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NIS GROUP’S PERFORMANCE PRESENTATIONFor 2019
28th February, 2020Anton CherepanovFinance, Economics, Planning and Accounting Function
10 years of Gazprom Neft in Serbia
2
From 2009 over EUR 3 billion has been invested in NIS’ development
Bottom of the barrel -investment
worthwhile EUR 300 million
NIS operates a network of 400 petrol stations
NIS’ investments in social responsibility projects have exceeded EUR 30 million, while Gazprom Neft has invested over
EUR 45 million
-4.4
16.6
272.7
2009 2019 2009-2019 TOTAL
Net profit,bln RSD
10.4
44.5
524.3
2009 2019 2009-2019 TOTAL
EBITDA, bln RSD
9.1
42.2
372.4
2009 2019 2009-2019 TOTAL
CAPEX, bln RSD
1,004 1,286
15,933
2009 2019 2009-2019total
Oil and gas output, t.o.e.
2,657 3,373
33,795
2009 2019 2009-2019 TOTAL
Volume of refining of crude oiland semi-finished products,
thousand tonnes
2,5673,702
33,692
2009 2019 2009-2019 TOTAL
Volume sales, thousandtonnes
NIS in 2019
3
Experimental oil production began in Romania.
Drilling of 4 wells in Romania completed.
Continued exploration in B&H.
Start of electricity production in Jimbolia block.
45 development wells
and 11 exploratory
wells were drilled in Serbia
In Serbia, 700 km2 of 3D
seismic data obtained and
325 km2 in Romania.
CAPEX
21.3 bln RSD
EBITDA
34.2 bln RSD
The main goal of the Exploration and Production in 2019 was to reach the planned hydrocarbon output, implement theprojects concerning geological and exploration operations and increase the GTA efficiency.
Exploration and production Block
NIS in 2019
4
Implementation of capital turnaroundin 2019
Over RSD 2 billion invested, more
than 3,700 contractors engaged
CAPEX: 17.1 bln RSDEBITDA: 1.3 bln RSD
Continuous employee training in the DCU and OTS1
Implementation of digitaltransformation - Industry 4.0.
A record bitumen
output of 59 thousand tonnes in October
This year in the Refining Block has been marked by major activities and challenges such as the capitalturnaround of its refining capacities, reconstruction of the MHC/DHT Unit and the commencement of theconstruction of the Combined-Cycle Power Plant (TE-TO).The period after the capital turnaround was marked by a high refinery output, with October seeing the peak inbitumen production.
Downstream Division - Refining
1 OTS - operating training system
NIS in 2019
5
31 new private
label products were introduced.
Over one million On the Road with US card users at the end of 2019
In October, a record bitumen output of
59 thousand
tonnes was achieved
In Romania, a new M format PS constructed -
Otopeni PS (under
GAZPROM brand).After complete
reconstruction 5 PSs started operating in Serbia
In 2019, the modernization of retail network continued and three state-of-the-art digital petrol stations wereopened on Serbian motorways, setting exceptionally high standards in this field. The portfolio was additionallyexpanded for our customers, and NIS became the largest coffee chain in Serbia with over 300 points of sale.
CAPEX
3.0 bln RSD
EBITDA
18.3 bln RSD
Downstream Division – Sales and distribution
Downstream Division – Sales and distribution
6
Barajevo PS, XS size
Krnješevci PS, L-sizedmotorway PS
Velika Plana Autoput DesnaPS, M-sized motorway PS
Stari Banovci PS, L-sizedmotorway PS
PS Otopeni, M size
In 2019, in the whole region, thecustomers consumed over 6 millioncups of our coffee.
Romania
Ivanjica PS, S size
In 2019, 5 PSs started operating, and the construction of one PS was completed in Romania.
NIS in 2019
7
Approximately EUR 286.8 million was invested in the project
The detailed design was completed and all licenses obtained
100% of equipment and material were delivered
The construction and installation works on the complex are at 96.5%
Basic project parameters
Investment, mn. EUR 300
Start of production 2020
Coke furnace
Implementation of the Bottom of the Barrel Project in 2019:
Bottom-of-the barrel Project Coke belt conveyer and spherical tank
Bottom-of-the-barrel Project
8
Pipe bridge Wet gas compressor
Coke silos Coke belt conveyer
Bottom-of-the-barrel Project
9
Vessels installed
Main substation Coke crusher
Submersible pumps installed
NIS in 2019
1010
Project investments made in the amount of around EUR 97 mn., or 61% of the total projected amount
The engineering activities completed and building permits obtained for all construction stages of TE-TO Pančevo
Manufacturing of primary and auxiliary equipment completed. Complete equipment delivered to the site.
