new hampshire us senate survey presentation 072214
DESCRIPTION
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.TRANSCRIPT
26%
15%
10%
36%
13%
SCOTT BROWN 41%JEANNE SHAHEEN 46%UNDECIDED 13%
If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown,Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
TOTAL 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
41%
32%
44% 44%
38%
45%46%
53%
45%
40%
51%
44%
13%
15%
11%
16%
11% 11%
SCOTT BROWN JEANNE SHAHEEN UNDECIDED
TOTAL 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+-5% -22% -1% 4% -13% 1%
BROWN MINUS SHAHEEN
If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown,Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
STR GOP TOT GOP TOT IND TOT DEM STR DEM
83%
74%
35%
10%
4%6%
12%
46%
84%
93%
11%13%
19%
6% 3%
SCOTT BROWN JEANNE SHAHEEN UNDECIDED
STR GOP TOT GOP TOT IND TOT DEM STR DEM
77% 62% -11% -74% -89%
BROWN MINUS SHAHEEN
If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown,Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
MALE FEMALE
48%
34%
39%
53%
13% 13%
SCOTT BROWN JEANNE SHAHEEN UNDECIDED
MALE FEMALE
10% -19%
HILLSBOROUGH ROCKINGHAM MERRIMACK GRAFTON STRAFORD REST
37%
53%
29%
39% 38%41%
49%
37%
53%
47%
51%
46%
14%10%
18%15%
11%13%
SCOTT BROWN JEANNE SHAHEEN UNDECIDED
HILLSBOROUGH ROCKINGHAM MERRIMACK GRAFTON STRAFORD REST
-11% 15% -24% -8% -13% -4%
BROWN MINUS SHAHEEN
If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown,Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
IND 45-54
IND 18-44
IND WOMEN
TOT IND
IND MEN
MERRIMACK
IND 55-64
SOFT GOP
GOP 45-54
45-54
18-34
GRAFTON
HILLSBOROUGH
GOP MEN
TOT GOP
MALE
IND 65+
TOTAL
GOP 65+
REST
FEMALE
GOP WOMEN
35-44
STR GOP
GOP 18-44
55-64
65+
STRAFORD
GOP 55-64
SOFT DEM
ROCKINGHAM
DEM 65+
DEM WOMEN
DEM 18-44
DEM 45-54
TOT DEM
DEM MEN
DEM 55-64
STR DEM
If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown,Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK
Would you say things in country are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on thewrong track?
AMONG ALL VOTERSAMONG UNDECIDED
VOTERS
36%
56%
8%
APPROVE DISAPPROVE UNDECIDED
10%
72%
18%
APPROVE DISAPPROVE UNDECIDED
AMONG ALL VOTERSAMONG UNDECIDED
VOTERS
And do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?