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Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD Science & Technology Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD Science & Technology Dr. Delores M. Etter Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology) June 2, 1999

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Page 1: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Modeling and Simulation:A Critical Component of

DoD Science & Technology

Modeling and Simulation:A Critical Component of

DoD Science & Technology

Dr. Delores M. EtterDeputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)

June 2, 1999

Page 2: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No.0704-0188

Public reporting burder for this collection of information is estibated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completingand reviewing this collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burder to Department of Defense, WashingtonHeadquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports (0704-0188), 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision oflaw, no person shall be subject to any penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. PLEASE DO NOT RETURN YOUR FORM TO THE ABOVE ADDRESS.

1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY)02-06-1999

2. REPORT TYPEBriefing

3. DATES COVERED (FROM - TO)xx-xx-1999 to xx-xx-1999

4. TITLE AND SUBTITLEModeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD Science & TechnologyUnclassified

5a. CONTRACT NUMBER5b. GRANT NUMBER5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER

6. AUTHOR(S)Etter, Delores M. ;

5d. PROJECT NUMBER5e. TASK NUMBER5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER

7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESSDeputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)xxxxx, xxxxxxx

8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORTNUMBER

9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESSUnited States Department of DefenseDefense Modeling and Simulation Office1901 N. Beauregard Street, Suite 500Alexandria, VA22311-1705

10. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S)11. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S REPORTNUMBER(S)

12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENTAPUBLIC RELEASE,13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES14. ABSTRACTDoD Science & Technology Mission...to ensure that the warfighters today and tomorrow have superior and affordable technology to supporttheir missions, and to give them revolutionary war-winning capabilities.15. SUBJECT TERMS16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION

OF ABSTRACTPublic Release

18.NUMBEROF PAGES26

19. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONFenster, [email protected]

a. REPORTUnclassified

b. ABSTRACTUnclassified

c. THIS PAGEUnclassified

19b. TELEPHONE NUMBERInternational Area CodeArea Code Telephone Number703767-9007DSN427-9007

Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98)Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39.18

Page 3: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

To ensure that the warfighters today andtomorrow have superior and affordable

technology to support their missions, andto give them revolutionary war-winning

capabilities

011999 1330

DoD Science & Technology Mission

Page 4: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Revolutionary Capabilities

Stealth AdaptiveOptics andLasers

Night Vision

GPS

Phased Array Radar

Page 5: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Role of DUSD (S&T)

High Performance Computing Program

DoD Modeling and Simulation

Office of TechnologyTransfer

Laboratory Management/Security

Nav

y

Oversight/Assessment of DoD S&T Investment

Acquisition Software

International Collaborations

Page 6: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Changing Environments

• Conflict Increasing

• Proliferation of Military andCommercial Technologies

• Operations in UrbanEnvironments

• Preponderance of Coalitions

• Ethnic Strife

Rogue NationStates/Alliances

International CrimeOrganizations

Transnational Actors/Terrorists

Weapons ofMass Destruction

Greater Range ofSolutions

No US Monopoly inall Technologies

Complex Targets/Terrain

InformationManagement Critical

SecurityThreats 21st Century Impact

Page 7: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

048

12162024283236

FY2000 Research, Development, Test &Engineering (RDT&E) Funding

6.5 Engineering and Manufacturing Development ($7.5B)

6.4 Demonstration and Validation ($5.6B)

6.3 Advanced Technology Development ($3.3B)

6.2 Applied Research ($3.0B)6.1 Basic Research ($1.1B)

Technology Base(6.1 + 6.2 = $4.1B)

Science and Technology(6.1 + 6.2 + 6.3 = $7.4B)

FY00 RDT&E = $34.4B(6.1 thru 6.7)

21% of RDT&E

6.6 RDT&E Management Support ($2.4B)

6.7 Operational Systems Development ($11.5B)

Development(6.4 + 6.5 = $13.1B)

(6.6 + 6.7 = $13.9B)

($B)

10/16/98

Page 8: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Army Navy Air Force DARPA OSD Other DefAgencies

Basic Research (6.1) Applied Research (6.2) Adv Tech Dev (6.3)

DoD S&T Investment

Total FY00 S&T= $7.4B

Total FY00 S&T= $7.4B

$ B

illio

ns

Page 9: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Recipients of DoD S&T Funds

