namas in the refrigeration, air conditioning and foam ... · page 4 deutsche gesellschaft für...
TRANSCRIPT
Page 1
Alvaro Zurita, GIZ
Joint Meeting of the OzonAction Networks of Mexico, Central America, South America and the Caribbean
Jamaica Pegasus Hotel - Kingston, Jamaica
3 October 2013
NAMAs in the refrigeration, air conditioning and foam blowing sector
Page 3 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 4
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GmbH • A German federal enterprise, owned by the Federal Republic of Germany • An international cooperation enterprise for sustainable development with
worldwide operations • Organised as a private-sector entity • In Germany and more than 130 countries • ~18,000 employees • Business volume 2012: EUR 2.1 billion • Main commissioning party: German Federal Ministry for
Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) • Environmental projects: BMU
03/10/2013
Page 5
– 16 years worldwide initiatives – ~ 245 projects – ~ 40 Partner countries – ~ 100 Mio tons CO2eq. reduced – ~ 8,000 ODP tons reduced – ~ 35.000 trained technicians
Refrigeration - Air conditioning - Foam blowing Integrated ozone and climate protection with focus on natural refrigerants with low-GWP and energy-efficient applications
„PROKLIMA“
Page 6 03.10.2013
The Proklima approach • from technology demonstration to sector conversion (upscaling)
• Local added value (localization of technology, local assembly; value chain)
• Capacity development
• Connectivity to climate negotiations
Page 7
Removal of barriers • Developing and emerging countries: increasing
demand for climate friendly technologies
• Climate friendly technologies are proven, available and economically feasible
• Successful technology demonstration projects
• Challenges for market introduction in developing and emerging countries: removal of technical, cultural, political, legal barriers
03/10/2013
Page 9 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 11
Market volume in different applications in refrigeration and air-conditioning [billion Euros]
Source: Study for EC F-Gas Review (Öko-Recherche/HEAT GmbH)
Page 12
0
500
1,000
1,500
kt S
ubst
ance
Prognosis
CFC HCFC
HFC
Source: UNEP and own projections
Consumption CFC, HCFC y HFC en developing countries: Business as Usual
Page 13
HFC days are numbered…
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
HFC-Phase down (proposals)
NAProposal
FSM Proposal
CCAC Climate and Clean Air Coalition)
MP HFC amendment
Adjusted from: Schwarz et al., 2011
EU-27 All sources
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
[kt
CO
2eq
]
Without measures With measures
Without F-gas legislation
With '2006 F-gas legislation'
New F-gas proposal
New EU Proposal on F-Gas regulation
Page 15 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 16
CFC HCFC HFC HFO (unsat. HFC)
~ 8000 ~1600 GWP ~1800 ~ <10
1 Depletion of Resources (Fluor) x ~ 2 - ?
1 Persistent Waste (TFA) x ~ 2 -5 ?
1 ODP ~ 0,07 Flammability (HF)
1 Price x ~ 30 ?
Halocarbons, a problem • ODP - GWP • deplete resources • produce persistent pollutants, that accumulate in soil /aquatic reservoirs
Page 17
Climate-friendly, sustainable alternatives for (nearly) all applications and regions!
Mobile AC
HC
Domestic Ref.
CO2, HC HC, NH3
AC
CO2/ HC,
Renewable
Foams
NH3, HC
Industr. Ref.
CO2, NH3, HC
Comm. Ref.
03/10/2013
Page 20 03.10.2013
South Africa - Supermarket refrigeration (NH3/CO2)
0
100
200
300
400
Ener
gy c
onsu
mpt
ion,
kW
h/m
2 co
oled
dis
play
are
a
Cape Town
Strand Average Cape Town
0
100
200
300
400
Ener
gy c
onsu
mpt
ion,
kW
h/m
2 c
oole
d di
spla
y ar
ea
Johannesburg/Gauteng
Randpark Ridge Average Gauteng
Page 22 03.10.2013
China: Conversion XPS foam production to CO2 technology
80% of ca 500 companies in the sector to be converted in the next years: 40-50 production lines till 2015
Page 25 03/10/2013
The Greenfreeze experience: 20 years after
Production of Greenfreeze refrigerators 50 to 100 % Production of Greenfreeze and conventional refrigerators No production or no reliable data available
20 Years of Greenfreeze - Production of 700 Mio. fridges since 1992
Page 28 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 30
NAMA Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions • COP15 (Copenhaguen) • voluntary emission reduction measures by developing
countries
• directly reported to the UNFCCC Secretariat.
