north korea's nuclear strategy - threats and ambiguity for security and subsistence

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    The North Korean Nuclear Threat:

    Threats and Ambiguity for Security and Subsistence

    Michael A. ColeDepartment of Public and International Affairs

    George Mason University

    International Relations, GOVT 540

    Dr. Ming Wan7 December 2005

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    peninsula (Nahm 378). South Korean hardliners espoused this position for decades.

    With the memory of its brutal war with U.N. forces, and of its war-time enemys likewise

    desire to govern a united Korean peninsula, North Korea has sought security above all

    from its post-war conception to the present. To this end, it has pursued conventional and

    nuclear defences, both independently and through alliances.

    The Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea (D.P.RK.) adopted traditional

    socialist models by instituting a centrally controlled economy and investing heavily in the

    military. It diverged from orthodox communism by pursuing Kim Il-Sungsjuche

    ideology, a creative application of Marxist-Leninist thoughts based on self-

    orientedness or self-reliance (Nahm 379) intended to make the Korean revolution

    distinct from other communist revolutions. Economic recovery served as an early test of

    the Norths new system. It was estimated that about 80 per cent of North Koreas

    productive capacity was destroyed by the war (Nahm 387); its agricultural sector was

    decimated; factories and hydroelectric plants were severely damaged (Nahm 388). The

    centralized economy saw earlier and faster success than South Korea until the mid-1960s,

    when the socialist economic model began to flounder.

    Underfed and overworked, the North Korean farmers and workers were exhausted.

    Free medical care and education helped the people, but the high pressure politics

    combined with the slow rise in the living standard and various threats of

    punishment could achieve only limited development objectives (Nahm 398).

    Shortages of agricultural staples formerly supplied by southern Koreas productive

    farmlands, difficulty acquiring manufacturing materials and recurring famines, have not

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    been alleviated by frequently redrawn economic plans intended to reverse economic

    decline.

    The Kim regimes military reconstruction following the Armistice was pursued

    with renewed conflict in mind, and its expressed desire has been control of the Korean

    peninsula. Although threats associated with nuclear weapons have colored North Koreas

    international relations for half a century, the post-war military buildup emphasized

    conventional arms. Beginning in 1954,

    North Korea sought and received a tremendous amount of military assistance from

    the Soviet Union and the Peoples Republic of China. Efforts led by them to rebuild

    their military strength led to the rise of a large military force, well indoctrinated

    with political ideology and equipped with up-to-date weapons (Nahm 385).

    The U.S.-North Korea conflict has taken shape as a conventional confrontation,

    but nuclear threats have always rested in the background, initially as the result of

    American nuclear capability and North Korean alliances.

    During the Korean War, the United States made a number of pointed threats of

    nuclear use, and after the War, Washington deployed a sizeable number of tactical

    nuclear weapons to Korea. The result of these U.S. policies was to present North

    Korea with a real and growing nuclear threat. (Mazarr 1995).

    (Indeed, it was not until the conclusion in September 2005 of the Six-Party Talks that

    North Korea received formal confirmation that the U.S. had removed its nuclear weapons

    from the peninsula consistent with its 1994 Framework Agreement concession and

    President Bushs 1991promise, and that South Korea did not have nuclear weapons in

    accordance with the 1992 joint declaration on the denuclearization of the korean

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    The dramatic social and economic reforms undertaken by Russia and China in the

    early 1990s, particularly the decline of socialism and their increasingly peaceful

    engagement with the West, left North Korea without the security of its Cold War

    alliances but in possession of a developing nuclear weapons program. The D.P.R.K.s

    strategy for national security faced a turning point.

