marketoutlook · 10720 10740 10760 10780 10800 10820 10840 10860 10880 close 14.60 14.80 15.00...

Market Outlook

THEWEEKTHATWAS

WEEK AHEAD

Sensexmaintains36,000 level

Local stocks loggedmodest gains in theweekgoneby. TheSensexendedabove the36,000 level aftermoving aboveandbelowthat level in theweek.TheNifty settleda tadbelow the10,800mark. Stocksended in thegreen in threeof five tradingsessions.

In theweekendedFriday,11 January2019, theSensex rose314.74pointsor0.88%tosettle at 36,009.84. TheNifty50 indexrose67.60pointsor0.63%tosettleat10,794.95.

TheBSEMid-Cap indexrose29.43pointsor0.19%tosettle at 15,177.03. TheBSESmall-Cap index rose7.96pointsor0.05%to settle at 14,600.37.

Domestic stocksendedwithmodest gainsonMonday, 7 January2019mirroringstrength inglobal stockmarkets, supportedbystrongUS jobsdataandadovish tonebytheUSFederalReserve. TheSensex settledbelow36,000markafter crossing that level inmorning trade. Thebarometer index, theS&PBSESensex, rose155.06pointsor0.43%tosettleat35,850.16.TheNifty50 indexrose49.25pointsor0.46%tosettle at 10,776.60.

Commenting on the Q3performance, Rajesh Gopinathan, Chief ExecutiveOfficer andManaging Director, said the strong clientmetrics, industry leading growth in digital services, avery strong order book anddeal pipeline are all validations that customers recognize the company's differentiated capabilities and are picking it for their growth and transformationprograms.

On the macro front, the GST council in its 32ndmeeting held on 10 January 2019, under the Chairmanship of the UnionMinister of Finance & Corporate Affairs, Arun Jaitley in NewDelhi tookmajor decisions to give relief toMicro, Small andMediumEnterprises (MSME) (including small traders) among others. The council increased turnover limit for the existingcomposition scheme. The limit of annual turnover in thepreceding financial year for availing composition scheme for goods shall be increased toRs 1.5 crore. Special category stateswoulddecide,withinoneweek,about the composition limit in their respectivestates.

Meanwhile, theprovisional figures ofDirect Tax collectionsup toDecember, 2018 showthat gross collectionsareat Rs 8.74 lakhcrorewhich is 14.1%higher than thegross collectionsfor the corresponding period of last year. Refunds amounting to Rs 1.30 lakh crore have been issued during April 2018 to December 2018, which is 17% higher than refunds issuedduring the sameperiod in the preceding year. Net collections (after adjusting for refunds) have increasedby 13.6% to Rs 7.43 lakh crore during April - December 2018. The net DirectTax collections represent 64.7%of thetotal Budget EstimatesofDirect Taxesfor FY2018-19 (Rs11.50 lakhcrore).

An amount of Rs 3.64 lakh crore has been collected as Advance Tax,which is 14.5%higher than theAdvance Tax collections during the corresponding period of last year. The growthrateofCorporateAdvanceTax is12.5%andthatofPITAdvanceTax is23.8%.

The Central StatisticsOffice (CSO),Ministry of Statistics andProgramme Implementation released the First Advance Estimates ofNational Income at Constant (2011-12) and CurrentPrices, for the financial year 2018-19. The advance estimates shows India's GDPwould grow7.2% in 2018-2019, showing acceleration from6.7% growth in 2017-18. Real gross valueadded (GVA), i.e,GVAatBasic ConstantPrices (2011-12) is anticipated to increase7.0% in2018-19up from6.5%growth in2017-18.

Meanwhile, India's GDP is expected to grow at 7.3% in the fiscal year 2018-19, and 7.5% in the following two years, the World Bank has forecast, attributing it to an upswing inconsumptionand investment growth.TheWorldBanksaid Indiawill continue tobe the fastest growingmajoreconomy in theworld.

On the global front, China's Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures price increases before they reach the consumer, in December rose 0.9% on-year. That compares with the a2.7%year-on-year increase inNovember.China'sDecember consumer inflation (CPI),a gaugeofprices for goodsandservices, rose1.9%onyear. TheCPI rose2.2% inNovember.

On the US data front, small-business optimism fell in December, according to the National Federation of Independent Business small-business optimism index, which decreased 0.4points toaseasonally adjusted levelof104.4, its lowest in14months.

The US services sector expanded at the slowest pace in fivemonths in December, according to the latest reading of the Institute for SupplyManagement's nonmanufacturing index,releasedMonday. The indexfell to57.6% inDecember, from60.7%.

Macroeconomicdata toprovidedirection

September to December 2018 quarterly results, macroeconomic data, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors(DIIs), themovementof rupeeagainst thedollar andcrudeoil pricemovementwill dictate trendonthebourses.