• offer a big potential to introduce low carbon technologies and to significantly reduce GHG emissions.
• MRV: Monitoring Reporting Verification
Page 31 03/10/2013
3 NAMA categories
1. Unilateral: Financed domestically; domestic MRV in accordance with guidelines developed under the climate convention,
2. Supported: International support (finance, technology and/or capacity building); MRV according to international guidelines developed under the climate convention,
3. Credited: private sector funding that results in carbon credits; MRV likely to draw upon experience with CDM.
NAMAs
Projects Sectoral Approaches
Policies and Strategies
Research and Development
NAMA categories
Page 32
Credited NAMA
Registry
Supported NAMA Unilateral
NAMA
Domestic Financing
Bilateral Financing
Carbon Credits
Green Climate Fund
NAMA Funding & Financing System
ODA Not yet implemented Private Sector
Page 33 03-10-2013
NAMA Funding & Financing System
…. first come, first served!!!
• Green Climate Fund 100 bn USD p.a. by 2020 • not only grants - not only public money • Leverage & mobilization of private investments • NAMA Registry (contact point donor-recipient)
• MRV is a key issue (transparency for donors)
• NAMA funding by now: bi-multilateral, development banks • NAMA Facility DECC (UK) and BMU (D) • Climate Development and Knowledge Network (CDKN, UK) • AusAID International Climate Change Adaptation Initiative • Agence Française de Développement (AFD) • USAID
Page 34
Part I: Inventory/ Stakeholder Engagement
Stakeholder (Industry) Engagement
Establishment of Inventory
Step 1
Step 2
Part II: Preparing NAMA Description Document (NAMA-DD)
Step 3 Defining Sector BAU and Mitigation Scenarios
Step 4 Identification of Subsectors for Mitigation Action
Step 5 Alternative Technologies + Barrier Removal
Step 6 Policy and Financing
Step 7 Roadmap
Step 8 Upload NAMA – DD for Registration
Part III: NAMA Implementation
Step 9 Enabling implementation of measures
Step 10
Step 11 NAMA Progress and verification of emission reductions
NAMA support framework
Institutional developm
ent and stakeholder engagem
ent
Overview of a typical NAMA workplan
Page 36 03.10.2013
NOUs have already good knowledge to prepare NAMAs in the RAC/Foam sectors: • Experienced in formulating and implementing sector plans
• Relationships with most key stakeholders established NOUs need support in: • Building national HFC inventories (Methodology)
• Transparent decision making for technology selection (Tools)
• Monitoring, Reporting, Verification (Methodology)
NOU: What does this have to do with my daily work?
