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Mobilt Trådlöst Bredband HSPA och LTE

Jan FärjhVice President

Head of Ericsson Research

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Major trends - today

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Broadband services to a screen of your choice

Full Service Broadband

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Global cellular subscriptions By system standard

Source: Internal Ericsson

Reported subscription forecast by standard

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Rep

orte

d Su

bscr

iptio

ns (M

illio

ns)

Analogue & Other TDMA CDMAMobile WiMAX GSM/GPRS/EDGE WCDMA/HSPALTE

5

0

1 000 000

2 000 000

3 000 000

4 000 000

5 000 000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Tera

byte

Tera

byte

Mobile access traffic

0

50 000 000

100 000 000

150 000 000

200 000 000

250 000 000

300 000 000

350 000 000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

IPTV

InternetVoice

Fixed access traffic

TV/video

Internet

Voice

Network traffic growth Strong outlook

Traffic growth driven by TV, video and internetSource: Ericsson and market estimate

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WCDMA

HSPA

2005/6 2009/102003/4 2007/8 2011/12

3G LTEHSPA

evolution3G Mobile Broadband

Mobile broadband is already hereLTE will further boost 3G Mobile Broadband

3GPP radio-access technologies providing Mobile Broadband

3G Mobile Broadband

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WCDMA

2005/6 2009/102003/4 2007/8 2011/12

3G LTE

HSDPA and Enhanced Uplink

HSPA

HSPA evolution

Downlink: 3.6 Mbps 7.2 Mbps 14 MbpsUplink: Up to 5.8 Mbps

In commercial use since 2005!

HSPA – High Speed Packet Access

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HSPA

HSPA deployment

Source: GSA and Ericsson

in more than 50 countries

More than 100 commercial networks

with 7.2 Mbps available today

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Over 300 HSPA enabled devices*

137 mobile phones51 PC with HSPA embedded87 PC cards and USB modems32 wireless routers3 Media players and 1 camera

*Commercially launched as of June 2007 (GSA)

Most popular device: HSPA USB module (Sweden, June 2007)

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Examples:USD 25/month 250 MB includedUSD 53/month 1GB included

Vodafone Mobile Connect Card 3GExamples: 1Gb = USD 53/month4Gb = USD 79/month

CingularFirst in the worldExamples: Unlimited USD 59,99

HSPA offerings on market Some examples

ExamplesUSD 12/month - 25MB/day 3 Sweden example:

Unlimited 3.6 Mbps = USD 29/monthMaxis Malaysia offering fixed ’replacement’Example: For RM 98/month = USD 30/month

Optimus, Portugal Examples:2GB/month USD 406GB/month USD 53

Projection: 50% of all sold Laptops/ Notebooks to have HSPA by 2011

Formerly

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World Average Traffic Mix per Month WCDMA and HSPA

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

01-Sep-06 01-Oct-06 01-Nov-06 01-Dec-06 01-Jan-07 01-Feb-07 01-Mar-07 01-Apr-07 01-May-07 01-Jun-07 01-Jul-07 01-Aug-07

Perc

enta

ge o

f tot

al tr

affic

Sum of %PS_HS Sum of %PS_DCH Sum of %Speech Sum of %CS64 Sum of %OthersCtrl + Shift+ O

HSPA

R99 Data

SpeechVideo

38%

19%

41%

<2%

PS 60%

CS 40%

data is already now 60 % of the total WCDMA traffic

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Average traffic volume per RNC Average of selected operators

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

01-Sep-06 01-Oct-06 01-Nov-06 01-Dec-06 01-Jan-07 01-Feb-07 01-Mar-07 01-Apr-07 01-May-07 01-Jun-07 01-Jul-07

Gbi

t/RN

C/h

Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h)

Speech Total Packet HSPA

Traf

fic

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Average traffic volume per RNC Aggressive operator

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

01-Oct-06 01-Nov-06 01-Dec-06 01-Jan-07 01-Feb-07 01-Mar-07 01-Apr-07 01-May-07 01-Jun-07 01-Jul-07

Gbi

t/RN

C/h

Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h)Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h)

Speech Total Packet

HSPATraf

fic

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HSDPA 7.2 Mbps performanceLive WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier

High field performance in downlink

Good Coverage

Median bitrate3.8 Mbps

Mobile

Median bitrate1.9 Mbps

Median bitrate1.8 Mbps

Bad Coverage

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Enhanced Uplink 1.4 Mbps mobilityLive WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier

High field performance in uplink

0 70 140

210

280

350

420

490

560

630

700

770

840

910

980

1050

1120

1190

1260

1330

1400

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Mobile

Median bitrate1.0 Mbps

Average bitrate

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

no soft softer soft 3w soft soft-softer

3w softer

Mobile

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WCDMA

2005/6 2009/102003/4 2007/8 2011/12

3G LTE

HSPA

HSPA evolution

• Downlink: 14 Mbps 42 Mbps • Uplink: Close to 12 Mbps• Improved user experience

To ensure long-term HSPA competitiveness

HSPA evolution

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Enhanced system performance and end user experience

• Higher-order modulationDownlink – 64QAM Uplink - 16QAM

• MIMO, 2x2 downlink

• "Continuous Packet Connectivity”

• Enhanced Broadcast/Multicast

• Higher-order modulationDownlink – 64QAM Uplink - 16QAM

• MIMO, 2x2 downlink

• "Continuous Packet Connectivity”

• Enhanced Broadcast/Multicast

HSPA evolution

• Higher data rates• Higher capacity• Reduced user-experience latency / faster access

Specifications finalized

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WCDMA

2005/6 2009/102003/4 2007/8 2011/12

HSPA

HSPA evolution

• Further boost 3G Mobile Broadband

• Provide a smooth transition towards 4G radio access (IMT-Advanced)

3G Long Term Evolution

3G LTE

• Expansion to wider bandwidth• Both paired and unpaired spectrum• New radio access

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3G

HSPA

HSPA Evolved

3G LTE

GPRS

1998 2002 2005 2008 2009Ericsson

40 kbps 384 kbps 3.6 Mbps 28/42 Mbps >100 MbpsPeak rate

1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years

GSM and 3G data evolution 1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years

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Digital TV evolution – three phases

Digital broadcast IPTV 1.0 ”Networked TV”

Networked TV - a new dimension of the TV user experience

Content industry

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Making Web 2.0 mobile

Address book

Location

Presence

Camera

mp3 player

Mobile Phone

Network

Web 2.0 services

Broker/exchange

Make the phone the main source of User Generated Content

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Summary

• Mobile broadband is here with good performance

• Data traffic has surpassed voice traffic

• Performance will increase even further

• Excellent oppurtunity to introduce new services

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