september 8-12, 2016 marc’s nfl opening week play of the ......marc’s nfl opening week play of...

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NEWTONMILLER

Volume 31, Issue 3 September 8-12, 2016

LATE PHONES FIRE OUT WITH 3-0 SWEEP!

Marc’s NFL Opening Week Play of the Year Goes Sunday!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

Panthers-Broncos Rematch Kicks Off 2016 NFL!

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOKCOPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published

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THE REMATCH

VS

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Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

GLORY DAYSA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

PLAY AGAINST last year’s college football national

champion off a SUATS win if they are facing a non-

conference opponent

“Just sitting back trying to recapture

a little of the glory of, well time slips away

and leaves you with nothing mister but boring stories

of glory days.”

I f you’re headed to your favorite watering hole, here’s a bar bet you’ll likely win every time. Of

course, you’ll need to take along a designated driver – odds are you won’t pass a sobriety test by evening’s end.

The Question: Who are the two college football schools with the most Division I FBS national championships in recorded history?

The Answer: Not Alabama (15), not Michigan, Notre Dame or USC (11), and not Ohio State or Oklahoma (7). If you said Princeton (28) and Yale (27) then I owe you a cold one.

Granted, they all occurred between 1869 and 1950 but the facts are the facts.

When it comes to laying claim to being college football’s best, there

is a common personality trait that runs through each and every member of the team: fame and recognition.

Unfortunately, it comes with a heavy price to pay. Aside from being the number-one game on each opponent’s schedule the next season, these same teams are priced accordingly.

Bring them in off a people-pleasing SUATS win in their previous game and watch them succumb to the added weight applied by the linesmakers as they are a 40.9% losing proposition since 1980, going 84-121-4 ATS.

Worse, if you were to –

– you would have cleaned up. Talk about teams living on name and reputation; these teams are just 24-52 ATS in this role since 1980.

Dress them up as favorites of 6

or more points in this role and it suddenly turns to ‘gory days’ for those backing defending champs as they become a 15-42 ATS losing proposition. And bring an opponent in that won 6 or more games the previous year and they fall to 6-21 ATS.

For what it’s worth, over the last four years these defending champs – namely Alabama and Ohio State – have managed to outscore their non-conference opposition 158-10 in the four games they’ve qualifi ed in under the parameters outline above. Yet somehow they went 0-4 ATS, which is largely attributable to the heavy load they carry.

So when Alabama plays host to Western Kentucky this Saturday off the Tide’s devastating rout of USC last week, you’ll likely hear the Boss (Bruce Springsteen) wailing in the background:

“ I hope when I get old I don’t sit around thinking about it but I probably will. Glory days well

they pass you by…”

ATS W-L Record Since 2002:

12-0(100%)

TWO FOR THE MONEY

PLAY ON any NFL team in a season-opening division game if they

are playing with double revenge-exact from two losses suffered last year, provided they won 5 or more games

last season and are facing a foe that won 10 or fewer games last season.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This head coach shines in conference play, especially when playing off a spread loss, going 10-3 SUATS in his

career, including 10-1 SUATS the last eleven games. He is also a sovereign 16-3-2 ATS in conference games when his team wins SU. Who is this week’s conference king?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

Play ON: ATLANTA FALCONS (Sun, 9/11)

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

The Army Black Knights have waved the white fl ag in their last 18 games off a SU win

since 2010, going 0-18 SU and 4-14 ATS.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

SMARTBOX

Thursday, September 8Carolina 8-1 w/ DBL rev… 4-1 RF’s 3 < pts… 6-2 vs AFC West DENVER 7-1 Thursdays… 4-1 HD’s… 0-5 vs 15-win > LY foe

Sunday, September 11Tampa Bay 0-5 vs 8-win > LY foe… 1-5 dogs < 4 pts vs foe w/ revATLANTA 6-0 H w/ DBL rev… 7-1 H w/ rev bef BB away

Minnesota 7-0 vs AFC… 9-2 vs < 4-win LY foe… 1-10 Away One favsTENNESSEE 14-6 1st BB NFC foes… 2-10 vs 11-win > LY foe

Cleveland Series: 3-1 L4… 6-0 w/ quadruple rev… 5-1 A bef BaltimorePHILADELPHIA 1-6 Home One… 1-6 favs < 10 pts vs AFC North

Cincinnati 7-1 vs non-div foe bef div RG… 1-7 A vs AFC East NY JETS 4-0 HD’s… 7-1 H w/ rev bef BB away… 5-1 bef Buffalo

Oakland Series: 1-7 L8 / 1-3 L4 A… 6-1 w/ Triple rev… 4-1 Away OneNEW ORLEANS 4-1 H bef away… 4-1 vs AFC West foe w/ rev

San Diego Series: 1-4 L5 / 3-1 L4 A… 4-0 w/ quadruple div revKANSAS CITY 5-0 vs foe w/ quadruple rev… 0-4 HF’s 7 > pts

Buffalo 1-6 A bef NY Jets… 1-4 A vs AFC North… 2-13 RD’s < 4 ptsBALTIMORE 5-1 Home One favs vs non-div… 13-3 HF’s < 4 pts vs non-div

Chicago Series: 3-0 L3… 4-0 vs AFC… 1-6 A w/ Triple revHOUSTON 3-1 H vs NFC… 1-6 favs 1st BB home vs foe w/ rev

Green Bay 4-1 vs < 6-win LY foe… 2-7 vs AFC foe w/ rev JACKSONVILLE 0-4 Home One… 1-12 vs NFC… 3-17 H w/ single rev

Miami Series: 5-1 L6… 3-1 L4A… 8-0 Away One vs foe w/ rev SEATTLE 12-1 Home One… 9-1 H w/ DBL rev… 9-2 HF’s vs AFC

Ny Giants 4-1 Away One dogs vs div foe w/ rev… 1-4 dogs < 3 ptsDALLAS 4-1 vs div foe bef Washington… 2-10 H w/ single rev

Detroit 0-4 Away One… 0-4 w/ quadruple rev… 1-4 vs AFCINDIANAPOLIS 4-1 bef Denver… 1-7 Game One… 1-4 Home One New England Series: 5-1 L6 / 3-0 L3A… 4-0 vs 14-win LY foeARIZONA 0-6 HF’s vs non-div foe w/ rev… 2-8 H vs AFC

Monday, September 12Pittsburgh 1-7 RF’s vs non-div bef Cincinnati… 1-5 MNF RF’sWASHINGTON 5-0 HD’s… 1-8 H MNF… 1-5 Home One w/ rev vs non-div

Los Angeles 6-1 A MNF vs div foe… 1-6 Away One vs div foeSAN FRAN 8-1 MNF vs div foe w/ rev… 5-1 Home dogs

Saturday, September 10Arkansas SERIES: 3-1 L4… 5-1 non-conf RD’s 14 < pts… 4-1 vs Big 12TCU 4-1 Game Two home… 2-6 non-conf HF’s < 10 pts

C Florida 1-6 dogs > 20 pts… 1-5 vs opp off SU win 20 > ptsMICHIGAN 1-5 in 2nd of BB HG’s… 3-12 off SU home win 21 > pts

C Michigan 1-6 dogs > 21 pts… 1-3 w/ non-conf revenge OKLA ST 7-3 2nd of BB HG’s… 7-3 non conf HF’s > 21 pts

Tulsa 4-1 dogs 28 > pts… 3-1 aft San Jose St… 1-5 1st RGOHIO ST 0-5 favs 29 > pts… 1-4 Game Two… 1-3 2nd of BB HG’s

Troy 3-1 Game Two… 6-2 dogs > 28 pts… 3-7 1st of BB RG’sCLEMSON 3-1 non-conf favs 28 > pts… 1-4 Game Two favs

Kentucky 1-6 away w/ conf revenge… 1-6 conf RD’s 15 < ptsFLORIDA SERIES: 8-1 L9… 4-1 2nd of 3+ HG’s… 0-3 Game Two

W Kentucky 6-1 dogs 24 > pts… 5-2 vs SEC… 0-7 1st of BB RG’sALABAMA 0-8 non-conf favs 24 > pts… 3-7 bef Mississippi

Va Tech 0-3 bef Bost Coll… 1-5 vs SEC… 2-5 non-conf dog > 7 ptsTennessee 3-1 vs ACC… 1-5 non-conf HF’s > 3 pts… 3-8 Game Two

Byu 4-1 dogs w/ rev… 3-1 away vs Pac-12… 3-1 dogs 10 < ptsUTAH SERIES: 4-0 L4… 4-1 L5 as non-conf favs… 1-5 home vs rev

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

BOWLER BLUESBOWLERS OFF SEASON-OPENING LOSSES STRUGGLE TO REGROUP IN GAME TWOThe knee-jerk reaction would be to make a case for teams in Game Two off a season-opening loss if they were a bowl team last year. But before you blow out an ACL, check this out: Bowlers (last year) off a loss in Game One of the season are just 135-147-4 ATS in Game Two lined affairs since 1990.

GAME TWO BOWLERS OFF A LOSS FOLD LIKE CHEAP TENTS AS FAVORITESFollowing up, Game Two bowlers off a season-opening defeat have an especially diffi cult time getting their act together when laying points, going just 77-91-2 ATS. Worse, if these creaky chalk artists are laying points on the road, they dissolve to 19-33-1 ATS, including 12-24-1 ATS in non-conference affairs. North Carolina and Ohio U take to the road in a blue mood this Saturday. If these non-conference road favorites are off an ATS loss of more than 5 points in their season-opening game, they dip to 6-18-1 ATS. The Tar Heels and the Bobcats look to have a rough row to hoe this week.

GAME TWO BOWLERS OFF A SU FAVORITE LOSS STRUGGLE TO GET BACK UPIn addition, beaten bowlers in Game Two who lost their season-opening game as a favorite become sluggish propositions in Game Two. That’s confi rmed by their 39-53 ATS mark in these games. And if they dress right back up as a favorite in Game Two, they fall to 23-35 ATS, including 10-26 ATS when facing a foe that is not off a win of more than 10 points. Mississippi State and Notre Dame fi gure to be crooning this week.

Now you know why Game Two bowlers off a loss often sing the blues!


Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Wildcats Fall Victim To The Curse Of The Swamp...Falcons, Julio, Give Bucs A Schoolyard Beating...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - SEPTEMBER 8-12

Friday, September 9

Maryland over FLORIDA INT’L by 6 Week Two in the league in which donors provide loaners (and ‘moaners’) fi nds us, once again, beginning in FIU Stadium where the Golden Panthers are in a similar role to that of their opener – double-digit home dogs to a Big Ten school. The points looked like the play last Thursday as the Panthers led Indiana, 13-12, heading into the fourth quarter but a 22-0 Hoosiers’ run in the fi nal stanza found Ron Turner’s troops on both the short end of the scorecard for just the second time in their last seven home contests (5-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS). Speaking of Turner, he has a score to settle with the Terrapins as a 43-10 loss in College Park marked his FIU head-coaching debut in 2013. Sure, the Terps routed lowly Howard, 52-13, under 1st-year head coach D.J. Durkin in last week’s opener but a wobbly 3-7 ATS mark in road openers makes it diffi cult laying doubles on the road – especially with only ONE win coming by this margin in their last 19 games against FBS opposition. Thus, we’ll gladly grab the generous double-digits with the avenging hosts as the Turtles go into their shells tonight in the South Florida humidity.

