market demand and feasibility report - bromley
TRANSCRIPT
LB Bromley Contents
2009
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... I
1. INTRODUCTION & CONTEXT ................................................................................... 1
2. STRATEGIC POLICY CONTEXT ............................................................................... 8
3. WEST CAMP – BIGGIN HILL .................................................................................. 13
4. THE CRAY VALLEY, EAST BROMLEY .................................................................. 31
5. ORPINGTON TOWN CENTRE................................................................................. 58
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
BACKGROUND TO COMMISSION
GVA Grimley Ltd have been commissioned by the London Borough of Bromley (LB Bromley) to
undertake market demand and headline viability (commercial market) testing for office development /
investment at three key sites / areas within the Borough: West Camp (Biggin Hill); Cray Valley; and
Orpington Town Centre. This is a follow on commission from the Employment Land and Economic
Development Study completed in March 2009.
The opportunity within the Bromley economy is clear, albeit it is compromised within the immediate
and short term economic climate (not unlike its counterparts and competitors). The Borough is seen as
an exporter of quality labour, reflected both in income levels, skills levels, and the occupation profile of
the resident based population. This suggests a latent opportunity for economic activity of a high quality
to be retained within the local area.
There are specific sector opportunities identified for Bromley including: Business and Financial
Services (primarily in the medium to long term given the current economic climate), Transport and
Telecommunications, Construction, High-Value Manufacturing, and Retail. There is further potential
identified within ‘knowledge-economy’ sectors suggesting an opportunity to harness more of this value
added activity within the local economy.
However, within this context there are identified challenges to delivering economic objectives, and
indeed within the immediate and short-term retaining existing businesses within Bromley. One of the
most significant constraints was identified in the Study to be the current stock of premises available
and commercial market conditions in this context.
The Employment Land and Economic Development Study makes a series of employment
recommendations in the context of this undersupply of quality office accommodation across the
Borough, including:
Consider opportunities for maximising the supply of new and improved office floorspace and of
retaining existing office uses wherever possible. Sites that are suited to delivering smaller office
developments alongside larger floorplates should be considered, within the town centres
particularly Orpington town centre and in locations proximate to the M25 including Ruxley and
the Crays; and
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 ii
Consider the future employment function of existing land at Biggin Hill airport. There is an
identified opportunity to promote high-value manufacturing activities at the airport, with specific
opportunity identified at South Camp, including the potential to promote a balanced offer with
some small-scale office development such as a potential business / innovation centre.
In this strategic context, LB Bromley have commissioned this piece of work to assess the future
demand for office development investment, and potential for attracting office and/or business
occupiers in the future, including both freehold and leasehold occupiers, within West Camp (Biggin
Hill); Cray Valley; and Orpington Town Centre.
The key outputs of the commission will be recommendations relating specifically to:
The market demand for offices in each of the locations and the potential scale of office
development (including size of units / likely type of occupier);
Whether the identified demand and potential supply or required interventions should be viewed
as short, medium or long term, and the phasing of any likely development; and
A suggested ‘Action Plan’ to take forward each of the sites including options, as appropriate,
including phasing, marketing and delivery mechanisms, including the potential role for LB
Bromley as part of this process. This will take into account the distinct difference in approach
required within each of the three areas identified.
SUMMARY OF POLICY CONTEXT
A number of key themes emerge from the policy context undertaken as part of this study. These
include:
The importance of protecting the viability and vibrancy of town and urban centres through the
appropriate location of development, whilst recognising market opportunity in the wider area,
reflecting emerging policy guidance relating to rural economic potential specifically;
The need to ensure that employment related (in this context office) investment is strategically
located in relation to transport infrastructure ensuring sustainability of economic growth in the
future, and also improving commercial marketability of sites and developments in the future; and
The opportunity to recognise that there is a balance to be sought between appropriate locations
and property for small business activity / local and indigenous demand and appropriate
locations for inward investment locations and property. In this context Bromley town centre is
recognised as being a key strategic location, with potential for the wider hierarchy of opportunity
to reflect typologies of demand including small business and non-traditional urban centre office
uses (e.g. creative industries).
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 iii
WEST CAMP, BIGGIN HILL
SITE ASSESSMENT
EXISTING BUILDINGS & USES
From site visit observation, the sites / buildings both within and outside of the Conservation Area are
not believed to be in active use currently or are not being utilised to their full capacity/potential. The
buildings are noted to be of a varied condition, and age, with some noted to make historic and heritage
contribution to West Camp, whilst others are of a modern and less imposing / visually appealing
nature.
The setting of the buildings, including simple but generally well maintained landscaped open space
and car parking areas is observed to be relatively good quality. The boundaries of West Camp are well
defined, and by-and-large intact, in the form of cast iron fencing around the perimeter.
STRATEGIC & LOCAL CONNECTIVITY
Given its location within the grounds of Biggin Hill Airport, West Camp is seen to have strategic
national and international connectivity via air travel, albeit this is restricted to business passenger
travel rather than large scale passenger flights. The Airport remains a key strategic asset however
even in this limited passenger context, being a key point of entry for business aviation flights to the
wider London area.
Direct access to West Camp from the A233 Main Road is adjacent to the Guardroom, Garage Block,
Reserve Water Tank, and Pump House, around half way along the collection of buildings.
SURROUNDING LAND USES
Biggin Hill Airport occupies a large proportion of the land formally used for the RAF Biggin Hill
Aerodrome. Adjacent to West Camp is South Camp, which includes the Biggin Hill Business Park and
Airport Industrial Estate, both of which house a variety of businesses including some linked to the
airport industry. A new hangar is being developed within this area by Rizon Jet. The hangar will offer
maintenance and ‘high-end’ handling, as well as a charter service.
To the west of West Camp, over the A233, there is a new housing development currently under-
construction, including luxury family accommodation. This is in addition to existing housing within the
wider area, and some natural open space and landscaping.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 iv
QUALITY OF WIDER ENVIRONMENT
The Airport lies within Biggin Hill ward. It is located to the northern edge of Biggin Hill itself, a relatively
large settlement to the south of the Borough. The wider environment of the airport includes rural /
agricultural land holdings, and a number of smaller residential settlements.
The general area is recognised to be of a relatively high quality in this context, including a local village
setting to the north of the Airport at Leaves Green including a village green, and local public house.
Amenity provision is relatively poor in this area.
POLICY ASPIRATIONS
The Planning Framework, finalised by LB Bromley Council in May 2007, establishes principles
(predominantly relating to land use and the desired retention of buildings on the site) to guide
development control decisions and to facilitate appropriate development at West Camp. The
framework does not rely on expansion of the Airport, or any increase in flights.
The Planning Framework advocated predominately B1 office activity in a number of the buildings
within West Camp with a gross floorspace capacity of in excess of 4,800 square metres for this use. It
also recognises potential within the existing buildings for a café and similar facilities, most likely as part
of / in proximity to any future Heritage Centre.
REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
Particular market opportunity is identified on the basis of:
Close proximity to Biggin Hill Airport which is considered to be a major positive driver. Particular
market interest has been identified on the basis of growth of businesses associated with the
airport, and their need for space to accommodate administrative staff requirements, etc, as well
as businesses that would choose to locate close to an airport that provides business travel
opportunities and lower cost office accommodation within an interesting and high quality setting.
There is an identified shortage of office floorspace of a good quality around the Airport, with
most existing floorspace and employment allocations skewed towards workshop / general
B2/B8 employment uses; and
The restrictive nature of the Green Belt in the area for wider development of office provision in
the market area, or in proximity to the M25 within the LB Bromley border. This promotes the
opportunity at West Camp for office activity to tap into latent potential.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 v
The proximity to Biggin Hill airport is a major positive factor. It was noted however that whilst
the airport might be growing, it remains restricted to private business travel rather than general
commercial flights, and therefore there are doubts as to how great an opportunity it presents to
non-airport related businesses.
In terms of airport related business, some agents, and the developer Capital Enterprise Centres
specifically, the proximity to the airport presented a good opportunity for small offices. The
provision of larger offices is perceived to be hampered by the lack of public transport and
amenities. It should be noted that one agent cautioned that there is already surplus space at
and immediately around the airport, but others explained that such space was for workshop
type uses rather than offices.
Capital Enterprise Centres, (CEC) in particular argued that there is a shortage of office space
for airport related businesses at Biggin Hill and that opportunities to expand are restricted due to
the boundary of the Green Belt. Re-use of the existing buildings of West Camp for office uses
therefore present a good opportunity to meet latent demand. CEC identified during consultation
the perceived success of its business centre development at Kings Hill in Kent which has
similarly refurbished Grade II listed buildings. It now provides serviced small office
accommodation ranging from 75 to 1400 sqft, notably advertised “with ample free parking”. Part
of the rationale for the Kings Hill centre was to assist start up companies, and CEC explained
that they envisage a similar formula also working at Biggin Hill, pointing out that West Camp has
the significant added advantage of locational-specific demand from airport related businesses.
The interest from CEC should give confidence to the Council relating to market appetite for
investment in West Camp for business uses.
It was also noted that the attractive location and historic character might appeal to certain small
businesses choosing where to locate their offices, but that such occupiers might prefer the offer
of a freehold premises with its “own front door”. The need for sufficient parking space was again
stressed.
KEY ACTIONS
The key actions for West Camp, Biggin Hill emerging from this study are summarised below.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 vi
Table 1 – Biggin Hill – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
Continued liaison between Council and interested parties at West Camp, Biggin Hill including the need for
potential investors to justify need for enabling development if proposing to diversify from the Planning
Framework significantly1
Immediate
The Council should seek to investigate ways to ‘unlock’ the potential at West Camp, Biggin Hill including
potential investment in public transport provision and highways access to the site, although S106
expectations should be considered in the context of the need to maintain the viability of private sector
investment in West Camp to deliver the aspirations within West Camp.
Ongoing
The Council should seek to ensure a positive planning position within the Core Strategy relating to West
Camp including the promotion of B1(a) business park uses, investment in listed buildings and their setting,
and supporting amenity / visitor provision (but not residential development).
Short Term
THE CRAY VALLEY
SITE ASSESSMENT
EXISTING BUILDINGS & USES
The Cray Valley is a corridor of varied land uses, including traditional and non-traditional employment
uses (with non-traditional dominated by retail warehousing that is seen to have eroded the established
business corridor along the A224 Cray Avenue / Sevenoaks Way in recent years). Traditional and
non-traditional employment uses are mostly clustered at the junction of the A224 with the railway
running east-west through the area, with St Pauls Cray to the north of the railway line and St Mary
Cray to the south.
The employment activities within the centre of the area, clustered around the main road, are
dominated by large ‘shed’ developments, with relatively poor frontage to the road including car parking
at key junctions / sites. Limited vacancy is noted within this stock with quality observed to be relatively
good.
STRATEGIC & LOCAL CONNECTIVITY
Connectivity to Cray Valley is relatively good, including rail links via St Mary Cray Rail station to
Bickley and Bromley South (with strategic links to London Victoria) to the west and Swanley,
Farningham, Longfield, to Rochester, Chatham and beyond to the east. Trains from St Mary Cray to
1 It is recommended within this study that there is minimal need for enabling and/or infill development to make delivery of B1(a)
development in this area viable, although opportunities for supporting and visitor provision should be sought.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 vii
Bromley South run every twenty minutes, and trains from St Mary Cray to Chatham run every half an
hour. Bus connectivity is considered to be relatively good.
SURROUNDING LAND USES
In its wider context this area is surrounded by residential development dating from the post-war period,
with open space / agricultural land holdings in the wider hinterland including the Ruxley Park Golf
Centre. The housing is noted to be of varied quality, similar to the Borough’s stock profile of family
housing. The offer is dominated by two-storey, medium density developments.
There are large expanses of rural land (Green Belt) to the east, stretching to Crockenhill, and the M25.
This area is of a relatively high quality, including some smaller settlements. South of the Cray Valley is
Orpington town centre, and to the west Petts Wood. Both settlements are of a significant size in terms
of their population and in the case of Orpington, its service centre role and function.
QUALITY OF WIDER ENVIRONMENT
Given its proximity to a number of relatively large residential areas, and also in the wider context
Green Belt surroundings, the quality of the environment in which the Cray Valley is located is
reasonable although varied.
Some of the housing areas within close proximity to the main corridor of business activity in the Cray
Valley are of mixed quality. The rural Green Belt areas to the east are observed to be of higher quality,
including smaller residential settlements of large family housing in low density settings.
Orpington town centre to the south is of mixed quality, with some historic features to the western end,
but observed decline in the core of the high street. New development and investment is, however,
known to be taking place within the town centre.
POLICY ASPIRATIONS
The Adopted UDP includes a series of relevant allocations for the Cray Valley, including:
The main stretch of Cray Avenue / Sevenoaks Way where business activity (including traditional
and non-traditional employment uses) is identified in the UDP to be a ‘Business Area’. Under
Policy EMP4 of the UDP;
The Cray Valley business area is located adjacent to a Conservation Area (covering a portion of
Millbrook Road to the east);
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 viii
The area also falls within a designated Area of Archaeological Interest, as identified on the UDP
Proposals Map;
The Business Area is adjacent to designated Green Belt; and
The Business Area is also buffered in a number of places by designated Urban Open Space.
REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
Agents and developers alike noted that Cray Valley has traditionally been recognised as an industrial,
storage and distribution area, with a recent growth in prominence of retail warehouses. It was agreed
that it is not an aesthetically attractive location for office occupiers and it might prove difficult to change
the warehouse image of the area into a recognised office location. Any aspirations for the promotion
of Cray Valley as an office location should therefore be a long term objective.
The analysis of revealed demand for offices within the market area is reflective of the stock profile in
the area. Past development of offices has been limited to a small cluster at New Mill Road (Crayfields
Business Park), to the north of the Cray Valley, and High Street to the south of the railway line. All
transactions within these areas have been for second hand premises with no new office development
coming to the market in recent years. It is noted that Crayfields Business Park is of a relatively high
standard in this context, developed within the last ten years with relatively good levels of activity
observed. Rental levels have been relatively strong within transactions in the area, in the upper range
of those achieved on average across the Borough.
There is a recognised potential for office market development in the wider Cray Valley, noted
specifically in commercial market consultations and site visits undertaken. It is felt that any such offer
would have to be located in close proximity to strategic road links (including the A20 and M25
specifically) whilst still benefiting from the rail link to London (amongst other destinations). Proximity to
the M25 gives this area distinction over other business areas within the Borough, supporting an
associated commercial market opportunity. Future development should also be prioritised in locations
that are seen to have a positive relationship with the aspiration to change perceptions of the corridor
(e.g. on key sites / sites with prominent road frontages)
It is also important that any such offer which comes forwards in the area in the future must be branded
as an office / business park in its own right, giving it coherence and market presence and opportunity
to influence market perceptions of the wider Cray Valley area. As a longer term strategy it is
recognised that such an approach could contribute to the ‘re-branding’ (i.e. change in market
perceptions) of the Cray Valley Avenue corridor in general.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 ix
KEY ACTIONS
The study into the Cray Valley has included the identification of a number of sites including those that
are key sites on the basis of their prominence / potential to promote the ‘re-brand’ of the business
area, sites that are suggested to be tested for potential allocation within the LDF for B1(a, b) uses, and
sites that show potential for intensification (including the promotion of B1 (a, b) uses over time).
Figure 1 – Cray Valley Identified Sites
The key / gateway sites are identified on the basis of their prominence and the perception of their
current use (including the extent to which current employment activity is considered to be appropriate
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 x
in terms of intensity and nature of use), and also their potential to influence the future direction of
development activity (and employment) within the Cray Valley. Combined, these sites have a total
land area of 8.88 hectares, with the potential to accommodate 88,838 square metres of office
floorspace (assuming a high plot ratio of 1) and between 4,230 and 4,935 jobs.
Two sites have been identified as potential sites for allocation, both adjacent to the existing Crayfields
Business Park. One of the sites, to the west, is understood to be a ‘protected’ public space (protected
through historical presence rather than any formal planning policy) while the other (eastern) site is
designated Green Belt. In delivery terms the public space is considered to be a medium to long term
opportunity whilst the site to the east has shorter term potential. The site to the east has an area of
5.06 hectares, with the potential to accommodate 32,863 square metres of B1 (a, b) floorspace and
between 1,565 and 1,826 jobs.
Finally, one site has been identified within the study to have specific potential for intensification in the
future on the basis of long term management of decline on the site. This site is located in proximity to
the existing Crayfields Business Park, and adjacent to the potential allocation sites identified and
highlighted above.
The key actions for Cray Valley emerging from this study are summarised below.
Table 2 – Cray Valley – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
The Council should prepare a Development Brief including financial feasibility of the identified cluster of
opportunity sites to the north of the Cray Valley. The Brief should consider, amongst other things, phasing,
potential release of the Green Belt, scale, massing and potential layouts (including access and movement,
landscaping and car parking), and the need and most appropriate location of amenity provision to support
future business investment in the area. Engagement with landowners should be sought as part of the Brief.
Immediate
The Council should monitor the take-up of land and premises within the Cray Valley including employment
levels, floorspace occupied, and business types by sector. Ongoing
ORPINGTON TOWN CENTRE
SITE ASSESSMENT
EXISTING BUILDINGS & USES
Orpington Town Centre is a designated Major Town Centre in the London Plan and is the second
largest town centre within the LB Bromley. The town centre is focused on the High Street which
extends approximately 900 metres and provides a range of retail and service uses. There are a
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 xi
variety of uses in the town centre vicinity, including residential, office, retail, food and drink and
community uses.
