national alabama autauga county, alabama · 2020. 11. 30. · national oct−01 oct−15 nov−01...

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National Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 New Cases Reported JCB ERDC Karlen DDS ESG UVA ISU Columbia-UNC BPagano JHU-IDD LNQ MIT-ORC JHU-CSSE USC UGA-CEID UM JHU-APL UCF Columbia UCLA Covid19Sim LANL Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 New Cases 0 200 400 600 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Alabama Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 10,000 30,000 New Cases Reported JHU-APL USC ERDC UCLA BPagano Covid19Sim JHU-IDD LANL UCSB ISU Columbia Karlen UVA DDS LNQ MIT-ORC ESG JHU-CSSE JCB UGA-CEID Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 10,000 30,000 New Cases 0 200 400 600 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Autauga County, Alabama Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 100 200 300 New Cases Reported JHU-IDD Columbia JHU-APL UGA-CEID UCLA LANL ISU UVA LNQ Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 100 200 300 New Cases 0 200 400 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Baldwin County, Alabama Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 500 1,500 New Cases Reported UCLA Columbia JHU-IDD LNQ UGA-CEID ISU LANL JHU-APL UVA UMass-MB Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 500 1,500 New Cases 0 500 1,000 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Barbour County, Alabama Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 20 40 60 80 New Cases Reported LNQ UGA-CEID Columbia ISU JHU-IDD JHU-APL LANL UVA Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 20 40 60 80 New Cases 0 100 200 300 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Bibb County, Alabama Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 100 200 300 New Cases Reported Columbia ISU LANL JHU-APL JHU-IDD UVA UGA-CEID LNQ Oct-01 Oct-15 Nov-01 Nov-15 Dec-01 Dec-15 0 100 200 300 New Cases 0 500 1,000 1,500 New cases per 100,000 Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-11-30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html

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  • National

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    0,00

    02,

    000,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJCBERDCKarlenDDSESG

    UVAISUColumbia−UNCBPaganoJHU−IDDLNQ

    MIT−ORCJHU−CSSEUSCUGA−CEIDUMJHU−APL

    UCFColumbiaUCLACovid19SimLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    0,00

    02,

    000,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    10,0

    0030

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−APLUSCERDCUCLABPagano

    Covid19SimJHU−IDDLANLUCSBISUColumbia

    KarlenUVADDSLNQMIT−ORCESG

    JHU−CSSEJCBUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    10,0

    0030

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Autauga County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDColumbiaJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDUCLALANLISU

    UVALNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Baldwin County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,50

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAColumbiaJHU−IDD

    LNQUGA−CEIDISULANL

    JHU−APLUVAUMass−MB

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,50

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Barbour County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaISUJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLLANLUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bibb County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISU

    LANLJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    UVAUGA−CEIDLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Blount County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDColumbiaUVA

    JHU−APLLANLUCLAISU

    LNQUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bullock County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaJHU−IDDLNQ

    ISUJHU−APLUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Butler County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISULNQ

    ColumbiaUVAJHU−IDD

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APLLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Calhoun County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDISUJHU−APL

    LANLUCLAUGA−CEIDLNQ

    UVAColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Chambers County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDLANL

    JHU−APLLNQUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaISUUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00●

    ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cherokee County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDLANL

    JHU−APLUGA−CEIDISU

    UVALNQColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Chilton County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDUCLAColumbia

    JHU−APLLNQUVALANL

    ISUUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Choctaw County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAColumbia

    JHU−IDDLNQUGA−CEID

    LANLJHU−APLISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clarke County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    UVALNQColumbia

    ISULANLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clay County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    LNQUVALANL

    JHU−APLISUColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cleburne County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaJHU−IDD

    ISUJHU−APLUVA

    LNQLANLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coffee County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaUGA−CEIDLNQ

    JHU−IDDISULANLUCLA

    UVAJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Colbert County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISULANLColumbia

    UVAJHU−IDDLNQUCLA

    JHU−APLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    200

    600

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Conecuh County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDColumbia

    ISULNQUGA−CEID

    JHU−APLLANLUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coosa County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLJHU−IDD

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaLNQ

    UVAJHU−APLISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Covington County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLALNQUGA−CEID

    JHU−IDDJHU−APLUVAColumbia

    LANLISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Crenshaw County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLANLJHU−IDD

    ISUUVAUGA−CEID

    JHU−APLColumbiaLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cullman County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQLANLColumbia

    UCLAUVAISUJHU−IDD

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Dale County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDISUUVA

    LANLUGA−CEIDUCLAColumbia

    JHU−APLLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Dallas County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQUVAJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaISULANL

    JHU−IDDUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    DeKalb County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    esReportedUGA−CEIDColumbiaJHU−IDD

    LNQISULANLUVA

    JHU−APLUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Elmore County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLANLColumbia

    JHU−APLUVAJHU−IDDLNQ

    ISUUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Escambia County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    LANLLNQColumbia

    ISUUVAUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Etowah County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedISUJHU−APLUVA

    LNQJHU−IDDUGA−CEIDColumbia

    LANLUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Fayette County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUColumbia

    JHU−IDDLNQUVA

    JHU−APLLANLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Franklin County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbiaISU

    JHU−IDDJHU−APLUGA−CEIDLANL

    UVAUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Geneva County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    UVAISULANL

    JHU−APLLNQColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Greene County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDUVA

    LNQColumbiaISU

    LANLJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Hale County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDLNQ

    UVAISUColumbia

    UGA−CEIDLANLJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Henry County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLISUColumbia

    LANLLNQUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Houston County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDDUCLAJHU−APL

    ColumbiaISULANLUVA

    LNQUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    200

    600

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Jackson County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLColumbiaJHU−IDD

    UVALANLLNQUGA−CEID

    ISUUCLA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Jefferson County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaCMU

    LANLUGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    UCLAUMass−MBUVA

    ISULNQJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lamar County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLJHU−IDD

    UGA−CEIDLNQISU

    UVAColumbiaJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lauderdale County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQLANLUCLA

    ColumbiaISUUGA−CEIDUVA

    JHU−IDDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lawrence County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDLANL

    UGA−CEIDUVALNQ

    ISUColumbiaJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Lee County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−APLLANLUCLA

    ColumbiaLNQJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    UVAUMass−MBISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Limestone County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLUGA−CEIDUCLA

    ISULNQJHU−IDDUVA

    LANLColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lowndes County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    esReportedJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    LANLUVAISU

    LNQJHU−IDDColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Macon County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVALNQ

    LANLJHU−IDDJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Madison County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHU−APLLNQ

    UCLAUVAUMass−MBLANL

    ColumbiaISUJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Marengo County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    UVAJHU−APLLNQ

    ColumbiaISULANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Marion County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQ

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDDISU

    JHU−APLColumbiaUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Marshall County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDUVALNQ

    JHU−APLColumbiaLANLJHU−IDD

    UCLAISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Mobile County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    esReportedUGA−CEIDCMU

    JHU−APLUCLAColumbia

    UMass−MBLNQLANL

    JHU−IDDISUUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Monroe County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLANL

    ISUJHU−APLColumbia

    JHU−IDDUVALNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Montgomery County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQUGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    LANLUVAISUUMass−MB

    UCLAJHU−IDDColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Morgan County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−APLISULNQ

    UCLAUGA−CEIDLANLColumbia

    UVAJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Perry County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDISUJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaUVALNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pickens County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQJHU−APL

    JHU−IDDISUUGA−CEID

    UVALANLColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pike County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUVA

    UGA−CEIDLNQISU

    JHU−APLColumbiaJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Randolph County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLNQ

    LANLColumbiaJHU−APL

    JHU−IDDUVAISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Russell County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLUGA−CEIDUVA

    JHU−IDDUCLALNQISU

    LANLColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Shelby County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUVALANLISU

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDDUCLALNQ

    ColumbiaJHU−APLUMass−MB

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • St. Clair County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAJHU−APLUCLA

    JHU−IDDUGA−CEIDLNQISU

    LANLColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Sumter County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVALANL

    JHU−APLLNQColumbia

    UGA−CEIDISUJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Talladega County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLUCLAUGA−CEID

    JHU−IDDUVALNQLANL

    ColumbiaISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Tallapoosa County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLNQ

    LANLJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    UVAColumbiaISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Tuscaloosa County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQUVAJHU−IDD

    UCLAUMass−MBJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaLANLISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Walker County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAJHU−IDDLNQ

    UGA−CEIDISUJHU−APLLANL

    ColumbiaUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Washington County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQ

    ColumbiaUGA−CEIDISU

    JHU−APLUVAJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Wilcox County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUVALNQ

    ISUUGA−CEIDColumbia

    JHU−APLJHU−IDDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Winston County, Alabama

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    ISULNQLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    06,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUSCERDCUVAJHU−APL

    KarlenESGJCBCovid19SimColumbia

    JHU−CSSEBPaganoUCLALANLDDS

    JHU−IDDUCSBUGA−CEIDLNQMIT−ORC

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    06,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Aleutians East County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLLANLUGA−CEID

    UVALNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Aleutians West County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLColumbiaUGA−CEID

    LNQLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Anchorage County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLALNQJHU−APL

    UVAColumbiaUMass−MBJHU−IDD

    CMUUGA−CEIDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bethel County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLColumbia

    LNQUVAJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bristol Bay County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    LNQUVAColumbia

    JHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Denali County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAUGA−CEID

    LANLJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    LNQColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Dillingham County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAColumbia

    LNQJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    JHU−APLLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Fairbanks North Star County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaUVAUGA−CEID

    UCLALNQLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Haines County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQUVA

    ColumbiaJHU−IDDLANL

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Hoonah−Angoon County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    46

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaLNQ

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    46

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Juneau County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDUVA

    ColumbiaLNQLANL

    JHU−APLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Kenai Peninsula County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDUVA

    ColumbiaJHU−IDDJHU−APL

    UCLALANLLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Ketchikan Gateway County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAColumbia

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDDLANL

    JHU−APLLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Kodiak Island County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaLANLUVA

    JHU−APLLNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Kusilvak County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APL