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

6.1 BasicResearch

6.2 AppliedResearch

6.3 AdvancedDevelopment

Universities In-House Labs Industry Other*

*Includes non-profit institutions, State & local govt., & foreign institutionsSource: National Science Foundation Report, NSF 98-332 (FY 1998)

$ B

illio

ns

(FY

98 T

hen

Yea

r)

Page 10: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

DoD Investment Strategy

Today’sForce

Today’sForce

NextForceNextForce

Force After Next

Force After Next

FY 2000 Dollars

010

20

30

40

50

60

7080

90

100

Ops & Maint Procure/RDT&E S&T

Per

cen

t o

f F

Y 2

000

Bu

dg

et R

equ

est

Arm

y

Nav

y

AF

79.0 64.2 67.3 19.1 34.1 30.9 1.9 1.7 1.8

Readiness Modernization Future

Note: AF does not include NRO & Special Ops

Page 11: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Joint Vision 2010

01/29/98 1600

Relies on Advancing Technology andOperational Warfighting Concepts

The Lenses of Technological Innovation and Information SuperiorityIntegrate and Amplify Four New Operational Concepts

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Integrated Annual Defense S&TPlanning Process

Budget

&

POM

Defense S&T Strategy

Defense S&T Strategy

Basic ResearchPlan

Basic ResearchPlan

Joint WarfightingS&T Plan

Joint WarfightingS&T Plan

Service/Agency S&T Plans

Service/Agency S&T Plans

NSTCNational Security

S&T Strategy

NSTCNational Security

S&T Strategy

CJCSJoint Vision

2010

CJCSJoint Vision

2010

DUSD(S&T)Lead

TARA

REVIEW

TARA

REVIEW

*

* TARA: Technology Area Review and Assessment

Defense TechnologyArea Plan

Defense TechnologyArea Plan

Web Site:http://www.dtic.mil/dstp

~ 350 DefenseTechnologyObjectives

02/11/98 1600

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Joint Warfighting S&T Plan (JWSTP)

• JWSTP--Focus to blend emerging technologyinto warfighter needs

Damaged Barracks in Saudi Arabia

Example: DTO L.06 Structural Blast Mitigation

Objective: Develop techniques to mitigate shock and blast damage instructures.

Blast-structure interaction at 30 milliseconds.Blast-structure interaction at 30 milliseconds.

Simulation of a terrorist explosion against a multistory building

Page 14: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

An agreementbetweenthe S&TCommunityand AcquisitionCustomers

Example: DTO SE.67 Hyperspectral Technologies

Defense Technology Area Plan(DTAP)

• DTAP--A detailed plan focusing DoD science onmilitarily significant technologies in specificfunctional areas

ResuspendedSediments

High WaterClarity

Kelp Beds2

SedimentPlumes

Page 15: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

A Strategicplan guidingnew scientificresearch.

Basic Research Plan (BRP)

BRP--A strategic plan to link longer term researchto broad, revolutionary warfighter capabilities

Improved submarine designswithout costly model construction

Computer-generated, color-coded pressuredistributions around fully appended submarines.

Page 16: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

MSRR

Defense Technology Plan (DTAP)M&S Technology Focus

M&S Applications(Analysis, Acquisition,

& Training)

IS.40 Individual Combat& Small unit Ops Simulation

IS.12 SimulationRepresentation

IS.11 SimulationInformation Technologies

IS.10 SimulationInterconnection

Mach 0.5

Re106

Mach 0.5

Re106

Page 17: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

S&T Emphasis Areas

• Chemical & Biological Defense

• Hardened and Deeply Buried Targets

• Smart Sensor Web

• Cognitive Readiness

• Information Assurance

S&T Integration• HPCMP

• DMSO

Page 18: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Chemical & Biological Defense

Inexpensive Weapon ProliferationInexpensive Weapon Proliferation

Chemical AgentChemical Agent

Biological AgentBiological Agent

DetectionDetection

ProtectionProtectionDecontaminationDecontamination

Agent Dispersal ModelingAgent Dispersal Modeling

Page 19: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Information Assurance

CyberterrorismCyberterrorism

HackersHackers

Information WarfareInformation Warfare

Malicious Code DetectorsMalicious Code Detectors

Inside AttacksInside Attacks

FirewallsFirewalls

EncryptionEncryptionCorrelation TechnologiesCorrelation Technologies

Page 20: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Hardened and Deeply Buried Targets