On Knoll Rise, just off the High Street on its western side, towards the train station, are 4 and 5 storey
office buildings from the 1970’s and 1980’s which appear dated but of relatively good condition (albeit
detailed surveys of condition have not been undertaken as part of the study). Beyond this
concentration, office provision is seen to be located throughout the town centre primarily above retail
premises, of varying quality and levels of occupation.
STRATEGIC & LOCAL CONNECTIVITY
Local connectivity to Orpington is relatively good, including rail links via Orpington station
approximately 600m to the west of the High Street. The station is on the central London to south east
coast line and is operated by South Eastern trains. There is regular and direct access to stations in
central London, including Cannon Street, Victoria, Charing Cross, Waterloo and London Bridge. Much
of the South East London area is also served, as are stations in Kent, including Sevenoaks,
Tonbridge, Dover and Ashford International.
Bus connectivity is considered to be good, with services linking the town centre to much of Orpington
and the surrounding area, including Farnborough, Goddington, Derry Downs and St Mary Cray.
SURROUNDING LAND USES
The town centre area is urban in character but with visible public areas. There are a variety of uses
evidenced, including residential, office, retail, food and drink and community uses. Beyond the High
Street is predominately suburban, medium density, two storey housing.
The town centre is of mixed quality, with some historic features to the northern and western ends, but
with observed decline on the High Street. New development and investment is, however, taking place
within the town centre including at Orpington College, a new Village Centre at the western end of the
high street, and a new Tesco superstore, also at the western end which has recently opened.
QUALITY OF WIDER ENVIRONMENT
Given its proximity to a number of relatively large residential areas, and also in the wider context
Green Belt surroundings, the quality of the environment in which the town centre is located is mixed.
Specifically, some of the housing areas within close proximity are of varied quality. The rural Green
Belt areas to the east are observed to be of higher quality, including smaller residential settlements of
large family housing in low density settings.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 xii
POLICY ASPIRATIONS
Orpington Town Centre is identified within the UDP as a ‘Major Town Centre’, within which Primary
and Secondary frontage distinctions apply as designated on the Proposals Map. Orpington is noted to
be predominantly a convenience centre serving the local community, including a leisure economy.
Areas of Orpington Town Centre are also designated as a Conservation Area. The area also falls
within a designated Area of Archaeological Interest, as identified on the UDP Proposals Map. There is
also an Orpington Town Centre Masterplan in place to guide investment in the public realm throughout
the area.
REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
Despite the various constraints identified, agents and developers recognised that Orpington has the
fundamental attribute of good public transport, plus it is close to the M25. It was therefore felt that if
improvements were made to Orpington through investment over the long term, it might support further
office development.
The opportunity for office market investment and development within Orpington town centre is
intrinsically linked to the regeneration aspirations for the area. The need to ensure sustained (and
sustainable) economic growth within the area, including employment opportunities for local people is
of strategic importance. This local role is key; investment within Orpington should not seek to create
an offer that competes with the likes of Bromley Town Centre, but rather recognises its local service
provision and employment role in the context of its market town character, relationship with the
surrounding areas, and its scale.
With the current office accommodation within the centre being primarily above retail floorspace, with
some purpose built premises on Knoll Rise on the approach to the train station, the market is limited to
largely secondary quality and nature stock. However, this could be a market driver, relating
specifically to opportunities to promote small business growth in the future through the provision of
premises at lower rental values and with more flexible lease terms. The purpose built premises appear
to be quite dated but of a relatively good quality. Demand was identified for these premises, although
vacancy was noted on the site visits, suggesting sufficient capacity to accommodate this demand.
However, in this context Orpington remains a relatively good location for local occupier activity,
certainly given public transport connectivity and low rental values. There is arguably a two tier market
in the area, with a distinction between the nature of occupiers that are within the purpose built office
premises on Knoll Rise, and those that are located above ground floor retail premises. Specific small
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 xiii
business potential, and linkages with those working from home in the local area is noted for Orpington
specifically.
KEY ACTIONS
The key actions for Orpington town centre emerging from this study are summarised below.
Table 3 – Orpington Town Centre – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
The Council should not seek to allocate significant new office floorspace development within Orpington
town centre within the Core Strategy. The Council should instead seek to encourage investment in existing
premises and redevelopment of existing premises within the core of the town centre. Policy should seek to
protect and encourage investment in existing office premises in the ‘town centre core’.
Ongoing
Council should seek to promote a positive planning approach to the conversation of office premises to
residential use outside of the town centre core in Orpington. A study into the existing stock, including
condition and scope for conversion, should be undertaken to test residential capacity and suggest areas
within the town centre where such an approach would be appropriate.
Short Term
The delivery of investment in the public realm, the College and other building works underway within the
town centre should be prioritised by the public sector. Short Term
Opportunities should be sought to promote initiatives including shop frontage investment, and in the short
term opportunities to encourage the temporary use of empty retail premises within the town centre for other
uses.
Short Term /
Medium Term
Potential for a ‘use on demand’ meeting / resource facility for small businesses / people working from
home should be considered including more detailed / targeted consultation with potential end users.
Short Term /
Medium Term
Advice should be provided by the Council to small businesses relating specifically to business rates
through appropriate / existing mechanisms and e.g. the Federation of Small Businesses. Short Term
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 1
1. INTRODUCTION & CONTEXT
BACKGROUND TO BRIEF
1.1 GVA Grimley Ltd have been commissioned by the London Borough of Bromley (LB Bromley)
to undertake market demand and headline viability (commercial market) testing for office
development / investment at three key sites / areas within the Borough: West Camp (Biggin
Hill); Cray Valley; and Orpington Town Centre. This is a follow on commission from the
Employment Land and Economic Development Study completed in March 2009.
1.2 The Employment Land and Economic Development Study (‘the Study’) was commissioned by
LB Bromley to underpin their Local Development Framework (LDF) and establish priority
actions for the Council and other partners over the medium and long term (to 2025).
1.3 The Study concludes that it will not be sufficient for LB Bromley to ‘rest on its laurels’ when it
comes to economic development over the plan period. There is an identified need for strategic
guidance to set out the economic objectives and investment across the Borough to 2025 and
beyond. The Study suggested an initial vision to be tested through further work and
consultation. The vision for the Bromley economy is suggested to be:
“A targeted approach to suitable investment will ensure the delivery of a sustainable economy
within LB Bromley; a green borough in every sense, where small businesses choose to stay
and grow, and major businesses choose to locate.”
1.4 The opportunity within the Bromley economy is clear, albeit it is compromised within the
immediate and short term economic climate (not unlike its counterparts and competitors). The
Borough is seen as an exporter of quality labour, reflected both in income levels, skills levels,
and the occupation profile of the resident based population. This suggests a latent opportunity
for economic activity of a high quality to be retained within the local area.
1.5 There are specific sector opportunities identified for Bromley including: Business and
Financial Services (primarily in the medium to long term given the current economic climate),
Transport and Telecommunications, Construction, High-Value Manufacturing, and Retail.
There is further potential identified within ‘knowledge-economy’ sectors suggesting an
opportunity to harness more of this value added activity within the local economy.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 2
1.6 However, within this context there are identified challenges to delivering economic objectives,
and indeed within the immediate and short-term retaining existing businesses within Bromley.
One of the most significant constraints was identified in the Study to be the current stock of
premises available and commercial market conditions in this context.
1.7 The office accommodation within the Borough, at headline level, is dominated by a poor
quality of stock and a lack of recent development. This stock profile, including the
predominance of ageing stock of questionable appropriateness for use by dynamic emerging
sectors, is identified to detract potential inward investors from the local economy. This
includes stock within both central and out-of-centre locations.
1.8 Whilst the main office location within the Borough is recognised to be Bromley, in terms of
existing stock and market activity (e.g. deals, take-up), a secondary office offer is identified
within both Beckenham and Orpington town centres including predominantly smaller
accommodation often above retail space. Both of these centres are recognised to have lower
levels of transactional activity.
1.9 The Study makes a series of employment recommendations in the context of this undersupply
of quality office accommodation across the Borough, including:
Consider opportunities for maximising the supply of new and improved office floorspace
and of retaining existing office uses wherever possible. Sites that are suited to delivering
smaller office developments alongside larger floorplates should be considered, within the
town centres particularly Orpington town centre and in locations proximate to the M25
including Ruxley and the Crays; and
Consider the future employment function of existing land at Biggin Hill airport. There is an
identified opportunity to promote high-value manufacturing activities at the airport, with
specific opportunity identified at South Camp, including the potential to promote a
balanced offer with some small-scale office development such as a potential business /
innovation centre.
1.10 Further to this, the Study makes a series of cross-cutting / strategic priorities for testing and
inclusion within any future Economic Development Strategy, including those relating to “Key
Sites, Sectors, Clusters, and Locations”:
Identify how the commercial floorspace aspirations within Orpington town centre can be
delivered;
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 3
Undertake feasibility testing for a Business Centre / Small Business Park (B1a and B1b
uses) in the Biggin Hill and ‘East Bromley’ areas identifying cost, likely business base /
take-up, and timescales for delivery;
Implementation of employment land supply policies within the LDF including the
development and agreement of the criteria test for site use;
Maximise opportunities to use Local Transport Plan and strategic London Development
Agency / Transport for London investment programmes to support economic priorities;
and
Encourage the growth of key sectors and clusters; working with partners and reviewing
forecast and opportunities.
1.11 In this strategic context, LB Bromley have commissioned this piece of work to assess the
future demand for office development investment, and potential for attracting office and/or
business occupiers in the future, including both freehold and leasehold occupiers, within West
Camp (Biggin Hill); Cray Valley; and Orpington Town Centre.
1.12 The key outputs of the commission will be recommendations relating specifically to:
The market demand for offices in each of the locations and the potential scale of office
development (including size of units / likely type of occupier);
Whether the identified demand and potential supply or required interventions should be
viewed as short, medium or long term, and the phasing of any likely development; and
A suggested ‘Action Plan’ to take forward each of the sites including options, as
appropriate, including phasing, marketing and delivery mechanisms, including the
potential role for LB Bromley as part of this process.
APPROACH
1.13 Whilst there are commonalities within our approach to undertaking this study across the three
identified areas it is recongised that in each case there are specific nuances that need to be
captured. The distinctions between the three sites / areas considered in this report are
summarised below, followed by our general approach to undertaking the commission across
the three.
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West Camp, Biggin Hill
1.14 The Brief requires that specific consideration is given to the buildings within West Camp at
Biggin Hill Airport. The buildings within West Camp include, within the Conservation Area:
former Barracks, the Mortuary, Medical Centre and Decontamination Centre, Junior Ranks
Mess, Candidates Club and Hawkinge Barrack, the Guardroom, Garage Block, Reserve
Water Tank and Pump House, MT flight workshops and garages and supply flight workshops,
the Boiler House, Officer Aircrew Selection Centre, Station Headquarters, and Hanger
Remains and open area; and outside of the Conservation Area: Airside Hanger, Western
Taxiway and ‘North Area’ (a largely open area with two buildings onsite).
1.15 Within the established Planning Framework for West Camp, prepared for the site by LB
Bromley, the intention to retain and bring back into economic use (and thereby remove from
the Buildings at Risk Register) the listed buildings on the site, and to retain and re-use the
other buildings of historic interest is stated.
1.16 The market potential of this site, and the buildings on-site, must be tested in this context with
local agents and active developers including reviewing the appetite for business space of this
kind, at this location.
Cray Valley, ‘East Bromley’
1.17 The Cray Valley is noted to be an established commercial area, albeit recent development
and take-up activity has skewed the profile away from ‘traditional B-Use Class business’ uses
towards retail warehousing, in contradiction with the current local planning policy relating to
the area which resists additional retail development in the future.
1.18 The business activities within Cray Valley (including retail warehousing) is concentrated along
the A224, linking the A20 Sidcup Bypass at Saint Pauls Cray to the M25 via Saint Marys Cray.
Whilst the Borough in general is recognised to be relatively prosperous, this area and the
residential areas around it in particular is noted to suffer deprivation on a more significant
scale than elsewhere across Bromley according to the Index of Multiple Deprivation (2007).
1.19 The study should seek to test the potential (site and market appetite) for office activity
(development and occupier investment) with the Cray Valley and in this context the future role
and function of this area for employment purposes.
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Orpington Town Centre
1.20 Orpington is the Borough’s second largest town centre, behind Bromley town centre. It has
good transport connections to Central London including direct links to Charing Cross station in
as little as 26 minutes, and road connections to the M25 and M20 motorways.
1.21 There is a recognised existing office market offer (i.e. office premises) within Orpington town
centre although it is dominated by ‘secondary stock’ including above retail premises units
(albeit a number do have their own front door), with only limited stand-alone office
development identified.
1.22 The study should test the nature of office demand relating specifically to Orpington town
centre and the appropriateness of the existing office stock profile in the area in this context.
General Approach
1.23 There are four key stages to our approach in undertaking this commission, outlined briefly
below, following on from Project Inception.
Site Visits and Assessments
1.24 Site visits have been undertaken to each of the three sites / areas, supported by a
photographic record of key characteristics noted.
1.25 A different emphasis was placed on each site during the visits reflecting the different nature
and potential development / investment function of the respective areas outlined previously.
For both Cray Valley and Orpington this included the identification of potential development
sites where appropriate.
Revealed Market Demand
1.26 Identification of ‘market areas’ within which the respective areas ‘sit’, defined by postcode
sector boundaries for data collection purposes but also consideration of the characteristics of
the wider area, commercial stock profile, and commercial market observations.
1.27 Revealed market demand will be identified within the market areas including available
commercial (in this context office) floorspace (including observations on quality following site
visits), and take-up activity (including quantum, and rents and yields achieved based on
available data).
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Commercial Market and Key Stakeholder Consultation
1.28 Consultation with commercial agents who are active in the Borough and the three areas / sites
identified specifically, alongside developers and investors also active or that have shown an
interest in the past, alongside key public sector and business representatives has been
undertaken to test specifically the nature of the commercial market (including qualitative
perceptions, recent market activity, property requirements, and market capacity in the short,
medium, and long term).
Recommendations and Area ‘Action Plans’
1.29 Specific recommendations will include, for the three sites / areas:
West Camp, Biggin Hill:
Market demand (developed and occupier) and capacity / scope for managed business
park including advice on potential / appropriate size of units;
Sector specific opportunity (if any identified); and
Phasing and other investment considerations / actions required.
Cray Valley, East Bromley:
Market potential for an out-of-town business park style development in the area relative to
the market within Bromley and Orpington town centres (specifically testing the
complementarily of these market areas);
Sector or occupier specific opportunity (if any identified); and
Phasing and other investment considerations / actions required.
Orpington Town Centre:
Market appetite for office accommodation within Orpington;
Scope / need for enhancement of existing stock;
Development opportunity for office development (including potential additional floorspace
that could be brought forwards);
Interface / relationship between office market potential and regeneration aspirations for
the town centre; and
Phasing and other investment considerations / actions required.
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STRUCTURE OF REPORT
1.30 The remainder of this report is structured to consider the strategic context for office
development within the three sites / areas identified, and then the specific potential of each of
the three in turn (although no order of importance is implied):
Section Two: Strategic Policy Context – consideration of the policy context for office
development and investment from PPS4 (emerging) and PPS6, regional policy as outlined
within the London Plan, emerging policy context emerging from the Outer London
Commission, and local guidance within the adopted UDP, emerging LB Bromley Core
Strategy, and Area Action Plan for Bromley town centre.
Section Three: West Camp, Biggin Hill – including area context, site assessment, revealed
market demand, commercial and stakeholder observations, and recommendations / area
‘Action Plan’.
Section Four: The Cray Valley, East Bromley – including area context, site assessment,
revealed market demand, commercial and stakeholder observations, and recommendations /
area ‘Action Plan’.
Section Five: Orpington Town Centre – including area context, site assessment, revealed
market demand, commercial and stakeholder observations, and recommendations / area
‘Action Plan’.
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2. STRATEGIC POLICY CONTEXT
2.1 Any potential for office investment and development, within the three areas identified for
further investigation is set within the context of national, regional, and local existing and
emerging policy guidance.
2.2 This section provides an overview of the direction of this established and emerging policy
context, identifying in the process the key policy direction shaping office development in
Bromley.
National Planning Policy
2.3 Existing and emerging national planning policy clearly supports the need for Local Planning
Authorities (LPA’s) to support and promote economic development at the local level. Within
the emerging (Draft) Planning Policy Statement 4 Planning for Sustainable Economic
Development a “positive” approach to economic development is promoted, including the
Government’s desired objectives for:
A good range of sites identified for economic development and mixed-use development;
A good supply of land and buildings which offers a range of opportunities for creating new
jobs in large and small businesses as well as start-up firms and which is responsive to
changing needs and demands;
High quality development and inclusive design for all forms of economic development;
Avoiding adverse impacts on the environment, but where these are unavoidable,
providing mitigation; and
Shaping travel demand by promoting sustainable travel choices wherever possible.
2.4 Within Planning Policy Statement 6 Planning for Town Centres the Government states the
need to promote the vitality and viability of town centres through planning for the growth and
development of existing centres; and promoting and enhancing existing centres, by focusing
development in such centres and encouraging a wide range of services in a good
environment, accessible to all.
2.5 Other key objectives stated within PPS6 include the need to improve accessibility, ensuring
that existing or new development is, or will be, accessible and well-served by a choice of a
means of transport.
