1 L4… 6-1 Game Seven… 4-1 HD’s 13 > pts

Utah 4-0 away vs conf revenge… 1-7 1st of BB RG’s USC SERIES: 3-0 L3 home… 6-1 bef VT… 6-2 conf HF’s 7 < pts

Oklahoma 8-2 conf RD’s 15 > pts… 3-1 1st of BB RG’s… 0-3 Game Six Texas SERIES: 4-2 L6… 5-1 aft score 45 > pts… 5-2 Game Seven

Ohio St SERIES: 3-0 away… 5-0 as DD conf dogs… 9-2 w/ conf revNEBRASKA 5-1 vs conf rev LY… 1-5 bef Tex Tech… 2-5 off SU Texas win

Arkansas 4-0 aft Illinois… 3-1 conf RF’s 7 > pts… 1-3 away w/ restALABAMA 1-7 Game Six… 1-4 dogs vs rested opp… 2-5 aft Ohio St

Auburn 6-2 conf RF /RD 3 < pts… 1-9 w/ rest… 1-4 bef TCULSU SERIES: 4-0 L4… 6-1 vs rested conf opp… 3-1 Game Six

Oregon SERIES: Visitor 5-0… 4-0 Game Six… 4-0 away w/ conf revSTANFORD 6-1 Game Seven… 7-3 vs opp who scored 40 > pts

Washington SERIES: 6-1 L7 away… 7-1 aft Arkansas… 1-5 RF’s > 7 ptsARIZONA ST 0-5 home off BB RG’s… 3-9-1 HD’s 6 > pts

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

Thursday, October 12Philadelphia 0-4 Thursday vs non-div… 1-6 H btwn 2 away w/ rev CAROLINA 7-1 off BB away… 1-7 Home Three vs foe w/ rev

Sunday, October 15Cleveland 0-4 off BB home… 2-9 off home vs non-div foe off home HOUSTON Ser: 5-0 bef rest vs < .500 foe… 6-1 vs foe w/ triple rev

New England 0-6 NFC sandwich… 1-5 off away vs div foe off away w/ rev NY JETS Ser: 5-0 L5H… 6-1 Game Six off non-div w/ rev vs div foe

Miami 4-1 Away Three vs .500 > foe… 0-13 A btwn 2 homeATLANTA Ser: 7-1-1 L9… 4-1 w/ rest… 1-6 off SU loss 2nd BB AFC

Detroit 7-1 Game Six away… 1-7 .500 > bef rest vs non-div foe NEW ORLEANS Ser: 5-2 L7… 7-0 off AFC… 4-0 H w/ rest

Green Bay 5-0 Game Six away… 1-4 .500 > 2nd BB away off non-div MINNESOTA 4-1 w/ rev aft Chicago… 12-2 H 2nd BB div w/ rev

Chicago 7-1 A aft Minnesota… 5-1 A vs AFC foe w/ rev BALTIMORE 0-5 vs NFC… 1-5 off away vs non-div off home

San Francisco 0-9 off AFC… 2-12 off non-div vs foe w/ rest WASHINGTON 5-1 off away < .500 foe off away… 1-11 off non-div MNF

LA Rams 1-14 .500 > vs non-div foe w/ rev… 1-5 A aft SeattleJACKSONVILLE 0-8 2nd BB home w/ rev… 1-8 H off non-div vs NFC

Tampa Bay 6-1 A aft score 14 < pts… 13-2 1st BB away vs non-div ARIZONA Ser: 3-1 L4H… 5-1 vs .500 > non-div foe off Thursday

Pittsburgh 8-1 off home vs .500 > off away… 0-4 Away Four KANSAS CITY Ser: 3-1 L4… 11-1 HF’s off rev vs .500 > foe off non-rev

LA Chargers 5-0 w/ quardruple rev vs div… 1-7 < .500 off BB NFCOAKLAND 1-7 vs foe w/ quadruple rev… 5-24 H vs < .500 div

NY Giants 9-0 < .500 2nd BB AFC… 0-4 A vs foe w/ rest DENVER Ser: 4-0 L4… 11-1 H w/ rest vs non-div

Monday, October 16Indianapolis 5-1 A MNF… 1-7 dogs 1st BB div vs foe w/ revTENNESSEE Ser: 1-9-1 L11 / 1-4 L5H… 5-0 MNF… 1-6 Home Three

WEEK SIX BYES: BUFFALO BILLS, CINCINNATI BENGALS,

DALLAS COWBOYS, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS.

SMARTBOX

DEEP SIXWith the season approaching the midway point, let’s take one fi nal look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in Game Six situations.

Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 teams that start the season on a 3-game win skein, then proceed to lose their next two games. Win and the prospect of donning bowling shirts improves considerably. Lose and they can begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus, these become pivotal games.

These teams are at their best when playing with the added benefi t of an extra week of rest, as they’ve responded with aplomb in this role, going 12-3 ATS since 1980, including 8-1 ATS the last nine games. That’s puts Mississippi State in a favorable light when they host blundering BYU this Saturday.

On the fl ip side, though, teams that opened the season 0-2 who then win their next three games and suddenly think they’re headed to a bowl game are ‘fat-farm fodder’ in Game Six, going just 9-29-1 ATS overall in conference games against .500 or less opponents since 1980, including 1-11-1 ATS at home in these games. This week fi nds UL-Monroe in this ‘Deep Six’ situation.

So if you’re looking to put a Deep Six ‘Play On’ team (Mississippi State), and a Deep Six ‘Play Against’ team (UL-Monroe) on your ticket this Saturday, look no further than playing on the Bulldogs, and against the Warhawks this weekend. It’s a scenario that’s simply too good to pass up.

College football road favorites are 42-4 SU and 35-9-2 ATS against foes

off a loss in FBS games this season.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!


NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Tigers Take Care Of Business In Bayou Beatdown...Saints March Over, Under, Around and Thru Lions...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 11-16

Thursday, October 12Georgia Tech at MIAMI FLORIDA

GAME POSTPONED UNTIL OCTOBER 14

Wednesday, October 11

TROY over South Alabama by 21 For the second straight week, the NCAA gets things going in the Belt. And, once again, it looks like a hump day beating that won’t require whips and chains as the sadistic Trojans will take great pleasure in thrashing a South Alabama squad that won on this fi eld, 24-16, two years ago as 6-point dogs. The Troy Boys did make amends with last year’s non-cover 28-21 SU victory in Mobile, producing 585 yards of offense in the process, and this season’s leader in red-zone defense should snap a 2-game series ATS losing skein – as long as they can overcome a natural letdown after topping LSU 11 days ago in Baton Rouge. The extra time off should do the trick, as should facing an inexperienced Jags’ team that is 0-4 SU in FBS clashes this season, losing the stats battle by an average of 175 YPG in those contests. A 1-8 ATS log away off a conference setback also fi gures to do in the visitors who are in jeopardy of heading home for the holidays after hitting the alleys in two of the past three seasons. That puts us in a giving mood for this Week Seven lid-lifter.

UL-LAFAYETTE over Texas St by 17It also looks like it’s better to give than receive tonight in Lafayette as the visiting Bobcats hit Louisiana on a 13-game FBS losing streak, including 0-5 SU this season. Texas State has yet it to win a conference game (0-10 SU) under 2nd-year head coach Everett Withers, who couldn’t wither a sun shower these days, let alone a Ragin’ Cajuns’ club that has completely had the Bobcats’ number, posting a 4-0 SUATS all-time series mark. The problem this year in San Marcos has been a popgun offense that is averaging just 15 points and 307 yards per game…and one that simply can’t go toe-to-toe with a Cajuns’ attack that is tied with fi ve others for top red-zone honors in the land. Thus, that leaves us only one way to look in this Thursday night tune-up. Lay if it you play it.

Friday, October 13

Clemson over SYRACUSE by 17We realize it’s hard to fade a Clemson club these days but strange things have been known to happen on Friday the 13th. Now while we’re sure the Tigers won’t suffer from paraskevidekatriaphobia (fear of this day) as they have reeled off 12 straight victories away from ‘Death Valley’, we’re not anxious to lay three touchdowns on the road with a wobbly signal-caller (QB Kelly Bryant left the Wake Forest game with an ankle injury) into an offensive-minded coach in HC Dino Babers, whose teams have scored 20 or more points in 19 of his 21 home contests. In addition, the Orange are 7-1 ATS in Game Seven, 5-2 ATS as home dogs of 14 or more points and 6-3 ATS at home with conference revenge while the Tigers are 0-8 ATS as road chalk of more than 18 points and 2-5-1 ATS off a double-digit SU conference home win. Even more surprising than Clemmie’s negative ATS numbers is the fact that the striped ones’ aggressive stop-unit has recovered only one fumble the entire season. Yes, it’s scary but we’ll back the Orange and grab those generous points tonight at Camp Crystal Lake, err, the Carrier Dome.

Washington St over CALIFORNIA by 6 We’re not entirely confi dent that the Bears can pull the outright upset tonight as double-digit home dogs but we do know that Cal rookie head coach Justin Wilcox knows where his ‘spread’ gets buttered. How else can you explain Wilcox calling a timeout with one second remaining, trailing 38-7 (as a 29-point dog) and going for a game-covering fi eld goal? And though the bumbling Bears couldn’t convert, the Berkeley boosters should probably head back to the window as the noose typically begins to tighten

on 6-0 SU or greater teams on the road at this stage of the season. That doesn’t bode well for a Washington State group that is making a Top Ten appearance for the fi rst time since 2003 in a game that already has letdown written all over it (with a Colorado revenger waiting on deck). As it is, HC Mike Leach’s Cougs are also 1-5 ATS in weekday affairs, 1-5 ATS as conference road favorites of 6 or more points and 4-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Thus, we’ll grab the home doubles with a Bears’ defense that has improved 7 points and 80 yards per game under Wilcox in a game that should be a sack-fest with both teams having surrendered the second most sacks in the land (23). We suggest you do the same.

Saturday, October 14

WISCONSIN over Purdue by 13 Series history certainly favors the Badgers (11-0 SU, 10-1 ATS since 2004) but the 3-2 Boilermakers are playing too well to ignore as signifi cant double-digit dogs as they have taken to former HC Jeff Brohm’s offensive playbook. In fact, the Boilers already have more wins this year versus any of Darrell Hazell’s four ‘storied’ (by that we mean horror) seasons in West Lafayette. Our Playbook also gives the visitors their ‘Due, noting that the Boilermakers are 8-0 ATS as conference road dogs of 17 or more points and 4-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back road games. Meanwhile, the men from Madison are just 2-6 ATS in the fi rst of consecutive Big Ten home games. Yes, the Boilers have scored a total of 34 points in their last four trips to Camp Randall but our ‘Due’ diligence says Brohm’s boys will be playing a different tune during this visit.

Northwestern over MARYLAND by 7The Wildcats stalled in the red zone three times in the fi rst half of last week’s disappointing 31-7 loss to Penn State, coming away with zero points and turning what should have been a halftime lead into a 10-0 halftime defi cit. It was essentially game over at that point as the Nittany Lions found their roar in the third quarter. That’s not likely to be the case today in College Park as the Terps have allowed 165 points in four FBS tilts this season, including 62 last week at Columbus. And though we usually make our living on conference home dogs against less than .500 opposition, we can’t back a Maryland team that is 2-19 SU and 8-13 ATS in this role – especially in what amounts to a win situation – one that is 0-4 ATS after allowing 56 or more points in a game since 2011. Hence, we’ll join the Purple Gang as they even their record (with a very favorable Big Ten slate remaining) while improving to 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS as road chalk following a SU loss. Check out this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 for more fuel on this game.

