measuring postsecondary employment outcomes
TRANSCRIPT
Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes
Lisa Neilson, Ph.D.
Ohio Education Research Center
Center for Human Resource Research, OSU
Agenda
Introduction
Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive
County School District Analysis
Postsecondary Outcomes
City School District Analysis
Postsecondary Outcomes
Discussion and Questions
Two Examples
County School District
5 cohorts of graduates
City School District
3 cohorts of City School District 9th grade students
Graduates
Dropouts
Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive
Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive
(OLDA)
Ohio Education Research Center(OERC)
Center for Human
Resource Research(CHRR)
Researchers
State Agents
Public Stakeholders
4
OLDA
Ohio Department of Job & Family
Services
Individual Wages & Employers
Employer Information
Unemployment Insurance Benefits
Workforce Investment Act
Ohio Board of Regents
Higher Education
Information
Ohio Technical Centers
Adult Basic & Literacy
Education
Ohio Department of Education
Education Management Information
System
Administrative Data
Collected for program administration
Examples
Admission records
Intake forms
Graduation dates
Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive
Benefits
Many observations
No non-response bias
Ability to measure the same person over time
Limitations
Ohio only (no out-of-state)
Public institutions and programs only (not private)
No information on motives/attitudes
OLDA
Ohio Department of Job & Family
Services
Individual Wages & Employers
Employer Information
Unemployment Insurance Benefits
Workforce Investment Act
Ohio Board of Regents
Higher Education
Information
Ohio Technical Centers
Adult Basic & Literacy
Education
Ohio Department of Education
Education Management Information
System
Key Indicators
Employment
Total annual earnings from Ohio employers (adjusted, $2010)
Percent employed in Ohio
Postsecondary education and training
Percent enrolled in public higher ed in Ohio
Percent using WIA services in Ohio
County School District Analysis
County School District
Graduates
(N=484)
Higher Ed
Employed
Higher Ed
No Higher Ed
County School District ResultsGraduation Year
Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5
Employed 2006/2007 65% 60% 57% 55% 59%
2007/2008 57% 54% 55% 65%
2008/2009 67% 69% 72%
2009/2010 53% 62%
2010/2011 63%
Higher Ed 2006/2007 33% 31% 30% 29% No data
2007/2008 23% 24% 19% No data
2008/2009 36% 35% No data
2009/2010 39% No data
2010/2011 No data
County School District Results
Most students are employed while in college
Graduation Year Year-1
2006/2007 88%
2007/2008 83%
2008/2009 81%
2009/2010 67%
County School District ResultsGraduation Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4
Employed & Not In College: Annual Wages ($2010)
2006/2007 $7,200 $8,500 $10,500 $15,400
2007/2008 $3,200 $4,600 $8,500
2008/2009 $4,600 $5,700
2009/2010 $5,600
Employed College Students: Annual Wages ($2010)
2006/2007 $7,200 $7,000 $9,600 $9,700
2007/2008 $5,200 $7,900 $8,200
2008/2009 $4,900 $6,500
2009/2010 $4,400
City School District Analysis
City School District
(N=9,321)
4-yr Graduates
Higher Ed
Employed
Higher Ed
No Higher Ed
WIA5-yr+
Graduates
Dropouts
ABLE
Employed
WIA
City School District ResultsEver Enrolled 9th Grade Year 4-Yr Graduates Dropouts
Higher Ed 2005/2006 58% n/a
2006/2007 56% n/a
2007/2008 51% n/a
WIA 2005/2006 10% 11%
2006/2007 11% 13%
2007/2008 9% 13%
ABLE 2005/2006 n/a 11%
2006/2007 n/a 11%
2007/2008 n/a 7%
City School District Results
PercentEmployed
9th Grade Year
Year-1 Year-2 Year-3
4-Yr Graduates 2005/2006 70% 76% 77%
2006/2007 74% 80% 84%
2007/2008 77% 82% No data
Dropouts 2005/2006 46% 55% 51%
2006/2007 47% 54% 45%
2007/2008 40% 54% 35%
City School District Results
Annual Wages ($2010)
9th Grade Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3
4-Yr Graduates 2005/2006 $4,400 $7,000 $9,500
2006/2007 $4,700 $7,200 $9,000
2007/2008 $4,600 $7,200 No data
Dropouts 2005/2006 $3,300 $4,200 $4,200
2006/2007 $2,000 $3,000 $3,400
2007/2008 $1,800 $2,100 $2,100
City School District Results
Annual Wages ($2010)
9th Grade Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3
Grads, College 2005/2006 $3,900 $6,500 $9,500
2006/2007 $4,500 $6,900 $8,700
2007/2008 $3,900 $6,800 No data
Grads, No College 2005/2006 $5,600 $8,100 $9,600
2006/2007 $5,200 $7,700 $9,700
2007/2008 $5,700 $7,900 No data
Measuring Postsecondary Outcomes
Cohort definition
Entry point (e.g. 9th grade year) or exit point (graduation year)?
Sub-group definitions
Graduates
Ever vs. graduated in X years?
Dropouts
Ever vs. first time vs. most recent?
Measuring Postsecondary Outcomes
Outcome Measures
Employed at any point in a given year vs. employed at a specific time?
Employed all 4 quarters vs. any?
Missing Data
Linking indicators
Time indicators
Low incidence indicators
Contacts & Information
OERC website, www.oerc.osu.edu
Ohio Analytics website, www.OhioAnalytics.gov