october 19-23, 2017 marc’s nfl gom - steelers (+3) - w ... · 4 tcu 5 wisconsin 6 ohio state 7...

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VegasInsider.com Volume 32, Issue 9 October 19-23, 2017 CFB BEST BETS SWEEP, NFL 5-1 LAST 2 WEEKS! Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - WINNER! Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends Incredible Stat of the Week Analysis on Every Lined Game Best Bets and Key Plays Full Schedule with Opening Lines Michigan-Penn St In Big Ten Battle Royal! GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein.

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Page 1: October 19-23, 2017 Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - W ... · 4 TCU 5 WISCONSIN 6 OHIO STATE 7 CLEMSON 8 MIAMI FLA 9 OKLAHOMA 10 OKLA STATE 11 USC 12 WASHINGTON ... Football conference

VegasInsider.com

Volume 32, Issue 9 October 19-23, 2017

CFB BEST BETS SWEEP, NFL 5-1 LAST 2 WEEKS!

Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - WINNER!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

Michigan-Penn St In Big Ten Battle Royal!

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOKCOPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published

without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein.

Page 2: October 19-23, 2017 Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - W ... · 4 TCU 5 WISCONSIN 6 OHIO STATE 7 CLEMSON 8 MIAMI FLA 9 OKLAHOMA 10 OKLA STATE 11 USC 12 WASHINGTON ... Football conference

page 2 • www.VegasInsider.com

Current 2017 Associated Press Poll Top 25:1 ALABAMA2 PENN STATE3 GEORGIA4 TCU5 WISCONSIN6 OHIO STATE7 CLEMSON

8 MIAMI FLA9 OKLAHOMA10 OKLA STATE11 USC12 WASHINGTON13 NOTRE DAME14 VIRGINIA TECH

15 WASH STATE16 SOUTH FLORIDA17 NC STATE18 MICHIGAN STATE19 MICHIGAN20 UCF21 AUBURN

22 STANFORD23 WEST VIRGINIA24 LSU25 MEMPHIS

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

CIRCLE OF LIFEA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

PLAY AGAINST any College Football conference road

favorite off a SU home underdog win versus an

opponent off a SU dog win.

“ It’s the wheel of fortuneIt’s the leap of faithIt’s the band of hopeTill we fi nd our place

On the path unwindingIn the circle, the circle of life.”

That’s because these uncomfortable road favorites are a 4-23 ATS winning proposition when in this hard-to-handle role change since 1990. Better yet, when the full-circle favorites are off a double-digit ATS win, they dip to 1-17 ATS.

This week fi nds two teams doing the ‘Circle of Life’, namely Arizona

Changing roles. It’s never easy. While it has become commonplace in the world

in which we live today – from 50 Shades of Gray to Caitlyn Jenner – it’s always an uncomfortable, uphill journey.

The same holds true in the world of college football whenever teams are asked to assume a new role from one game to the next. Particularly so when they are suddenly favored after having just pulled an upset as an underdog.

In fact, college football conference

Some say eat or be eatenSome say live and let live

But all are agreed as they join the stampede

You should never take more than you give

In the circle of life.

road favorites off a SU conference home underdog win own a meager 85-111-5 ATS losing mark since 1980.

Better yet, our well-oiled machine tells us the best role in which to fade these situation role changers is to –

and Tulsa – should the Wildcats go off as a favorite.

So when it comes to going full circle, remember that the task is much taller than the undertaking. Elton John confi rms it with this closing message…

Some of us fall by the waysideAnd some of us soar to the stars

And some of us sail through our troubles

And some have to live with the scars.

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach has made a living taking points in games off a loss, going 11-3 ATS in his career, including 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS

against foes off a win. Who is this week’s best friend?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 8.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

ATS W-L Record Since 1980:

7-0(100%)

WHEN EIGHT AIN’T GREAT

PLAY AGAINST any 6-1 college football conference

favorite off a SU favorite loss if they are facing a foe off a SU underdog win.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Play AGAINST: SAN DIEGO STATE (10/21)

Page 3: October 19-23, 2017 Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - W ... · 4 TCU 5 WISCONSIN 6 OHIO STATE 7 CLEMSON 8 MIAMI FLA 9 OKLAHOMA 10 OKLA STATE 11 USC 12 WASHINGTON ... Football conference

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

Saturday, October 21Syracuse 3-0 away off BB HG… 4-1 as RD’s 14 > pts… 5-2 bef FSUMIAMI FLA SERIES: 4-1 L5… 4-0 as HF’s 14 > pts… 7-3 in 2nd of BB HG

Michigan SERIES: 3-0 L3… 3-8 aft IU… 3-7 as dogs vs conf revenge PENN ST 5-1 as conf HF’s 13 < Pts… 10-2 off SU conf road win 14 > pts

C Florida 0-4 aft ECU… 1-5 Game Six… 2-9 as conf RF’s > 4 pts NAVY 4-1 vs undefeated opp Gm 5 >… 0-3-1 L4 conf HG

S Florida 1st meeting… 3-1 aft Cincy… 3-1 as conf RF’s > 6 ptsTULANE 4-0 bef Memphis… 1-4-1 as conf HD’s > 5 pt

Tennessee SERIES: Visitor 6-3… 0-5 as dogs 20 > pts… 1-3 aft SCALABAMA SERIES: 8-3 L11… 8-1 aft Ark… 6-1 as conf favs 26 > pts

Louisville SERIES: 5-2 L7… 8-1 as RD’s 10 < pts… 3-1 bef Wake ForFLORIDA ST 0-5 as favs 18 < pts w/ revenge… 1-3 bef Bost Coll

Usc 4-0 aft Utah… 4-1 away off BB HG… 1-4 vs rested oppNOTRE DAME 4-0 home w/ rest…12-3 off SU road win 14 > pts

Oklahoma SERIES: 3-1 L4 / Visitor: 7-1… 6-1 as conf RF’s 13 < ptsKANSAS ST 5-0 as HD’s 7 > pts… 5-1 as dogs w/ conf revenge

Iowa St 7-2 as conf dogs < 10 pts… 5-2 aft KansasTEXAS TECH 7-1 Game Seven… 4-1 aft West Va… 8-2 w/ conf revenge

Arizona St 6-2-1 away w/ conf revenge… 1-7 as RD’s 10 < ptsUTAH SERIES: 4-0 L4… 4-0 bef Oregon… 1-6 home vs conf revenge

Colorado 3-0 in 2nd of BB RG… 6-1 as conf RD’s 14 < ptsWASH ST 5-1 as conf HF’s > 7 pts… 7-3 Game Eight… 1-3 aft Cal

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

Thursday, October 19Kansas City 4-0 A vs foe w/ quintuple rev… 1-6 1st BB div vs < .500 foe OAKLAND 7-1 3rd of 3H vs .500 > foe… 1-5 off div bef BB away

Sunday, October 22Tennessee 0-10 vs < .300 foe w/ rev… 1-5 bef rest vs non-div CLEVELAND Ser: 5-2-1 L8… 1-5 Game Seven… 1-5 H bef NFC

Jacksonville 1-5 w/ rev aft NFC… 4-24 off home vs ≤ .500 foe off away INDIANAPOLIS Ser: 0-4 L4… 0-5 dogs aft Tenn… 2-14 Home Four vs div

Cincinnati 0-8 Game Six RD’s… 2-9 < .500 Away Three vs divPITTSBURGH Ser: 3-1 L4… 5-0 Home Three… 5-1 .500 > bef NFC (1-0)

Baltimore 0-4 Away Four… 1-5 Game Seven away vs non-div w/ rev MINNESOTA Ser: 1-3 L4… 10-0 off home vs non-div off home

Ny Jets 1-8 aft New Eng vs foe w/ rev… 1-8 Away Four vs foe w/ rev MIAMI Ser: 1-8-1 L10 / 0-3-1 L4H… 0-7 favs vs div off div

Tampa Bay 0-5 bef Carolina… 1-10 2nd BB away vs non-div foe w/ rev BUFFALO 7-0 home w/ rest off SU loss vs non-div… 6-0 vs NFC (2-0)

Carolina 5-1 .500 > Away Four… 4-1 1st BB away vs 2nd BB non-divCHICAGO Ser: 0-3 L3… 16-1 off away w/ rev vs .500 > off home (1-0)

New Orleans 4-1 2nd BB NFC North… 1-7 Away Three vs foe w/ revGREEN BAY Ser: 1-4 L5… 12-2 off div vs foe off non-div (1-0)

Arizona 1-6 Game Seven vs div… 1-6 off home vs foe off away La Rams Ser: 2-5 L7… 0-6 off AFC… 1-5 .500 > bef rest

Dallas 5-1 Away Three… 5-1 away off non-div w/ rest vs < .500 foe SAN FRAN Ser: 8-3-1 L12… 4-1 off 3Away vs < .500 foe

Seattle 1-4 RF’s aft La Rams… 2-12 off div w/ restNY GIANTS Ser: 0-3 L3… 4-1 bef rest… 9-2 Home Three

Denver 5-1 off non-div 1st of 3 Away… 0-4 aft NFC (1-0) LA CHARGERS Ser: 1-5 L6H… 9-1 w/ rev bef Oakland vs < .500 foe

Atlanta 6-1 dogs off BB AFC… 5-1 .500 > Away Three w/ rev NEW ENGLAND Ser: 4-0 L4… 4-0 Home Four… 6-1 home aft NY Jets

Monday, October 23Washington 1-7 Away Three off non-div vs .500 > foe… 1-7 MNFPHILADELPHIA Ser: 1-6 L7 / 0-3 L3H… 7-1 .500 > MNF vs div

NFL WEEK SEVEN BYES: DETROIT LIONS, HOUSTON TEXANS

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEKPenn State is 1-13 as a favorite with an

undefeated record following a double-digit win when facing a .750 or greater opponent.

Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

SMARTBOXBEHIND THE 8-BALL

Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed – and their actions on the fi eld confi rm those feelings.

According to our database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and counted out… especially when they take to the road against an opponent off a loss. That’s because teams in this scenario are a paltry 40-140 SU and 62-100-5 ATS since 1980. This week we’ll be queuing-up against BYU.

In addition, teams off their fi rst loss of the season – ‘bubble-burst’ teams, if you will – are particularly despondent after having just seen their dreams of a perfect season go up in smoke. That’s confi rmed by the fact that these teams are just 11-23 ATS since 1990 as conference favorites in Game Eight of the campaign when playing off their initial loss of the season, including 7-17 ATS when off a SU favorite loss. We fi nd San Diego State and Washington State behind the 8-ball this week.

Worse, put these despondent favorites up against foes off a win and they drop to 2-10 ATS. With that, look for the Aztecs and the Cougars – both BYU and WSU – to get ‘racked’ this week.

Go ahead and make the call. 8-ball in the corner pocket for the win.

Page 4: October 19-23, 2017 Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - W ... · 4 TCU 5 WISCONSIN 6 OHIO STATE 7 CLEMSON 8 MIAMI FLA 9 OKLAHOMA 10 OKLA STATE 11 USC 12 WASHINGTON ... Football conference

page 4 • www.VegasInsider.com

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

UNT Green Show New Defi nition Of Mean To Owls...Broncos Seeing Red, Chargers Draw The Short Straw...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 19-23

Thursday, October 19

HOUSTON over Memphis by 7 Week Eight on the college circuit blasts off in Space City with Memphis looking to get a leg up in the competitive AAC West following last week’s win over Navy. There’s no debating that the two best teams in the conference (USF, UCF) reside in the East but if the Tigers want to meet one of those Florida schools in the title tilt, they’ll need to leave Houston with a win for the fi rst time since 2005. They’ll also need to beat a red-faced Cougars’ club who arrives off an embarrassing 28-point loss as double-digit chalk at Tulsa last week. and one that hasn’t lost a conference home game since 2014. The revenge card is also on the scene as Houston fell in Memphis, 48-44, as 4-point road chalk last season despite notching 624 yards of total offense – which brings this little ditty into play: the Cougs are 18-5 SU and 17-5-1 ATS as revenge seekers since 2008, including 14-2 SU and 13-2-1 ATS when owning a win percentage of .636 or more. Couple that with the Tigers’ lame 15-27-1 ATS log off consecutive wins from Game Six out and we would get real bold (and underlined) were it not for the Cougars’ tepid 2-8 ATS mark (0-2 this season) in conference affairs of late. Still, with the hosts bringing 73 YPG the better defense into this fray, it appears to be ladies night in Houston, and these Cougars won’t miss a chance at getting some Tiger tail. Lay it and play it.

