mexico meeting w analysts handout - may 04

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Business Overview Meeting with Investors and Analysts May 12, 2004 Mexico City, Mexico

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Page 1: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Business OverviewMeeting with Investors and AnalystsMay 12, 2004Mexico City, Mexico

Page 2: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

2

Agenda

• Business Context− The Environment in Mexico

− The Coca-Cola System in Mexico

• 2004 Business Overview− Strategic Imperatives

− Key Plan Initiatives

Page 3: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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• Relatively young population− 104 MM inhabitants

− 61% below 29 years old

• Wealth distribution remains critical structural issue− GDP per capita U$ 5,773

SEL %

A/B 8%

C 58%

D/E 34%

• 74% urban− Seven cities with >1 million inhabitants

Mexico Highlights

Page 4: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Economic InstabilityRecurrent Crises

Price Controls

Protectionism

One Political Party

Mexican business landscape before 1992…

Page 5: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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…and the soft drink industry

• A single channel• One pack, one size• Under government price controls• Few international brands / several local• No consumer promotions allowed

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The opening of the economy… significant changes

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Coca-Cola response to changes resulting in sustainable growth

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

MM

u/c

Volume Growth at + 8% CAGR

KO System OI Growth at +13% CAGR*

Volume Growth at + 8% CAGR

Volume Growth at + 8% CAGR

KO System OI Growth at +13% CAGR

KO System OI Growth at +13% CAGR**

*Nominal US $Internal estimates based on 2003 public information

Page 8: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Prices Leverage brand equity and portfolio to maintain premium

Capable, healthy & committed

Channels Developing & serving multiple channels

Packages Multiple choices (refillable, non refillable)

Brands Strengthen Coca-Cola brand equity and develop new CSDs and non-carbs brands

Marketing Consistently investing in all elements of the marketing mix

Bottler System

Our Growth Model

Page 9: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Coca-Cola for Mexicans

… part of daily life

… an entertainer

… imbedded in Mexican Culture

… a trusted leader

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Consistently building brand equity across all elements of the marketing mix

Media Advertising P

ack

Gra

phic

sP

rom

otio

ns

Properties A

ctivationEven

ts

Page 11: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Portfolio expansion responding to consumer preferences

Base 1995 - 1999 2000 - 2003

12 brands6 line extensions

12 brands12 brands6 line extensions6 line extensions

3 brands 2 line extensions

3 brands 3 brands 2 line extensions2 line extensions

Page 12: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Positive growth trends across all segments

Volume Mix by category

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1995 1999 2003

MM

(u

/c)

Coca-Cola Trademark Other CSDs Ciel and other non-carbs

Page 13: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Preferred CSD flavor brands

Favorite brand ratio vs key competitor

2:1

2:1

1.6:1

1.3:1

2003 FY Source: CCV 2003

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A broad pack portfolio providing consumerswith multiple choices, multiple price points

+ 158 SKUs in Standard Bottler Portfolio

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Driving a healthy growth across all channels

Supermarkets4% of sales

Mom & Pops59% of sales

On Premise11% of sales

Convenience Stores5% of sales

Home w/ sale9% of sales

1,100,000Customers1,100,0001,100,000CustomersCustomers

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All bottlers with critical mass

Source: SVD

ArcaContalKOF

~25%OTHERS

CONTAL

ARCA ~75%

KOF

% MixGroup

Page 17: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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We have built a model with competitive advantage

+ 3

+ 13

Share of NARTD (% pts.)

KO System OI CAGR (%)*

+ 9 Share of CSDs (% pts.)

+ 198 Per capita (8 oz bottles)

+ 8Volume CAGR (% in u/c)

‘95-03 GrowthKPI

* Internal estimates based on 2003 public information

Page 18: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

How Do We MakeThe Coca-Cola System

Even Better?

Page 19: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Stability of macroeconomic variables, but low GDP growth

-6.2%

5.1%6.8%

4.9% 3.7%-0.3%

1.2%0.9%

6.6%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

%

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Peso

s $

GDP Inflation FX

• Economic instability (recurrent crises)• High inflation • Informal economy growth• Trade liberalization

• Controlled inflation• Informal economy booming• Continued trade liberalization• Fiscal pressures

Page 20: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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More sophisticated consumer

• Young but growing• More rational in

decision-making

More sophisticated More sophisticated consumerconsumer

•• Young but growingYoung but growing•• More rational in More rational in

decisiondecision--makingmaking

Consumers are increasingly sophisticated

Increasing number of options

- Convenience - Affordability

- Yield

New trends in- Value

- Technology - Health

Searching for a better relationship with their

favorite brands

Increasing number of beverages

- CSDs- Other categories

Page 21: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Competitive landscape is changing

Established local brands focusing on

niches

• Three groups with semi-national presence (Jarritos, Barrilitos, Peñafiel)

PepsiCo integration

• Consolidating bottler network under PBG (65% of sales)

• Shifting strategies to compete aggressively in pricing

B-brands emergence & expansion

• Led by KR / Big Cola from Peru

• Limited availability of Gallito from Ecuador

Page 22: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Multiple channels with distinct requirements

