march 3 - 6, 2019 mesa, arizona archive...ira feldman feldman engineering corp. mesa, arizona march...

March 3 - 6, 2019

Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa, Arizona

Archive

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Marketplace Report Cloud Driven Future TestConX 2019Session 5a Presentation 1

March 3-6, 2019TestConX Workshop www.testconx.org

Marketplace ReportCloud Driven Future

Ira FeldmanFeldman Engineering Corp.

Mesa, Arizona ● March 3 - 6, 2019



Overview• Computing History• Hyperscale• Proprietary Computing• Future Computing• Socket Market

Marketplace Report - Cloud Driven Future 2



UNIVAC ca. 1950


Wikipedia - U. S. Navy Electronics Supply Office



IBM System/360 ca. 1960


IBM System/360 - computerhistory.org



IBM PC 1981


Wikipedia / Ruben de Rijcke



Personal Computing


Classic Stock / Alamy



Marketplace Report - Cloud Driven Future 7Electrolight.com



Adventure, Lotus 1-2-3…


Wikimedia / OzzmosisPcjs.org



Don’t Forget the Manuals!


vintage-computer.com/ibm_pc.shtml



Intel Architecture & Motherboards


arstechnica.comArk.intel.com

>1B shipped by Intel

(2009)



Personal Computer Shipments


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Ship

men

ts -M

illio

n U

nits

PC

Gartner & IDC / StatiscaJanuary 2019



Tablets?


0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Ship

men

ts -M

illio

n U

nits

PC Tablet




Smartphones!


0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Ship

men

ts -M

illio

n U

nits

PC Tablet Smartphone




Old School…


Can Stock Photo / lucadp



… Today


Telephone Companies

‘Internet’

Wireless NetworksVoIP VoIP

Icons: Can Stock Photo / soleilc



User Perspective




Hyperscale 8


Top: Google - St. Ghislain, Belgium / Bottom: Facebook proposed Singapore



Value Engineered Computing


Facebook / Open Compute Project



World’s Most Valuable Real Estate




Machine Learning


TowardsDataScience.com



Graphical Processor Unit (GPU)


Up to 16 GB HBM2 memory(each die stack 4-up with 8 Gb DRAM)

Nvidia Pascal GPU (2015)



Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs)


Microsoft Project Catapult / EnterpriseTech.com



Application Specific Processor (ASP)


Google Tensor Processing Unit (TPU 3.0)



Why ASPs?


A Domain-Specific Architecture for Deep Neural NetworksJouppi, et. al. Communications of the ACM, Sept. 2018; 61/9

< ½ the die size

~20x performance

/ Watt



Setting the Future of Computing?


Yann LeCunChief AI Scientist, Facebook



Quantum Computing via IBM Cloud




Look beyond the small screen to get the big picture!




SOCKET MARKET

Marketplace Report - Challenges of Today & Tomorrow 28



0200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Rev

enue

, M$

Test Sockets Burn-in Sockets

Test and Burn-In Socket Market

Marketplace Report - Challenges of Today & Tomorrow

3.2% CAGR

1.6% CAGR

2.6% CAGR

VLSI Research 2018 Preliminary29



Top Test & Burn-in Vendors 2018Rank Overall

1 Yamaichi Electronics

2 Enplas

3 ISC

4 Smiths Interconnect

5 LEENO Industrial





Top Test & Burn-in Vendors 2018Rank Overall Test Socket Burn-in Socket

1 Yamaichi Electronics ISC Yamaichi

Electronics

2 Enplas LEENO Industrial Enplas

3 ISC Smiths Interconnect SensataTechnologies

4 Smiths Interconnect Xcerra Plastronics

5 LEENO Industrial Yokowo Loranger



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