    The final blow for North Korea came when its former allies Russia and China

    normalized their relationships with South Korea in 1990 and 1992, respectively

    When Moscow informed North Korea of its decision [to normalize relations with

    South Korea], Foreign Minister Kim Young Nam warned that North Korea would

    not regard the existing Moscow-Pyongyang military alliance treaty as being in force

    and that North Korea had no choice but to facilitate the development of necessary

    weapons. It shows how much the North Korean leadership was struck with fear for,

    and a sense of crisis over, the nations survival. In addition, with the collapse and

    betrayal of former allies, the North Korean leadership realized its severe

    diplomatic isolation and came to perceive a grave danger to its own survival

    (Mazarr).

    Continued weakness and underdevelopment within, and American and South Korean

    threats perceived from without, led the D.P.R.K. to consider its nuclear weapons program

    as its most powerful deterrent and place it at the fore of its defensive position.

    North Korean strategy, dependent on nuclear deterrence having never tested a

    nuclear device, utilizes ambiguity concerning the extent to which the nuclear program has

    progressed and how far the Kim regime intends to progress toward a nuclear capability.

    North Korean security is maintained by nuclear threats, of violence and merely of

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    acquisition contrary to international preferences and norms. Its threats are adapted to

    serve the dual purpose of extracting political and material concessions, maximize

    ambiguity, capitalize on opportunities to extract concessions for cooperation, and to buy

    time for the nuclear programs development. North Koreas interests are efficiently

    served by an ambiguous nuclearthreatalone. However, world politics has evolved to

    make a security liability of progress beyond threats to device testing, therefore opening

    the possibility that North Korea will come to see its interests reflected in nuclear

    nonproliferation. In the interim, the strategy employs a long timeframe in which the Kim

    regime will use its nuclear program and associated threats to remain in power as North

    Korea moves cautiously toward its uncertain future.

    At the time North Korea disengaged from Russia, the credibility of its nuclear threat

    was ambiguous. Little Western consensus developed as intelligence reports were

    contradictory and D.P.R.K. public statements were inconsistent. Time and intelligence

    communities have since shown North Korea has made significant progress toward the

    two primary technological aspects of nuclear weapon construction (nuclear material

    development and delivery). The evidence in these areas moderates the possibility that

    North Korea has not yet tested a nuclear device due to technical challenges, again

    suggesting strategic motivations. In 1990, Russias K.G.B. reported to the Soviet Central

    Committee that According to available data, development of the first nuclear device has

    been completed at the nuclear research center in Yongbyon; The C.I.A. estimated

    publicly in December 2002 that North Korea could produce two atomic bombs annually

    through [highly enriched uranium] beginning in 2005; the aforementioned K.G.B. report

    suggested the North Korean government had decided not to test the device in order to

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    avoid international detection (Niksch 11). North Korea has claimed to possess nuclear

    weapons (and in turn, that it does not), and the U.S. intelligence community acts upon the

    assumption that the affirmative claim is credible. Whether or not the D.P.R.K. has

    weaponized its nuclear material, two things are clear: North Korea possesses or may soon

    possess the wherewithal to do so, as seen below by its technological achievements, and

    the countrys strategic interests provide insight to its likely course of action where its is

    obscured by strategic ambiguity.

    Relationships with Russia, China and Pakistan have benefited the North Korean

    nuclear program by providing its scientists with expertise, education and materials. The

    government employs approximately three thousand scientists and personnel at Yongbyon

    alone, many of whom studied nuclear technology in China and in the U.S.S.R. until its

    collapse in 1991 (Niksch 9); East German and Russian nuclear and missile scientists

    reportedly were in North Korea throughout the 1990s (Niksch 10). China and Pakistan

    have supplied components and materials for the nuclear program. In the case of Pakistan,

    either equipment or equipment designs were exchanged for North Korean missile

    technology (Squassoni 6), though technology explicitly intended for North Koreas

    weapons program is thought to be largely of indigenous origin (Niksch 9). The nuclear

    program is highly capable, and has succeeded in key areas of development.