ARKANSAS ST over UL-Lafayette 17Following last week’s win over Coastal Carolina, the Red Wolves have now reeled off 18 wins in their last 19 conference games. That lone setback came last year in Lafayette, costing the Wolves the outright Sun Belt title. And though we’re not about to shed any tears for an Arkansas State squad that has won or shared the conference crown in fi ve of the last six seasons, the Cajuns have caused the Jonesboro faithful to bring out the Kleenex on more than a few occasions over the past decade, logging a 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS record in this series since 2008. However, we expect the host’s hankies to stay dry tonight as it’s prowling time for a Wolves’ team that is 39-10 SU and 35-14 ATS during the regular season from Game Six out since 2010. Our only concern in laying the doubles is the season-high yardage that the Wolves have surrendered to two of their past three foes (SMU, Ga Southern). However, each of those were on the road, and it’s not like the Cajuns are a fan favorite of our MIDWEEK ALERT after coughing up season-high yardage in three games already this season. Thus, like last week, look for the Wolves to ‘Coast’ (at least until a season-ender with Troy) to another Sun Belt win and at worst another share of the conference crown – especially with no Apps on this year’s menu. Only one way to look in this meaningful revenger.

Friday, October 20

W Kentucky over OLD DOMINION by 13 As spotty as the Hilltoppers have been this season, they fi nd themselves right in the thick of the Conference USA East mix, sitting just a half game back of both Marshall and FAU. And while it’s safe to assume that the Mike Sanford era hasn’t started off with a bang (WKU has been held to under 23 points already three times this season, which only happened four times in Jeff Brohm’s 3-year tenure, and two of those were at Alabama and LSU), don’t expect Sanford to have the Big One (as in heart attack) tonight in Norfolk as the Monarchs are unraveling faster than President Trump’s cabinet. After starting the season 2-0, ODU has dropped four straight (0-4 SUATS and ITS), getting outscored 184-54 in the process. And though we’re a bit hesitant to lay double-digits on the road with the timid ‘Toppers, we’ll bank on their 5-1 ATS mark as road chalk off back-to-back wins... as well as the fact that Dominion’s current act is getting Old. Lay it or leave it.

Marshall over MIDDLE TENNESSEE by 6A 33-win team from 2013-2015 that posted just THREE victories last season, the Herd (5-1, 2-0) are on a ‘Mission’ in 2017 that makes that of the Starship Enterprise look like a joy ride. Thanks to a stop-unit that is No. 2 in the land in the red-zone defense and has held three of its last four foes to a fi eld goal or less, Doc Holliday’s men currently sit tied atop C-USA East with FAU, a game and a half up on the Blue Raiders. We’re well aware that the series host is a perfect 4-0 SUATS since the Raiders joined the conference in 2013 but MTSU head coach Rick Stockstill is a dejected 0-5 SUATS as a dog following a SU favorite loss, and just 6-9 ATS as a home dog. And though we don’t typically fi ll our Friday night dance card with non-Power 5 road chalk, we’re not about to put much ‘Stock’ in a Blue Raiders bunch that has been held to 20 points or less on four occasions this season – not against these stingy Marshall men. An easy lay.

Air Force over NEVADA by 8 If you thought that the Air Force was asleep in the cockpit during the 1941 invasion of Pearl Harbor, then you haven’t seen Troy Calhoun’s club the past two weeks. Two Saturdays ago they fell behind Navy 38-17 before rallying (and actually taking the lead) in an eventual 48-45 loss, and last week they spotted UNLV a 27-point lead before pulling out a 34-30 victory. We don’t see that being the case tonight in Reno as the 1-6 Wolf Pack have allowed 30 or more points in all but one game this season, including 44 points and 612 yards in last week’s loss to Colorado State. Then again, we doubt the Falcons envisioned being locked in a 3-way tie for the MWC Mountain division cellar at this point of the season. A lifetime 3-0 ATS series mark certainly favors the Force but a 4-11 ATS record in their last fi fteen tries as road chalk does not. Hence, we’re not particularly anxious to fl y with any of these underachievers tonight in Mackay Stadium. Pass.

Colorado St over NEW MEXICO by 3Out of the frying pan and into the fi re. That appears to be the case for Bob Davie’s Lobos who take on Colorado State – the leader in the MWC Mountain division and a team they haven’t beaten since 2009 (0-7 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) – after getting throttled 38-0 by Fresno State, the leaders in the West. And with four winning foes dotting the remaining slate, the 3-3 hosts are in danger of missing the alleys for the fi rst time in three seasons. Not so for the surging Rams who have amassed over 600 total yards three times this season and whose only loss in the last fi ve weeks was a 41-23 defeat in Tuscaloosa. Our concern, however, in backing Mike Bobo’s boys is two-fold: (1) they have revengers on deck with Air Force, Wyoming and Boise State (the latter two of who are also unbeaten in conference play) and (2) Davie owns a 5-3 ATS log as a dog following a SU favorite loss. That has us taking a left in Albuquerque... especially with the wagering public instantly ‘Ramming’ this line to over a touchdown. We suggest you do the same.

Saturday, October 21

Iowa over NORTHWESTERN by 6 The 3-3 Wildcats continued to show they can handle mid-rung teams in last week’s trouncing of Maryland but this step up the high bar may be more than Northwestern can handle, especially at home where the Purple Gang is 26-40 ATS under HC Pat Fitzgerald, including 2-4 ATS against rested opposition. While the 4-2 Hawkeyes aren’t exactly the Cat’s Meow (as in cream of the Big Ten crop), they were more than competitive in both setbacks, losing to Penn State, 21-19, on the last play of the game and at Michigan State by a touchdown. The Hawks also arrive with a chip on their shoulder after dropping a 38-31 decision as 11-point home chalk to the Wildcats last season. That suits Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz just fi ne as evidenced by his 20-8-1 ATS log as a conference dog with revenge, including 11-1-1 ATS the last 13. In addition, the schedule also suggests that this is a bigger game for the visitors as only one losing foe (Nebraska) dots Iowa’s salty slate while the Wildcats have the benefi t of avoiding both Michigan and Ohio State down the stretch. That has us beaming with Captain Kirk and company today in Evanston.

Page 5: October 19-23, 2017 Marc’s NFL GOM - STEELERS (+3) - W ... · 4 TCU 5 WISCONSIN 6 OHIO STATE 7 CLEMSON 8 MIAMI FLA 9 OKLAHOMA 10 OKLA STATE 11 USC 12 WASHINGTON ... Football conference

www.VegasInsider.com • page 5

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

VegasINSIDER.com

(continued on next page)

CONNECTICUT over Tulsa by 1 Cellar-dwelling Tulsa (2-5, 1-2) shocked Houston last week keeping their slim – make that extremely slim – postseason hopes alive. In fact, if the Golden Hurricane have any prayer of hitting the alleys for the third straight season under HC Phil Montgomery, they’ll need to win all of their remaining games that doesn’t include a trip to Tampa (USF) in mid-November. The problem is it starts with a major role change outlined in Marc’s CIRCLE OF LIFE Betcha Didn’t Know article on page 2 and ends with Tulsa’s 129th-rated defense (only East Carolina is worse) being asked to lay nearly a touchdown on the road (that’s a no-no in our book). The middle chapters fi nd the Hurricane 0-2-1 ATS all-time as road chalk against foes off a SU underdog win and UConn’s Randy Edsall 3-0 ATS at home in his college coaching career off a SU dog win against foes off a SU dog win. Sorry Elton but that has us ‘taking more than we give’ today in East Hartford. You need to join us in this ‘leap of faith.’

Troy over GEORGIA ST by 14 If we told you that the Panthers (who opened their Sun Belt slate with a pair of road games) were ahead of the Trojans (who began league play with two straight homers) in the conference standings, you’d send us straight to Jennifer Melfi – after fi rst seeing Frasier Crane! But that’s exactly the case as the letdown of beating LSU proved too much to overcome for red-faced Troy. Now with no crack at App State and the Sun Belt title likely out of the picture, all Neal Brown’s boys can do is focus on concluding the season, maybe matching last year’s 10-win effort and donning the bowling shoes for a second straight campaign. Our database doesn’t think Visine will be required today in Atlanta to get the red-out as the Trojans are 9-1 ATS following a SU favorite loss. Our MIDWEEK ALERT concurs, noting Troy owns both the better offense and the stingier defense. And though these two have traded 31-21 home victories the past two seasons, look for that to come to screeching halt. A must lay.

Smu over CINCINNATI by 10 What a difference three years make! The last time these two got together, it was the Bearcats who showed up as double-digit road chalk in 2014, delivering a resounding 41-3 win. Now it’s the vastly improved Ponies who show up as signifi cant favorites on enemy soil. Our mean machine thinks they’ll return the favor as they ride into the Queen City with a 5-2 ATS mark in their last seven tries as road chalk while the ‘Cats are the only team in the AAC loop without a conference win. The Mustangs are also one of just three teams (along with Iowa State and Miami Fla) in the nation to have not lost a fumble this season. That has them in the running for the AAC West crown, though this looks like a must-win with a home game against UCF and a pair of roadies at Navy and Memphis dotting the November calendar. Our informed MIDWEEK ALERT is certainly ready to ‘Pony’ up and so are we as it reminds us that Cincy is allowing nearly 100 YPG more than they are gaining in lined games this season. The questionable status of Bearcats’ QB Hayden Moore (elbow) just adds more fuel to the SMU fi re. Cincy is heading nowhere fast and despite our infatuation with conference home dogs, we’re not coming along for the fall. You know what to do.

5� BEST BET

There should be plenty of room at the early bird specials this Saturday in Boca Raton as the C-USA league leaders meet in a 5:00 PM start. And the way the betting public sees it, FAU backers won’t have much of an appetite when this one is over as the opening line has already seen the Owls go from 6.5-point favorites down to 3. We concur as the Mean Green arrive on a 4-game series win skein (3-1 ATS) and are riding a 13-6-2 ATS dog log, including 8-2-1 ATS during the fi rst seven games of the season. They were good to us last week on these pages and we’re not about to bail on them now, especially when they own both the superior offense and stingier defense. So with the better team on the take (read: money line), we don’t need to battle Myra and Saul for a table. Nope, instead we’ll hop on I-95 South and make our way down to Joe’s Stone Crab on advice of THE CLINCHER: The Owls are 5-20-1 ATS as favorites since 2009, including 2-14 ATS when laying less than 6 points.

North Texas over FLA ATLANTIC by 10

MIAMI OHIO over Buffalo by 8 Tough enough handicapping these MAC daddies without key injuries dictating the discussion… especially when the quarterbacks for both teams are questionable. For the visiting Bulls, QB Drew Aderson – who took over for an injured and ineffective Tyree Jackson – hurt his shoulder in last

week’s 14-13 home loss to Northern Illinois (Jackson remains questionable with a bum knee). As for the RedHawks, QB Gus Ragland has been ruled out indefi nitely with a lower body injury. Adding fuel to the fi re, there’s a better-than-average chance that the loser of this game (both squads currently 1-2 SU in conference play) will not only drop out of the MAC Championship race, they could also fi nd themselves staying home for the holidays (Bulls 3-4 SU overall and RedHawks just 2-5 SU). But while Miami has won just two games on the season, the birds of prey have gone 5-2 ITS, winning the stats by 22 YPG. By comparison, Buffi e is getting outyarded by 35 YPG in FBS contests. Don’t let Miami’s slow start scare you: the RedHawks were 0-6 SU in their fi rst six games last season before closing like a runaway train, going 6-1 SUATS in their fi nal seven games. It’s their time.