Miami Ohio over KENT ST by 8 Our fi rst venture into the MAC takes us to Kent where we would have to believe that if this game were played during World War II, the Japanese would show it as a form of POW torture. After winning their conference opener at Central Michigan three weeks ago, it looked like the RedHawks would begin MAC play 3-0 SU for the fi rst time since 2010 as winless Bowling Green and equally pathetic Kent – a team that is 0-8 SU and 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight tries as home dogs – were next in line. However, a not-so-funny-thing happened on the way to the foray as the Hawks dropped a 37-29 decision as 17-point home chalk to the Falcons despite winning the stat battle, 612-505. We’re sure the Birds fell prey to the anti-Irish letdown at they visited South Bend the prior week but it’s still risky laying double-digits on the road with a team that surrendered 500 yards in each of its last two games. The good news for Chuck Martin’s men is that Kent owns the worst red zone offense in the nation and is being outyarded by


225 YPG against FBS opposition this season. Miami Ohio could very well improve to 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS in this matchup since 2010 but it’s not in our DNA to back double-digit road favorites that are wobbling at the moment. Pass.

Ohio U over BOWLING GREEN by 12 Like the RedHawks, the Bobcats also fell as double-digit home chalk on the fi rst Saturday in October when they were surprised by Central Michigan, 26-23, after allowing the Chips to hold onto the ball for the fi nal fi ve minutes of the game. And while our database suggests steering clear of HC Frank Solich’s dejected squad today in Bowling Green as they arrive with a 5-9 ATS mark following a SU favorite loss, our MIDWEEK ALERT points out the Bobbies are a positive +1.5 net YPR this season. Meanwhile the BeeGees check in at a negative 1.1 net YPR and rank second-worst in the land in fi rst-down defense. The ‘mission dog’ Falcons (one losing season that was preceded by three or more winning campaigns) would normally head our play list in today’s double-digit home dog Homecoming role but last week’s win over Miami Ohio – a game in which they were outstatted by over 100 yards – puts them on Ohio’s radar. And that puts us riding shotgun with Solich despite the fact that the hosts lead the nation in most fumbles recovered (11) this season (but then again that’s what happens when you rank 115th in time of possession). Lay it or leave it.

WESTERN MICHIGAN over Akron by 11 Don’t look now but the Zips are sitting alone atop the MAC East. With the strongest teams in the conference residing in the West – including today’s foe who is perched right at the peak – we realize it’s a battle of attrition to be the ‘beast’ in the East, and likely one Akron can’t win if they continue to get dusted by 150 YPG against FBS opposition this season. However, the Rubber-makers do catch the Broncos at the right time as WMU arrives off a seven-overtime thriller against Buffalo – only the fourth NCAA game to ever go that distance. Yes, HC Tim Lester’s troops showed gumption in the 71-68 record-breaking win in the highest-scoring FBS game ever played (broke the Pitt-Syracuse mark of 137 set last season) and are riding a 4-game win skein after getting toughened up at USC and Michigan State to start the season. However, we’re just not comfortable laying this many points off last week’s emotional win – especially with Terry Bowden’s excited crew 12-4 ATS as road dogs versus .500 or greater foes. A slight lean to the Zips today in Kalamazoo.

Toledo over CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 14 After squeaking out a cover in their season-opening win at Nevada, Jason Candle’s crew has been burning money at both ends (0-3 ATS) but our well-oiled machine expects the Rockets to ignite today as they are 5-1 SUATS following three straight ATS losses. You can also rest assured that the Chippewas have Toledo’s attention after upsetting the Bobcats last week in Athens despite being outgained in the contest…especially after the Rockets almost let one get away at home against Eastern Michigan last Saturday after it appeared the Eagles had tied the contest before a two-point conversion was overturned in the fourth quarter. Another problem with backing CMU is a press-reading 1-13 SU and 2-12 ATS log as dogs following a SU dog win. We don’t want any of that and neither should you. Thus, we’ll lay it and play it as Candle and company burn the Mt. Pleasant oil.

ARMY over Eastern Michigan by 10 If you thought Major Tom had ‘ground control’ then you haven’t yet spotted this week’s intuitive MIDWEEK ALERT as Eastern Michigan - the worst rushing team in the land (74 RYPG) – visits West Point looking to tackle the nation’s No. 3 ground and pound attack (372 RYPG). It’s not surprising to fi nd the Cadets along with their military brethren rank in the Top Ten in rushing offense but we could probably win a bar bet by pointing out that the Black Knights are the only team in the country not to allow a sack this season. Then again, when you throw less passes than a math geek with acne, that stat doesn’t seem so surprising. In the Eagles defense, they have held their last three foes to season-low yardage but this third straight roadie along with the wear-and-tear (read: lopsided time of possession) is likely to do the Birds in. Our database also chips in with this little memo: Army is 13-6-1 ATS at home after scoring 40 or more points, including 6-1 ATS against a foe off a SU loss. That, alone, has us ‘running’ to the window.

No Illinois over BUFFALO by 10 The Bulls set an FBS record for most points scored in a loss in last week’s 71-68 seven overtime marathon against Western Michigan. Unfortunately, that has about as much prestige as getting to second base with Kate Upton before she reached puberty. Buffalo QB Drew Anderson did set a pair of memorable school records, tossing for 597 yards and seven touchdowns

while rushing for another, but the going won’t be as easy against a NIU team that is tops in the land in tackles for a loss, and one that is 9-0 SU in this series (average score 44-15) since the Bulls joined the MAC in 1999. The Huskies also know how to win on the road, logging a 33-10 SU and 31-10-2 ATS mark away since 2010. Yes, the money-making heifers are 5-0 ATS in FBS play this season but the after-effects of losing in overtime – let alone seven of them – is never good for home teams as evidenced by a 94-127-6 ATS all-time mark. That leaves us only one way to look today in upstate New York. Note: this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 confi rms our notion.

TEMPLE over Connecticut by 15 Both the Owls and Huskies arrive in Philadelphia with more holes than the Bushwood Country Club but the UConn ones are even bigger than those created by that damn gopher – as in a 578 YPG defense that is allowing 44 PPG. Yikes, those numbers would even have the late Spike Dykes laughing. What would never happen to Spike, though, is the 21-0 blanking that the sled dogs suffered at home against the Owls last season – a result that’s been far too commonplace in this series as the Owls are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS since 2001. They are also 15-5 SU and 17-3 ATS against avenging foes, not to mention 13-3 ATS in their last 16 regular-season contests. That suggests the Owls are a wise investment today at Lincoln Financial Field. That’s, of course, if wagering was legal at Bushwood. You know what to do (wink, wink).

Massachusetts at SOUTH FLORIDAGAME CANCELLED

Virginia over N CAROLINA by 6 Wow, what a difference a year makes! Last season at this time, the Tar Heels rode into Charlottesville as 10.5-point favorites and spanked the Cavaliers, 35-14, upping their series advantage to 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS since 2010. Now the Heel is on the other foot as the Cavs hit Chapel Hill as road favorites. It actually makes sense as HC Larry Fedora’s struggling crew is 1-5 SUATS and ITS this season, being outyarded by 98 YPG, while Bronco’s bunch (4-1) is No. 2 in the nation in red-zone defense and hasn’t lost a fumble all season long. However, that’s not enough to lay the points with a visitor that has two road wins since 2013 and hasn’t won in this building since 2009. So despite the fact that Virginia is a play within this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 – with the Cavs overpriced and the Tar Heels set to ‘mission’ next season – we’ll steal a page out of Thomas Paine’s classic and use ‘Common Sense’ today in Scott Stadium. By that we mean pass.

ILLINOIS over Rutgers by 6 If the Japanese torture didn’t work in the Miami Ohio/Kent State game (and how could it not), then they could always tie them to the stands in Champaign and force them to watch Lovie Smith’s pimply bunch take on a Rutgers squad that couldn’t defend the Banks of the Old Raritan against a synchronized swim team. In Lovie’s defense, he continued his youth movement by turning to QB Jeff George Jr. who promptly threw three picks against Iowa in his fi rst career start, leading Smith to say, “That’s never a good thing.” We’re not sure if Lovie is auditioning for the next Hotels.com commercial (Captain Obvious) or if he’s trying to light a fi re under George but at least his team gets the benefi t of facing a Rutgers squad they defeated in New Brunswick last season, 24-7, as 3.5-point road favorites – and one that is being outstatted by 158 YPG in FBS battles this season after getting spanked at home by Ohio State, 56-0. That takes away some of the pain of having to lay points with a young team that hasn’t been favored in a conference tilt since that trip to Jersey. Nor does the Scarlet’s 1-7 ATS mark after scoring 10 or fewer points. Thus, it’s a case of Ill or nil.

WEST VIRGINIA over Texas Tech by 1 If Dana Holgorsen ever decides to play the West Virginia lottery where the grand prize is an all-expense paid trip to a dental offi ce, we guarantee 24 or 31 won’t be on his ticket. That’s because the Mounties’ lone two losses this season were by identical 31-24 scores to Virginia Tech and TCU, respectively. They would probably do well in holding an explosive Red Raiders’ group (46.8 PPG – tail only UCF) to that number, though our machine doesn’t think that will happen as the Mountaineers are 0-3 ATS after mixing it up with the Horned Frogs, 3-13-2 ATS at home versus a foe with conference revenge, 1-4-1 ATS at home off back-to-back road games and 3-8 ATS as favorites of 7 or less point. The Raiders are 8-1 ATS with conference revenge. TTRR is also a perfect 7-0 ATS as a conference dog following a SUATS win when playing with triple-revenge-exact. Now can you see why HC Kliff Kingsbury’s club improves to 5-1 ATS in this series since WVU joined the Big 12 in 2012?




NC State over PITTSBURGH by 18 We touted the Wolfpack this season in our 2017 Playbook Football Preview Guide magazine and Dave Doeren’s dudes have responded with their fi rst 3-0 ACC start since 2002. Last week’s win over Louisville fi nds them now in the Top 20 (moved up four spots) in both the latest AP and Coaches Polls and we can’t see them taking a step back against a Pitt club that is 3-15 SU and 6-12 ATS as a home dog off a SUATS loss. In addition, the revealing MIDWEEK ALERT feels the Wolves will completely control play as the physical Pack are +1.4 in net rushing yardage while the pathetic Panthers are -1.2 in net YPR. Pitt does own a 10-2 ATS mark against foes off a SU underdog win but that’s offset by NC State’s 6-1 ATS record as road chalk over the past four seasons. Thus, in a matchup of two teams heading in opposite directions (State 5-0 last 5, Pitt 1-4), we anticipate another SUATS win from the surging visitors who are rewarded with a much-needed bye after this trip to Heinz Field. Besides, out INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 agrees wholeheartedly.

Michigan over INDIANA by 10 In what was the fi rst ever game played at night between the Wolves and Spartans last week, Michigan fell as 13-point home chalk despite holding little brother to 14 points and 252 yards of offense – marking the 5th straight game this season in which Jim Harbaugh’s defense has held an opponent to season-low yardage (FYI: this would project to IU gaining 317 or fewer yards this week). However, despite the statistical support, we still can’t go all in on the road with a Wolves team that dances with pair of quarterbacks that literally have two left feet, or one that is a very average 5-4 SU and 3-6 ATS since late last season. Nonetheless, we simply can’t make a case for a Hoosiers’ squad that is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in Game Six when playing a conference foe since 2008, 1-4 ATS before facing Michigan State and an unprepared 6-16 ATS with rest during the regular season since the mid-90’s. Thus, we’ll look for Michigan to show some mettle today in Bloomington and improve to 6-1 ATS in Game Six affairs.