Meals at work

Meals, snacks

Meals away

Impulse

Inventory build-up

Mostly CSDs (90%), some snacks

High frequency items, CSDs critical role in business (30% incidence)

Channel Role

Fondas

Home with sale

Industries

Schools

C-Stores

Supermarkets

Mom & Pops

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• The economy is improving but at a slow rate

• Consumers are looking for more beverage choices

• Geographic expansion of B-brands, Pepsi shifting strategies to compete more aggressively in pricing

• KO System well prepared to accelerate growth

Synopsis of 2004 Context

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Key strategic imperatives

Accelerate Coca-Cola’s growth rate

Drive innovation in CSD flavors

Develop capability to accelerate profitable non-carbs growth

Strengthen competitive plan with Segmented Execution & RGM

Continue to drive efficiencies and effectiveness in all areas

Drive KO System leadership as Model Citizen

Page 25: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Accelerate Coca-Cola’s Growth Rate

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Our strategies to accelerate Coca-Cola growth rate

• Keep our strong consumer relationship fresh− Across all targets

• Grow personal consumption− Cover all relevant choices

• Drive incremental consumption in meals at home− Manage competitive inroads

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Enhance brand relevance across all targets

Coca-Cola is your EverydayMusic Connection

Teens…our key target Men…our most loyal

Women...our home allies Family…togetherness

Coca-Cola is TheSoccer Brand

Coca-Cola as part of all Unique & Special Family Moments

Powerful Reasons to prefer Coca-Cola at family meals

MainthrustCampaign

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Drive personal consumption

Create Attention

Create Create AttentionAttention

GenerateImpulse

GenerateGenerateImpulseImpulse

ProvideValueProvideProvideValueValue

• Specific TV commercials

• Outdoor communication

• Pack innovation

• POS messages

• Additional coolers

• Tailored promotions

• Magic price points

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Offer a complete choice of packs / prices for away-from-home

P$ 3 P$ 4 P$ 5 P$ 6

On

pre

mis

e

6.5 oz RGB 12 oz RGB 500 ml RGB

P$ 7

On

-th

e-go

8 oz GB Can 450 ml Pet 600 ml Pet 710 ml PetMini-Can

Page 30: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Powerful reasons to prefer Coca-Cola with family meals

Leverage uniquetaste

Leverage Leverage uniqueuniquetastetaste

Strengthen emotional

link

Strengthen Strengthen emotionalemotional

linklink

ProvideValueProvideProvideValueValue

• Favorite brand

• POS messages

• Displays

• Communication campaign“Goes well with meals”

• Tailored promotions

• Right price/pack

Page 31: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Offer a complete choice of packs / prices for meals

ENTRY YIELD CONVENIENCE INVENTORY

2 lt RP 2.5 lt RP 2.5 lt Pet2 lt Pet1 lt Pet 1.5 lt RP Multi-Pack

Page 32: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Drive Innovation in CSD Flavors

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CSD innovation is a key growth driver

• Innovation has been our growth engine− 75% of incremental volume

• Our learnings in managing line extensions− Enhance loyalty to the brand− Broaden the category bringing additional occasions− Fuel personal consumption− Energize the system

Page 34: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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CSDs innovation initiatives

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Our latest initiative…Lift Golden

The Fresh Taste of the Queen of Apples

• Ensure leadership of apple segment− Line extension, incremental to

red & green versions

• Priority on personal consumption− 600 ml Pet− Can

Page 36: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Develop Capability to Accelerate Non-carbs Growth

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Our strategies to develop capability in non-carbs

• Priority on Ciel, with focus on personal packs

• Develop new “go-to-market” approach

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Consolidate Ciel as # 1 water brand in personal packages

Gain relevant availability Expand pack portfolioBuild a lifestyle brand

• Mainthrust advertising• L. Ochoa (LPGA rookie

of the year) endorsement

• Power-flow cap

• Expand geographic coverage

• Activation in SM and C-stores

Yield1 lt & 1.5 lt

Frequency600 ml

Entry8 oz & 355 ml

Page 39: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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• Two additional flavors

• 400 ml Pet pack

Capitalize on isotonics’ category growth

Build as top sports brand

• Leverage on sports’ marketing assets− A. Guevara (400 m

world champion) endorsement

− Olympics – special edition flavor

− Soccer

Capture unmet category needs

Ensure availability and visibility

• SM, C-stores and “Sweat Points”

• Incremental displays and promotions in SM

Page 40: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Developing new non-carb brands for medium term sustainable growth

Fully leverage Disney properties with new brand name

New flavors / packs

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Go-to Market Approach

• Significant growth potential of non-carbs beverages in modern retail channel

• Specific commercialization requirements for non-carbs in these channels

• Distinct operating model to fully exploit growth potential

Page 42: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Strengthen Competitive Plan with Segmented Execution & RGM

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Big Cola’s model represents a new price segment in the category

’03 Infrastructure

Plants 1

Distribution centers 30

Puebla (March ’02)Entry Market

Brand Portfolio Focus on colas (96% of volume)

Limited availability

Over 80% of volume incremental to category

Packs High yield packs

(2.6 lt Pet, 3.1 lt Pet)

