montathar faraon: positive but skeptical: a study of attitudes towards internet voting in sweden

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Positive but skeptical A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden Montathar Faraon @ Södertörn University CeDEM-Asia International Conference for E-Democracy and Open Government 4-6 December 2014, Hong Kong

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Page 1: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Positive but skepticalA study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Montathar Faraon @ Södertörn UniversityCeDEM-Asia International Conference for E-Democracy and Open Government

4-6 December 2014, Hong Kong

Page 2: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

ResultsOverall results Participation

Security

ConclusionsPast research Digital divide

Support by government Future work

IntroductionBackground Motivation

Lessons learned Aim and research

questions

MethodsQuestionnaire Data collection

Participants

2

Page 3: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Electronic voting at polling stations using voting machines.

The procedure is physically supervised by representatives of

the government.

Direct-Recording Electronic (DRE)

Electronic voting via the Internet.

The procedure is not physically supervised by representatives of

the government.

Remote electronic voting

Background

3

Page 4: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

02Reliability of the system

Election systems should work robustly,

without loss of any votes.

01Secrecy and

integrity

Votes should remain secret and not be

modified, forged, or deleted without

detection.

03Voter

authentication

Possible to uniquely identify and authenticate voters without linking their

identity to the vote.

Background

4

Page 5: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

2009

2005

2011 & 2013

2018?

EstoniaAlvarez, Hall, & Trechsel (2009)

AustriaKrimmer, Ehringfeld, & Traxl (2010)

SwitzerlandDriza-Maurer (2013)

2009 & 2011

NorwaySegaard, Christensen, Folkestad, &

Saglie (2014)

SwedenFaraon et al. (2014)

Notes. Countries with legally binding elections.

Background

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Page 6: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

91%16-85 years

95%16-74 years

+Computer Internet Internet

Notes. Numbers referring to the Swedish population for 2013.

Background

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Page 7: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

1Growing demand of online services and the general elections in Sweden remain a manual and costly process.

2 Introduce Internet voting as a compliment to maintain and possibly increase voter turnout.

3Provide voters with disabilities and expatriates participation on equal grounds. Reduce proxy vote applications.

Increase accuracy: a) vote check b) tabulation of votes and c) reporting of the election results.5

4Investigate voters’ attitudes to unveil potential challenges and support decision-making in the introduction of Internet voting.

Motivation

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Page 8: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Motivation

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Page 9: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

2010Swedish General Elections

Invalid votes 58 44368 274

2014Swedish General Elections

Motivation

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Page 10: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Widespread Internet penetration1

Legal framework and technology that supports Internet voting2

National identification system that allows digital authentication3

Political culture supporting and promoting Internet voting4

Increased transparency by inclusion of citizens in the design process5

Lessons learned

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Page 11: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

How disposed are Swedish voters towards Internet voting?

Participation

How do age, gender, education, employment, and political background influence participation?

Demographics

What role does security play when engaging with Internet voting?

Security

Aim and research questions

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Page 12: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

ResultsOverall results Participation

Security

ConclusionsPast research Digital divide

Support by government Future work

IntroductionBackground Motivation

Lessons learned Aim and research

questions

MethodsQuestionnaire Data collection

Participants

12

Page 13: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

2 0 L I K E RT-T Y P E I T E M S

Would the turnout be higher?

P a r t i c i p a t i o n

Worried about results being manipulated?

S e c u r i t y

Could Internet voting increase the tendency to participate?

I n d i v i d u a l a t t i t u d e s

1

5

D i s a g re e m e n t

A g re e m e n t

Questionnaire

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Page 14: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Experimental polling on Facebook before election day

START

FINISH

2

3

Participants given informed consent to be contacted in the future

Participants completed the questionnaire

Participants were contacted through e-mail

Data collection

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Page 15: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Total 5683

Notes. After exclusion criteria were applied, a total of 5237 participants remained.

Participants

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Page 16: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

47%

Men

53%

Women

Participants

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Page 17: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

>65 (3,3%)

56-65 (9,1%)

46-55 (15,7%)

36-45 (18,3%)

26-35 (21,9%)

≤25 (31,7%)

Age

Participants

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Page 18: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

VSQuestionnaire samplePolitical allegiance

(N = 5 237)

Apolitical 23.3%

35.0%

41.7%

Apolitical22.3%

41.2%

36.5%

Liberal-Conservative Alliance Liberal-Conservative Alliance

Red-Green Opposition Red-Green Opposition

Swedish electorate

Participants

Political allegiance (N = 7 201 600)

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Page 19: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

ResultsOverall results Participation

Security

ConclusionsPast research Digital divide

Support by government Future work

IntroductionBackground Motivation

Lessons learned Aim and research

questions

MethodsQuestionnaire Data collection

Participants

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Page 20: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Participation Scale

(M = .88) (M = .28)

Overall results

Security Scale

Notes. Mean values based on a scale ranging from -2 to +2.20

Page 21: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Participation Scale

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Men

(M = .85)Women

Notes. Mean values based on a scale ranging from -2 to +2.

(M = .91)

Gender

Page 22: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Security Scale

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Men

(M = .35)Women

Notes. Mean values based on a scale ranging from -2 to +2.

(M = .19)

Gender

Page 23: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Participation Scale

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Compulsory (9 years) High school (10-12 years) College (13-15 years) Postgraduate (15+ years)

M = .85

M = .93

M = .88

M = .81

Education

Page 24: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

Security Scale

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Compulsory (9 years) High school (10-12 years) College (13-15 years) Postgraduate (15+ years)

M = .12

M = .22

M = .34

M = .39Education

Page 25: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

ResultsOverall results Participation

Security

ConclusionsPast research Digital divide

Support by government Future work

IntroductionBackground Motivation

Lessons learned Aim and research

questions

MethodsQuestionnaire Data collection

Participants

25

Page 26: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

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Past research and digital divide

Women, groups with relatively short education, and the unemployed or self-employed.

Groups

Those with lower education want to adopt Internet voting more compared to their counterparts.

Education

No difference between age classes.Age

Page 27: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

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Support by government and future work

1 The full spectrum of political parties was sympathetic to the use of Internet voting.

2

Future work: income level, technological proficiency, ethnic background, and geographical distribution.3

Swedish population would receive Internet voting with a positive interest, preparedness to participate, and a cautious optimism regarding the security issues.

Page 28: Montathar Faraon: Positive but skeptical: A study of attitudes towards Internet voting in Sweden

E-mail

[email protected]

Twitter

@constituo linkedin.com/in/constituo/

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Thank you for your attention!

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