Page 37
Development of NAMAs in the RAC&F sectors Started in 2009, funded by BMU Germany
4 Partner countries (Thailand, Mexico and others) in the initial stage
Builds on HFC replacement demonstration projects (financed by BMU)
Project delivers guidance on how to establish an F-gas inventory in the RAC&F sectors and show how this information can be used to develop NAMAs
Preparation of a technical handbook and practical tools; publication online at www.giz.de/proklima (2nd half of 2013)
Support for countries to develop NAMAs in the RAC&Foam sectors, including: draft NAMA strategy incl. financial support plan, submit NAMA for registry at UNFCCC, seek international funding, and implementation and mitigation action plan
Proklima NAMA project
Page 38 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 39
NAMA global handbook Concept and objectives
• Provide comprehensive handbook with basic guidance on technical, procedural and policy issues
• Provide practical tools for assessment, analysis and planning of NAMAs
• Guidance on economic aspects of strategy building and finance
• Assist in the development of proposals and funding requests for supported NAMAs
• Guidance on implementation and monitoring
• Strengthening capacities to integrate with reporting procedures under the UNFCCC
Page 41 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
Page 42
Sectors and Subsectors Appliance systems and applications
S1 RAC, Unitary air conditioning
Self-contained air conditioners Spilt residential air conditioners Split commercial air conditioners Duct split residential air conditioners Commercial ducted splits Rooftop ducted Multi-splits
S RAC, Chillers
Air conditioning chillers Process chillers
S RAC, Mobile air-conditioning Car air conditioning Large vehicle air conditioning
S RAC, Domestic Refrigeration Domestic Refrigeration
S RAC, Commercial Refrigeration
Stand-alone equipment Condensing units Centralised systems for supermarkets
Sectors and subsectors
(UNEP RTOC, 2010, modified)
Page 43
Sectors and Subsectors Appliance systems and applications
S RAC, Industrial Refrigeration Integral Condensing units Centralised systems for supermarkets
S RAC, Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers
S Foams
PU Flexible Foam Continuous/Discontinuous PU Flexible Moulded Foam PU Integral Skin Foam PU Continuous Panel/Flexible panel PU Discontinuous Panel PU Appliance Foam PU Continuous/Discontinuous Block PU Spray Foam PU Pipe-in-Pipe PU OCF (bottle foam) PU Rigid foam all other applications XPS Extruded Polystyrene boards
S Other sectors
Electrical power systems (Gas insulated switch gear and circuit breakers) Aerosols Metered dose inhalers Solvent cleaning Fire suppression
Page 44 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
• DIS-Tool • HFC Inventory & Projection tool
Page 45
Data input sheet: DIS-tool from the RAC&F Handbook How many units are produced in your country?
Sector Sub-sector 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits Chillers Air conditioning chillers Chillers Process chillers Mobile AC Car air conditioning Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets Industrial Refrigeration Integral Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers
How many units are sold in your country? Sector Sub-sector 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits Chillers Air conditioning chillers Chillers Process chillers Mobile AC Car air conditioning Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units
Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets
Industrial Refrigeration Integral Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers
Refrigeration and air conditioning How many units are in operation (current use) in your country ? Sector Sub-sector 2000 2001 2002 2003 Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits Chillers Air conditioning chillers Chillers Process chillers Mobile AC Car air conditioning Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets Industrial Refrigeration Integral Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers
Production figures
Domestic sales figures
Appliances in operation
Page 46
Refrigeration and air conditioning Inital Charge in New units [kg]
Sector Sub-sector
Please choose the dominant refrigerant from the drop-down list (Therefore click on the cell below) 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits Chillers Air conditioning chillers Chillers Process chillers Mobile AC Car air conditioning Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets Industrial Refrigeration Integral Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers
Manufacture Emission Factors (% of Initial Charge)
Sector Sub-sector Refrigerant 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits 0 Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted 0 Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits 0 Chillers Air conditioning chillers 0 Chillers Process chillers 0 Mobile AC Car air conditioning 0 Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning 0 Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration 0 Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment 0 Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets 0 Industrial Refrigeration Integral 0 Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems 0 Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers 0
Servicing Emission Factors (% of Initial Charge) Sector Sub-sector Refrigerant 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits 0 Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted 0 Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits 0 Chillers Air conditioning chillers 0 Chillers Process chillers 0 Mobile AC Car air conditioning 0 Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning 0 Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration 0 Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment 0 Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets 0 Industrial Refrigeration Integral 0 Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems 0 Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers 0
Average cooling capacity per unit [kW] Sector Sub-sector Refrigerant 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 203Unitary air conditioning Self-contained air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Split commercial air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Duct split residential air conditioners 0 Unitary air conditioning Commercial ducted splits 0 Unitary air conditioning Rooftop ducted 0 Unitary air conditioning Multi-splits 0 Chillers Air conditioning chillers 0 Chillers Process chillers 0 Mobile AC Car air conditioning 0 Mobile AC Large vehicle air conditioning 0 Domestic refrigeration Domestic refrigeration 0 Commercial Refrigeration Stand-alone equipment 0 Commercial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Commercial Refrigeration Centralised systems for supermarkets 0 Industrial Refrigeration Integral 0 Industrial Refrigeration Condensing units 0 Industrial Refrigeration Centralised systems 0 Transport Refrigeration Refrigerated trucks/trailers 0
Initial charge
Manufacture Emission Factors
Servicing Emission Factors
Average cooling capacity
etc.