TOLEDO over Akron by 20After a 1-3 SU start, most of us weren’t expecting anything from Akron the rest of the way. However, head Zip Terry Bowden somehow found a way to get his guys motivated again. Not only did they open MAC play with a pair of outright wins, the ‘Roos from Rubber City faced Western Michigan on the road as double-digit dogs – and won SU again, 14-13. So despite being outgained at WMU by 426-215, Akron currently sits alone atop the MAC East at 3-0. But at high noon Saturday on the streets of Toledo, Bowden and his boys must tangle with what is arguably the conference bear. The Rockets bounced back from their only SU loss of the season against Miami Florida by smacking around Central Michigan, 30-10 – moving into a tie with Northern Illinois in the West. As much as we like to back underdogs on a roll, we think the Zips could wear down here against a high octane Rocket offense as Akron is 1-12-2 ATS off a SU underdog win. Finally, Toledo’s outstanding 16-0 SU and 13-3 ATS as home chalk of 8 or more points off a double-digit SUATS win ties the knot. Lay the spot as the Zips get fried on the launch pad.

OHIO U over Kent St by 25 Ohio head coach Frank Solich is at it again, making sure his Bobcats are a factor in the race to reach the MAC Championship game. The defending MAC East champs are currently a half-game back of Akron in the division and have a visit to the Rubber City in three weeks, so all they need to do is keep pace. That should not be a problem against a porous KSU defense (outgained by 188 YPG in FBS clashes) and the nation’s WORST red zone offense. Our sister publication, the MIDWEEK ALERT, also looks for a blowout with KSU’s -1.8 net YPR going up against OU’s +1.6. Hey, we wont’ even mention the fact that the Flashes have scored only 11 PPG this year! With Kent having lost the last three series meetings both SU and ATS, we’ll lean on Solich and his 24-1 SU and 18-7 ATS success in his previous 25 games as MAC chalk of 20 or more points here this afternoon.

No Illinois over BOWLING GREEN by 18 If you’re wandering why our MAC-A-Thon seems to be heavy on the chalk this week, don’t blame us. Once again, the MIDWEEK ALERT points to a blowout thanks to NIU’s +1.8 net YPR overpowering BG’s -1.3 mark. Huskies’ HC Rod Carey is doing his best to make fans forget last season’s 5-7 debacle (Carey had gone 31-11 SU in three years prior), and this year’s 4-2 start – including a road win over Nebraska – is helping NIU regain some of its lost credibility. Key is a Top 10 ranked defense that allows just 283 YPG and a paltry 2.4 yards per rush. No such luck for the BeeGees, who are being outyarded nearly 150 YPG in FBS bouts behind a 516 YPG defense. Ughhh. When we see that the series dog is currently in a 1-4 ATS skid, and that Bowling Green limps onto the fi eld today off a disappointing Homecoming loss to Ohio U, we can’t ignore Northern’s wallet-fattening 17-2 SU and 14-5 ATS record in its last 19 as a road favorite. Huskies mush their way straight to the pay window.

W Michigan over E MICHIGAN by 8 Granted, the 4-3 Broncos aren’t exactly running off and leaving foes the way they did last year in HC P.J. Fleck’s 13-1 SU swan song, but new head coach Tim Lester did have his WMU squad sitting atop the MAC West – until a 14-13 loss as double-digit home chalk to Akron knocked them off their perch (now looking up at Northern Illinois and Toledo). Even so,

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NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

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the Broncos won the stats by over 200 yards in that surprising defeat, and our MIDWEEK ALERT comes to their rescue, too, noting WMU’s +1.0 net YPR domination over EMU’s -1.4 fi gure. Meanwhile, since Eastern Michigan enjoyed its fi rst winning season last year since 1995, it’s beginning to look like ghosts from the Eagles’ closet may be coming back to haunt them. In fact, today’s price of WMU -4 looks too good to be true: EMU has been a 25, 18.5 and 27.5-point underdog the last three meeting in this series – so seeing them catch less than a TD against a mad series dominator (Eagles just 6-19 SU last 25) is genuinely confusing. Yes, the green birds are a solid 4-1 ATS this season; however, they’ve lost three consecutive contests on the scoreboard heading into this huge state rivalry game. Jeez, we hate walking into a trap but Western’s top-notch 9-2 ATS record on the road against .500 or less opponents makes it impossible to resist. Lay it, again.

MICHIGAN ST over Indiana by 11 It appears rumors of Mark Dantonio’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. After winning just three games last season, it’s been ‘Mission’ Sparty in East Lansing this year as the Spartans (5-1, 3-0) are once again players in the Big Ten thanks to a defense that has held four opponents to season-low yardage, including each of their three conference foes. And if Dantonio can keep his troops from looking too far down the road (i.e. back-to-backers with Penn State and Ohio State), he should be able to take care of another conference revenger as the Hoosiers hit town off a hard-fought overtime loss to Michigan and a bunch of paltry numbers: 0-4 ATS in Game Seven, 1-10 ATS as conference dogs of 10 or less points, 1-5 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games and 1-4 ATS after Michigan. And though we’re not thrilled with State’s 1-6 ATS mark as conference chalk of 10 or less points, we can’t overlook the fact that the Spartans are 7-0 ATS with conference revenge, or that the series host is 5-1 ATS since 2011. Don’t miss this Sparty party.

Uab over CHARLOTTE by 3 To make a case for a not-so-sweet winless Charlotte club, who owns the nation’s second-worst pass effi ciency defense and is just 2-8-2 ATS as home dogs since joining the FBS, would be like making a case for O.J. Simpson, Ted Kennedy, Robert Blake or Oscar Pistorius. Oh wait… maybe we CAN represent the 49ers. Actually, we’d be better off putting the Blazers on the stand as they arrive off back-to-back SU underdog wins and now are being asked to lay points on the road. That’s never been a prosperous situation as teams changing roles and going out as road chalk against losing foes tend to play down to the level of opposition as evidenced by a 14-29-1 ATS log since 1980. As it is, the Blazers are a dressed-down 5-12 ATS as road favorites. Thus, we can’t acquit as the suits don’t fi t (the occasion). Simply put, the visitors are not ready to wear a 7.5-point road tux. Case closed.

ARMY over Temple by 1With the Matt Rhule era over in Philly, the Owls numbers are down substantially this year under HC Geoff Collins, with the defense -118 YPG off from last season and the offense -60 YPG. Still, Temple held UConn to a season-low 248 yards in a 28-24 loss as double-digit chalk last week while rolling up 477 yards of their own, but in the end, costly mistakes and the failure to convert critical 4th downs spelled defeat. As for the Cadets, it’s another year with their traditional one-dimensional attack, so it’s no surprise to see them ranked at the bottom of the nation’s passing offenses (17.9 PG). Let’s face it, they run the football – that’s what they do. But overall, the Cadets are 5-1 ITS (In The Stats) this season. Army stunned the Owls 28-13 as 15.5-point dogs in last year’s-season opener, so with serious revenge looming, we look for the Black Knights to fall to 0-6 ATS in their last six games as home chalk here today.

EAST CAROLINA over Byu by 1No need to point out that the Cougars are having a rough year with a 1-6 SU record (only win over an FCS Portland State team), plus they haven’t covered the spread since Thanksgiving of last season. The question is why? A lot of the Cougars’ woes can be attributed to head coach Kalani Sitake (who we feel is not long for the job) as his troops rank No. 121 in turnover margin (-1.29), as well as No. 128 in fi rst down offense, No. 127 in Time

of Possession (25 MPG) and No. 127 in Turnovers Lost (17) this season. But because they’re playing a team that ranks at the bottom of numerous statistical categories themselves, it appears on the surface they may improve some of those numbers this week. Meanwhile, the Pirates are equally bad, owning the nation’s worst overall defense (600 YPG) and 2nd-worst First Down Offense. So, why take this Homecoming home dog, you ask? For openers, an 11-5 ATS mark in non-conference games, including 4-1 ATS at home gets our attention, as does the Cougars -200 YPG stat mark in FBS contests this season. But most importantly, BYU appears as a major fade in this week’s SMART BOX on page 3.

Purdue over RUTGERS by 6The Boilermakers are a road favorite, and by more than a TD? What in Hades is going on here? Well, the arrival of Jeff Brohm for one thing, but you need to go back to 2012 to fi nd the last time Purdue has laid wood away from West Lafayette, and they’re 0-4 ATS as road chalk dating back to 2011. Unfortunately, the Boilers are allowing more yards than they are gaining and that’s not a recipe for success. On the fl ip side, the good news for the Scarlet Knights is they fi nally got a Big Ten victory, upending Illinois as 2.5-point dogs last week. The bad news is they are just 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS in lined games following a SU underdog win, including 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS at home. The real news is there is no reason to be involved in this mess.

DUKE over Pitt by 3Speaking of messy situations. The Panthers have covered just once this season and are 2-5 SU with their only two wins coming against Youngstown State and Rice, so it’s understandable they are puppying up here today. They’re also being outyarded nearly 100 YPG against FBS foes this season and lost starting QB Max Browne two weeks ago against Syracuse with a season-ending shoulder injury. Browne was a fi ve-star recruit at Southern Cal but transferred to Pitt last season after losing his job to Sam Darnold. You’d think this might open us up for a deal with the Devils but Duke has their own problems, losing three straight games after opening the season 4-0. Duke’s defense has played quite well, averaging over 8 tackles for loss this season, to rank 8th in the nation. However, the Dukies allowed 248 yards on the ground against FSU, including Cam Akers’ game-winning TD midway through the 4th quarter to break a 10-10 tie. Finally, Duke is a ‘leaking oil’ favorite (lost the stats in its last three games) and its 2-11 ATS mark as conference home chalk with revenge keeps us far, far away from these Devils.

MIAMI-FLA over Syracuse by 20That stunning upset over 2nd ranked Clemson on Friday night puts the Orange back on the map – a program-changing win in the second season under HC Dino Babers. QB Eric Dungey made big plays when he had to, and engineered three big fi rst downs on the fi nal drive to allow the Orange to close out the Tigers. The problem this week comes courtesy of a shiny nugget from the well-oiled machine: teams off consecutive wins, include the last one as a dog of 20 or more points, are just 9-25 ATS in the following game. So, it will be no surprise to see the Orange get peeled by the green and orange. Especially since the Canes have covered four of the last fi ve meetings in this series, not to mention their 4-0 ATS mark as home favorites of 14 or more points. However, the Cardiac Canes’ magic won’t last unless they address a defense that ranks No. 118 in the red zone. The last remaining undefeated team in the ACC currently owns the nation’s 2nd longest win streak (10 games), partly because they have rarely turned the ball over (tied for tops in the nation with only 3 TOs lost this season, with zero fumbles lost). A cautionary tip, though: Miami has numerous injuries, so closely check the injury report before going to the window.

BALL ST over Central Michigan by 3The loser of this battle can unpack their bags and make plans to stay home for the holidays. But the Chips are still alive, thanks to an upset win as double-digit dogs two weeks ago at Ohio U. Unfortunately, they were promptly smoked by Toledo last week and have now been outstatted in each of their last fi ve games. That makes them a ‘leaking oil’ favorite in this contest, and we want no part of that, especially given the fact that they were 0-2 SUATS as road chalk last season. The Cardinals are 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, scoring just 3 points in each of their last two contests. On the bright side, however, following the last two instances where they scored just a FG in two straight games since 2000, they won and covered in the next game. A 6-1 ATS record in this series, plus a week of rest, should prove to be the edge here.

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GAME OF THE WEEK

Wake Forest over GEORGIA TECH by 6We all know the Wreck can’t pass the ball (No. 128 in passing offense with just 77.6 PYPG), but they lead the nation in fewest penalties (18) on the season and are also tied for the best Time of Possession (36 MPG). On the down side, they are a concerning 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a loss and are probably looking dead ahead to a trip to Clemson. Also, we came up with this interesting stat from our Coaches database: teams are 10-21 ATS as conference home favorites in games after facing a Mark Richt team. Meanwhile, Wake is tied with Miami for fewest turnovers lost (3) along with N.C. State and Alabama. Also, the Demon Deacons have been absolute road warriors recently, going 8-2 ATS in their last ten away games. But here’s THE CLINCHER: Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson is 13-6 ATS away in conference games following an ATS win, including 8-1 SUATS when not a double-digit dog.

UPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

APPALACHIAN ST over Coastal Carolina by 20The Chanticleers are 0-4 SUATS over their last four FBS contests and the move from FCS to FBS might have been a bit overwhelming early on, but expect head coach Joe Moglia to reverse his team’s fortunes sooner rather than later. The fact is CCU’s two Sun Belt losses have been by a total of just 14 points. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers reside atop the Sun Belt but have been outstatted in three of their last four games. That’s a warning sign for a team laying nearly 4 TDs, as is the slow start they displayed last week during the trip to Idaho where they found themselves down 20-0 in the 3rd quarter before putting together a rally. The Mounties have covered their last two games in Boone, but before that, were just 2-9 ATS at home in 2015 and 2016. The bottom line is that until they get things turned around on the stat sheet, we’re forced to cast an eye to the visiting roosters.

3� BEST BET

Frankly, we’re surprised by the size of this spread, especially since this 5-1 Michigan team is ranked #1 in the nation in total defense (223.8 YPG) and is giving up just 14.7 PPG (ranked 8th). In fact, the MIDWEEK ALERT reports the Wolverines have held all six foes to season-low yards this season. On offense, while getting a fraction of the publicity that Penn State RB Saquon Barkley has received this year, RB Karan Higdon has emerged as the go-to-guy for Harbaugh’s rushing attack. Higdon gained a career-high 200 yards and ran for three scores last week against Indiana, including a 59-yard scamper in the 4th quarter, and the 25-yard game-winner in OT. Harbaugh is 7-1 SU versus undefeated foes with the Wolves (the only loss by 4 points), while covering four straight times with Michigan against unblemished opponents. Penn State can also claim a top-ranked defense, leading the FBS in scoring ‘D’ (9 PPG). The team that is No. 2 in the polls is also the No. 2 team in the nation in Turnover Margin (+2.0 net TO per game). But don’t forget that the Nittany Lions have to face three of the Big Ten’s top fi ve defenses in these next three games (Ohio State and Michigan State on deck). Also, keep in mind that James Franklin is just 9-19-1 ATS as a favorite versus .750 or greater opponents. Better yet there is THE CLINCHER: See the INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3.

Michigan over PENN ST by 3

WISCONSIN over Maryland by 21Maryland is 3-1 ATS on the road versus undefeated conference opponents, but 0-4 ATS as conference dogs of 14 or more points. They have an outstanding WR talent in D.J. Moore, but you need a running game and the Terps are lacking in that department. They do own a pair of SU upset wins as double-digit dogs this season (at Texas and at Minnesota) and that alone makes them worth a look. Meanwhile, the Badgers are doing it the old-fashioned way: 6-0 SU and ITS this season. The passing game is not consistent, but the defense is stifl ing, which is par for the course in Madison. With the stronger teams over in the Big Ten East, Wisconsin is in control of the West and shouldn’t let Maryland get in the way as they steamroll to a spot in the Big Ten Championship game. Our concern, though, is that this is a Homecoming game and the spread is in an uncomfortable range, plus the Wisky injury report is a mile long after the physical game last week against Purdue. We lean to a take today in Madison.

VA TECH over N Carolina by 20The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS as conference dogs of more than 19 points, with the same record coming off back-to-back home games and while those are good numbers, Larry Fedora could now have climbed onto the hot seat. The Heels have regressed as much as any team in the nation this season on both sides of the ball and enter this contest on a 0-4 SUATS and ITS slide. Fedora tried to jump-start his team versus the Cavaliers by bringing back opening-game starter and former LSU QB Brandon Harris to replace Chazz Surratt last week. Harris’ numbers: 7 of 18 for 46 yards and 3 interceptions, with 10 rushes for 30 yards in a 20-14 loss. Whoops! Now Fedora doesn’t seem to have any idea who will start this week. Meanwhile, the Hokies have been banged up, especially at WR, but the bye week came at a good time to get healthy and Tech is 3-0 ATS with rest. Justin Fuente’s team is ranked in the Top 25 in both offense and defense and is 3-0 with rest, but a lousy 1-5 mark as double-digit conference home chalk gives us pause. In the end, we can’t lay it or take it… so we’re leaving it alone.

VIRGINIA over Boston College by 14 Bronco Mendenhall’s overhaul in Charlottesville is in full stride as the Cavaliers are currently the No. 1 red zone defense in the nation. Virginia controlled the football for nearly 40 minutes against North Carolina, and Jordan Ellis rushed for 136 yards to back the solid play of QB Kurt Benkert. The Cavs have only gone bowling once since 2007, but are now 5-1 SU and are one of only three teams in the ACC to remain unbeaten in conference play this season. They enter this contest 4-0 SUATS and ITS in their last four games, so there’s only one way to look here. Especially since the Eagles are coming off that mammoth upset of Louisville as 20-point dogs, getting a late FG for a 3-point win. Freshman RB A.J. Dillon had a monster game, rushing for 274 yards and 4 TDs, including a 75-yarder that put BC up 42-28 in the 4th quarter. But the win is not good news this week as the Eagles are 3-7 ATS as conference dogs following a SU underdog win.

BOISE ST over Wyoming by 10A lofty red zone offense (tied for No. 1) and a strong net Turnover Margin (+1.83 net TO’s per Game) are carrying the Cowboys, who are 3-0 SUATS in their last three games entering this fray. QB Josh Allen is still not fulfi lling expectations, as Wyoming was outgained last week by Utah State, 363-294, but the Pokes’ defense picked up the slack with fi ve turnovers. Speaking of expectations, Boise State has been extremely disappointing this season, mainly on offense, despite ending San Diego State’s unbeaten run last week by shutting down the Aztecs’ Rashad Penny. Penny ran for just 53 yards 21 carries and the Broncos got off to a quick start (53-yard punt return TD and a 34-yard fumble return for a score in the 1st quarter). Note: The Broncos were 7-point favorites in this game in the Game of the Year plays at the South Point in Vegas before the season began, but have now been installed as 2-TD chalk, despite the fact that their numbers are down dramatically this season. Boise was favored by 33.5, 23.5 and 32 points its last three road trips here – that’s how far BSU has slipped behind HC Bryan Harsin. BSU lost 30-28 as 14.5-point chalk at Laramie last season and if the nasty revenge were not in the picture, we’d be riding tall in the saddle with the Cowboys once again this week.

TCU over Kansas by 36The Jayhawks have covered fi ve straight in this series and the Frogs have a habit of looking past them, but our all-knowing database warns Kansas is just 3-16 ATS as conference road dogs of more than 27 points. They have also given up an average of over 50 PPG in their fi ve FBS losses, and were white-washed by Iowa State last week in Ames. Meanwhile, TCU has their usual array of offensive weapons, and QB Kenny Hill has improved his play in recent weeks. The big difference this year in Fort Worth is that the 4th-ranked Horned Frogs have one of the best defensive units in the Big !2, holding all six foes to season-low yardage this year. Unfortunately, with the brunt of their conference schedule still to come and with bigger fi sh to fry, we have no interest in laying the big wood here today.

UTSA over Rice by 24Rice is tied with San Jose State for worst net TO Margin (-2.0 net per game) after giving it away six times against Army in front of their red-faced fans in their last game. An anemic offense (ranked 124th in the country) and a complete lack of talent has us steering clear of the Owls here in what looks to be HC David Bailiff’s swan season. UTSA is coming off back-to-back SU favorite losses (by a total of 5 points) after beginning the season 3-0 SU. However, Rice (1-5) is exactly what Frank Wilson was looking for as his wins have come against FBS teams that are 0-11 SU against fellow FBS foes this season. We look for a Roadrunner rebound against the Krispies today, but we’ll exercise caution before heading to the windows.

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VegasINSIDER.comUMASS over Ga Southern by 6

The plummeting Eagles rank dead last in First Down Offense, and 2nd-to-last in Red Zone Offense. They will honor beloved former HC Erk Russell with “Erk Classic” uniforms this week, but this year’s 0-5 version in Statesboro is a far cry from their glory years as a dominating Division II program. Like Rice’s Bailiff, Tyson Summers is a dead man walking with the Eagles, so we have no interest in backing them. And while we respect the fact that Mark Whipple’s troops have improved their numbers dramatically this season (+98 net YPG overall), we won’t be backing UMass either. The problem is that the Minutemen are Homecoming chalk today while riding a 1-6 SUATS streal as favorites the last three years.

Central Florida over NAVY by 1This is an extremely important American Athletic Conference battle, with the Knights tied atop the East with USF, while the Midshipmen lead the West. Sophomore QB McKenzie Milton had a rocky freshman season in Orlando but has improved dramatically in 2017 to the tune of leading the Knights to 47.5 PPG. “I can’t imagine too many people would be able to do what he does in our offense,” exalts head coach Scott Frost – who could be Nebraska-bound next season. While the undefeated Knights take to the road with the ‘noose’ tightening around their neck, they are a prime 5-0 FAT CAT SMART BOX fade, so be careful. Meanwhile under Ken Niamatalolo, Navy is tied for the FBS lead in Time of Possession (36 MPG), and will try to keep that UCF offense off the fi eld by running the football and eliminating mistakes. Unfortunately, QB Zach Abey was responsible for all fi ve turnovers in a 30-27 loss at Memphis for the normally sure-handed Middies. As we alluded to last week, Navy is 17-4 SU and 13-6-2 ATS in conference play since joining the AAC in 2015, including 3-1 ATS when taking points. Grab the spot with this live Homecoming dog as Niumatalolo is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2.

MISSOURI over Idaho by 10Lots of holes in this Missouri team that has lost all fi ve FBS games this season, and has been outgained in four of them. The Tigers are last in the land in Time of Possession (21 Minutes Per Game) and now must deal with the dreaded Homecoming favorite jinx. They have given up season-high yards in the last two games, including an extraordinary 696 yards allowed to Georgia last week. Meanwhile, if the Vandals are going to make a bowl-saving score, this could be it. Idaho held its last two foes to less than 300 yards and owns the better defense in this contest by 167 YPG. They have hung tough in their last three losses, and will be looking to atone for coughing up a 20-0 lead last week to Appalachian State. You know what to do here.

MISSISSIPPI ST over Kentucky by 6The Wildcats are a ‘Lean On Me’ play in this game – a BLACK BOOK angle that supports 17 returning-starter underdogs of 6 or more points playing off consecutive ATS losses (these plays are 68-38-1 ATS since 1990). We don’t like the fact that the Cats are 5-1 SU (only loss by 1 point to Florida) but only 1-5 ITS this season. Still, we can’t ignore the recent history that shows UK head coach Stoops is 6-1 ATS on the road off a win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have held three foes to season-low yards (and BYU to a 2nd-low last week). Dual-threat QB Nick Fitzgerald received a great deal of praise in the early part of the season, but had off-games against Georgia and Auburn. He bounced back with 2 passing TDs against BYU, along with 103 yards rushing and two more scores on the ground. However, we just can’t trust them today in this Homecoming affair against a mobile QB in Stephen Johnson leading a potent Kentucky attack.

South Florida over TULANE by 4 Positive momentum is a great thing. Just ask HC Charlie Strong, who inherited a USF team that had won 18 of its previous 22 games straight up, and has since ridden the wave to a 6-0 start in Tampa. In addiiton, USF is currently riding the nation’s longest win streak with 11 consecutive victories. Considering the way Charlie’s Bulls have run rampant through this year’s FBS china shop (beating foes by an average of 28 PPG), tonight’s opening line of USF -11 looks suspiciously low. Especially against the No. 1 team in the land in TO Margin (+2.17 net TO per game), and No. 2 in Pass effi ciency Defense. And like UCF, the Bulls are one of only two teams remaining undefeated for the season and in the conference this year.

Meanwhile, the Wave hit a seawall versus FIU last Saturday, falling from undefeated status in the AAC West – and losing to the Panthers as 12-point road chalk, 23-10. Curiously, this is the fi rst meeting between these two deep South programs, so the normal ATS history isn’t there for sampling. Our tireless database, however, did uncover that double-digit conference home dogs – like Tulane – off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, are 6-1 ATS against foes off three consecutive wins. Da Bulls have stomped their way to 30-plus points in each of their last 23 games (longest skein in the nation) but we’ll hunker down with the Wave and the points this evening in the Big Easy as ‘the noose’ will likely pay a vist to the Bulls locker room before, during and after this contest.

