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MARKETING MANAGEMENT AN ASIAN PERSPECTIVE 6TH EDITION

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Page 1: Mma6e chapter-20 final
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Marketing Management:An Asian Perspective, 6th Edition

Instructor Supplements Created by Geoffrey da Silva

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Introducing New Market Offerings

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Learning Issues for Chapter Twenty

1. What challenges does a company face in developing new products and services?

2. What organizational structures and processes do managers use to oversee new-product development?

3. What are the main stages in developing new products and services?

4. What is the best way to manage the new-product development process?

5. What factors affect the rate of diffusion and consumer adoption of newly launched products and services?

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Chapter Outline

• New-product development shapes the company’s future. Improved or replacement products and services can maintain or build sales; new-to-the-world products and services can transform industries and companies and change lives.

• But the low success rate of new products and services points to the many challenges they face.

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Chapter Outline

• Companies are doing more than just talking about innovation. They are challenging industry norms and past conventions to develop new products and services that delight and engage consumers.

• Marketers play a key role in new-product development by identifying and evaluating ideas and working with R&D and other areas in every stage of development.

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New Product Options

Make or Buy??• A company can add new products through acquisition or

development.

• The acquisition route can take three forms:i. The company can buy other companies.ii. It can acquire patents from other companies.iii. It can buy a license or franchise from another company.

• But firms can successfully make only so many acquisitions. At some point, they need organic growth—the development of new products from within.

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Product Development Routes

The development route can take two forms:

1. It can develop new products in its own laboratories called organic growth.

2. It can contract with independent researchers or new-product development firms to develop new products.

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Types of New Products

• New products range from new-to-the-world products that create an entirely new market to minor improvements or revisions of existing products.

• Most new-product activity is devoted to improving existing products.

• Fewer than 10 to 15 percent of all new products are truly innovative and new to the world. These products involve the greatest cost and risk because they are new to both the company and the marketplace.

• Most new-product activity is devoted to improving existing products.

• Many high-tech firms strive for radical innovation.

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Incremental Improvements in Product Development

Samsung makes incremental improvements to stay ahead of competition.

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Radical Innovations

• High-tech firms in telecommunications, computers, consumer electronics, biotech, and software seek radical innovation.

• They face a number of challenges in launching their products: i. high technological uncertainty; ii. high market uncertainty; iii. high competitive volatility; iv. high investment costs; v. short product life cycles; and vi. difficulty in finding funding sources for risky projects.

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Challenges in New-Product Development

New-product introductions have accelerated, and in retailing, consumer goods, electronics, autos, and other industries, the time to bring a product to market has been cut in half.

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The Innovative Imperative

• In an economy of rapid change, continuous innovation is a necessity. Highly innovative firms are able to identify and quickly seize new market opportunities.

• Innovative firms create a positive attitude toward innovation and risk taking, routinize the innovation process, practice teamwork, and allow their people to experiment and even fail.

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The Innovative Imperative

• Companies that fail to develop new products put themselves at risk.

– Their existing products are vulnerable to changing customer needs and tastes, new technologies, shortened product life cycles, and increased domestic and foreign competition. New technologies are especially threatening.

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Continuous Innovation

Japanese toiletry brand, Shokubutsu from LION Corporation, adds new variants to its body foam product line with whitening, anti-bacteria, soothing, revitalizing, firming, nourishing, and moisturizing qualities as part of its continuous innovation.

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New Product Success

• Most established companies focus on incremental innovation. Entering new markets by tweaking products for new customers, using variations on a core product to stay one step ahead of the market, and creating interim solutions for industry-wide problems.

• Newer companies create disruptive technologies.

• Established companies can be slow to react or invest in these disruptive technologies because they threaten their investment.

• Incumbent firms must carefully monitor the preferences of both customers and non-customers over time and uncover evolving, difficult-to-articulate customer needs.

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Disruptive Technologies

Electric cars like the Leaf are an example of a product with disruptive technology because they change the way cars gain their energy, and hence, the competitive landscape.

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Ensuring New Product Success

• What else can a company do to develop successful new products?

• Robert G. Cooper and Elko J. Kleinschmidt found that the number-one success factor is a unique, superior product.

• Another key factor is a well-defined product concept. The company that carefully defines and assesses the target market, product requirements, and benefits before proceeding has a lower rate of failure.

• Other success factors are technological and marketing synergy, quality of execution in all stages, and market attractiveness.

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Developing a Successful Product Concept

P&G’s Swiffer was an idea adapted from Japanese company Unicharm.

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Local or Global Product Development?

• Cooper and Kleinschmidt also found that domestic products designed solely for the domestic market tend to show a high failure rate, low market share, and low growth.

• In contrast, products designed for the world market—or at least to include neighboring countries—achieve significantly more profits, both at home and abroad.

• The implication is that companies should adopt an international focus in designing and developing new products.

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New Product Failure

• New products continue to fail at rates as high as 50 percent or even 95 percent in the U.S. and 90 percent in Europe.