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2.6 PPS6 includes offices, both commercial and those of public bodies, as a main town centre
use, and there imposes sequential testing on such development uses prioritising urban centre
development above edge of centre or out of centre development. This has important
implications for office development outside of Bromley town centre in Biggin Hill, Cray Valley,
or Orpington respectively.
2.7 The Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) published a further draft
PPS4 Planning for Prosperous Economies. This document brings together Draft PPS4
(Sustainable Economic Development); PPG5 (Simplified Planning Zones); PPS6 (Town
Centres) and PPS7 (Sustainable Development in Rural Areas). This document is an initial
draft for comment.
2.8 Given the likely timing of any office development within West Camp, Cray Valley, and/or
Orpington this emerging policy is likely to represent key national guidance for economic
development uses to be taken into consideration. The new draft PPS4 continues in a similar
vain to the previous draft PPS4 in promoting flexibility when considering economic
development, the importance of clustering, rural economic growth, and underpinning all of this
deliverability.
Regional Policy Direction
2.9 Current regional planning policy for Greater London is established within the London Plan.
The London Plan recognises the importance of promoting sustainable (accessible, etc.)
development within its town centres, encouraging sustainable polycentric patterns of
development, and creating local sense of place, attractiveness and community alongside
other policy aspirations including vitality and vibrancy, and a mix of use.
2.10 In the context of Bromley, this promotes Bromley town centre as the main focus for town
centre activity, but recognises the importance of Orpington as a Major Centre. Bromley town
centre is identified within the London Plan as a Metropolitan Centre.
2.11 The London Plan includes a policy stance that seeks a range of premises of different types,
sizes and costs to meet the needs of different sectors of the economy and firms of different
types and sizes and to remove supply side blockages for key sectors, including the finance
and business services sector.
2.12 With regards to matching office demand and supply specifically, the London Plan seeks:
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Significant investment to current stock through change of uses and development of
vacant brownfield sites;
Renovation and renewal of existing stock to increase and enhance the quality and
flexibility of London’s office market offer, in line with policies for maximising the intensity
of development; and
The provision of a variety of type, size and cost of office promises to meet the needs of all
sectors, including small and medium sized enterprises.
2.13 The London Plan advocates that sub-regional partnerships and boroughs should:
Promote the provision of additional space and the rejuvenation of existing office space in
line with the other policies of the London Plan; and
Work with the LDA, investors, developers, land owners, and potential occupiers to bring
forwards development capacity as efficiently as possible co-ordinating their activities and
interests to avoid planning delays and facilitating site assembly, if necessary, through the
compulsory purchase process.
2.14 In the Bromley office development context this includes the promotion of town centre based
office quarters; mid-urban business parks; conventional business parks beyond the urban
area (which should become more sustainable); and more local, town centre based office
provision, which can be consolidated effectively to meet local needs, or where necessary
change to other uses.
2.15 Since publication of the London Plan there has been a change in Mayor within London,
bringing with it a change in policy focus for the Capital. The Mayor has established an Outer
London Commission (OLC) to advise how Outer London can play its full part in the City’s
wider economic success. It includes representatives of business, the boroughs, the
development industry, and the voluntary sector. It is envisaged that the OLC will report in
summer 2009 to feed into the London Plan review.
2.16 The OLC will explore how different parts of Outer London can better realise their economic
potential, especially its town centres, as well as opportunity and intensification areas and
industrial locations. The economic geography of London will be explored, including the
assessment of ‘growth hubs’ (a new type of business location being tested through the
Commission).
2.17 The future economic growth potential of LB Bromley is strongly linked to this emerging
agenda. The OLC is looking at structural weaknesses in Outer London that has seen
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employment growth (both absolute and value) lagging behind Inner and Central London and
the South East region, and what the main barriers to employment growth may be - transport
access, education, and skills.
2.18 It is also significant that nearby Croydon is being considered as a ‘super hub’ – a potential
future focus for economic growth across the Outer London area. The dynamic between
Bromley and Croydon is important within this context. Indeed it is important that Bromley
recognises its own economic drivers in this context (albeit not at the same scale in the
hierarchy as Croydon).
Local Policy Context
2.19 The Unitary Development Plan (UDP) for LB Bromley was adopted in July 2006, and under
the 2004 Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act was saved for three years, making it the
statutory planning document for development control purposes across the Borough until the
Core Strategy and other DPD’s forming the emerging Local Development Framework (LDF)
are adopted.
2.20 The UDP recognises that the Borough is an attractive location for businesses, with a pleasant
local environment, and easy access to the M25 and Central London (by road and rail). The
Council have a stated intention within the UDP to maintain a range of business
accommodation for all business types in ‘appropriate locations’ whilst encouraging the
provision of accommodation for small firms. The need to re-use existing floorspace including
redevelopment for mixed use where appropriate, alongside the promotion of a ‘business park’
environment within the Boroughs ‘Business Areas’, which include the three sites / areas
considered specifically within this study.
2.21 The development of accommodation for small firms is encouraged, as are the re-use of
existing floorspace within the respective centres, and the encouragement of travel intensive
business uses in appropriate town centre locations.
2.22 The planned investment within Bromley town centre (outlined in the Town Centre Area Action
Plan, Draft, envisaged to be formally adopted by the end of 2009) represents a key
opportunity for the Borough to enhance its profile and deliver a quality environment and
economic offer to promote sustainable growth.
2.23 The draft AAP includes policy justification for the development of identified key sites within the
town centre, with the objective, amongst others, of promoting economic growth and local
employment opportunities, increasing commercial floorspace and economic opportunities in
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 12
the town centre. It is envisaged that the investment outlined in the AAP, focusing primarily on
retail, leisure / culture, and residential development initially will result in an uplift in values
which should increase the viability of commercial office development in the medium to long
term.
2.24 Any office development outside of Bromley town centre will need to be considered in this
context, including the balance between sequential testing, phasing, and market demand /
appetite for development. It is important, linking into the wider economic development
agenda, that the various roles of functions of potential office locations are considered in terms
of their potential competing or complementary roles, and phasing including balancing the
protection / promotion of certain market areas alongside embracing developer and occupier
interest and delivering investment opportunities where they are recognised.
Summary of Policy Context
2.25 A number of key themes emerge from the policy context outlined previously within this
section. These include:
The importance of protecting the viability and vibrancy of town and urban centres through
the appropriate location of development, whilst recognising market opportunity in the
wider area, reflecting emerging policy guidance relating to rural economic potential
specifically;
The need to ensure that employment related (in this context office) investment is
strategically located in relation to transport infrastructure ensuring sustainability of
economic growth in the future, and also improving commercial marketability of sites and
developments in the future; and
The opportunity to recognise that there is a balance to be sought between appropriate
locations and property for small business activity / local and indigenous demand and
appropriate locations for inward investment locations and property. In this context
Bromley town centre is recognised as being a key strategic location, with potential for the
wider hierarchy of opportunity to reflect typologies of demand including small business
and non-traditional urban centre office uses (e.g. creative industries).
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3. WEST CAMP – BIGGIN HILL
3.1 This section relates specifically to the current nature of activity at West Camp, including the
site characteristics, specific commercial market (office) potential identified within the area,
business and occupier potential for future investment, and recommendations to promote
delivery of West Camp for commercial employment uses in the future.
3.2 Each of these facets of observation, analysis and advice are considered in turn in the
remainder of this section.
SITE ASSESSMENT
Current On-Site Uses / Structures
3.3 A Planning Framework for West Camp, Biggin Hill was finalised by LB Bromley in May 2007,
including a detailed consideration of specific sites (buildings) within West Camp. These are
summarised in the bullet points below.
Figure 2 – Existing Structure at Biggin Hill Airport (1)
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Figure 3 – Existing Structure at Biggin Hill Airport (2)
Figure 4 – Existing Structure at Biggin Hill Airport (3)
Sites within Conservation Area
3.4 The following sites are identified within the Planning Framework as being within a designated
Conservation Area.
Barrack Block buildings: Five Grade II listed buildings on Buildings at Risk Register – two
storey former accommodation blocks – most noted in the Planning Framework to be in a
poor state of repair, including some with water ingress through the roof. Estimated total
floorspace of 3,340 square metres.
Mortuary, Medical Centre and Decontamination Centre: Single storey linked buildings in a
good condition – not listed but considered to be of historic interest making a positive
contribution to the Conservation Area. Estimated total floorspace of 620 square metres.
Junior Ranks Mess, Candidates Club and Hawkinge Barrack: Grade II listed buildings in
generally good repair though some refurbishment required. The Hawkinge is single
storey, with the other buildings observed to be 2 storey. Estimated total floorspace of
2,210 square metres.
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Guardroom, Garage Block, Reserve Water Tank and Pump House: Modest, single storey,
altered buildings – not listed. Incorporates the current access to the site, and the existing
car parking area.
MT flight workshops and garages and supply flight workshops: Single storey workshop
buildings arranged around a courtyard which makes a positive contribution to the
Conservation Area – many buildings maintained in good condition, but with none listed.
Boiler House: Distinctive landmark building making a positive contribution to the area, but
not listed.
Officer Aircrew Selection Centre: Building of post war construction possibly in poor state
of repair – not listed and not making positive contribution to the area.
Station Headquarters: Two storey Grade II listed building in good condition – partly
refurbished. Estimated total floorspace of 620 square metres.
Hangar remains and open area: Remains of demolished wartime hangar and post war
shed – not listed and not making positive contribution although considered to be of some
historic interest. Open area to the south.
Sites Outside Conservation Area
Airside Hangar: Existing hangar in good condition with extensive apron and open areas
around.
Western Taxiway: Part of perimeter track for taxiing aircraft.
North Area: Largely open area with two buildings in fair condition (not listed), includes
small part of Conservation Area.
3.5 From site visit observation, the sites / buildings both within and outside of the Conservation
Area are not believed to be in active use currently or are not being utilised to their full
capacity/potential. The buildings are noted to be of a varied condition, and age, with some
noted to make historic and heritage contribution to West Camp, whilst others are of a modern
and less imposing / visually appealing nature.
3.6 The setting of the buildings, including simple but generally well maintained landscaped open
space and car parking areas is observed to be relatively good quality. The boundaries of West
Camp are well defined, and by-and-large intact, in the form of cast iron fencing around the
perimeter.
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Strategic and Local Access and Connectivity
3.7 Biggin Hill Airport is located off the A233 Main Road which to its further extremes links
Bromley town centre (via the B265) to the M25 motorway, running north-south through the
Borough.
3.8 The road network ensures the site is relatively accessible by car or lorry / HGV although
congestion is noted as a potential issue especially during peak hours for cars passing through
the area leaving or joining the M25 motorway.
3.9 The area is considered to be reasonably well served by public transport, although this is
limited to a bus route along the A233. The following bullet points outline the routes that pass
along this road or serve the local area:
Route 246: Bromley North Station to Warlingham Green / Chartwell – noted to be a high
frequency route.
Route 320: Bromley North Station to Biggin Hill Valley Rose Road – bus every 20
minutes.
Route 346: New Addington Parway to Tatsfield Ship – bus every 30 minutes.
Route 664: New Addington Homestead Way to Biggin Hill Charles Darwin School –
School service, leaves New Addington at 0728 arrives Biggin Hill Charles Darwin School
at 0810, leaves Biggin Hill Charles Darwin School at 1505 arrives New Addington at
1540.
3.10 Given its location within the grounds of Biggin Hill Airport, West Camp is seen to have
strategic national and international connectivity via air travel, albeit this is restricted to
business passenger travel rather than large scale passenger flights. The Airport remains a
key strategic asset however even in this limited passenger context, being a key point of entry
for business aviation flights to the wider London area.
3.11 Direct access to West Camp from the A233 Main Road is adjacent to the Guardroom, Garage
Block, Reserve Water Tank, and Pump House, around half way along the collection of
buildings.
Surrounding Land Uses
3.12 Biggin Hill Airport occupies a large proportion of the land formally used for the RAF Biggin Hill
Aerodrome. Adjacent to West Camp is South Camp, which includes the Biggin Hill Business
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Park and Airport Industrial Estate, both of which house a variety of businesses including some
linked to the airport industry. A new hangar is being developed within this area by Rizon Jet.
The hangar will offer maintenance and ‘high-end’ handling, as well as a charter service.
3.13 The hangar is expected to accommodate and service the needs of clients from Saudi Arabia
and the Gulf region, who will expect facilities including helicopter links, prestige car rental, and
chauffeur services.
Figure 5 – New Hanger Development at Biggin Hill (under construction)
3.14 To the east of the airport runway there are a number of uses including hangers, private flying
club facilities, a helicopter joy-riding centre, and a pilot training centre.
3.15 The Biggin Hill Airport Development Strategy states that there are a total of 63 companies
located at the airport, employing circa 1,091 staff. Evidence from the 2006 Airport Surface
Access Strategy suggests that a significant proportion of those employed at the Airport live
locally; as much as 5% of the economically active population within Biggin Hill ward are
employed by companies located at the Airport, with over half of those employed resident
within the Borough. Current development at the Airport, including the new hanger at South
Camp will include circa 100 additional jobs.
3.16 To the west of West Camp, over the A233, there is a new housing development currently
under-construction, including luxury family accommodation. This is in addition to existing
housing within the wider area, and some natural open space and landscaping.
Quality of the Wider Environment
3.17 The Airport lies within Biggin Hill ward. It is located to the northern edge of Biggin Hill itself, a
relatively large settlement to the south of the Borough. The wider environment of the airport
includes rural / agricultural land holdings, and a number of smaller residential settlements.
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3.18 The general area is recognised to be of a relatively high quality in this context, including a
local village setting to the north of the Airport at Leaves Green including a village green, and
local public house.
3.19 It is noted that amenity provision in the wider is relatively poor, with limited convenience retail
noted, although the housing profile is dominated by relatively high quality family housing
including a good degree of public and private open space provision.
Planning Policy Position
3.20 The Planning Framework, finalised by LB Bromley Council in May 2007, establishes principles
(predominantly relating to land use and the desired retention of buildings on the site) to guide
development control decisions and to facilitate appropriate development at West Camp. The
framework does not rely on expansion of the Airport, or any increase in flights.
3.21 In the LB Bromley UDP, the West Camp area falls within Area 1 of the Major Development
Site (MDS) in the Green Belt. Policy BH4 applies to Area 1, restricting development to airport-
related uses. The policy requires that proposals for development at West Camp:
Form part of a comprehensively planned development for the site;
Retain the open ‘campus’ nature of the site;
Facilitate the integration of the western taxiway into the Airport’s operational control; and
Preserve or enhance the character or appearance of the RAF Biggin Hill Conservation
Area.
3.22 Proposals for other land uses at Biggin Hill will only be considered where it can be
demonstrated that there is a lack of demand for airport related uses, resulting in potential long
term vacancy of the buildings, or where the use would contribute to the conservation and
historic interest of the area.
3.23 Although the MDS lies within the Green Belt, limited infill or redevelopment may be
considered appropriate forms of development provided it accords with relevant criteria.
3.24 The Planning Framework also lists other policies within the UDP, London Plan, Conservation
Area Supplementary Planning Guidance document, and national policy guidance which are
relevant to future development at West Camp.
3.25 The Framework states that residential uses are considered to be unsuitable at West Camp as
a result of noise guidelines set out in PPG24, and ‘other factors’ indicating a ‘poor residential
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 19
environment’. Uses that are likely to generate a large number of visitors are also considered
to be unsuitable on traffic generation grounds.
3.26 West Camp falls within a Safeguarding Zone wherein all proposed development must be
referred to the Airport for consideration as to whether new buildings affect the Obstacle
Limitation Surface. This has not been identified through liaison with the Council as being a
significant constraint to investment in the existing buildings at West Camp.
3.27 The Framework suggests possible uses and development principles for the sites within West
Camp, including those within and outside the Conservation Area. The suggested possible
future uses are summarised in Table 4.
Table 4 – Possible Future Uses of Buildings
Building / Site Suggested Possible Use
Barrack Block buildings Business (B1) uses as part of managed business park; non residential
institutions (D1)
Mortuary, Medical Centre and
Decontamination Centre
Medical Centre: Business (B1)
Decontamination Centre: Storage (B8); non residential institutions (D1)
or use requiring enclosed space e.g. music studios, archive storage
Junior Ranks Mess, Candidates Club
and Hawkinge Barrack
Business (B1) uses and/or non residential institutions (D1)
Guardroom, Garage Block, Reserve
Water Tank and Pump House
Workshop (B1); storage (B8); and/or non residential institutions (D1)
MT flight workshops and garages and
supply flight workshops
Workshop (B1); storage (B8); and/or non residential institutions (D1)
Boiler House Possible small display space and viewing area
Officer Aircrew Selection Centre Heritage Centre
Station Headquarters Office / business use (B1); and/or non residential institutions
Hangar remains and open area Retention preferred
Airside Hangar Airport related hangar use
Western Taxiway Track for taxiing aircraft
North Area Airport related use requiring airside access (preferred) and/or office /
business use / workshop (B1) and car parking
Source: West Camp Planning Framework, October 2007
3.28 It is understood that there is also potential within the existing buildings for a café and similar
facilities, most likely as part of / in proximity to any future Heritage Centre (within the officer
Aircrew Selection Centre).
3.29 The Planning Framework advocated predominately B1 office activity in a number of the
buildings with a gross floorspace capacity of in excess of 4,800 square metres for this use.
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REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
3.30 Quantitative analysis has been carried out with regard to revealed demand for office
floorspace. Revealed demand is measured primarily by take-up activity. This looks at the rate
at which ‘completed’ property is occupied, along with the rate of occupation of available or
‘second hand’ property.