The September to December 2018 result season is currently underway. Shares of Infosys will react to its Q3 December 2018 results to be unveiled on Friday, 11 January 2019. ZeeEntertainment Enterprises will declare its result on 15 January 2018. Hindustan Unilever and Reliance Industries will declare their results on 17 January 2018.Wipro will declare itsresult on18 January2018.

On the economic front, India's industrial production data for November 2018will be unveiled aftermarket hours on 11 January 2019. India's industrial output rose 8.1% from ayearearlier inOctober2018, following a4.5%growth in thepreviousmonth.

The inflationdatabasedonwholesaleprice index (WPI) forDecember2018,will beannouncedon14 January2019.

On the global front, China exports and imports data forDecemberwill be declaredon14 January 2019.US Balance of Tradedata forNovember datawill bedeclaredon the sameday.USRetail Sales forDecemberwill bedeclaredon16 January2019.US FederalReserve issues theBeigeBookofeconomic conditionon17January2019.

NiftyOutlook (10795):

Bank Nifty Outlook (27454):

USDINROutlook (70.60) :

EURINROutlook (81.46):

Dollar IndexOutlook (95.27):

After taking a breather in the previousweek, Indianmarketsmanaged to stage aminor recovery in theweek to January 11. During the lastwek Nifty has given a consolidation in range from10730 to10870. It is tradingabove 200DEMAof 10715. Its immediate support is likely tobe seen around 10730. Closes below this level next support is likey tobe seen around 10650 to 10430. Its resistance is likelytobeseenaround10870 and10950 fornextweek.

During the lastweekUSDINRhasmadea lowof 69.38 andgivena sharpbounce fromthis level up to70.79. Its immediate support is likely tobe seenaround70.30 and69.75 for nextweek.Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround70.90and71.10 fornextweek.

During the last week Bank Nifty has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of 27155. Its immediate support is likely to be seen around 27370. Closes below thislevelnext support is likely tobeseenaround27150 to26850. Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround27600 to27750 fornextweek.

During the lastweek EURINRhasmade a lowof 79.47 andgiven a sharp bounce from this level up to81.95. Its immediate support is likely tobe seenaround 80.75 and 79.90 for nextweek.Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround81.90and82.50 fornextweek.

During the last weekDXhasmade a lowof 94.63 and took support at 200 DEMAof 94.97 it has given a bounce up to 95.36. Its immediate support is likely to be seen around 94.70 and93.50 fornextweek. Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround95.90and96.50 for nextweek.

Weekly Newsletter | 13 Jan- 19 Jan.2019th th

Market Outlook

Cash Market Data

Market Indicator

Primary Mkt. Updates

Pivot Levels

Next Week Events

Index

Particulars Nifty Sensex

52 Wk High

52 Wk Low

11760.20

9951.90

10794.95

38989.65

32483.84

36009.84Close

Currency UpdateCMP Net Change

USDINR

EURINR 81.46

70.60 1.04%

1.99%

Institutional Activity ( Cr.)FII DII

Week -573.24

Month (Jan.)

Year (2019) -2373.02

1321.54-2373.02

1130.02

Primary Market UpdateDate Price BandCompany

- --

---

-

1321.54

IPO

Nitialublicffering

Equities Commodities Demat IPOs ResearchMutual FundsCurrencies Training

107201074010760107801080010820108401086010880

CLOSE

14.6014.8015.0015.2015.4015.6015.8016.0016.2016.40

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex

VIX Turnover (Rs. Cr.)