UCF over East Carolina by 36Trying to adjust to anything but home cooking seems to be a problem for the Pirates, as they have failed to cover the last four times they hit the road following back-to-back home games. This season, East Carolina owns arguably the worst defensive unit in all of FBS: dead last in total defense (599.8 YPG), dead last in scoring defense (47.8 PPG) and dead last in fewest tackles for a loss. And did we mention that ECU is 1-5 ATS as a road dog of more than 20 points? You know by now that we like laying a huge number like this about as much as we enjoy chewing on a tough steak, but we know a rout when we see one. Especially since Scott Frost has his team leading the nation in scoring, averaging 47.5 PPG, and is one of just three teams (Alabama and Washington are the others) to rank in the Top 11 in scoring O and scoring D. The Knights are also the 2nd best team in the nation in passing effi ciency offense. Good enough to arrange for fi let mignon at the training table, so bring us the Heinz 57… and a butter knife as well.

Tulane over FLORIDA INT’L by 3Did the Wave’s HC Willie Fritz put his name in consideration for National Coach of the Year honors with that rout of Tulsa last week? Not really, but he’s doing wonders for this once-fl oundering program. Still, before you start laying 2 TDs on the road, realize that this might be a bad spot here for the green ones with USF and Memphis on deck. A 0-4 ATS mark in games following a double-digit ATS wins defi nitely puts on the brakes for us. Meanwhile, Butch Davis is another respected head coach in a new spot engineering a quick turnaround as FIU converted all 12 trips into the red zone for points this season, tied for fi rst with four other teams. Davis has his troops off to a 3-2 start, despite the lackluster 20-point loss against Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro last Saturday. However, Butch’s 4-0 ATS mark as a dog of 7 or more points following a SUATS loss is good enough for us.

LOUISVILLE over Boston College by 16It might look like a no-brainer to back the Red Birds here after last week’s loss, but not so fast, my friend. Not with a 2-6 ATS record off a SU road favorite loss, and a 2-8 ATS log as conference home chalk of 14 or more points. Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson was sacked four times by NC State on Thursday night and threw a crushing pick-6 interception late in the game, while the Cardinals’ defense allowed 520 yards in Louisville’s second straight ACC loss. Safe to say that an ACC Atlantic Division title is not in the Cards this season (pun intended) with Clemson and the Wolfpack leaving Louisville in the dust. On the BC side, a dull mistake-prone offense has mitigated an aggressive defense, leaving HC Steve Addazio with a 2-4 record against a tough schedule this season. However, the Eagles held Clemson to just 7 points through three quarters behind future NFL draft pick DE Harold Landry and never gave up last week against Virginia Tech.

Things don’t get any easier against the angry birds, but with a 10-2-2 spread record as road underdogs over the last 3-plus years, we think that the hard-trying Eagles are deserving of the call, especially with Louisville’s banged-up defensive unit.

IOWA ST over Kansas by 15We’ve occasionally seen a 30-point underdog pull a huge upset in the past, but the Cyclones’ shocker against No. 3 Oklahoma last week may have been the most impressive one ever. Consider this: the QB that was #3 on the depth chart has to step in for the starter who had taken a leave from the team to work through “personal health issues”, while the team’s most experienced signal-caller had already switched to linebacker before the season began. The replacement QB, senior Kyle Kempt, passed for 3 TDs and 343 yards in his fi rst start to give ISU just their second victory over the Sooners since 1961, and its fi rst road win over a Top 5 team. To make this even more of a Cinderella story, converted LB (Joel Lanning) actually played a few downs at QB, rushing for 35 yards on nine carries and passing for 25 more. Oh, and he made EIGHT tackles and recovered a critical fumble on defense. But before you snap the rubber band on the Cyclones this week, take some advice from the well-oiled machine: teams who upset Oklahoma are just 3-8 ATS as double-digit chalk the following game since 1985, including 1-6 ATS when facing an avenging foe. Look for an improved Jayhawks squad to be the benefi ciary of this probable ‘slipper’ letdown.

GAME OF THE WEEK

KANSAS ST over Tcu by 3The Froggies outlasted West Virginia in a 31-24 victory last week to stay undefeated, making them a 5-0 FAT CAT fade (see last week’s SMART BOX) here today. They were also outgained by 101 yards in the win. We’ll go against this 5-0 road favorite as the noose gets tighter and tighter away from home for these undefeated teams this time of the season. Normally, we’d be looking to fade the Wildcats following a double-OT loss at Texas last week, but the 5-0 Fat Cat Frogs – and the fact that KSU head coach Bill Snyder’s kids are not favored here today – puts us on KSU like Jamie Lannister on Cersie. Snyder knows a win here, plus an Oklahoma victory over Texas in today’s Red River Rivalry, puts them in a logjam tie atop the Big 12. Check the status of QB Jesse Ertz, hurt in last week’s Texas contest. Nonetheless, we turn to THE CLNCHER: See this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2.

UPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

MARSHALL over Old Dominion by 21The Monarchs picked up season-opening wins in their fi rst two games of the campaign, only to go 0-3 SUATS the last three contests, losing the stats by 255.5 YPG in the process and getting outscored by at least 30 points in each game. We want no part of that. On the fl ip side, the Thundering Herd owns the third best red zone defense in the nation this season and now fi nd themselves just one-half game in back of North Texas for the top spot in the CUSA West. There is no question that the Herd is vastly improved from last year when they were outyarded by 105 YPG, winning the stats by 27 YPG this season. They have won their last three games by double-fi gure margins, and their only defeat was at the hands of what has proven to be a very good NC State team. Lay it if you play it.

Florida St over DUKE by 10The Blue Devils have improved their stat sheet rather nicely this season, outyarding foes by 116 YPG behind a 300-yard defense, but consecutive losses have left them at just 1-2 in the ACC Coastal Division, mirroring FSU’s 1-2 mark in the Atlantic Division. Unfortunately for head Devil David Cutcliffe, his team draws the short straw today, hosting the tarred-and-feathered Seminoles. For a quick comparison against Miami, Duke was outgained by the Canes two weeks ago, while the Seminoles outyarded Miami by 69 yards last Saturday. With that last second-loss to Miami in Tallahassee, the Noles are now 1-3 on the season for the fi rst time since 1975. The kicking game is in shambles (No. 125 in net punting), giving away valuable fi eld position, but the MIDWEEK ALERT says they can take solace in knowing they held the Canes to a season low 337 yards, and have now held three of their four foes to season-low yardage. Also, if the last two drives against Miami are any indication, QB James Blackman just may be starting to fi gure things out. Expect Jimbo and crew to deliver a message today.


(continued on next page)

Houston over TULSA by 3The Cougars beat improving SMU, 35-22, last week but were outgained 544-463, and have now been outstatted in two of their last three games. RB Duke Catalon has done his part, rushing for 177 yards and 2 TDs versus the Mustangs, including a 52-yarder that gave the Cougs some breathing room after SMU had pulled to within 2 points midway through the 3rd quarter. With a revenger on deck against Memphis after the Tigers won a 48-44 catfi ght last season in Tom Herman’s fi nal game at Houston, this looks like it has ‘upset’ written all over it. That scenario is despite Tulsa’s puzzling blowout loss at Tulane, but then this Hurricane defense can rarely stop a fart (No. 125 in fi rst-down defense), much less a tropical storm gust. Still, they were a 10-win team last season and are an avenging Homecoming dog today, plus they are also featured in Marc’s BLACK BOOK TUMBLING DICE Betcha Didn’t Know article, as it tells us to: Play On any sub .400 college football home team off three SUATS losses in a row if they won 10 or more games last season and they’re facing a foe off a win. That’s because these teams are 14-3 ATS in this role since 1980. Y

UAB over Middle Tennessee by 3John Urzua has stepped in at QB for the Blue Raiders since Brent Stockstill went down earlier in the season and has shown solid improvement, going 25-for-31 for 250 yards and a TD last week against FIU. As a result of that 37-17 victory, MTSU is just one game in back of FAU for the top spot in the CUSA East. Brent’s father, HC Rick Stockstill, has relied more heavily on his rushing attack in recent weeks, and got 112 yards from Brad Anderson and three short TD plunges by Tavares Thomas against the Golden Panthers. Like the Blue Raiders, the Blazers are also a game in back of North Texas for the top spot in the other division, coming off a 23-22 Homecoming upset over Louisiana Tech last week. They blocked Tech’s game-winning FG attempt with 3 seconds to play, and improved their home dog log to 24-10-2 ATS. We can’t fade that, especially in front of a rabid fan base that learned their lesson when they lost their football team for two seasons.

Georgia St over UL-MONROE by 1We have rarely seen a team with such opposite dichotomies in the same season: surprisingly, the Warhawks lead the nation in fewest penalties (16) and are 6th in the land in red zone defense. On the fl ip side though, GSU is the worst team in the nation in net punting and 3rd-worst in red zone offense. So for today’s purposes, we’ll expect a clean game from a stingy red zone squad looking to avenge a home loss as 12.5-point chalk last season. The good news in Monroe is that the Warhawks have averaged 50 points a game in their three straight wins following a 0-2 start. The bad news is that they have given up 40 points per game in those victories and an even worse situation arises when the SMART BOX identifi es them as “fat-farm fodder” this week and puts them in hot water. A 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS mark for ULM as favorites against .500 or greater opposition cements our call of Georgia State.

W KENTUCKY over Charlotte by 13We’ve fi nally fi gured out what’s happened to the once-vaunted Hilltoppers’ offense: after head coach Jeff Brohm left for Purdue, they slipped into the witness protection program. A 15-14 SU win at UTEP (as 16-point chalk) in which they mustered only 282 yards means WKU has now been outgained in ALL FIVE GAMES this season. They did ruin Mike Price’s return to UTEP with the help of three missed FGs by the Miners’ kicker, but the numbers being put up by the Toppers this season are sad. QB Mike White is no Brandon Doughty and with Anthony Wales gone and D’Andre Ferby injured, the leading rusher is Marquez Trigg with 137 yards in fi ve games. WKU is also just 6-12 ATS as favorites of 20 or less points when coming off an ATS loss. Still, it’s a tough call here as the 49ers are being outyarded on a weekly basis (-114 YPG this season) and are still looking for their fi rst win of the season. The simple facts are that Charlotte is 4-1 ATS as a double-digit conference dog – and the Hilltoppers are down a mile this year.

Wyoming over UTAH ST by 3As much as the Cowboy attack had sputtered this season, they are still tied as the best red zone offense in the land. This looks like the perfect foe to exploit as the Aggies have a negative double-deuce defense – one that allows more than 200 yards a game on the ground and thru the air. The Cowboys are 17-12 ATS as dogs under head coach Craig Bohl, including 2-0 SUATS following consecutive wins. The Aggies managed just 143 yards of total offense against Colorado State last week until a rather meaningless fi nal drive, and are tied with Georgia Tech for the worst red zone defense in the nation. They have recovered the 2nd most fumbles in the country this season (9), but that’s not much to crow about. Nor

is their 3-3 record. Simply put, the Cowboys are an average team this season, and it will be no surprise to see another Homecoming favorite bite the dust here.

AIR FORCE over Unlv by 6As we called out earlier on these pages, the Falcons rank in the Top 10 in rushing offense this season along with military powers Army and Navy. In fact, Air Force outyarded Navy, 621-557, in a 48-45 slugfest loss last week. The instinctual MIDWEEK ALERT also alerts us that the Falcons are a -1.3 net YPR teams this season (due to a defense that coughs up the run to the tune of a whopping 6.1 yards per rush) as opposed to a Rebels squad that is a +1.1 net YRP team. That’s never good when spotting more than a TD, and if you consider that the Flyboys are 0-7 ATS after playing the Midshipmen, you’ll realize why we’ll be keeping the fi ghter jets in the hangar today. Also, be aware that the Runnin’ Rebs are 2-0 ATS on the road this season, and 4-1 ATS over the last fi ve away games dating back to 2016. Their 266 rushing YPG fi ts perfectly into AFA’s 254 YPG rushing defense.