    ColumbiaUGA−CEID

    LNQLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lake and Peninsula County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    LANLColumbiaUVA

    JHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Matanuska−Susitna County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAJHU−IDD

    LNQUCLALANL

    ColumbiaJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Nome County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLANL

    LNQUGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    North Slope County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaJHU−IDD

    LANLLNQJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Northwest Arctic County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDDLNQ

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APLColumbia

    UVALANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Petersburg County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    46

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDDJHU−APL

    LANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    46

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Prince of Wales−Hyder County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDDLNQ

    LANLColumbiaJHU−APL

    UGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Sitka County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    esReportedJHU−IDDLNQ

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaUVA

    JHU−APLLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Skagway County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaLNQ

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Southeast Fairbanks County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    JHU−IDDJHU−APLUVA

    UGA−CEIDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00● ●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Valdez−Cordova County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQ

    UGA−CEIDJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    UVAColumbia

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Wrangell County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    JHU−APLJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    LANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yakutat County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    UVALANLJHU−APL

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    3,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yukon−Koyukuk County, Alaska

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    UGA−CEIDLANLJHU−IDD

    JHU−APLUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    American Samoa

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDJHU−APL

    LNQUGA−CEIDESG

    USC

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    20,0

    0060

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedISUCovid19SimUCSBUCLAJHU−APL

    ColumbiaKarlenBPaganoLNQUSCERDC

    JHU−IDDLANLUVAMIT−ORCJCBUGA−CEID

    ESGDDSJHU−CSSE

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    20,0

    0060

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Apache County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUCLAJHU−APL

    JHU−IDDISULNQColumbia

    UVAUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Cochise County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUCLALNQLANL

    ColumbiaJHU−APLUVAUGA−CEID

    ISUJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coconino County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAUMass−MBJHU−APL

    LANLISULNQJHU−IDD

    ColumbiaUVAUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Gila County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−IDDISUUCLA

    ColumbiaJHU−APLUVALNQ

    LANLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Graham County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    JHU−IDDJHU−APLUGA−CEID

    ISUUVALANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Greenlee County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLANL

    JHU−IDDUVALNQ

    JHU−APLUGA−CEIDISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    La Paz County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUJHU−IDD

    LANLColumbiaJHU−APL

    UVALNQUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Maricopa County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    20,0

    0040

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedColumbiaUCLA

    UGA−CEIDUMass−MBJHU−IDD

    UVAJHU−APLLANL

    CMUISULNQ

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    20,0

    0040

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Mohave County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    2,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISUUGA−CEID

    LANLUVAJHU−IDDLNQ

    UCLAJHU−APLUMass−MB

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    2,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Navajo County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDISULNQ

    UVAJHU−APLLANLUCLA

    ColumbiaJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pima County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLNQ

    ColumbiaLANLJHU−APL

    ISUUVAJHU−IDD

    UCLAUMass−MBCMU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pinal County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLColumbia

    UGA−CEIDJHU−IDDLNQ

    CMUUMass−MBUCLA

    ISUUVAJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Santa Cruz County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDLANLUCLA

    LNQColumbiaJHU−IDDJHU−APL

    ISUUVA

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Yavapai County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    03,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−APLLNQColumbia

    LANLUCLAUVAUGA−CEID

    ISUUMass−MBJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    03,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yuma County, Arizona

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    03,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQUVA

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaISU

    JHU−IDDUCLALANL

    CMUJHU−APLUMass−MB

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    03,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    10,0

    0020

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    esReportedJHU−APLKarlenERDCESGUVA

    JHU−IDDUGA−CEIDLNQBPaganoUSCMIT−ORC

    UCSBLANLISUCovid19SimDDSJCB

    UCLAColumbiaJHU−CSSE

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    10,0

    0020

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arkansas County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDISU

    LNQUVAColumbia

    LANLJHU−APLJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Ashley County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDColumbia

    ISUUVALNQ

    JHU−APLLANLJHU−IDD

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00●

    ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Baxter County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAColumbia

    LNQISUJHU−IDD

    LANLUGA−CEIDJHU−APL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Benton County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedColumbiaJHU−APLUVA

    UGA−CEIDISUUMass−MBLNQ

    JHU−IDDUCLALANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0

    1,00

    02,

    000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Boone County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLANL

    LNQUVAISU

    JHU−APLJHU−IDDUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bradley County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHU−APLISU

    UVAUGA−CEIDColumbia

    LNQJHU−IDDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,50

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Calhoun County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHU−APLISU

    LNQUVAColumbia

    JHU−IDDUGA−CEIDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Carroll County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaJHU−IDD

    UVAJHU−APLISU

    LNQLANLUGA−CEID

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Chicot County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUVAISU

    ColumbiaUGA−CEIDLNQ

    JHU−APLJHU−IDDLANL

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,50

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Clark County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaUVA

    LNQUGA−CEIDLANL

    JHU−IDDJHU−APLISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−11−30 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clay County, Arkansas

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQJHU−APL

    LANLUGA−CEIDUVA

    JHU−IDDColumbiaISU

    Oct−01 Oct−15 Nov−01 Nov−15 Dec−01 Dec−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0