njfuture redevelopment forum 2016 zarrilli
TRANSCRIPT
CONFIDENTIAL1
New Jersey Future Redevelopment ForumMarch 11, 2016
Vision 4: Our Resilient City
CONFIDENTIAL2
Hurricane SandySandy was the worst natural disaster New York City has ever seen.
44 lives lost
$19 billion in damages and lost economic activity
51 square miles (17% of NYC land mass) flooded
88,700 buildings were inundated, including 23,400 businesses
2,000,000 people lost power, many for weeks and longer
Major disruptions to lives, neighborhoods, and infrastructure demonstrated our vulnerabilities to coastal storms and the risks of a changing climate.
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By the 2050s: 4.1oF to 5.7oF increase in average temperature 4% to 11% increase in average annual precipitation Sea levels likely to rise 1-2 ft.; maybe 2½ ft.By 2100: High-end projections may reach 6 ft.
By the 2050s: Number of days in NYC above 90⁰ could triple
Even today: 100-year floodplain expanded by 17 square miles (51%) citywide;
2.3 ft. average increase in 100-year flood elevations; will increase with further sea level rise; now encompasses 71,500 structures
The NYC Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) projects increased chronic climate hazards…
…and increased impact from extreme weather events.
Climate Change / 21st Century ThreatsBut we know that Sandy is not the only risk we face. We must grapple with the impacts of climate change on our city...
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Source: FEMA; CUNY Institute for Sustainable Cities
Projected floodplain for the 2020s, 2050s, 2080s, and 2100 100-year Floodplain*
2013 PFIRMs
2050s Projected
Change (%)
Residents 400,000 808,900 102%
Jobs 290,800 555,700 91%
Buildings 71,500 118,000 65%
1-4 Family 57,400 89,000 55%
Floor Area (Sq Ft.) 534M 855M 42%
Climate Change / 21st Century Threats…And a growing risk of flooding across the city’s 520 miles of coastline, which will be exacerbated by sea level rise.
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* Numbers are rounded for clarity
FEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain Projected 2020s 100-year FloodplainProjected 2050s 100-year Floodplain
Projected 2080s 100-year FloodplainProjected 2100 100-year Floodplain
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Increasing inequality
A growing population
Climate Change / 21st Century ThreatsAnd as we look toward the future, we must take stock of other challenges.
Aging infrastructure
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9 million by 2040
Hurricane Sandy
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One New York: The Plan for a Strong and Just City
The plan envisions how we want our City to look in ten years and beyond.
OneNYC recognizes a historical moment: in 2025, we will celebrate our 400th
anniversary and begin our fifth century.
OneNYCTo address these challenges, Mayor Bill de Blasio released a new long-term strategic plan to prepare New York City for the future.
We commit to the goals and initiatives designed to achieve that long-term vision.
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Our neighborhoods, economy, and publicservices will be ready to withstand and emergestronger from the impacts of climate changeand other 21st century threats.
Our Resilient City
OneNYC: ResiliencyFollowing Hurricane Sandy, a global conversation on resiliency emerged. Here’s what it means to us in New York City.
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Neighborhoods Every city neighborhood will be safer by strengthening community, social, and economic resiliency
BuildingsThe city’s buildings will be upgraded against changing climate impacts
Infrastructure Infrastructure systems across the region will adapt to enable continue services
Coastal Defense New York City’s coastal defenses will be strengthened against flooding and sea level rise
OneNYC: Our Resilient CityOneNYC strengthens and expands the City’s commitment to a comprehensive and multilayered approach to resiliency.
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KEY PROJECTS Launching a non-profit and houses of worship
task force to improve community resiliency
Reforming Hurricane Sandy Loan and Grant Program, serving hundreds of businesses
Awarding $30 million to small businesses for innovative resiliency investments
Launching a new technical assistance program for small businesses
Expanding emergency preparation against a wide range of threats
Partnering with academics and experts on urban heat island mitigation efforts
Creating jobs for Sandy-impacted residents to participate in recovery projects
Our Resilient City: NeighborhoodsWith OneNYC, every city neighborhood will be safer by strengthening community, social, and economic resiliency…
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Reforming and delivering the city’s housing recovery program
Investing $3 billion in NYCHA resiliency
Upgrading city building codes
Evaluating land use as a resiliency tool
Investing in multi-family resiliency
Securing reforms to national flood insurance program
Evaluating flood insurance affordability
Publishing flood resiliency guidelines for residential structures
Our Resilient City: Buildings…The city’s buildings will be upgraded against changing climate impacts…
KEY PROJECTS
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Water and wastewater: $5,500 millionHospitals: $2,900 million
Schools: $755 million
NYCHA: $3,200 millionMTA Fix/Fortify: $10,525 million
Investing $1.7 billion in public hospitals
Expanding green infrastructure and bluebelt investments
Upgrading wastewater treatment plants
Advancing boardwalk improvements
Creating the city’s first wetland mitigation bank
Investing in Staten Island University Hospital resiliency
Rebuilding streets and stormwater management infrastructure
Improving civic facilities citywideFEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain
2050s Projected 100-Year Floodplain
KEY PROJECTS
Our Resilient City: Infrastructure…Infrastructure systems across the region will adapt to maintain continued services…
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CompletedStudy fundedProject fundedUnfundedDCP Resilient NeighborhoodsStudy areas
Secured $591 million through HUD’s Rebuild by Design and National Disaster Resilience Competition
Partnering with USACE on current authorized projects in Sea Gate, Rockaway and Jamaica Bay, and in Staten Island
Partnering with USACE on NY Harbor feasibility study to achieve new authorized projects
Launching Red Hook and Breezy Point integrated flood protection projects
Upgrading citywide bulkheads and reforming waterfront management
Studying new projects for implementation
KEY PROJECTS
Our Resilient City: Coastal Defense…And New York City’s coastal defenses will be strengthened against flooding and sea level rise.
FEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain
2050s Projected 100-Year Floodplain
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Regional CollaborationWith OneNYC, the City recognized the important role of the region in crafting its long-term strategic plan.
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National Flood Insurance Program
City’s flood map appeal to FEMA
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
Transportation system
Liquid fuels supply
OPPORTUNITIES