Louisville over SYRACUSE by 7 Papa John’s Stadium looked more like the Moonlite Bunny Ranch in last week’s 70-14 rout of Charlotte as 16 different players were on the ‘receiving’ end of a Lamar Jackson or Kyle Bolin pass. Jackson pimped out six of the eight Cardinals’ touchdown passes – and ran for two more – and will likely need another big effort to cover tonight’s 2-TD-plus spread as the Orange are now led by offensive-minded head coach Dino Babers. His BeeGees were fourth in the nation in total offense (546 YPG) and sixth in scoring (42.2 PG) in 2015. In keeping with his M.O, there was plenty of offense (and bright smiles) in the Carrier Dome last Friday as the Orange routed Colgate, 33-7, behind QB Eric Dungey (34 of 40) and an attack that tallied 554 total yards. More importantly, Babers owns a 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS mark versus undefeated opposition while inheriting a team that is 6-0 ATS at home with conference revenge (lost 41-17 in Louisville last season) and 6-1 ATS as home dogs of more than 8 points. Color these Orange a dangerous dog as the unsuspecting visitors just may get caught with their pants down. A must take.

Saturday, September 10

Boston College over UMASS by 13 First one to three wins? In a game that could very well resemble more of a European futbol contest than an NCAA football matchup, we have no choice but to grab the healthy double-digits being offered to the hosts today in Amherst. Sure, we were happy to grab a ‘push’ with our 3* Best Bet selection on Georgia Tech in last week’s issue – and probably shouldn’t push our luck – as the Jackets converted on a 4th-and-19 on the fi nal drive to eke out a 17-14 win in Ireland despite being outyarded, 313-228. However, we just can’t lay signifi cant points on the road with a squad that still may be searching for its seas legs, and especially one that didn’t top 17 points against FBS opposition in all of 2015. That doesn’t mean, though, we’re completely gung-ho on an inept Minutemen group that left Gainesville with nothing more than a moral victory last Saturday. A 10-4 ATS log as dogs versus a foe off a SU loss since joining the FBS in 2012 provides some ammo, as does payback from a 30-7 loss to BC in the 2014 season opener – a game that marked HC Mark Whipple’s return to UMass. More importantly, in a matchup that could feature less scoring than a dyslexic Scrabble tournament, we can only take it or leave it. We suggest you do the same.

TCU over Arkansas by 3 Hog fans were fi t to be tied before a 4th-quarter rally by Bret Bielema’s 26-point favorites sent the Fayetteville faithful home with a narrow 21-20 win over gritty Louisiana Tech. Now while we’re certain that trip to Razorback Stadium isn’t as satisfying as say a night on the town at Smitty’s Garage Burgers and Beers which is ranked #6 on Trip Advisor’s top restaurants in Fayetteville (unlikely we’ll be dining at #7 anytime soon), it

was nonetheless a win – which is more than you can say for six other SEC teams that suffered non-conference setbacks in the opening week. Granted this trip to Fort Worth won’t be easy but the line appears a bit too tall and may be an overreaction to Arky’s lethargic opening-day effort. And it’s not like the Horned Frogs – sans Trevone Boykin and Josh Doctson – set on the world on fi re in their sloppy (12 penalties) win over FCS foe South Dakota State. Simply put, the Hogs are too talented to take this many points and our database agrees, noting: Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as non-conference road dogs of 14 or less points and 4-1 ATS versus Big 12 opposition, while the Frogs are 2-6 ATS as non-conference home favorites of less than 10 points and 2-7-1 ATS against the SEC. It’s a take as Bielema improves to 16-7-1 ATS as a dog off a SU win.

GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

Rice over ARMY by 6 Last week’s Upset Special (Colorado State over Colorado) was the only blemish on an otherwise terrifi c week as Newsletter Best Bets went 2-0-1 and the Late Phones delivered a perfect 3-0 card. However, our INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK expects a quick about-face in this category considering the Cadets are 0-18 SU and 4-14 ATS in games off a SU win (upset Temple last Saturday) since 2010. They are also a winless 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in this series since 2006 – taking points in each of the last three contests. Yes, Army took ‘offense’ to our comments that we wouldn’t trust them facing ISIS on the road, scoring 28 points in the surprise win, but they may actually be in a more precarious position today in West point as: non-conference favorites in Game Two of the season, off a SU win as a dog of 10 or more points in Game One, are just 4-12-1 ATS since 1980. In addition, Rice returns 16 starters and is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in games off its initial loss of the season over the last six years. And though these Owls don’t appear as wise as the ones from Temple, they benefi t from the fact that the hosts fall prey to THE CLINCHER: Army is 4-18 as favorites of more than 7 points, including 0-6 ATS versus a foe that won fi ve or more games the previous season.

KANSAS over Ohio by 6 We’re well aware that the Jayhawks have been asked to lay points just four times (3-1 SU) in the past six seasons, and they haven’t won back-to-back games on the gridiron since Apple released the iPhone 4S (2011). However, our database doesn’t need a ‘Smart’ Phone to remind us that MAC squads are 5-18 ATS in games off a SU loss when facing a Big 12 foe, including 1-14 SU and 2-13 ATS away. Heck, even the wagering public clicked their heels three times as Kansas went from a 2-point dog to a 3-point favorite! And why not? KU is coming off a confi dence-building 55-6 rout of Rhode Island – snapping a 15-game losing skein in the process – and is 9-3 SU and 6-2 ATS versus MAC opposition, including 5-1 ATS at home. And should the Bobbies return to the left side of the column before kick-off, keep this in mind: Ohio U is 2-9-1 ATS as road chalk off a SUATS loss and becomes a tightener in this week’s Smart Phone, err SMART BOX on page 3, as they fold like cheap tents. Either way, we’ll follow the road to Lawrence on this second Saturday in September.

MICHIGAN over Central Florida by 39We know that you know that we love to fade huge favorites at every opportunity. Heck, we made a case for Hawaii and Charlotte last week that even Perry Mason, Ben Matlock or Jackie Chiles (Seinfeld) couldn’t have wound up winning after seeing those schools get outscored by a combined 133-17. However, we just can’t defend a UCF squad making a trip to the Big House that went 0-12 last season (even losing to FCS Furman), including an uncompetitive 0-4 ATS as dogs of more than 20 points. Sure, we could tell you that Knights opened the season with a 38-0 whitewash of South Carolina State under new head coach Scott Frost or that the Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in the second of back-to-back homers and 3-12 ATS off a SU home win of 21 or more points. But our judge and jury (a.k.a. database) fi nds that:

(continued on next page)


home teams in Game Two off a home win in which it scored 60-plus points are 14-2 ATS if they won 10 or more games the previous campaign. As fast-talking Jackie would say, “that’s lewd, lascivious, salacious, outrageous!” We say, lay it if you play it.

MISSOURI over Eastern Michigan by 20 The long-lost Mizzou offense (14 PPG in 2015) remained M.I.A. under new head coach Barry Odom in last week’s 26-11 loss to West Virginia, Thus, we can assure you that there’s a better chance of us playing Pokemon Go on the L.A. Freeway during rush hour than laying nearly four touchdowns with a team that hasn’t come close to eclipsing that number in its last 11 games. Surely the EMU’s (three FBS wins in its last 34 games) – who should be invited to more Homecomings than Heidi Fleiss – are a welcome sight, but the MAC may no longer be pushovers as evidenced by a solid 5-3 ATS record against FBS opposition in Week One. And though the Tigers need this one more than ‘Go’ players need Poke Balls – especially with Georgia, Florida and LSU dotting the September/October slate – we’re not in any ‘hurry’ to back these Cats. That leaves us looking East today in Columbia.

APPALACHIAN ST over Old Dominion by 16The Mountaineers came this-close to pulling off another monumental upset in the opening week over the Vols, but blew a 10-point halftime lead and failed to come up with an OT score to match Tennessee’s tally in the extra session, a TD that gave Butch Jones’ crew its only lead of the contest. However, keep in mind that back in 2007 when ASU earned the cover of Sports Illustrated by pulling the rug out from Michigan in the Big House, they followed it up with a 48-7 crushing of Lenoir Rhyne. Senior RB Marcus Cox had a solid game last Thursday against the Vols, rushing for 110 yards and catching a 33-yard TD pass from QB Taylor Lamb (it was the 23rd time Cox has passed the century rushing mark in his career). The problem here is that despite a 6-3 ATS mark last season, home favorites coming off an OT loss have burned the cash, going just 51-71-2 versus the number since the inception of overtime in 1996. Besides that, the Monarchs are coming off an easy 54-21 win on Sunday over Hampton, and are looking for serious revenge against the Mountaineers, who handed ODU the worst defeat of their short history since joining the FBS in 2014, a 49-0 whitewash in Norfolk. With 17 starters returning for the Monarchs, and a 3-1 ATS record in games off a victory versus sub-.500 opponents, the points are the play today.

PITTSBURGH over Penn State by 7This is a renewal of a classic Keystone State rivalry (which was discontinued after the 2000 game) that sees the Nittany Lions owning victories in seven of the last eight meetings, all of which found Penn State in the chalk role. Last week, James Franklin’s team pulled away from Kent State with a 17-0 second half en route to a 33-13 win, thanks in part to a 30-yard pick six by Awani Oruwariye early in the 3rd quarter. Redshirt sophomore QB Trace McSorley had a competent, if not spectacular game in his fi rst career start, and RB Saquon Barkley rushed for 105 yards and a TD. Meanwhile, Pitt celebrated the return of RB James Conner, who missed almost all of last season with an MCL tear suffered in the opener, then announced last December that he had been diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma. Now cancer-free, Conner was the weekend’s feel-good story, scoring twice in a 28-7 win over Villanova. QB Nathan Peterman also returns for 2nd-year head coach and defensive guru Pat Narduzzi, whose stop unit held the Wildcats to just 172 yards and recorded six sacks. In addition, Narduzzi is a perfect 4-0 against the number when coming off a non-conference contest, but just 1-4 ATS overall at home. Therefore, we’ll just sit back and enjoy the rebirth of this series from the sidelines.

Cincinnati over PURDUE by 1The Boilermakers showed some decent talent in an up-and-down effort versus Eastern Kentucky on Saturday as junior DE Gelen Robinson gave Purdue a big 1st quarter lead with a 78-yard interception return and the Boilers held on in the second half with an impressive defensive effort. Robinson, the son of former NBA fi rst-rounder Glenn ‘Big Dog’ Robinson, beautifully anticipated an EKU razzle-dazzle pass by receiver James Smith and took it the distance, one of four turnovers forced by the Purdue defense. Sophomore RB Markell Jones showed that he can handle a major workload, rushing 24 times for 145 yards and hauling in four David Blough passes for another 24 yards. On the fl ip side, Cincy looked lethargic in a 28-7 win over UT-Martin last week, an FCS school that is now 1-21 against the FBS. While the Bearcats scored 28 unanswered points in the contest, it wasn’t until there was 2:42 left in the 3rd quarter that they actually took their fi rst lead. Although we feel the Bearcats will be a moneymaker by season’s end, the problem we have today is they are only 3-14 SU in games against Big Ten opponents, including 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS away. Coupled with a huge revenger on deck against mighty Houston, we’ll Boiler Up here today.

INDIANA over Ball St by 24First-year Cardinals’ head coach Mike Neu was breathing a bit easier Friday night following a 31-21 win over Georgia State as 5-point underdogs in the Georgia Dome, thanks to a much-improved defense. Ball State allowed over 500 yards per game last season, but gave up just 272 yards to the Panthers, including just 77 on the ground while piling up 325 rushing yards of their own. Neu has 16 starters back from last season, but here’s the rub: rookie coaches who are dogs in Game Two after opening up as a dog in Game One, are just 9-46 SU and 20-34 ATS when facing a foe off a win, including 0-37 SU and 9-28 ATS as double-digit dogs. In the famous words of Hall & Oates, “we can’t go for that”, no can do. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers took their time before cranking things up with a 22-0 fi nal quarter and defeated FIU on the road, turning a close game into a blowout with a safety and two pick sixes. That may be somewhat understandable considering the fact that six players – including three starters – were suspended for the opener due to unspecifi ed reasons. All but one are expected to be back against Ball State. But the numbers tell the story: a 24-5 SU mark versus the MAC since 1989 tells us who is going to win this game, and a 15-1 ATS mark in SU wins under Kevin Wilson confi rms the side to play.