Utah St over UNLV by 3 Sometimes we talk about two teams heading in opposite directions, but not here: these two squads have been on a downward spiral for the last several seasons. The visiting Aggies – whose three wins have come over the likes of Idaho State, San Jose State and BYU – own four losses, only one of which was by single digits. That’s understandable since Utah State is tied with Georgia Tech for the worst red zone defense in the nation. UNLV hasn’t fared any better, logging its two victories in 2017 over Idaho and San Jose State (who hasn’t beaten SJSU?). So what we have here are a pair of jokers that have combined for near-identical records of 6-13 SU (Aggies) and 6-12 SU (Rebs) since the start of last season, featuring two defenses that give up over 30 PPG and more yards than their offenses can gain. In moments of confusion like this, we always turn to our trusty database and it delivers again, noting that Utah State has gone 10-5 ATS as a dog following a SU favorite loss. That looks like gold compared to UNLV’s 3-8 SU and 2-4-1 ATS record in this series of late. It’s true the Rebels have shown improvement under 4th-year HC Tony Sanchez (inherited a 2-11 squad) but we’re not comfortable laying points with Vegas (just 7-19 ATS as home chalk against losing foes) – especially into a foe with 91 YPG the better defense. Take the points as the series favorite drops to 1-4-1 ATS.

LA TECH over Southern Miss by 6 For a head coach that’s compiled three straight winning seasons and won three consecutive bowl games, LTU’s Skip Holtz has not been getting the breaks this year. If not for a 1-point loss to South Carolina and a 1-point loss to UAB last week, Skippy’s Bulldogs would be 5-1 SU and looking to become bowl-eligible. Instead, they’re only 3-3 heading into a pivotal meeting with Southern Miss as both squads already own a conference loss and trail 3-0 North Texas in the CUSA West division. We’d usually be on the Golden Eagles like Harvey Weinstein on a starlet since they own the better offense (38 yards) AND the better defense (76 yards) in this matchup, plus it’s a fact that Holtz brings home more money as an underdog than as a favorite. But La Tech takes the fi eld off a SU loss at UAB as 9.5-point chalk and our database reports the Techsters stands 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing off a SU favorite loss. Also, don’t forget that Smissy upended the Bulldogs, 39-24, as 16-point dogs in last year’s regular season fi nale to earn bowl bid last year. The resulting combination of meaningful revenge and a 13-6 ATS mark at home in games following a SUATS loss puts us on Skippy and his Bulldogs tonight.

4� BEST BET

It only took two weeks – and back-to-back blowout losses – for the public to dump Oregon like a hot potato. However, we think this game could be just what the fry cook ordered for the struggling Ducks. Head coach Willie Taggart’s teams (USF and Oregon running) had scored 30-plus points 22 games in a row until their recent two game no-show (scored just 10 and 7 points). We’re calling out backup QB Braxton Burmeister, whose deer-in-the-headlights performances showed him to be incapable of moving the OU offense. Fortunately for Taggart, SR QB Taylor Alie is back and ready to go, along with a now-healthy RB Royce Freeman. That one-two punch should be enough to subdue a UCLA squad that seems to have lost its way. The error-prone Bruins rank No. 126 in TO Margin (-1.67 net TOs per game ) and HC Jim Mora – who should be on a one-way train out of LA when this season is over – owns a dreadful 1-10 ATS mark of failure as a conference favorite against foes off a SUATS loss. Another bad sign: Mora’s ‘defense’ has been gouged for over 40 PPG this season, and his Bruins have surrendered an average of 48.25 PPG the last fi ve meetings in this series. That’s a huge problem considering Mora is 1-16 ATS as a favorite in games where his team allows more than 30 points. And while we like Taggart’s 30-11-1 ATS away mark in his career, what we really like is THE CLINCHER: Oregon HC Taggart is 5-0 ATS as a dog in his career in games following consecutive ATS losses.

Oregon over UCLA by 8

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CALIFORNIA over Arizona by 8 Cal fans and boosters are grinning from ear to ear after new head coach Justin Wilcox replaced the departed Spike Dykes (one winning season and bowl appearance in four years at Berkeley) and has the Bears off to a 4-3 start in 2017. Wilcox has done it with defense: last year’s UC stop-unit allowed 43 points and 518 yards per game, including an incredible 6.2 yards per rush. Compare that to their current numbers – 26 points, 422 yards and just 3.9 yards per carry. However, Cal is not the only team in this matchup making strides. Arizona has risen from the ashes the past two weeks with SU underdog wins over Colorado and UCLA. As a result, the Wildcats make a guest appearance in Marc’s CIRCLE OF LIFE Betcha Didn’t Know article on page 2 – but that’s NOT good news if they are laying points in this contest as these extreme role changes are treacherous, especially when facing foes off SU underdog wins of their own. In fact, the ATS history between these two is so one-sided that our database barely broke a sweat uncovering these snippets. Not only are Rich Rod’s Wildcats a puny 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their previous eight Pac-12 road games, they’re also 5-10 SUATS on the conference road followng a SU underdog win, including 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS if they scored 28 or more points in the upset. Yes, Cal opened as the favorite here and immediately went to a dog but that’s okay as the Bears have cashed in seven of their last nine appearances as home dogs. Top it off with some serious series domination – Cal stands 18-6 ATS, including 13-1 ATS as a dog – and we’ll gladly side with Wilcox and his Bears tonight.

MINNESOTA over Illinois by 10Nice comeback by Minnesota last week, rallying from a 23-6 4th quarter defi cit against Michigan State to bring home the ATS bacon in a 30-27 rain-soaked defeat. However, the jury is still out on HC P.J. Fleck’s debut with the Gophers. Remember, ousted head man Tracy Claeys fi nished 2016 with a 9-4 SU record including a bowl victory, and despite being gifted with a schedule that showed Minnesota facing only ONE winning team from last year in its fi rst seven games, Fleck has found the ‘boat rowing’ to be somewhat more diffi cult in the choppy Big Ten waters during his 3-3 start. Worse, Minny has been outstatted in each of its last three games, making the rodents another ‘leaking oil’ favorite here. Meanwhile, Lovie Smith’s 2-0 start this year seems like a distant memory now after the Illini show up this afternoon riding a 0-4 SUATS losing skein (not many can lay claim to the fact that they lost SU as home chalk to lowly Rutgers). Despite the skid, Illinois has won the stats in each of its last two contests and arrives with a superb 10-1 ATS mark as a road dog of 24 or less points off a SU favorite loss. That’s way better than anything we can fi nd to support the hosts, especially with Minnesota laying doubles in today’s Homecoming affair in Minneapolis – and looking ahead to a string of revengers against Iowa, Michigan and Nebraska. An easy take.

ALABAMA over Tennessee by 38While the unbeatens continue to stumble – Clemson, Washington and Washington State all lost last weekend –the 7-0 Alabama juggernaut just keeps a-rollin’. No surprise that the Tide is tied for fewest TOs lost (3) this season – they simply don’t beat themselves. Bama should continue its winning ways this afternoon against a Tennessee team that’s been all but abandoned by its fans as a ‘coaching deathwatch’ swirls around beleaguered head Vol Butch Jones. As we’ve noted before on these pages, though, getting involved with Alabama means paying an exorbitant price. The oddsmakers can’t make lines high enough on the Tide (they were 21-point favorites in this game in the Game of the Years plays at the South Point in Vegas before the season began but that number has swollen to 35 here). Tennessee’s schedule appears to have enough winnable games remaining that the Vols could qualify for a bowl – unless Jones is chased out of Knoxville fi rst. But today? The Volunteers are 0-5 ATS as dogs of 20 or more points of late, making it even more diffi cult to back a lame duck coach that’s headed south faster than a dodo bird that forgot to set its winter clock. On the fl ip side, Bama owns a stout 6-1 ATS record as SEC chalk of 26 or more points and has covered eight of the previous 11 series meetings. However, the Tide has not laid 30 points in a game against Tennessee since the early 1970s, and you know how much we hate laying big lumber. Thus, we’ll watch from the sidelines as Alabama’s Nick Saban drives a long nail into Butch Jones’s coaching coffi n.

Oklahoma St over TEXAS by 3 Oklahoma’s shocking loss to Iowa State seems to have rejuvenated their in-state rival Cowboys, who blasted Baylor at Stillwater last Saturday, 59-16. Besides directing the nation’s top passing team (411 YPG), OSU head coach Mike Gundy lands in Austin with some strong ATS history in his pocket. The ‘Boys are 10-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back road games,

9-1-1 ATS as conf road favories of 10 or fewer points, and the series visitor has rung the register in seven of the last nine get-togethers. Still, we’re not eager to fade the Longhorns today after their gutsy effort against Oklahoma in the Cotton Bowl last Saturday, especially when Texas stands 20-4 SU and 17-6 ATS after tangling with the Sooners. We’ll admit the UT defense needs to pick up the intensity a notch as the ‘Horns are tied for last in the nation in fumbles recovered (1) this season. Still, you won’t fi nd us fading new Texas head coach Tom Herman’s jaw-dropping 11-2 SU and 13-0 ATS career mark as a dog (either as an assistant or a head coach) anytime soon! After dropping its opener to Maryland, Herman’s ‘Horns can extend their current ATS skein to 6-0 with a pointspread cover here.

West Virginia over BAYLOR by 3 Surgeons know that in order to fully remove infected tissue, they sometimes need to take out more than they originally intended. That’s basically what’s going on at Baylor now as new head coach Matt Rhule struggles to rid the program of the thuggery that led to the Art Briles regime’s downfall. It’s slow going, for sure, as the Bears are winless SU on the season and have covered just twice. Still, professional Vegas sharp Dave Malinsky of Point Blank fame reports that the Bears have scored 8 TDs of 70 yards or more this season (“If they don’t get another one, they’ll still end up leading the nation in this category by a wide margin,” said Malinsky). As for visiting West Virginia, we don’t know how much is left in the tank after last week’s furious comeback win over Texas Tech, erasing a 35-17 second half defi cit to pull out a 46-35 win-and-cover – despite being outgained, 513-396. Though backing Baylor at this stage of the campaign isn’t much more than a shot in the dark, the Bears have thrived as home dogs, going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last fi ve tries. We also can’t forget that the Mountaineers have a huge revenge game against powerful Oklahoma State next Saturday. The bottom line is we’ll take the points with a Baylor squad that isn’t quite as bad as most people think.

Auburn over ARKANSAS by 10 Choke on this, if you will: AP Top 10 ranked teams were 182-0 when leading by 20 or more points against unranked opponents until Auburn took a dump at Death Valley last week. Yes, Gus Malzahn’s Tigers jumped out to a 20-0 lead versus LSU, only to lose 27-23 when they were shut out in the second half (held to only 64 yards on offense). Arkansas looks well on its way to getting rid of HC Bret Bielema as the Hogs have reeled off a putrid 1-4 SUATS effort since beating Florida A&M in the season opener. Making matters worse, QB Austin Allen is listed as doubtful with a bad shoulder. Without him, Arky will have to re-ignite a ground-and-pound run game that’s averaging a pedestrian 159 YPG, virtually the same as LSU gained on the ground versus Auburn last week. If the Razorbacks can generate some fi rst downs, they at least have a shot a controlling the clock and speeding up the game. The ATS archives favor the pigs, too: Arkansas is 5-2 ATS at home with SEC revenge and 7-3 ATS as conference home dogs of 10 or more points while Aubbie checks in at 2-5 ATS as conference road chalk of 10 or more points. In a battle of desperation versus disappointment, we think Arkansas and the two TDS are worth a look tonight.