COLORADO ST over Nevada by 21The Rams rest atop the MWC Mountain Division, a half-game up on Boise State and Wyoming, so they won’t take this game lightly. They should also be totally pumped up after holding Utah State to a season-low 221 yards last week. CSU is 5-1 ATS as home chalk under HC Mike Bobo, but because this is a Homecoming contest, we can only pull up a chair and take a seat on the sideline. The Wolf Pack fi nally got off the schneid on Saturday night with a 35-21 win over Hawaii, giving Jay Norvell his fi rst win as a head coach. QB Ty Gangi threw for 4 scores and ran for another, while RB Kelton Moore ran for 216 yards, but the Pack allowed Hawaii’s Diocemy Saint Juste to run wild for a career-high 241 yards. Nevada is being outyarded by 144 YPG in FBS contests this season and we’d be avoiding them like bees in the woods if it weren’t for the Homecoming aspect of this contest, being played at the Rams’ brand-new stadium in Fort Collins.

Appalachian St over IDAHO by 14The Apps were outyarded by 103 yards in last week’s 14-point home win over New Mexico State, but thanks to 6 interceptions and 241 yards on the ground from RB Jalin Moore, the Mountaineers pulled away for the victory. Scott Satterfi eld’s squad is not quite the dominant team they’ve been of late, despite going 22-4 SU in the Sun Belt since the start of the 2014 season (they’re being outyarded 35 YPG in FBS battles this season) and with that we have no interest in backing them here. The Vandals are getting close to must-win mode should they look to go bowling in their fi nal season at the FBS level. They will need wins in four of their fi nal seven games, making every home game pivotal. The problem is they are a meager 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS at home against .600 or greater opposition, and also 0-8 SUATS the last eight games as home dogs. Yuck. No spuds for us today.

USC over Utah by 16The Utes did a pretty good job of stopping explosive Stanford RB Bryce Love until the nation’s leading rusher fi nally broke a 68-yard TD jaunt to give the Cardinal a 10-point 4th quarter lead. In the end though, two late interceptions thrown by back-up QB Troy Williams sealed the 23-20 Stanford victory as Utah suffered their fi rst loss of the season. The Utes clearly miss injured starter QB Tyler Hundley (suffered shoulder injury against Arizona and is questionable for this week), but we can’t ever count out Kyle Whittingham’s team as dogs (31-19-2 ATS, including 16-5 ATS when taking more than 7 points). Meanwhile, Southern Cal has won the last three meetings in this series played at the Coliseum and have covered four straight home contests when they have conference revenge on their minds. Also, a 6-1 ATS record in Game Seven is among the good numbers for the avenging Trojans (lost 31-27 at Utah last season). Our normal concern would be an Irish look-ahead, but a win here puts the Trojans at 4-1 in the Pac-12 South and atop the division standings, so the Men of Troy will have their complete focus on the Utes.

Colorado over OREGON ST by 8Major disappointment among players and fans in Corvallis this week after HC Gary Andersen agreed to step down immediately in just his third season at Oregon State, but the former Wisconsin coach was just 7-23 with the Beavers (3-18 in conference). OSU is ranked 122nd in the nation in defense (allowing 494 YPG and ranked 3rd-worst in fi rst-down defense) and not much better on offense, ranked 117th with just 321.5 YPG (they’ve also lost 12 fumbles this season, 2nd most in the nation). Cornerback coach Cory Hall takes over as interim head coach. Despite the fact that teams generally step up their game immediately after a head coach has been


replaced, we are not too excited about getting involved here, even with the Buffs down quite a few notches this season thanks to a defense that’s 64 YPG worse than last year. They are 4-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back away games, but they’re also ‘leaking oil’ (favored and lost the stats each of their last three games). We’re not about to mess with that.

ARIZONA over Ucla by 6The Bruins have won and covered the last fi ve meetings in this series, but when allowing over 23 PPG (UCLA is ranked 119th this year, allowing 39.2 PPG) they are 0-3 SUATS in Tucson. In addition, the lack of a running game has killed the Bruins the last two seasons, and this year is no different. Meanwhile, after QB Brandon Dawkins went down during the opening series in the 45-42 win over Colorado, backup QB Khalil Tate had what Vegas professional sharpshooter Dave Malinsky called possibly the greatest game ever played by a college football quarterback. Tate rushed for 327 yards on 14 carries, with TD runs of 58, 28, 47, and 75 yards, while also completing 12-of-13 passes for 154 yards and a TD. After breaking the single-game FBS quarterback rushing record set by Jordan Lynch of Northern Illinois in 2013 (27 carries for 321 yards), head coach Rich Rodriguez was non-committal as far as this week’s starting signal-caller, Dawkins or Tate. When asked, Rodriguez said, “I don’t mind you asking that. Khalil played pretty well today.” You think? If Tate isn’t behind center this week, Rich Rod should be put on life support. Regardless of who starts this week, a 93 YPG defensive advantage for the Desert Cats seals the deal.

OLE MISS over Vanderbilt by 6After a 3-0 start the Commodores have dropped three straight, including drubbings at the hands of Bama and Georgia, allowing season-high yardage in all three contests. Despite a strong series history against the Rebels (5-2 ATS over the last seven years and 4-0 ATS in the last four on the road), we’ll just be observers until they get things turned back around. Meanwhile, the Rebels need a strong outing here as, like Vandy, they are riding a 3-game losing skid after bolting out of the gate unbeaten. Ole Miss also got pasted by the Crimson Tide this season, 66-3, then followed that up by trailing Auburn 35-3 at the half last week, before fi nally fi nding a spark in the second half against the Tigers. One major problem: Homecoming in the Grove likely won’t help this week. The Rebs did, however, drop a 38-17 decision as 10-point chalk at Vanderbilt last season, which should bring them a bit more motivation today.

Oklahoma over Texas by 3Obviously, the upset loss to Iowa State last weekend was a terrible blow to the Oklahoma program – not only to the Sooners’ hopes to reach the BCS Playoffs, but also to QB Baker Mayfi eld’s Heisman hopes. You can take any margin for error and toss it out the window. But this from the history book: Okie is 35-2 SU and 24-12 ATS following a SU loss since 1999, including 28-0 SU and 21-7 ATS in conference games, so we’ll fi nd out if Lincoln Riley can follow in Bob Stoops’ footsteps. Big Game Bob made a living in follow-up games after a Sooner setback, and this will be Riley’s fi rst test. Obviously, this looks like a much more competitive game than it did several weeks ago, but consider this from our Coaches League: Texas HC Tom Herman is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS against FBS foes, including 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS as a dog. He is also 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS following a win, plus 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS versus .666 or greater foes. Oklahoma scored just 7 points after halftime in the Cyclones shocker – that was after getting pushed to the hilt the previous week by a less-than-stellar Baylor team – and the loss came against an Iowa State team that hadn’t notched more than three victories in a season since 2012. However, a win in the Red River Rivalry can cure a lot of ills.

Ohio State over NEBRASKA by 16 Yes, we know it’s only Year No. 3 in the soon-to-be-failed coaching experiment with Mike Riley replacing Bo Pelini at Nebraska, but it could be time to pull the plug. Things are going to hell in a handbag in Lincoln where the Huskers were the biggest home dogs to Wisconsin last week since 1974 (they lost 38-17 getting 12.5 points) and look to get bulldozed again tonight by the 3-TD favorite Buckeyes (the highlight of the year for Big Red fans at Memorial Stadium so far has been a 27-17 win over Rutgers). Forget about an upset here: Ohio State is 24-1 SU and 16-9 ATS

in away games under head coach Urban Meyer – the only loss coming at Penn State last year. His defense also held Maryland to 66 yards last week, the fewest surrendered since 1960, and the OSU stop-unit ranks No. 2 in tackles for a loss. But as easy as it would be to lay the number in this spot, we should remind you the Corn Boys got severely shucked in a 62-3 loss to the Buckeyes last season. That sort of humiliation takes a long time to fade and when NU hits the fi eld tonight, the Huskers’ faces should be as red as their uniforms. The bottom line is we don’t like to play big road chalk when the favorite has a huge revenger on deck (aforementioned Penn State) and the dog is coming off a 25-point home loss. Next.

MISSISSIPPI ST over Byu by 28 If the names Ty Detmer, Steve Young, Jim McMahon and Robbie Bosco ring a bell, you’ll certainly be shocked to hear that the program where they once starred – and at one time was referred to as ‘Quarterback U’ – is currently the nation’s No. 126-ranked team in passing effi ciency. WTF? Folks, we’ve been patient with BYU this season, aware that they reversed course after a 1-3 start last season to fi nish 9-3. But after what we’ve seen the last few weeks, we wouldn’t back the Cougars here with YOUR money. The ‘Y’ is ‘SOL’ when it comes to scoring lately: in its last three losses, BYU has been outpointed 104-37. However, let’s not heap all of this failure on the QB alone. A mediocre offensive line, not-so-talented skill players and some questionable play-calling have also made the Cougs No. 124 nationally in time of possession – a unit simply unable to sustain any kind of attack. MSU earned the ‘it team’ label in the SEC with an early season rout of LSU, but consecutive drubbings at Georgia and at Auburn resulted in the fl avor of the month going sour. Now back home after a much-needed week of rest, HC Dan Mullen and his Bulldogs can resume their climb to respectability by getting revenge for last season’s 28-21 setback at Provo. Fortunately, the dawgs meet this week’s SMART BOX criteria, and we’re not about to fade that with this beleaguered cast of Mormons… not in today’s high noon start in humid Starkville. State’s solid 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games versus Independents, and the Cougars’ 0-7 ATS mark against SEC foes since 1998, cements it. Chin up, BYU fans: your team closes out the season against six foes that have combined for a horrid 9-26 SU record in 2017.

ALABAMA over Arkansas by 34 Watch out, Arkansas. Alabama head coach Nick Saban was so upset by the way his team closed out the second half against Texas A&M – outscored 16-10 by the Aggies – that he launched into a post-game tirade… against the sports media. “I’m trying to get our players to listen to ME instead of listening to you guys,” he said to reporters, who of course have been writing stories about how dominant the Tide have looked this season. “All that stuff that you write about how good we are and all that stuff they get on ESPN is like poison. It’s like taking rat poison.” Yikes! Enter Arkansas HC Bret Bielema, owner of one of the hottest wives in the FBS (we mean that in a good way). Unfortunately he also owns on of the hottest seats (not in a good way) in college football as midway through his 5th season as head hog, his Razorbacks are 2-3 SU this year and 27-29 overall. Time for Bret to dust off his resumé as his Hogs have played ‘under’ their season win total now in three of four seasons under Bielema, plus his troops have been outgained in ALL FIVE contests this season. Nothing pig-worthy in our database as Arky stands 2-8 ATS versus undefeated SEC opposition and 3-9 ATS as a dog of 20 or more points. By comparison, Bama is 9-3 ATS as conference chalk of 21 or more points, and is tied with Penn State for net TOs this season (+12). The MIDWEEK ALERT reminds us that the Tide has held all six foes to season-low yards this year (that would bring the Hogs in under 267 total yards today). The bottom line is the fi nal score tonight will be whatever Nick wants it to be.