Data input sheet: DIS-tool from the RAC&F Handbook
Page 47 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
• DIS-Tool • HFC Inventory & Projection tool
Selection Tool
Page 48 03.10.2013
CFC/ HCFC HFC
HFC/ HFO NH3 CO2 HC
Ozone Depletion
High GWP
Persistent wastes
Depletable Resources
Recycling
Safety issues
Energy efficiency
Costs
IPR
new complexities for the application Selection includes aspects of development and sustainability
Tool, example: Multi criteria analysis in the selection of technical options
Page 49 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
• DIS-Tool • HFC Inventory & Projection tool
Selection Tool
Mitigation and costs tool
Page 51 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
• DIS-Tool • HFC Inventory & Projection tool
Selection Tool
Mitigation and costs tool
MRV tool
Page 52
Example: MRV Module Select criterias Determine Process Identify reporting formats Institutionalize MRV
Page 53 03-10-2013
• Inventory 1
• Cooling needs assessment 2
• Technical options 3
• Economic assessment 4
• Mitigation scenarios 5
• Technology roadmap 6
• Measuring, reporting, verifying 7
• Policy and financing options framework 8
• Implementation plan 9
• Co-benefits for the NAMA country 10
NAMA handbook for RAC&F sectors
• DIS-Tool • HFC Inventory & Projection tool
Selection Tool
Mitigation and costs tool
MRV tool Evaluation matrix
Page 55 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 56
Relevant documents for F-gas inventory
03/10/2013
• IPCC Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IPCC 2000)
• Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IPCC, 1997)
• IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Vol. 3 (IPCC 2006)
Page 57
Tier 1 and Tier 2 approach
2013-10-03
Tier 1 • Aggregated data • Production/import/export of chemicals
Tier 2 • Disaggregated detailed data
• Market data (appliances)
Top-down approach Bottom-up approach
Page 58
Tier 1b
2013-10-03
Emissions = Production + Imports – Exports – Destruction
Tier 1: Potential emissions
Tier 1a Emissions = Production + Imports – Exports– Destruction
Include refrigerants of imported and exported equipment
Revised 1996 Guidelines (IPCC)
Page 59
Why Tier 2 ?