WMD and Missile ConcealmentWMD and Missile Concealment

DetectionDetection

CharacterizationCharacterizationNeutralizationNeutralization

IndividualProtection

Overhead ImageryOverhead Imagery

SensorsSensorsComputational ModelingComputational Modeling

Delivery SystemDelivery System

Page 21: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Smart Sensor Web

Complete Situation AwarenessComplete Situation Awareness

Real-time ImageryReal-time Imagery

IntegrationIntegration

Micro SensorsMicro Sensors

Micro-WeatherMicro-Weather

Physical ModelsPhysical Models

Dynamic Data BasesDynamic Data Bases Next Generation InternetNext Generation Internet

Moving TargetsMoving Targets

Wireless CommunicationsWireless Communications

Page 22: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

Cognitive Readiness

EmbeddedTrainingEmbeddedTraining

PhysiologicalMonitoringPhysiologicalMonitoring

Sustained OperationsSustained OperationsEnvironmental AmbiguityEnvironmental Ambiguity

Distributed LearningDistributed LearningInformation OverloadInformation OverloadHuman OptimizationHuman Optimization

Learner-centricInstructionLearner-centricInstruction Augmented RealityAugmented Reality

Page 23: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

ProgrammingEnvironment andTraining● Full-spectrum HPC

technology transferprogram

● Partners: Top academicinstitutions (NCSA,SDSC, 20+ academicinstitutions)

CHSSICHSSICommon HPCSoftware SupportInitiative● Provides multi-purpose

codes that perform on arange of HPC platforms,

● Develops critical DoDsoftware that can executein a scalable computingenvironment

PETPETCSM

CFD

CCM

CEA

CWOIMT

CEN

EQM

SIP

FMS

DoD Challenge ProjectsDoD Challenge Projects

HPCMP Resource CentersHPCMP Resource CentersMMSSRRCCss

DDCCss

● Questionnaire:

● Interviews: ServiceValidation: Ensuresthat only approvedand funded projectsare included

● RequirementsAnalysis Database:

ResourceResourceAllocationAllocation

Goal:

● Approximately 80%allocated byindividual Servicesand Agencies

● Approximately 20%allocated to DoDChallenge Projects

High Performance Computing Modernization ProgramHigh Performance Computing Modernization ProgramMission: Mission: Provide world-class HPC capability to the DoD science and technology and

developmental test and evaluation communities

● Provides high-performance,high-bandwidth DS3 throughOC3 (OC12 in the future)WAN services.

● Uses a commercial servicecontract.

● Provides services tailored tothe requirements of a siteanywhere in the 50 states.

DoD Challenge Projects: competitively selectedas pathfinding applications addressing mission-critical requirements.

● 28 Challenge Projects selected for FY99

16 continuing projects12 new projects

������������

Major SharedResource Centers

● Networked very largecomputer centers

● Top 30 facilities in speed and storage Distributed Centers

● Complements MSRCs● Supports local

missions (real- timeprocessing)

RequirementsRequirementsAnalysisAnalysis

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Defense Modeling and Simulation

DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning

● Communication Networks● Environmental Databases● Resource Repositories● VVA Policy and Procedures● Help Desks (MSOSA/IAC) ● Supporting Software/Tools

Common Services

StreetPlan

Ordinances

BuildingCodes

Payoffs: Interoperability and Reuse = Capability and Cost-Effectiveness

Technical Framework● High Level Architecture● CMMS (Common World View)● Data Standards

JSIMS

C4IInterfaces

BFTT

CCTT

Range Interfaces

Acft

Sim

ulat

ors

JTCTS

Page 25: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

“... simulation and modeling can help us … by reducing the

risk … saving time ... and by making efficient use of scarce

and increasingly expensive resources.” *

Dr. Jacques S. GanslerUnder Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Technology

* Remarks at the May 19, 1998, Precision Strike Association Annual Program Review, Ft Belvoir, Virginia

High Level Support

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Corporate Functions of DMSO

• M&S Standards Development

• M&S Education & Training

• Interaction with Joint M&S Programs

• Leadership of New M&S Initiatives

• Strategic Thrusts with M&S Community

Page 27: Modeling and Simulation: A Critical Component of DoD ...Defense Modeling and Simulation DoD M&S Strategy—An Analogy to City Planning Communication Networks Environmental Databases

DoD S&T is a Partnership

Stable, Long TermInvestment

New Ideas, Knowledge

High Risk, High Payoff Innovation, Transition

Maximum NationalSecurity Payoff

Service Labs Universities

DARPA Industries

Expanded Resource Base

InteragencyInteragency

Coalition Capability

International