OKLAHOMA ST over Baylor by 28With the Sooners’ bubble bursting in a big way last Saturday, the 1-loss Cowboys realize that if they keep on winning and beat Oklahoma in their Bedlam series, they should land a rematch with TCU in the new conference championship game. It starts here against a Baylor squad that’s been a thorn in OSU head coach Mike Gundy’s ass for three years running (0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS). The good news for Gundy is that all the strong numbers backing the visiting Bears – like 9-2 ATS as conference dogs of 15 or more points, and 7-3 ATS with rest – were NOT put up by 1st-year HC Matt Rhule, who clearly has his team in rebuilding mode. The clairvoyant MIDWEEK ALERT insists this game has blowout written all over it, noting the Bears’ -1.6 team net YPR fi ts like a glove into OSU’s +1.6 team net YPR. The ATS archives agree, noting Okie State’s 8-3 ATS series edge of late, 5-0 ATS effort after facing Texas Tech, and eye-popping 14-2 ATS success as Big 12 home chalk of 14 or more points. Yes, the numbers point to the ‘Boys and superstar QB Mason Rudolph knows this afternoon’s crowd at Boone Pickens Stadium will settle for nothing less than a serious bloodletting. Orange is the new black in Stillwater today.

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

VegasINSIDER.com





GEORGIA over Missouri by 24As our SEC Scout, Jaybird The Bulldog, likes to say, “Things will be rockin’ tonight between the Hedges!” And why not? Georgia is off to its best start since 2005 (when the Dawgs won their fi rst 7 games), and owns its longest SEC win skein since reaching the conference title game in 2012. The 2017 edition under HC Kirby Smart is a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS so far and the Bulldogs are clicking on offense, defense and special teams – outscoring their previous three opponents by 100 combined points. The overachievers from Athens settled a pair of nasty revenge games by squashing Tennessee and Vanderbilt, and have two weeks off to prepare for another big revenger with Florida. So why aren’t we piling on the Dawgs here? Because we think the visiting Tigers still have a little fi ght left. They outgained Kentucky, 568-486, in a hard-fought 40-34 road loss last week and heads to Georgia with an unblemished 5-0 ATS mark of their own as dogs of 27 or more points. In addition, the pressure continues to grow on 2nd-year coach Barry Odom, who inherited a Missouri team that won two SEC championships under previous boss Gary Pinkel (2013 and 2014), and steered them into a 5-12 SU iceberg, including a 2-9 ATS disaster in conference play. While this one has ‘fl at-spot’ written all over it, remember Georgia has two RBs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel that can take it to the house every time they touch the ball. Be careful here.

4� BEST BET

The Middies blew an 18-point halftime lead over Air Force – and the cover – when they had to come from behind to beat the Falcons, 48-45. Navy was outgained, 621-557, in last week’s 15-rounder against the Force but the swabbies still managed to remain unbeaten. As a result, they become a 5-0 FAT CATS (see last week’s SMART BOX) this afternoon at the Liberty Bowl – but in a good way as ‘dogs’. Now 3-0 in the AAC, the Middies are a leg-and-a-half up on the 1-1 Tigers in the West Division (also cracked this week’s AP Top 25). Meanwhile, Memphis is off to a stumbling 2-3 start in HC Mike Norvel’s second campaign and the Tigers’ 511-yard defense is 95 YPG worse than the Middies. That’s a big deal as the invading Midshipmen sail into port boasting the nation’s top rushing offense. Conference competition has not overpowered Navy, either, as the Mids are an impressive 17-3 SU and 12-6-2 ATS in the AAC since joining the loop in 2015. Our database reminds us that Memphis is 5-18-1 ATS in its last 20 games as single-digit favorites versus foes off an ATS loss. In addition, the Tigers have outstatted two of their four opponents this season – Southern Illinois and UConn – while being outgained against UCLA (allowed Bruins season-high 633 yards) and UL Monroe. If you need more, there’s always THE CLINCHER: See Marc’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.

Navy over MEMPHIS by 10

New Mexico St over GA SOUTHERN by 6 NMSU backers wanted to head straight to the Boone PD and fi le a ‘highway robbery’ report after the 13.5-point underdog Aggies blew a 31-24 4th quarter lead against Appalachian State and lost by 14 points (ASU scored game’s closing 21 points). As disappointing as the loss may have been, however, New Mexico State outgained the Mountaineers by over 100 yards. Thanks to performances like that – the Aggies had cashed in all fi ve previous contests prior to getting hoisted onto the hook last week – the team is on a major upswing. Not so for the Eagles, though, who are quickly fl ying south these days. In fact, if you listen carefully, you can hear the clock ticking down on head coach Tyson Summers’ time at GSU. Being saddled with the 2nd-worst team in the nation in red zone offense is one reason the Eagles’ once formidable home fi eld advantage is no more: GSU was 14-2 SU at home B.S. (before Summers) – and just 3-4 SU here since his arrival. Aggies outright in an ATS pass.

SOUTHERN MISS over Utep by 16 Sometimes all a team needs is a coaching change. Hey, it worked wonders for the Miners last week as they held Western Kentucky to a measly 15 points, and outyarded the Hilltoppers, in their fi rst game under former mentor Mike ‘Dollar Bill, Y’all’ Price, who returned as an interim leader after head coach Sean Kugler resigned last week. That sequence of events brings our College Football Coaches database into play here: Price is 32-22 ATS as a double-digit underdog (where else are you going to read

that other than here in the Playbook!). As we alerted you last week, the Golden Eagles pulled the rug out from under undefeated UTSA, winning SU as 10-point dogs. Big role change, though, as USM – who hasn’t laid more than 7.5 points to an FBS opponent this year – opened as a 3-TD favorite, then moved to -22.5. Surprisingly, 20-plus point favorites are 27-11 ATS off a SU win as double-digit dog underdogs, but a current 0-5 ATS run at home leaves us playing ‘the Price is right, tonight’.

ARKANSAS ST over Coastal Carolina by 16 Coastal’s maiden voyage into FBS waters has not exactly been smooth sailing – more like when Ulysses tried to steer his vessel between Scylla and Charybdis (google it). Despite the disappointing 1-4 SU start to the season, though, they’ve been more than respectable in the stats department. The Chanticleers have actually outgained FBS foes by 30 YPG in 2017, and HC Joe Moglia’s raving mad roosters won the stats in their last two losses to Georgia State and UL-Monroe. Arkansas State looks poised to make its annual surge through the Sun Belt but we have a few concerns, namely a lack of time of possession (ranked No. 127), and a shoot-themselves-in-the-foot red zone offense (No. 123). Plus, we usually don’t like backing defenses that give up 4.8 yards per rush – especially when the offense accounts for just 3.5 YPR. Our MIDWEEK ALERT also points out that the Red Wolves have holes, allowing season-high yards in each of their last two games. With a UL-Lafayette revenger on deck, we’ll take it or leave it tonight in this Homecoming Favorite fl at spot.

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Roadrunners looked more like roadkill last week when they fell to Southern Miss as 10-point home chalk. So now they dress up as road favorites? We don’t think so! We warned you last week about UTSA’s phony 3-0 record (all three wins came against winless FBS foes and FCS weakling Southern) and North Texas is a far cut above that ilk, coming off back-to-back wins while scoring 46 and 43 points, respectively. The Mean Green will be eager to make amends for last year’s 31-17 loss at San Antonio, and the intuitive MIDWEEK ALERT informs us that UNT is currently outstatting foes by 110 YPG (they were -98 net YPG in 2016). More good news for the Green: the series host has won and covered three straight, and the ‘Runners arrive with a money-burning 2-6 ATS mark as chalk against avenging foes since joining the FBS, including 0-2 ATS away. And not only is North Texas 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven home dog roles against foes off a spread loss, there’s also THE CLINCHER: See Marc’s BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article on page 2.

NORTH TEXAS over Utsa by 8

Texas A&M over FLORIDA by 3 Good job by the Aggies: they not only claimed the cash in their Bama Bash last weekend (A&M lost, 27-19, as a 25.5-point dog), they also pissed off Tide HC Nick Saban to no end by outplaying Alabama in the second half. So, despite all of the infl ammatory ‘Kevin Sumlin must go’ chatter earlier this season, the Aggies stand 4-2, with the pair of losses coming by a total of just 9 points. Second straight homer for the Gators (who lost to LSU at Ben Hill Griffi n Stadium last Saturday) and it looks like they might have their hands full here again. Florida is just 1-5 ATS in the Swamp off a home loss since 2002 (1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS when not a double-digit favorite). The reptiles are also 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS before taking on Georgia, and the same identical 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS numbers in games following LSU – including 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS at home! The news out of Gainesville says UF could be without fi ve starters this evening, in addition to key playmaker Kadarius Toney. However, don’t look for the Gators to post a goose egg on the scoreboard as they now hold the NCAA record for most consecutive games without being shut out – 366 straight since 1988. Their offensive woes continue, though, as they average fewer yards gained per contest than the defense allows (347-373). Toss in A&M’s 5-1 SU run in post-Tide affairs and we’ll look for a second upset in the Swamp tonight.

South Carolina over TENNESSEE by 3 Today’s 12:00 o’clock start reminds us of the fi lm ‘High Noon’ but today’s version stars Tennessee head coach Butch Jones instead of Gary Cooper. The ending is different, too: not only is there no Grace Kelly in sight to comfort the courageous Cooper, our version concludes with Jones getting shot to pieces by the bad guys. Yes, things have been a bit rocky at home for the Vols of late as they’re just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. Worse, UT is 0-3 SUATS since 1980 after being blanked in a previous game (lost 41-0 here to Georgia two weeks ago). We’d like to think a bouce-back is in order but with team and fan morale circling the drain, we can’t


Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

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Bayou Bengals and HC Ed Orgeron are back on the map following their SUATS win at the Swamp last week – and anxious to make amends for the huge egg they laid in their last home game, a 24-21 loss to Sun Belt squad Troy (LSU now 4-1 SUATS the last fi ve at Baton Rouge off a previous home loss). Auburn has looked like a true SEC West contender the last three weeks, averaging 48 PPG in defeating conference foes Missouri, Mississippi State and Ole Miss. Red fl ag, though: RB Kerryon Johnson (great name for a running back) rushed for a career-high 204 yards and 3 TDs in last week’s win over the Rebels but left the game in the 4th quarter with hamstring issues. The ATS archives paint a rather one-sided picture of this afternoon’s matchup. The series host has gone 7-1 ATS, LSU has won eight straight versus Aubbie on this fi eld, and the Bengals are 7-3 ATS of late as home dogs of more than 4 points. No such luck for the visiting Tigers, who own a wallet-busting 1-10 ATS mark away versus conference revenge. Remember, LSU was a 4.5-point favorite in this game at the South Point in Vegas before the season started. Thus, it’s very strange to see a team that’s been favored in the last ten meetings at Death Valley getting points on Saturday. Not only are the Bengals a DIA DIA qualifi er here (dominating dogs in action, doing it again), they should also reap the rewards of THE CLINCHER: Auburn is 0-9 SUATS away since 2011 versus an opponent off a spread win.

LSU over Auburn by 8

MINNESOTA over Michigan St by 3 Tough loss for the Gophers against Purdue last week as they led for most of the game before a lengthy weather delay allowed the Boilermakers to seize the momentum and pull away in a 31-17 fi nal. Heavy rain was also a factor in the Michigan-Michigan State game but Sparty totally outplayed the overrated Wolverines, winning 14-10 as a 13.5-point dog, to notch Revenge Win No. 1 in a huge ‘mission’ year for MSU. However, with a string of FIVE consecutive ‘mission revengers’ waiting on deck, it’s time to fade the Spartans in Minneapolis tonight. We’re not fans of backing favorites that have experienced huge line swings from the previous week – Michigan State goes from being a double-digit dog to 4-point road chalk – especially since the Gophers were installed as 3.5-point chalk in the contest at the Golden Nugget before the season kicked off back in September. These two haven’t met since 2013, so new Minnesota HC P.J. Fleck gets his fi rst crack at the Spartans after compiling a super 12-3 ATS mark as an underdog in his coaching career. Considering Michigan State owns a dreadful 3-10 ATS record in this series, including 1-8 ATS as a favorite, we’ll call for a post-Michigan letdown for Sparty. Gophers row the boat straight to the pay window.

