module 2 introduction to spreadsheets models

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WHARTON ONLINE INTRODUCTION TO SPREADSHEETS & MODELS Don Huesman Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in models

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Page 1: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 1/14

WHARTON ONLINE

INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in m

Page 2: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 2/14

WHARTON ONLINE

Module topics

•  Random variables

• 

Probability distributions in spreadsheets

•  Power, exponential and log functions in model formulas

• 

Models for calculating probability trees and decision tre

• 

Correlations between variables and spreadsheet statist

functions

• 

Regression tools in spreadsheets for making predictions

•  Multiple regression

Page 3: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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Page 4: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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WHARTON ONLINE

INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in mLecture 1 Random variables and probability distributio

spreadsheet models

Page 5: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 5/14WHARTON ONLINE

Module 3 Lecture 1 Learning objectives

•  Implementing random variables using the functions rand() and

randbetween()

•  Developing forecasts using historical data to project future events

•  Understanding probability distributions as they affect models

•  Using built-in spreadsheet statistical functions

Page 6: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 6/14WHARTON ONLINE

INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in mLecture 2 Changes in discrete and continuous tim

Page 7: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 7/14WHARTON ONLINE

Module 3 Lecture 2 Learning objectives

•  Calculating change in variables in discrete and continuous time

• 

Redesigning model objective functions to accommodate continuotime.

Page 8: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 4: Addressing uncertainty and probability in mLecture 3 Power, exponential and log functions in model f

Page 9: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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WHARTON ONLINE

Module 3 Learning objectives

•  Using power, exponential and log functions in model formulas

• 

 Applications of non-linear functions

Page 10: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/module-2-introduction-to-spreadsheets-models 10/14

WHARTON ONLINE

INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in mLecture 4 Models for calculating probability trees and decis

Page 11: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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WHARTON ONLINE

Module 4 Learning objectives

•  Designing models for calculating probability trees

• 

Implementing decision trees

Page 12: Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

8/16/2019 Module 2 Introduction to Spreadsheets Models

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WHARTON ONLINE

INTRODUCTION TO

SPREADSHEETS & MODEDon Huesman

Module 3: Addressing uncertainty and probability in mLecture 5 Using spreadsheet statistical functions

for correlation and regression

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WHARTON ONLINE

Module 5 Summary

•  Random variables

• 

Probability distributions in spreadsheets•  Power, exponential and log functions in model formulas

•  Models for calculating probability trees and decision trees

•  Correlations between variables and spreadsheet statistical functi

•  Regression tools in spreadsheets for making predictions