03/10/2013
• NAMA funding requires precise/reliable emission reduction data
• Consumption data are not enough • Emission factors depend on the appliances • NAMA: mitigation based on technical options • Import-export of appliances • Emission delay (refrig. imported this year doesn‘t emit
necessarily this year)
Page 60
Production of appliances(First Fill)
Stock (=appliances in use) Bank
ManufactureEmissions
ServiceEmissions (Refill)
DisposalEmissions
Total Emissions
Direct Emissions
Energy Consumption
Indirect EmissionsFill Refill
Demand
Tier 2: Production, import and export of appliances/systems
HFC units National Communications; HCFC and HFC units NAMA
Page 61
Inventory procedure*:
* From the GIZ Proklima RAC&F Handbook
1. Extensive literature research
2. Perform Level and Trend Assessment (IPCC 2000)
3. Identification of the most important stakeholders
4. Gathering detailed bottom-up data (Tier 2) using the data input sheet (DIS-tool)
5. Organising stakeholder workshops with representatives from relevant sub-sectors
6. Distribution of questionnaires to RAC&F industry
7. Calculate emissions, demand and bank using IPCC formulas / GIZ tool
Page 62
Inventory Tool: Draft RAC Manufacturing Figures (Units) S Appliance System/Application 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Upscale 2010
S1 Self-contained air conditioners 38,714 40,495 42,358 44,306 46,344 48,476Split residential air conditioners 4,359,159 4,559,681 4,769,426 4,988,820 5,218,305 5,458,347Split commercial air conditioners 224,866 235,210 246,030 257,347 269,185 281,568Duct split residential air conditioners 1,868,211 1,954,149 2,044,040 2,138,066 2,236,417 2,339,292Commercial ducted splits 96,371 100,804 105,441 110,292 115,365 120,672Rooftop ducted 0 0 0 0 0 0Multi-splits 135,975 142,230 148,773 155,616 162,775 170,262
S2 Air conditioning chillers 59 62 65 68 71 74Process chillers 25 27 28 29 30 32
S3 Car air conditioning 1,277,916 1,336,700 1,398,188 1,462,505 1,529,780 1,600,150Large vehicle air conditioning 49,285 51,552 53,923 56,404 58,998 61,712
S4 Domestic refrigeration 4,516,782 4,724,554 4,941,883 5,169,210 5,406,994 5,655,715S5 Stand-alone equipment 181,819 190,183 198,931 208,082 217,654 227,666
Condensing units (End user) 589 707 721 737 655 706Centralised systems for supermarkets (End users) 18 31 36 38 29 68
S6 Integral - - - - - -Condensing units 47 52 47 34 17 34Centralised systems 16 17 16 11 6 11
S7 Refrigerated trucks/trailers 357 357 286 286 429 500
Page 63
InventoryTool: Draft Potential Emissions
Net consumption =Potential emissions 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010CFC 0 4,281 2,269 1,862 1,381 1,242 444 300 190 141 0HCFC 0 0 0 0 4,222 12,620 13,633 10,056 12,595 11,438 14,025HFC 0 319 1,130 1,724 1,791 2,057 2,305 2,435 3,411 3,638 4,227SF6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 43Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Page 64 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 65
Annual Consumption of F-Gases from The Custom Department (Import-Export)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Tonnes
CFC-11 0.000 1502.155 796.085 475.745 218.285 102.465 14.420 11.250 16.130 0.000 0.000
CFC-12 0.000 2779.339 1472.707 1386.038 1162.793 1139.914 429.197 289.234 174.212 141.128 0.000
HC-290* - - - - - - - 25.195 243054.820 375559.024 768831.709
HC-600a* - - - - - - - 346.019 202393.928 399114.042 747764.610
HCFC-123 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.007 72.850 80.213 89.968 135.285 157.847 129.582
HCFC-141b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2476.781 1640.005 1961.010 984.147 1540.100 1727.620 1941.570