• They fail for many reasons: a. ignoring or misinterpreting market research;b. overestimating market size; c. high development costs;d. poor design; e. incorrect positioning, f. ineffective advertising or wrong price; g. insufficient distribution support; h. competitors who fight back hard; andi. inadequate return on investment or payback.

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Drawbacks—New Product Failure

1. Shortage of important ideas in certain areas—There may be few ways left to improve some basic products (such as steel or detergents).

2. Fragmented markets—Companies have to aim their new products at smaller market segments, and this can mean lower sales and profits for each product.

3. Social and governmental constraints—New products have to satisfy consumer safety and environmental concerns.

4. Cost of development—A company typically has to generate many ideas to find just one worthy of development, and often faces high R&D, manufacturing, and marketing costs.

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Drawbacks—New Product Failure

5. Capital shortages—Some companies with good ideas cannot raise the funds needed to research and launch them.

6. Shorter development time—Companies must learn how to compress development time by using new techniques, strategic partners, early concept tests, and advanced marketing planning.

7. Poor launching time—New products are sometimes launched after the category has already taken off or when there is still insufficient interest.

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Drawbacks—New Product Failure

8. Shorter product life cycles—When a new product is successful, rivals are quick to copy it.

9. Organizational support—The new product may not mesh with the corporate culture or receive the financial or other support it needs.

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Lenovo’s LePad and LePhone were failures in China.(Launched in 2011)

Lenovo posted disappointing sales of LePad even though it offered distinctive advantages over the iPad. With no price advantage—it was priced almost similarly to the iPad—the more functional LePad lost to Apple because Chinese consumers would rather own a high-status Apple product.

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Table 20.1: Causes of New-Product Failure

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Asian Implications for New Product Development

• Asian companies have typically not invested heavily in long-term research because there were more lucrative and stable profits to be earned from licensing and trading.

• The generally hierarchical and paternalistic management style of Asian companies and society may also discourage creativity or creative people.

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Challenge of Creativity in Innovation (Asian implications)

Creativity is less fostered in collectivistic Asia because like the tall tree which catches the wind, employees are encouraged to fit in and not stand out.

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Asian Implications for New Product Development

• Societies that are collectivistic and high in power distance, masculinity, and uncertainty avoidance (e.g., Pakistan, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand, and Japan) tend to facilitate the implementation phase of new-product development through their emphasis on interdependence, cooperation, and unified purpose; centralized command to ensure the coordination of complex efforts; promotion of goal directedness and formalization; and risk aversion, and tight planning and control.

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Asian Implications for New Product Development

• Societies with a positive Confucian dynamic like Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, have values indicating a dynamic, future-oriented mentality such as persistence, hard work, thrift, shame, and a strong regard for relationships.

• The positive pole of Confucian dynamism promotes new-product development at the initiation and the implementation stages by emphasizing action and future possibilities.

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Organizational Arrangements

• Many companies today use customer-driven engineering to design new products.

• Customer-driven engineering attaches high importance to incorporating customer preferences in the final design.

• New product development requires senior management to define business domain, product categories, and specific criteria.

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Example of ‘Acceptance Criteria’ in New Product Development

1. The product can be introduced within five years.

2. The product has a market potential of at least $50 million and a 15 percent growth rate.

3. The product would provide at least 30 percent return on sales and 40 percent on investment.

4. The product would achieve technical or market leadership.

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Budgeting for New-Product Development

• R&D outcomes are so uncertain that it is difficult to use normal investment criteria when budgeting for new-product development.

• Some companies solve this problem by financing as many projects as possible, hoping to achieve a few winners.

• Others apply conventional percentage of sales figures.

• Spend what the competition does.

• Table 20.2 shows how a company might calculate the cost of new-product development.

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Table 20.2: Finding One Successful New Product (Starting with 64 New Ideas)

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Many failed prototypes are needed before finding the winning product.

Inventor Sir James Dyson is willing to endure many failed prototypes as long as he comes up with a winner, like the Air Multiplier bladeless table fan.

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Organizing New-Product Development

Companies handle the organizational aspect of new-product development in several ways.

1. New-product manager

2. High-level management committee

3. New-product department

4. Venture teams

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New Product Managers

• Many companies assign responsibility for new-product ideas to product managers.

• But product managers are often so busy managing existing lines that they give little thought to new products other than line extensions.

• They also lack the specific skills and knowledge needed to develop and critique new products.

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New Product Department

• Large companies often establish a new-product department headed by a manager who has substantial authority and access to top management.

• The department’s major responsibilities include generating and screening new ideas, working with the R&D department, and carrying out field-testing and commercialization.

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Venture Teams and Cross-Functional Teams

• A venture team is a cross-functional group charged with developing a specific product or business. – These skunkworks are informal places where “intrapreneurial"

teams attempt to develop new products.

• Cross-functional teams can collaborate and use concurrent new-product development to push new products to market. Cross-functional teams help to ensure that engineers are not just driven to create a “better mousetrap” when potential customers do not really need or want one.

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Stage-Gate System

• Some companies use the stage-gate system to manage the innovation process.

• The gatekeepers make one of four decisions at each stage of the process:i. Goii. Killiii. Holdiv. Recycle

• The process can be depicted as a funnel.