    There is evidence of both highly enriched uranium and plutonium-based nuclear

    facilities in North Korea capable of producing weapons-grade material. There was

    suspicion but little evidence of the countrys interest in uranium enrichment at the time of

    the 1994 Framework Agreement negotiations and its Nonproliferation Treaty obligations

    did not prohibit enrichment (Squassoni 5).

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    [Bush] administration officials have stated they do not know the locations of North

    Koreas uranium enrichment program or whether they have assembled the

    infrastructure to produce uranium-based atomic bombs; but U.S. intelligence

    agencies reportedly have extensive information on North Koreas accelerated

    overseas purchases of equipment and materials for the uranium enrichment program

    since early 1999 (Niksch 9).

    U.S. and Chinese intelligence sources indicate construction of facilities under Mt. Chun-

    Ma and elsewhere that will be detected only with great difficulty (Squassoni 6).

    Although it is known to possess enrichment-related equipment acquired in the 1980s

    (Squassoni 4), at least one active uranium-yielding mine, and natural uranium sources

    estimated at twenty-six million tons nationwide (Niksch 9), North Korea continues to

    deny it administers a uranium enrichment program (Squassoni 5).

    North Koreas plutonium-based program is well documented and publicly

    acknowledged. In addition to research facilities at Taechon and Pyongyang, the major

    nuclear compound at Yongbyon contains three installations for plutonium processing.

    Yongbyons five mega-watt atomic reactor can produce enough plutonium (6kg.) for one

    nuclear weapon each year (Niksch 8). Construction resumed in June 2005 of a fifty

    mega-watt reactor capable of yielding material for thirty weapons annually (Niksch 8).

    The D.P.R.K. possesses approximately eight thousand spent nuclear fuel rods, from

    which it can extract weapons grade plutonium for up to six weapons (Niksch 1). U.S.

    intelligence experts believe North Korea successfully reprocessed its stockpile of eight

    thousand fuel rods and may produce a new stockpile (Niksch 8). All that remains is

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    miniaturization, warhead manufacture, and attachment to missile delivery systems, an

    area in which North Korea has long been successful.

    North Korea has been capable of delivering warheads in an attack on Seoul since the

    success of its S.C.U.D. short-range missile in the 1980s, but the North Korean leadership

    reportedly aims to threaten the continental United States (Feickert 6). The No Dong

    (Laborer) short to intermediate range missile improved upon the S.C.U.D. with greater

    accuracy and power within the peninsular theater, and could reach Japan and other

    neighbors. The Taepo Dong 1 missile employs a two-stage deployment process using an

    adapted No Dong missile followed by a derivative of the widely successful S.C.U.D.

    missile to project warheads as far as U.S. installations in Okinawa and Guam. The Taepo

    Dong 2 missile, which remains untested, may reach up to 8,000 kilometres (to Anchorage

    or Seattle). Analysts speculate the Taepo Dong 1 could function with a light warhead

    (200 kg.) to reach the central United States or Washington. The assembly of a warhead

    and successful joining of nuclear devices to projectile weapons is either within North

    Koreas power or could be within a short time. Despite the ambiguity surrounding the

    Norths specific nuclear capabilities, its successes in the two primary technical areas

    necessary to produce nuclear weapons indicated its constant non-nuclear status until

    September 2005, and continued restraint from announcing itself to be a nuclear power is

    a subtle but integral part of its security strategy.

    North Koreas opportunity to signal a shift to its post-Cold War strategy in a

    public manner came as it reacted to invasive International Atomic Energy Agency

    inspections which threatened to reveal more about its nuclear program than would serve

    its strategic interest in ambiguity. After signing the N.P.T. in 1985 at Russias urging (in