FII/DII (Cr) Advance/Decline

-800-600-400-200

0200400600800 FII

CLOSE35600

35700

35800

35900

36000

36100

36200

36300

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex


FII/DII (Cr) Advance/Decline

FII DII

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200 ADVANCE

05000

100001500020000250003000035000

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex


FII/DII (Cr) Advance/DeclineADVANCE DECLINE

NSE

33.13.23.33.43.53.63.73.83.9

2021222324252627282930

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3

3.1

3.2

3.3

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

03-Ju

l-17

03-A

ug-1

703

-Sep

-17

03-O

ct-1

703

-Nov

-17

03-D

ec-1

703

-Jan-

1803

-Feb

-18

03-M

ar-1

803

-Apr

-18

03-M

ay-1

803

-Jun-

1803

-Jul-1

803

-Aug

-18

03-S

ep-1

803

-Oct

-18

03-N

ov-1

803

-Dec

-18

03-Ja

n-19

2.9

3

3.1

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

25

27

29

31

33

35

37

2.4

2.6

2.8

3

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

Nifty P/E Ratio Nifty P/BV Ratio

Bank Nifty P/E Ratio Bank Nifty P/BV Ratio

Nifty 500 P/E Ratio Nifty 500 P/BV Ratio

MARKET MOVEMENT

Index* Close Pre. Day Return% Week Ago Return

% Month Ago Return % Year Ago Return%

11-Jan-19 10-Jan-19 4-Jan-19 12-Dec-18 5-Jan-18

Broad Market Indices :NIFTY 50 10794.95 10821.6 -0.25% 10727.35 0.63% 10737.6 0.53% 10558.85 2.24%NIFTY NEXT 50 27707.55 27798.2 -0.33% 27719.5 -0.04% 27440.85 0.97% 31696.15 -12.58%NIFTY 100 11025.85 11054.45 -0.26% 10966.15 0.54% 10960.45 0.60% 11051.25 -0.23%NIFTY 200 5708.45 5722.9 -0.25% 5680.5 0.49% 5669.55 0.69% 5855.3 -2.51%NIFTY 500 9098.2 9119.4 -0.23% 9054.9 0.48% 9021.6 0.85% 9573.45 -4.96%NIFTY MIDCAP 50 4875.7 4880.65 -0.10% 4847.7 0.58% 4753.5 2.57% 5635.7 -13.49%INDIA VIX 15.3525 15.345 0.05% 16.1625 -5.01% 15.81 -2.89% 13.1125 17.08%Sectoral Indices :NIFTY BANK 27453.9 27528.55 -0.27% 27195 0.95% 26643.85 3.04% 25601.85 7.23%

NIFTY AUTO 8862.35 8933.35 -0.79% 8809.35 0.60% 9166.15 -3.31% 11929.6 -25.71%

NIFTY FIN SERVICE 11690.85 11675.5 0.13% 11572.45 1.02% 11279.75 3.64% 10473.25 11.63%NIFTY FMCG 30759.05 30571.65 0.61% 30190.2 1.88% 30085.4 2.24% 26914.3 14.29%NIFTY IT 14307.1 14323.25 -0.11% 14146.15 1.14% 14738.55 -2.93% 11633.55 22.98%NIFTY MEDIA 2496.35 2496.95 -0.02% 2519.15 -0.91% 2531.4 -1.38% 3529.55 -29.27%NIFTY METAL 2971.25 2972.35 -0.04% 3001.7 -1.01% 3133.05 -5.16% 4130.4 -28.06%NIFTY PHARMA 8902.45 8934.8 -0.36% 8788.05 1.30% 8801.5 1.15% 9701.05 -8.23%NIFTY PSU BANK 3160 3188.85 -0.90% 3125.1 1.12% 2940.8 7.45% 3694.7 -14.47%NIFTY PVT BANK 15484.05 15527.3 -0.28% 15302.75 1.18% 15041.8 2.94% 14234.2 8.78%NIFTY REALTY 236.65 239.9 -1.35% 235.9 0.32% 233.3 1.44% 347.3 -31.86%Strategy Indices :NIFTY DIV OPPS 50 2558.25 2560 -0.07% 2550.45 0.31% 2550.5 0.30% 2640.5 -3.11%

NIFTY GROWSECT 15 6351.8 6359.6 -0.12% 6306.4 0.72% 6447.8 -1.49% 6526.1 -2.67%

NIFTY50 VALUE 20 5035.95 5061.65 -0.51% 5050 -0.28% 5147.2 -2.16% 4723.7 6.61%NIFTY50 TR 2X LEV 5667.1 5696.15 -0.51% 5603.7 1.13% 5635.8 0.56% 5703.6 -0.64%NIFTY50 PR 2X LEV 4473.1 4496.05 -0.51% 4423.05 1.13% 4453.9 0.43% 4632.65 -3.44%NIFTY50 TR 1X INV 371.25 370.3 0.26% 373.15 -0.51% 371.85 -0.16% 367.5 1.02%NIFTY50 PR 1X INV 417.8 416.7 0.26% 419.95 -0.51% 418.2 -0.10% 407.75 2.46%NIFTY50 DIV POINT 113.6 113.6 0.00% 113.6 0.00% 106.94 6.23% 97.82 16.13%Thematic Indices :NIFTY COMMODITIES 3297.85 3303 -0.16% 3331.15 -1.00% 3359 -1.82% 4163.45 -20.79%

NIFTY CONSUMPTION 4918.5 4927.5 -0.18% 4886.85 0.65% 4923.85 -0.11% 5138.75 -4.29%

NIFTY CPSE 2025.3 2018.35 0.34% 2031.65 -0.31% 1968.75 2.87% 2720.35 -25.55%NIFTY ENERGY 13937.55 14004.55 -0.48% 14043.05 -0.75% 13912.9 0.18% 14249.9 -2.19%NIFTY INFRA 3119.5 3154.35 -1.10% 3130.65 -0.36% 3051.45 2.23% 3736.5 -16.51%NIFTY100 LIQ 15 3774.15 3791.85 -0.47% 3758.35 0.42% 3696.75 2.09% 4631.75 -18.52%NIFTY MID LIQ 15 4062 4063.5 -0.04% 4049 0.32% 3934.8 3.23% 4622.75 -12.13%NIFTY MNC 13620.3 13641.15 -0.15% 13584.2 0.27% 13735.95 -0.84% 14812.15 -8.05%NIFTY PSE 3281.1 3281.8 -0.02% 3331.45 -1.51% 3204.5 2.39% 4348.85 -24.55%NIFTY SERV SECTOR 14983.65 15015.65 -0.21% 14868.85 0.77% 14757 1.54% 13771.2 8.80%