3.31 It is important to note that this analysis intrinsically reflects, and is constrained, by current
economic conditions and climate, and is therefore not fully representative of longer term
trends, requirements and opportunity. However, for the purposes of this study and the nature
of the market in this location, it is felt that this approach is sufficient to present headline levels
of revealed demand.
3.32 Given the focus of this commission on the potential for office development within West Camp
the analysis of revealed market is concentrated on the office market. To focus analysis on the
Biggin Hill area specifically a ‘market area’ has been identified, through consideration of
postcode sectors covering the area, and consultation with commercial market agents. Data
has been obtained for this Biggin Hill market area.
3.33 The Biggin Hill market area is defined by the postcode sector TN16 3, illustrated in Figure 6.
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Figure 6 – Biggin Hill Market Area: Geography of Definition
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 22
3.34 Table 5 illustrates the take up of B1 office floorspace within the market area since 2003. A
total of 11,875 square feet / 1,105 square metres of B1 office floorspace has been taken up
within the area over this period, with the majority focused in provision along Main Road,
including over 4,000 square feet / 400 square metres within the Concorde Business Centre.
3.35 The majority of the take-up of within the market area was focused in second hand floorspace /
premises, comprising over 60% of total take-up during the period (7,545 square feet / 702
square metres). This is reflective of the low level of development in the area over the period
skewing the available stock profile.
3.36 Data relating to the length of time the floorspace was marketed before being taken up is
presented where it is available. For premises where data is available (i.e. excluding the
second noted transaction for 216-218 Main Road), all of the floorspace was marketed for over
a quarter of the year, including in the case of the take-up at Concorde Business Centre over
200 days on the market. This is considered to be a significant period of marketing and
suggests weakness within the strength of the market (albeit linked to current stock profile as
previously noted).
Table 5 – Office Take-Up in Biggin Hill Market Area
Address
Days on
market Grade
Size
SqFt
Size
SqM
146
Main Road
Biggin Hill
TN16
3BA 105
New or
Refurbished 1,880 175
146
Main Road
Biggin Hill
TN16
3BA 105
New or
Refurbished 1,360 126
180
Main Road
Biggin Hill
TN16
3BB 197
Second
Hand 1,745 162
184
Main Road
Biggin Hill
TN16
3BB 153
New or
Refurbished 814 76
216-
218
Main Road
Westerham
TN16
3BD 91
Second
Hand 716 67
216-
218
Main Road
Westerham
TN16
3BD - Not known 276 26
Unit
500
Churchill
Way
Biggin Hill
Aerodrome Biggin Hill
TN16
3BN 197
Second
Hand 674 63
Spitfire
House
Main
Road
14 Concorde
Business Centre Biggin Hill
TN16
3YN 237
Second
Hand 2,010 187
Spitfire
House
Main
Road
14 Concorde
Business Centre Biggin Hill
TN16
3YN 221
Second
Hand 2,400 223
Source: EGi, April 2009
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 23
3.37 The majority of office take-up within the area has been dominated by smaller premises when
measured in terms in absolute numbers of transactions recorded. Specifically of the nine
transactions recorded, a total of seven were premises sized under 185 square metres, with an
annual average take-up of 70 square metres over the period.
3.38 There was no take-up of office premises above 465 square metres recorded over the period,
although this may have been constrained by the property on offer.
Table 6 – Take-Up by Unit Size
Size Band (Square Metres) Count Average Annual Take Up
<185 7 70
185-465 2 104
465-1850 0 0
>1850 0 0
Source: EGi, April 2009, manipulated by GVA Grimley, April 2009
3.39 The average rent achieved (based on asking rent data) in office market transactions within the
market area in the nine transactions recorded since 2003 was £119 per square metre
compared to average of between £86 and £215 across Bromley as a whole as quoted in the
Economic Development and Employment Study (with the range reflecting the low and high
rental levels quoted).
3.40 Where rental levels achieved were obtainable, it is clear that asking rents were higher for
smaller premises, suggesting higher demand and/or lower quantum of supply of this type of
premises in the area.
Table 7 – Rents Quoted
Address Grade Size SqM
Asking Rent
(£ per Sq M)
146 Main Road TN16 3BA New or Refurbished 175 113.99
146 Main Road TN16 3BA New or Refurbished 126 119.49
180 Main Road TN16 3BB Second Hand 162 Not Known
184 Main Road TN16 3BB New or Refurbished 76 128.93
216-218 Main Road TN16 3BD Second Hand 67 Not Known
216-218 Main Road TN16 3BD Not known 26 Not Known
Unit 500 Churchill Way TN16 3BN Second Hand 63 162.91
Spitfire House Main Road TN16 3YN Second Hand 187 96.4
Spitfire House Main Road TN16 3YN Second Hand 223 89.67
Average 123 118.565
Source: EGi, April 2009
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 24
3.41 Table 8 illustrates the current availability of office floorspace within the market area (at the
time of writing). There is only one premises currently being marketed within the area, Unit 10
at 160 to 166 Main Road, which is noted to be a small unit.
Table 8 – Current Availability of Office Floorspace
Address
Date First
Marketed
Asking
Rent (£) Size (sq ft) Size (sqm)
Unit 10 160 - 166 Main Road, Biggin Hill 11/03/2009 14000 pa 778 72.3
Source: EGi, April 2009
COMMERCIAL MARKET OBSERVATIONS
3.42 Consultation has been undertaken with local commercial market agents, developers, and
business stakeholders to establish qualitative perceptions of the commercial (office) market
potential at Biggin Hill Airport, and West Camp specifically. The consultation has focused on:
The qualitative nature of the commercial market in each of the identified market areas;
Recent development activity including occupation rates, rents achieved, etc;
Potential occupiers based on recent and perceived market trends (including small
business occupiers);
Enquiry levels across a range of business sizes;
Property requirements (including size, building layout / relationship with wider
environment etc, car parking, infrastructure including broadband etc) of potential
occupiers including consideration of larger and smaller business investment
opportunities; and
Perceived market capacity in the short, medium and long term.
3.43 It is important to note that the current commercial market is experiencing a general slow down
in transactional activity across all sectors, but importantly in the context of this study the office
market has been hit particularly hard. This is particularly pertinent when considering the need
to bring forward new premises for office activity whilst vacancy exists in the market including
in Central London, Canary Wharf, and other locations closer to West Camp, leading to falling
rents for this type of activity.
3.44 As a result the general tone of observations from agents and developers is relatively negative,
certainly compared to what it might have been two-years ago. This is an important phasing
consideration across all of the three areas considered within this study with opportunity for
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 25
office development likely to be stronger in the medium to long term (i.e. in the next 10 to 20
years). Considerations such as potential catalysts that may drive the market are significant to
developing an office market in these locations.
3.45 The agents consulted as part of this study all stressed the difficulty in making a reliable
assessment at present due to the recession and the fact that the commercial property
transactional market is so inactive, with few recent deals. Where developments are coming
forward, a greater degree of certainty is sought, with design and build and owner-occupier
schemes more prevalent than speculative activity, again a trend evidenced outside of LB
Bromley as well as within.
3.46 Opinions amongst commercial agents consulted differed as to the potential of West Camp, but
there was consensus as to the following constraints for any office market:
The area suffers from poor public transport, with no train or satisfactory bus service, and
unremarkable road links. Any office development would therefore require significant
parking provision, and/or improvements to bus services.
There is a lack of amenities around West Camp, with Biggin Hill itself too far to walk to.
Office occupiers, including the support staff required for serviced offices, would require
more immediate amenities such as cafes, newsagents etc.
The listed buildings and location within a Conservation Area and the Green Belt places
major constraints on the freedom and scale for redevelopment. It is noted that there will
be a requirement to retain the listed buildings on the site as part of any future
development which may restrict open/general developer interest in any future investment
opportunity at West Camp..
The potential for an office development is restricted by competition from nearby office
markets, which include serviced provision. Such locations, including Bromley town centre
and other centres such as Croydon for example, and out of centre developments across
Kent and the wider South East, offer superior transport links and amenities and there is
currently noted vacancy in all locations, with correspondingly low or falling rents.
3.47 Agents consulted commented that the office product is currently poor in Biggin Hill, with no
purpose built space due to poor public transport and amenities, and the resulting low rents
(currently around £8-£10 psf) which make development unviable within West Camp.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 26
3.48 However, despite the negative sentiments, some agents noted that there are positive
attributes which suggest potential in the area. These were in particular championed by the
developer Capital Enterprise Centres, a company which is known to have expressed an
interest in investment in West Camp to include B1 office floorspace provision. Such attributes
included the following:
The proximity to Biggin Hill airport is a major positive factor. It was noted however that
whilst the airport might be growing, it remains restricted to private business travel rather
than general commercial flights, and therefore there are doubts as to how great an
opportunity it presents to non-airport related businesses.
In terms of airport related business, some agents, and the developer Capital Enterprise
Centres specifically, the proximity to the airport presented a good opportunity for small
offices. The provision of larger offices is perceived to be hampered by the lack of public
transport and amenities. It should be noted that one agent cautioned that there is already
surplus space at and immediately around the airport, but others explained that such space
was for workshop type uses rather than offices.
Capital Enterprise Centres, (CEC) in particular argued that there is a shortage of office
space for airport related businesses at Biggin Hill and that opportunities to expand are
restricted due to the boundary of the Green Belt. Re-use of the existing buildings of West
Camp for office uses therefore present a good opportunity to meet latent demand. CEC
identified during consultation the perceived success of its business centre development at
Kings Hill in Kent which has similarly refurbished Grade II listed buildings. It now provides
serviced small office accommodation ranging from 75 to 1400 sqft, notably advertised
“with ample free parking”. Part of the rationale for the Kings Hill centre was to assist start
up companies, and CEC explained that they envisage a similar formula also working at
Biggin Hill, pointing out that West Camp has the significant added advantage of locational-
specific demand from airport related businesses. The interest from CEC should give
confidence to the Council relating to market appetite for investment in West Camp for
business uses.
It was also noted that the attractive location and historic character might appeal to certain
small businesses choosing where to locate their offices, but that such occupiers might
prefer the offer of a freehold premises with its “own front door”. The need for sufficient
parking space was again stressed.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 27
RECOMMENDATIONS
3.49 From analysis of revealed office market demand the Biggin Hill market area is identified to be
largely secondary in nature, with a stock profile largely dominated by second hand premises
rather than new build, with a resulting relatively low level of transactions recorded and rents
achieved in recent years. There is a generally observed skew towards smaller premises in the
area, although commercial market consultation suggests that this is not out of line with the
nature of demand currently and potentially in the future within the area.
3.50 The identified key constraints or 'blockages' to the current office market potential of the site
include:
The perceived poor public transport links to the site (including the lack of train
connectivity, although the Airport itself is noted to give strategic connectivity to the site)
and issues with road capacity and car parking restricting any significant employment use
within West Camp;
The lack of supporting amenities in the immediate area, for example the lack of cafe for
potential future employees (albeit such a use could be promoted on the site as part of a
wider mix, including within any future visitor centre for example);
On-site planning constraints including the Conservation Area designation and potential
need to retain / restore a large number of the structures on the site, albeit the historical
nature and setting of some of the buildings could be recognised conversely to be a
distinct selling point for West Camp; and
Competition from more established office locations, including Bromley town centre and
out-of-town office developments in the wider area, with vacancy noted in the former, and
by-and-large a higher quality offer and setting in the latter.
3.51 However, despite these identified constraints there is recognised office market potential for
Biggin Hill, and West Camp in particular, albeit on a relatively small scale (including smaller
unit sizes) and as part of a wider investment in West Camp that should see buildings
converted or redeveloped (where appropriate) for uses that would complement / support office
employment. There may be a need to allow a mix of uses on the site, or small scale infill
development to enable/facilitate B1 office provision in West Camp including serviced small
business space specifically.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 28
Figure 7 – Example of Conversion of Barrack Buildings for Office Use (Adastral Park, Suffolk) (1)
Figure 8 - Example of Conversion of Barrack Buildings for Office Use (Adastral Park, Suffolk) (2)
3.52 Particular market opportunity is identified on the basis of:
Close proximity to Biggin Hill Airport which is considered to be a major positive driver.
Particular market interest has been identified on the basis of growth of businesses
associated with the airport, and their need for space to accommodate administrative staff
requirements, etc, as well as businesses that would choose to locate close to an airport
that provides business travel opportunities and lower cost office accommodation within an
interesting and high quality setting. There is an identified shortage of office floorspace of
a good quality around the Airport, with most existing floorspace and employment
allocations skewed towards workshop / general B2/B8 employment uses; and
The restrictive nature of the Green Belt in the area for wider development of office
provision in the market area, or in proximity to the M25 within the LB Bromley border. This
promotes the opportunity at West Camp for office activity to tap into latent potential.
3.53 A number of key recommendations for office development at West Camp, Biggin Hill, are
drawn from this analysis. These have been developed on the basis of our analysis, and
community and key business stakeholder consultation undertaken, and are summarised
below:
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 29
The office market opportunity at West Camp, Biggin Hill is concluded to be linked
primarily to business activity at the airport, although its future potential for office
employment levels is not perceived to be dependent on the growth of the Airport. The
analysis undertaken has identified market demand for a business park at West Camp,
Biggin Hill. Whilst the financial viability of the scale and mix of development proposed
within the Planning Framework has not been tested as part of this study, the
consultations undertaken suggest that this scheme is realistic. The recognised developer
(operator) interest in the site for business park use is testament to this. The Council
should look to further explore the detailed financial viability of the scheme with interested
parties.
The maximum potential B1 office floorspace identified within the Planning Framework
(2007) should seen be seen as the maximum capacity for the site (circa 4,820 square
metres). The Council should be promoting a balance between serviced / managed office
floorspace and 'own-front-door' freehold opportunities, with an appropriate mix ensuring
choice for start ups and established businesses. This should include the retention of
listed buildings on the site, and potential development on Site L and infill on Site D (as
identified in the Framework). Any development should not impact detrimentally on the
existing buildings, and seek to improve the investment environment in West Camp.
A range of sizes of individual units should be promoted, from start-ups sub-50 square
metres to larger units of circa 500 square metres, to facilitate investment by small to
medium sized businesses currently under-provided for in the local area. Whilst specific
opportunity has been identified for investment by occupiers linked to the airport it is
unlikely that any floorspace provision would be solely taken up by this type of activity.
Whilst the floorspace should be promoted as offering this advantage to ensure maximum
potential in this context, occupiers should not be limited to these airport-related uses.
In the event that developers bring forwards more detailed proposals for West Camp that
reduce office quantums significantly or drop the use altogether, the Council should seek
detailed proof of lack of viability (development appraisals). This viability test should take
into account the potential to phase the office development after other investment on the
site.
Opportunities to 'unlock' the potential at West Camp, Biggin Hill should be sought
including future public transport provision, a positive planning position regarding an
appropriate and enabling mix of uses on the site (not including residential development)
and local area including convenience retail (within West Camp potentially as part of visitor
centre), and opportunities for road capacity and car parking enhancements. There may
be a need to allow small scale infill development to enable B1 office provision at West
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 30
Camp with a particular focus on serviced / managed small business space. Development
should only be permitted in this context where it is proven to not have detrimental impact
on the character of West Camp including the Conservation Area and listed buildings
specifically.
Summary of Actions
3.54 The key actions for West Camp, Biggin Hill emerging from this study are summarised below.
Table 9 – Biggin Hill – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
Continued liaison between Council and interested parties at West Camp, Biggin Hill including the
need for potential investors to justify need for enabling development if proposing to diversify from
the Planning Framework significantly2
Immediate
The Council should seek to investigate ways to ‘unlock’ the potential at West Camp, Biggin Hill
including potential investment in public transport provision and highways access to the site,
although S106 expectations should be considered in the context of the need to maintain the
viability of private sector investment in West Camp to deliver the aspirations within West Camp.
Ongoing
The Council should seek to ensure a positive planning position within the Core Strategy relating
to West Camp including the promotion of B1(a) business park uses, investment in listed buildings
and their setting, and supporting amenity / visitor provision (but not residential development).
Short Term
2 It is recommended within this study that there is minimal need for enabling and/or infill development to make delivery of B1(a)
development in this area viable, although opportunities for supporting and visitor provision should be sought.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 31
4. THE CRAY VALLEY, EAST BROMLEY
4.1 This section relates to the current nature of business activity at the Cray Valley area of East
Bromley. It considers the area’s characteristics, specific commercial market (office) potential
identified within the area, business and occupier potential for future investment, and sets out
recommendations to promote the delivery of future development at Cray Valley for
commercial (office) employment uses.
SITE ASSESSMENT
Current On-Site Uses / Structures
4.2 The Cray Valley is a corridor of varied land uses, including traditional and non-traditional
employment uses (with non-traditional dominated by retail warehousing that is seen to have
eroded the established business corridor along the A224 Cray Avenue / Sevenoaks Way in
recent years). Traditional and non-traditional employment uses are mostly clustered at the
junction of the A224 with the railway running east-west through the area, with St Pauls Cray to
the north of the railway line and St Mary Cray to the south.
4.3 The employment activities within the centre of the area, clustered around the main road, are
dominated by large ‘shed’ developments, with relatively poor frontage to the road including car
parking at key junctions / sites.