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Stages in the New Product Development Process

• The stages in the new-product development process are shown in Figure 20.1.

• Many firms have multiple, parallel sets of projects working through the process, each at a different stage.

• The process can be depicted as a funnel: a large number of initial new-product ideas and concepts are winnowed down to a few high-potential products that are ultimately launched.

• But the process is not always linear. Many firms use a spiral development process that recognizes the value of returning to an earlier stage to make improvements before moving forward

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Figure 20.1: The New-Product Development Decision Process

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MANAGING THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: IDEAS

The new product development process starts with the search for ideas

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Idea Generation

• The new-product development process starts with the search for ideas.

• Some marketing experts believe that the greatest opportunities and highest leverage with new products are found by uncovering the best possible set of unmet customer needs or technological innovation.

• New-product ideas can come from interacting with various groups and from using creativity-generating techniques.

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Memo and Insights

• Marketing Memo: “Ten Ways to Find Great New-Product Ideas”– Lists the 10 idea generation suggestions to find great new-

product ideas, by Robert Cooper in his book, Product Leadership: Creating and Launching Superior New Products.

• Marketing Insight: P&G’s new connect and develop approach to innovation–Relates how P&G’s corporate profits and revenues jumped helped

by new products. P&G adapted a “connect and develop” model that emphasizes the pursuit of more externally sourced innovations.

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Marketing Memo: Ten ways to Find Great New-Product Ideas

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DIG Framework

• Erich Joachimsthaler believes some of the best new-product opportunities are right in front of marketers’ eyes.

• The mistake too many make, he says, is to view the world from the perspective of their own products and services and search for customers for them.

• His demand-first innovation and growth (DIG) framework is designed to provide companies with an unbiased view and an outside-in perspective of demand opportunities.

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The Three Elements of the DIG Framework

1. The demand landscape—Use observational, anthropological, and ethnographic methods or consumer self-reports to map consumer needs, wants, and even beyond.

2. The opportunity space—Use conceptual lens and structured innovative-thinking tools to achieve market perspectives from different angles.

3. The strategic blueprint—Think about how the new product can fit into customers’ lives and how it can be distinguished from competitors.

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Marketing Memo: Seven Ways to Draw New Ideas from Your Customers

• Lists the seven ways that companies get new ideas from their customers: observe, ask, use customer advisory boards, use Web sites for new ideas, use the community of enthusiasts; encourage challenges or improvements in your product.

• Technical companies can learn a great deal by studying customers who make the most advance use of the company’s products and who recognize the need for improvements before other customers do.

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Marketing Memo: Seven Ways to Draw New Ideas from Your Customers

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Interacting with Others

• Encouraged by the open innovation movement, many firms are going outside their bounds to tap external sources of new ideas, including customers, employees, scientists, engineers, channel members, marketing agencies, top management, and even competitors’.

• The traditional company-centric approach to product innovation is giving way to a world in which companies co-create products with consumers.

• Companies are increasingly turning to “crowdsourcing” to generate new ideas or, as we saw in the preceding chapter, to create consumer-generated marketing campaigns.

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Interacting with Others

• Crowdsourcing means inviting the Internet community to help create content or software, often with prize money or a moment of glory as an incentive.

• Lead users can be a good source of input, even when they innovate products without the consent or knowledge of the companies that produce them.

• Some companies, particularly those that want to appeal to hip young consumers, bring their lead users into their product-design process.

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Lead users can be a good source of input when they innovate products without the consent or even the knowledge of the companies that produce them.

Young people who thrive on biking to the top of mountains gave inputs that led to the development of mountain bikes—bikes that are sturdier and less likely to break down in such harsh terrains.

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Interacting with Employees

• Employees can be a source of ideas for improving production, products, and services.

• For examples on how Japanese businesses derive new ideas from their employees.

• See “Marketing Insight: New-Idea Generation in Japanese Companies.”

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Studying Competitors

• Companies can also find good ideas by researching competitors’ products and services.

• They can find out what customers like and dislike about competitors’ products.

• They can buy their competitors’ products, take them apart, and build better ones.

• Company sales representatives and intermediaries are a particularly good source of ideas. These groups have first-hand exposure to customers and are often the first to learn about competitive developments.

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Adopting Creativity Techniques

• Internal brainstorming sessions also can be quite effective—if conducted correctly.

• “Marketing Memo: How to Run a Successful Brainstorming Session” provides some brainstorming guidelines.

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Sampling of Techniques for Stimulating Creativity in Individuals and Groups

a. Attribute listing

b. Forced relationships

c. Morphological analysis

d. Reverse assumption analysis

e. New contexts

f. Mind-mapping

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Lateral Marketing

Increasingly, new product ideas arise from lateral marketing that combines two product concepts or ideas to create a new offering. Here are some successful examples:

–Gas station stores = gas stations + food

–Cybercafés = cafeteria + Internet

–Kinder Surprise = candy + toy

– iPod = audio + visual + portable

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Kinder Surprise = candy + toy (example of lateral marketing)

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Using Idea Screening

• In screening ideas, the company must avoid two types of errors.