WEEKLY CHANGE IN WORLD INDICES

Indices 11.01.2019 04.01.2019 Chg (Pts) % ChgDOW JONES 23995.94 23433.16 562.78 2.40%NASDAQ COMPOSITE 6971.47 6738.86 232.61 3.45%FTSE 6918.18 6837.42 80.76 1.18%NIKKEI 20359.69 19561.96 797.73 4.08%BOVESPA 93658.31 91840.79 1817.52 1.98%HANG SENG 26667.26 25626.03 1041.23 4.06%

52 WEEKS HIGH/LOW ALL TIME HIGH/LOW

Scrip Rate H/L Prev H/L on Scrip Rate H/L Prev H/L on

DIVISLAB 1533.7 H 19-Nov-18 BATAINDIA 1166.85 H 1-Oct-19

GRINDWELL 572.95 H 6-Nov-18 SCHAEFFLER 5714 H 28-Dec-18

ASTRAL 1199.8 H 10-Jan-18 GUJFLUORO 955 H 9-Jan-19

COLPAL 1332.6 H 31-Dec-18 HDFC 2007.7 H 30-Jul-18

VBL 822.7 H 30-Oct-18 SKFINDIA 1940 H 1-Jan-18

ABFRL 213.7 H 27-Aug-18 TITAN 969.5 H 18-Apr-18

ADVENZYMES 169 L 12-Oct-18 MARICO 390 H 20-Dec-18

COCHINSHIP 366.65 L 10-Sep-18 CONCOR 691.85 H 6-Jan-15

ASHOKLEY 93.7 L 3-Dec-18 ICICIBANK 381.2 H 1-Sep-19

SPARC 182.5 L 4-Jan-19 AXISBANK 668.5 H 9-Oct-18

INCREASE IN OPEN INTEREST

Symbol Expiry Date Last Price Chg (Rs) Chg (%) Open Interest MWPL Reached (%) Change in OI (%)SUZLON 31-Jan-19 5.35 -0.15 -2.73% 290092000 2508000 0.87%RCOM 31-Jan-19 13.7 -0.20 -1.44% 88502000 2448000 2.84%JINDALSTEL 31-Jan-19 149.1 -1.45 -0.96% 25375500 1692000 7.14%IDFC 31-Jan-19 42.2 -1.05 -2.43% 96993600 1623600 1.70%BANKINDIA 31-Jan-19 103.4 -3.35 -3.14% 30348000 1602000 5.57%

DECREASE IN OPEN INTEREST

Symbol Expiry Date Last Price Chg (Rs) Chg (%) Open Interest MWPL Reached (%) Change in OI (%)ITC 31-Jan-19 295.7 4.65 1.60% 78328800 -2172000 -0.027IOC 31-Jan-19 131.4 0.90 0.69% 47845000 -1736000 -0.035IDEA 31-Jan-19 37 -0.25 -0.67% 133836000 -1668000 -0.0123NMDC 31-Jan-19 91.9 0.95 1.04% 19530000 -1524000 -0.0724SOUTHBANK 31-Jan-19 15.8 -0.15 -0.94% 159308787 -1259358 -0.0078

INCREASE IN OI IN CALLS

Symbol Expiry Date Option Type Strike Price Last Price Turnover Premium (Lacs Open Interest Open Int Chg

KTKBANK 31-Jan-19 CE 120 2.3 312.07 1988100 672100ASHOKLEY 31-Jan-19 CE 100 1.35 167.96 8152000 580000TATAMOTORS 31-Jan-19 CE 200 0.8 114.91 4602000 560000ITC 31-Jan-19 CE 300 4.15 391.62 3362400 321600SBIN 31-Jan-19 CE 310 4.9 487.82 5904000 1131000

INCREASE IN OI IN PUTS

Symbol Expiry Date Option Type Strike Price Last Price Turnover Premium (Lacs Open Interest Open Int ChgTATAMOTORS 31-Jan-19 PE 180 5.2 306.96 1170000 -180000SBIN 31-Jan-19 PE 300 6.2 358.59 2169000 -75000YESBANK 31-Jan-19 PE 180 10.1 450.08 3225250 477750KTKBANK 31-Jan-19 PE 110 1.4 82.12 1095100 404200TCS 31-Jan-19 PE 1800 21.85 722.77 1159500 20500