Basic project parameters
Expected total investments, mn. EUR up to 180
Nominal electric power of the power plant, МWt up to 200
Beginning of commercial operation Q4 2020
The overall progress of the project (as of December 2019) at the level of 80.62%.
Implementation of TE-TO Pančevo Project in 2019:
Steam-turbine plant
Gas-turbine plant
TE-TO Pančevo Project
TE-TO Pančevo project
11
Construction of 220kV Switching and Distribution Plant
Construction of 220kV Switching and Distribution Plant
Steel structure of utilizer boiler #1
Utilizer boilers #1 и #2
12
Macroeconomic IndicatorsDinar weakens, oil price drops
USD/RSD rate +5% Brent crude price, $/bbl -9%
94
98
102
106
110
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII55
60
65
70
75
80
85
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2018
Average 2018
2019
Average 2019
Diesel
(ULSD, 10ppm, FOB Med), crack
Petrol, (Parem Unl 10ppm, FOB Med), crack
Heavy fuel oil C, (3.5 PCT, FOB Med), crack
-0.2%+2% -9%
1.16
1.28
1.24
1.19
1.23
1.28
1.15
1.21
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2018 Average 2018 2019 Average 2019
1.23
1.29
1.14
1.23
1.30
1.32
1.14
1.22
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2018 Average 2018 2019 Average 2019
0.69 0.68
0.81
0.760.73
0.760.79
0.43 0.44
0.67
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2018 Average 2018 2019 Average 2019
Increasing transparency
LTIF RAR
HSE Indicators
13
2018 2019
61,378 65,388
1,104 1,327
77 84
9 0Majorevents
Medium events
Minorevents
HIPO
In 2019, no major HSE incidents were recorded, which is a highly positive trend compared to 2018, when 9 major HSE incidents were recorded.
2.22
1.67
2018 2019
2018
2019
25%
0.250.27
2018 2019
2018
2019
8%
14
Key IndicatorsNIS Group
Q4 2019
Q4 2018
∆ (%) Key indicators UoM 2019 2018 ∆ (%)
63.3 67.8 -7% Brent Dtd $/bbl 64.3 71.0 -9%
75.9 74.2 +2% Sales revenues bn RSD 272.1 281.0 -3%
13.3 11.7 +14% EBITDA bn RSD 44.5 53.7 -17%
5.9 3.4 +72% Net income bn RSD 16.6 25.1 -34%
15.0 4.7 +218% OCF bn RSD 56.9 37.4 +52%
53.1 50.5 +5% Accrued liabilities based on public revenues bn RSD 189.8 192.7 -2%
322 332 -3% Oil and gas output thou. TOE 1,286 1,332 -3%
1,055 1,067 -1% Crude oil and semi-finished products output thou. tons 3,373 3,836 -12%
1,081 1,008 +7% Total petroleum products sales volumes thou. tons 3,702 3,748 -1%
13.2 13.7 -4% CAPEX bn RSD 42.2 41.0 +3%
590 577 +2%Total debt to banks(total debt to banks + letters of credits)
mn EUR 590 577 +2%
15
Motor Fuel Market Trends2019/2018
Consumption of motor fuels in the region is on the rise. The key growth factors are:- positive macroeconomic trend;- growth of the transport, processing and construction industries.
Serbia
• Infrastructure works and very good agricultural and construction seasons had a positive impact on the consumption of diesel.
• Part of the diesel fuel consumption is returning from the grey zone to legal trade flows.
• The decrease in the consumption of LPG is the result of a drop in the number of vehicles using this fuel and high prices.
Slovenia
3.0%
Croatia
5.6%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.5%Bulgaria
1.4%
Romania
2.1%
Hungary
5.0%
Србија5.1%
16
Market Share – SerbiaPetroleum Products Market
The total consumption of petroleum products shows a positive growth trend. This was a result of the following factors:
• growth in consumption of diesel, bitumen and coke;
• construction and road industries are the main drivers of diesel consumption;
• good agricultural season.