FLORIDA ST over Louisville by 3 Who would have believed at the beginning of the season that these two powerhouse teams would be just 6-6 SU combined on the year? That fact, and Clemson’s recent loss to Syracuse, have knocked a giant hole in the ACC’s credibility. Simply put, the loss of QB Deondre Francois to the Seminoles is akin to the Packers losing Aaron Rodgers. Making matters worse is an FSU red zone defense that has let them down (No. 118 – tied with Miami Fla), a failure to claim possession of turnovers (tied with Texas for fewest Fumbles Recovered this season (1), and an offense that leads the nation in most tackles allowed for a loss (9.60 per game). Across the fi eld, Louisville HC Bobby Petrino is getting his comeuppance thanks to a porous defense and a lack of skill players to fully support star QB Lamar Jackson. The good news is despite all their woes, the Cardinals are still the No. 2 team in the land in First Down Offense (behind Ohio State), averaging 567 yards and 38 points per game. The bad news is they creamed the Seminoles, 62-20, at home last season in a game in which they outyarded FSU, 530-284. Normally, we’d be all over the Seminoles with big-time revenge, but with Florida State currently a money-burning 0-5 ATS as a favorite of 18 or fewer points with revenge, we just can’t do it… not with the way they’ve performed on the fi eld this season. Still, Jimbo Fisher’s boys need four wins in their fi nal six games to extend the nation’s longest active bowl game streak to 36 years, and we think one of those victories comes today. It won’t include the money, though, as Louie pushes its record to 9-1 ATS as a road dog of 10 or less points.

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S ALABAMA over UL-Monroe by 3 We’d like to know just how much revenue Sun Belt football brings in to the NCAA… because it sure is a painful product to watch. Where else could a team allow season-high yards on defense in four of its last fi ve games – and still fi nd themselves just a half-game back of Appalachian State for the top spot in the conference? We’re speaking of UL-Monroe (hey, win a few bowl games and we’ll refer to you as ULM), currently 7-11 SU under 2nd-year HC Matt Viator. Still, the oddsmakers believe the Warhawks have closed the gap on the Jags: South Alabama is a 4-point favorite at home; last season, they were 9.5-point road chalk. Joey Jones’ Jaguars upset Troy as 19-point dogs 19 days ago, but are 0-4 ATS following a SU underdog win. The cats are also 0-3 In The Stats in their last three games, making them a ‘leaking oil’ favorite this evening – not a role we endorse. We’ll level with you here. We ain’t got a clue as to who gets the cabbage in this phony baloney, and we’re not gonna overwork our database trying to fi nd out. You’re on your own here.

NOTRE DAME over Usc by 1 There seems to be a perception that the Trojans have dominated this series of late but Irish head coach Brian Kelly has actually beaten USC in four of their seven meetings. In fact, the Trojans were 6.5-point favorites in this contest in the ‘Game of the Year’ plays at the South Point in Vegas before the season began, but will now dress up as dogs for only the second time in their last 16 overall games. Laying points with Notre Dame, though, has not been a profi table enterprise of late: the smilin’ eyes are just 1-4 ATS as home chalk of less than 10 points and 2-5 ATS as favorites off a 4-0 SUATS run. Southern Cal is also on a run of its own – fi ve consecutive ATS losses – but the last four times the Trojans were in such a spot, they went 3-1 SUATS. The Dame’s 1-point home loss to Georgia looks pretty good right now but QB Sam Darnold and company have the talent to win on this fi eld, too. We’ll fi nd out more about the Irish down the stretch as fi ve of their last six opponents are ranked teams. As for tonight, Notre Dame squeaks out the win but the Trojans get the green.

Oklahoma over KANSAS ST by 8 The Sooners avoided CFB Playoff elimination in a close win over pesky Texas last Saturday, hanging on to their current 1-loss record with several huge Big 12 contests still on the horizon (TCU, Oklahoma State, West Virginia). And after TCU’s 26-6 suffocation of Kanas State last weekend, it’s apparent that Grandpa Snyder’s Purple Cats have more in common with the ‘pussy’ variety than the ‘wild’ (just one conference win over rebuilding Baylor) Though 3-3 SU overall, K-State is on a 0-4 ATS skid and must play three of its fi nal fi ve games away from Manhattan after hosting OU today. “I think we have the capacity to fi nish the season well,” Snyder said. “I think they’ll be competitive. I think they’ll have heart. I don’t think they’ll give up.” And dammit, Bill, neither do we. These guys were 3-3 last year and fi nished the season with a 6-1 SU run. They will, however, need a healthy Jesse Ertz at quarterback to be competitive and his status for this afternoon’s game is still doubtful. Yes, Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfi eld (our leader in the Heisman Trophy race) leads the top Passing Effi ciency Offense in the nation but this is a traditional fl at spot for the Sooners, going 2-6 ATS away following a win over Texas versus .500 or less opponents, including 0-4 ATS versus a foe off a double-digit loss. OU was a 8-point favorite in this game in the Game of the Years plays at the South Point in Vegas before the season began, so the value belongs to the Wildcats – especially if Ertz is back. Until we know for sure, we’ll back the white-haired man in the purple sweater.

MISSISSIPPI over Lsu by 1 For most of the fi rst half against Auburn last Saturday, it looked like LSU’s revival in the SEC might not go further than the previous week’s win over Florida. But HC Ed Orgeron and the LSU faithful at Death Valley refused to allow their Tigers to quit against Aubbie’s early onslaught (trailed 20-0 in 2nd quarter before coming to life). A feel-good story, to be sure, but now comes the aftermath: back on the conference road following consecutive SU underdog wins, only this time the Bayou Bengals are FAVORED by a touchdown. If you think that spells trouble for LSU, get a load of these stats. Ole Miss is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight tries as a home dog, and 25-7 SU and 18-9 ATS in its last 32 games at Oxford – with only THREE

losses by more than 5 points. And in this SEC night game that doesn’t take place in Baton Rouge, the series host has won and covered four straight games. With Louisiana State also playing the meat in an Auburn-Alabama sandwich, this looks like an ideal spot for Orgeron’s revival tent to fold. Take cover.

TEXAS TECH over Iowa St by 3 Great job by 2nd-year HC Matt Campell, springing the upset of the season over Oklahoma two weeks ago, then keeping his Cyclones focused enough to avoid a sure-fi re letdown situation and destroy lowly Kansas, 45-0. On the other end of the spectrum, there can’t be many more teams as embarrassed as the Red Raiders, who went from controlling their game at West Virginia (35-17 second half lead) to completely giving it away in the closing minutes, losing the contest AND the cover, 46-35. That’s what three missed fi eld goals and 159 yards worth of penalties does for you! So the heat will be on Texas Tech HC Kliff Kingsbury, not only from the noon start, but also from the fact that in his fi fth year at Lubbock, Kingsbury just can’t seem to get this program over the hump. KK started off with a blazing 7-0 SU start in his fi rst season back in 2013 but has gone just 21-28 since. Meanwhile, Campbell has already surpassed last year’s win total with Iowa State’s 4-2 start and ISU cashed four winning tickets in the process. The Clones are also one of only three FBS teams to have not lost a fumble this season (Miami Fla, SMU), and the defense has stiffened, holding two of their last three foes to season-low yards. Our database wraps it up by comparing Tech’s measly 1-4 ATS mark as Big 12 home chalk of less than 10 points with Iowa State’s 7-2 ATS success as a conference dog in that same point range. Take the points with the better coach.

UTAH over Arizona St by 10 With the recent demise of BYU and Utah State, the Utes have become their state’s lone representative in competitive FBS football. Yes, they take the fi eld here off a pair of SU losses to Stanford and USC, but those defeats came by just 3 points and 1 point, respectively – and ASU is not in that class. Expect a huge letdown from the Sun Devils after they destroyed Washington’s dreams of a perfect season, 13-7, holding the Huskies to their lowest regular season point total ever under HC Chris Petersen. While the unusually well-disciplined Devils rank a surprising No. 2 in the land in Fewest Penalties (20) this season, they’re still just a 3-3 team that gives up more yards and points than they earn themselves. Big coaching edge for the home team, too, with Kyle Whittingham (13th year as head coach at Salt Lake City) matching up with soon-to-be -out-the-door Todd Graham at Tempe. Graham’s group has suffered greatly in tonight’s role, posting a miserable 1-7 ATS effort as road dogs of 10 or less points – welcome news for a Utah squad that’s covered four straight in this series. Unfortunately, the price on this one is a bit rich for our tastes… so we’ll watch from afar.

WASHINGTON ST over Colorado by 3 Get your depression medicine handy. Here comes Washington State off its fi rst loss of the season (can you say Bubble Burst!), a game where it appeared that QB Luke Falk and head coach Mike Leach had no idea just what the hell was happening on the fi eld (Falk tossed fi ve INTs). “There’s no bright spot. We were pathetic,” said Leach. “We’re a bunch of pathetic front-runners.” Ouch! The stunning 37-3 loss as 16.5-point chalk (7 TOs for WSU) also puts the Cougars ‘behind the 8-ball’ (see this week’s SMART BOX) in tonight’s matchup. We’re not letting Colorado off the hook, either: last season’s Pac-12 champs have lost three of their four conference games this year, and eked out a 3-point win over pitiful Oregon State. But while the luster has worn off for the Buffaloes this season, it’s important to note that they were actually a 1-point opening favorite in this game in the Game of the Years plays at the South Point in Vegas before the season began. Ralphie’s crew can also feel good about their solid 6-1 ATS mark as conference road dogs of 14 or fewer points, and the fact that the series visitor currently stands 7-2 ATS. As for the OMG Stat of the Week from ESPN Stats: Mike Leach’s teams have lost 13 games when ranked, SIX of them by 31 or more points. Hey, maybe this won’t be such a downer after all. Grab the points with the boys from Boulder.

SAN DIEGO ST over Fresno St by 3 Ahh, nothing like the jarring slap of reality to bring a team down from the clouds. San Diego State’s 31-14 upset loss here last week to Boise State ruined the Aztecs’ bid for a perfect season – and put Rocky Long’s kids ‘behind the 8-ball’ in another ‘bubble-burst’ role tonight (see this week’s SMART BOX, and the AWESOME ANGLE on page 2 for more). At the same time, we can’t say enough about what a great job former Cal HC Jeff Tedford has done with the Bulldogs. Hired to take over from Tim DeRuyter after a disastrous 1-11 campaign in 2016, Tedford has Fresno State sitting at 4-2 this season, with the losses coming at the hands of

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NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

Alabama and Washington. And while he might not have contributed to these numbers, the fact is that Fresno owns an outstanding 9-1-1 ATS mark when playing with conference revenge (lost 17-3 LY), as well as a 5-2 ATS log as conference dogs of 13 or more points. Don’t get caught up in the bounce-back talk for Diego – they are bubble-bursting this week. With a 3-7 ATS mark in the second of back-to-back home games, we’ll take the TD with Fresno State.

PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, October 19

OAKLAND over Kansas City by 4Now that there are no longer any undefeated teams in the NFL this season, the Kansas City Chiefs will look to avoid an ugly footnote in NFL history. It would occur should Andy Reid’s troops fail to earn a spot in this year’s playoffs. That’s because only six teams have failed to make it to the postseason after beginning a season 5-0. For what it’s worth, only the 2003 Minnesota Vikings managed to fi nish the season with a winning record. The Chiefs are on notice. Meanwhile, our database points out the fact that NFL teams coming off their fi rst loss of the season are 7-12 ATS in Game Seven of the season, including 3-9 ATS following a SU favorite loss. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in the fi rst of consecutive games against sub .500 division opponents. Granted, Oakland QB Derek Carr is 1-8 ATS against foes coming off a SU loss as a favorite, but the Raiders counter at 7-1 SUATS at home following consecutive home games against .500 or greater opponents. With their backs to the wall, and the Chiefs in NFL ‘bubble-burst’ mode, the division home dog becomes the play tonight.

Sunday, October 22

Tennessee over CLEVELAND by 3What a difference having a top quality quarterback means to an NFL team. The Titans welcomed Marcus Mariota back to the lineup Monday night and they shook a 2-game losing skid with a 14-point win-and-cover under his lead. Meanwhile, the forlorn Browns started their 28th different QB since they re-entered the league as an expansion club in 1999 and were ripped apart by rookie Deshaun Watson, the QB they should have selected in this year’s draft. The Sporting News hit it right on the head when they said that Cleveland ranks its QBs from worst to... not worst. So, do you want to back a quarterback who is 3-10 ATS in his NFL career in games following a win, including 1-6 ATS against foes off a win and also 1-6 ATS away win (Mariota), or another marginal Cleveland signal-caller on a team that has now lost 24 of its last 25 games? While you deliberate the decision, ponder this: Tennessee, who has surrendered more points than they have scored this season, is 1-8-1 ATS following a Monday night game, including 0-5 SUATS against a foe coming off a loss. The Titans are also 0-10 ATS versus sub .300 avenging opponents. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS following a SUATS loss in this series. Hey, if the cluster-injured NY Giants can win a game at Denver, long-suffering Cleveland can topple Tennessee. Can’t they?

