market monitor winter 2014...06/15/12 starbev holdings s.à r.l. molson coors brewing company...
TRANSCRIPT
1 CRAFT BREWERIES
M A R K E T M O N I T O R W I N T E R 2 0 1 4
Craft Breweries
2 CRAFT BREWERIES
Contents INDUSTRY SNAPSHOT 3
PUBLIC VALUATION METRICS 6
CAPITAL MARKETS TRANSACTIONS 8
MIDDLE MARKET OVERVIEW 11
MOSS ADAMS OVERVIEW 12
SELECT MOSS ADAMS CAPITAL TRANSACTIONS 16
3 CRAFT BREWERIES
Craft Beer Industry Snapshot Millennials’ desire for a higher-quality, more flavorful beer… and
their willingness to pay a premium for it, has been the catalyst for consistent double-digit growth over the last ten years
The craft brewing market now accounts for approximately 11% of the $100 billion U.S. retail beer market
Marketing dollars from Big Beer producers pushing their own brands benefit the industry as a whole
Increased consumer awareness and desire for authentic craft beers is gaining momentum within the mainstream public
Dramatic increase in shelf space allocation to craft beers in grocery and liquor stores
10 Largest Craft Breweries (based on 2013 production)
1. Boston Beer Co.
2. Sierra Nevada Brewing Co.
3. New Belgium Brewing Co.
4. Gambrinus
5. Lagunitas Brewing Co.
6. Deschutes Brewing
7. Bell's Brewery
8. Brooklyn Brewery
9. Stone Brewing Co.
10. Matt's Brewing Co. 0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
'90 '93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 '14
Number of U.S. Breweries
> 100 craft breweries50 – 100 craft breweries10 – 50 craft breweries< 10 craft breweriesFastest growing
Craft Import Domestic Light 5-Year CAGR
+14% +4% (1%) (1%)
11%
13%
24%
52%
201425%
13% 15%
47%
2024 (proj)
Source: Beer Marketer’s INSIGHTS, Brewers Association, Wall Street research and Moss Adams Capital analysis.
Beer Sales by Category
2%
12%
40%
46%
2004
4 CRAFT BREWERIES
Current Events
Increasing capacity from 2,000 to 4,000 barrels
$12 million expansion
Grand opening of Bell’s Brewery’s new division
Opening a second location in 2015
Chooses Richmond, Virginia for 200,000 sq. ft. east coast expansion
New brewpub, microdistillery and restaurant coming in 2016
Expanding capacity to 90,000 barrels with new brewhouse in 2015
$25 million brewery, restaurant and gardens planned for Berlin
Opening new taproom with plans for a distillery and pilot brewing
Flying Could San Francisco Stout - Anchor Brewing
Delicious IPA - Stone Brewing Co.
Black is the New Wit - New Belgium Brewing Co.
Barrel Roll Pugachev Mocha - Hangar 24
Einzigartig Barrel-Aged Wild Ale - Avery Brewing
Blizzard of Hops - Troegs Brewing
Slow Ride - New Belgium Brewing
Barrel-Aged Torpedo - Sierra Nevada
XVIII Anniversary Ale - Firestone Walker Brewing
Brewery Expansions New Releases
Source: Beer Street Journal.
Upcoming Events
December 4 Brewbound Session San Diego, CA www.brewbound.com/events
February 6-15 San Francisco Beer Week San Francisco, CA www sfbeerweek.org
March 20-21 Extreme Beer Fest Boston, MA www.beeradvocate.com/ebf
April 14-17 Craft Brewers Conference & BrewExpo America Portland, OR www.craftbrewersconference.com
May 11-17 American Craft Beer Week Nationwide www.craftbeer.com
May 30-31 American Craft Beer Fest Boston, MA www.beeradvocate.com/ebf
5 CRAFT BREWERIES
While the S&P 500 index has shown strong growth over the last three years, increasing 63%, it pales in comparison to the performance of the Craft Breweries index, which has increased by approximately 89% over the same period. The Major Breweries index has more or less tracked the S&P, only losing ground to it over the last twelve months.