Petroleum naphtha and heavy fuel oil experienced a downward trend in consumption (turnaround of Petrohemija).
3%Petroleum products market volumes, thou. tons1
NIS’ market share is traditionally quite substantial. Thelargest decrease in market share was recorded for bitumen(turnaround of the Refinery), but the market share was alsoindirectly affected by a significant boost in consumption ofcoke, which NIS does not supply to the market.
895(24%)
959(25%)
2,787(76%)
2,845(75%)
3,683 3,804
2018 2019
Others NIS
1Including CNG
17
Market Share – SerbiaMotor Fuel Retail Market
• Growth of retail market by 4.7%
• The key growth factors include an increase inpurchasing power and the number of vehicles,heavier transit traffic and the fact that a number oftransport and distribution companies have begunsupplying at our petrol stations (corporate cards).
+4.7%Retail market, thou. tons1
NIS’ sales are following the market trends and arerising in the diesel and petrol segments, whereasLPG sales are falling. Modernized petrol stations,range of additive-enriched fuels and attractiveloyalty programs maintain our already substantialmarket share.
973(57%)
1,015(56%)
744(43%)
783(44%)
1,717 1,797
2018 2019
Others NIS
1including CNG
18
Market Share – Region2019/2018
Bosnia and Herzegovina
No. of PSs : 37% total market: 23.7%% retail market: 10.1%
Romania
No. of PSs: 181
% total market: 0.9%% retail market: 1.2%
Bulgaria
No. of PSs: 35% total market: 5.0%% retail market: 4.4%
1 In 2019, construction and preparation for the start of operation of PS Otopeni in Romania was completed.
19
Operating IndicatorsExploration and Production
-3.4%Oil and gas output,thou. TOE
886 859
416 389
30 38
1,332 1,286
2018 2019
Domestic oil Domestic gas
Foreign projects
223 214 215 216 214
103 99 96 98 95
6 7 8 10 12
332 321 320 324 322
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
-3%
• The planned hydrocarbon production volume has been reached (2.1% more than planned)
• 2019 was marked by the beginning of experimental oil production in Romaniа
Increase in production of oil from foreign projects during 2019.
20
Operating IndicatorsRefining
-12%Refining of oil and semi-finished products, thou. tons• A 12% drop in the refining volume, resulting
from the capital turnaround in the Pančevo OilRefinery
222 130 212 276 217
774
429 338
767 768
71
40 55
7270
1,067
599 604
1,1151,055
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
-1%
881 835
2,6752,302
280236
3,8363,373
2018 2019
Domestic oil
Import oil
Semifinished products
21
• Retail in Serbia – 5% increase
• Wholesale in Serbia – 5% decrease
• Export – 12% decrease
• Foreign assets – 21% increase
Operating Indicators Sales and Distribution
-1%Sales volumes*, thou. tons
*Without internal sales
742 780
359 436
2,065 1,971
582 515
3,748 3,702
2018. 2019.
Retail - Serbia Foreign assets
Wholesale - Serbia Export
198 168 192 212 208 94 85 92 134 125
564 407 413
573 579
152
66 96
182 170 1,008
726793
1,101 1,081
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
+7%
22
• Decrease in oil prices on the global market
• Lower oil output
• Capital turnaround of the Pančevo Oil Refinery
Financial IndicatorsEBITDA
-17%EBITDA, bn RSD
53.744.5
2018 2019
11.76.3
9.6
15.3 13.3
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
+14%
23
Financial IndicatorsNet Income
• Lower EBITDA
• Greater depreciation
25.1
16.6
2018 2019
-34%Net income, bn RSD
3.40.2
3.1
7.55.9
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
+72%
24
Financial IndicatorsOCF
OCF, bn RSD
37.4
56.9
2018 2019
+52% • Lower liabilities for the imports of crude oil
• Lower liabilities towards the state
4.711.3
4.7
25.9
15.0
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
218%
Financial IndicatorsCAPEX
25
+3%CAPEX, bn RSD CAPEX by segments
41.0 42.2
2018 2019
51%
28%
12%
7%
0% 2%Block Exploration andproduciton
Bottom-of-the-barrelProject
DWS Refining
DWS Sales anddistribution
the rest of DownstreamDivision
Corporate centre
Operational Efficiency Improvement MeasuresEffect on EBITDA, bn RSD
26
• The overall effect of operational efficiency improvement measures in 2019 on EBITDA is RSD 1.8 billion.