OKLAHOMA over UL-Monroe by 44While casual fans (and those who didn’t do their homework) thought Houston’s 33-23 win over Oklahoma was a major upset, we weren’t surprised. In fact, if you read last week’s newsletter, you’ll know we identifi ed Houston as a solid take, not to mention that we noted the Coogs’ proclivity for notching double-digit wins over ranked opponents. But one thing did surprise us: 70 yards rushing for the Sooners… even with Samaje Perine hampered by a shoulder injury -– are you kidding?!? So, will we see Bob Stoops’ troops breathing fi re, ready to take it out on the hapless Warhawks? Noting that the Sooners are 32-0 SU and 23-8 ATS in games off a loss during the regular season since 1999, we’d be on them like Charlie Sheen on a Vegas hooker were it not for the monstrous spread, and the fact that the Sooners may be suffering from a case of ‘Bowler Blues’ (see this week’s SMART BOX on page 2). We know that Oklahoma can cover some heavy lumber, as they are 7-0 ATS as non-conference favorites of 35 or more points, but Monroe is 5-1 versus the spread when getting those kinds of numbers. Also, in the Warhawks’ last 27 SU losses in lined games, they have covered in only six. Just too many question marks here, plus a severe warning from the intelligent cube – so stay away.

OKLAHOMA ST over Central Michigan by 24If you thoroughly perused the PLAYBOOK College Football Preview Guide, you know quite well that we are huge fans of John Bonamego, the Chippewas’ head coach and cancer survivor. Last year in the season-opening 24-13 loss to Oklahoma State, his squad gave the Cowboys all they could handle in Bonamego’s CMU debut. However, it looks like the numbers are stacked against them here as the experienced Pokes piled up 61 points on 387 yards of offense last week against SE Louisiana. That brings us back to the stat we outlined earlier in the Michigan-UCF game: college football home teams in Game Two off a home win in which it scored 60-plus points are 14-2 ATS if they won 10 or more games the previous season. If that isn’t enough ammunition for you, just look at the Oklahoma State depth chart and see how many names of explosive players you recognize… there are plenty. Finally, OSU is 7-3 ATS as non-conference chalk of 3 TDs or more, while the Chips are 1-6 ATS against the same. CMU will challenge for a division title in the MAC, but this is a step up to a whole ‘nother level.

WISCONSIN over Akron by 16Similar situation here with a MAC team stepping up to play a major conference monster, but we’re going to grab the wood here. Why, you ask? Because when they zig, we zag… or in this case, when they zig, we zip. Seriously, one of the main reasons is that the Badgers are due for a massive letdown following their emotional win over LSU, and the well-oiled machine confi rms it: Non-conference college football favorites in Game Two of the season coming off a SU win as an underdog of 10 or more points in Game One are just 4-12-1 ATS since 1980. Huge props to Paul Chryst for getting his team pumped up to play a marquee opener at Lambeau, but a quick look at his performance in the past reveals an 8-7 SU mark and a 5-9 ATS record when coming off an ATS win, including 1-6 SUATS when facing a foe off a SU win. Meanwhile, the Zips outlasted VMI, 47-24, last week and gained 576 yards on offense, with QB Tommy Woodson throwing for 6 TDs. Plus, Akron HC Terry Bowden is 15-9 ATS as a road dog in his career, including 8-2 ATS versus .875 or greater opposition. We like those numbers… a lot.


NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

NC State over EAST CAROLINA by 1ECU has posted an impressive 9-0 ATS record against non-conference opponents since 2013, including covers against Florida, Virginia Tech and BYU last season, but a 1-4 SU record to fi nish the campaign in 2015 got Ruffi n McNeill fi red. Usher in the Scottie Montgomery era, which got off to a quick start last week in the former Duke offensive coordinator’s debut against Western Carolina. Former Minnesota QB Phillip Nelson seems to fi nd trouble off the fi eld, but while directing the ECU offense, no one will question his talent. He went 28 of 32 for 398 yards last week and tossed fi ve TDs while running for two more. The last meeting between these two schools was a 42-28 win for East Carolina in Raleigh in 2013, so the Wolfpack will be looking for revenge, a role that’s brought them success the last four times it presented itself. Dave Doeren’s team had an easy win over Bill & Mary on Thursday night, outgaining the tribe 521-168, and with offensive threats in RBs Matt Dayes and Jaylen Samuels, plus Boise State transfer Ryan Finley at QB, the offense of new OC Eli Drinkwitz (also coming over from Boise) should continue to put up big numbers. However, the Pirates are extremely dangerous in situations like this and are always tough in Greenville at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. A 16-6-1 ATS mark as home underdogs cements it.

OHIO ST over Tulsa by 34Not that we need to remind you but in case you forgot: Urban Meyer is 59-6 SU and 42-15-1 ATS in non-conference play, including 20-4-1 ATS off a SUATS win. In addition, the Buckeyes fi t into the scenario for excellent teams that light up the scoreboard in openers (like Michigan and Oklahoma State did last week), so we’re not fading that with this defenseless invader. Sure, the Golden Hurricane came to life in a 45-10 victory over San Jose State last week and can match points with just about anyone in the nation, but it just ain’t gonna happen at the Horseshoe. Tulsa’s big three (QB Dane Evans, RB D’Angelo Brewer and WR Keevan Evans) will impress many this year, probably just not this week. Ohio State was forced to replace 16 starters, most of whom will be playing in the NFL this season, but names like Weber, Samuel, and McCall will help the memories of Ezekiel Elliott, Michael Thomas and Braxton Miller fade just a bit by the time October rolls around. This won’t be a blowout of the magnitude of Ohio State’s 77-10 thrashing last Saturday, but we’re convinced that 4 TDs are not enough of a cushion for Tulsa.

CLEMSON over Troy by 31Clemson is coming off an emotional 19-13 victory over Auburn last week in a battle of Tigers, but since nothing short of a national championship will satisfy their fans this season, there are early rumblings around the state of South Carolina anytime a game is close. That’s just unfair to Dabo Swinney and his guys, but such is the nature of life at the top in college football. Frankly, there has to be a period of adjustment when a quality OC like Chad Morris leaves the program but we swear, Clemson will be just fi ne, thank you. Certainly, 19 of 34 for 248 yards and a TD are not Heisman-type stats, but QB DeShaun Watson did fi nd the range with returning WR Mike Williams early and that is cause for celebration. Having said all that, we’re not choosing Clemson to cover this huge spread against a pretty good Troy squad, not after the Trojans were one of three teams (Ohio State and Texas Tech were the others) to roll up over 700 yards of offense during the weekend. Okay, the Trojans are coming off back-to-back losing seasons (Larry Blakeney’s last and Neal Brown’s fi rst), but we fi rmly believe that they are on the comeback trail with Brown now at the helm, and see a spot here for Troy to catch the Tigers in a letdown situation. Take it if you play it.

SOUTH FLORIDA over Northern Illinois by 4We had a feeling the road-loving Huskies might lose their bearings last week in Laramie (fell to Wyoming in triple-overtime) but we’re not about to bite the hand that fed us. And why should we? Despite the setback, the sled dogs are still 24-5 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 away games. Better yet, they now fi nd themselves taking points from a team that is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 tries as home chalk, including 0-6 ATS when hosting a foe that won six or more games the previous season. And after tossing in USF HC Willie Taggart’s 15-16-1 ATS mark at home, including 1-5 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points (like the Huskies, more times than not we’ll run with these Bulls when they take to the road as Taggart is 26-7-1 ATS away), we have little choice but to back a NIU bunch that hasn’t lost back-to-back games to open the season since 2008. Still not convinced? Maybe this will help: the ONLY time the Huskies took more than two touchdowns from a non-Power 5 squad over the last decade was in 2007 against Navy (+16.5) – and they promptly covered in a 35-24 loss. Now, that’s our type of pedigree pup!

DUKE over Wake Forest by 12 ‘Sirk du Soleil’ won’t be hitting the Durham campus anytime soon as star QB Thomas Sirk is out for the season with an Achilles injury. However, the show went on and the Blue Devils’ offense was ‘magnifi que’ in a 49-6 rout of NC Central, tallying 535 total yards. Yes, the critics will get tougher as the season progresses but the Demon Deacons have always given the Blue Devils a standing ovation, dropping the last four on both the stadium scoreboard and the ATS scorecard. We expect déjà vu as the coup-de-grace (we’re not sure why we’re talking French but we’re told our female readers like it) fi nds Devils HC David Cutcliffe 6-2 ATS in ACC home openers with Duke. This may be a la carte but Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson is just 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS away of late in conference roadies. We also have one more Hors d’oeuvre for you to chew on: the Deacs gained a measly 175 yards in a lackluster 7-3 win over Tulane at home last Thursday. Ok, we may have overdone it a bit so it’s probably time to bid adieu. In other words, lay the reasonable spot and end this façade. Touché!

NAVY over Connecticut by 6 The Middies are riding a 10-game home win skein and were 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their AAC debut last season. As a result, they’ll be tackling a bevy of revenge-minded conference foes this season, including the Huskies who fell 28-18 at home. The problem with backing a UConn bunch that did show improvement on both sides of the ball under 3rd-year head coach Bob Diaco in 2015 – as well as a four-game leap in the win column – is a nasty 0-6 SUATS mark in conference lid-lifters over the past six seasons. We also must point out the East Hartford hounds trailed Maine, 21-14, in the fourth quarter before pulling out a 24-21 victory. And while we’re certain Diaco kept a few tricks under his sleeve for the Midshipmen, we’re just not sure how many. That keeps us at bay for now. And since our ship has sailed, we’ll let you make the call.

TEXAS over Utep by 21 You knew this was coming. In fact, you’re probably surprised this doesn’t have Best Bet status written all over it. It could have as the Horns must still be on Cloud Nine after their thrilling win over the Irish in double overtime. We were impressed but our database is not yet ‘hooked’ as it notes: teams who upset Notre Dame are just 9-22-2 ATS when changing roles the following game, including 0-5-1 ATS when installed as favorites of more than 24 points. It also doesn’t help that HC Charlie Strong is 4-8 ATS off a SUATS win versus a foe off a SU win. That UTEP win came at the hands of New Mexico State and doesn’t hold that much water as the Miners have owned the Aggies since 2009 (8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS). However, the last time ‘little brother‘ visited Austin (ironically 2009), it resulted in a 64-7 mauling… so we expect a much better effort this time around. And remember – that was against a 13-1 UT squad that lost to Alabama in the National Championship Game. So with QBs Shane Buechele and Tyrone Swoopes still reading their press clippings, there’s a chance the Miners may go unnoticed for a few quarters. Thus, we’ll grab the boatload as the Texas Tide rolls in late.

AUBURN over Arkansas St by 13 Both the Tigers and Red Wolves enter off opening-season losses but it was actually ASU who was supposed to arrive unbeaten. While Aubbie fi gured to have its hands full with 2nd-ranked Clemson, ASU dropped a 31-10 decision to Toledo as 4-point home chalk. It marked only the fi fth loss in Jonesboro for the Wolves in the past six seasons. And though the Tigers fi gure to bounce back on the SU scoreboard as they haven’t lost back-to-back homers under HC Gus Malzahn – while the Red Wolves are 0-33-2 SU versus SEC opposition – it could be a different story on the ATS scorecard as a 1-5-1 ATS mark in Jordan-Hare last season suggests these Cats are overpriced today. So does the Red Wolves’ 26-6 SU and 19-11 ATS log in games versus a foe off a SU loss, and 13-4 SU and 9-5 ATS record following of loss of their own. And for those keeping score: despite the winless SU record against the SEC, Arky State is a surprising 6-2 ATS versus these squads when it arrives off a loss. Complicating matters for the hosts is a conference-opening tilt with Texas A&M on deck, followed by another SEC West battle with LSU. And with Malzahn taking on the look of a desperate coach, we’ll fade the unpredictable Tigers and grab the growing points (up to 19) with the Wolves in this battle of cats and dogs.