• A DROP-error occurs when the company dismisses a good idea.

• The purpose of screening is to drop poor ideas as early as possible.

• The rationale is that product-development costs rise substantially with each successive development stage.

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Figure 20.2: Forces Fighting New Ideas

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Using Idea Screening

• Most companies require new-product ideas to be described on a standard form for a new-product committee’s review. The description states the product idea, the target market, and the competition and roughly estimates market size, product price, development time and costs, manufacturing costs, and rate of return.

• The surviving ideas can be rated using a weighted-index method.

• See Table 20.3.

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Table 20.3: Product-Idea Rating Device

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Idea Screening: The Probability of Success

• As the idea moves through development, the company will constantly need to revise its estimate of the product’s overall probability of success using the following formula:

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Overall Probability Probability of Probability of Probability = of technical X commercialization X economic of Success completion given technical success given completion commercialization

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Innovation at McDonalds (India Market)

In India, McDonald’s innovates its menu to cater to local tastes. Workshops are held annually involving management, the innovation team, chefs, suppliers, and even seasoning companies, to develop new product ideas such as McVeggies and eggless pancakes.

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MANAGING THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: CONCEPT TO STRATEGY

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Product Idea and Product Concept

• Attractive ideas must be refined into testable product concepts.

• A product idea is a possible product the company might offer to the market.

• A product concept is an elaborated version of the idea expressed in consumer terms.

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Product Concept

• A product idea can be turned into several concepts.

• Questions to ask include:

1. Who will use this product?

2. What primary benefit should this product provide?

3. When will people consume this product?

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Examples of Concepts for a Product

• Concept 1—An instant breakfast drink for adults who want a quick nutritious breakfast without preparation.

• Concept 2—A tasty snack drink for children to drink as a midday refreshment.

• Concept 3—A health supplement for older adults to drink in the late evening before they go to bed.

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Product Concept

• Each concept represents a category concept that defines the product’s competition.

• Next, the product concept has to be turned into a brand concept. The brand-positioning map helps the company to decide how much to charge and how calorific to make its drink.

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Figure 20.3: Product and Brand Positioning

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Concept Testing

• Concept testing involves presenting the product concept to target consumers, and getting their reactions.

• The concepts can be presented symbolically or physically.

• The more the tested concepts resemble the final product or experience, the more dependable concept testing is.

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Concept Testing

• Concept testing of prototypes can help avoid costly mistakes, but it may be especially challenging with radically different, new-to-the-world products.

• Visualization techniques can help respondents match their mental state with what might occur when they are actually evaluating or choosing the new product.

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Concept Testing

• In the past, creating physical prototypes was costly and time-consuming, but computer-aided design and manufacturing programs have changed that.

• Today firms can use rapid prototyping to design products (e.g., small appliances or toys) on a computer, and then produce plastic models of each.

• Potential consumers can view the plastic models and give their reactions.

• Companies are also using virtual reality to test product concepts. Virtual reality programs use computers and sensory devices (such as gloves or goggles) to simulate reality.

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An Example of an Articulated Product Concept

• Our product is a powdered mixture that is added to milk to make an instant breakfast that gives a person all the needed nutrition along with good taste and high convenience.

• The product would be offered in three flavours (chocolate, vanilla, and strawberry) and would come in individual packets, six to a box, at $2.49 a box.

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Measuring Product Dimensions (arising from the articulated product concept)

1. Communicability and believability—Are the benefits clear to you and believable? If the scores are low, the concept must be refined or revised.

2. Need level—Do you see this product solving a problem or filling a need for you? The stronger the need, the higher the expected consumer interest.

3. Gap level—Do other products currently meet this need and satisfy you? The greater the gap, the higher the expected consumer interest. The need level can be multiplied by the gap level to produce a need-gap score. A high need-gap score means that the consumer sees the product as filling a strong need that is not satisfied by available alternatives.

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Measuring Product Dimensions (arising from the articulated product concept)

4. Perceived value—Is the price reasonable in relation to the value? The higher the perceived value, the higher the expected consumer interest.

5. Purchase intention—Would you (definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not) buy the product? This would be high for consumers who answered the previous three questions positively.

6. User targets, purchase occasions, purchasing frequency—Who would use this product, and when and how often will the product be used?

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Conjoint Analysis

• Consumer preferences for alternative product concepts can be measured through conjoint analysis, a method for deriving the utility values that consumers attach to varying levels of a product’s attributes.

• Respondents are shown different hypothetical product offers formed by combining varying levels of the attributes, then asked to rank these offers.

• From this ranking, management can identify the most appealing offer and the least appealing offer, and determine the importance level of each attribute.

• Management can then estimate the market share and profit the company might realize from different product offers.

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Conjoint Analysis

• The marketer now uses a statistical program to derive the consumer’s utility functions for each of the five attributes.

• See Figure 20.4.

• We can also determine the relative importance of each attribute to this consumer—the difference between the highest and lowest utility level for that attribute.

• The greater the difference, the more important the attribute.

• Clearly, this consumer sees price and package design as the most important attributes, followed by money-back guarantee, brand name, and an ISO certification.