1.8
1.80.5
0.4
0.40.4 0.02 0.1
1.3
3.1
Exploration andproduction
Services Refining Sales anddistribution
Technicalservices
Corporatecentre
NIS 2019 Perventeddamage
Total NIS 12M 2019
Measures Pervented damage
27
Debt to BanksMaturity and Currency Structure of Credit Portfolio
Debt to banks, mn EURBank indebtedness, mn EUR
Debt structure:USD 0.3% EUR 99.3% Other 0.4%
162
25
10
11
25
23
11
3
3
2
0
552
459
345
306
330
492
607
628
549
575
590
714
484
355
316
355
515
617
631
552
577
590
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31.12.'10
31.12.'11
31.12.'12
31.12.'13
31.12.'14
31.12.'15
31.12.'16
31.12.'17
31.12.'18
31.12.'19
Letter ofcredit
Debts tobanks
193
207
22
36
197
75
140
176
3
3
3
359
252
323
270
133
417
467
453
547
572
587
553
459
345
305
330
492
607
629
549
575
590
31.12.'09
31.12.'10
31.12.'11
31.12.'12
31.12.'13
31.12.'14
31.12.'15
31.12.'16
31.12.'17
31.12.'18
31.12.'19
up to 1 year
over 1 year
Benchmarking
28
EBITDA margin (%) EBITDA/FTE (thou. USD)* Daily volume (t/day)
Share of light products (%) UPS OPEX ($/boe)
32.5
26.0
16.4
14.5
13.6
20.6
253.0
111.0
69.6
48.8
33.6
103.210.0
8.8
7.7
7.0
6.6
6.2
7.7
11.1
9.1
6.7
6.2
N/D
8,3
Data obtained from 9M 2019 reports, except for NIS (12M 2019)*All data for 9M 2019
83.4
80.6
77.6
77.3
75.5
78.9
Business Plan 2020
29
The main focus in 2020 will be on the following:
Continuation of the investment programme – RSD 37.5 billion will be invested in the further development of NIS, in all segments
Continuation of digitization at all levels of NIS Improvement in the field of occupational safety and environmental protection
Exploration and Production- Implementation of the drilling programme and
geological exploration work on profitable projects in Serbia and foreign concessions
- Continuation of the trend of increasing the company`s reserves
Refining- Commissioning of the Delayed Coking Unit (DCU)
that utilises the bottom-of-the-barrel technology at the Pančevo Oil Refinery
Energy- Completion of the construction and
commissioning of TE-TO Pančevo
Sales and Distribution- Continuation of modernization of the retail
network in Serbia and the region- Sales development for the new product - coke,
further development of premium fuel sales
30
Conclusion
Lower oil price than in 2018
Low refining volume due to the capital turnaround
OCF growth
CAPEX growth
Improvement of LTIF in HSE
Q4 2019 was marked by an increase in sales (+2%), net profit (+72%), EBITDA (+14%) and OCF (+218%) in relation to the same period in the previous year
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Information in this presentation contains a statements on uncertain future events. The statements about uncertain future events include statements that are not historical facts.statements in connection with the intent of the Company and NIS Group. beliefs or current expectations in connection with. among other things. performance results of the NISGroup. the financial situation and their liquidity management. prospects. growth. strategies and industrial branches in which the NIS Group operates. For the reasons which arerelated to the events and depend on circumstances that may but are not certain to take place in the future. the statements about uncertain future events by their nature involve risksand uncertainty. including but not limited to the risks and uncertainties that the Company and NIS Group have identified in other publicly available documents. The Company warnsthat there is no guarantee that the statements on uncertain future events will come true in the future and that the actual business results. the financial situation and the liquidity. aswell as the development of the industrial branch in which the Company and NIS Group operate. may significantly differ from those presented or reckoned by the statements aboutuncertain future events which are contained in this presentation. Additionally. and if the results of the business of the NIS Group. its financial condition and liquidity. as well as thedevelopment of industrial branch in which the Company and NIS Group operate are in accordance with the statements herein contained about uncertain future events. such resultsand the development are not indicative of the results and the development in the coming periods. The information contained in this presentation is given on the date of thispresentation and their changes are possible without prior notice.
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