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    coordination with the U.S.), North Korea refused to permit I.A.E.A. inspectors to visit its

    nuclear facilities until it received public assurances from President Bush in October 1991

    that American nuclear weapons had been removed from South Korea. The North signed

    an I.A.E.A. safeguards agreement in 1992 to permit inspections, but continued to limit

    inspectors access and movement (Nye 1295). Inspections were controversial as a result

    of the 1991 compact on Korean peninsular denuclearization, in which South Korea

    sought wide-ranging powers of challenge inspection, anathema to the Norths closed

    system (Mazarr 95). The 1992 I.A.E.A. announcement that it had uncovered

    discrepancies in the amounts of plutonium produced and declared by North Korea

    (Mazarr 95), and its demand for special inspections of locations not on its list of

    disclosed nuclear facilities, led to the expulsion of I.A.E.A. officials and North Koreas

    1993 announcement that it intended to withdraw from the Non-Proliferation Treaty

    (Mazarr 95). Just three years after its Cold War security framework had fallen apart,

    North Korea constructed a new one, this time by capitalizing on its opacity, manipulating

    perceptions and agreements to ensure its physical security and gain concessions. In

    addition to the withdrawal of the United States nuclear footprint on the Korean peninsula

    and the reversal of a long-held American policy not to disclose the locations of nuclear

    weapons, North Korea earned itself a negotiating position among large powers.

    In order to stem the rhetorical escalation, in which North Korea threatened war for

    the first time in decades (Nanto 12) and the United States threatened sanctions and a

    blockade (Mazarr 96), both sides entered into discussions to maintain the D.P.R.K. as a

    Nonproliferation Treaty sigN.A.T.O.ry. The high level, semi-official talks in 1994

    between former President Jimmy Carter and President Kim Il Sung produced the

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    Framework Agreement, which stood as a bilateral memorandum of understanding in

    which each made commitments and concessions in exchange for North Koreas

    continued participation in the N.P.T. regime. Carters visit was seen by North Korea as a

    strategic victory.

    The scenario that [Kim Il Sung] had worked so hard to put together was happening

    at last. Faced with the most dismal economic news he had ever received and a

    prospect of a worsening economy, devoid of his long-term sponsor, and desperate

    for outside assistance, Kim had, by adroitly using the threat of nuclear weapons and

    general war, brought a novice American government to his desk bearing gifts All

    Jimmy Carter accomplished was to adroitly maneuver, cajole, and pressure Kim Il

    Sung into accepting everything that the North Korean leader had hoped to receive

    (Cucullu 259).

    Under the Framework, the D.P.R.K. was promised light-water reactor power plants to

    replace plants capable of producing weapons-grade plutonium, 500,000 tons of heavy

    fuel oil until their completion, and other forms of aid negotiated at later meetings. North

    Korea agreed to store and dispose of its spent nuclear fuel stocks, permit I.A.E.A.

    inspections, fulfill its safeguards agreement before completion of the light-water reactors,

    and implement its part of the Korean Peninsula Denuclearization Declaration. Each side

    committed to move toward political and economic normalization, though the terms of

    each are vague. By taking key countries to the edge of war and leaning on its strategy to

    utilize nuclear threats and ambiguity, North Korea successfully averted a conventional

    conflict it could not win, claimed further assurances for its future security, and retreated

    with material rewards.

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    The Framework Agreement set in motion a years-long process of recurring threats,

    talks and rewards, continuing at present as the Six Party Talks. The North has bought

    itself ten years to develop its nuclear program, successfully avoiding I.A.E.A. inspections

    throughout the period. During that time, it has restarted and then shut down nuclear

    facilities at Yongbyon numerous times, first in December 2002 and recently in June

    2005; it has suspended its participation and re-entered international talks several times,

    citing its intention to aggressively develop weapons. It retains its strategic tools: threats

    attached to its nuclear program and ambiguity concerning the same. The program of

    concessions has remained in place since 1995, and manipulation of the program is a part

    of North Koreas strategy to prolong the present situation, but it is also critical to

    alleviation of its internal crisis.