Jacksonville over INDIANAPOLIS by 1As disheartening as Monday night’s loss by the Colts was to the Titans (they led by 10 points late in the 3rd quarter), Indy can take solace knowing they are 12-4 SU in their last 16 home games in this series. Then again, they were 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in their previous 11 games against Tennessee. Nonetheless, Jags QB Blake Bortles is 9-16 ATS against division foes coming off a loss, while Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS against foes coming off a Monday night game. They are also 4-24 ATS following a home game when facing a sub .500 opponent coming off an away game. Meanwhile, Indy is 5-1 ATS in Game Sevens against avenging foes – as well as 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS overall in Game Sevens of the season, including 3-0 SUATS in division games. Trends aside, our sister publication, the MIDWEEK ALERT warns us that Jacksonville has held three foes to season-low yards, while Indianapolis has surrendered season-high yards in three contests this year. The Jags are also +46 in net points this season as opposed to the Colts’ -76. As a result, it puts a consideration play on the Colts on hold, despite the fact that QB Jacoby Brissett is gaining more experience with each passing game. Bite thy tongue, and pass.

Cincinnati over PITTSBURGH by 4The Steelers came up shooting while derailing Kansas City from the ranks of undefeated last Sunday. With the win, they now hold a one-game lead over Baltimore, with the Bengals a leg-and-a-half back. Thus, this becomes a huge game for Marvin Lewis’ troops. Lewis is 19-6 ATS as an away dog coming off a SUATS win, while the Black Cats are 8-0 ATS in games following a bye week when facing division opponents sporting a winning record. On the fl ip side, Pittsburgh is just 1-5 ATS as a favorite against rested sub .500 foes, as well as 1-5 ATS as home chalk following a SU underdog win. In addition, Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger is also 1-5 ATS as a favorite of 5 or more points following a SU underdog win in his NFL career. Simply too many numbers to ignore here. Back the hungry cats.

MINNESOTA over Baltimore by 10The Vikings were benefactors of another broken collarbone injury suffered by star Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers. As a result,they have pulled even with the pack atop the NFC North division. The better news today is that head coach Mike Zimmer has dominated non-division foes throughout his career with Minnesota, going 26-8 ATS against non-division foes, including 15-3 ATS at home. In addition, Minny is 10-0 ATS at home against non-division opponents coming off a home game, as well as 5-0 ATS following the Green Bay Packers, and 7-1 ATS at home against non-division opponents following a home game. Impressive numbers to say the least. While Baltimore is 21-6 ATS in the second of consecutive NFC games, the Ravens are also 0-4 ATS in their fourth away game of the season, and 1-5 ATS away in Game Sevens against non-division avenging foes. The bottom line is, Case Keenum or not, you’re playing Russian roulette trying to beat Zimmer in games like this.

MIAMI over NY Jets by 1It can be argued that the surprise in the NFL this season is not the L.A. Rams, but the New York Jets instead. Granted, the Flyboys still reside in the cellar in the AFC East, but they showed their muscle in a near takedown of mighty New England last week – a ridiculous replay call aside. The Jets might be in a natural letdown mode today considering their 1-8 ATS record following the Patriots against avenging foes, and a wobbly 1-8 ATS mark in its fourth away games of the season against avenging foes. But Miami and its 32nd (worst) ranked offense is 0-7 ATS as a division favorite against foes off a division game, as well as 0-6 ATS in Game Six against division foes, not to mention 1-6 ATS in 2nd home games of the season. Yes, the Dolphins are 3-1 SUATS with same-season revenge in this series (lost 20-6 at Jets as 5.5-point favorites in September) but the white elephant in the room is you-know-who at quarterback for the Fish, as Jay Cutler is 14-30-2 ATS as a home favorite in his NFL career, including 5-18-1 ATS against foes coming off a loss. No surprise here. Go Jets, again.

BUFFALO over Tampa Bay by 6 While the Bucs’ 38-33 loss at Arizona looks good on paper (they rallied back after trailing 31-0 despite losing QB Jameis Winston to an AC shoulder sprain in the contest), the fact of the matter is they were favored in the contest and allowed the Cardinals a season-high 432 yards. It marked the third time this campaign the Tampa defense surrendered season-high yardage. If the possible loss of Winston isn’t bad enough news, the plight of the defense certainly is. Making matters worse, the Buccaneers are 1-10 ATS away in non-division tilts following an way game when facing an avenging foe, and also 0-5 ATS in games before facing the Carolina Panthers. Well-rested Buffalo is 7-0 ATS at home after a bye week following a SU loss against non-division opponents, and 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games against NFC opponents. We’d be all over the Bills here if it weren’t for the fact that they have been outyarded in each of their last four games. Dammit.

Carolina over CHICAGO by 10Two teams off disparate results last week collide in the Windy City this Sunday. The Panthers were upset as Thursday night favorites against the Eagles, while the Bears upset the Ravens in OT on Sunday. With it, Carolina QB Cam Newton enters 17-8-1 ATS in non-division games when the Panthers are coming off a loss, including 5-0 ATS the last fi ve. In addition, the Panthers are 3-0 ATS away in this series. Chicago checks in 6-18-1 ATS versus .500 or greater foes off a home game, including 1-8 ATS at home. Given the Bears’ bear-like 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS log in games off one-win exact dating back to 2015, look for a reversal of fortune for both teams today.

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page 12 • www.VegasInsider.com

New Orleans over GREEN BAY by 8Watching Aaron Rodgers being carted of the fi eld was likely a preview of what it will be like viewing the series fi nale of Game of Thrones. It will assuredly bring a tear to one’s eye. For now, the best team in the NFC is relegated to questionable status until we learn what life with Brett Hundley will be like. What we know early on is the spread on the Packers will likely be adjusted at least 10 points per game without Rodgers… he was that good. Our NFL QB database reports that Green Bay was 9-11 SU and 6-14 ATS versus NFC South opponents WITH Aaron Rodgers. It’s hard to imagine them improving on those numbers WITHOUT the A-Train. Meanwhile, Rodgers’ counterpart, Drew Brees is 16-5 ATS as a dog following a double-digit win. Additionally, New Orleans 12-1 ATS away between home games, and also is 4-1 ATS in the 2nd of consecutive NFC North games, and 4-1 ATS the last fi ve games in this series. Finally, remember the last time Green Bay lost Rodgers to a broken collarbone in 2013 they proceeded to go 2-4-1 SU and 1-6-1 ATS without him, including 0-4 ATS at home. Ugh.

Arizona over LA Rams by 3Yet another tea-and-crumpets special across the pond pairs NFC West rivals in a contest that found the Cardinals installed as 3-point favorites by CT Technologies in this game before the season started. Today they fi nd themselves as 3-point dogs to an upstart Rams squad that fi nds itself favored for the fi fth time this season. That is more times than they were installed as chalk all of last year. Interestingly, the Rams have been favored in only 4 of the last 20 games in this series, and are 3-12 ATS the last fi fteen times as a favorite against the Redbirds. They are also 5-24 ATS overall as division favorites, including 1-13 ATS when favored by 4 or more points in those games. Meanwhile, Arizona head coach Bruce Arians is 10-2 ATS following a SUATS win against opponents coming off a SUATS win. You know what to do in this value-packed London showing.

Dallas over SAN FRANCISCO by 1America’s hard-luck team takes on America’s most despised team in a battle of name and reputation to the max. The Niners have dropped fi ve straight games all by a fi eld goal or less, the fi rst such team in NFL history to do so. Frisco returns to the bay (sort of) following a 3-game road trek knowing they are 5-1 SU at home after three consecutive away games. They are also a nifty 8-4 SUATS the last twelve games against the NFC East, as well as 3-1-1 ATS as home dogs in this series. On the other side of the American coin, Dallas is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite with rest following a SU loss, and 4-0 SUATS away against the NFC West. The Cowboys blew 15 and 11 point leads in their last two games and needed a break like O.J. Simpson needed parole. However, they are just 3-11-1 ATS as non-division favorites with Jason Garrett against foes coming off an ATS win. Hey, hard-luck is better than no luck because it’s always due to turn around. Now turn around and take a long hard look at the Niners today.

Seattle over NY GIANTS by 4After witnessing the Giants’ ‘shocker of the season’ in last Sunday night’s win over the Broncos in Denver, we were all set to snap the rubber band on the well rested Seahawks in this contest until there was a knock on the door. It was the famed MIDWEEK ALERT warning us that Seattle’s defense this season is nowhere near standards of the past. A quick check of the stats confi rmed it, noting Pete Carroll’s troops are outgaining foes a mere 7 YPG this year, no thanks to a mid-rung stop-unit that is surrendering a walloping 4.9 Yards Per Rush. Granted, the G-Men don’t own much of a ground game to take advantage, but they still tote at a 4.1 Yards Per Rush clip, which immediately put our initial thoughts on hold. We realize Seattle QB Russell Wilson is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS against NFC East foes, but the Seahawks’ 2-12 ATS record in games with rest following a division bout is a counter-punch. And we must also respect Giants QB Eli Manning and his 17-9 SU and ATS in his career against NFC West opponents. The bottom line is while Big Blue fi gures to regress off Sunday night’s shocker, Seattle is not in any condition to be laying TDs on the road. Knock, knock. Who’s there? Not Seattle.

4� BEST BET

There is revenge. And there is meaningful revenge. This, my friend, is MOST meaningful revenge. Following the biggest giveaway loss in Super Bowl history, the Falcons’ 34-28 OT jaw-dropping defeat to the Patriots last season, you can rest assured this game has been circled with a deep shade of red lipstick – as in ‘kiss-this’ – by Dan Quinn and the Dirty Birds. It’s our best guess the Falcons were perhaps looking ahead to this game at halftime of the Dolphins game when they blew a 17-0 lead at the half against the Fish last week. What we do know is Atlanta QB Matt Ryan is 10-2 ATS in his last twelve regular season games as a non-division dog, while the Falcons are 6-1 ATS as dogs off consecutive AFC games, as well as 8-2-1 ATS in their 3rd away game of the season when seeking revenge. The defenseless Pats are dead last in overall defense allowing 441 YPG. They are also 5-25 ATS as home favorites against avenging NFC opponents. They are also 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS at home in Foxborough this season. However, from our powerful database comes THE CLINCHER: Sunday night teams playing with revenge off a SUATS favorite loss against sub .700 foes off an ATS loss are 19-3 SU and 18-3-1 ATS since 1990.

Atlanta over NEW ENGLAND by 8

5� BEST BETDenver over LA CHARGERS by 10

If there was a more embarrassing loss in the NFL this season than Denver’s Sunday night debacle against the dead-and-buried New York Giants, then feel free to let us know. An 8-2 SUATS mark away in games off a spread loss of 20 or more points since 2000 sets the table here. Denver’s 5-1 ATS record following a non-division foe in the fi rst of 3 away games comes into play as well. Enter Chargers’ QB Phillip Rivers and his 12-22 ATS log at home in division games, including 3-19 ATS the last nineteen games. The Bolts’ 1-5 ATS mark in the last six games as a host in this series completes the picture. And if you need more, there is always THE CLINCHER: The Broncos are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS away in division games since 2011, including 5-1 SUATS as a dog.

Monday, October 23

3� BEST BET

When the Skins were sliced and diced in a 30-17 season-opening loss by the Eagles, it set this rematch game up to the max. Not only did Washington’s 6-0 SUATS series streak come to an end, but it also marked the fi fth straight season in which the Hogs started the year on a losing note. In only one of those seasons did the Redskins mange to bounce back and make the playoffs – and that is their mission this year. The good news tonight is that Washington QB Kirk Cousins is 9-3 ATS as a dog in division games, including 7-1 ATS the last eight games. In addition, the Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight away Monday night games, as opposed to a horrifying 1-16 SUATS in their last seventeen home Monday night games. Philly checks in at 1-5 ATS with a .500 or greater record in games following non-division battles when facing foes also coming off non-division tussles. Yes, we realize the Skins are just 1-7 SUATS in their last eight Monday night games, but tonight’s contest is of special interest. And so is THE CLINCHER: Washington is 14-2-2 ATS following a home game when facing division opponents coming off a SU road underdog win.