AIR FORCE over Georgia St by 14 After listening to Air Force head coach Troy Calhoun talk about his banged-up Flyboys (QB Nate Romine and RB Timothy McVey are listed as questionable), it sounds like he wants to take his ball and go home. “I think at every position we’re going to have tough, durable guys,” Calhoun said. “If you aren’t, you’re going to get us beat. I think the other thing is you have a built-in alibi if you’re a guy who gets hurt easily. If you’re a guy who gets hurt easily, you need to fi nd another activity where



there’s not contact involved.” We’re not sure if Calhoun is pissed that his players suffered injuries against a peace-loving Abilene Christian squad or that his 13-game home winning streak is suddenly on the line. Don’t worry Troy, the opposing Panthers – who fi nished the 2015 regular-season campaign on a 4-0 SUATS run – came back to earth in last week’s season-opening 31-21 setback to Ball State, allowing 455 yards in the process. Revenge from a 10-point home loss to the Falcons in 2014 will likely be the focal point of Trent Miles’ pre-game speech but Calhoun just has to remind his troops (if anyone is around to listen) that these same Panthers went 3-29 SU in FBS play prior to last season’s surprising fi nish. As for us, we need to hear from the injury report before making a fi nal decision. Pass for now.

COLORADO ST over Tex-San Antonio by 8 The Roadrunners didn’t exactly outrun the Alabama State Hornets in last week’s 26-13 lid-lifter but they should be able to outwit a Rams’ squad that was a no-show last Friday in Mile High against in-state rival Colorado. As it is, CSU is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS after colliding with the Buffaloes. They also remember San Antonio last season as they barely escaped with a 33-31 win, outgaining UTSA by a mere 6 yards in the process. And that was against a Roadrunners’ squad that suffered gaping holes after losing 38 seniors to graduation. New head coach Frank Wilson, Les Miles’ right-hand man over the past six seasons, inherits a much more experienced group that includes seven returning starters to an offense that took major strides in 2015. A 5-0 ATS log in non-conference affairs off a non-conference win also gets our attention, and makes it rather clear why we’re in no ‘hurry’ to back the not-so-tough Rams today in Fort Collins. Beep, beep.

5� BEST BET

Like most SEC teams not named Alabama, the Gators struggled mightily in Week One, topping lowly Massachusetts, 24-7 in the Swamp. But at least like six of their conference counterparts, including Kentucky, the lights didn’t all go out. The same cannot be said for the Wildcats as they were up 35-10 with 1 minute remaining in the fi rst half before surrendering 34 unanswered points to Southern Miss in a 44-35 defeat. The Golden Eagles used a whopping 96-50 play and 2-to-1 time of possession to their advantage, which should fi nd ‘Little Game’ Mark Stoops’ Wildcats sleep-walking into Gainesville. It also doesn’t help that Stoops is 12-25 SU and 12-22 ATS overall, including 7-18 ATS as a dog and 5-20 ATS in games he loses SU, or that Kentucky is 1-6 ATS away with conference revenge and 1-6 ATS as conference road dogs of 15 or less points (check line). Series history also shows that the last time the ‘Cats walked away with a victory in this matchup, the average price for a new car was $9,255 and ‘Murder, She Wrote’ was one of the most popular shows on television (1986). However, we don’t need Mrs. Fletcher to remind us that the Gators have covered eight of the last nine in this one-sided series or that UF is 24-2 SU in SEC home openers since 1990, including 8-2-2 ATS when favored by less than 17 points, And when you toss in HC Jim McElwain’s 16-3-2 ATS record in conference games he wins SU, we’re just showing off by introducing THE CLINCHER: Home teams in Game Two, off a win and no cover as a favorite of 30 or more points, are 16-4 ATS since 2007, including 13-0 ATS if not favored by more than 24 points.

FLORIDA over Kentucky by 28

NOTRE DAME over Nevada by 21No question that the Sunday night tilt between the Irish and the Longhorns was one of the most exciting games of the weekend, and it certainly was one of the most-viewed. However, there is no such thing as a moral victory in college football and the Irish’s record is now the same as Bowling Green’s. The Dame is obviously a talented team, though, and should bounce back with a win here. But even though it looks like the Wolf Pack could be the perfect fodder for the pissed-off Golden Domers, our research tells a different tale. In fact, a 5-2 ATS mark for Nevada as underdogs of 17 or more points and 6-1-1 spread record as road dogs over the past two seasons is a strong counter punch. Last Friday, Nevada held a 14-point lead over Cal-Poly going into the 4th quarter, but allowed 152 yards rushing in the fi nal stanza as the game went into OT, then survived in the extra session by holding the Mustangs to a FG as RB James Butler punched in the game-winner. Brian Kelly has apparently solved his QB dilemma for now as DeShone Kizer shined against the Longhorns, throwing for 6 TDs and rushing for another. But when push comes to shove, we refer to the all-knowing SMART BOX, which presents a 10-26 ATS trend against supporting the Irish here. And when we factor in the woes of a losing OT home favorite, we must advise you to either take the points or simply avoid the 1-2 punch.

WASHINGTON over Idaho by 39The Huskies were the trendy pick for the TV talking heads heading into the season and they supported that trust with a 48-13 thrashing of Rutgers to open the campaign Saturday – a game that was not even that close as the Scarlet Knights put up 10 points after things were no longer in doubt. You know how much we like Chris Petersen as a coach and he has QB Jake Browning coming off a stellar freshman season along with plenty of superb athletes at the skill positions. Add to that the middle game of three straight at home in Pullman against a team that is apparently playing out the string before downgrading next year to FBS waters, and we have a crushing in Paul Petrino’s immediate future. One caveat, though: if this pointspread should head into the naughty-naughty land of 40 or more points – and that would not surprise us – we’ll likely take a seat on the pines. The Vandals won their opener on Thursday night by just 3 points over Montana State, a team that went 5-6 last year against the likes of Fort Lewis and Northern Arizona, and they can expect a beating at Husky Stadium today from a team looking to up their profi le.

4� BEST BET

If you’re a long-time reader of this publication, you won’t be terribly shocked that we like the Hilltoppers to keep things relatively close in the Tide’s home opener. After all, WKU won 12 games last season under an electrifying offense led by former NFL signal-caller Jeff Brohm (covering nine of them). And despite the graduation of star QB Brandon Doughty, there is plenty of talent back in Bowling Green, including an experienced O-line and game-breakers like RB Anthony Wales and WR Nic Norris. Even Nick Saban said on Monday, “They play physical football. This is a good team. We can’t take them for granted.” B Mike White, who transferred over from South Florida and fi ts nicely into Doughty’s big shoes, threw for 517 yards and 3 TDs last week in 46-14 pummeling of a decent Rice team that was returning 16 starters, part of a 649-yard attack. Besides, Bama has a HUGE revenge affair up next versus Ole Miss – the Tide’s only loss last season – and they’re 3-7 ATS before taking on the Rebels. Sure, Alabama is coming off a no-hitter over USC, but that puts them into a position of falling prey to Marc’s ‘GLORY DAYS’ Betcha Didn’t Know article on page 2, so you know what to do. And in case you’re unsure, you can muster up the courage to step in front of the big red elephant by following the wisdom of THE CLINCHER: Alabama is 0-8 ATS as non-conference favorites of 24 or more points.

ALABAMA over W Kentucky by 14

VANDERBILT over Middle Tennessee by 1The Commodores couldn’t handle the role of favorite last week after having been a perpetual series underdog to South Carolina, coughing up a 10-point lead with under 8 minutes to play and allowing a game-winning FG to the Gamecocks with 35 seconds left. After that disappointment, the Commies must lay points for the second week in a row against a motivated avenger. Vandy made strides last week in reversing a disturbing turnover margin trend from last season (-24), as they failed to give up any against South Carolina. But the passing game gives new meaning to the term “anemic”, with Kyle Shurmur (son of former NFL head coach Pat Shurmur) averaging just 3.3 yards per completion versus the Gamecocks. On the fl ip side, the Blue Raiders will have the revenge factor on their side after dropping a 17-13 decision to the Commies last season, the only home loss of the 2015 campaign. MTSU throttled a barefoot Alabama A&M team, 55-0, last Saturday (led 45-0 at the half) with HC Rick Stockstilll’s son Brent tossing 5 TDs (15 different players caught a pass). Rest assured, however, they will have to earn their keep against a stout Vandy defense. We think this will be another tight battle between young sibling QBs, but we lean to the Blue Raiders and their 4-0-1 ATS mark in road openers over the last fi ve seasons.

OREGON over Virginia by 17Cavalier fans were truly excited about seeing the Mendenhall era get underway after six painful seasons under Mike London, who won more than four games just once. And it would all begin with an easy win over FBS opponent Richmond…oops! The former BYU coach was last seen slinking out of Scott Stadium in a white Bronco following last week’s 17-point home loss to the Spiders, a game in which the Cavaliers were soundly outplayed on the fi eld (lost the stats, 524-302). Perhaps the best place the Cavs could be this week is on the opposite side of the country, but it gets no easier in Eugene, where there has been a long history of track meets, and we’re not talking about the ones that Steve Prefontaine competed in. However, we’re not big fans of Mark Helfrich who, with each passing game, looks


more and more like a coach out of the Peter Principle mode (Don’t get it? That’s what Google is for). Helfrich is 12-3 ATS away but only 9-9 ATS at home, including 3-7 ATS as a favorite of more than 21 points. In addition, the Ducks are 0-3 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games under Helfrich, while the Cavs are 3-0-1 versus the number as double-digit non-conference dogs, even under London. The bottom line: though many are requesting that Mendenhall now be referred to as ‘Colt’, we think it is patently unfair to judge the Bronc after just one game. Despite the trepidation abounding in Charlottesville, fans should consider his career mark as HC in Provo was 99-44. Grab the points.

MISSISSIPPI ST over S Carolina by 3These two SEC foes looked like mirror opposites in their respective openers last week. The Gamecocks barely had a pulse when they took the fi eld against Vanderbilt, falling behind 10-0 at the half before rallying to knock off the Commodores with a 55-yard fi eld goal in the fi nal minute of play. Meanwhile, Mississippi State mysteriously went into a shell after opening a 17-0 halftime lead and watched helplessly as South Alabama fought back to claim a 21-20 upset of the 28-point favorite Bulldogs on their home fi eld at Starkville. MSU head coach Dan Mullen and his squad had a chance to pull out the win with a 28-yard fi eld goal attempt with 6 seconds remaining – but kicker Westin Graves blew the chip shot and cowbells everywhere fell silent. We thought the Dogs might struggle after losing QB Dak Prescott to the NFL but how do you choke away a game where you rush for 239 yards (over 7 yards per carry!) and new QB Damian Williams connected on 20 of 28 passes for 143 yards? While some might give Coach Dan a mulligan this Saturday and lay the TD with MSU, our very own SMART BOX jumps right in to keep us from ordering up an extra helping of Mullen stew. Good advice since the Bulldogs have covered just ONCE in the last seven series meetings. After struggling to put 13 points on the board against Vandy, Will Muschamp’s troops appear to be suffering from the same disease that paved the way for his departure from Florida – a lack of offensive fi repower. One thing’s for sure, the South Carolina defense will need to hunker down and deliver another solid performance because Mullen’s boys are going to be ready to behead someone by the 7:00 PM kickoff time. Can’t seriously recommend a play on either team, but if you can’t let it go, we say ‘Cocks and the points.