LEVELS FOR NIFTY STOCKS

Security Name HBP 2R 1R CLOSE ATP 1S 2S LBP Up/DownADANIPORTS 386.30 383.65 380.40 377.15 377.75 374.50 371.85 368.60 DOWNAMBUJACEM 216.82 215.48 214.17 212.85 212.83 211.52 210.18 208.87 UPASIANPAINT 1422.90 1414.55 1409.10 1403.65 1400.75 1395.30 1386.95 1381.50 UPAUROPHARMA 787.73 781.62 775.73 769.85 769.62 763.73 757.62 751.73 UPAXISBANK 680.90 674.70 670.60 666.50 664.40 660.30 654.10 650.00 UPBAJAJ-AUTO 2777.33 2758.02 2739.48 2720.95 2720.17 2701.63 2682.32 2663.78 UPBAJFINANCE 2575.47 2552.73 2533.47 2514.20 2510.73 2491.47 2468.73 2449.47 UPBPCL 344.97 342.33 339.82 337.30 337.18 334.67 332.03 329.52 UPBHARTIARTL 346.90 342.10 338.60 335.10 333.80 330.30 325.50 322.00 UPINFRATEL 293.43 289.77 283.48 277.20 279.82 273.53 269.87 263.58 DOWNBOSCHLTD 19911.87 19805.93 19661.87 19517.80 19555.93 19411.87 19305.93 19161.87 DOWNCIPLA 527.47 523.23 516.72 510.20 512.48 505.97 501.73 495.22 DOWNCOALINDIA 235.75 234.75 233.50 232.25 232.50 231.25 230.25 229.00 DOWNDRREDDY 2636.77 2623.78 2605.97 2588.15 2592.98 2575.17 2562.18 2544.37 DOWNEICHERMOT 21101.23 20934.27 20720.93 20507.60 20553.97 20340.63 20173.67 19960.33 DOWNGAIL 350.80 347.80 343.20 338.60 340.20 335.60 332.60 328.00 DOWNHCLTECH 968.37 954.68 947.37 940.05 933.68 926.37 912.68 905.37 UPHDFC 2043.90 2025.80 2008.60 1991.40 1990.50 1973.30 1955.20 1938.00 UPHDFCBANK 2137.27 2130.63 2121.27 2111.90 2114.63 2105.27 2098.63 2089.27 DOWNHEROMOTOCO 2987.75 2964.35 2931.80 2899.25 2908.40 2875.85 2852.45 2819.90 DOWNHINDPETRO 239.43 237.37 235.43 233.50 233.37 231.43 229.37 227.43 UPHINDALCO 211.82 209.88 207.87 205.85 205.93 203.92 201.98 199.97 DOWNHINDUNILVR 1827.20 1811.30 1790.35 1769.40 1774.45 1753.50 1737.60 1716.65 DOWNICICIBANK 387.37 384.28 381.42 378.55 378.33 375.47 372.38 369.52 UPIBULHSGFIN 833.85 827.05 821.60 816.15 814.80 809.35 802.55 797.10 UPIOC 132.92 132.23 131.72 131.20 131.03 130.52 129.83 129.32 UPINDUSINDBK 1622.37 1598.18 1556.67 1515.15 1532.48 1490.97 1466.78 1425.27 DOWNINFY 701.50 693.50 688.50 683.50 680.50 675.50 667.50 662.50 UPITC 301.57 298.78 297.07 295.35 294.28 292.57 289.78 288.07 UPJSWSTEEL 300.85 297.50 293.15 288.80 289.80 285.45 282.10 277.75 DOWNKOTAKBANK 1246.53 1237.87 1230.53 1223.20 1221.87 1214.53 1205.87 1198.53 UPLT 1421.50 1407.70 1388.65 1369.60 1374.85 1355.80 1342.00 1322.95 DOWNM&M 748.60 741.80 734.85 727.90 728.05 721.10 714.30 707.35 DOWNMARUTI 7504.33 7452.17 7386.33 7320.50 7334.17 7268.33 7216.17 7150.33 DOWNNTPC 152.90 151.60 149.80 148.00 148.50 146.70 145.40 143.60 DOWNONGC 147.40 146.45 145.55 144.65 144.60 143.70 142.75 141.85 UPPOWERGRID 198.40 197.15 195.75 194.35 194.50 193.10 191.85 190.45 DOWNRELIANCE 1136.90 1125.35 1111.70 1098.05 1100.15 1086.50 1074.95 1061.30 DOWNSBIN 310.90 308.55 305.65 302.75 303.30 300.40 298.05 295.15 DOWNSUNPHARMA 457.05 453.40 448.90 444.40 445.25 440.75 437.10 432.60 DOWNTATAMOTORS 193.92 190.83 185.57 180.30 182.48 177.22 174.13 168.87 DOWNTATASTEEL 493.88 489.07 481.63 474.20 476.82 469.38 464.57 457.13 DOWNTCS 1906.70 1890.85 1866.70 1842.55 1850.85 1826.70 1810.85 1786.70 DOWNTECHM 718.88 710.07 704.63 699.20 695.82 690.38 681.57 676.13 UPULTRACEMCO 3931.25 3891.40 3830.80 3770.20 3790.95 3730.35 3690.50 3629.90 DOWNUPL 803.30 795.15 789.30 783.45 781.15 775.30 767.15 761.30 UPVEDL 201.57 199.93 198.27 196.60 196.63 194.97 193.33 191.67 DOWNWIPRO 337.63 333.77 331.23 328.70 327.37 324.83 320.97 318.43 UPYESBANK 195.67 192.78 188.52 184.25 185.63 181.37 178.48 174.22 DOWNZEEL 460.45 457.85 454.45 451.05 451.85 448.45 445.85 442.45 DOWN