Not surprisingly, sales growth in the Craft Beer segment is expected to dwarf its counterparts, as well as the broader S&P 500 over the next 12 months. Sales from American breweries, represented by only one public company (Molson Coors), is expected to decline as a result of the growing popularity of craft beers and an improving economic environment that pushes consumers to higher-end beverages.
Note: The Craft Breweries and Major Breweries Indices are composed of the public companies included on page 6. Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Historical Performance: Major vs. Craft Breweries Next 12 Months: Estimated Sales Growth
Craft Breweries Continue to Outshine the Rest of the Market
Craft Breweries88.6%
S&P 50062.9%
Major Breweries40.2%
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Mar
ket P
erfo
rman
ce
(2.5%)
(0.5%)
1.0%
12.4%
3.2%
(4%)
(2%)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
AmericanBreweries
AsianBreweries
EuropeanBreweries
CraftBreweries
S&P 500Index
6 CRAFT BREWERIES
Note: Not meaningful (NM) if EV/Sales is greater than 10x, or EV/EBITDA is greater than 50x. NA if denominator is 0, for percentages and multiples, or if estimates are not available. NTM figures are based on the median estimate of Wall St. analysts.
Selected Public Company Valuations
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
($U.S. in millions, except per share amounts)
11/23/14 TTM Data EV Multiple
Company NameSharePrice
52 WeekHigh - Low
MarketCap
EnterpriseValue Sales EBITDA
EBITDAMargin Sales EBITDA
TTMSales
TTMEBITDA
NTMSales
NTMEBITDA
Major Breweries
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV $115.05 $115.19 - $85.78 $184,875 $235,523 $46,756 $18,010 38.5% 4.8% 9.8% 5.0x 13.1x 4.8x 11.9x
SABMiller plc 54.40 60.47 - 41.55 87,386 101,663 16,967 5,839 34.4% 4.1% 13.7% 6.0x 17.4x 5.8x 15.3x
Heineken NV 76.56 76.89 - 54.75 44,021 58,770 26,180 5,484 20.9% (6.4%) 2.9% 2.2x 10.7x 2.4x 10.4x
Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. 31.05 31.42 - 21.58 14,699 18,178 15,973 1,829 11.5% (4.7%) (6.1%) 1.1x 9.9x 1.2x 10.6x
Molson Coors Brewing Company 75.61 77.93 - 50.90 14,072 16,831 4,201 825 19.6% (2.5%) 74.5% 4.0x 20.4x 4.1x 11.7x
Carlsberg A/S 90.04 102.29 - 80.17 13,958 20,596 11,453 2,294 20.0% (2.8%) 1.0% 1.8x 9.0x 1.9x 8.9x
Kirin Holdings Company, Limited 12.72 13.56 - 10.97 11,616 20,182 19,920 2,435 12.2% (4.6%) (0.4%) 1.0x 8.3x 1.1x 8.3x
Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited 6.96 8.76 - 6.84 8,940 7,475 4,860 484 9.9% 12.6% 26.6% 1.5x 15.5x 1.4x 12.2x
United Breweries Limited 12.57 13.95 - 9.75 3,323 3,512 706 98 13.9% 12.5% 14.4% 5.0x 35.7x 4.4x 31.2x
Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. 1.14 1.35 - 1.01 3,205 3,214 2,302 286 12.4% 12.2% 23.1% 1.4x 11.2x 1.2x 9.1x
Sapporo Holdings Ltd. 4.54 4.57 - 3.00 1,770 3,846 4,737 390 8.2% (3.9%) (5.3%) 0.8x 9.9x 0.8x 10.4x
Median $18,178 $11,453 $1,829 13.9% (2.5%) 9.8% 1.8x 11.2x 1.9x 10.6x
Average $44,526 $14,005 $3,452 18.3% 1.9% 14.0% 2.7x 14.6x 2.6x 12.7x
Craft Breweries
Boston Beer Co. Inc. $254.36 $277.76 - $202.78 $3,323 $3,266 $891 $178 20.0% 13.7% 15.3% 3.7x 18.4x 3.2x 15.9x
Craft Brew Alliance, Inc. 13.58 18.30 - 10.07 259 270 197 14 7.2% 7.4% (100.0%) 1.4x 19.1x 1.3x NA
Big Rock Brewery Inc. 11.32 17.80 - 10.36 78 73 33 3 9.3% 5.9% 87.0% 2.2x 23.7x 2.1x 12.7x
Median $270 $197 $14 9.3% 7.4% 15.3% 2.2x 19.1x 2.1x 14.3x
Average $1,203 $374 $65 12.1% 9.0% 0.7% 2.4x 20.4x 2.2x 14.3x
NTM Est. Growth
7 CRAFT BREWERIES
2014 has continued right where 2013 left off. If the trend continues throughout the 4th quarter, it will be a record year in terms of the number of deals in the brewery segment.