3� BEST BET

It was quite the homecoming for new head coach (and former alum) Mark Richt. As Miami Herald columnist Greg Cote put it, “Either UM won easily, or Richt just enjoyed the shortest honeymoon in sports history.” If Richt was looking for a less stressful situation than the one he faced between the Hedges, he might have found it: the Canes scored 70 points for only the fourth time in program history and a trio of running backs topped the 100-yard mark in a 70-3 romp over FCS bottom feeder Florida A&M (1-11 last year). Meanwhile, the Owls edged lowly Southern Illinois (3-8 last season), 38-30, at home last week but allowed a whopping 520 yards in an ‘inside-out’ stat loss. You can bet Richt and the offense smell blood here, especially after Miami put up 523 yards in the opener with FAMU. Hey, the Canes whipped these guys by 24 points at FAU Stadium last year, and that was a Miami program writhing in the death throes of Al Golden’s fi nal season. We can’t ignore the Owls’ eye-opening 16-4-1 ATS record as road dogs the last four years but FAU is only 3-7 SUATS in its last 10 games versus fellow Florida schools, including 0-3 SUATS off a win. Richt posted a near-perfect 8-1 SUATS mark at Georgia off a win of 20 or more points versus a non-conference foe off a win, and with a road game against scrappy Appalachian State on deck, he’ll have his new-look Hurricanes focused to dominate. We close it out with THE CLINCHER: College football home favorites of 21 or more points in Game Two, off a win in which it scored 60-plus points, are 14-2 ATS since 1980.

MIAMI FLA over Fla Atlantic by 36

Tennessee over Virginia Tech by 3The annual Florida-Georgia game in Jacksonville is affectionately known as “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” – but that title might be in serious jeopardy. Crowd estimates for today’s contest pitting the Vols against the Hokies at Bristol Motor Speedway are calling for upwards of 150,000 fans, over TWICE the seating capacity of EverBank Field, and certainly the most fans ever assembled for a college football game. And as our SEC scout Jaybird the Bulldog informs us, with the bulk of spectators rolling in from eastern Tennessee, you can rest assured there will be plenty of ‘cocktails’ in hand – before, during and after this contest staged in

the heart of NASCAR country. There was a defi nite surge in pacemaker upgrades around Knoxville this week following the Volunteers’ incredible escape in overtime versus Appalachian State. The overlooked Mountaineers (UT players and fans alike were focused on today’s game instead) missed a 42-yard fi eld goal in the 4th quarter to send the game to overtime – one of four times ASU failed to score in Tennessee territory in the second half. While Vols HC Butch Jones insists there is no need to panic, we’ll continue to fade his young team as the pressure mounts… until they prove they can deliver the goods. New Hokies head coach Justin Fuente delivered in his debut with a 36-13 win over FCS Liberty, but it was far from clean: Tech fumbled fi ve times and lost four of them, something the Gobblers can’t afford to do here. Fuente was 6-1 ATS with a win percentage of .333 or greater as a non-conference dog at Memphis and VT has recently compiled an 8-2 ATS mark in Game Two’s. And while the Blacksburg boys have stumbled to a 1-5 ATS effort of late versus the SEC, the Vols are an equally uninspiring 1-5 ATS as non-conference home chalk of more than 3 points. The ACC won two of three matchups with the SEC last week and while we don’t think the Hokies have got enough gobble to pull the outright upset, they should leave Bristol with the ATS payout. A close one in Thunder Valley.

BAYLOR over Smu by 36It appears that reports of the Bears’ death been greatly exaggerated. After a Baylor-like 55-7 demolition of outmanned Northwestern State – new HC Jim Grobe’s team rolled up 498 yards en route to opening a 55-0 halftime lead – we get that feeling that somehow this is still Art Briles’ team, and that Grobe is merely the new offensive coordinator. It was a much-needed performance from the Bears, with QB Seth Russell resting on the pines in the 2Q, and many third-teamers getting experience in the game’s latter stages. While 2nd-year HC Chad Morris won and covered as a road favorite in SMU’s opener against North Texas, don’t lose sight of this: beating the Mean Green is one thing, but going toe-to-toe with Baylor is quite another. Morris knows this fi rst-hand after his Mustangs were crushed 56-21 by the Bears in last season’s opening game, a rout that saw BU pile up an incredible 723 total yards. Our all-seeing database declares that we’ll see more of the same this afternoon at McLane Stadium. Baylor has totally dominated the series from a pointspread standpoint, posting a money-making 11-1 ATS record in the last dozen series get-togethers. The Green-and-Gold also brings along a 6-1 ATS log as non-conference chalk of 17 or more points and a 5-1 ATS mark when playing in the second of back-to-back home games. No such luck for the hosts, who are 0-6 ATS in the second of consecutive away contests, plus they’re only 2-7 ATS looking for revenge on the road. Sometime what looks to be a blowout turns out to be a blowout. Bears tune up for what suddenly looks like a wide-open race for this year’s Big 12 title.

IOWA over Iowa St by 11The old adage that you can “throw both teams records out the window” is alive and well when these two fi erce rivals lace ‘em up for their annual Cy-Hawk throwdown. The Matt Campbell era in Ames did not get off to a great start last week when Iowa State fell to FCS foe Northern Iowa, 25-20. The Cyclones were outgained on the fi eld while being held to a disappointing 51 total rushing yards. No matter… they’ll show up here with everything they’ve got, as confi rmed by ISU’s three SU wins – all as the underdog – in the last fi ve series meetings. Iowa opened the 2016 campaign with a 24-point win over Miami Ohio but it wasn’t an overly-impressive effort. The Hawkeyes opened a 21-point 1st quarter lead but couldn’t put the RedHawks away, losing the yardage battle for the day by 424-404. Iowa also scored three TDs following Miami turnovers and looked at times like the Hawks were playing on last year’s 12-2 reputation. A trip to the ATS archives points us squarely to the underdog Cyclones. They’ve covered four straight as a visitor in the series, gone 4-0 ATS as non-conference dogs of 17 or more points, and stand 9-2 ATS with non-conference revenge. On the fl ip side, Iowa is a dismal 0-5 ATS of late in non-con revenge games and an almost-as-bad 1-5 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. Throw in the Hawkeyes’ 6-16 ATS mark as chalk at Kinnick Stadium over the past four years and the points become the play in this latest chapter of this bitter in-state rivalry.

North Carolina over ILLINOIS by 3It was a typical ending for North Carolina in last week’s 33-24 loss to Georgia. Hanging onto a 24-23 lead after three quarters, the Heels were suddenly unable to move the ball on offense or tackle on defense, and a 55-yard scoring run by Bulldog RB Nick Chubb put the game out of reach with just over three minutes remaining. Now they have to hit the road for a grudge match with the Illini, who were destroyed at Chapel Hill last season by a 48-14 score. Thus, our SMART BOX comes a-calling with the Heels likely to be suffering from a dose of the Bowler Blues tonight. Carolina will


not be seeing the same team they rolled over in 2015 as new Illinois head coach Lovie Smith has instilled a surprising level of confi dence to this once-proud program. Lovie and friends held Murray State to -10 rush yards on 26 attempts in a 52-3 destruction of the Racers and carry solid 19-9 ATS mark as home dogs into this ACC-Big Ten matchup, including 9-1 ATS the last 10. Larry Fedora’s Tar Heels have next-to-nothing in the way of ATS support, going 0-5-1 ATS in Game Two’s, and 5-10 SU and 4-10 ATS off their initial loss of the season, including 1-4 SUATS as favorites. The Illini’s recent 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS log at home in games off a home win cements it. Illinois may not fulfi ll its Champaign wishes with an outright upset but a trip to the pay window immediately thereafter should provide enough to fuel any caviar dreams.

Ga Southern over SOUTH ALABAMA by 20Casual college football fans and viewers were more than likely stumped when they saw the opening line on this contest. South Alabama, fresh off its monster upset of Mississippi State at Starkville, returns to Mobile for the Jaguars’ home opener – and fi rst conference game – yet somehow fi nd themselves as double-digit underdogs to visiting Georgia Southern. WTF? Yes, the Jags were one of 14 underdogs that pulled off a shocker last week – and they were the largest (+28). Which begs the question: when will their feet fi nally touch the playing surface this week? Last year, they shocked San Diego State as 17.5-point dogs – and proceeded to go right in the toilet in a 63-13 bludgeoning at home against NC State the following week. Meanwhile, Georgia Southern may have a new head coach in Tyson Summers but the Eagles didn’t skip a beat in a 54-0 opening week destruction of Savannah State. A whopping 69 of the 84 plays they ran against SSU were rushing plays and the Eagles fi nished with 420 yards on the ground, outgaining the Tigers in total yards, 605-114. Since coming onto the big board in 2014, Georgia Southern has performed well against the higher level of competition, posting a solid 15-8 ATS mark during that span. The Eagles have certainly had their way with South Alabama the previous two years, going 2-0 SUATS in 28-6 and 55-17 whippings of Joey Jones’ Jaguars. USA gets a cold dose of reality this evening as the Eagles continue to soar.

NEBRASKA over Wyoming by 21The Cowboys were good to us both on these pages and our LTS service last week when they outlasted Northern Illinois in three overtimes late into the evening at Laramie, winning 40-34. Today, though they travel to Lincoln where the Big Red is bursting at the seams to make amends for a rare losing effort last season. Still, the Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in initial road games and their 17 returning starters should play with plenty of confi dence following last week’s big effort. Nebraska’s Mike Riley, who was luck to escape being tarred and feathered after his Cornhuskers suffered a staggering four defeats on the fi nal play of the game last season, got off the hot seat for a few minutes after NU opened the new season in style with a 33-point win and cover over Fresno State. Even so, the Huskers held only a slim 14-10 lead at halftime before their much-maligned defense rose up to pitch a second half shutout of the Bulldogs (FSU managed just 31 total rush yards for the game). The biggest concern for Nebraska is next week’s battle with powerful Pac-12 foe Oregon, immediately before taking to the road for Big Red’s initial conference contest versus Northwestern. Riley is savvy enough to keep a few things up his sleeve for the Ducks should his Huskers stifl e Wyoming as expected. The Cowboys’ current 2-game SU win streak comes to an end but we look for the visitors to claim the cash.

USC over Utah St by 11Each week USA Today’s Dan Wolken presents his college football Misery Index, ranking teams according to the awfulness of their play the previous weekend. As Wolken states, “When these unpaid players don’t quite live

up to your expectations, it can turn into a meltdown that transcends all reason and sanity.” We can’t think of a better way to introduce the Trojans of Southern Cal, a team so bad that they snapped an 18-year season-opening SU win streak with last Saturday’s humbling 52-6 loss to Alabama. According to Wolken, USC is the victim of its own bad hiring practices, choosing former athletes who excelled in their playing days over athletic directors with real experience. They did it again recently when they ditched AD Pat Haden and replaced him with Lynn Swann, another USC star with little hands-on knowledge of running the program. And they may not have done themselves any favors by retaining Clay Helton as head coach and not interviewing more prominent – and more qualifi ed – candidates. Regardless of the path they took to get where they are now, we can only imagine the Trojans’ fragile state of mind after being beaten from pillar to post by the Tide before a national audience in Game One. We do know this: USC is 4-0 SUATS in games off a loss of 30 or more points since 1985, but they’re also just 1-3 ATS in the last four tries versus Mountain West opponents. Utah State’s Matt Wells started this season hell-bent on erasing memories of last year’s 6-7 season, his only losing campaign following a 2-year run that saw the Aggies go 19-9 SU and win two bowls. Utah State rushed for an impressive 428 yards in their season-opening 24-0 win over Southern Utah and heads to the Coliseum with a superb 12-0 ATS record as a road dog of more than 10 points. Sure, USC has the better athletes and should get the outright win, but we’ll continue to fade the Trojans until they give us reason to stop. Too many good numbers in the visitor’s favor to ignore here.