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Figure 20.4: Utility Functions Based on Conjoint Analysis

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Conjoint Analysis

• When preference data are collected from a sufficient sample of target consumers, the data can be used to estimate the market share any specific offer is likely to achieve, given any assumptions about competitive response.

• The company, however, may not launch the market offer that promises to gain the greatest market share because of cost considerations.

• The most customer-appealing offer is not always the most profitable offer to make.

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Marketing Strategy Development

• Following a successful concept test, the new-product manager will develop a preliminary strategy plan for introducing the new product into the market.

• The plan consists of three parts.

• The first part describes the target market’s size, structure, and behavior; the planned product positioning; and the sales, market share, and profit goals sought in the first few years.

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Example of Articulated Target Market and Profit Goals

• The target market for the instant breakfast drink is families with children who are receptive to a new, convenient, nutritious, and inexpensive form of breakfast.

• The company’s brand will be positioned at the higher-price, higher-quality end of the instant-breakfast-drink category. The company will aim initially to sell 500,000 cases or 10 percent of the market, with a loss in the first year not exceeding $1.3 million.

• In the second year, it will aim for 700,000 cases or 14 percent of the market, with a planned profit of $2.2 million.

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Marketing Strategy Development

• The second part outlines the planned price, distribution strategy, and marketing budget for the first year.

An example:

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The product will be offered in chocolate, vanilla, and strawberry in individual packets of six to a box at a retail price of $2.49 a box. There will be 48 boxes per case, and the case price to distributors will be $24. For the first two months, dealers will be offered one case free for every four cases bought, plus cooperative-advertising allowances. Free samples will be distributed door-to-door. Coupons for 20 cents off will appear in newspapers. The total sales-promotional budget will be $2.9 million. The advertising budget will be $6 million, two-thirds of which will go into television and one-third into newspapers. Advertising copy will emphasize the benefit concepts of nutrition and convenience. The advertising-execution concept will revolve around a small boy who consumes the instant breakfast drink and grows strong. During the first year, $100,000 will be spent on marketing research to buy store audits and consumer-panel information to monitor market reaction and buying rates.

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Marketing Strategy Development

• The third part of the marketing-strategy plan describes the long-run sales and profit goals, and marketing-mix strategy over time.

An example:

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The company intends to win a 25 percent market share and realize an after-tax return on investment of 12 percent. To achieve this return, product quality will start high and be improved over time through technical research. Price will initially be set at a high level and lowered gradually to expand the market and meet competition. The total promotion budget will be boosted each year by about 20 percent, with the initial advertising-sales promotion split of 65:35 evolving eventually to 50:50. Marketing research will be reduced to $60,000 per year after the first year.

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Business Analysis

• After management develops the product concept and marketing strategy, it can evaluate the proposal’s business attractiveness.

• Management needs to prepare sales, cost, and profit projections to determine whether they satisfy company objectives.

• If they do, the concept can move to the development stage.

• As new information comes in, the business analysis will undergo revision and expansion.

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Estimating Total Sales

• Total estimated sales are the sum of estimated first-time sales, replacement sales, and repeat sales. Sales-estimation methods depend on whether the product is a one-time purchase (such as an engagement ring or retirement home), an infrequently purchased product, or frequently purchased product.

• For one-time purchased products, sales rise at the beginning, peak, and later approach zero as the number of potential buyers is exhausted.

• See Figure 20.5(a).

• If new buyers keep entering the market, the curve will not go down to zero.

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Figure 20.5 (a): Product Life-cycle— One-time Purchased Product

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Estimating Total Sales

• Infrequently purchased products—such as automobiles, toasters, and industrial equipment—exhibit replacement cycles dictated by physical wearing out or by obsolescence associated with changing styles, features, and performance.

• Sales forecasting for this product category calls for estimating first-time sales and replacement sales separately.

• See Figure 20.5(b).

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Figure 20.5 (b): Product Life-Cycle— Infrequently purchased product

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Estimating Total Sales

• Frequently purchased products, such as consumer and industrial non-durables, have product life-cycle sales resembling

• See Figure 20.5(c).

• The number of first-time buyers initially increases and then decreases as fewer buyers are left (assuming a fixed population).

• Repeat purchases occur soon, providing that the product satisfies some buyers.

• The sales curve eventually falls to a plateau representing a level of steady repeat-purchase volume; by this time, the product is no longer a new product.

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Figure 20.5 (c): Product Life-Cycle— frequently purchased product

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Estimating Total Sales

• In estimating sales, the manager’s first task is to estimate first-time purchases of the new product in each period.

• To estimate replacement sales, management has to research the product’s survival-age distribution—that is, the number of units that fail in year one, two, three, and so on. The low end of the distribution indicates when the first replacement sales will take place.

• The actual timing will be influenced by a variety of factors.

• Because replacement sales are difficult to estimate before the product is in use, some manufacturers base the decision to launch a new product solely on the estimate of first-time sales.

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Estimating Costs and Profits

• Costs are estimated by the R&D, manufacturing, marketing, and finance departments.

• Table 20.4 illustrates a five-year projection of sales, costs, and profits for the instant breakfast drink.