HCFC-142b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 32.640 36.800 39.360 72.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
HCFC-22 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1712.853 10870.340 11552.877 8910.275 10919.496 9552.928 11953.406
HFC-125 0.000 12.000 48.000 24.000 2.550 14.991 0.000 0.000 9.690 19.140 8.700
HFC-134a 0.000 306.716 1002.394 1660.771 1740.159 1919.259 2138.289 2241.760 3117.552 3407.732 4094.939
HFC-143a 0.000 0.000 22.400 0.035 0.640 4.540 0.000 0.035 2.800 9.440 0.000
HFC-152a 0.000 0.000 55.424 39.160 40.180 95.804 36.425 79.238 184.109 95.801 94.517
HFC-227ea 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.150 0.102 21.677 11.642 22.588 18.431 25.123
HFC-23 0.000 0.000 0.492 0.452 0.683 18.516 108.715 102.102 30.840 16.691 3.904
HFC-236fa 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000
HFC-245fa - - - - - - - - - - -
HFC-32 0.000 0.000 0.816 0.000 6.540 3.350 0.000 0.000 43.600 70.820 0.037
HFC-365mfc - - - - - - - - - - -
HFC-404A - - - - - - - - - - -
HFC-407C - - - - - - - - - - -
HFC-410A - - - - - - - - - - -
HFC-43-10mee - - - - - - - - - - -
R-717* - - - - - - - - - - -
R-744* - - - - - - - - - - -
R1234yf (HFO) - - - - - - - - - - -
R1234ze(E) (HFO) - - - - - - - - - - -
PFCs 0.000 0.000 0.052 0.077 14.332 135.490 119.191 101.056 0.000 1.240 3.483
SF6 0.000 3.232 13.876 8.358 20.069 20.249 25.754 3.858 3.298 25.038 44.072
Page 66
Emission Calculation Tier 1 Method • Using the “Import – Export” data can be calculated as
the Tier1a method
• There are no data available for the distribution of F-Gas into sectors/sub-applications
• Using the F-Gas distribution from IPCC (IPCC/TEAP, 2006) and UNEP (UNEP, 2012) reports as sector distribution
Page 67
Emission Calculation Tier 2 Method
• Require more effort for data collection • Need to take assumption to calculate the appliance
related data (production/domestic sale/stock)
Page 68
Sub-sector Equipment No. of
Questionaires Distributed
No. of Responses
Estimated % Market Share
S1 RAC, Unitary air conditioning
Self-contained air conditioners Split residential air
conditioners Split commercial air
conditioners Duct split residential air conditioners Commercial ducted splits Rooftop ducted Multi-splits
29 15 89.92%
S2 RAC, Chillers Air Conditioning Process
3 2 (85%)
S3 RAC, Mobile air-conditioning
- 24 6 53.37%
S4 RAC, Domestic Refrigeration
- 11 8 98.68%
F-Gas Data Collection
Page 69
Sub-sector Equipment No. of Questionaires Distributed
No. of Responses
Estimated % Market Share
S5 RAC, Commercial Refrigeration
Stand-alone 15 4 (67%)
Remote and Centralized system for supermarket
19 4 Retail (75%)
C-store (70-80%)
S6 RAC, Industrial Refrigeration
Integral Condensing units Centralised systems
550 225 (Phone
interview 125, Questionnaire 105)
44.28%***
S7 RAC, Transport Refrigeration
- 10 3 (70%)
S8 Foams see type foam 35 11 (50%)
S9 Other sectors SF6 15 8 (60-70%)
• Manufacturers were often unwilling to cooperate, because • No legal/regulatory enforcement • Already provided this information for HPMP
• Incomplete time series • Difficult to get data from distributors, traders , service sector • Lack of stock data for selected sectors
F-Gas Data Collection
Page 70
S Appliance / Application S1 Self-contained air conditioners
Split residential air conditioners
Split commercial air conditioners
Duct split residential air conditioners
Commercial ducted splits Rooftop ducted
Multi-splits S2 Air conditioning chillers
Process chillers S3
Car air conditioning Large vehicle air conditioning
S4 Domestic refrigeration
S5 Stand-alone equipment Condensing units
Production Data 2005 -2010
S Appliance / Application S1 Self-contained air conditioners
Split residential air conditioners Split commercial air conditioners
