member of the board for international food and agriculture development...
TRANSCRIPT
2016 Central America Summit
Featured Speaker
Ms. Pamela Anderson
Member of the Board for International Food and Agriculture Development (BIFAD) and
Director General Emeritus International Potato Center
Central America Summit: Forging a Viable Future INVESTMENTS TO ACCLERATE PROGRESS Pamela K. Anderson 28 June 2016 CIP Director General Emerita BIFAD Member
Introduction
TARGETING
SUSTAINABILITY
ACCOUNTABILITY
Investments to Accelerate Progress
By 2050, the world population is expected to reach 9.7 billion
We will need to increase food production by 70%
International Potato Center
Agriculture based countries Mainly SS-Africa
417 million rural people
Transforming countries Mainly Asia, MENA
2.2 billion rural people
Urbanized countries Mainly Latin America
255 million rural people Agr
icul
ture
’s s
hare
in g
row
th 1
990-
2005
Rural poor/total poor, 2002
The Functions of Agriculture Differ in the Three Worlds of Agriculture
0 100%
80%
0
50%
20%
Source: World Bank 2007
TARGETING: Geography, children, youth,
& women
Latin America is the Region with the Highest Degree of Economic Inequity
Source: thecollaboratory.wikidot.com
Economic Inequity in the Northern Triangle
Honduras Guatemala El Salvador
Annual GDP Gini Coefficient Growth 3.5% (WB 2014) 53.7 (WB 2013) 4.2% (WB 2014) 52.4 (WB 2011) 2.0% (WB 2014) 43.5 (WB 2013)
Honduras - Zones of Influence Total Population: 8,075 million (UN 2015) $1.25 Poverty: 13.4% (2010) ZoI Population: 1.5 million (FtF) ZoI $1.25 Poverty 45.8% (FtF baseline)
CHILDHOOD STUNTING
In 2015, of the 7.3 billion people on the planet: 794 million are calorie deficient
2 billion people are micronutrient deficient 161 million children <5 are stunted
Source: 2015 Global Nutrition Report (IFPRI)
Age: 2 yr 9 mo BW: 10.7 kg Height: 78.3 cm
Age: 2 yr 6 mo BW: 11.6 kg Height: 86.4 cm
Girls from ANDAHUAYLAS (Photograph: Courtesy of UNICEF)
Childhood Stunting in the Northern Triangle
El Salvador Honduras Guatemala
Prevalence of stunting < 5 children 1992 1997 2002 2007 2014 36.7 29.5 32.3 24.6 14.0 42.5 44.5 34.5 29.9 22.7 54.1 55.4 50.0 50.1 44.0
Source: UNICEF, WHO, WB (GHI 2015)
Honduras - Zones of Influence STUNTING Total Stunting 22.7% (GHI 2015) ZoI Stunting 38.5% < 5 children (FtF)
Guatemala - Zones of Influence STUNTING Total Stunting 44.0% (GHI 2015) ZoI Stunting 67.4% < 5 children (FtF)
Percentual Contribution of Determinant Factors to Malnutrition
Food
26.1%
Health
19.3%
Women Status
11.6% Female Education
43.0%
Source: Smith & Haddad 2000
MSGC
Prevalence of Stunting by Highest Levels of Maternal Education
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Bolivia Colombia DominicanRep.
Guatemala Haiti Peru
Pre
vale
nce
of s
tunt
ing
NonePrimarySecundaryHigher
2003 2005 2002
2002 2005 2004-6
Source: OPS, Salud en las Americas 2007
The Youth Bulge
AFRICA ASIA LAC < 15 Years 41% 26% 24% 15 – 24 Years 19% 17% 16% TOTAL 60% 43% 40%
Source: UN World Population Prospects, 2015 Revision
Six Challenges from LAC Rural Youth Institutions and communities do not recognize or pay attention to young people Urban/rural dichotomy Lack of assets Limited market access Limited integration into development programs Limited access to education and training
Source: IFAD Governing Council 2011
School Drop Out Rates in Central America
139 Source: Adelman & Szekely (World Bank) 2016
Women as Agents of Transformation
Women’s Empowerment in Agriculture Index (WEAI)
5 Empowerment Domains Decision-making in production Access to productive resources Control over use of income Community leadership Time allocation
Guatemala – WEAI PILOT 625 individuals 22.8% of women empowered Lack of: Community leadership Control over income Access to resources
SUSTAINABILITY: through government & private sector
Government’s Social Compact Creating policy for an enabling environment Investing in infrastructure Investing in education Investing in public goods research
Pests and Diseases – Ongoing Challenges
Photo: Francisco Morales, CIAT
New Challenges – Coffee Rust
Drought Tolerant Maize for Africa 140 new varieties in 13 countries of sub-Saharan Africa on an estimated 1.23 million hectares benefiting 3 million households Supplied by 110 African seed companies
Climate Change
Photos: CIMMYT
Agricultural Science & Technology Indicators (ASTI)
Source: Ag Reserach in LAC, Stads et al (IFPR) 2016
Honduras Guatemala Costa Rica Mexico
Total Agricultural Total Ag Researchers Spending (FTEs) (millions, 2011) 88 7.5 142 15.6 242 37.1 3,967 710.4
Private Sector: Driver of Inclusive, Sustainable
Value Chains
Inclusive Businesses …profitable busineses that integrate the low-income segments into their mainstream business activities as consumers, distributors, suppliers, and/or employees – to create shared value. Source: USAID “Partnerning for Innovation”
Mesoamerican Staples
Value Addition for Staples
Photos: CIMMYT
Extreme Poverty in Peru
Source: GRADE (Peru) 2003
2002 2006
PERU: Native Potato Chips Market
2008
MT
1000
2000
Creative imitations
Large companies
Certification
2004
PMCA: Commercial Innovation
2009
Spaces Dedicated to Potatoes - Supermarkets in 2014 -
Diversification to High-Value Crops
Loroco
Sharing Value Along the Value Chain
Seeds fertilizers IPM technologies Advisory services
Processing
Retail sales
Commercial venues
Improved production
Improved quality
Fair market prices
Procurement
Transport
Packaging
Distributing
Input provider Farmer Wholesaler Processor Retail
ACCOUNTABILITY: Metrics, indicators &
learning for impact
Feed the Future Results Framework
166 Thank you