Over the past year, EBITDA multiples for publicly-traded craft brewery companies have come down from their highs in the mid-twenties, but still remain at a significant premium to the Major Breweries and the S&P 500 index.
Public Company Valuations & Capital Markets Transactions
Deal Volume Public Market Valuations
Craft Breweries19.3x
Major Breweries12.2x
S&P 50011.0x
4.0x
9.0x
14.0x
19.0x
24.0x
29.0x
Mar
ket P
erfo
rman
ce
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
45
3
7
5
3
13
6
1211
12
1415
1314
52
3
3
3
1
1
3
03
2
25
23
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2011 2012 2013 2014
Num
ber
of A
nnou
nced
Tra
nsac
tion
s
Capital Raise M&A
8 CRAFT BREWERIES
M&A Transactions with Valuation Metrics
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
$ in millions Close Transaction Date Target Acquirer/Investor Value Metrics
08/23/13 Oy Hartwall Ab Royal Unibrew A/S $613.3 1.6x Rev; 9.4x EBITDA
05/31/13 Grupo Modelo, S.A.B. de C.V. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV 14,706.6 3.7x Rev; 12.1x EBITDA
02/18/13 Fraser and Neave, Limited Spin-off 4,673.6 2.8x Rev; 17.2x EBITDA
10/08/12 Little World Beverages Limited Anglo-Gaelic Investments Pty Ltd 271.5 5.5x Rev; 19.4x EBITDA
06/15/12 StarBev Holdings S.à r.l. Molson Coors Brewing Company 3,533.6 3.8x Rev; 11.0x EBITDA
12/16/11 Foster's Group Pty. Ltd. SABMiller plc 12,568.2 5.1x Rev; 14.2x EBITDA
10/11/11 Schincariol Participações e Representações SA Kirin Holdings Company, Limited 2,587.9 2.8x Rev
10/01/10 Kona Brewing Co., Inc. Craft Brewers Alliance, Inc. 15.5 0.7x Rev; 13.8x EBITDA
06/07/10 Pabst Brewing Company, Inc. C. Dean Metropoulos & Co. 250.0 0.5x Rev
02/10/10 PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk Asia Pacific Breweries Limited 243.8 2.0x Rev; 5.8x EBITDA
02/10/10 Asia Pacific Breweries (Aurangabad) Ltd. Heineken International B.V. 24.8 1.1x Rev
02/10/10 UB Nizam Breweries Pvt Ltd Heineken International B.V. 12.6 2.1x Rev
10/21/09 Lion Nathan Limited Kirin Holdings Company, Limited 3,731.2 3.6x Rev; 13.0x EBITDA
07/24/09 Oriental Brewery Co., Ltd. Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P. 1,878.9 2.9x Rev; 9.8x EBITDA
11/18/08 Anheuser-Busch Companies, Inc. InBev SA 61,050.2 3.4x Rev; 13.4x EBITDA
10/23/08 Turk Tuborg Brewing & Malting Inc. International Beer Breweries Ltd. 168.0 1.6x Rev
09/11/08 Grants Of Ireland Ltd. DCC Food & Beverage Limited 13.4 0.3x Rev
08/01/08 Pyramid Breweries Inc. Magic Hat Brewing Company 36.0 0.7x Rev; 70.6x EBITDA
07/01/08 Widmer Brothers Brewing Company Redhook Ale Brewery Inc. 57.9 0.8x Rev; 7.7x EBITDA
04/28/08 Heineken UK Limited Heineken NV; Carlsberg A/S 19,107.0 3.2x Rev; 17.3x EBITDA
04/02/08 Refresh UK plc Marston's plc 27.1 0.5x Rev
02/05/08 Royal Grolsch N.V. SABMiller plc 1,368.4 3.2x Rev; 15.8x EBITDA
9 CRAFT BREWERIES
Select 2014 Announced Transactions
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Capital Raises Mergers & Acquisitions
acquired by Anheuser-Busch
acquired by AB InBev
acquired by TSG Consumer
Management Buyout
acquired by Oasis Beverages &
TSG Consumer
10 CRAFT BREWERIES
Anheuser-Busch acquires 10 Barrel Brewing Co.