Washington over PHILADELPHIA by 7

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www.VegasInsider.com • page 13

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 7 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K S E V E N

Kansas CityOAKLANDTennessee

CLEVELANDJacksonville

INDIANAPOLISCincinnati

PITTSBURGHBaltimore

MINNESOTANY Jets

MIAMITampa BayBUFFALO

CarolinaCHICAGO

3-1 O/U Thursdays (50.5)... 6-2 O/U off home fav loss... 6-3 O/U L9 as div RF’s... but 0-6-1 O/U Gm 7... 1-4 O/U aft Pit 2-0 O/U Gm 7... 6-2 O/U L8 as HD’s... but 0-4 O/U 2nd of BB div gms... 0-3 O/U L3 vs KC (36.7)... 2-6 O/U Thursdays (41.0)

4-0 O/U bef Bye... 3-0 O/U aft Mon gm... 3-0 O/U off div HG... 4-1 O/U aft Indy... 4-1 O/U vs AFC North5-0 O/U L5 vs Ten (46.8)... 4-0 O/U vs AFC South... 4-1 O/U w/ OU < 40 pts... 6-3 O/U vs opp off Monday gm

5-0 O/U bef Bye... 4-0 O/U off non-conf HG... 7-1 O/U vs opp off Mon gm... but 0-6 O/U bef Cin... 0-6 O/U L6 away vs Ind (33.0) 7-1 O/U aft Mon gm... but 0-5 O/U aft Ten... 2-12 O/U L14 div HG... 1-4 O/U Gm 7 home... 2-5 O/U off div RG

6-1 O/U Gm 6... but 1-9 O/U L10 div RG... 1-6 O/U off home UNDER... 3-11 o/U as dogs 6 < pts... 1-3 O/U aft Bye Week5-1 O/U bef Det... but 0-3 OU bef non-conf RG... 1-5 O/U aft KC... 2-9 O/U aft allow < 14 pts... 1-4 O/U Gm 7

5-0 O/U off non-conf HG... 3-0 O/U L3 vs Min (57.3)... but 0-4 O/U Gm 7... 1-3 O/U bef Thur gm... 1-3-1 O/U aft Chi4-1 O/U as non-div HF’s... 4-1 O/IU vs AFC North... but 0-3 O/U Gm 7... 2-8 O/U aft GB... 1-3 O/U L4 non-conf HG

5-1 O/U Gm 7... 9-3 O/U bef non-conf HG... 6-2 O/U aft NEng... 5-2 O/U L7 as div RD’s... but 1-4 O/U in 2nd of BB div gms 7-1 O/U home LY (50.3)... 5-1 O/U L6 div HG... 3-1 O/U L7 vs NYJ (45.3)... 3-1 O/U bef Bal... but 2-4 O/U bef Thur gm

5-0 O/U Gm 6... 4-0 O/U aft Arz... 6-2 O/U vs opp off Bye... but 1-7 O/U L8 non-conf RG... 2-6 O/U in 2nd of BB RG8-0 O/U home LY (56.6)... 4-0 O/U Gm 6... 3-0-1 O/U aft Cin... 7-3 O/U bef Oak... but 2-6 O/U home w/ rest

7-0 O/U in 1st of BB RG... 6-0 O/U Gm 7... 4-0 O/U aft Thur gm... 5-1 O/U vs NFC North... but 1-6-1 O/U non-div RF’s 3 >7-0 O/U vs opp off Thur gm... 3-0 O/U L3 vs Car (54.3)... 6-1 O/U bef NOrl... but 0-4 O/U home vs NFC South... 0-3 O/U Gm 7

The fi rst EIGHT games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. *This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Titans @ Browns ’OVER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants (2 others with 10 pts not shown) from the 2017 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

BRONCOS (+1.5)

Atl-NE OVER 54.5

Fresno State (+7.5)

RAVENS (+5.5)

Kentucky (+10.5)

Fla Atlantic (-3.5)

PATRIOTS (-3.5)

Ohio U (-19.5)

BEARS (+3.5)

Den-LA UNDER 42.5

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

10-2 / 4-2 / 14 pts

6-6 / 4-2 / 10 pts

7-5 / 3-3 / 10 pts

6-6 / 5-1 / 11 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

8-4 / 3-3 / 11 pts

8-4 / 3-3 / 11 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 31st year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Andy Iskoethelogicalapproach.com

Billy [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Dwayne Bryantdbpicks.com

JH-Sportslinejhsportsline.com

Joe Lisigoforthe2.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Ken Thomsonsportsxradio.com

Marc Lawrenceplaybook.com

Mr. Vegasjimfeist.com

Penn State (-10)

Den-LA UNDER 42.5

Colorado State (-7.5)

FALCONS (+3.5)

Iowa (PK)

Northwestern (PK)

BRONCOS (+1.5)

Penn State (-10)

FALCONS (+3.5)

Wyoming (+13.5)

8-4 / 4-2 / 12 pts

8-4 / 5-1 / 13 pts

11-1 / 5-1 / 16 pts

7-4-1 / 4-1-1 / 11 pts

8-4 / 4-2 / 12 pts

7-4-1 / 3-3 / 11 pts

9-3 / 4-2 / 13 pts

6-6 / 4-2 / 10 pts

8-4 / 3-3 / 11 pts

7-4-1 / 4-2 / 11 pts

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Rob [email protected]

Scott Rickenbachplaybook.com

Special K Sportsspecialksports.com

Sports Cheetahwagertalk.com

Stan Lisowskiplaybook.com

Statfox Davefreesportsinfo.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

TD Tonyashnetwork.com

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page 14 • www.VegasInsider.com

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22NFL WEEK 7 BYES: DETROIT, HOUSTON

MONDAY, OCTOBER 23

WASHINGTON 8:30 PM PHILLY ESPN

477 488 5

7

TENNESSEE1:00 PM CLEVELAND

JACKSONVILLE1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS

CINCINNATI4:25 PM TIME CHANGE PITTSBURGH

BALTIMORE1:00 PM MINNESOTA

NY JETS1:00 PM MIAMI

TAMPA BAY1:00 PM BUFFALO

CAROLINA1:00 PM CHICAGO

NEW ORLEANS1:00 PM GREEN BAY

ARIZONA1:00 PM @ London, Eng LA RAMS

DALLAS4:05 PM SAN FRANCISCO

SEATTLE4:25 PM NY GIANTS

DENVER4:25 PM LA CHARGERS

ATLANTA NBC 8:30 PM NEW ENGLAND

451 452

453 454

455 456

457 458

459 460

461 462

463 464

465 466

467 468

469 470

471 472

473 474

475 476

6

4’

5’

3

6

4

10

1

6

10

8

3

1

1

4’

4

10

8

7

3 1

3

5 3

W KENTUCKY6:00 PM TIME CHANGE OLD DOM CBSSN

MARSHALL7:00 PM MID TENN ESPN2

AIR FORCE9:30 PM NEVADA CBSSN

COLORADO ST10:15 PM NEW MEX ESPN2

307 308

309 310

311 312

313 314

10 13

2’ 6

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 23, 2017 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

MICHIGAN OREGON NORTH TEXAS

REDSKINS FALCONS BRONCOS

WAKE FOREST

2017 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 19-23

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommenation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening lines

are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any portion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

SUBSCRIBE TO PLAYBOOK TODAY: 1.800.752.9266

KANSAS CITY8:25 PM OAKLAND CBS

MEMPHIS8:00 PM HOUSTON ESPN

UL-LAFAYETTE7:30 PM TIME CHANGE ARKAN ST ESPNU

301 302

303 304

305 306

3

4

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

IOWA12:00 PMN’WESTERN ESPN2

TULSA 12:00 PM UCONN ESPNU

TROY2:00 PM TIME CHANGE GEORGIA ST

SMU4:00 PM TIME CHANGE CINCINNATI

NORTH TEXAS5:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLA ATLANTIC

BUFFALO2:30 PM TIME CHANGE MIAMI OHIO

AKRON12:00 PM TOLEDO

KENT ST2:00 PM TIME CHANGE OHIO U

NO ILLINOIS2:00 PM TIME CHANGE BOWLING GREEN

315 316

317 318

319 320

321 322

323 324

325 326

327 328

329 330

331 332

OL PB

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 19333 334

335 336

337 338

339 340

341 342

343 344

345 346

347 348

349 350

351 352

353 354

355 356

357 358

359 360

361 362

363 364

365 366

367 368

369 370

OL PBCENTRAL FLORIDA3:30 PM NAVY CBSSN

IDAHO 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSOURI SEC

KENTUCKY 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSISSIPPI ST SEC

SOUTH FLORIDA7:00 PM TIME CHANGE TULANE ESPN2

UTAH ST6:00 PM TIME CHANGE UNLV SOUTHERN MISS7:00 PM TIME CHANGE LA TECH

OREGON4:00 PM TIME CHANGE UCLA

ARIZONA8:00 PM TIME CHANGE CALIFORNIA

ILLINOIS3:30 PM MINNESOTA

TENNESSEE3:30 PM ALABAMA CBS

OKLAHOMA ST12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS ABC

WEST VIRGINIA8:00 PM TIME CHANGE BAYLOR

AUBURN7:30 PM TIME CHANGE ARKANSAS SEC

LOUISVILLE12:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA ST ESPN

UL-MONROE5:00 PM TIME CHANGE S ALABAMA

USC7:30 PM NOTRE DAME NBC

OKLAHOMA 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE KANSAS ST FOX

LSU 7:15 PM TIME CHANGE MISSISSIPPI ESPN

IOWA ST12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS TECH

371 372

373 374

375 376

377 378

379 380

381 382

383 384

385 386

387 388

389 390

391 392

393 394

395 396

397 398

399 400

401 402

403 404

405 406

407 408

OL PB OL PB4 6’

14

10

11

2

3’

6’

1’

14’

W MICHIGAN2:00 PM TIME CHANGEE MICHIGAN

INDIANA3:30 PM TIME CHANGEMICHIGAN ST

UAB6:30 PM TIME CHANGE CHARLOTTE

TEMPLE12:00 PM ARMY CBSSN

BYU7:00 PM TIME CHANGE EAST CAROLINA

PURDUE12:00 PM RUTGERS

PITTSBURGH12:20 PM TIME CHANGE DUKE

SYRACUSE3:30 PM TIME CHANGEMIAMI FLA ESPN

C MICHIGAN3:00 PM TIME CHANGE BALL ST

WAKE FOREST7:30 PM TIME CHANGE GA TECH ESPNU COASTAL CARO3:30 PM TIME CHANGE APPALACHIAN ST

MICHIGAN7:30 PM TIME CHANGEPENN ST ABC

MARYLAND12:00 PM WISCONSIN

N CAROLINA3:30 PM TIME CHANGE VA TECH ESPN2

BOSTON COLLEGE12:30 PM TIME CHANGE VIRGINIA ACC

WYOMING10:15 PM TIME CHANGE BOISE ST ESPN2

KANSAS8:00 PM TIME CHANGE TCU FOX

RICE 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTSA

GA SOUTHERN3:30 PM MASSACHUSETTS

7

1

7 10

6’

10

2’ 8

8 1

10

6

4

3

6

8

8

33

9’

10

38

3

6 3

14 20

4

6’

7’

8

8

14’

2’

8’

25’

12’

24

3

1

1

6

3

20

3

6

20

3

21

7

14

21

20

14

10

38 36

5

3’

3

1

6’ 3

3 7

7 11

5’ 8

21 25

14 18

18’ 24

7 6

7

5

1

3

12’ 8

ARIZONA ST3:30 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH FS1

COLORADO 10:45 PM TIME CHANGE WASH ST ESPN

FRESNO ST CBSSN 10:30 PM SAN DIEGO ST

409 410

411 412

413 414

10’ 10

3’

6’ 3

13 10

4

10 14

1 6

13 17

10’ 3

11’ 3