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Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future

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Page 1: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Metallurgical industry in

Russia:

final results of 2015 and

forecasts for future

Page 2: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Results of the year 2015. World steelmaking, mln. tons (data of WSA)

Position Country 2015 2014 Changes

1 China 803,8 822,8 -2,3%

2 Japan 105,2 110,7 -5,0%

3 India 89,6 87,3 +2,6%

4 USA 78,9 88,2 -10,5%

5 Russia 71,1 71,5 -0,5%

6 South Korea 69,7 71,5 -2,6%

7 Germany 42,7 42,9 -0,6%

8 Brazil 33,2 33,9 -1,9%

9 Turkey 31,5 34,0 -7,4%

10 Ukraine 22,9 27,2 -15,6%

Results of the year 2015

Page 3: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Dynamics currency RUB/USD

Page 4: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Prices for aluminum and copper

Page 5: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Russian steel consumption

Page 6: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Rolled steel market Productivity output of rolled steel in Russia

can be balanced by export shipments.

Mln. tons

Export Internal shipments in Russia

Page 7: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Capacity oversupply

Implementation of new metallurgical capacity has

decreased

Loading of metallurgical capacity in the world is

unprecedentedly low

Mln. t

Page 8: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Russian steel-makers investments

Page 9: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Severstal

Page 10: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Evraz

Page 11: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

MMK

Page 12: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

MMK

Investments of “MMK”, OJSC, bln. USD

During the period from 2016 up

to 2025 the investments of MMK

Group are planned to be hold

within the range of 0,4-0,6 bln.

USD per year (including cost of

holding the range 0,2-0,25 bln.

USD), depending of the rubles

exchange rate progress.

Page 13: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

NLMK

Page 14: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

NLMK

Page 15: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

New trends

Page 16: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Factor of curtain fees

Curtain fees (actual and forecasted)

Severstal

European Union 25,4%

USA 17%

Turkey 12,4%

Magnitogorsk

Iron and Steel Works (MMK)

European Union 13,8%

USA 15%

Turkey 13,7%

Novolipetsk Steel (NLMK)

European Union 26,2%

USA 12,6%

Turkey 9,4%

Page 17: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

New works(mini-mills)

Page 18: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

New works(mini-mills)

Page 19: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Forecasts

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Cooperation of Russia with Japan

Page 21: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Cooperation of Russia with Japan

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Turnover 14,5 23,1 29,7 31,2 33,2 30,8

expansion rate, % 50,2 159,4 128,7 105,3 106,6 92,7

Export 7,3 12,8 14,7 15,5 19,6 19,9

expansion rate, % 70,3 177,0 114,6 105,4 126,7 101,1

Import 7,2 10,3 15,0 15,7 13,6 10,9

expansion rate, % 39,0 141,9 146,2 104,6 86,7 80,5

Sales turnover between Russia and Japan in 2009-2014 yy.

(according to data of Federal Customs Service of Russia)

(bln. USD)

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Japan-Russia

cooperation

Page 23: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

Thank you for your attention

ご静聴ありがとうございました!

Page 24: Metallurgical industry in Russia: final results of 2015 …db2.rotobo.or.jp/members/all_pdf/20160331getsurei...Russia: final results of 2015 and forecasts for future Results of the

GDP (Russia)

GDP growth of Russia, % in comparison with the previous year

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Foreign trade turnover (Russia)

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Volume of industrial output (Russia)

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Retail turnover (Russia)