Duct split residential air conditioners Commercial ducted splits Rooftop ducted Multi-splits
S2 Air conditioning chillers Process chillers
S3 Car air conditioning Large vehicle air conditioning
S4 Domestic refrigeration
Domestic Sale 2005 -2010
S Appliance / Application S1 Self-contained air conditioners 14,646 16,878 19,147 21,578 2
Split residential air conditioners 2,594,668 2,770,615 2,957,200 3,168,086 3,48
Split commercial air conditioners 81,086 93,445 106,007 119,464 13
Duct split residential air conditioners 1,112,001 1,187,406 1,267,371 1,357,751 1,49
Commercial ducted splits 34,751 40,048 45,431 51,199 5
Rooftop ducted - - - -
Multi-splits 123,007 141,754 160,811 181,226 20
S2 Air conditioning chillers 5,346 5,592 5,849 6,118
Process chillers 2,291 2,397 2,507 2,622
S3 Car air conditioning 6,935,944 7,881,836 8,313,336 8,740,576 9,15
Stock Data 2005 -2010
Page 71
Sectoral Distribution from Tier 2
Share of Tier 2 Emissions in different RAC sub-sectors in 2010
Page 72
Comparison of Thailand’s HFCs, PFCs and SF6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Em
issi
ons
(MtC
O2e
q)
Comparison of Thailand's HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 Emissions
Tier 1a emissions
Tier 2 emissions (HFCs Tier2 and PFCs, SF6 Tier1a) Thailand National Inventory
US EPA (2006)
Page 73 page 73
Split residential air conditioners 1) Leak reduction (design/const) no change 2) HC R290/ R1270 HC-290 3) HFC R32 HFC-32 4) Low-GWP + district cooling low GWP
Technical option Alternative refrigerant
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mt C
O2
eq
DER
DEREE
BAU
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mt C
O2
eq
DER
DEREE
BAU
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mt C
O2
eq
DER
DEREE
BAU
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mt C
O2
eq
DER
DEREE
BAU
1)
3)
2)
4)
Mitigation scenarios: Detailed Analysis
Page 74
Technical options • Various technical options, incl. calculation of mitigation potential • Total reduction potential of Thai RAC sector : 99 Mt CO2eq p.a.
from237 Mt CO2eq (2030). • highest emission reduction potential: unitary AC • significant reductions MAC, commercial + domestic refrigeration
Use of the data • report direct HFC emissions in the National Communication of
Thailand, to UNFCCC. • establish baseline for direct and indirect emissions from the RAC
sectors and project future mitigation scenarios.
Page 75 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 78 03.10.2013
Target Sectors
Survey Targets
Foam Sector
F-gas Exporters
F-gas Importers
F-gas Producers
RAC Sector
Chillers Residential Air-Conditioning
Domestic Refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration
Cold Storage & Industrial Refrigeration Mobile Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration
Servicing
• PU (Flexible, Rigid, Integral Skin) • XPS (Extruded Sheet, Extruded Board) • Polyethylene (Extruded Sheet, Rigid Insulation)
Page 79 03.10.2013
Definition of sources
F-gas Producers, Importers and Exporters
F-gas Consumers
Target Groups
Refrigeration sector
Air-Conditioning Sector
Foam Sector
Data Collection
Questionnaires
Interviews
Data Verification
Site visits
Cross Checking data from all sources
Data Collection
Page 80 03.10.2013
Tier 1 Data
• National Level • Top Down Approach using F-gas
production/import/export data at National level
Level Data
Tier 2 Data
• Company level • Bottom Up Approach using
production data of F-gas and equipment based on them
Page 81 03.10.2013
Preliminary HFC Import & Export Data (in MT) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Gases Import Export Import Export Import Export Import Export Import Export Import Export
HFC-152a 170.27 4.88 198.3 22.83 161.08 9.21 172.63 4.07 276.42 22.32 1313.91 41.57