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
AB InBev’s Growing Portfolio of Craft-Style Beers
AB InBev owns ~32% of CBA
Bend, Oregon November 5, 2014
Anheuser-Busch announced that it has agreed to purchase 10 Barrel Brewing Company, located in Bend, Oregon.
10 Barrel was Oregon's No. 8 largest brewery in 2013 and expects to sell approximately 40,000 barrels this year. 10 Barrel was one of only four U.S. breweries to win three medals and tied for most medals won at this year’s Great American Beer Festival. In addition to the Bend brewery, the acquisition will include the company’s existing brewpubs in Bend, Oregon and Boise, Idaho and a Portland, Oregon brewpub scheduled to open in early 2015.
Best known for its fine American-style lagers, Anheuser-Busch beers lead numerous beer segments and combined hold a 47% share of the U.S. beer market. Anheuser-Busch is the U.S. arm of Anheuser-Busch InBev and operates 12 breweries, 17 distributorships and 23 agricultural and packaging facilities across the country.
The sale is not expected to impact the day-to-day operations of the brewery and the partners at 10 Barrel believe that the transaction will help retain talent and provide access to hops, malts, equipment, labs and other resources that previously weren’t at their brewers’ disposal. The new partnership will also provide 10 Barrel workers job security and better benefits than anything the company could have offered previously.
The transaction is expected to close by the end of 2014; terms of the agreement were not disclosed.
11 CRAFT BREWERIES
U.S. middle market M&A deal volumes grew +13% sequentially from Q2, and a year ago.
U.S. middle market M&A activity, measured by deal values, in Q3 increased +20% from the prior quarter, and rose approximately +30% from a year earlier.
Disclosed EBITDA multiples of middle market transactions in Q3 2014 slightly rose to levels last seen in mid-2013, and stayed above the 5 year average of 8.4x.
Q3 EBITDA margins of reported transactions fell from levels seen in the last 2 quarters.
Q3 Middle Market M&A Activity, Valuations Rose
U.S. Middle Market M&A 1 U.S. Middle Market M&A Valuations 2
1) Middle market M&A includes transactions with undisclosed values, and disclosed values where EV < $500 million. 2) Middle market M&A median includes transactions with disclosed EBITDA where EV < $500 million; excludes EV/EBITDA <4x or >15x. Note: transactions with disclosed EBITDA represent <5% of all
transactions. Source: S&P Capital IQ.
