njfuture redevelopment forum 2016 zarrilli

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CONFIDENTIAL 1 New Jersey Future Redevelopment Forum March 11, 2016 Vision 4: Our Resilient City

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Page 1: NJFuture Redevelopment Forum 2016 Zarrilli

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New Jersey Future Redevelopment ForumMarch 11, 2016

Vision 4: Our Resilient City

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Hurricane SandySandy was the worst natural disaster New York City has ever seen.

44 lives lost

$19 billion in damages and lost economic activity

51 square miles (17% of NYC land mass) flooded

88,700 buildings were inundated, including 23,400 businesses

2,000,000 people lost power, many for weeks and longer

Major disruptions to lives, neighborhoods, and infrastructure demonstrated our vulnerabilities to coastal storms and the risks of a changing climate.

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By the 2050s: 4.1oF to 5.7oF increase in average temperature 4% to 11% increase in average annual precipitation Sea levels likely to rise 1-2 ft.; maybe 2½ ft.By 2100: High-end projections may reach 6 ft.

By the 2050s: Number of days in NYC above 90⁰ could triple

Even today: 100-year floodplain expanded by 17 square miles (51%) citywide;

2.3 ft. average increase in 100-year flood elevations; will increase with further sea level rise; now encompasses 71,500 structures

The NYC Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) projects increased chronic climate hazards…

…and increased impact from extreme weather events.

Climate Change / 21st Century ThreatsBut we know that Sandy is not the only risk we face. We must grapple with the impacts of climate change on our city...

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Source: FEMA; CUNY Institute for Sustainable Cities

Projected floodplain for the 2020s, 2050s, 2080s, and 2100 100-year Floodplain*

2013 PFIRMs

2050s Projected

Change (%)

Residents 400,000 808,900 102%

Jobs 290,800 555,700 91%

Buildings 71,500 118,000 65%

1-4 Family 57,400 89,000 55%

Floor Area (Sq Ft.) 534M 855M 42%

Climate Change / 21st Century Threats…And a growing risk of flooding across the city’s 520 miles of coastline, which will be exacerbated by sea level rise.

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* Numbers are rounded for clarity

FEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain Projected 2020s 100-year FloodplainProjected 2050s 100-year Floodplain

Projected 2080s 100-year FloodplainProjected 2100 100-year Floodplain

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Increasing inequality

A growing population

Climate Change / 21st Century ThreatsAnd as we look toward the future, we must take stock of other challenges.

Aging infrastructure

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9 million by 2040

Hurricane Sandy

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One New York: The Plan for a Strong and Just City

The plan envisions how we want our City to look in ten years and beyond.

OneNYC recognizes a historical moment: in 2025, we will celebrate our 400th

anniversary and begin our fifth century.

OneNYCTo address these challenges, Mayor Bill de Blasio released a new long-term strategic plan to prepare New York City for the future.

We commit to the goals and initiatives designed to achieve that long-term vision.

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Our neighborhoods, economy, and publicservices will be ready to withstand and emergestronger from the impacts of climate changeand other 21st century threats.

Our Resilient City

OneNYC: ResiliencyFollowing Hurricane Sandy, a global conversation on resiliency emerged. Here’s what it means to us in New York City.

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Neighborhoods Every city neighborhood will be safer by strengthening community, social, and economic resiliency

BuildingsThe city’s buildings will be upgraded against changing climate impacts

Infrastructure Infrastructure systems across the region will adapt to enable continue services

Coastal Defense New York City’s coastal defenses will be strengthened against flooding and sea level rise

OneNYC: Our Resilient CityOneNYC strengthens and expands the City’s commitment to a comprehensive and multilayered approach to resiliency.

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KEY PROJECTS Launching a non-profit and houses of worship

task force to improve community resiliency

Reforming Hurricane Sandy Loan and Grant Program, serving hundreds of businesses

Awarding $30 million to small businesses for innovative resiliency investments

Launching a new technical assistance program for small businesses

Expanding emergency preparation against a wide range of threats

Partnering with academics and experts on urban heat island mitigation efforts

Creating jobs for Sandy-impacted residents to participate in recovery projects

Our Resilient City: NeighborhoodsWith OneNYC, every city neighborhood will be safer by strengthening community, social, and economic resiliency…

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Reforming and delivering the city’s housing recovery program

Investing $3 billion in NYCHA resiliency

Upgrading city building codes

Evaluating land use as a resiliency tool

Investing in multi-family resiliency

Securing reforms to national flood insurance program

Evaluating flood insurance affordability

Publishing flood resiliency guidelines for residential structures

Our Resilient City: Buildings…The city’s buildings will be upgraded against changing climate impacts…

KEY PROJECTS

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Water and wastewater: $5,500 millionHospitals: $2,900 million

Schools: $755 million

NYCHA: $3,200 millionMTA Fix/Fortify: $10,525 million

Investing $1.7 billion in public hospitals

Expanding green infrastructure and bluebelt investments

Upgrading wastewater treatment plants

Advancing boardwalk improvements

Creating the city’s first wetland mitigation bank

Investing in Staten Island University Hospital resiliency

Rebuilding streets and stormwater management infrastructure

Improving civic facilities citywideFEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain

2050s Projected 100-Year Floodplain

KEY PROJECTS

Our Resilient City: Infrastructure…Infrastructure systems across the region will adapt to maintain continued services…

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CompletedStudy fundedProject fundedUnfundedDCP Resilient NeighborhoodsStudy areas

Secured $591 million through HUD’s Rebuild by Design and National Disaster Resilience Competition

Partnering with USACE on current authorized projects in Sea Gate, Rockaway and Jamaica Bay, and in Staten Island

Partnering with USACE on NY Harbor feasibility study to achieve new authorized projects

Launching Red Hook and Breezy Point integrated flood protection projects

Upgrading citywide bulkheads and reforming waterfront management

Studying new projects for implementation

KEY PROJECTS

Our Resilient City: Coastal Defense…And New York City’s coastal defenses will be strengthened against flooding and sea level rise.

FEMA 2013 Preliminary FIRMs 100-year Floodplain

2050s Projected 100-Year Floodplain

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Regional CollaborationWith OneNYC, the City recognized the important role of the region in crafting its long-term strategic plan.

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National Flood Insurance Program

City’s flood map appeal to FEMA

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Transportation system

Liquid fuels supply

OPPORTUNITIES

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nyc.gov/resiliency@NYClimate