    A generation of North Koreans is being physically and psychologically weakened

    by malnutrition. The people die silently by the thousands in their homes, in the

    fields, and by the roadside. The government tells them that loyalty to Kim Jong Il

    andjuche socialism is more important than life itself, and many seem to believe it.

    This resort to eschatological propaganda is a clear indication of the collapse of

    North Korea as a functioning political economic system (Oh, Hassig 302).

    Recent natural disasters are believed to have killed five to ten per-cent of the North

    Korean population. Although the military leadership appears unwilling to affect change

    and peasant revolts have been easily halted, consequences of unrest and economic

    deterioration to the Kim regime remain uncertain. The assistance program is a primary

    source of relief from ongoing domestic crises, and its indefinite extension is presently an

    objective aided by the Norths strategy.

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    The size and content of aid packages change each year in response to North

    Koreas actions and to reflect donors strategies and preferences concerning the conflict.

    For example, China and Japan have had some short-term success in linking their food

    assistance to North Korean cooperation (Manyin 30) on contentious issues, particularly

    in obtaining information about and release of kidnapped Japanese nationals. Of the

    bodies participating in aid programs, including the United States, China, Japan, South

    Korea, the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Agency (K.E.D.O.), the World Food

    Program (W.F.P.) and the World Health Organization (W.H.O.), each employs a unique

    calculus to determine what it will send to the North, usually in the form of energy, fuel,

    food, fertilizer, and infrastructure and industry projects (Manyin 4). Whatever the calculi

    produce, assistance-providing nations are now strategically bound to the aid program.

    American food-aid is presently contingent upon progress in political and security-related

    talks (Manyin 30), primarily with reference to nuclear nonproliferation, and policy

    provides minimal unconditional aid for humanitarian reasons. As China and South Korea

    depend on their assistance programs to facilitate regional stability, and would thus

    increase their aid if the U.S. and others responded with cuts to the Norths nuclear

    advancement, the aid is presently of limited utility to deter the nuclear program (Manyin

    29). However, it remains a useful tool for the United States to maintain channels to

    North Korea even through periods of strategic isolation, and acts as a vehicle to secure

    support from China, South Korea, Japan and, Russia (Niksh 6) for total D.P.R.K.

    disarmament. North Korea utilizes these dynamics to its advantage.

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    The Six Party Talks*, begun in August 2003 to achieve a resolution of the D.P.R.K.

    nuclear dilemma, concluded in September 2005 with its first formal agreement. (It is the

    first agreement between North Korea and the U.S. since the Framework Agreement in

    1994). The agreement marks transition from prolonged initial parrying into serious

    negotiations (Huntley 1) by identifying common principles, goals and means. The

    September agreement announced the six parties unanimous intention to peacefully

    denuclearize the Korean peninsula and specified the dismantlement of D.P.R.K. nuclear

    facilities and weapons; it is the first time North Korea has agreed to dismantle and

    discontinue its weapons-oriented nuclear program, as well as the first time its assembled

    nuclear weapons have been addressed with such a modicum of ambiguity. In addition,

    the agreement reiterated the two Koreas commitment to their 1992 joint declaration for

    peninsular denuclearization and reaffirmed neither American nor South Korean nuclear

    weapons are present on the peninsula. Significant departures from the Framework

    Agreement are signalled by the signatories formal acknowledgement of the Norths

    sovereignty, and pledges to normalize economic and diplomatic relations as part of a

    phased movement toward a permanent peace and regional security cooperation. This

    apparent transition in the years long process is contrary to North Koreas interest in

    extended inaction, and talks concluded in November 2005 failed to identify actionable

    items to move forward from the September agreement, effectively delaying progress

    toward the U.S. objective of denuclearization. However, the 2005 Agreement is the

    foundation for the next round of talks. North Koreas next move will reflect little change

    *Participants in the talks, including the Peoples Republic of China, North Korea, South

    Korea, Russia, Japan, and the United States, also met in August 2003, February 2004,

    June 2004, and July 2005 without success in reaching a resolution.