2,855 2,953 2,927
3,080 2,984
3,682 3,681 3,852
3,539 3,453
3,622
3,986
3,134 3,319
4,092 4,054 3,997 4,095
4,608
$32
$43
$56 $55
$47
$71 $72 $70
$52$56
$52
$66
$44
$50
$65
$71
$55
$70
$84
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4
Transaction Value ($bn)Num
ber
of T
rans
actio
ns
Nu mber Value
7.8x
8.5x 8.4x8.6x
8.4x8.7x
9.4x
7.6x
7.0x
7.9x
8.9x
7.9x
9.3x9.1x 9.1x
9.3x
7.1x
7.9x
9.1x
9.6%
12.6%
15.6%13.9%
16.6%17.3%
18.5%
13.0%
10.2%
14.2%14.4%
18.2%17.5%
12.9%11.5%11.7%
17.5%
11.3%10.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0.0 x
1.0 x
2.0 x
3.0 x
4.0 x
5.0 x
6.0 x
7.0 x
8.0 x
9.0 x
10.0 x
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4
EBITDA M
argin
EV/T
raili
ng E
BITD
A M
ultip
le
EV/EBITDA EBITDA Margin
12 CRAFT BREWERIES
Moss Adams Capital LLC Full service investment bank and strategic
advisor Dedicated industry specialties Mergers and acquisitions; sell-side and buy-side Recapitalizations and institutional capital raises Key Attributes Middle market experts: independent, thoughtful
client centered advice Direct and constant senior level attention Deep and longstanding relationships with debt
and equity capital providers and corporate investors/buyers
Industry specific knowledge enhanced by proprietary access and insight into Moss Adams clients
Moss Adams LLP Fully integrated accounting, tax and business
advisory firm 100 years old Dominant in Western U.S. 2,000 employees in 22 offices 16,000 nationwide mid market clients Consulting and Tax Services include financial
due diligence, valuation advisory, international tax planning and compliance, transaction structuring and IT consulting and integration
More than 300 Food & Beverage Clients U.S. and International Presence Affiliates in 80+ countries globally
Firm Overview
13 CRAFT BREWERIES
Global M&A Reach Through Local Relationships
Our Alliance with CFxB consists of 150+ M&A Professionals in more than 25 countries
Mazars Africa 40 offices
Mazars Asia 25 offices
Mazars Middle East 15 offices
Mazars Europe 140 offices Mazars M&A 20 offices
Mazars South America 20 offices
Moss Adams Capital 3 offices Moss Adams LLP 22 offices
MNP Corporate Finance 10 offices MNP LLP 70 offices
BKD Corporate Finance 4 offices BKD LLP 33 offices
William Buck CAA 6 offices
Weiser Mazars 6 offices
Mazars Canada 1 office CH Reynolds CF
1 office
14 CRAFT BREWERIES
Business Services
Financial Services
Clean Technology
Consumer Products
Software & IT Services
Food & Beverage
Healthy Living
Technology Equipment & Communications
Transportation & Logistics
Infrastructure & Construction
Industries Services
Majority and Minority Recapitalizations
Sell-Side and Buy-Side M&A
Management Buy Outs
Corporate Divestures
Fairness Opinions
Institutional Placements – Debt and Equity
Healthcare Services and IT
Industrial Manufacturing
M&A and Capital Formation for Mid-Market Companies
Moss Adams Capital
Expertise. Experience. Superior Results.
15 CRAFT BREWERIES
Assisting Companies at Each Stage of Growth
Growth Capital
Institutional Private Equity Venture Capital
Growth Phase
Liquidity / Partnering
Mergers / Partnering for Growth Sale of Company Management Buy-Out (MBO), Leveraged Recap / Buy-Out (LBO) Full or Partial Liquidity
Valu
e Cr
eati
on
Company Lifecycle
Acquisitions
Acquisitions Divestitures Spin-offs Joint Ventures
Private Equity Private Debt PIPEs Advisory
Expansion Capital
Expansion / Liquidity Phase
16 CRAFT BREWERIES
Select Food & Beverage Transactions
Services for the above provided by Moss Adams, and/or its principals.
17 CRAFT BREWERIES
Contact Us Craft Breweries Tyler M. Dale Vice President (949) 221-4030 [email protected] Moss Adams Capital LLC 2040 Main St Suite 900 Irvine, California 92614 Rich Anderson Managing Director Burr J. Dalton Director Geoffrey B. Haydon Vice President
999 Third Avenue Suite 2800 Seattle, Washington 98104 Harman K. Wales Managing Director Wiley P. Kitchell Managing Director