MCX OPTION STRATEGY

COPPER : Sell Feb. Call option strike of 430 @ CMP 4.80.Maximum Profit : Call PremiumMaximum loss : UnlimitedStop Loss : Exit in Call option If Copper closes Above 425.

COPPER : Sell Feb. Put option strike of 400 @ CMP 5.10.Maximum Profit : Put PremiumMaximum loss : UnlimitedStop Loss : Exit in Put option If Copper closes Below 402.

RESULT CALENDAR

Symbol Result Date Symbol Result Date Symbol Result Date Symbol Result Date

TATAMETALI 14-Jan-19 SPECIALITY 15-Jan-19 FEDERALBNK 17-Jan-19 KAJARIACER 18-Jan-19

FUTSOL 14-Jan-19 TINPLATE 15-Jan-19 FIBERWEB 17-Jan-19 LTI 18-Jan-19

IBVENTURES 14-Jan-19 TRIDENT 15-Jan-19 GEOJITFSL 17-Jan-19 MENNPIS 18-Jan-19

ISEC 14-Jan-19 ZEEL 15-Jan-19 GGAUTO 17-Jan-19 MINALIND 18-Jan-19

JUMBO 14-Jan-19 5PAISA 16-Jan-19 HINDUNILVR 17-Jan-19 MPSLTD 18-Jan-19

PRAKASH 14-Jan-19 DCBBANK 16-Jan-19 INDOTHAI 17-Jan-19 MTEDUCARE 18-Jan-19

SANGHCO 14-Jan-19 HTMEDIA 16-Jan-19 JIYAECO 17-Jan-19 MUDITFN 18-Jan-19

SUPREMEINF 14-Jan-19 KAYEL 16-Jan-19 LTTS 17-Jan-19 MUTHTFN 18-Jan-19

TV18BRDCST 15-Jan-19 MIL 16-Jan-19 MANORG 17-Jan-19 NIITTECH 18-Jan-19

COMFINCAP 15-Jan-19 MINDTREE 16-Jan-19 MASTEK 17-Jan-19 OMAXAUTO 18-Jan-19

DEN 15-Jan-19 MOTILALOFS 16-Jan-19 NALINLEA 17-Jan-19 SBILIFE 18-Jan-19

HMVL 15-Jan-19 PANKAJPOLY 16-Jan-19 RELIANCE 17-Jan-19 SHRINIWAS 18-Jan-19

INDIGRID 15-Jan-19 PHILIPCARB 16-Jan-19 3IINFOTECH 18-Jan-19 SICAPIT 18-Jan-19

JAYBARMARU 15-Jan-19 WHITEORG 16-Jan-19 ASHSI 18-Jan-19 TGVSL 18-Jan-19

KEYCORP 15-Jan-19 ABHIJIT 17-Jan-19 ATUL 18-Jan-19 WIPRO 18-Jan-19

KORE 15-Jan-19 AUBANK 17-Jan-19 CEINSYSTECH 18-Jan-19 ZEELEARN 18-Jan-19

KPIT 15-Jan-19 BIRLAMONEY 17-Jan-19 DATIWARE 18-Jan-19 AROGRANITE 19-Jan-19

MCX 15-Jan-19 BURNPUR 17-Jan-19 DHANBANK 18-Jan-19 HDFCBANK 19-Jan-19

NETWORK18 15-Jan-19 CHOWGULSTM 17-Jan-19 DUKEOFS 18-Jan-19 SIYSIL 19-Jan-19

PRATIK 15-Jan-19 CYIENT 17-Jan-19 ICICIGI 18-Jan-19 SOUTHBANK 19-Jan-19

SIELFNS 15-Jan-19 RALLIS 17-Jan-19 UGROCAP 18-Jan-19

COPRPORATE ACTION

Symbol Series Face Value(Rs.) Purpose Ex-Date Record Date BC Start Date BC EndDate

GUJGASLTD EQ 10 Face Value Split- From Rs 10/- To Rs 2/- Per Share 15-Jan-19 16-Jan-19 - -