4.4 The buildings are, however, observed to be of a relatively good quality (albeit detailed surveys
of condition have not been undertaken as part of this study). There are few ‘pure’ office uses
or buildings observed within the area at the current time, with office provision concentrated in
the main to stock in the northern part of the area – around Main Road and New Mill Road.
4.5 This stock is observed to have limited availability (i.e. vacancy), benefiting from on-site
landscaping / buffering and car parking at an appropriate level.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 32
Figure 9 – Existing Structures in Cray Valley Business Area (1)
Figure 10– Existing Structures in Cray Valley Business Area (2)
Figure 11 – Existing Structures in Cray Valley Business Area (3)
Figure 12 – Existing Structures in Cray Valley Business Area (4)
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 33
Strategic and Local Access and Connectivity
4.6 Connectivity to Cray Valley is relatively good, including rail links via St Mary Cray Rail station
to Bickley and Bromley South (with strategic links to London Victoria) to the west and
Swanley, Farningham, Longfield, to Rochester, Chatham and beyond to the east. Trains from
St Mary Cray to Bromley South run every twenty minutes, and trains from St Mary Cray to
Chatham run every half an hour.
4.7 Bus connectivity to the Cray Valley is illustrated within Tables 6, 7, and 8 below. Bus links are
good, linking to residential areas in Bromley, but also beyond Bromley towards Central
London.
4.8 The service provision is considered to be relatively good, although it is noted that the majority
of services are ‘local’ in the Bromley context, with most linking Orpington to wider areas
passing through the Cray Valley. Links to Bromley South and areas to the west are not as
strong.
Table 10 – Daily Buses from St Mary Cray
Route Number Towards Peak Time Frequency
51 Orpington / Woolwich Roughly between 7 and 11 minutes
477 Bluewater Shopping Centre / Orpington Roughly every 30 to 50 minutes
B14 Bexley Heath Shopping Centre / Orpington Roughly every 30 minutes
R1 Green Street Green / St Pauls Cray Roughly every 15 minutes
R2 Biggin Hill Valley 4 / Petts Wood Roughly every 30 minutes
R4 Locksbottom via Orpington / Pauls Cray Hill Roughly every 20 minutes
R6 Orpington Roughly every 30 minutes
R11 Green Street Green / Sidcup Roughly between 15 and 20 minutes
Source: Tfl, 2009
Table 11 – Night Buses from St Mary Cray
Route Number Towards Peak Time Frequency
N47 Trafalgar Square Roughly every 20 minutes
Source: Tfl, 2009
Table 12 –Daily Buses from St Pauls Cray
Route Number Towards Peak Time Frequency
B14 Bexley Heath Roughly every 30 minutes
R1 Green Street Green / Grovelands Roughly every 15 minutes
R11 Green Street Green / Sidcup Not available
Source: Tfl, 2009
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 34
4.9 Both local and strategic road connectivity to the area is good. The A224 links between the
A20 Sidcup Bypass (in the north) and the A21 Sevenoaks Road (in the south), both of which
have direct connectivity to the M25 motorway to the east. The A224 is also a feeder road for
settlements to the east and west.
Surrounding Land Uses
4.10 In its wider context this area is surrounded by residential development dating from the post-
war period, with open space / agricultural land holdings in the wider hinterland including the
Ruxley Park Golf Centre. The housing is noted to be of varied quality, similar to the Borough’s
stock profile of family housing. The offer is dominated by two-storey, medium density
developments.
4.11 There are large expanses of rural land (Green Belt) to the east, stretching to Crockenhill, and
the M25. This area is of a relatively high quality, including some smaller settlements. South of
the Cray Valley is Orpington town centre, and to the west Petts Wood. Both settlements are
of a significant size in terms of their population and in the case of Orpington, its service centre
role and function.
Quality of the Wider Environment
4.12 Given its proximity to a number of relatively large residential areas, and also in the wider
context Green Belt surroundings, the quality of the environment in which the Cray Valley is
located is reasonable although varied.
4.13 Some of the housing areas within close proximity to the main corridor of business activity in
the Cray Valley are of mixed quality. This accommodation is largely existing or past Local
Authority housing stock, with varied levels of investment due to assumed pepper-potting of
Right to Buy activity in the past. Index of Multiple Deprivation (2007) data suggests there are
relatively high levels of deprivation in this area (particularly in the environmental domain),
relative to LB Bromley as a whole.
4.14 The rural Green Belt areas to the east are observed to be of higher quality, including smaller
residential settlements of large family housing in low density settings.
4.15 Orpington town centre to the south is of mixed quality, with some historic features to the
western end, but observed decline in the core of the high street. New development and
investment is, however, taking place within the town centre including at Orpington College, a
new Village Centre at the western end of the high street, and a new Tesco superstore, also at
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 35
the western end which opened in May 2009. There is also a masterplan in place to guide
investment in the public realm within the town centre.
Planning Policy Position
4.16 The Adopted UDP includes a series of relevant allocations for the Cray Valley, including and
investment those summarised below. These all have a site specific bearing on the future
development potential within the area for office purposes.
4.17 The main stretch of Cray Avenue / Sevenoaks Way where business activity (including
traditional and non-traditional employment uses) is identified in the UDP to be a ‘Business
Area’. Under Policy EMP4 of the UDP, within Business Areas, only the following uses will be
permitted:
(i) Class B1, provided that the use does not impede effective operation of neighbouring
businesses and large new office meet the provisions of Policy EMP1;
(ii) Class B2; or
(iii) Class B8; large scale warehousing development over 1,000 square metres will be
permitted only in the St Mary Cray Business Area.
4.18 Within the Policy Justification, it is recognised that the St Mary Cray Business Area is
identified in the London Plan as an Industrial Business Park. Proposals detrimental to the
amenities of adjoining residential areas, however, by reason of noise, vibration, smell, fumes,
smoke, soot, ash, dust or grit, will be resisted in this area.
4.19 Although the Policy Justification suggests that proposals for retail uses within Business Areas
will normally be resisted, as a result of demand for business premises and the suitable supply
of land being limited, it is evident that retail warehousing activities have ‘crept’ into the Cray
Valley area, and the St Mary Cray Business Area particularly.
4.20 The Cray Valley business area is located adjacent to a Conservation Area (covering a portion
of Millbrook Road to the east). Under Policy BE11 the character or appearance of
Conservation Areas are preserved through the expectation of new development, engineering
works, alteration or extension to a building, or for change of use to:
(i) Respect or complement the layout, scale, form and materials of existing buildings and
spaces;
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 36
(ii) Respect and incorporate in the design existing landscape or other features that
contribute to the character, appearance or historic value to the area; and
(iii) Ensure that the level of activity, traffic, parking services or noise generated by the
proposal will not detract from the character or appearance of the area.
4.21 The area also falls within a designated Area of Archaeological Interest, as identified on the
UDP Proposals Map.
4.22 The Business Area is adjacent to designated Green Belt. As stated in the Adopted Local Plan
Policy G1, within the Green Belt…permission will not be given for inappropriate development
unless very special circumstances can be demonstrated that clearly outweigh harm by reason
of inappropriateness or any other harm.
4.23 Within the Green Belt, the construction of new buildings or extensions to buildings on land
falling within the Green Belt will be inappropriate, unless it is for the following purposes:
(i) agriculture and forestry (unless permitted development rights have been withdrawn);
(ii) essential facilities for outdoor sport and outdoor recreation and open air facilities and
other uses of land which preserve the openness of the Green Belt and do not conflict with
the purposes of including land in it;
(iii) limited extension, alteration or replacement of existing dwellings;
(iv) limited infilling or redevelopment in accordance with the guidance in PPG2 Annex C
within the designated major development sites at Biggin Hill Airport and Cheyne Centre,
Woodland Way, West Wickham.
4.24 The policy further states that the openness and visual amenity of the Green Belt shall not be
injured by any proposals for development within or conspicuous from the Green Belt which
might be visually detrimental by reasons of scale, siting, materials, or design.
4.25 The policy within the LB Bromley Adopted Local Plan is in line with both the London Plan and
PPG2 in stating that there is a presumption against inappropriate development within the
Green Belt unless very special circumstances can be demonstrated (PPG2, para 3.2).
4.26 The Business Area is also buffered in a number of places by designated Urban Open Space.
Within Policy G8 (Urban Open Space) it is stated that proposals for built development in areas
defined on the Proposals Map as Urban Open Space (UOS), will be permitted only under the
following circumstances:
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 37
(i) The development is related to the existing use (in this context, neither residential nor
indoor sports development will normally be regarded as being related to the existing use);
or
(ii) The development is small scale and support the outdoor recreational uses or
children’s play facilities on the site; or
(iii) Any replacement buildings do not exceed the site coverage of the existing
development on the site.
4.27 Within Urban Open Space, where built development is involved; the Council will weigh any
benefits being offered to the community, such as new recreational or employment
opportunities, against a proposed loss of open space. In all cases, the scale, siting, and size
of the proposal should not unduly impair the open nature of the site.
REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
4.28 Quantitative analysis has been carried out with regard to revealed demand for office
floorspace. Revealed demand is measured primarily by take-up activity. This looks at the rate
at which ‘completed’ property is occupied, along with the rate of occupation of available or
‘second hand’ property.
4.29 It is important to note that this analysis intrinsically reflects, and is constrained, by current
economic conditions and climate, and is therefore not fully representative of longer term
trends, requirements and opportunity. However, for the purposes of this study and the nature
of the market in this location, it is felt that this approach is sufficient to present headline levels
of revealed demand.
4.30 Given the focus of this commission on the potential for office development within the Cray
Valley the analysis of revealed market is concentrated on the office market. To focus analysis
on the Cray Valley area specifically, a ‘market area’ has been identified, through consideration
of postcode sectors covering the area, and consultation with commercial market agents. Data
has been obtained for this Cray Valley market area.
4.31 The Cray Valley market area is defined by the postcode sector BR5 3, illustrated on Figure
12.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 38
Figure 13 – Cray Valley Market Area: Geography of Definition
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 39
4.32 Table 13 illustrates the take up of B1 office floorspace within the market area since 2003. A
total of 13,730 square feet / 1,274 square metres of B1 office floorspace has been taken up
within the area this period, with a split between that in Orpington and that in St Mary Cray
albeit primarily focused in the Orpington area (i.e. at New Mill Road to the north of Cray Valley
market area).
4.33 Take up in the north of the market area totalled over 80% of total take up within the whole
market area over the period.
Table 13 – Office Take-Up in Cray Valley Market Area, 2003 - 2009
Address
Days on
market Grade
Size
SqFt
Size
SqM
62a-64a Sayes Court Rd Orpington BR5 2PQ 342 Second Hand 950 88
83 High Street St Mary Cray BR5 3NH 100 Second Hand 1,121 104
53 High Street St Mary Cray BR5 3NJ 177 Second Hand 1,092 101
13-15 High Street St Mary Cray BR5 3NL 227 Second Hand 355 33
Kingfisher Hse New Mill Road Orpington BR5 3QG 1024 Second Hand 2,409 224
Kingfisher Hse New Mill Road Orpington BR5 3QG 400 Second Hand 680 63
Osprey Hse New Mill Road Orpington BR5 3QJ 133 Second Hand 5,850 543
1 Lagoon Road Orpington BR5 3QX Not known Second Hand 1,273 118
Source: EGi, April 2009
4.34 All of the take-up within the market area over the period was of second hand premises. Where
data is available, it is clear that office floorspace was marketed for significant periods of time
before being taken up. In the case of the 224 square metres taken up at Kingfisher House this
was marketed for over two and a half years before being let.
4.35 The majority of floorspace taken up was within premises sized below 185 square metres,
including six of the eight transactions recorded. There was no take up of office premises sized
above 1,850 square metres over the period, although this may have been constrained by the
property on offer within the area.
Table 14 – Take-Up by Unit Size
Size Band (Square Metres) Count Average Annual Take Up
<185 6 51
185-465 1 68
465-1850 1 116
>1850 0 0
Source: EGi, April 2009, manipulated by GVA Grimley, April 2009
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 40
4.36 The average rent achieved (based on asking rent data) in office market transactions within the
market area in the eight transactions recorded since 2003 was £168 per square metre
compared to an average of between £86 and £215 per square metre across LB Bromley as
whole as quoted in the Economic Development and Employment Land Study (with the range
reflecting the low and high rental levels quoted).
4.37 There is very little correlation noted between the size of premises and rental levels asked for
office premises within the market area, suggesting a significant variance in the quality of stock
within Cray Valley.
Table 15 – Rents Quoted
Address Grade Size SqM
Asking Rent (£ per
Sq M)
62a-64a Sayes Court Road BR5 2PQ Second Hand 88 Not known
83 High Street BR5 3NH Second Hand 104 139.24
53 High Street BR5 3NJ Second Hand 101 142.93
13-15 High Street BR5 3NL Second Hand 33 363.86
Kingfisher House New Mill Road BR5 3QG Second Hand 224 160.81
Kingfisher House New Mill Road BR5 3QG Second Hand 63 138.52
Osprey House New Mill Road BR5 3QJ Second Hand 543 Not Known
1 Lagoon Road BR5 3QX Second Hand 118 61.73
Source: EGi, April 2009
4.38 Table 16 illustrates the current availability of office floorspace within the market area (at the
time of writing). There is a total of 98 square metres of office floorspace known to be vacant
and marketed at the time of writing, albeit a floorspace is not known for availability at Cray
Avenue. The 98 square metres is concentrated within two premises in Orpington. All of the
available floorspace has been marketed since November 2008.
Table 16 – Current Availability of Office Floorspace
Address
Date First
Marketed
Asking Rent
(£)
Average size
(sq Ft)
Average size
(sqM)
Cray Avenue, Orpington, BR5 3QF 07/11/2008 162 - 323 Not available Not available
TMS House, Cray Avenue, Orpington, BR5 3QB 20/11/2008 Not available 300 27.9
Unit 8, Metro Centre, Metro, Orpington, BR5 2BE 01/11/2008 136 756 70.2
Total 1056 98.1
Source: EGi, April 2009
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 41
COMMERCIAL MARKET OBSERVATIONS
4.39 Consultation has been undertaken with local commercial market agents, developers, and
business stakeholders to establish qualitative perceptions of the commercial (office) market
potential within the Cray Valley area specifically. The consultation has focused on:
The qualitative nature of the commercial market in each of the identified market areas;
Recent development activity including occupation rates, rents achieved, etc;
Potential occupiers based on recent and perceived market trends (including small
business occupiers);
Enquiry levels across a range of business sizes;
Property requirements (including size, building layout / relationship with the wider
environment, etc., car parking, infrastructure including broadband, etc.) of potential
occupiers including consideration of larger and smaller business investment
opportunities; and
Perceived market capacity in the short, medium and long term.
4.40 It is important to note that the commercial market is currently experiencing an extended slow
down in transactional activity across all sectors. The office market has been particularly badly
affected. This is particularly pertinent when considering the need to bring forward new
premises for office activity whilst vacancy exists in the market including in Central London,
Canary Wharf, and other locations closer to Cray Valley or of similar profile including across
Kent and the wider South East, driving rental values down.
4.41 As a result the general tone of observations from agents and developers is relatively negative,
certainly compared to what it might have been two-years ago. This is an important phasing
consideration across all of the three areas considered within this study, with opportunity for
office development likely to be stronger in the medium to long term (i.e. in the next 10 to 20
years).
4.42 Given that an office market needs to be ‘created’ to some degree within the Cray Valley it is
likely some catalytic investment will be required to drive commercial interest and assist in
creating a viable development environment. Examples of similar developments that have
taken place, delivering a ‘step change’ in market appeal of employment areas include the
Kings Norton Business Centre in South Birmingham (site benefited from Simplified Planning
Zone status), and Milton Park in Oxfordshire, amongst others.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 42
4.43 The need for interventions in the future will need to be closely related to the eventual schemes
however typically these tend to include infrastructure or public realm provision upgrades or
enhancements, public sector contribution to elements of the development costs, assistance
with land assembly and the potential to act as an anchor tenant within the area to provide a
‘guaranteed’ early income stream. Essentially catalysts should seek to reduce the risks and
increase certainty associated with speculative development to encourage developer interest in
the Cray Valley. Occupier activity and interest will be driven by the quality of the premises an
offer supported by an appropriate investment environment (physical environment, access and
public transport, amenity provision, access to labour force etc).
4.44 In this context the Council should be seeking developments of a medium density (i.e. with plot
ratios of around 0.65 to 1 and employment density for office use of around 18 to 22 square
metres per employee at most) to ensure that sufficient quantum of development takes place
but not at a density or scale that impacts upon the out-of-centre nature of the area.
4.45 The agents all stressed again the difficulty in making a reliable assessment of office potential
in Cray Valley at present due to the recession and the fact that the commercial property
transactional market is so inactive, with few recent deals. Where developments are coming
forward, a greater degree of certainty is sought, with design and build and owner-occupier
schemes more prevalent than speculative. This is noted to be a phenomenon applicable to all
locations, not just LB Bromley.
4.46 Agents and developers alike noted that Cray Valley has traditionally been recognised as an
industrial, storage and distribution area, with a recent growth in prominence of retail
warehouses. It was agreed that it is not an aesthetically attractive location for office occupiers
and it might prove difficult to change the warehouse image of the area into a recognised office
location. The successful transformation of Cray Valley as a whole should therefore be a long
term objective.
4.47 This process of transformation would involve comprehensive change supported in policy, to
move perception away from its current industrial and retail focus towards a business/office
corridor. Realistically this is likely to be achieved incrementally over the long term, with an
initial focus most appropriately to be placed on promoting and intensifying business and office
uses to the north in order to create a ‘market appeal’ and awareness by creating a critical
mass and scale of offer.