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Estimating Costs and Profits

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Estimating Costs and Profits

• Costs are estimated by the R&D, manufacturing, marketing, and finance departments.

• The payback period here is approximately three and a half years.

• Management has to decide whether to risk a maximum investment loss of $4.6 million and a possible payback period of three and a half years.

• Companies use other financial measures to evaluate the merit of a new-product proposal.

• The simplest method is breakeven analysis.

• The more complex method is risk analysis.

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MANAGING THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: DEVELOPMENT TO COMMERCIALIZATION

The company will determine whether the product idea can translate into a technically and commercially feasible product.

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Development and Commercialization

• Up to now, the product has existed only as a word description, a drawing, or a prototype.

• This next step involves a jump in investment that dwarfs the costs incurred in the earlier stages.

• At this stage the company will determine whether the product idea can be translated into a technically and commercially feasible product. If it cannot, the accumulated project cost will be lost except for any useful information gained in the process.

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Product Development

• The job of translating target customer requirements into a working prototype is helped by a set of methods known as quality function deployment (QFD).

• This methodology takes the list of desired customer attributes (CAs) and turns them into:

i. A list of engineering attributes (EAs).

ii. A major contribution of QFD is that it improves communication between marketers, engineers, and the manufacturing people.

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Physical Prototypes

The goal of the R&D department is to find a prototype that:

i. Embodies the key attributes described in the product-concept statement.

ii. Performs safely under normal use and conditions.

iii.Can be produced within the budgeted manufacturing costs.

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Physical Prototypes

• With the emergence of the Web, there is a need for more rapid prototyping and more flexible development processes.

• Lab scientists must also communicate the product’s psychological aspects through physical cues.

• Marketers need to supply lab people with information on what attributes consumers seek and how consumers judge whether these attributes are present.

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Customer Tests

• When the prototypes are ready, they must be put through rigorous functional tests and consumer tests.

• Alpha testing is a name given to testing the product within the company.

• Beta testing is testing the product with customers.

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Customer Tests

• Women were invited to apply P&G’s new lipstick, and return eight hours later to measure the remaining lip color.

• The result was a tube of glossy moisturizer that women applied on top of their color that helped them keep their lip color all day.

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Market Testing

• After management is satisfied with functional and psychological performance, the product is ready to be branded with a name, logo, and packaging and go into a market test.

• Not all companies undertake market testing.

• Some Asian businesses do not undertake market testing, believing that it is costly and might delay the launch of the product.

• Others feel that they are sufficiently familiar with the market to bypass this stage or fear that competitors might get wind of their new products and imitate them.

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Market Testing

• Market testing can yield valuable information about buyers, dealers, marketing program effectiveness, and market potential.

• The main issues are: i. How much market testing should be doneii. What hat kind(s)?

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Market Testing

• The amount of market testing is influenced by the investment cost and risk on the one hand, and the time pressure and research cost on the other.

• High investment-high risk products, where the chance of failure is high, must be market tested; the cost of the market tests will be an insignificant percentage of the total project cost.

• High-risk products—those that create new-product categories (first instant breakfast drink) or have novel features (first gum-strengthening toothpaste—warrant more market testing than modified products (another toothpaste brand).

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Consumer-goods Market Testing

• In testing consumer products, the company seeks to estimate four variables:i. Trialii. First repeatiii. Adoptioniv. Purchase frequency

• There are four major methods of consumer-goods market testing, from the least to most costly.

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Sales-wave Research

• In sales-wave research, consumers who initially try the product at no cost are re-offered the product, or a competitor’s product, at slightly reduced prices.

• They might be offered the product as many as five times (sales wave) with the company noting how many customers selected the product again and their reported levels of satisfaction.

• Sales-wave research can also expose consumers to one or more advertising concepts to see the impact of that advertising on repeat purchases.

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Sales-wave Research

• Advantages:i. Implemented quicklyii. Conducted with a fair amount of securityiii. Carried out without final packaging and advertising

• Disadvantages:i. It does not indicate what trial rates would be achieved with

different sales-promotion incentives.ii. Nor does it indicate the brand’s power to gain distribution and

favorable shelf positioning.

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Simulated Test Marketing

• Simulated test marketing calls for finding 30 to 40 qualified shoppers and questioning them about brand familiarity and preferences in a specific product category.

• These people are then invited to a brief screening of both well-known and new commercials or print ads.

• Consumers receive a small amount of money and are invited into a store where they may buy any items they wish.

• The company notes how many consumers buy the new brand and competing brands.

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Simulated Test Marketing

• This provides a measure of the ad’s relative effectiveness against competing ads in stimulating trial.

• This method gives fairly accurate results on advertising effectiveness and trial rates in a shorter period of time.

• The results are incorporated into new-product forecasting models to project ultimate sales levels.

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Controlled Test Marketing

• In this method, a research firm manages a panel of stores that will carry new products for a fee.

• The company specifies the number of stores and the geographic locations it wants to test.

• The research firm delivers the product and controls shelf positioning, the number of facings, displays, point-of-purchase promotions, and pricing.