New Mexico over NEW MEXICO ST by 7We thought the Aggies from Las Cruces would use this season to prove to the doubters that they should remain in the FBS after they’re kicked out of the Sun Belt conference as the end of the year. But when the smoke cleared after Game One, New Mexico State had nothing to show for its efforts except a typically frustrating 16-point SUATS defeat at UTEP. Their cross-state rival, the Lobos from Albuquerque, have turned the corner under 5th-year head coach Bob Davie, going from stone losers to a bowl team last season. They picked up where they left off in last week’s 27-point home win over South Dakota, a game in which they rushed for 428 yards. But as much as we respect Davie and the job he’s done, we must caution you: this is a state rivalry game and one team (UNM) is off a blowout win while the other (NMS) is off a blowout loss. Results like those usually make the dog extra hungry here, a notion supported by New Mexico’s weak 6-19 SU and 6-14-2 ATS mark in road openers. Doug Martin, who’s managed only seven wins in 37 games as head Aggie, can point to his team’s 6-1 ATS series dog log off a loss, including 4-0 ATS off a SUATS defeat. Add the fact that New Mexico State is a sneaky 14-10 SU in home openers and we’ll be walking the dogs tonight. Seriously, how many times have you seen us lay doubles on the road – with a losing team?

Byu over UTAH by 6This should be fun. If you didn’t watch last year’s Las Vegas Bowl matchup between these two, then you missed out on one of the most dominating fi rst periods of play we’ve ever witnessed. Thanks to a ferocious, swarming defense, Utah roared out to a 35-0 lead in the fi rst quarter (!), then were shut out the rest of the way before holding on to claim a 7-point win over BYU. Five turnovers did the Cougars in, negating the fact that they outgained the Utes by 189 yards, and you know the boys from Provo have had this latest chapter of The Holy War circled in red since last December. Meanwhile, Utah won its ninth straight season opener last Thursday with a workman-like 24-0 whitewash of Southern Utah (8-4 in 2015). There was decidedly more emotion on display at Tucson last Saturday night as the Cougars celebrated like they had won a bowl game when they upended

2016 Associated Press Poll Top 25 - Week 2:1 ALABAMA2 CLEMSON3 FLORIDA ST4 OHIO ST5 MICHIGAN6 HOUSTON7 STANFORD

8 WASHINGTON9 GEORGIA10 WISCONSIN11 TEXAS12 MICHIGAN ST13 LOUISVILLE14 OKLAHOMA

15 TCU16 IOWA17 TENNESSEE18 NOTRE DAME19 OLE MISS20 TEXAS A&M21 LSU

22 OKLAHOMA ST23 BAYLOR24 OREGON25 MIAMI FLA



the Wildcats at Arizona under new head coach Kalani Sitake. Normally, we’d be looking to fade that sort of reaction to a team’s fi rst game but BYU’s players have really bought into what Sitake has been preaching since he replaced veteran head coach Bronco Mendenhall. The Cougars don’t show up empty-handed at Rice-Eccles Stadium this evening, bringing a stout 8-0 ATS record of success as road dogs versus greater-than .750 opponents. The ‘Y’ also owns a 4-0 ATS mark in Game Two’s and a 4-1 ATS log as a dog seeking revenge. No such luck for the Utes, who are a dreadful 1-8 ATS after allowing 10 or less points in their previous game, plus they’re just 1-5 ATS at home versus an avenging foe. Despite their monster early season schedule, we’ll look for the Cougars to maintain their momentum and dump the Utes here. A solid take.

BOISE ST over Washington St by 16Just when it looked like Mike Leach’s Washington State team had fi nally rounded into form after a 4-year journey, the Cougars disappointed their home crowd with last Saturday’s season-opening loss to FCS foe Eastern Washington – Leach’s fi fth consecutive Game One setback. Even though WSU QB Luke Falk went 41-of-51 for 418 aerial yards, a porous Cougs secondary was torched by 474 passing yards in the 45-42 upset. The knee-jerk reaction here would be to back Leach in a bounce-back role, but our all-knowing dagaabse advises otherwise. That’s because college football teams who improved the most in net wins tend to struggle after having been upset as favorites in the previous game (WSU was a 27.5-point favorite versus the Eagles), as these squads are just 16-33-1 ATS in this role since 1980, including 4-16-1 ATS as dogs. No thanks! We pegged the Broncos as an ATS money maker in the 2016 PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine and after last Saturday’s 45-10 thumping of UL-Lafayette (Boise led 35-10 at the half), we plan on riding them until they start hemorrhaging benjamins. At the very least, viewers will get to see a pair of great college quarterbacks in action. The aforementioned Falk completed almost 70% of his passes in 2015 while averaging over 380 aerial yards per game. And according to Cal Sports, Broncos QB Brett Rypien has completed at least 22 passes in nine straight games (not surprisingly, the total on tonight’s clash has zoomed to 72.5 points). With the hosts now 6-2 SUATS if .840 or greater in games versus the Pac-12 – and set to celebrate 30 years of play on their distinctive blue turf by introducing an ‘All-Blue team’ of former standout players during tonight’s contest – we say lay it if you play it.

UCLA over Unlv by 24Well, the Bruins did it to us again. They said all the right things to convince plenty of sports talk luminaries that THIS would be their year, so we drank the Kool-Aid and backed them in last week’s OT loss to Texas A&M. And while the Bruins should be mad as hell after rallying from a 24-9 defi cit against the Aggies (UCLA’s defense quietly collapsed in the extra session), the result only bolsters our decision to fade yet another college football home favorite off an overtime loss (now 51-71-2 ATS since the inception of OT in 1996). The Rebels’ 63-13 win over Jackson State last week made them 1-0 for the fi rst time since 2009. They sure don’t deserve their continued reputation as rancid road dogs, either, going 3-1 ATS under new HC Tony Sanchez, and compiling a 13-7-1 ATS mark over the past four years. While we can’t go out on a limb and back a desolate road traveler off a victory, we certainly want no part of the bruised and battered Bruins here, not with SIX straight quality bowers waiting on deck. UCLA coach Jim Mora should square his record at 1-1 with a win tonight but he’ll add a few more furrows to his forehead in the process. Best to look elsewhere.

ARIZONA ST over Texas Tech by 3Much like the Washington State-Boise State matchup, we expect plenty of points on the scoreboard tonight. That’s usually what happens when you pit two strong offenses against a pair of sieve-like stop units. The Red Raiders averaged 45 points and 581 YPG offensively last year compared to ASU’s 35 points and 477 YPG. But oh, those defenses: Tech yielded an eye-popping 550 yards and 44 PPG in 2015 while the Sun Devils were fried to the tune of 464 yards and 33 PPG. Both squads opened with wins over FCS foes to start the new season, Texas Tech battering Stephen Austin by 69-17 and Arizona State took care of Northern Arizona, 44-13. The desert Devils, though, outgained NAU by a mere 31 yards – and the simple truth is that ASU’s Todd Graham has yet to defeat a Big 12 opponent (0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS) in his career as a head coach. However, Graham is a jaw-dropping 46-7 SU and 40-6 ATS in games in which his team scores 40 or more points… which looks like a given against a TTRR defense returning just six starters and one defensive lineman. The visitors do own an 8-2 ATS mark in their previous 10 non-conference road trips, plus they’re 2-0 SUATS of late versus Pac-12 foes (both SU wins as DD dogs, one versus ASU in the 2013 Holiday Bowl). Still, we can’t risk real money on a 581-yard defense when they’re getting a mere 3 points from the linemaker. Looks like you’ll have to make the call here.

PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, September 8DENVER over Carolina by 1

With Peyton Manning busy making cupcakes these days to go along with his pizza franchises in Colorado – where weed is the Number One vegetable in Colorado, and satisfying the ‘munchies’ is the new order of the day on NFL game days – the Broncos turn to Trevor Siemian (until Paxton Lynch is ready) to start the season behind center in this made-for-TV Super Bowl rematch. For what it’s worth in the 49 previous Super Bowls, next-season rematches have occurred only SIX times, and the losing team went 2-4 SUATS, including 1-3 SUATS away. Yes, the Panthers will be hell-bent to avenge their loss to the Broncos in Super Bowl 50 but we can’t look past the fact that defending Super Bowl champions are 19-3 SU in home openers since 1994, while defending Super Bowl losers are 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS as away favorites in season openers since 1985. Toss in Denver’s dandy 7-1 ATS mark on Thursdays, plus its mile-high 24-3 SU mark in home openers since 1989, and it will be all that and more for Cam Newton and his angry cats to overcome the mighty cloud of doubt – and plenty of reefer – Thursday night at appropriately named Mile High Stadium Thursday night.

3� BEST BET

Two NFC South rivals lock horns in this lid-lifter with each team anxious to build on last year’s vastly improved numbers. Despite just 6 wins last year, Tampa Bay fi nished in the Top 10 in overall offense and defense, while Atlanta improved its defense 51 YPG under new head coach Dan Quinn. In the process, the Bucs took the Birds out twice in 2015 in two games decided by just 7 combined points. As a result, the Falcons fi nished in the cellar of the division, an omen that should be painstakingly good news considering that teams in the NFC South fi nishing last, or tied for last, have won the division 11 of the last 13 years the next season. Atlanta’s 6-0 ATS mark at home in games with double revenge on their minds fi gures to serve them well. On the fl ip side, Tampa Bay brings a terrible 0-5 ATS log into the game when battling foes with double revenge-exact. The Bucs have also dropped 5 straight games to the number when facing foes that won 8 or more game the previous season. And the smile on Falcons HC Quinn these days comes from knowing that QB Matty Ryan’s favorite target, stud WR Julio Jones, is once again healthy this season. Simply put, there are too many overwhelming numbers in the Falcons’ favor to ignore here today. Not to mention our AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK on page 2, and THE CLINCHER: Atlanta is 11-1 ATS in home openers, including 8-0 SUATS behind Ryan.

ATLANTA over Tampa Bay by 13

Sunday, September 11

SAN DIEGO ST over California by 12Much-decorated California QB Jared Goff now resides in the NFL with the Los Angeles Rams, and many thought Cal head coach Sonny Dykes would be like peanut butter without jelly since Goff was the man in each of Dykes’ previous three seasons at the helm in Berkeley. But that certainly wasn’t the case when the Golden Bears trekked to Australia two weeks ago to take on Hawaii in the 2016 college football season opener. New QB Davis Webb aired it out for 441 yards on 38-of-54 passing and Cal hammered the Rainbow Warriors, 51-31. Now comes a huge step up in class for Dykes and company as they take on an Aztecs squad that’s won 11 straight games dating back to last year, and are very quietly assembling a non-Power 5 powerhouse (somewhere former SDSU head coach and CFB Hall of Famer Don Coryell is smiling). Besides that solid win streak, San Diego State also brings along a case of big-time revenge from last year’s 35-7 humiliation at Cal – the 9th-worst loss in Rocky Long’s 212-game career as a college coach. And though star SDSU running back Donnel Pumphrey failed to eclipse the 100-yard rushing mark in last week’s season-opening home win over New Hampshire, we still think he’s the best player on the fi eld here and will prove to be the difference-maker in tonight’s contest. With the Bears now 0-3 ATS on this fi eld versus the Aztecs, we’ll go all in with Long, who stands 5-1 SUATS as a favorite of less than 6 points when seeking revenge. Diego gits ‘er done.


TENNESSEE over Minnesota by 3The NFL quarterback carousel continues, and we haven’t even played a single game. The Vikings received devastating news when promising QB Teddy Bridgewater nearly lost his leg in practice, necessitating a major trade for Sam Bradford. That came right on the heels of Bradford inking a long-term extension with the Eagles this off-season, prior to Philly trading up to land Carson Wentz with the No. 2 pick in this year’s draft. Go fi gure. Nonetheless, our NFL database reports that Bradford is 8-12 ATS as a favorite, but 11-5 ATS versus the AFC as a starter in this league. But, should the Vikes opt for Shaun Hill instead they will do so knowing Hill owns a stellar 31-16-2 ATS mark as a starter in the NFL. Minny has also bagged the cash in each of its last 7 non-conference games. All good numbers but the Vikings’ deplorable 1-9 ATS mark as favorites in their fi rst road game since 1988 is a large manhole cover we don’t like jumping over. We realize Mike Zimmer is an ATS cash cow (24-9 ATS overall, including 14-3 ATS last season) but the Titans have the look of a team ready to break on through to the other side behind 2nd year QB Marcus Mariota. Despite a 3-9 record in 2015, Tennessee improved its stats on both sides of the football, plus they are 7-1 ATS as dogs in home openers. With that, and as diffi cult as it is jumping in front of the money machine, we’ll fade the uncertainty in the Minnesota camp at the moment.