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    benefits it yields. These represent only small shifts in North Koreas position. However,

    its decade-long shift away from threats of war that punctuated its pre-Framework stance

    has consisted entirely of small signals amid a din of threats and ideological

    pronouncements.

    The diminishing utility of conventionally deployed nuclear weapons carries

    strategic consequences for North Koreas position. The U.S. policy of pre-emption aims

    to make their acquisition a greater liability than an asset, and the world-wide spread of

    anti-ballistic missile defense systems promises to both render useless the Norths nuclear

    program. Former Secretary of Defense Les Aspin noted that, In the post Cold War

    world the United States has unmatched conventional military power, and it is our

    potential adversaries who may attain nuclear weapons (Huntington 187), but he could

    not have forseen the developments that now mitigate nuclear weapons usefulness.

    Whether conventionally weak states nuclear arms effectively deter outside

    aggression or not remains a subject of debate, but Saddam Husseins Iraq stands as an

    historical example of a conventionally weak state poorly served by a nuclear weapons

    threat. Despite continuing ambiguity concerning the veracity of the threat posed by

    Iraqs weapons development, the Bush Administrations policy of pre-emption accepts

    the threat (verbal or apparent) as sufficient cause to attack. President Bushs inclusion of

    North Korea in an axis of evil with Iran and Iraq during his 2002 State of the Union

    address, and Secretary of State Condoleeza Rices identification of North Korea as one of

    six outposts of tyranny, were surely causes of alarm for the Kim regime. When the

    United States deposed Saddam Hussein in 2003 in a pre-emptive defence against his

    pursuit of unconventional weapons, association with terrorists, and despotic governance,

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    North Korea saw that nuclear weapons now serve as a liability rather than the source of

    security they may once have been. Possession of nuclear weapons or the perceived threat

    of nuclear proliferation, without the conventional means to defend the state and its

    nuclear program, is now potentially dangerous. The policy of pre-emption as it was

    employed in the invasion of Iraq also makes a security liability of the subtler threat that

    North Korea will sell nuclear weapons to outside actors, such as terrorists. The

    landscapes of nuclear proliferation and national security have changed dramatically, and

    the Norths position is likely to change accordingly.

    Those countries seeking security from a nuclear program that are undeterred by pre-

    emptions threat to proliferation face quick devaluation of their investment in nuclear

    weapons as a result of advancements in anti-ballistic missile (A.B.M.) defence

    technology.

    North Korea is reportedly spending as much as 40 per cent of its gross domestic

    product (G.D.P.) on the military. In a recent interview, U.S. Forces-Korea

    commander General Leon J. LaPorte reportedly stated that North Koreas

    military investments are primarily in their nuclear, biological, chemical and missile

    programs in order to gain an asymmetrical advantage over the U.S. and South

    Korean forces (Feickert 3).

    Whereas the D.P.R.K. invests in its nuclear program because it is believed to provide a

    greater investment return in security and concessions than its traditional army, successful

    A.B.M. defense programs will render the nuclear program ineffectual and obsolete. The

    U.S. Department of Defense reports,

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    The missile defense program is developing and fielding a layered defense for the

    United States, our deployed forces, allies and friends against threats of all ranges

    and in all phases of flight. Initially limited, these defenses will evolve to become

    increasingly capable over time as technologies mature. In late 2004 the United

    States fielded the initial Ballistic Missile Defense System Test Bed that can be used

    for limited defense operations as the Missile Defense Agency continues to develop

    and test the system (Missile Defense Agency 1).

    The A.B.M.-defense program is both land-based and sea-based. Tests for the sea-based

    functions are oriented to form a missile shield with U.S. Navy ships for Japans defense

    against North Korea, and tests of the land-based model have used missiles placed at a

    trajectory to simulate a warhead fired from North Korea. The model under development

    will target inbound missiles at three points in their paths, using sensors to identify

    deployed missiles immediately after launching. It employs lasers to disrupt incoming

    missiles by targeting their fuel tanks, and smart weapons successfully intercepted test-

    decoys in 2005.