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Controlled Test Marketing

• Controlled test marketing allows the company to test the impact of in-store factors and limited advertising on buying behavior.

• The controlled test market gives no information on how to sell the trade on carrying the new product.

• This method also exposes the product to competition.

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Test Markets

• The ultimate way to test a new consumer product is to put it into full-blown test markets.

• The company chooses the cities; the sales force tries to sell the trade on carrying the product and giving it good shelf exposure.

• The company puts on a full advertising and promotion campaign.

• The company can also test alternative marketing plans by varying the marketing program in different cities.

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Test Markets: Management Decisions

1. How many test cities—Most tests use between two and six cities. The greater the maximum possible loss, the greater the number of contending marketing strategies, the greater the regional differences, and the greater the chance of test-market interference by competitors, the greater the number of cities that should be used.

2. Which cities?—Company must develop selection criteria such as having good media coverage, cooperative chain stores, and average competitive activity.

3. Length of test?—Market tests last anywhere from a few months to a year. The longer the average repurchase period, the longer the test period.

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Test Markets: Management Decisions

4. What information?—Warehouse shipment data will show gross inventory buying but will not indicate weekly sales at the retail level. Store audits will show retail sales and competitors’ market shares but will not reveal buyer characteristics. Consumer panels will indicate which people are buying which brands and their loyalty and switching rates. Buyer surveys will yield in-depth information about consumer attitudes, usage, and satisfaction.

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Test Markets: Management Decisions

5. What action to take?—If the test markets show high trial and repurchase rates, the product should be launched nationally; if they show a high trial rate and a low repurchase rate, the product should be redesigned or dropped; if they show a low trial rate and a high repurchase rate, the product is satisfying but more people have to try it. This means increasing advertising and sales promotion. If trial and repurchase rates are both low, the product should be abandoned.

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Business-goods Market Testing

• Business goods can also benefit from market testing.

• Expensive industrial goods and new technologies will normally undergo alpha and beta testing (with vendors).

• A second common test method for business goods is to introduce the new product at trade shows.

• New industrial products can be tested in distributor and dealer display rooms.

• Industrial manufacturers come close to using full test marketing when they give a limited supply of the product to the sales force to sell in a limited number of areas that receive promotion support and printed catalog sheets.

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Introducing New Business Products at Trade Shows

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Commercialization

• If the company goes ahead with commercialization, it will face its largest costs to date.

• The company will have to contract for manufacture or build or rent a full-scale manufacturing facility.

• Another major cost is marketing. To introduce a major new consumer packaged good into the market, the company will have to spend a hefty amount in advertising, promotion, and other communication in the first year.

• Most new-product campaigns rely on a sequenced mix of market communication tools.

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When (Timing)

• In commercializing a new product, market-entry timing is critical.

• The company faces three choices:i. First entryii. Parallel entryiii. Late entry

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When (Timing)

1. First entry—The first firm entering a market usually enjoys the “first mover advantages” of locking up key distributors and customers and gaining leadership. But if the product is rushed to market before it is thoroughly debugged, the first entry can backfire.

2. Parallel entry—The firm might time its entry to coincide with the competitor’s entry. The market may pay more attention when two companies are advertising the new product.

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When (Timing)

3. Late entry—The firm might delay its launch until after the competitor has entered. The competitor will have borne the cost of educating the market, and its product may reveal faults the late entrant can avoid. The late entrant can also learn the size of the market.

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When (Timing)

• If a new product replaces an older product, the company might delay the introduction until the old product’s stock is drawn down.

• If the product is seasonal, it might be delayed until the right season arrives; often a product waits for a “killer application” to occur.

• Complicating new product launches are “design-arounds”—rival firms’ versions of a firm’s invention that are just different enough to avoid patent infringement and the need to pay royalties.

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Some companies take their time in introducing new products, as in the case of Huawei.

Chinese tech giant Huawei takes its time to decide what new products it wants to make. But once it has made its decision, it makes sure the new product will succeed.

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Where (Geographic Strategy)

• The company must decide whether to launch the new product in a single locality, a region, several regions, the national market, or the international market.

• Most will develop a planned market rollout over time.• Small companies will select an attractive city and put on a

blitz campaign, then enter other cities one at a time.• Larger companies will introduce their products into a whole

region and then move to the next region.• Some companies will launch their products to the national

market.• Most companies design new products to sell primarily in the

domestic market.

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Where (Geographic Strategy)

• With the Web connecting far-flung parts of the globe, competition is more likely to cross national borders.

• Companies are increasingly rolling out new products simultaneously across the globe, rather than nationally or even regionally.

• However, masterminding a global launch poses challenges, and a sequential rollout across countries may still be the best option.

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To Whom (Target-Market Prospects)

• Within the rollout markets, the company must target its initial distribution and promotion to the best prospect groups.

• Presumably, the company has already profiled the prime prospects, who would ideally have the following characteristics: – They would be early adopters, heavy users, and opinion leaders,

and they can be reached at a low cost.

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To Whom (Target-Market Prospects)

• Few groups have all these characteristics.

• The company should rate the various prospect groups on these characteristics and target the best group.

