mekong regional overview, drivers of forest change, 20 jan 2015

10
Bangkok, 20 January 2015 Workshop on Drivers of Change Affecting Mekong Forests: Towards formulation of GMS action plans Draft Regional Synthesis John Costenbader, Climate Focus

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Page 1: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

Bangkok, 20 January 2015

Workshop on Drivers of Change Affecting Mekong Forests: Towards formulation of GMS action plans

Draft Regional Synthesis

John Costenbader, Climate Focus

Page 2: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

Overview

Drivers

Negative

Positive

Policies and Measures (PAMs)

Cross-Cutting Challenges

Preliminary Recommendations

Page 3: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

0

50000

100000

150000

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250000

300000

350000

400000

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To

tal F

ore

st

Are

a (

sq

. km

)

Rapid declines observed in forest area across most GMS countries

Vietnam Cambodia Thailand Lao PDR Myanmar

Page 4: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

*Most GMS forests lost have been converted to agricultural

land, esp. cash crop plantations

Direct Indirect

Agriculture* Population & demographics

Infrastructure Economics

Mining Transport infrastructure

Dams Regional & global demand for arable land

Logging

Forest Fires

*Most GMS forests lost have been converted to agricultural land, esp. cash crop plantations

Page 5: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

0

25000

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1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

Ag

ric

ult

ura

l L

an

d A

rea

(s

q. k

m)

Year

Growth in Agricultural land area in GMS countries (World Bank data): 1961-2012

Vietnam Cambodia Thailand Lao PDR Myanmar

Page 6: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

Main patterns and drivers of forest loss from 1990 to 2010 (Stibig et al. 2014)

Page 7: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

Direct Indirect

Demand for wood products Global demand for sustainable goods & environmental services

Demand for:• Biodiversity conservation• Water-related environmental

services• Soil conservation

• Land use planning and agricultural intensification

• Urbanization and economic growth

Community forestry Cultural developments favoring forest protection

Sustainable timber supply chains Growing SFM opportunities

Abandonment of marginalagricultural areas

Outmigration & overseas work

Public awareness

Environmental disasters

Page 8: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

1. Sustainable Forest Management

2. Land Use Planning

3. Protected Areas

4. Forest Law Enforcement & Logging Bans

5. Community Forestry

6. PES Incentives

7. Allocation of Forest Land to Local Stakeholders

8. Private Sector Incentivization

9. Forest Funds

10. Regional Agreements

Page 9: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

1. Policy targets not implemented into laws and regulations

2. Inadequate human and financial resources

3. Overlap with other sectors

4. Unclear land tenure & exclusion of rural communities in

forest titling / management

5. Weak forest law enforcement

6. Inadequately planned logging bans

7. Inconsistent forest law & policy

8. Inadequate or improper incentives

Page 10: Mekong Regional Overview, Drivers of Forest Change, 20 Jan 2015

Thank you for listening

John [email protected]