4.48 There are a number of examples where business areas or estates with similar characteristics
to Cray Valley have successfully ‘re-invented’ their offer and/or perception to diversify their
offer to support the changing business dynamics of the wider economy. These include large
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 43
estates such as Slough Trading Estate, Winnersh Triangle (Reading), Milton Park (Abingdon)
which have all significantly shifted their offer from industrial/warehouse to more office-based
activities. More pertinent to the Cray Valley are two business areas close to Birmingham:
4.49 The Cranmore Business Park is a 16ha business area located to the south-east of
Birmingham in Shirley and benefits from similar access to major town/city centres (Solihull
and Birmingham) and transport infrastructure (M42) as Cray Valley. The site was originally an
industrial location but is gradually increasing the mix of uses to include significant high quality
office provision. In diverse ownership this has been undertaken in a piecemeal fashion, with
plots being transformed one at a time, a key catalyst for change has also been the
development of a high quality conference facility (Cranmore Park). Allied to the physical
changes a concerted re-branding exercise has been undertaken to establish the area in the
consciousness of the business community and encourage office developers/occupiers.
Cranmore now accommodates 43,000sqm of office space in 9ha of land alongside 25,000sqm
of industrial/warehouse space in 7ha.
4.50 The Kings Norton Business Centre (located 5miles south of Birmingham) was originally home
to the Kings Norton Metalworks and was acquired by SEGRO in 1931, it is now a 22ha
business area accommodating 86 companies in 75,000sqm of space across a range of uses.
Like Cranmore Kings Norton has been brought forward in stages, however in this case the
local authority (Birmingham City Council) have assisted the redevelopment through a
proactive planning policy stance. The Kings Norton Business Centre is a designated
Simplified Planning Zone for office, R&D, industrial and warehouse uses which increases
planning certainty, reduces developers costs and creates a positive environment for
improving/developing Kings Norton’s offer further.
4.51 Both Cranmore and Kings Norton support the recommended approach for the Cray Valley
insofar as they concentrated on delivering change on an incremental basis but had over-
arching branding and planning policy to establish the areas as sites came forward –
encouraging both occupier and developer confidence.
4.52 With an established ‘brand’ (in market perception terms) at Crayfields it is possible to build on
this perception and grow the offer of the Cray Valley from this foundation, reinforcing the core
offer and drawing more peripheral sites as they come forward for redevelopment. This is less
likely to threaten the successful retail elements yet maintain, protect and enhance the
‘traditional’ employment role of Cray Valley.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 44
4.53 No ‘golden number’ has been noted by agents relating to the quantum of development that
should be sought to create critical mass in this location. Indeed, views on the appropriate
scale of development required to achieve changes in perception differed between agents
when questioned on this matter specifically. At one extreme an agent felt the only option may
be to remove all existing uses and effectively start with a ‘blank sheet’, however they
questioned the relevance and desirability of this given the strength of the retail offer to the
south of Cray Valley.
4.54 The more moderate view was that a relatively modest scheme could have the required affect
provided it was appropriately located to reinforce the positive market perception of the
Crayfields Business Park to the north of Cray Valley. The development of courtyard style
offices was felt appropriate by one agent, although others felt any development should reflect
the current mix of office and light industrial which already exists at Crayfields.
4.55 The key message from agents was that efforts should be focussed in one area (the north
around Crayfields) to maximise impact and capitalise on the existing strengths of Cray Valley.
Future development aspirations should seek to maximise the potential of the sites identified
as having office potential in the medium term in terms of the scale of output but also quality of
output (see figure 13 and accompanying text). Developments should seek to deliver quality
‘out of centre’ style office developments in these sites. Plot ratios of circa 0.65 to 1, and
employment densities of a maximum of 18 to 20 square metres per employee for office and
small business development should be sought in this context.
4.56 Once the perception of Cray Valley as an office location has been created to the north it is
then possible that market forces will begin to bring forward further sites along the corridor.
This can be facilitated through the planning process to ensure appropriate planning
frameworks are in place to influence and encourage development and guide future
applications and protect sites to this end in the interim. It may also be possible to use other
direct public sector interventions to assist in creating a viable proposition as market
recognition increases including for example land assembly.
4.57 The traffic on Sevenoaks Way was also noted through consultation to be a significant
constraint, caused by a combination of the bus lanes, the success of the retail warehouses
(i.e. literally road and access point capacity), and the fact that Sevenoaks Way is a major
route to Bromley from the M25. The traffic was felt to discourage potential office tenants. In
addition, whilst the train service from St Mary Cray to London Victoria is a positive driver,
vandalism at the station was another source of discouragement.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 45
4.58 There was however agreement that more immediate potential exists in locations nearer to
junctions onto the A20 which would not require the same image change/incremental
approach. Such a location for development would avoid the traffic and image issues around
Sevenoaks Way to the south and also provide good access to the M25, attracting regional
and national occupiers, and possibly small occupiers such as sales companies requiring good
road links.
4.59 One of the developers consulted suggested that the size of offices could range from small,
medium to large, providing for the small sales agent and the national company headquarters.
It was recognised however that many small to medium businesses do not require such road
links and would prefer to travel to a town centre location, with the associated amenities, rather
than an out-of-town office park location.
4.60 A commonly cited example of what might be successful was the Crossways Business Park,
near Dartford. This is a large, mixed use business park (office and industrial) on the M25,
covering approximately 128 hectares (315 acres). It provides a range of office sizes but
notably accommodating large regional and national businesses.
4.61 Agents did however point out the risk that regional and national occupiers would have to be
enticed from other locations closer to the M25, and that they might prefer the likes of
Crossways Business Park which is more established occupier location. The developer
Capital Enterprise Centres commented that rather than trying to compete with other out-of-
town business parks for major occupiers, there is the potential (at locations near to the A20) to
cater for small start up businesses, with offices and workshops, providing a different offer in
this context.
4.62 This view reinforces one of the central themes from wider consultation undertaken as part of
this study and also a core message from the wider Economic and Employment Land Study
which recognised the importance of small and start up enterprises within the Bromley
business base. The Employment Land Study recommendations included identification of the
need to introduce small business space into the Borough’s property market, covering general
business and industrial space as well as the potential for ‘hybrid’ units.
4.63 To a degree the development of small business focussed space will create its own demand as
it draws entrepreneurs from ‘informal’ business premises (such as those currently operating
from at home) who have not previously sought business premises. Often these entrepreneurs
are attracted by more favourable and flexible lease terms than mainstream market premises,
the ability to benefit from other services such as reception facilities, meeting rooms, and the
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 46
opportunity to present a more ‘professional’ appearance for their business. When required /
on an ‘as-required’ basis.
RECOMMENDATIONS
4.64 Whilst the Cray Valley is recognised to be an existing (and allocated) Business Area market
analysis site observations suggest its ‘core’ employment function has been eroded
incrementally over time. There are a number of examples along the linear employment
corridor where retail and retail warehousing development has taken place at the cost of
traditional employment activities. In the majority of cases these developments are noted to
have seen good take-up, and appear to be relatively active.
4.65 The result of this trend has been the emergence of an area lacking in definition and identity as
an employment location (using a ‘traditional’ definition of employment) – making it a difficult
office or industrial market prospect. This is particularly relevant when considering the
opportunity (and need) identified within the Employment Land and Economic Development
Study to establish an office market of significance in the area, with current activity and market
presence or indeed recognition fairly limited. This is certainly true of the lack of concentration
of ‘traditional’ employment activity around the Cray Avenue / railway line crossroads which
has seen the majority of retail warehouse development in the area in recent years.
4.66 The analysis of revealed demand for offices within the market area is reflective of the stock
profile in the area. Past development of offices has been limited to a small cluster at New Mill
Road (Crayfields Business Park), to the north of the Cray Valley, and High Street to the south
of the railway line. All transactions within these areas have been for second hand premises
with no new office development coming to the market in recent years. It is noted that
Crayfields Business Park is of a relatively high standard in this context, developed within the
last ten years with relatively good levels of activity observed. Rental levels have been
relatively strong within transactions in the area, in the upper range of those achieved on
average across the Borough.
4.67 The identified key constraints or ‘blockages’ to the current office market potential of the area
include:
The appearance and associated perceptions of the ‘core’ area of the Cray Valley,
traditionally an industrial, storage and distribution area, with the recent growth of retail
warehousing presence. The area suffers from a weak employment identity (with its
profile now more strongly aligned with retail activity in the area), with a number of
stakeholders and agents suggesting that it would be difficult to ‘re-brand’ the area as an
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 47
office location as a result. This would still be true in stronger market / economic
conditions. In this instance, the potential to ‘re-brand’ relates to market recognition and
marketing collateral, rather than specific public realm or landscaping investment. The key
point is, that in its current context, it is difficult for the market to view the Cray Valley as an
office location on the basis of its appearance, predominant uses, quality and nature of
premises, and transactions taking place.
Congestion and the visual and pedestrian environment impact associated primarily with
traffic along Cray Avenue / Sevenoaks Way are all noted to the extent where they may
discourage potential office tenants. A number of stakeholders and agents consulted
noted specifically an issue with the bus corridor along the road, including its operational
time with general observations noting that it is not required throughout the day, and its
impact on the uses along the road, detracting from the quality of the environment along
the business corridor. LB Bromley Council appreciate the importance of achieving
improvements to congestion and are working with TfL to restrict bus lane operating times
to peak travel hours. Issues such as this are important business retention considerations
which should be considered and mitigated where possible by the Council and other
partners to ensure re-investment by businesses in the future.
The quality of the built environment around the ‘core’ of the Cray Valley employment area
is a potential constraint to promoting an office market in the area. For example, the
maintenance of the train station as a key strategic link has been cited as an issue within
the consultation undertaken.
The lack of quality office market stock in the market area is a key ‘blockage’ to developing
and promoting the Cray Valley as a realistic office market prospect.
4.68 However, despite these identified constraints there is a recognised potential for office market
development in the wider Cray Valley, noted specifically in commercial market consultations
and site visits undertaken. It is felt that any such offer would have to be located in close
proximity to strategic road links (including the A20 and M25 specifically) whilst still benefiting
from the rail link to London (amongst other destinations). Proximity to the M25 gives this area
distinction over other business areas within the Borough, supporting an associated
commercial market opportunity. Future development should also be prioritised in locations
that are seen to have a positive relationship with the aspiration to change perceptions of the
corridor (e.g. on key sites / sites with prominent road frontages)
4.69 It is also important that any such offer which comes forwards in the area in the future must be
branded as an office / business park in its own right, giving it coherence and market presence
and opportunity to influence market perceptions of the wider Cray Valley area. As a longer
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 48
term strategy it is recognised that such an approach could contribute to the ‘re-branding’ (i.e.
change in market perceptions) of the Cray Valley Avenue corridor in general.
4.70 The study into the Cray Valley has included the identification of a number of sites including
those that are key sites on the basis of their prominence / potential to promote the ‘re-brand’
of the business area, sites that are suggested to be tested for potential allocation within the
LDF for B1(a, b) uses, and sites that show potential for intensification (including the promotion
of B1 (a, b) uses over time). These sites are illustrated on Figure 13. If these sites fail to come
forwards for employment use (primarily office employment) the long term sustainability of the
Cray Valley employment (NB: assuming an aspiration for the corridor to be predominantly
traditional employment) corridor is questionable.
4.71 On the basis of consultation and research undertaken as part of this study, it is concluded that
without prominent office development taking place in this area the long term sustainability of
this corridor for ‘traditional’ employment purposes will be compromised.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 50
4.72 Table 13 illustrates the developable area at various identified sites within Cray Valley
including gateway sites, potential allocation sites, and an intensification site, including
potential floorspace and job creation outputs.
4.73 The table applies a plot ratio of 0.65 (assuming that for every 1 hectare of land, 65% will be
developed as employment floorspace). This plot ratio makes allowance for this site being an
out-of-centre site, but also reflects existing plot ratios in the office development to the north of
the Cray Valley which is recognised to not be of particularly high density (compared to, for
example, urban centre developments).
4.74 Emerging research to be published by Roger Tym & Partners3 suggests employment densities
within London suburbs for office development standing at circa 21 square metres per worker.
For consistency with the Economic Development and Employment Land Study (which applied
an employment density of 18 square metres per office worker) two models have been run to
calculate potential employment output from these identified sites reflecting the two
employment densities. The conclusions drawn regarding potential employment creation in
these sites are therefore caveated with these assumptions.
4.75 A further caveat to this analysis relates to the market reality of these calculations. Whilst the
analysis suggests in the region of 7,590 to 8,850 job creation potential on the sites identified it
is unlikely the market would support such levels of employment. This is particularly pertinent
when factoring in e.g. access / road capacity constraints etc. As a result these figures should
be treated as absolute maximums.
3 Consultation Workshop material for Planning for Employment Land Study on behalf of Yorkshire Forward (June 2009)
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 51
Table 17 – Site Areas (lower density office employment)
Site Description
Total Area
(ha)
Net
Developable
Area (ha)
Floorspace1
(sqm) Job Creation2
Northern Gateway Site 1.26 0.82 8,199 390
Central Gateway Site 2.94 1.91 19,110 910
Southern Gateway Site 9.47 6.15 61,528 2,930
Eastern Potential Allocation Site 5.06 3.29 32,863 1,565
Western Potential Allocation Site 2.27 1.47 14,757 702
Intensification Site 3.54 2.3 23,009 1,096
TOTAL 24.54 159,448 8,858
Note 1: To calculate Floorspace a plot ratio of 0.65 has been employed
Note 2: To calculate Job Creation a standard employment density of 21sqm per employee has been used in
line with the Roger Tym & Partners Study (June 2009)
Source: GVA Grimley, 2009
Table 18 - Site Areas (higher density office employment)
Site Description
Total Area
(ha)
Net
Developable
Area (ha)
Floorspace1
(sqm) Job Creation2
Northern Gateway Site 1.26 0.82 8,199 456
Central Gateway Site 2.94 1.91 19,110 1,062
Southern Gateway Site 9.47 6.15 61,528 3,418
Eastern Potential Allocation Site 5.06 3.29 32,863 1,826
Western Potential Allocation Site 2.27 1.47 14,737 819
Intensification Site 3.54 2.3 23,009 1,278
TOTAL 24.54 159,448 7,593
Note 1: To calculate Floorspace a plot ratio of 0.65 has been employed
Note 2: To calculate Job Creation a standard employment density of 18sqm per employee has been used in
line with the Economic Development and Employment Study
Source: GVA Grimley, 2009
4.76 The key / gateway sites are identified on the basis of their prominence and the perception of
their current use (including the extent to which current employment activity is considered to be
appropriate in terms of intensity and nature of use), and also their potential to influence the
future direction of development activity (and employment) within the Cray Valley. Combined,
these sites have a total land area of 8.88 hectares, with the potential to accommodate 88,838
square metres of office floorspace (assuming a high plot ratio of 1) and between 4,230 and
4,935 jobs. It is noted that this is an aspiration that would include complete redevelopment of
the sites rather than infill development. It is further noted that part of the Central Gateway site
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 52
is undevelopable (railway embankment) with the figure of circa 2,900 and 3,400 jobs potential
at this site relating to the whole site area.
4.77 The identified gateway sites include a site to the north, currently accommodating Homebase
and associated car parking / services, which although not an allocated employment site,
occupies a key location relative to the Crayfields Business Park and acts as a gateway to the
wider employment corridor from the A20. Long term aspirations should include for
employment uses on this site focusing on B1 (a, b) activities should be promoted in these key
opportunity sites in the future in preference to general B1 (c) or B2 employment or retail
warehousing. It is recognised that this is currently a retail site, however, the opportunity to
cluster B1 (a) office use to the northern end of the corridor should be sought, with this site
recognised to be a key gateway. It is suggested that this aspiration should be promoted if the
site becomes available in the future.
Figure 15 – Gateway Site on Cray Avenue
4.78 Given the activity noted at the current time (with all of the identified key sites in use, albeit not
intensively in most cases) the development of these sites should be considered a long term
objective. The approach should be to ensure appropriate planning policy and aspirations are
in place relating to each and the corridor in general to protect this position in the medium to
long term.
4.79 Two sites have been identified as potential sites for allocation, both adjacent to the existing
Crayfields Business Park. Both of the sites are designated Green Belt, with the site to the
west a former factory sports ground. In delivery terms the public space is considered to be a
medium to long term opportunity whilst the site to the east has shorter term potential. The site
to the east has an area of 5.06 hectares, with the potential to accommodate 32,863 square
metres of B1 (a, b) floorspace and between 1,565 and 1,826 jobs.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 53
Figure 16 – Crayfields Business Park (1)
Figure 17 – Crayfields Business Park (2)
Figure 18 – Land Adjacent to Crayfields Business Park
4.80 Policy guidance relating to Green Belt sites states that development will not be permitted
unless ‘special circumstances’ can be provided to justify development taking place. If the
opportunity sites are to be taken forward within the LDF and suggested for allocation for
employment purposes the ‘special circumstances’ argument should focus on the regeneration
need identified within the Cray Valley including that relating to employment and income levels,
the absence of sites available for B1 (a, b) office development across the Borough (especially
sites suitable for out-of-centre development), and the important opportunity to ensure the long
term sustainability of this employment corridor through appropriate development clustering
around a recognised office location (Crayfields Business Park). Take-up of employment land
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 54
should be monitored and where possible used to evidence special circumstance (need) for
this land for employment purposes4.