3� BEST BET

This year’s ‘Wise Guy’ team in Vegas, Oakland opens the season on the road in three of their fi rst 4 games, all in Eastern Time Zone starts, with the fi rst stop here in New Orleans on Sunday. Marc Lawrence spoke about the Raiders’ scheduling perils at the Westgate SuperContest seminar in August, warning that an 8.5 season win total looks excessive for a team that will play only 7 home games (one in Mexico City), and the three aforementioned 10 AM body clock starts. All this for a team that is a staggering 1-18 SU in ET starts, and just 6-26 SU in its last 32 away games. Meanwhile, the Saints addressed their defensive shortcomings when they hired former Oakland head coach Dennis Allen as the new defensive coordinator. Behind the only quarterback in the league with a Top 10 QB rating each of the last fi ve years, and a new DC that will be out for blood against his former boss, we feel the pairing can only be topped by steak and lobster, especially with N’Awlins 7-1 ATS the last 8 games in this series. Should the Black-and-Silver go favored in this contest – and we feel they will – remember they have been installed as favorites only 4 times in their last 48 games over the past three seasons. And while you’re at it, don’t forget THE CLINCHER: New Orleans QB Drew Brees is 7-0 SUATS in his last seven games versus the Raiders.

NEW ORLEANS over Oakland by 10

PHILADELPHIA over Cleveland by 1New coaches and new quarterbacks are the buzzword in this non-conference clash. Chip Kelly’s love affair in Philadelphia ended in a sudden divorce, while Cleveland welcomes Hue Jackson to the sidelines. The former Raiders’ head coach and Bengals’ OC looks to add stability to a franchise that hasn’t known the meaning of the word since the late Art Modell tiptoed out of town to Baltimore. Thus, it’s no surprise to learn that the last fi ve head coaches fi red in the AFC North were Browns coaches – all of whom were canned after facing the Steelers in the fi nal game of the season. (Yes, Cleveland faces Pittsburgh in its season fi nale this year). And speaking of sideline bosses, Philly’s last 6 new head coaches went 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their home openers. Welcome to the NFL, Doug Pederson. With RG3 holding a serious NFL playing experience advantage over neophyte Carson Wentz, look for the Eagles to gag on their 1-6 ATS marks both in home openers and as single-digit favorites against the AFC North here today. Philadelphia... by the skin of their new teeth.

NY JETS over Cincinnati by 3The Flyboys won 10 games last season, and outgained 13 foes, but missed the playoffs. In fact they are the only team over the last four years to fi nish in both Top 10 offensive and defensive pass effi ciency and fail to fi nd their way to the postseason. Thus, as mediocre as he is by NFL quarterback standards, the re-signing of Ryan Fitzpatrick was critical for Todd Bowles and the Jets. And speaking of which, Bowles owns the distinction of being a perfect 4-0 ATS in his NFL head coaching career when taking points. In addition, New York is 4-0 ATS as a host in this series. The Bengals lost WRs Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu – and possibly Brandon LaFell for the year – and appear to be short-armed at the receiver spot to start the season. They are also 5-24 SU away versus AFC East opponents since 1987. Until Cincy gets in rhythm, we’ll lean on the hosts.

4� BEST BET

Despite fi nishing the season with positive overall stats, the Bolts were swept in all six of their division contests last season. That’s not good news for the AFC West this year, as NFL teams suffering this fate have gone 86-59-2 ATS in division games the following season since 1999. All of which sets the table for this opening day payback. QB Philip Rivers, who engineered an offense that improved 30 YPG last season, reunites with former OC Ken Whisenhunt – which should work wonders on Rivers’ gaudy 10-2-1 ATS career mark as a road dog in division games. On the other side of the coin, Kansas City has gone ‘over’ its season win total each of the last 3 years and, as a result, has endeared itself to its backers. What wasn’t endearing to us was their 10-game win skein last season, after a 1-5 start. It included victories against the Steelers without Big Ben; over the Lions in London; the Broncos in Peyton Manning’s worst game of his career; against this same San Diego squad without 5 OL starters; the Raiders thanks to three 4Q picks by Derek Carr; the Ravens with Jimmy Clausen behind center; and the Browns in a game in which Cleveland outstatted the Chiefs by 100 yards. In the fi nal tally, they had just TWO WINS versus winning foes throughout the course of the fortuitous run. Toss Chiefs head coach Andy Reid’s 5-10 SU and 5-9-1 ATS mark in home openers into the mix and you understand our stance in this contest. And oh yeah, there’s THE CLINCHER: San Diego head coach Mike McCoy is 10-1 ATS as a road dog of more than 4 points with the Chargers.

San Diego over KANSAS CITY by 6

BALTIMORE over Buffalo by 1A matchup of two disappointed head coaches fi nds Bills’ boss Rex Ryan 0-5 SU and ATS in his last 5 away games versus AFC North opponents, while Ravens chief John Harbaugh is 0-2 SU and ATS in his past two home openers. Harbaugh is surely in a ‘mission year’ as his team suffered it fi rst losing season since 2007 in 2015, thanks to a myriad of injuries along the way. As a result, the team was second-to-last in turnover margin (-0.9). Expect that to reverse itself in 2016. The major concern, though, is QB Joe Flacco, who has tossed more INTs and fewer TDs the last three seasons than he did the three years prior to winning the Super Bowl MVP award. It should be noted that Ryan’s best year was with the NY Jets in Year Two when he went 13-6 while losing in the AFC title game. No surprise to see the Bills improve to 4-0 ATS in this series in a close-call affair today.

Chicago over HOUSTON by 1Like we outlined with Rex Ryan above, Bears’ boss John Fox does his best work in Year Two with an NFL team, as his troops are 27-10 in his sophomore campaigns. And there is a lot to like about Fox’s troops this season, starting with the addition of LBs Danny Trevathan and Jerrell Freeman. They give DC Vic Fangio what he craves (Fangios’s best teams with San Francisco all had great linebackers). In addition, their No. 1 pick in last year’s draft, WR Kevin White, is healthy and ready to aid Jay Cutler in his quest to make the playoffs. Houston brings in overpaid backup QB Brock Osweiler to man the ship, a questionable move at best considering Brian Hoyer put better numbers up last year than did the Big Ostrich. Give Houston head coach Bill O’Brien his due, though. He has gone 18-15 with 7 different QBs with the Texans (Osweiler is his 8th signal caller). With the Bears 4-0 ATS outside the conference and 3-0 ATS in this series, and the home team standing 4-8 SU and 3-7-2 ATS in Houston’s games versus NFC North foes, the points become the play.

Green Bay over JACKSONVILLE by 3Arguably no team in the NFL made bigger strides in the offseason than did the Jaguars, who creamed the NFL draft. Toss in the return of the 3rd pick in last year’s draft, LB Dante Fowler, and this team looks ready to make a move – up in the standings and not out of Jacksonville, that is. In addition, QB Blake Bortles improved from 11 TDs and 17 INTS in his rookie season to 35 TDs last year. Jacksonville will face only one team with a winning record in its fi rst 7 contests this campaign – the Green Bay Packers today. Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers ranked No. 15 in QB Ratings in 2015 after fi nishing in the top 6 each of the previous 7 seasons. Have to fi gure the return of star WR Jordy Nelson to the lineup will help improve on this numbers this season. Our problem is Green Bay stands only 1-6-1 ATS as a favorite versus AFC South opponents. Sure, the Jags are just 1-12 ATS against NFC opposition, but until the Pack proves they are back, we’ll side with the resurgent team in this matchup.



SEATTLE over Miami by 14Must admit we are befuddled to see the line in this game move as much as it did off the opening number, especially considering there are no key injuries on the Dolphins’ side of the fi eld. Our best guess is that Vegas realized there would be only one-way action on the contest had Seattle been favored by anything less than doubles. Nonetheless, new Miami head coach Adam Gase debuts as a double-digit dog. And his hire was desperately needed. Miami has played ‘over’ its season win total only one time in the last 7 years, and the Dolphins suffered 7 losses by more than 7 points last season. Those are not the lucky 7’s Miami fans are clamoring for. Aging RB Arian Foster joins the backfi eld while bruised and battered QB Ryan Tannehill plays behind a line that has allowed 184 sacks the last 4 years – most in the league. Hopefully, the addition of controversial OL Laremy ‘Big Toke’ Tunsil will give Tannehill added time to fi nd a promising corps of WRs led by Jarvis Landry. Meanwhile, Seattle QB Russell Wilson led the league in QB Ratings last season (110.1) and has fi nished in the Top 10 all 4 years he’s been in the league. With Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in home openers, winning by an average score of 36-10, we can only concur with the line move.

NY Giants over DALLAS by 3Another year and another Tony Romo sighting being carried off the fi eld on a stretcher. Sadly, it’s becoming all too commonplace for the Cowboys. In his place, Dak Prescott will be the fi rst rookie quarterback to start for Dallas since Drew Henson on Thanksgiving Day in 2004. While the Cowboys looked an awful lot like the Colts without Peyton Manning last year, they are high on Prescott and will face the 2nd easiest schedule of all teams this season based on opponents’ projected season win totals this year (read more on this in the Betting Tools section at Playbook.com). The problem we have is laying any kind of points with Jason Garrett, who is 8-23 ATS as a home favorite in his NFL career – including 1-10 ATS when favored by 7 or less. Former NYG OC Ben McAdoo takes the reins for New York. The previous seven Giants’ head coaches went 5-2 ATS in their inaugural games. Despite the fact that Giants’ QB Eli Manning is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in season-opening away games versus division opponents, we look for his experience to ultimately win out over Prescott and the Cowboys today when Big Blue soars to 4-0 ATS in this series today.

INDIANAPOLIS over Detroit by 7After a 1-7 start last season, the Lions won 6 of their fi nal 8 games, allowing just 19 PPG. That’s the good news. The bad news is the loss of future Hall of Fame WR Calvin Johnson to retirement. That and the fact that Detroit QB Matthew Stafford is 1-18 SU away in his NFL career in games versus foes that fi nished the season with a winning record. And we expect the Colts to be a winning team once again this year. Indy used 4 of their 8 draft picks to land offensive linemen to better protect QB Andrew Luck, who is off his worst season in his career – albeit due largely to injuries. Luck is fully driven to succeed in 2016, and we’re not about to doubt him. Not today and not with Detroit 1-10 SU and 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games versus AFC South opponents.

Monday, September 12

WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh by 3As is the norm, the NFL debuts its Monday Night brand with a pair of matchups, this being the more appealing of the duo. The Redskins stunned the league in winning the NFC East last season – largely by default when Tony Romo went down for Dallas. They will be out to prove it wasn’t a fl uke when the host Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Pittsburgh will travel the fewest miles of all NFL teams this season. The last time they did so (2014) they won 11 regular season games. The Redskins will face the league’s 3rd most diffi cult schedule versus opponents’ expected season win totals in 2016. Washington was 5-1 SUATS as a home underdog in 2015, while the Steelers are 2-6 SU and ATS as away favorites on Monday nights. Hard to pass an opening week MNF home dog, especially with Pittsburgh minus the services of star RB Le’Veon Bell (again) while staring dead ahead to its Ohio River rivals from Cincinnati next week.