STANFORD over Oregon by 1 Disappointing effort by the Ducks last Saturday when they were dominated (shut out for three quarters) by Washington State in a 33-10 setback. Meanwhile, the Cardinal nearly choked away an easy win against Utah but hung on nonetheless for a 23-20 win – despite a 25-14 defi cit in fi rst downs to the Utes. Oregon’s Achilles heel seems to be a lack of team discipline: the Ducks lead the nation in most penalties this season (62) and rank No. 126 in red zone defense. Still, 1st-year head coach Willie Taggart is 8-3 ATS in his career when playing off a loss of more than 20 points and his team should be frothing at the mouth to get even for last year’s embarrassing 52-27 loss to Stanford at Autzen Stadium. While dueling revenge stats seem to cancel each other out – Oregon is currently 10-3 ATS

with Pac-12 revenge and Stanford is 11-3 ATS versus a conference avenger at The Farm – we can’t overlook the glaring fact that the Cardinal are allowing 434 defensive YPG this season. A must take.

Washington over ARIZONA ST by 11Hangman, hangman, hold it a little while. Like their Apple Cup brethren WSU, the Huskies take to the Pac-12 road tonight with the noose of a 6-0 unbeaten season beginning to tighten around their collective necks. Now in his fourth season at Seattle, head coach Chris Petersen is hell-bent on making a return trip to the CFB playoffs after his Huskies were neutered by Alabama last year. But what looks like just another easy win for Washington could be as dangerous as a stroll through a desert minefi eld: Arizona State owns an incredibly one-sided edge in this series, winning 10 of the last eleven games SU while going a perfect 11-0 ATS. That’s pretty strong medicine for anyone to overcome on the road, especially with the Sun Devils now 4-0 ATS as double-digit home dogs and tied for the top spot in the land in red zone offense this season. Turns out, too, that ‘7’ is not such a lucky number for the sled dogs as they’ve lost the cash in Game Seven of the season for 11 straight years! And Washington’s double revenger with UCLA on deck doesn’t hurt the host’s cause, either. It all comes down to respecting the numbers and the situation in tonight’s matchup at Tempe – so we’ll take a shot with the home dog Devils.

FRESNO ST over New Mexico by 1 The West Coast Bulldogs were all but forgotten after being euthanized in early losses to Alabama and Washington, but that hasn’t been enough to blunt their emergence under new head coach Jeff Tedford. Since those blowouts, back-to-back Mountain West Conference wins have put 3-2 Fresno State in a tie atop the West Division with San Diego State. On the fl ip side, the Mountain Division race is wide-open with fi ve teams – including the Lobos – within one game of the top spot. Recent series history favors Fresno as New Mexico is a putrid 1-9 SU and 2-6 ATS the last 10 meetings, including 0-5 SUATS the last fi ve. However, current form fi nds the Lobos off consecutive SUATS dog wins, with head coach Bob Davie trying for the hat trick here. UNM’s spotless 6-0 ATS success as a road dog after allowing 35 or more points has us reaching for the wallet but we can’t go all in against a Fresno State squad that’s been outstatting foes by 99 YPG this season. You’re on your own as this West Coast war looks too close to call.

SAN DIEGO ST over Boise St by 10 Ahhh, nothing like a ‘two teams headed in opposite directions’ matchup to simplify our handicapping chores. Like Jerry Reed once sang, “When you’re hot, you’re hot” and San Diego State shows no signs of slowing down. Following this season’s 6-0 SU and 4-1 ATS start, the Aztecs are on an outstanding 28-6 SU and 19-11-1 ATS run since the beginning of the 2015 season. Yes, SDSU head coach Rocky Long has fi elded another top-notch offense in 2017 as RB Rashaad Penny (7.1 yards per rush) is making fans forget about the departed Donnel Pumphrey. Boise State, which had been on a nice 31-9 SU run under HC Bryan Harsin the previous three seasons, but this year they’ve been less than impressive (two QBs have combined for only 7 TDs against 4 INTs). Bad before-and-after numbers for the visitors as the Broncos are 1-5 ATS after BYU and 1-5 ATS before Wyoming. The Aztecs look much better, covering four straight in the series and going 3-0-1 ATS in the fi rst of consecutive home games. Watch the line (now SDSU -7) here as the Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last six appearances as conference chalk of fewer than 7 points. Regardless of any move, though, we’ll fade the descenders and lay the spot with the ascenders.

Hawaii over San Jose St by 21Jeez, would anyone other than a West Coast tweaker stay up to watch this excuse for a nightcap? So let’s try to add some drama to this otherwise tepid offering. Both Hawaii and San Jose State are trying to ‘polish their brand’ by introducing punctuation into their university names: as in Hawai’i and San José State. See the difference? Well whoever emerges victorious from this pineapple patch scrum will henceforth have their updated moniker used on our pages until season’s end. Fair enough? Let’s get to it! In this corner we have the visiting Spartans, currently 1-6 SU, with the lone win coming over FCS foe Cal Poly. The other six games were all losses to FBS opponents by an average of 35 PPG. SJSU has lost 13 fumbles this season (most in the land), ranks last in the nation in net turnover margin (-15) and holds down position No. 128 in time of possession. Ugggh. And in this corner… the host Hawaii Warriors, at 2-4 SU and lost in a 0-4 ATS skid, scoring 21 points three times and 23 points once – not the kind of fi repower we’re used to seeing for an 18-point favorite. With UH the second-worst team in the nation for most penalties this season (56), we’re just going to stand back and watch this one. Let’s get ready to BUMBLE! Editors note: as a public service, we want to alert you to three

touch ‘em with a 10-foot pole at the moment. Jones is a popular choice to become the third FBS head coach to resign sooner rather than later (and sooner may happen should they fail again this week). Just to show you how fast and far they’ve fallen, the Vols were 15.5-point favorites AT South Carolina last year – a game they lost, 24-21! The Gamecocks arrive in Knoxville having steadied the ship after a spotty start to the 2017 season and now sit at 4-2 off their 26-point SU home dog win over Arkansas last week. Jones said all the right things this week during his press appearances about team unity and confi dence but it sounded to us like ‘famous last words’. Cocks, outright.



possible signs that could mean one of your friends is a tweaker – extreme paranoia, fl agrant dishonesty and lack of non-tweaker friends. Sound like anyone you know?

USF over Cincinnati by 24 Charlie Strong should thank his lucky stars for being chased out of a bad head coaching situation at Texas and somehow landing in the perfect spot at South Florida. It helps when you inherit a team that went 11-2 the previous campaign and you get to coach the best college football quarterback you’ve never heard of, dual-threat Quinton Flowers. How good is Flowers? His 2,989 career rush yards are the most by an FBS QB in Florida, passing Tim Tebow, and his overall play in 2017 has staked the Bulls to a 5-0 SU start, outscoring foes by almost 25 PPG. A closer look, however, shows that USF’s great start has come at the expense of some mediocre competition: San Jose State, Stony Brook, Illinois, Temple and East Carolina. Hell, the Mississippi National Guard could go 3-2 against that chump lineup! The Bearcats aren’t much better (1-5 In the Stats, outgained by 88 YPG in FBS battles this season), but they are 12-5 ATS as dogs of 20-plus points against foes off a win, including 6-1-1 ATS following consecutive losses. More support for Cincy comes from the fact that the high-fl ying Bulls qualify as 5-0 FAT CATS, which puts them on our SMART BOX fade list. They’re also just 3-8 ATS as favorites of 20 or more points when not playing off a SU underdog win. Add the fact that the Bearcats currently stand 5-0 ATS off a SU loss and we ALMOST want to pull the trigger in Tampa tonight – but not enough to actually do it. Pass.

MIAMI FLORIDA over Ga Tech by 3 You would think that a win over Florida State might have the Hurricanes reading the press clippings for a while but the truth of the matter is Miami is 16-1 SU in games after defeating the ‘Noles. However, that stat hadn’t applied since 2009 so a closer look reveals the Canes to be just 1-3 SUATS post-Seminoles of late. They have owned the Wreck recently, though, posting a 7-1 SUATS record since that same 2009 season (ironically they topped Tech after defeating the Sems in the season opener). They also are No. 4 this season in tackles for a loss and that’s an important chip against GT’s vaunted ground game. In addition, Miami’s effi cient offense has yet to turn the ball over on a fumble this season, though the loss of star RB Mark Walton (ankle) for the season is crushing news for a team that is looking to get off to a 3-0 start in conference play for the fi rst time since 2013. It won’t be easy. Paul Johnson’s Jackets won’t beat themselves with penalties (second fewest in the land with 17), plus they lead the nation in fi rst-down defense and time of possession, and are 4-0 ATS off a SU conference home win of 14 or more points. The problem is they are tied with Utah State for the worst red zone defense in the country. Nonetheless, expect a war as the winner gets a leg up in the ACC Coastal. Thus, we’ll grab the points as close doesn’t only count in horseshoes and hand grenades today in Miami.

PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, October 12

CAROLINA over Philadelphia by 8Kudos to the Panthers. After failing to make the playoffs under the moniker of “Super Bowl loser” last year, they appear headed back to the postseason this campaign, thanks largely to a defense that has stifl ed no less than three foes while holding them to season-low yards this year. More important, QB Cam Newton fi nally appears to be healthy. That’s good news tonight as Carolina is 7-1 ATS following consecutive away games. On the fl ip side, the dog is 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series, while the Eagles are 0-4 SUATS against non-division foes on Thursdays. And according to sources in Philadelphia: key cog OL Lane Johnson is in concussion protocol and Philly’s number of sacks have more than doubled when he’s not in there. The bottom line is it does not bode well for the Green Birds on a short travel week and against a Panthers’ defense that’s hitting on all cylinders.

Sunday, October 15

HOUSTON Over Cleveland by 6If you are attending this game today be sure and buy a program. But don’t look too hard for QB Brock Osweiler’s name. The human ostrich is no longer on either team’s roster – instead he’s Denver’s problem for now. Speaking of quarterbacks, be sure and take a picture of the Browns quarterback playing today. He’s not likely to be there for long, either. After Kevin Hogan relieved DeShone Kizer (5 red zone TOs this season – the most in the league) last week and proceeded to complete 16-of-19 passes for 194

yards and 2 TDs with 1 INT, Cleveland’s newest hero is likely to be taking more snaps today. And it’s our best guess that Browns head coach Hue Jackson is headed to the gallows shortly. It will be painful for Jackson to watch Deshaun Watson carve up his Brownies today, especially considering he was there for the taking in last year’s draft. Somehow, though, despite Houston head coach Bill O’Brien’s 19-3 SU and 15-6-1 ATS career record as a favorite, including 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS following a loss, the Browns fi gure to come with everything they have today… although its not all that much, for sure. That’s because double-digit NFL dogs (check this line) in Game Six of the season are 38-15 ATS since 1980. And you just know that if Kizer gets the ball, he’ll be itching to justify his selection by the Browns over Watson. Get the Benadryl Extra out and have it standing by.

New England over NY JETS by 4So how is it the Patriots have been outgained in 4 of their 5 games this season? It’s because Tom Brady is still behind center, that’s how. Take the King of Rings out of the lineup and the Pats would easily be 0-5 ‘ITS’ this campaign, no thanks to what might be the worst defense Bill Belichick has ever fi elded. The question is can a super-soft 300-yard Jets offense take advantage? Head coach Todd Bowles is 11-5-1 ATS in division games, including 4-1 ATS as a home dog. The Flyboys are also 4-0 ATS the last four games in this series, as well as 4-0 ATS the last four HOME games in this series. Given the Pats’ defensive lapses, and the fact that it’s rare you’ll fi nd a home dog of more than a TD in games against teams with identical records, we’re obligated to snag the points, especially with NFL home dogs of 8 or more points a rock-solid 40-20 ATS since 2009.