4.81 It is further noted that these sites lie within the ‘functional floodplain’ of the River Cray. Whilst
this does not preclude office development on the site it does add a further constraint (cost) to
development in this context.
4.82 Finally, one site has been identified within the study to have specific potential for
intensification in the future on the basis of long term management of decline on the site. This
site is located in proximity to the existing Crayfields Business Park, and adjacent to the
potential allocation sites identified and highlighted above.
4.83 The development potential of the intensification site is directly related to the potential
allocation sites to the east and west being brought forward for employment development and
subsequent uplift in demand or capacity requirements as a result. It is therefore likely to be a
long term (potentially beyond the emerging LDF plan period) opportunity. However, consistent
with emerging advice in PPS4 the site should be protected in policy during this plan period for
employment uses to ensure this opportunity is retained for the future and a good supply of
sites is maintained over all time periods.
4.84 Should Green Belt release not be permitted it may be that site intensification can be
undertaken without the other sites coming forward, although this may require greater levels of
intervention to achieve in isolation to make investment viable.
Figure 19 – Business Activity Nearby Crayfields Business Park (1)
Figure 20 – Business Activity Nearby Crayfields Business Park (2)
4 NB: It is recognised that the take-up rates outlined within this Feasibility Study do not represent sufficient evidence to justify
these special circumstances in this (take-up) context.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 55
4.85 On a similar basis to the consideration of the other identified sites, the intensification site has
an area of 3.54 hectares, with the potential to deliver 23,009 square metres of office
floorspace and between 1,096 and1,278 jobs.
4.86 A number of key recommendations are drawn from this for the Council to consider the future
relating specifically to developing an office market product and proposition for the Cray Valley
area. These have been developed on the basis of our analysis, and community and key
business stakeholder consultation undertaken, and are summarised below:
Office occupier opportunity within the Cray Valley is identified, assuming the right product
can be brought forwards, likely to centre around local and regional scale businesses
looking for a ‘traditional’ out-of-office business park along the M25. Key sectors are likely
to mirror those identified in the Economic Development and Employment Study for the
wider LB Bromley economy including financial and professional business sectors,
including insurance. It is important that the quality of offer coming forward within the Cray
Valley is maximised but rents are competitive (given the distance of the area from the
M25 specifically) as an attractor to the site giving it distinction compared to other
business parks in the M25 corridor.
Demand for smaller businesses has also been noted within the wider Cray Valley and
Orpington area with a potential to bring forwards a mixture of larger and smaller office
provision (with the former focused within Grade A flexible floorplates) and workshop
provision. Given the setting of the Cray Valley as an out-of-town location it will be distinct
from the offer within both Bromley and Orpington town centres respectively which in turn
have distinct market appeal. Whilst such a product will, to an extent, be a competitive
pressure on both town centres it is recognised that there are distinctions within occupiers
who would have a preference for either as in-town or out-of-town location. Indeed, a
successful office market will include an urban centre and out-of-centre offer as a
complementary product reflecting this trend. Developments should be sought that are of a
medium density (e.g. plot ratios of circa 0.65 to 1 as applied within this analysis),
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 56
ensuring employment output potential is maximised but also maintaining the out-of-centre
distinctiveness of this location compared to others within the Borough.
The Council should prepare a Development Brief including viability (financial feasibility) of
the cluster of opportunity sites to the north of Cray Valley as identified as part of this
study (with consideration of phasing of the intensification and Green Belt potential
allocation sites) to test in more detail the quantums and potential building locations /
layout of a business park (including primarily B1 uses but also potential supporting
amenity development including convenience retailing, and crèche facilities for example).
The Development Brief should focus on the identification of: quantums of B1 floorspace /
capacity for B1 floorspace taking into account building sizes and layouts, building heights,
access and movement, landscaping and car parking, and viability. Engagement should
be sought with landowners as part of this process, at the earliest stage possible.
In undertaking the Development Brief due diligence including that listed below should be
taken into account:
- Ecology / arboriculture / flora and fauna issues;
- Highways – access and traffic impact of potential scale of development;
- Measured site surveys including site boundary and grid levels;
- Limited geotechnical investigations (including circa 2 to 4 pits);
- Archaeological report (desk top); and
- Legals (titles issues that there may be).
Despite reasonable public transport access via bus services and train services from St
Mary Cray the key driver for potential occupiers within Cray Valley will be the strategic
road access facilitated by the A20. As such any new development will need to cater
appropriately for a large degree of car based commuting to work. This is a similar
situation to that found at Crossways and Kings Hill Business Parks and the existing
Crayfield Business Park, with each providing parking to a ratio of 1 space per 19-23sqm –
a level which is likely to be required by occupiers at any new development.
Given the challenges faced in repositioning Cray Valley as an office location it is unlikely
that any ‘quick wins’ could be achieved and a longer term commitment and strategy is
required. The need to reallocate sites within planning policy, or failing that undertake
intensification through demolition and redevelopment, coupled with impacts of the current
recession make it difficult to foresee significant changes being achieved in the short term
(i.e. the next 5-7 years). Indeed as outlined above it is realistic to expect the Potential
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 57
Allocation sites to be delivered in the medium to long term (possibly 10-15 years) with the
Intensification Site following this (15 + years – potentially beyond this plan period).
In this context the Development Brief and viability assessment should be undertaken in
the immediate term (i.e. next 12 months) to fully understand the market potential of the
site and appropriate nature/scale of any future development. This will enable a fully
evidence-based policy position to ensure appropriate protection and promotion is given to
the cluster of sites to the north of Cray Valley and ensure the case can be made regarding
Green Belt release at the earliest opportunity.
Monitoring of the Cray Valley market area including employment levels, floorspace
occupied, business types (by sector) should be undertaken annually. The impact of future
development can be measured in this way, including the extent to which development is
resulting in an increase in quality of employment within the corridor (including density of
development and business activity).
Summary of Actions
4.87 The key actions for Cray Valley emerging from this study are summarised below.
Table 19 – Cray Valley – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
The Council should prepare a Development Brief including financial feasibility of the identified
cluster of opportunity sites to the north of the Cray Valley. The Brief should consider, amongst
other things, phasing, potential release of the Green Belt, scale, massing and potential layouts
(including access and movement, landscaping and car parking), and the need and most
appropriate location of amenity provision to support future business investment in the area.
Engagement with landowners should be sought as part of the Brief.
Immediate
The Council should monitor the take-up of land and premises within the Cray Valley including
employment levels, floorspace occupied, and business types by sector. Ongoing
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5. ORPINGTON TOWN CENTRE
5.1 This section considers the current nature of activity within Orpington Town Centre (‘the town
centre’), including the area characteristics, specific commercial market (office) potential
identified within the area, business and occupier potential for future investment, and
recommendations to promote delivery of future investment within the town centre focusing on
commercial (office) employment uses.
SITE ASSESSMENT
Current On-Site Uses / Structures
5.2 Orpington Town Centre is a designated Major Town Centre in the London Plan and is the
second largest town centre within the LB Bromley. The town centre is focused on the High
Street which extends approximately 900 metres and provides a range of retail and service
uses. There are a variety of uses in the town centre vicinity, including residential, office, retail,
food and drink and community uses.
5.3 The properties in the High Street and dwellings in surrounding streets are predominantly from
the early 20th Century, but the properties on the northern end of the High Street are more
historic. The High Street parade is generally three storeys in height, it has a tired appearance
and the upper floors look to be largely vacant. Accessible on the eastern side of the High
Street is the large Walnuts Shopping Centre and multi storey car park, beyond which are
Orpington College buildings and leisure centre, including a tower block. These buildings are
of post war construction and are generally viewed to be run down and dated.
5.4 To the west of the High Street, to its southern end, is a recently opened Tesco superstore with
residential units. This, along with improvements being made to Orpington College and a new
Village Centre represent investment in the building stock of the town centre.
5.5 On Knoll Rise, just off the High Street on its western side, towards the train station, are 4 and
5 storey office buildings from the 1970’s and 1980’s which appear dated but of relatively good
condition (albeit detailed surveys of condition have not been undertaken as part of the study).
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 59
Figure 21 – Knoll Rise (1)
Figure 22 – Knoll Rise (2)
5.6 On the basis of site visits and consultation undertaken there is an identified concern that
without further, sustained investment Oprington will continue to decline. There is a clear need
for a targeted approach to reverse this trend within an important town centre both in terms of
regeneration (including local employment and service provision) and the character of the
Borough.
Figure 23 – Orpington High Street (1)
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2009 60
Figure 24 – Orpington High Street (2)
Figure 25 – Orpington High Street (3)
Figure 26 – Orpington High Street (4)
Strategic and Local Access and Connectivity
5.7 Local connectivity to Orpington is relatively good, including rail links via Orpington station
approximately 600m to the west of the High Street. The station is on the central London to
south east coast line and is operated by South Eastern trains. There is regular and direct
access to stations in central London, including Cannon Street, Victoria, Charing Cross,
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 61
Waterloo and London Bridge. Much of the South East London area is also served, as are
stations in Kent, including Sevenoaks, Tonbridge, Dover and Ashford International.
5.8 Bus connectivity is considered to be good, with services linking the town centre to much of
Orpington and the surrounding area, including Farnborough, Goddington, Derry Downs and St
Mary Cray. The main bus routes serving the town centre are Nos 51, 61, 208, 353, 358, B14,
R2 and R9.
Table 13 – Daily Buses from Orpington
Route Number Towards Peak Time Frequency
51 Orpington / Beresford Street Roughly between 7 and 10 minutes
61 Orpington / Towards Bromley North Station Roughly between 15 and 20 minutes
208 Orpington / Perry Hall Road Roughly between 10 and 14 minutes
353 Orpington / Addlington Village Interchange Roughly every 15 minutes
358 Orpington / Towards Crystal Palace Parade Roughly between 10 and 14 minutes
B14 Orpington / To Bexleyheath Clock Tower Roughly every 30 minutes
R2 Orpington / To Station square / Petts Wood Roughly every 30 minutes
R9 Orpington Station Roughly every 12 minutes
Source: Tfl, 2009
Table 14 – Night Buses from Orpington
Route Number Towards Peak Time Frequency
N47 Trafalgar Square Roughly every 20 minutes
Source: Tfl, 2009
5.9 Road connectivity to the area is good, both locally and strategically. The A224 links between
the A20 Sidcup Bypass (in the north) and the A21 Sevenoaks Road (in the south), both of
which have direct connectivity to the M25 motorway to the east. The A224 is also a feeder
road for settlements to the east and west.
Surrounding Land Uses
5.10 The town centre area is urban in character but with visible public areas. There are a variety of
uses evidenced, including residential, office, retail, food and drink and community uses.
Beyond the High Street is predominately suburban, medium density, two storey housing.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
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Quality of the Wider Environment
5.11 The town centre is of mixed quality, with some historic features to the northern and western
ends, but with observed decline on the High Street. New development and investment is,
however, taking place within the town centre including at Orpington College, a new Village
Centre at the western end of the high street, and a new Tesco superstore, also at the western
end which has recently opened. There is also an Orpington Town Centre Masterplan in place
to guide investment in the public realm throughout the area.
5.12 Given its proximity to a number of relatively large residential areas, and also in the wider
context Green Belt surroundings, the quality of the environment in which the town centre is
located is mixed.
5.13 Specifically, some of the housing areas within close proximity are of varied quality. This
accommodation is largely existing or past Local Authority housing, with varied levels of
investment due to assumed pepper-potting of Right-to-Buy activity in the past. Index of
Multiple Deprivation (2007) data suggests relatively high levels of deprivation in this area,
relative to the Borough, including that within the living environment domain.
5.14 The rural Green Belt areas to the east are observed to be of higher quality, including smaller
residential settlements of large family housing in low density settings.
5.15 Orpington Town Centre is identified within the UDP as a ‘Major Town Centre’, within which
Primary and Secondary frontage distinctions apply as designated on the Proposals Map.
Orpington is noted to be predominantly a convenience centre serving the local community,
including a leisure economy.
5.16 In Primary Retail Frontages (the central core of High Street within Orpington), as defined on
the Proposals Map, the Council will only permit changes of use from retail (Class A1) to other
uses where the proposal would:
(i) Not harm the retail character of the shopping frontage;
(ii) Generate significant pedestrian visits during shopping hours;
(iii) Complement the shopping function of the Town Centre;
(iv) Not create a concentration of similar uses; and
(v) Have no adverse impact on residential amenity.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 63
5.17 In Secondary Retail Frontages (applies to the periphery of High Street in Orpington at the
northern and southern ends of the Primary Retail Frontages), as defined on the Proposals
Map, the Council will permit changes of use from retail (A1) to other uses provided that:
(i) the use provides a service that complements the shopping function of the town centre;
and
(ii) there is no adverse impact on the residential amenity.
5.18 Proposals for workshop or office use, on the edge of town centres will also have to comply
with Policy S10 (non-retail use).
5.19 Policy S10 Non Retail Uses in Shopping Areas states that in retail frontages the Council will
not normally permit uses that do not offer a service to visitors unless:
(i) there has been a long term vacancy and a lack of demand for a retail or service use
that can be proven; and
(ii) the proposed use is in premises where it would not undermine the retail viability of the
centre.
5.20 Areas of Orpington Town Centre are also designated as a Conservation Area. Under Policy
BE11 the character or appearance of Conservation Areas are preserved through the
expectation of new development, engineering works, alteration or extension to a building, or
for change of use to:
(i) Respect or complement the layout, scale, form and materials of existing buildings and
spaces;
(ii) Respect and incorporate in the design existing landscape or other features that
contribute to the character, appearance or historic value to the area; and
(iii) Ensure that the level of activity, traffic, parking services or noise generated by the
proposal will not detract from the character or appearance of the area.
5.21 The area also falls within a designated Area of Archaeological Interest, as identified on the
UDP Proposals Map.
5.22 It is noted that there are plans for / ongoing public sector-led investment within Orpington,
including within the central town square. This includes the re-use / redevelopment of the
Police Station to include retail provision but importantly improving frontage onto the square,
and the introduction of Orpington Library to occupy the Council Office space including an
active frontage onto the area. Aspirations also include the redevelopment of the Job Centre
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2009 64
building including a mix of uses. This area will see public sector investment but also remains a
significant opportunity for private sector activity in the future.
REVEALED MARKET DEMAND
5.23 Quantitative analysis has been carried out with regard to revealed demand for office
floorspace. Revealed demand is measured primarily by take-up activity. This looks at the rate
at which ‘completed’ property is occupied, along with the rate of occupation of available or
‘second hand’ property.
5.24 It is important to note that this analysis intrinsically reflects, and is constrained, by current
economic conditions and climate, and is therefore not fully representative of longer term
trends, and requirements and opportunity. However, for the purposes of this study and the
nature of the market in this location, it is felt that this approach is sufficient to present headline
levels of revealed demand.
5.25 Given the focus of this commission on the potential for office development within Orpington
Town Centre the analysis of revealed market is concentrated on the office market. To focus
analysis on the Town Centre area specifically, a ‘market area’ has been identified, through
consideration of postcode sectors covering the area, and consultation with commercial market
agents. Data has been obtained for this Orpington town centre market area.
5.26 The Orpington Town Centre market area is defined by the postcode sector BR6 O, illustrated
on Figure 26.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 65
Figure 27 – Orpington Town Centre Market Area: Geography of Definition
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 66
5.27 Table 15 below, illustrates the take up of B1 office floorspace within the market area since
2003. A total of 47,422 square feet / 4,405 square metres of B1 office floorspace has been
taken up within the area over the past six years, with the majority of transactional activity
focused on the High Street. Take-up along the High Street accounted for over 60% of this
total take up (29,729 square feet / 2,761 square metres).
Table 20 – Office Take Up in Orpington Town Centre Market Area
Street No. Street Postcode
Days on
market Grade Size SqFt Size Sqm
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA 61 Second Hand 1,881 175
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA Not known Not known 3,316 308
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA Not known Second Hand 3,316 308
73a High Street BR6 0JF 285
New or
Refurbished 519 48
178 High Street BR6 0JW 223 Second Hand 2,850 265
109a High Street BR6 0LG 830 Second Hand 390 36
Templegate House High Street BR6 0LG 223 Second Hand 4,640 431
Templegate House High Street BR6 0LG Not known Not known 6,000 557
282a High Street BR6 0ND 217 Second Hand 500 46
312b High Street BR6 0NG 252 Second Hand 428 40
279a-285a High Street BR6 0NN 157 Second Hand 1,845 171
Downe House High Street BR6 0NN 448 Second Hand 320 30
Downe House High Street BR6 0NN 191 Second Hand 911 85
350 High Street BR6 0NQ 233 Second Hand 800 74
Two Knoll Rise Knoll Rise BR6 0NX Not known Not known 2,300 214
229-231 High Street BR6 0NZ 617 Second Hand 1,916 178
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF 415 Second Hand 765 71
207-215 High Street BR6 0PF 549 Second Hand 2,455 228
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF 9 Second Hand 1,670 155
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF 1117
New or
Refurbished 765 71
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF 244
New or
Refurbished 685 64
207-215 High Street BR6 0PF Not known Second Hand 2,270 211
Valient House Knoll Rise BR6 0PG Not known Not known 4,040 375
South East House
Station
Approach BR6 0SX Not known Not known 2,292 213
44a The Walnuts BR6 0TW 136 Second Hand 548 51
Source: EGi, April 2009
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2009 67
5.28 The majority of take-up over the period within the market area was concentrated within
second hand floorspace, comprising 58% of total take-up during the period (27,505 square
feet / 2,555 square metres).