SAN FRANCISCO over LA Rams by 4Football’s back in Los Angeles and with it Hollywood is back in the spotlight. Unfortunately for the Rams, they are also favored here tonight. We say that because not only are they a team in transition behind a rookie quarterback in Jared Goff, the top pick in this year’s NFL draft, but also because our well-oiled machine informs us that NFL Monday night road favorites are a measly 4-14 ATS in Game One of the season. Incidentally, the last 5 quarterbacks selected with the top pick in the NFL draft (Matt Stafford, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton, Andrew Luck and Jameis Winston) have all started on opening day. It’s only by the grace of Case Keenum that Goff will join that list tonight. New San Francisco head coach Chip Kelly will face the league’s toughest strength of schedule versus opponents’ projected season win totals. That won’t bother him or distracted backup QB Colin Kaepernick. Kelly is 12-8 SUATS as an NFL coach in games in which he is not favored by more than 3 points, including 5-0 SUATS in division games.

New England over ARIZONA by 1Bill Belichick starts the season for the fi rst time with the Patriots without QB Tom Brady. The Pats have owned a Top 5 scoring offense every year since 2010 and tonight they invade Arizona in a battle of the two best coaches in the league. And these games are where the Hoodie is at his best. He is 17-5 SUATS against the NFC West, including 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS as a dog. He is also 12-4 SU in season openers, and 12-4 ATS as a dog of 6 or more points, with the Pats. Arizona has been extremely fortuitous while topping the league in turnovers gained and penalty yards each of the last two seasons. It’s a major reason why the Cardinals have enjoyed back-to-back winning seasons for only the 2nd time in 65 years. With the addition of Marcellus Bennett pairing with Rob Gronkowski to form a lethal TE tandem, look for the Cardinals and their 5-17 SU and 8-14 ATS mark in games against the AFC East to take a hit here – in more ways then one – tonight.


WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Winners-Take-All Handicapping Event

Now in its 31st year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page. Each week below we’ll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

W Kentucky (+28.5)

Penn State (+6)

Middle Tenn (+5.5)

Oak-NO OVER 51

Utah (-3.5)

TITANS (+2.5)

JETS (+2.5)

TEXANS (-6)

LA-SF UNDER 44

CHIEFS (-7)

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

Big Board [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Brad Diamonddiamondquickpicks.com

Brad Powersbradpowerssports.com

California Sportscaliforniasports.com

Cincinnati Kidplaybook.com

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

Hurricane Billplaybook.com

JB Sportsjbsports.net

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Tennessee (-10.5)

Connecticut (+4.5)

TB-Atl UNDER 47.5

California +7.5

Rice (+9)

BENGALS (-2.5)

UMass (+17)

Washington (-36.5)

TEXANS (-6)

BILLS (+3)

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

0-0 / 0-0 / 0 pts

Marc Lawrenceplaybook.com

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Ross Benjaminrossbenjaminsports.com

Stan Lisowskiplaybook.com

Steve Merrilprosportsinfo.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

TD TonyASHNetwork.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252

Victor Kingplaybook.com

Weekly Wizardplaybook.com

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 6 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K O N E

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLEThe fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. *This week’s TREND play: Browns @ Jets ’UNDER’ the TOTAL (40 points).

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

CarolinaDENVER

Tampa BayATLANTA

MinnesotaTENNESSEE

ClevelandPHILADELPHIA

CincinnatiNY JETS

OaklandNEW ORLEANS

San DiegoKANSAS CITY

BuffaloBALTIMORE

7-2 O/U away w/ rev... but 0-4 O/U Game 1 (27.0 ppg)... 0-4 O/U bef SF... 2-6 O/U non-conf RF’s... 2-4 O/U Thursdays6-1 O/U 1st of BB HG... 4-1 O/U bef Ind... 3-1 O/U Thursdays... 3-1 O/U Game 1 (53.3)... but 1-4 O/U L5 vs Car (39.0)

8-2 O/U away vs rev... 5-2 O/U 1st of BB RG... but 0-3 O/U L3 vs Atl (43.0)... 1-6 O/U w/ line > 47 pts... 1-3 O/U Game 1 (37.8)0-6 O/U L6 as div favs... 0-10 O/U bef Oak... 1-10 O/U w/ line > 47 pts... 2-6 O/U home bef BB RG... 4-8 O/U Game 1

4-2 O/U w/ line 41 < pts... but 1-7 O/U as RF’s < 8 pts... 1-6-1 O/U away LY... 1-4 O/U bef div HG... 3-7 O/U away vs AFC0-4 O/U home vs NFC L2Y (33.3)... 0-4 O/U as non-div HD’s... 1-4 O/U Game 1 (38.8)... 1-3 O/U L5 home vs Min (39.5)

8-0 O/U Games 1-4 L2Y... 5-2 O/U away bef div HG... 4-2 O/U bef Bal... but 1-4 O/U away vs NFC... 1-4 O/U as RD’s 5-8 pts6-1 O/U L7 games LY... 4-1 O/U bef Mon gm... 10-3 O/U home vs AFC... but 2-6 O/U bef Chi... 3-7-1 O/U Game 1 (41.0)

4-0-1 O/U vs AFC East... 5-1 O/U as RF’s < 6 pts... 5-1 O/U Game 1 (48.8)... but 2-9 O/U L11 games LY... 1-4 O/U 1st of BB RG 5-1 O/U bef Thur gm... 4-1 O/U bef Buf... 4-2 O/U L6 vs Cin (49.2)... but 1-5 O/U non-div HD’s < 6 pts... 2-5 O/U vs AFC North

5-1 O/U 1st of BB non-conf gms... 4-1 O/U bef Atl... 5-2 O/U away w/ line 48 >... 7-3 O/U Game 1... but 2-7 O/U vs NFC South64.0 ppg at home LY... 4-1 O/U Game 1 (61.8)... 5-2 O/U non-div HF/HD < 3 pts... but 0-8 O/U bef NYG... 1-4 O/U vs AFC West

0-6 O/U bef Jax... 0-5 O/U w/ line 43-47 pts... 1-8 O/U dogs w/ rev... 1-5 O/U Games 1-4 away... 1-4 O/U as div RD’s < 10 pts 0-8 O/U as HF’s w/ line 42 > pts... 0-5 O/U bef Hou... 0-4 O/U L4 vs SD (29.5)... 37.3 ppg at home LY... 2-6 O/U vs opp w/ rev

5-2 O/U bef Thur gm... but 0-3 O/U Game 1 (42.7)... 1-5 O/U L6 vs Bal (37.0)... 2-8 O/U bef NYJ... 2-6 O/U as non-div conf RD’s 5-2 O/U home vs AFC East... but 0-5 O/U bef Cle... 2-6 O/U home bef BB RG... 1-3 O/U non-div HF’s 4 < pts... 6-11 O/U Game 1

Below are picks from 20 of the top fi nishers in the 2015 Wise Guys – One Point Single Plays Listed


A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,SEPTEMBER 12, 2016 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

MIAMI FLA W KENTUCKY FLORIDA

SAINTS CHARGERS FALCONS

RICE

2016 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - SEPTEMBER 8-12

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommenation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening lines

are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any por tion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

PITTSBURGH ESPN 7:10 PM WASHINGTON

LA RAMS ESPN10:20 PM SAN FRANCISCO

479 480

481 482

3

3

MARYLAND CBSSN7:30 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA INT’L

LOUISVILLE8:00 PM SYRACUSE ESPN2

301 302

303 304

9 6

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

TAMPA BAY1:00 PM ATLANTA

MINNESOTA1:00 PM TENNESSEE

CLEVELAND1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA

CINCINNATI1:00 PM NY JETS

OAKLAND1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS

SAN DIEGO1:00 PM KANSAS CITY

BUFFALO 1:00 PM BALTIMORE

CHICAGO1:00 PM HOUSTON

GREEN BAY1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE

MIAMI4:05 PM SEATTLE

NY GIANTS4:25 PM DALLAS

DETROIT4:25 PM INDIANAPOLIS

NEW ENGLAND 8:30 PM ARIZONA NBC

453 454

455 456

457 458

459 460

461 462

463 464

465 466

467 468

469 470

471 472

473 474

475 476

477 478

BOSTON COLLEGE 12:00 PM UMASS

ARKANSAS 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE TCU ESPN

RICE12:00 PM ARMY CBSSN

OHIO U2:30 PM TIME CHANGE KANSAS FSN

UCF12:00 PM MICHIGAN ABC

E MICHIGAN7:30 PM TIME CHANGE MISSOURI SEC

OLD DOMINION3:30 PM TIME CHANGE APPALACHIAN ST

PENN ST12:00 PM PITTSBURGH ESPN

CINCINNATI12:00 PMPURDUE BTN

BALL ST4:00 PM TIME CHANGEINDIANA ESPNN

UL-MONROE7:00 PM TIME CHANGEOKLAHOMA

305 306

307 308

309 310

311 312

313 314

315 316

317 318

319 320

321 322

323 324

325 326

OL PB

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 8327 328

329 330

331 332

333 334

335 336

337 338

339 340

341 342

343 344

345 346

347 348

349 350

351 352

353 354

355 356

357 358

359 360

OL PBVIRGINIA10:30 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON ESPN

S CAROLINA 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISS ST ESPN2

FLA ATLANTIC 6:00 PM MIAMI FLA ACC

VA TECH @ Bristol, TN8:00 PM TIME CHANGE TENNESSEE ABC

SMU3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BAYLOR FS1 IOWA ST7:30 PM IOWA BTN

N CAROLINA7:30 PM ILLINOIS BTN

GA SOUTHERN7:00 PM TIME CHANGE S ALABAMA

WYOMING12:00 PM TIME CHANGE NEBRASKA ESPN2

UTAH ST2:00 PM TIME CHANGE USC PAC12

NEW MEXICO8:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST

BYU7:30 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH

WASHINGTON ST10:15 PM TIME CHANGE BOISE ST ESPN2

UNLV 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE UCLA PAC12

TEXAS TECH10:00 PM ARIZONA ST FSN

CALIFORNIA CBSSN10:30 PM SAN DIEGO ST

361 362

363 364

365 366

367 368

369 370

371 372

373 374

375 376

377 378

379 380

381 382

383 384

385 386

387 388

389 390

391 392

OL PB OL PB

19 22’

6’

21’

10

32

15

10

12

23’

7

1

5

C MICHIGAN12:00 PMOKLAHOMA ST FS1

AKRON3:30 PM TIME CHANGEWISCONSIN BTN

NC STATE12:00 PM E CAROLINA ESPNU

TULSA3:30 PM TIME CHANGE OHIO ST ABC

TROY12:30 PM CLEMSON ACC

NO ILLINOIS7:00 PM TIME CHANGE USF CBSSN

WAKE FOREST3:30 PM DUKE ESPNU

CONNECTICUT3:30 PMNAVY CBSSN

UTEP7:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS LHN

ARKANSAS ST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE AUBURN SEC GEORGIA ST2:00 PM TIME CHANGE AIR FORCE

UTSA4:00 PM TIME CHANGECOLORADO ST

KENTUCKY3:30 PM FLORIDA CBS

NEVADA3:30 PM NOTRE DAME NBC

IDAHO PAC125:00 PM TIME CHANGE WASHINGTON

W KENTUCKY 3:30 PM ALABAMA ESPN2

MIDDLE TENN4:00 PM VANDERBILT SEC

4’

7

1

3

10

6

1

1

3

14

CAROLINA 8:30 PM DENVER NBC

451 452

2’

1

2

6

34’ 39

25’

1619

20

6’ 7

7 1

16’ 24

24 17

3

36

3

36

11

3

20

16’

3’

11

21

11

6

16

�

�

�

�

�

�

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

2’

�

11 7

44 44

4’

28’

36

11

7

6

27

17

18

12

16’

1

34

31

4

12

6

21

13

14

8

27

36’

25’

28

21

39

14

6’ 1

4

8

3

12

27’ 24

4’

6

3

7

1

4

8’

6

3

3

13’ 7

7 3

2

4

2

7

17’ 13

25’ 16 3 13

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at: VegasINSIDER.com

september 8-12, 2016 marc’s nfl opening week play of the ......marc’s nfl opening week play of...

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