NMDC EQ 1 Buy Back 17-Jan-19 18-Jan-19 - -

TCS EQ 1 Interim Dividend 17-Jan-19 18-Jan-19 - -

NEXT WEEK MAJOR ECONOMIC EVENTS

Time Cur. Imp. Event Forecast Previous

Monday, January 14, 2019

All Day Holiday Japan - Coming of Age (Adults') Day

12:00:00 PM INR WPI Food (YoY) (Dec) -3.31%

12:00:00 PM INR WPI Fuel (YoY) (Dec) 16.28%

12:00:00 PM INR WPI Inflation (YoY) (Dec) 4.42% 4.64%

12:00:00 PM INR WPI Manufacturing Inflation (YoY) (Dec) 4.21%

5:30:00 PM INR CPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.20% 2.33%

Tentative USD Fed Chair Powell Testifies

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Tentative GBP UK Parliament vote on Brexit deal

6:15:00 PM INR Trade Balance -16.67B

7:00:00 PM USD PPI (MoM) (Dec) -0.10% 0.10%

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

3:00:00 PM GBP CPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.20% 2.30%

5:00:00 PM INR M3 Money Supply 10.20%

7:00:00 PM USD Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) 0.10% 0.20%

7:00:00 PM USD Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) 0.20% 0.20%

9:00:00 PM USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.800M -1.680M

Thursday, January 17, 2019

Tentative CNY GDP (YoY) (Q4) 6.40% 6.50%

3:30:00 PM EUR CPI (YoY) (Dec) 1.60% 1.60%

7:00:00 PM USD Building Permits (Dec) 1.290M 1.328M

7:00:00 PM USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) 10 9.1

Tentative USD New Home Sales 569K 544K

Friday, January 18, 2019

3:00:00 PM GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) -0.80% 1.40%

5:00:00 PM INR Bank Loan Growth 15.10%

5:00:00 PM INR Deposit Growth 9.20%

5:00:00 PM INR FX Reserves, USD

7:00:00 PM CAD Core CPI (MoM) (Dec) -0.20%

Address:4th Floor, Baid House, 1, Tara Nagar,

Ajmer Road, Jaipur - 302006,Tel. Ph. 0141- 4050515

Email- [email protected]

SEBI Reg. No. : INB 231248536/ INB 011248532/INE 261248536 NSE Code No. : 12485, BSE Code No. : 6284, MCXSX Code No.: 47000, FMC Reg. No. : NCDEX/TCM/Corp/0278,NCDEX TM ID: 00142, FMC Reg. No. : MCX/TCM/Corp/0853, MCX TM ID: 10790

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Disclaimer:This Document has been prepared by Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd., for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the documenthave been complied from sources believed to be reliable. Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd., does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness.This report is for your guidanceonly. Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd. Or any of its director/employee/signatories or any other person will not be responsible for any trade done based on the report mentioned above.Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd has no personal trading interest in any of the scrips detailed above. Trading in commodities is facilitated through associate companies : TradeswiftCommodities Private Limited (NCDEX) and Tradeswift Derivatives Private Limited (MCX)

Commodity MonthLTP as on

11.01.2019Strategy Target S/L Technical Comments

Chana March 4328

Buy aroundsup. Level and

sell around res.Level

4390/4450 (Res.)4320/4250

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of4435. Traders can sell on rise with SL 4450. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 4550 to 4630. It can also correct from theselevels. It can also bounce from support levels. Traders can also buy oncorrection near support levels and consider near support level as SL.

Guar Gum Feb 8245Sell on rise and

buy nearsupport levels

8430/8570 (Res.)8170/8050

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of8550. Traders can sell on rise with SL 8570. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 8770. It can also correct from these levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

Agri Commodities

Guar Gum Feb 8245Sell on rise and


8430/8570 (Res.)8170/8050

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of8550. Traders can sell on rise with SL 8570. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 8770. It can also correct from these levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

Guar Seed M Feb 4206Sell on rise and


4410/4470 (Res.)4150/4110

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 200 DEMA of4290. Traders can sell on rise with SL 4290. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 4330 to 4390. It can also correct from theselevels. It can also bounce from support levels.

Jeera March 17045



17250/17500(Res.)

16850/16700(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of17450. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of17250. Closes above this level it can go up to around 17500. It can alsocorrect from these levels. Near support levels it can give somebounce.

Soyabean Feb 3625Buy on declines

and sell nearres. Levels

3650/3720 (Res.)3550/3490

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of3490. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 3550. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 3490. It can also bounce fromthese levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

RMSeed Feb 3882Sell on rise and


3930/3990 (Res.)3850/3770

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of3930. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of3930. Closes above this level it can go up to around 3990 to 4050. Itcan also correct from these levels. Near support levels it can givesome bounce.

Soya Oil Ref. Feb 752Buy on declines


755/765 (Res.)740/732

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 200 DEMAof 740. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 745. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 740 to 735. It can also bouncefrom these levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

Soya Oil Ref. Feb 752Buy on declines


755/765 (Res.)740/732

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 200 DEMAof 740. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 745. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 740 to 735. It can also bouncefrom these levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

Cocud(N) Feb 1911



1990/2030 (Res.)1890/1850

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of1930. Traders can sell on rise with SL 1930. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 1960 to 1990. It can also correct from theselevels. It can also bounce from support levels. Closes below 1890 itcan correct up to around 1850.