• The aim is to generate strong sales as soon as possible to attract further prospects.

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How (Introductory Market Strategy)

• The company must develop an action plan for introducing the new product into the rollout markets.

• To coordinate the many activities involved in launching a new product, management can use network-planning techniques such as critical path scheduling (CPS).

• CPS calls for developing a master chart showing the simultaneous and sequential activities that must take place to launch the product.

• Any delay in any activity on the critical path will cause the project to be delayed. If the launch must be completed earlier, the planner searches for ways to reduce time along the critical path.

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The Consumer-adoption Process

• Adoption is an individual’s decision to become a regular user of a product followed by the consumer-loyalty process.

• New-product marketers typically aim at early adopters and use the theory of innovation diffusion and consumer adoption to identify them.

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Stages in the Adoption Process

• An innovation is any goods, service, or idea that is perceived by someone as new. Innovations take time to spread through the social system.

• Everett Rogers defines the innovation diffusion process as “the spread of a new idea from its source of invention or creation to its ultimate users or adopters.”

• The consumer-adoption process focuses on the mental process through which an individual passes from first hearing about an innovation to final adoption.

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Adopters of new products have been observed to move through five stages:

1. Awareness—The consumer becomes aware of the innovation but lacks information about it.

2. Interest—The consumer is stimulated to seek information about the innovation.

3. Evaluation—The consumer considers whether to try the innovation.

4. Trial—The consumer tries the innovation to improve his or her estimate of its value.

5. Adoption—The consumer decides to make full and regular use of the innovation.

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The new-product marketers should facilitate movement through these stages.

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Factors Influencing the Adoption Process

Marketers recognize the following characteristics of the adoption process:

a. differences in individual readiness to try new products;

b. the effect of personal influences;

c. differing rates of adoption; and

d. differences in organizations’ readiness to try new products.

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Readiness to Try New Products and Personal Influence

• Rogers defines a person’s level of innovativeness as “the degree to which an individual is relatively earlier in adopting new ideas than the other members of his social system.”

• In each product area, there are pioneers and early adopters.

• People can be classified into the adopter categories shown in Figure 20.6.

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Figure 20.6: Adopter Categorization on the Basis of Relative Time of Adoption of Innovations

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The Five Adopter Groups

1. Innovators are technology enthusiasts and are venturesome and enjoy tinkering with new products and mastering their intricacies. In return for low prices, they are happy to conduct alpha and beta testing and report on early weaknesses.

2. Early adopters are opinion leaders who carefully search for new technologies that might give them a dramatic competitive advantage. They are less price-sensitive and willing to adopt the product if given personalized solutions and good service support.

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The Five Adopter Groups

3. Early majority are deliberate pragmatists who adopt the new technology when its benefits are proven and a lot of adoption has already taken place. They make up the mainstream market.

4. Late majority are skeptical conservatives who are risk-averse, technology-shy, and price-sensitive.

5. Laggards are tradition-bound and resist the innovation until they find that the status quo is no longer defensible.

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Asian Perspective on Personal Influence on Innovation Adoption

• Asians may be more susceptible to personal influence than American consumers.

• Because Confucianism is part of their background, East Asians are more collectivistic and motivated toward conforming to the norms of their reference groups.

• However, the impact of personal influence varies across Asian consumers and products.

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Asian Perspective on Personal Influence on Innovation Adoption

• High-context Asian societies like Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan have homogeneous populations sharing similar cultural and socioeconomic backgrounds.

• The transfer of ideas occurs more frequently between individuals under these similar circumstances than, say, in Singapore, where there are more subcultures.

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Internet Adoption

• Similarly, a study on Internet adoption in 50 countries showed that countries high on individualism had a greater rate of Internet adoption than countries that were more collectivistic.

• Internet adoption also increases as power distance decreases. This means that the more the exchange between people of different statuses, the greater the level of Internet adoption.

• Countries that tended to avoid uncertainty adopted the Internet less than those that were more inclined to embrace uncertainty.

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Characteristics of the Innovation

• Some products catch on immediately, whereas others take a long time to gain acceptance. Five characteristics influence the rate of adoption of an innovation:1. Relative advantage—the degree to which the innovation appears

superior to existing products.2. Compatibility—the degree to which the innovation matches the

values and experiences of the individuals.3. Complexity—the degree to which the innovation is relatively

difficult to understand or use.4. Divisibility—the degree to which the innovation can be tried on a

limited basis.5. Communicability—the degree to which the beneficial results of

use are observable or describable to others.

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Characteristics of the Innovation

• Other characteristics that influence the rate of adoption are cost, risk and uncertainty, scientific credibility, and social approval.

• The new-product marketer has to research all these factors and give the key ones maximum attention in designing the new product and its marketing program.

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Organizations’ Readiness to Adopt Innovations

• Adoption is associated with variables in the organization’s environment (community progressiveness, community income), the organization itself (size, profits, pressure to change), and the administrators (education level, age, sophistication).

• Other forces come into play in trying to get a product adopted into organizations that receive the bulk of their funding from the government, such as public schools.

• A controversial or innovative product can be squelched by negative public opinion.

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Thank you