Price Discount ~ 50% gap vs KO Over 20% availability

From 10% to 20%

From 5% to 10%

Below 5%

Page 44: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Pepsi / PBG prone to price aggressiveness

• Repositioning price-value between KO and B-brands− Price reductions in Mexico City and

center regions

• New PBG management to turn-around results

• PBG consolidation − Acquired Ramirez territories − In process of acquiring Bepusa

• Limited pack portfolio & channel focus− Cooler coverage ~20%− High mix of jug water

PBG

Bepusa

Page 45: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Continuous optimization of price X volume equation to achieve superior revenue growth

Multiple packs, multiple price

points

Cover all consumption

needs

Differentiate from competitors

Capitalize on Strong Brand

Equity

Page 46: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Broad price / pack portfolio is a competitive advantageP

erso

nal

Pac

ksFa

mily

Pac

ks

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Segmented execution is critical to ensure competitive price / pack architecture, while maximizing revenues

MassExecution

Segmented ExecutionExecution LevelsExecution LevelsExecution Levels

National Group Franchise Territory Customer

Solution focus determined by local market context and

bottler capabilities

• Competitive Intensity• Differences by SEL • Channel Mix • Execution Capabilities

From To

Page 48: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Continue to Drive Efficiencies and Effectiveness in All Areas

Page 49: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Sponsor System efforts to drive synergy & cost efficiencies

• Steward successful KOF / PB and Arca integration

• Support cooperation across bottling system

• Sponsor cost saving initiatives

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Efficient KOF / Panamco consolidation

2002 2003

• No disruptions in market-level activity• Expansion of pack portfolio to all territories• Enhanced sales capabilities, at KOF benchmarks• Production and distribution efficiencies

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Arca now achieving benefits from consolidation

2001 2003

Dec ’01 Procor, Argos and Arma merge into ARCA

2002 Minimum organizational changes, still three cultures “living together”

2003 Francisco Garza appointed COOCurrently realigning organization and business visionEnhanced alignment with KOProfound structural transformation

Page 52: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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PROCOR• Under-developed pack portfolio

− 12 oz / 500 ml RGB at 58% of mix− One way packages less than 10% of mix

• Conventional distribution system (0% Pre-sell)• Focus only on M&P channel

Pepsi captured market opportunity• OW packs at same prices of KO refillable packs• Pre-sell system at 100%• Development of C-Stores and supermarket channels

Pepsi’s performance explained by our past execution disadvantages

Page 53: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Strengthening our position in the critical market of Monterrey

ARCA: Reinforced Market Leadership

• New, independent management team focused on results• Rapidly building pack portfolio

− Launch of 500 ml Pet, 2 / 2.5 lt Pet− One way packs at 29% of mix

• Pre-sell coverage at + 77%• Model market for Segmented Execution

− 25% of customers on price segmentation program

• Renewed focus on Supermarkets and C-Stores− Share in channel up + 7.6% pts. vs year ago

Page 54: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Other bottlers cooperating to generate synergies

• Seek efficiencies from coordination and collaboration− Share best practices− Joint procurement− Production and distribution synergies

23% of volume mix

38% of plants

31% of DCs

Page 55: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Sponsoring System’s cost savings initiatives

• Strategic procurementSupply Management

• Plant and DCs consolidation• Production sharing• Flexible manufacturing

Infrastructure Optimization

• Packaging• Logistic efficiencies (planning, distribution &

inventory management)Cost Reductions

Key InitiativesValue Chain Process

Page 56: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Drive KO System Leadership as Model Citizen

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The Coca-Cola System is engaged with our community

• 88,000 direct and 500,000 indirect jobs• Annual investment of + U$ 500 MM • Provide training and sales assets to more than 410,000

small entrepreneurs annually• Sponsor and promote more than 5,300 events, reaching

more than 35 MM people

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• Capability development of customers through specialized courses in marketing, manufacturing, logistics and finance

• Coca-Cola Foundation rebuilt 24 rural schools and 38 shelters and fully equipped them, benefiting more than 307,000 children

• National Award in Food Science and Technology

• eKOsystem• First Pet recycling plant in Latin America• 92% of our coolers are free of CFCs• 39 water treatment plants

Key InitiativesProgram

Across a series of Social Responsibility Programs

Page 59: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Key strategic imperatives

Accelerate Coca-Cola’s growth rate

Drive innovation in CSD flavors

Develop capability to accelerate profitable non-carbs growth

Strengthen competitive plan with Segmented Execution & RGM

Continue to drive efficiencies and effectiveness in all areas

Drive KO System leadership as Model Citizen

Page 60: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

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Summary

• KO System in Mexico continues to deliver strong results

• Good balance in our volume + value model

• We have distinctive competitive advantages− Highly valuable Coca-Cola brand franchise− Diverse brand, pack, price, channel portfolio − Segmented execution and Revenue Growth Management

capabilities− Committed and profitable System

• Strong passion to win!

Page 61: Mexico Meeting w Analysts Handout - May 04

Business OverviewMeeting with Investors and AnalystsMay 12, 2004Mexico City, Mexico