Dhania Apr 6643Sell on rise and


7050/7230 (Res.)6530/6450

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of6690. Traders can sell on rise with SL 6750. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 6850. It can also correct from this levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

TMC Apr 6604



6830/6950 (Res.)6550/6350

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 200 DEMA of6790 . Traders can sell on rise with SL 6830. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 6950. It can also correct from these levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

Mentha oil (MCX) Jan 1613



1630/1670 (Res.)1575/1550

(Sup.)


CPO (MCX) Jan 545



550/560 (Res.)540/535

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 50 DEMA of527. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 540. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 535 to 530. It can also bouncefrom these levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

CPO (MCX) Jan 545



550/560 (Res.)540/535

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 50 DEMA of527. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 540. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 535 to 530. It can also bouncefrom these levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

Cardamom Feb 1597



1605/1630 (Res.)1560/1540

(Sup.)


Commodity MonthLTP as on

11.01.2019Strategy Resistance Support Technical Comments

Gold Feb 31928

Buy aroundsupport leveland sell near

resistancelevels

32150/3230031600/31350(Sup.)

Gold has made a higher bottom formation but facing a resistance ofprevious resistance of 32300 and given a correction from 32135 to 31850.It is trading above 20 DEMA of 31600. Traders can buy on declines withnear SL of 31750. Closes below this level it can correct up to around 31600to 31400. It can also bounce from these levels. Near resistance levels itcan give some correction.

Silver March 39336


resistancelevels

39750/40500(Res.)

39150/38700(Sup.)

Silver has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of38700. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 39150. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 38700 to 38350. It can also bouncefrom this level. It is facing a resistance of previous resistance of 39750.Closes above this level it can go up to around 40250 to 40500.

Non - Agri Commodities

Silver March 39336


resistancelevels

39750/40500(Res.)

39150/38700(Sup.)

Silver has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of38700. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 39150. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 38700 to 38350. It can also bouncefrom this level. It is facing a resistance of previous resistance of 39750.Closes above this level it can go up to around 40250 to 40500.

Copper Feb 416


resistancelevels

420/425 (Res.)410/405

(Sup.)

Copper has made a low of 397 and given a sharp bounce from this level upto 421. It is facing a resistance of 20 DEMA of 418 on closing basis. Traderscan buy on declines with SL 410. Closes below this level it can correct upto around 405 to 401. It can also bounce from these levels. Traders canalso sell on bounce near resistance levels and consider near resistancelevels as SL.

Aluminum Jan 129


resistancelevels

132/135 (Res.)127/125

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of 131.50.Traders can sell on rise with SL 132. Closes above this level it can go up toaround 135 to 137. It can also correct from this level. Near support levelsit can give some bounce. Traders can also buy on correction near supportlevels with SL 127.

Lead Jan 140


resistancelevels

143/147 (Res.)135/132

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of 139.Traders can buy on declines with SL 139. Closes below this level it cancorrect up to around 137 to 135. It can also bounce from this level. It canalso correct from resistance levels. Traders can also sell on bounce nearresistance levels and consider near resistance level as SL.

Zinc Jan 176


resistancelevels

180/183 (Res.)175/172

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation but facing a resistance of 20 DEMAof 177 on closing basis. Traders can sell on rise near resistance level andconsider near resistance level as SL. Traders can also buy with SL 175.Below this level it can correct up to around 172 to 170. It can aslo bouncefrom these levels.

Nickel Jan 805


resistancelevels

830/850 (Res.)790/775

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 50 DEMA of 795.Traders can buy on declines with SL 790. Closes below this level it cancorrect up to around 775. It can also bounce from this level. It can alsocorrect from resistance levels.

Nickel Jan 805


resistancelevels

830/850 (Res.)790/775

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 50 DEMA of 795.Traders can buy on declines with SL 790. Closes below this level it cancorrect up to around 775. It can also bounce from this level. It can alsocorrect from resistance levels.

Crude Oil Jan 3632


resistancelevels

3690/3770(Res.)

3520/3470(Sup.)

Crude oil has given a sharp bounce from 2993 to 3764 and after facing aresistance of 50 DEMA of 3763 it has given a correction up to 3611.Traders can buy on correction around support levels with SL 3470. Closesbelow this level it can correct up to around 3390 to 3290. Traders can alsosell on bounce with SL 3690. Closes above this level it can go up to around3770. It can aslo correct from this level.

Natural Gas Jan 217


resistancelevels

225/230 Res.)210/205

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 200 DEMA of 230.Traders can sell on rise with SL 230. Closes above this level it can go up toaround 250. It can also correct from this level. Near support levels it cangive some bounce. Traders can also buy on correction near support levelsand consider near support level as SL.

marketoutlook · 10720 10740 10760 10780 10800 10820 10840 10860 10880 close 14.60 14.80 15.00...

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