    In November 2005, President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia has

    successfully tested its Topol-M missile, which it claims is impervious to anti-ballistic

    missile systems now under development (Felgengauer 1). That technology is a part of

    the next wave, and its progress suggests North Koreas hugely expensive program of

    nuclear warhead development and 1980s missiles may soon be at least two generations

    behind technology used by the rest of the world. Meanwhile, Japan, India, Australia,

    South Korea, Israel, Taiwan, N.A.T.O. and others are moving to acquire new or improved

    missile defenses (Hackett 1). N.A.T.O. may announce its plans as early as its 2006

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    conference in Riga, Latvia (Inside Missile Defense 1). North Koreas post-Cold War

    system is unlikely to compete with the sophisticated technology in development to defend

    against it, and the country continues to overspend on its outdated system to the detriment

    of its economy and stability. North Koreas characteristic strategic acuity will not long

    countenance such inefficiency and weakness.

    While North Korea continues to suffer from the weakness, poverty, isolation and

    fear it was left with in the wake of the Korean War, the rest of the world has moved on.

    The Communist-bloc afforded temporary conditions for the Norths security and

    subsistence, and the country has capitalized with legendary resourcefulness and skill on

    the nuclear technology that alliance left to it. North Korea developed nuclear weapons

    technology thoroughly enough to successfully use it as the foundation of its strategy to

    regain the security and subsistence it enjoyed under alliances with Russia and China. The

    International Institute for Strategic Studies explains, What passes for economic strategy

    as well as foreign policy in North Korea remains little more than a search for outside

    economic aid (Stevenson 305). Although it lingers and carries the Kim regime one year

    at a time, this strategy will deteriorate as it has before; North Koreas decade of

    obfuscation and delay will end, forcing it to change or experience further decline.

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    List of References

    Cucullu, Gordon. 2004. Separated at Birth: How North Korea Became the Evil Twin.Guilford, Connecticut: Lyons Press.

    Fairbank, John K.; Edwin O. Reischauer; Albert M. Craig. 1978. East Asia: Tradition

    and Transformation. Boston, Massachusetts: Houghton Mifflin Company.

    Feickert, Andrew. North Korean Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States.Congressional Research Service Issue Brief. Washington, D.C., August 12, 2004.

    Felgengauer, Pavel. 1.4 A Pain In the Neck. Novaya Gazeta. 8 November, 2005.

    No.83, p10.

    Huntington, Samuel P. 1996. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of WorldOrder. New York, New York: Touchstone

    Hackett, James. Missile Defense Trajectory. The Washington Times. 10 October,

    2005. A17.

    Huntley, Wade L. Waiting to Exhale: The Six Party Talks Agreement. Report preparedfor the Simons Centre for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation Research, University of

    British Columbia. Vancouver, British Columbia. September 21, 2005.

    Manyin, Mark E. Foreign Assistance to North Korea. Congressional Research ServiceIssue Brief. Washington, D.C., May 26, 2005.

    Mazarr, Michael J. Going Just a Little Nuclear: Nonproliferation Lessons from North

    Korea. International Security Vol. 20 (Autumn 1995): 92-122

    Missile Defense Agency. Ballistic Missile Defense System, program update presentation. http://www.fas.org/ssp/starwars/program/gbi.htm

    Morgenthau, Hans J. Diplomacy. The Yale Law JournalVol. 55 (August 1946): 1067-

    1080.

    Nahm, Andrew C. 1988. Korea: Tradition and Transformation. Elizabeth, New Jersey:Hollym International Corporation.

    Nanto, Dick K. North Korea: Chronology of Provocations. Congressional Research

    Service Issue Brief. Washington, D.C., March 18, 2003.

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