next steps for offshore wind – underwriters perspective · • similar to owner/lenders engineer...
TRANSCRIPT
Our Knowledge, Your Power
Next Steps for Offshore Wind – Underwriters Perspective
Jonny Allen, Offshore Underwriter September 21st, 2015
Agenda
• Size of the prize
• Introduction to GCube
• Underwriting New Technology
• Project Risks
– Loss Expectancy, Large Market Losses, Decision Making,
Serial Defect
• Offshore Wind Claims
• Future thoughts, questions
Offshore Wind – the opportunity
3 2/2/16
Introduction to GCube
• Lloyd’s Underwriting Agency providing Renewable Energy insurance since 1994, offshore since 2007
• Underwrite 58GW Wind; 8GW Solar worldwide • $500m in A+ rated underwriting capital • $300m in claims paid to date
Offshore Credentials • $540m underwriting capacity • 46 Offshore Wind Projects • 18 wave and tidal projects • Clients: Major European utilities & IPPs • Innovative approach
Underwriting New Technology
• Detailed technical due diligence required • Similar to Owner/Lenders Engineer • Focus on:
– Financial Strength of Division/ Company – Engineering Team – Design Development History – Technology – Manufacturing Facility – Site Quality Systems – Project Site Responsibilities – Type Certification – Maintenance Programme – Change Management – Retro-fitting and Correction Simulations – Risk Management
Project Risks: Loss Expectancy
FREQUENCY
SEVER I TY
Project Risks: Decision Making
Gemini offshore substation installation, June 2015
Project Risks: Large Market Losses
• Project: Alpha Ventus • Owners: E.ON, Vattenfall, RWE & EWE • Distance offshore: 45km • WTG: Areva Multibrid M5000 • No of WTGs: 6 WTGs affected • Nature of Loss: Defective component of sliding bearing
leading to temperature spikes in nacelle • Root Cause: Gear supplier, Renk (MAN ag), switched the coating material used
from zinc to an aluminum-zinc alloy that expands twice as much as zinc
• Action Taken: Replacement of sliding bearings in 6 nacelles back onshore • Jack Up Barges: JB114 and Sea Worked • Cost Overrun: Approximately EUR 25 million • Schedule execution: 8 month delay
*Poor weather led to additional cost overruns and schedule slippage on this Project.
Project Risks: Serial Defect
A Pioneering Example?
Vertical integration:
• Design problems • Production errors • Equipment obsolescence • Supply chain strategy • Transmission line harmonics • Fraudulent accounting allegations….
10 2/2/16
Offshore Wind Claims 2007-2013
GCube paid claims to date > USD 70m Cables, Grouted Connection – Insurance.
Cost Overruns – the Industry. Developer cost = 4 times this? 5 times this?
What’s next?
• Diversity of markets, geography, technology • Supply chain opportunities • Nat Cat exposures
The £310m re-development of the dock will create 1,000 direct jobs at the plant with production expected to start late next year.
12 2/2/16
INDUSTRY CHALLENGES
Our Knowledge, Your Power
Next Steps for Offshore Wind – Underwriters Perspective
Jonny Allen, Offshore Underwriter September 21st, 2015
Thank you