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The look on head coach Adam Gase’s face says it all these days in Miami. Looking more like a Hurricane Irma victim that had his worldly possessions wiped out than a head coach of an NFL team, Gase is caught in a pickle that he can’t escape. He authorized the $10M one-year signing of Jay Cutler as his replacement for Ryan Tannehill and because of it,he’s stuck with him. Cutler (92 Passing Yards Per Game, along with 3.5 Yards Per Pass) has performed like the dog he is with his miserable ESPN QBR Rating of 21.7 topping only Cleveland’s DeShone Kizer (18.3) among NFL starting quarterbacks this season. Making matters worse, Miami is 1-7-1 ATS in this series, including 0-3 ATS when the Falcons are coming off a loss. Enter the Falcons, off a loss and a bye week. You have to love the fact that QB Matt Ryan is 5-0 SUATS with rest versus opponents coming off a loss. And that the Dirty Birds are 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in games with rest against foes that failed to score 19 points in their previous game. And if you want to envision a sadder face on Gase, check him out after he get’s a load of THE CLINCHER: The Dolphins are 0-13 SU and ATS away between home games.

ATLANTA over Miami by 20

5� BEST BETNEW ORLEANS over Detroit by 14

To say the Saints have circled the wagons this season would be an understatement. Following three successive 7-win seasons, and a 0-2 start this year, they’ve bounded back with wins and covers in each of their last two games while holding those foes to 237 YPG in the victories. A key to their turnaround is the fact that New Orleans has yet to turn the ball over this season. And the Saints are 5-0 SUATS home following a bye. Plus, our all-knowing database notes that NFL teams playing with rest off a shutout win are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS since 2003. Enter the Lions, who are 8-22 SU and 10-19-1 ATS away against .500 or greater opponents behind QB Matthew Stafford. In addition, it’s been 57 straight games since the Lions last had a running back rush for 100 or more yards in a game, putting even more pressure on Stafford in this contest. And best of all there is THE CLINCHER: NFL teams returning from London are 9-4 SU and 10-2-1 ATS since 2015, including 8-0-1 ATS with rest.

Green Bay over MINNESOTA by 7If Aaron Rodgers isn’t the greatest escape artist since Harry Houdini, then there isn’t one. His dramatic comeback win at Dallas last week was just icing on his legendary cake. As a result, the Pack sits in its customary spot atop the NFC North, a full two games ahead of the Vikings. Making matters


worse for Minny, Green Bay is 5-0 SUATS away in Game 6 of the season. In addition, Rodgers is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in division games against opponents coming off a Monday night game. On the other side of the coin, the Vikes are 2-11 ATS at home in division games following a Monday night game. Yes, Mike Zimmer has been a virtual ATM as a head coach in his NFL career, but the fact of the matter is he is 9-11 SU and 9-10-1 ATS in division bouts, while going 20-14 SU and 26-8 ATS in non division games. Until QB Sam Bradford gets healthy, we’re not particularly anxious stepping in front of the Great One… not with numbers like these.

BALTIMORE over Chicago by 3The Black Birds return home feeling confi dent after their west coast upset over the Raiders in Oakland last Sunday. That confi dence could be short-lived, however, as our well-oiled machine spews out troubling stats today. For openers, Baltimore is 0-6 ATS at home between away games, as well as 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against NFC opponents. Meanwhile, John Fox’s Bears enter off Monday night’s hard-fought loss to Minnesota knowing they are 7-1 ATS away following the Vikings. More important, the Bears bring the league’s 6th ranked defense into this fray, one that is 21 YPG better than Baltimore’s stop-unit – and 41 YPG improved over last year’s unit. It’s a Bear market for Chicago’s foes this season, and we’re all in.

WASHINGTON over San Francisco by 7There’s no doubt that the gut-wrenching Super Bowl loss that Kyle Shanahan suffered as the Falcons’ offensive coordinator last season is worse than the four setbacks he has had to endure as San Fran’s head coach over the past month (especially since he is entirely to blame for Atlanta’s loss), yet he has to be thinking what could have been. The winless 49ers are 11 points from being 4-1 as they have dropped each of their last four contests by a fi eld goal or less, including the last two in overtime. And though we’re not expecting San Francisco to get their fi rst treat today in Washington (0-9 ATS following an AFC affair and 2-12 ATS off a non-division game when facing an opponent playing with rest), our database thinks Kyle’s cardiac crew could be in for another one-score tilt as NFL double-digit dogs are a lofty 38-15 ATS in Game Six of the season. We’re well aware that home teams coming off a Monday night loss are 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS with a Monday nighter on deck when facing a foe coming off a loss, and that this is an early start for the West Coasters. However, the Redskins are just 1-11 ATS following a non-division Monday night mixer while that body clock advantage fi gures to add value to the line. With that, we’ll take what we can get as the ‘Skins just may have one eye on their upcoming prime-time battle in Philly.

JACKSONVILLE over LA Rams by 8First-year Jaguars head coach Doug Marrone (3-2) has fi gured out in fi ve games what Gus Bradley (15-49) couldn’t decipher in four seasons at the Jacksonville helm – keep the ball out of Blake Bortles’ hands. The Jags did not throw a single pass in the second half of last week’s win at Pittsburgh. It obviously helps having RB Leonard Fournette in the backfi eld, as well as getting the Big Ben that looked like a grandfather clock and not the one that owns two Super Bowl rings. This week they get the benefi t of facing a Rams’ squad that is 1-4 SU and ATS away after dealing with the Seahawks, 1-7 ATS as an away dog of less than 3 points against an opponent coming off a win, and 1-14 ATS when they are .500 or greater and playing an avenging non-division foe. We can’t overlook the fact that the Jaguars are just 4-8 SU and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games versus NFC West opposition, including 0-6 ATS against those off a SU loss, but we can sugarcoat it by saying that NFL teams are a meager 2-14 SU and 3-10-3 ATS as dogs (Rams) in games before fl ying across the pond to London. Thus, we’ll ‘run’ with the new-look Jags and lay the small spot today in J-Town.

Tampa Bay over ARIZONA by 4If you thought the NY Giants have problems, then get in line behind the Cardinals as well. Bruce Arians’ birds have lost all 5 games ATS this season, while both of Zona’s wins have been in OT. In other words, they could well be 0-5 SUATS. Without star RB David Williams (the league’s top rusher, out for the year) the Cards running game has fallen off the map, averaging just 53 RYPG (worst in the league). The recent pickup of ancient Adrian Peterson from the Saints may help, but it still all falls on the arm and legs of ancient QB Carson Palmer, and that’s not a good formula. Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its 3rd home game of the season, and making matters worse, they are headed to London next week.Like the Rams above, NFL teams are 2-14 SU and 3-10-3 ATS as dogs in games before traveling to Buckingham Palace. The Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS away after scoring 14 or fewer points the last game, and 5-1 ATS following AFC opponents. Between the tea-and-crumpets on next week’s menu, and the Bucs arriving with extra time to prepare, look for the Cardinals’ faces to fall into a deeper shade of red here today.

3� BEST BET

The Kansas City Chiefs lead last year’s 12-team playoff pack this season with a spotless 5-0 winning record, followed by the 4-1 Green Bay Packers and the 3-1 Atlanta Falcons, along with the Detroit Lions, New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, and the Seattle Seahawks close on their heels, each at 3-2. The Miami Dolphins are sort of even at 2-2. Granted, the red-hot Featherheads were booted from the postseason by the Steelers in an 18-16 loss on this fi eld in January, but the line value and the situation become overriding factors here today. Amazingly, this marks only the second time in Pittsburgh’s last 25 regular games they will be taking points. The Steelers are 6-0 SUATS in this series following a double-digit loss, while QB Ben Roethlisberger is 17-8-1 ATS as a dog against .687 or greater opponents, including 15-7 SU and 16-5-1 ATS in where the Steelers own a .500 or greater record (think about that). Big Ben is also 20-4 SU and 17-7 ATS in games against teams he most recently defeated when they are playing off back-to-back SUATS wins, including 5-1 SUATS as dog of 3 or more points. Meanwhile, KC QB Alex Smith is only 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS against non-division foes off a SU favorite loss, including 0-3 SUATS the last three. Toss in HC Andy Reid’s rotten 4-12 ATS career mark versus AFC North opposition and the end to a perfect season looms here today for the Chiefs. And if you doubting Thomas’ think not, then check out THE CLINCHER: Roethlisberger is 5-0 SUATS following a SU loss of more than 10 points as a favorite.

Pittsburgh over KANSAS CITY by 6

LA Chargers over OAKLAND by 1Over the past 10 seasons, a total of 23 teams with losing records through Game Five of the season managed to make the playoffs, including Detroit, Miami, and the New York Giants last year. Interestingly, 4 teams started the season 1-4 and found their way to the postseason, including Kansas City who started 1-5 in 2015 and then went 10-0 to conclude the regular season. For that to happen, both teams will have to overcome some ugly numbers here today. The Chargers are 0-10 ATS following a non-division away game against foes coming off a home game, and 1-7 ATS with a losing record when coming off consecutive NFC games. Meanwhile, the Raiders are just 5-24 ATS at home versus sub .500 division opponents, and an even uglier 3-19 ATS as home favorites versus sub .500 division opponents. The separator, though is the quadruple-revenge factor in this contest as the Bolts are 5-0 ATS with quadruple division revenge, while the Black-and-Silver stands a mere 1-7 ATS against quadruple avenging opponents. We’ll buy into the latter, especially if Derek Carr returns.

DENVER over NY Giants by 6 Who woulda thunk it? A 10-win team playoff squad last season, currently 0-5 this year, with an army of wide receivers in the M.A.S.H. unit, including all-world WR Odell Beckham (out for the season with a broken ankle). The line on this game at Cantor Gaming before the season began was Denver -3 and because of the train-wreck that we’ve outlined above, the spread has moved 9 full points. While the whole world will be lined up to pour it in on the Broncos, we’ll abstain. After all, it’s still Eli Manning behind center. That’s the Manning who is 5-5 SU and 8-2 ATS in his NFL career as a dog of 9 or more points. And a Giants squad that is 9-0 ATS with a losing record in the second of consecutive AFC games, as well as 9-1-1 ATS in Sunday night games following consecutive losses. Meanwhile, Denver checks in at 1-10 ATS in the second of consecutive home games following a win when facing sub .500 avenging foes, and 3-9 ATS on Sunday nights against opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS at home. Do you want any of that with a wounded puppy with its back to the wall? Not us. Get out the biggest clothespin you can fi nd and apply securely.

Monday, October 16TENNESSEE over Indianapolis by 6

With the impending status of both starting QBs – the Colts Andrew Luck and the Titans Marcus Mariota – up in the air, we’re at the mercy of the oddsmakers and news reports about the situation of the contest. This, however, is what we do know. Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 away games on Monday night, and 7-1 ATS in its 3rd away game of the season in division games. Tennessee is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 Monday night games, but only 0-11 SU and 1-9-1 ATS the last eleven games in this series, including 0-3 SUATS as a favorite. In addition, the Titans have yet to lose three straight games under HC Mike Mularkey, and are 5-1 SUATS In their last six games at Nissan Stadium. With both starting QBs in place under center, we would look for a dogfi ght, given Luck’s stellar 20-5 SU and 16-6-3 ATS career mark in division contests – with only one loss by more than 5 points.


GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 7 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K S I X

PhiladelphiaCAROLINAClevelandHOUSTON

New EnglandNY JETS

MiamiATLANTA

DetroitNEW ORLEANS

Green BayMINNESOTA

ChicagoBALTIMORE

San FranciscoWASHINGTON

3-0 O/U aft Arz... 5-1 O/U bef Wash... 6-2 O/U Thursdays (50.6)... but 0-3 O/U Gm 6... 1-4 O/U away vs NFC South 4-1 O/U L5 vs Phil (52.0)... 4-1 O/U aft Det... 3-1 O/U Gm 6... but 1-5 O/U home off BB RG... 2-5-1 O/U Thursdays (36.5)

3-0 O/U vs AFC South L2Y... 4-1 O/U non-div conf RD’s 8 > pts... 4-1 O/U Gm 6... but 1-4 O/U off SU loss 3 < pts5-0 O/U Gm 6... 8-3 O/U home aft allow 35 > Pts... 5-2-1 O/U aft KC... 6-3 O/U be Bye... but 2-7 O/U non-div fav 8 > pts

0-3 O/U aft score < 20 pts... 0-3 O/U off road UNDER... 1-5 O/U as RF’s > 6 pts... 3-9 O/U bef Atl... 3-6 O/U in 2nd of BB RG 0-3 O/U as HD’s 6 > pts... 0-2 O/U vs NEng LY... 1-5 O/U off road fav win...1-5 O/U as dogs 4 > pts off 3+ SU wins

4-0 O/U Gm 5... 6-2 O/U bef Thur RG... but 0-6 O/U away vs NFC L3Y... 1-6 O/U non-div dog 7 > pts... 1-6 O/U vs opp off Bye11-1 O/U L12 home gms... 5-1 O/U vs AFC East... 3-1 O/U home aft Bye... but 1-7 O/U Gm 5... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Mia (34.5)

4-1 O/U vs NFC South... 3-1 O/U Gm 6... but 1-3 O/U aft Car... 1-3 O/U off home fav loss... 2-5 O/U vs opp off Bye7-0 O/U aft allow 10 < pts... 11-1 O/U Gm 5... 8-1 O/U aft Bye... 6-1 O/U aft score 20 < pts... but 2-9 O/U bef GBay

8-1 O/U bef Bye... 14-3 O/U vs opp off Mon gm... 7-2 O/U aft Dal... 3-1 O/U L4 div RG... but 1-4 O/U L5 vs Min (43.0)2-10 O/U L12 div HG... 1-4 O/U in 3rd straight DIV gm... 1-3 O/U aft Chi... 1-3 O/U Gm 6... 1-3 O/U aft Mon gm

5-1 O/U aft Mon gm... 4-1 O/U vs AFC North... 4-1 O/U off div HG... but 1-4 O/U bef Car... 1-3 O/U L4 away vs AFC3-0 O/U Gm 6... 6-1 O/U in 1st of BB non-conf gms... but 0-3 O/U off road dog win... 0-3 O/U vs opp off Mon gm

5-0 O/U bef Dal... 4-0 O/U Gm 6... 3-0 O/U aft Ind... 6-1 O/U vs opp of Bye... but 1-8 O/U L9 vs NFC East4-0 O/U vs opp off OT Loss... 5-1 O/U off SU loss 9 > pts... 4-1 O/U aft KC... 6-2 O/U bef Dal... but 1-7 O/U favs 7 > pts

The fi rst EIGHT games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. *This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Patriots @ New York Jets ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants (5 others with 8 pts not shown) from the 2017 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

STEELERS (+4)

Georgia State (+7)

STEELERS (+4)

Texas Tech (+3.5)

Pittsburgh (+12)

Memphis (-4)

W Michigan (-13.5)

Georgia Tech (+6.5)

Connecticut (+12.5)

EAGLES (+3.5)

6-4 / 4-1 / 10 pts

8-2 / 3-2 / 11 pts

5-5 / 4-1 / 9 pts

6-4 / 2-3 / 8 pts

5-5 / 4-1 / 9 pts

6-4 / 3-2 / 9 pts

6-4 / 2-3 / 8 pts

6-4 / 4-1 / 10 pts

6-4 / 4-1 / 10 pts

6-4 / 2-3 / 8 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 31st year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Andy Iskoethelogicalapproach.com

Billy [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Brady Kannon@lasvegasgolfer

Dwayne Bryantdbpicks.com

JH-Sportslinejhsportsline.com

Joe Lisigoforthe2.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Marc Lawrenceplaybook.com

Mr. Vegasjimfeist.com

49ERS (+10)

West Virginia (-3.5)

Missouri (+30.5)

BRONCOS (-11.5)

LA RAMS (+2.5)

STEELERS (+4)

Lsu (+6.5)

STEELERS (+4)

North Texas (+3)

Navy (+4)

7-3 / 4-1 / 11 pts

6-4 / 4-1 / 10 pts

9-1 / 4-1 / 13 pts

6-4 / 2-3 / 8 pts

5-4-1 / 3-1-1 / 8 pts

6-4 / 3-2 / 9 pts

5-4-1 / 2-3 / 8 pts

7-3 / 3-2 / 10 pts

6-4 / 2-3 / 8 pts

5-4-1 / 3-2 / 8 pts

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Rob [email protected]

Rocketman Sportsrocketmansports.com

Special K Sportsspecialksports.com

Sports Cheetahwagertalk.com

Statfox Davefreesportsinfo.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

TD Tonyashnetwork.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252


A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 16, 2017 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

NORTH TEXAS NAVY LSU

STEELERS FALCONS SAINTS

KANSAS STATE

2017 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 11-16

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommenation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening lines

are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any portion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

SUBSCRIBE TO PLAYBOOK TODAY: 1.800.752.9266

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 14

CLEMSON7:00 PM SYRACUSE ESPN

WASHINGTON ST10:30 PM TIME CHANGE CALIFORNIA ESPN

109 110

111 112

21 17

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 13

PHILADELPHIA8:25 PM CAROLINA CBS

TEXAS ST ESPNU7:30 PM TIME CHANGE UL-LAFAYETTE

103 104

107 108

3 8

14’

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 12

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15

MONDAY, OCTOBER 16

INDIANAPOLIS 8:30 PM TENNESSEE ESPN

275 276 NL 6

CLEVELAND1:00 PM HOUSTON

NEW ENGLAND1:00 PM NY JETS

MIAMI1:00 PM ATLANTA

DETROIT1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS

GREEN BAY1:00 PM MINNESOTA

CHICAGO1:00 PM BALTIMORE

SAN FRANCISCO1:00 PM WASHINGTON

LA RAMS4:05 PM JACKSONVILLE

TAMPA BAY4:05 PM ARIZONA

PITTSBURGH4:25 PM KANSAS CITY

LA CHARGERS4:25 PM OAKLAND

NY GIANTS 8:30 PM DENVER NBC

251 252

253 254

255 256

257 258

259 260

261 262

263 264

265 266

267 268

269 270

271 272

273 274

9

4’

7’

10’

6

4

20

14

7

3

7

3

PK

4

8

4

6

PK

10

PURDUE3:30 PM TIME CHANGE WISCONSIN BTN

NORTHWESTERN 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARYLAND ESPN2

MIAMI OHIO3:30 PM TIME CHANGEKENT ST

OHIO U3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BOWLING GREEN

AKRON CBSSN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE W MICHIGAN

TOLEDO3:30 PM TIME CHANGE C MICHIGAN

E MICHIGAN12:00 PM ARMY CBSSN

NO ILLINOIS3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BUFFALO

CONNECTICUT12:00 PM TEMPLE ESPNN

MASSACHUSSETS12:00 PM CANCELLED USFVIRGINIA3:30 PM TIME CHANGE N CAROLINA ACC

113 114

115 116

117 118

119 120

121 122

123 124

125 126

127 128

129 130

131 132133 134

OL PB

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 11135 136

137 138

139 140

141 142

143 144

145 146

147 148

149 150

151 152

153 154

155 156

157 158

159 160

161 162

163 164

165 166

167 168

169 170

171 172

173 174

OL PBCOLORADO4:00 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON ST

UCLA9:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA

VANDERBILT 3:30 PMMISSISSIPPI SEC

OKLAHOMA 3:30 PM @ Dallas, TX TEXAS ESPN

OHIO ST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE NEBRASKA

BYU12:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSISSIPPI ST SEC ARKANSAS7:15 PM TIME CHANGE ALABAMA ESPN

BAYLOR3:30 PM OKLAHOMA ST

MISSOURI7:30 PM TIME CHANGE GEORGIA SEC

NAVY3:45 PM TIME CHANGE MEMPHIS ESPNU

NEW MEXICO ST6:00 PM GA SOUTHERN

UTEP7:00 PM SOUTHERN MISS

COASTAL CARO7:00 PM ARKANSAS ST

UTSA7:00 PM NORTH TEXAS

TEXAS A&M 7:00 PM FLORIDA ESPN2

SOUTH CAROLINA12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TENNESSEE ESPN

AUBURN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE LSU CBS

MICHIGAN ST8:00 PM MINNESOTA BTN

OREGON11:00 PM TIME CHANGE STANFORD

WASHINGTON 10:45 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA ST ESPN

175 176

177 178

179 180

181 182

183 184

185 186

187 188

189 190

191 192

193 194

195 196

197 198

199 200

201 202

203 204

205 206

207 208

209 210

211 212

213 214

OL PB OL PB

2’

12’

PK

3

8

21’

21

31

23

29’

RUTGERS12:00 PMILLINOIS BTN

TEXAS TECH12:00 PMW VIRGINIA ESPNU

NC STATE12:00 PM PITTSBURGH ACC

MICHIGAN12:00 PM INDIANA ABC

EAST CAROLINA7:00 PM TIME CHANGE UCF CBSSN

TULANE7:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA INT’L

BOSTON COLLEGE12:20 PM TIME CHANGE LOUISVILLE ACC

KANSAS 12:00 PMIOWA ST

TCU12:00 PM KANSAS ST FS1

OLD DOMINION2:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARSHALL FLORIDA ST12:00 PM DUKE ESPN2

HOUSTON4:00 PM TIME CHANGETULSA ESPNN

MIDDLE TENN6:30 PM TIME CHANGE UAB

GEORGIA ST5:00 PM TIME CHANGE UL-MONROE

CHARLOTTE4:30 PM TIME CHANGE W KENTUCKY

WYOMING 4:30 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH ST

UNLV2:00 PM AIR FORCE

NEVADA ESPN2 10:15 PM TIME CHANGE COLORADO ST

APPALACHIAN ST5:00 PM TIME CHANGE IDAHO

UTAH8:00 PM TIME CHANGE USC ABC

3

811’

7

8 12

13 11

9’ 14

6

8

6

6

3

16

28

34

28

5’

20’

21

24

10

16

16

�

�

��

�

�

�

6 6

5’ 10

11

6

32

11

19’

20

4’

16’

6’

13

3

18

10

36

3

16

15

3

21

10

3

6

17’

3’

3

1

13

3

10’ 6

4

2’

3

3

4’

8

13’ 6

SOUTH ALABAMA8:00 PM TROY ESPN2

101 102 17 21 6 1

NL 10

12’ 15 24’ 21

10 14

3

10’

3

1

6

10

NEW MEXICO10:00 PM FRESNO ST

BOISE ST10:30 PM S DIEGO ST CBSSN

SAN JOSE ST11:59 PM TIME CHANGE HAWAII

CINCINNATI7:30 PM USF ESPNU

GEORGIA TECH3:30 PM MIAMI FLA ABC

215 216

217 218

219 220

221 222

223 224

3 1

7 10

9

BYES: BUFFALO, CINCINNATI, DALLAS, SEATTLE

12’ 16

NL

9’

1

6

17

18 13

16’ 112’ 6

18 21

24’ 24

7’ 3

october 11-16, 2017 marc’s perfect system p.o.y. - lsu - w ... · pdf filepost 3-0...

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