HFC-125 0.48 0 1.06 0 4.12 1.58 8.07 0 9.8 0 15.97 0
HFC-134a 5627.38 518.7 9018.12 1629.3 5984.55 1438.85 8101.02 1196.23 8623.02 1374.72 7892.73 974.44
HFC-23 0.73 0.02 1.32 0.06 1.823 0 1.587 0 0.583 0 1.203 0
HFC-245fa 1372.3 0 2286.95 0 2296.4 0 2355.17 12.08 2221.56 0 2426.01 29.92
R404A 678.95 14.67 710.07 36.46 814.59 28.59 914.38 44.78 1285.29 43.82 1233.95 52.13
R407C 86.782 2.09 102.09 2.27 53.525 0.45 64.339 1.8 93.684 0.65 161.006 3.81
R-410A 1438.42 2.03 2509.63 157.18 2960.83 891.1 6227.4 1840.67 5818.73 1634.78 6857.33 1577.58
Total 9375.31 542.39 14827.54 1848.10 12276.92 2369.78 17844.60 3099.63 18329.09 3076.29 19902.11 2679.45
Source: Company & Custom Data
Page 82 03.10.2013
Preliminary HFC Consumption Data (in MT)
Gases 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
HFC-152a 165.39 175.47 151.87 168.56 254.1 1272.34
HFC-125 0.48 1.06 2.54 8.07 9.8 15.97
HFC-134a 5108.68 7388.82 4545.7 6904.79 7248.3 6918.29
HFC-23 0.71 1.26 1.823 1.587 0.583 1.203
HFC-245fa 1372.3 2286.95 2296.4 2343.09 2221.56 2396.09
R404A 664.28 673.61 786 869.6 1241.47 1181.82
R407C 84.692 99.82 53.075 62.539 93.034 157.196
R-410A 1436.39 2352.45 2069.73 4386.73 4183.95 5279.75
Total 8832.922 12979.44 9907.138 14744.966 15252.797 17222.659
Since there is no production and destruction of HFCs in Mexico, therefore: Consumption= Import- Export
Page 83 03.10.2013
HFC Consumption Trend
0
3000
6000
9000
12000
15000
18000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Con
sum
ptio
n (t)
Year
HFC-134a
HFC-245fa
R404A
R-410A
Total
Page 84 03.10.2013
Preliminary HFC Consumption in RAC Sector -2012 (in MT)
Gas
RAC sector
Domestic Refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration MAC Commercial Air-
Conditioning
Stand alone unit
Condensing &
Centralized Unit
OEM Servicing OEM Servicing OEM Servicing OEM Servicing OEM Servicing
HFC-152a
HFC-125
HFC-134a 855.62 257.58 26.61 52.89 1871.72 2230.40 300 400
HFC-23 1.203
HFC-245fa
R404A 2.31 164.14 1015.37
R407C 60 97.196
R-410A 3070 2209.75
Page 85 03.10.2013
Distribution of HFCs in RAC Sector (Year 2012) 9%
10%
32%
49%
Domestic Refrigeration
Commercial Refrigeration
Mobile Air Conditioning
Commercial Air Conditioning
7% 2% 2%
8%
15%
18% 27%
21%
Domestic Refrigeration OEM
Domestic Refrigeration Servicing
Commercial Refrigeration OEM
Commercial Refrigeration Servicing
MAC OEM
MAC Servicing
Commercial Air-Conditioning OEM
Commercial Air-Conditioning Servicing
Page 86 03.10.2013
Foam & Other Sector data for year 2012 (in MT) Foam Sector Others
Gases Domestic refrigeration XPS Aerosols Fire Fighting
HFC-152a 1272.34
HFC-125 15.97
HFC-134a 15.5
HFC-23
HFC-245fa 2396.09
R404A
R407C
R-410A
Page 88 03/10/2013
Content 1. GIZ Proklima 2. CO2 emissions from the RAC&F sectors 3. Alternative technologies 4. NAMAs 5. The RAC&F NAMA Handbook 6. Handbook Module 1: Inventory methodology 7. Case study Thailand 8. Case study Mexico 9. Final remarks
Page 89 03.10.2013
Final remarks Availability of methodology and tools for NAMA development in the
RAC & F sectors
Link to Int. Climate Regime an its funding instruments
First comprehensive concept for HFC phase-out/down for developing countries
First comprehensive data inventory of HFC emissions
Practical approach allows immediate planning and implementation of national strategies
Transparent information on HFC-free technologies available to decision-makers
Multiplier effect and good chances for upscaling and replication
Page 90
Contact:
Alvaro Zurita Proklima International
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH
Dag-Hammarskjöld-Weg1-5
65760 Eschborn, Germany
Email: [email protected]
Internet: www.giz.de/proklima
Thank you !
03/10/2013