5.29 Data relating to the length of time the floorspace was marketed before being taken up is
presented where it is available. The average number of days on the market for office property
taken up within the market area (where data is available) is 345 days. The longest period any
one property was marketed for was 1,117 days (203-205 High Street). The average marketing
period of almost a year for property is considered to be relatively long within an urban centre
context.
5.30 The majority of office take-up within the market area has been dominated by smaller premises
when measured in terms of absolute numbers of transactions recorded. Indeed of the twenty-
two transactions recorded, fifteen were sized below 185 square metres, with an annual
average take up of 130 square metres over the period.
5.31 There was no take-up of office premises above 1,850 square metres over the period, although
it is likely that this is constrained by the nature of the property offer in the area.
Table 21 – Take-Up By Unit Size
Size Band (Square Metres) Count Average Annual Take Up
<185 15 130
185-465 7 313
465-1850 1 337
>1850 0 0
Source: EGi, April 2009, manipulated by GVA Grimley, April 2009
5.32 The average rent achieved (based on asking rent data) in office market transactions within the
market area in the twenty-two transactions recorded since 2003 was £132.50 per square
metre compared to an average of between £86 and £215 across Bromley as a whole as
quoted in the Economic Development and Employment Study (with the range reflecting the
low and high rental levels quoted).
5.33 This ‘middle ground’ rent achieved is likely to be linked primarily to the quality of the stock. It is
however important to note that these rental levels are likely to provide an affordable option for
local (and often small) businesses. Future investment in Orpington within commercial
floorspace specifically should ensure that these affordable rental values are maintained into
the future. This will be critical in ensuring small business growth in the area in the future.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 68
5.34 There is very little correlation noted between the size of premises and rental levels asked for
office premises within the market area, suggesting a significant variance in the quality of stock
within the town centre market area.
Table 22 – Rent Quoted
Street No. Street Postcode Grade Size SqM
Asking Rent (£
per Sq Ft)
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA Second Hand 175 Not Known
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA Not known 308 139.93
Central Court Knoll Rise BR6 0JA Second Hand 308 139.93
73a High Street BR6 0JF New or Refurbished 48 150.37
178 High Street BR6 0JW Second Hand 265 Not Known
109a High Street BR6 0LG Second Hand 36 Not Known
Templegate House High Street BR6 0LG Second Hand 431 150.7
Templegate House High Street BR6 0LG Not known 557 Not Known
282a High Street BR6 0ND Second Hand 46 Not Known
312b High Street BR6 0NG Second Hand 40 Not Known
279a-285a High Street BR6 0NN Second Hand 171 Not Known
Downe House High Street BR6 0NN Second Hand 30 Not Known
Downe House High Street BR6 0NN Second Hand 85 Not Known
350 High Street BR6 0NQ Second Hand 74 Not Known
Two Knoll Rise Knoll Rise BR6 0NX Not known 214 Not Known
229-231 High Street BR6 0NZ Second Hand 178 Not Known
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF Second Hand 71 Not Known
207-215 High Street BR6 0PF Second Hand 228 Not Known
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF Second Hand 155 106.35
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF New or Refurbished 71 Not Known
203-205 High Street BR6 0PF New or Refurbished 64 Not Known
207-215 High Street BR6 0PF Second Hand 211 107.64
44a The Walnuts BR6 0TW Second Hand 51 Not Known
Source: EGi, April 2009
5.35 Table 18 illustrates the current availability of office floorspace within the Orpington Town
Centre market area (at the time of writing). There are only three premises currently being
marketed within the area, two on the High Street and one on Perry Hall Road, totalling 2,766
square metres. All of the premises marketed are in the medium sized range.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 69
Table 23 – Current Availability of Office Floorspace
Address
Date First
Marketed Asking Rent (£)
Average size
(sqm)
First Floor Templegate House, High Street, BR6 0LG 02/08/2007 75000 (pa) 557
Kelsey House, 2 Perry Hall Road, BR6 0JJ 19/09/2008 176000 (pa) 1161
Bancroft House, 251 High Street, BR6 0NT 22/01/2009 129 (psm) 1047
Total 2,766
Source: EGi, April 2009
COMMERCIAL MARKET OBSERVATIONS
5.36 Consultation has been undertaken with local commercial market agents, developers, and
business stakeholders to establish qualitative perceptions of the commercial (office) market
potential within Orpington town centre specifically. The consultation has focused on:
The qualitative nature of the commercial market in each of the identified market areas;
Recent development activity including occupation rates, rents achieved, etc;
Potential occupiers based on recent and perceived market trends (including small
business occupiers);
Enquiry levels across a range of business sizes;
Property requirements (including size, building layout / relationship with wider
environment car parking, infrastructure including broadband etc) of potential occupiers
including consideration of larger and smaller business investment opportunities; and
Market capacity in the short, medium and long term.
5.37 It is important to note that the current commercial market is experiencing a general slow down
in transactional activity across all sectors but importantly in the context of this study the office
market has been hit particularly hard.
5.38 As a result the general tone of observations from agents and developers is relatively negative,
certainly compared to what it might have been two years ago. This is an important phasing
consideration across all of the three areas considered herein, with opportunity for office
development likely to be stronger in the medium to long term. Considerations such as
potential catalysts that may drive the market are significant to developing an office market in
these locations.
5.39 It is also important to note that there is a significant proportion of vacant office floorspace
within Bromley Borough (albeit there are questions over both the quality and the location of
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 70
this floorspace) and Central London (existing and coming on-stream) that must also be
considered, including falling rental values in both areas.
5.40 The agents all stressed the difficulty in making a reliable assessment at present due to the
recession and the fact that the commercial property transactional market is so inactive, with
few recent deals. Where developments are coming forward, a greater degree of certainty is
sought, with design and build and owner-occupier schemes more prevalent than speculative.
5.41 Opinions differed regarding Orpington, but there was recognition of demand for office space,
with the notable office provision on Knoll Rise behind the High Street towards the train station.
However, there were identified constraints and questions as to whether or not Orpington could
support an expansion of the existing office provision. The constraints identified included the
following:
The town has suffered as a location due to the displacement of the retail offer to retail
warehouses in Cray Valley, plus the competition from retail provision in Bromley Town
Centre and Bluewater. The loss of Marks and Spencer is also seen as presenting an
image problem. One agent commented that the town is therefore seen as a local centre
rather than a Major Town Centre.
Whilst Orpington can offer low rents as an incentive to occupiers (currently around £12 -
£13 psf), they are far too low for any development to be viable, and refurbishment of the
current stock may therefore be a preferred option. It was however noted that low rents
undermining development potential is currently a common problem across locations.
The appeal of Orpington Town Centre is hindered by the competition from other town
centre locations with good public transport links and better office provision, such as
Croydon, or locations closer to central London. Such competing locations are also
suffering from significant vacancy rates and low rents, meaning that tenants do not need
to look to outer London for affordable rents at the moment. It was suggested that this
situation is not forecast to improve in the short term, and therefore the attraction of more
affordable town centre locations in outer London is not likely to return until the medium to
long term.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 71
Figure 28 – Existing Office Provision on Orpington High Street
Figure 29 – Existing Office Provision on Orpington High Street
Figure 30 – Existing Office Provision on Orpington High Street
5.42 Despite the various constraints identified, agents and developers recognised that Orpington
has the fundamental attribute of good public transport, plus it is close to the M25. It was
therefore felt that if improvements were made to Orpington through investment over the long
term, it might support further office development. One agent commented that he hoped, over
the long term, that the new Tesco store might encourage more money to be held in the town
rather than being spent elsewhere, and that this might have an overall uplifting effect. It was
suggested that any future development would be located near to the train station, rather than
the high street, providing similar premises to that offered in the purpose built blocks on Knoll
Rise. However, there remained the general concern as to whether Orpington could support
any additional office space.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 72
RECOMMENDATIONS
5.43 The opportunity for office market investment and development within Orpington town centre is
intrinsically linked to the regeneration aspirations for the area. The need to ensure sustained
(and sustainable) economic growth within the area, including employment opportunities for
local people is of strategic importance. This local role is key; investment within Orpington
should not seek to create an offer that competes with the likes of Bromley Town Centre, but
rather recognises its local service provision and employment role in the context of its market
town character, relationship with the surrounding areas, and its scale.
5.44 Notwithstanding investment plans for the public realm, and individual developments that are
coming forward within the centre (including the College and a town hall / community centre),
the main High Street is observed to be in decline with a number of empty premises. A recent
Tesco development has come forwards at the southern end of the High Street that may serve
to better anchor the town centre’s vitality and viability.
5.45 With the current office accommodation within the centre being primarily above retail
floorspace, with some purpose built premises on Knoll Rise on the approach to the train
station, the market is limited to largely secondary quality and nature stock. However, this
could be a market driver, relating specifically to opportunities to promote small business
growth in the future through the provision of premises at lower rental values and with more
flexible lease terms. The purpose built premises appear to be quite dated but of a relatively
good quality. Demand was identified for these premises, although vacancy was noted on the
site visits, suggesting sufficient capacity to accommodate this demand.
5.46 The secondary nature of the office market within Orpington Town Centre is driven by a series
of factors, including those summarised below:
The evidenced decline of the retail market within the Town Centre, with some conflict in
opinion of the potential impact of the Tesco development on retail prospects in the future
for existing premises along the High Street. At the current time, the lack of vibrancy on
the High Street is noted to be a constraint to attracting office occupiers, albeit the Tesco
development, along with the wider investment plans throughout the centre may create
some uplift in footfall.
The potential for new development within the Town Centre is considered to be unviable
due to low rental values achieved. Whilst low rents can attract occupiers into the market,
certainly this is the case when considering local occupiers and small businesses, this is a
key detractor from investment within premises and given perceived issues with the quality
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 73
of stock within the centre (perceived as no condition survey has been undertaken) this is
a key perpetuating issue for the market area.
Orpington is found to compete with a number of established office market centres
including Croydon, Bromley Town Centre, both with strategic links to London, and indeed
with Central London itself. In the current climate with rental levels reducing, and vacant
stock, Orpington is struggling to distinguish itself in the market place as a real office
market proposition, certainly beyond local (i.e. Bromley) business occupiers.
5.47 However, in this context Orpington remains a relatively good location for local occupier
activity, certainly given public transport connectivity and low rental values. There is arguably a
two tier market in the area, with a distinction between the nature of occupiers that are within
the purpose built office premises on Knoll Rise, and those that are located above ground floor
retail premises.
5.48 It is important to ensure that an appropriate scale and quality of office accommodation
remains within the town centre to serve these markets in the future, although for the latter it is
likely there will need to be consolidation and investment in existing stock in the short to
medium term.
5.49 Office activity (including that above retail premises) should be protected and promoted within
the ‘town centre core’ where possible / appropriate, with opportunity to diversify in the wider
town centre area, including the promotion of residential dwellings above retail premises.
5.50 Recommendations for Orpington Town Centre to promote an appropriate office market role
and function in the future have been developed on the basis of analysis undertaken, and
community and key business stakeholder consultations. These recommendations are
summarised below. In this context the role of the Town Centre Manager within Orpington is
recognised to be a key opportunity to liaise with business need and opportunity.
The Council should not seek to allocate significant new office floorspace development
within Orpington town centre within the Core Strategy. Where possible the Council should
encourage development of this type into the core of the town centre. Such a policy should
allow for planning investment in the town (including public realm works but also the
College and town / village centre) to ‘uplift’ the local commercial activity. A restrictive
development policy should also encourage investment in existing premises across the
area. Policy should seek to protect office activity in the ‘town centre core’ including
existing above retail activity and purpose built floorspace where appropriate within this
centralised area of Orpington.
LB Bromley Market Demand and Feasibility Report
2009 74
The Council should promote a positive planning approach to the conversion of office
premises in the wider town centre to residential dwellings to facilitate the protection and
consolidation of office premises within the town centre ‘core area’ (defined to be along the
High Street and Knoll Rise between the A232 Spur Road and Homefield Rise in the
main), and within the stock most suited to this use. A study into the existing stock,
including condition, should be undertaken to test residential capacity, and identify specific
areas within the Town Centre where such an approach would be appropriate.
Development opportunity (including potential redevelopment) should be promoted in the
existing purpose built office area on Knoll Rise, benefiting from adjacency to the town
centre, but also the train station as a strategic connection. Any new development in this
location should respect the scale of the town centre, and if remaining the existing office
buildings, and not seek to significantly increase floorspace capacity in the town centre.
This area should be a key focus for future public realm/place-making improvements as an
important commercial gateway. It is recognised that this is a long term aspiration given
the nature of the existing buildings (and therefore limited development or redevelopment
opportunity in this area in the short and medium term).
The longer term (15 + years) emphasis should be on retention of and improvements to
the quality of premises within the town centre core, noting the role and function of
Orpington (including its scale relative to Bromley Town Centre) with long term stock still
requiring an interface with the small and indigenous business community / market
specifically. This includes the need to ensure affordable leases / rentals into the future to
support small and local business growth.
Investment in the public realm (including for example street planting, consistent use of
pavement materials, street lighting and other furniture), the delivery of the College, and
other building works underway within the Town Centre should be prioritised in the short
term (5 to 7 years) to enhance the current appearance, feel and function of the centre,
including the promotion and enhancement of its market town profile. It is important to
note that the scale of investment in the public realm should reflect the size of the town. In
this context it is important that attention is paid to consistency and building materials
throughout the Town Centre (and certainly the ‘core’ areas and routes) rather than, for
example, individual investments including significant public art installations.
Opportunities to promote initiatives including shop frontage investment, and management
of empty retail premises within the town centre should be considered. Reference is made
here to recent guidance published by CLG Looking After Our Town Centres (April 2009)
which is of direct relevance to Orpington Town Centre. Specific opportunities identified as
appropriate for declining town centres in this document include:
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2009 75
- utilisation of empty space for e.g. local community space for meetings, space for
training providers, arts organisations looking for studio / rehearsal space;
- using vacant space to post information on e.g. healthy living choices, local fitness
classes; and / or
- opportunities to involve the local community in maintenance of empty space
including, for example, murals on empty shop-fronts by school children.
The Council should seek to encourage temporary use of empty premises through the
promotion of benefits to landlords such as temporary uses are classified as occupied
resulting in removal of landlord liability for empty property business rates, opportunity to
save on security and energy bills, etc.
Potential to use vacant retail premises as B1 uses, and/or small business workshops /
managed meeting spaces should be considered. The opportunity for the Council to
provide a small business service including meeting rooms to accommodate the activity /
needs of people working from home in the local area should be tested in the area
including viability testing / establishment of likely demand, costs and funding
requirements. A good example of this includes ‘EasyOffice’ space (including Easy Offices
(UK) and EasyOffices a line of the Easy Group).
From stakeholder consultation for this Study and the original Economic and Employment
Land Study the needs of ‘home businesses’ was considered an emerging issue within
Bromley, reflective of wider national trends. Increasingly agents, business support
agencies and business groups are recognising the desire for people to work from home
but have central facilities where they hold meetings or access other facilities normally
associated with offices.5 It is suggested that such a facility would be used on a ‘pay-per-
use’ or membership basis, and be open to businesses rather than the general public.
The Council should seek to confirm and promote whether planning permission is required
for temporary use of vacant premises for other uses. Local Planning Authorities (LPAs)
can use Local Development Orders (LDOs) to allow for change of use that would
otherwise require planning permission. It is anticipated that provisions will be made in
relation to the Planning Act 2008 that will remove the requirement for LDOs to be linked
with policies within Local Development Documents.
Information should be provided to small businesses relating specifically to business rates,
including: Local Authority ability to grant rate relief of up to 100% to a wide range of non-
profit making bodies, such as charities, and local clubs or societies; Small Business Rate
5 Ref: Property Week 24.07.09 “Take remote control” pp39
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2009 76
Relief (SBRR) which applies to businesses that occupy one property offering rate relief
on a sliding scale depending on rateable value; and the opportunity to defer business
rates including that relating to the Chancellors announcement in March 2009 that the
Government will bring forwards legislation to enable businesses to spread payment of the
planned increase in business rates over the three years to 2011/12.
Summary of Actions
5.51 The key actions for Orpington town centre emerging from this study are summarised below.
Table 24 – Orpington Town Centre – Summary of Actions
Summary of Action Time Frame
The Council should not seek to allocate significant new office floorspace development within
Orpington town centre within the Core Strategy. The Council should instead seek to encourage
investment in existing premises and redevelopment of existing premises within the core of the
town centre. Policy should seek to protect and encourage investment in existing office premises
in the ‘town centre core’.
Ongoing
Council should seek to promote a positive planning approach to the conversation of office
premises to residential use outside of the town centre core in Orpington. A study into the existing
stock, including condition and scope for conversion, should be undertaken to test residential
capacity and suggest areas within the town centre where such an approach would be
appropriate.
Short Term
The delivery of investment in the public realm, the College and other building works underway
within the town centre should be prioritised by the public sector. Short Term
Opportunities should be sought to promote initiatives including shop frontage investment, and in
the short term opportunities to encourage the temporary use of empty retail premises within the
town centre for other uses.
Short Term /
Medium Term
Potential for a ‘use on demand’ meeting / resource facility for small businesses / people working
from home should be considered including more detailed / targeted consultation with potential
end users.
Short Term /
Medium Term
Advice should be provided by the Council to small businesses relating specifically to business
rates through appropriate / existing mechanisms and e.g. the Federation of Small Businesses. Short Term