nppd’s wind development progress report
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NPPD’s Wind Development Progress Report. Nebraska Wind Conference. John O’Connor November 15, 2011. Presentation Overview. Wind Development Snapshot World view United States view Nebraska view NPPD Wind Development Progress Report. World vie w. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
NPPD’s Wind Development Progress Report
John O’ConnorNovember 15, 2011
Nebraska Wind Conference
2
Wind Development Snapshot◦ World view◦ United States view◦ Nebraska view
NPPD Wind Development Progress Report
Presentation Overview
TOP 10 CUMULATIVE CAPACITY DEC 2010 TOP 10 NEW INSTALLED CAPACITY JAN-DEC.2010
Source: Annual Market Update 2010, Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
World view
World view
Source: Annual Market Update 2010, Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
World view
Source: Annual Market Update 2010, Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
U.S. Annual and Cumulative Wind Power Capacity
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Annual Capacity Installations (MW) Cumulative Capacity Installations (MW)
Capaci
ty (
MW
)
There have been 3,360 MW of wind projects installed in the U.S. through the third quarter of 2011, up 74% from the first three quarters of 2010. The third quarter saw the commissioning of 1,204 MW, a 79% increase from the 671 MW installed during the third quarter of 2010. These projects were installed in 13 states including Colorado, with over 500 MW installed, and Ohio, which passed the 100 MW of total wind capacity threshold. Throughout 2011, over 45 projects have been brought online in 25 different states.
The total U.S. installed wind capacity now stands at 43,641 MW.
Source: AWEA Third Quarter 2011 Market Report
United States view
U.S. Wind Power Installations by Quarter
2008 2009 2010 20110
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
1,621
3,080
541
1,1181,294
1,219
709
1,033
1,331
1,585
671
1,204
4,105 4,113
3,296
1Q 2Q
3Q 4Q
Capa
city
(MW
United States view
Source: AWEA Third Quarter 2011 Market Report
Wind Power Capacity Installations, Top 20 States
Wisconsin
Idaho
West Virginia
New Mexico
Pennsylvania
South Dakota
Kansas
Indiana
New York
Wyoming
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Colorado
Oregon
Washington
Illinois
Minnesota
California
Iowa
Texas
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000
Through 20101Q 20112Q 20113Q 2011
Capacity Installed (MW)
Most Capacity Installed during 3Q 2011
Capacity (MW)
Colorado 501.00 Minnesota 163.00 Oklahoma 129.60 West Virginia 97.60 Texas 88.20
Fastest Growing States during 3Q 2011
Growth Rate
Ohio 66.7% Colorado 38.6% West Virginia 22.7% Maine 22.5% Michigan 12.6%
United States view
Source: AWEA Third Quarter 2011 Market Report
U.S. Wind Power Installations by StateUnited States view
Source: AWEA Third Quarter 2011 Market Report
Regional Installation & Construction Trends
United States view
Source: AWEA Third Quarter 2011 Market Report
11
Nebraska viewAnnual Potential for 48 States – 36,919,551 GWHs
1. Texas 6,527,850 11. New Mexico 1,644,970
2. Kansas 3,646,590 12. Colorado 1,288,490
3. Nebraska 3,540,370 13. Missouri 810,619
4. South Dakota 3,411,690 14. Illinois 763,529
5. Montana 3,228,620 15. Indiana 443,912
6. North Dakota 2,983,750 16. Wisconsin 300,136
7. Iowa 2,026,340 17. Michigan 169,221
8. Wyoming 1,944,340 18. Ohio 151,881
9. Oklahoma 1,788,910 19. California 105,646
10. Minnesota 1,679,480 20. Oregon 80,855
Nat’l Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) – Feb 2010
12
Nebraska view
Nat’l Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) – Feb 2010
Installed capacity by state (through 2010)
Ranking State MW
1 Texas 10,085
2 Iowa 3,675
3 California 3,177
25 Nebraska 293
1
YEAR MWG135713.ZIP
Springview
5Ainsworth 6Bloomfield
11Crofton
12 Broken Bow 3Valley 4 Kimball
PROJECT
Wind Development in Nebraska
7Humboldt
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
8&10Petersburg
PARTICIPANTS
REVISION November, 2011
80 METER WIND OVERLAY
OWNER
2Lincoln
Total MW~ 456
12
NPPD, LES, MEAN, GI, KBR, Auburn
LES
OPPD, Valmont
MEAN
NPPD, OPPD, JEA, MEAN, GI
NPPD, OPPD, MEAN, LES, GI
OPPD
NPPD, LES, MEAN, GI
NPPD, OPPD, LES, MEAN, GI, KBR*
OPPD
NPPD (Planned Participants OPPD, LES, MEAN)
NPPD (Planned Participants OPPD, LES, MEAN, GI)
1&9
* Denotes Transmission
Springview Wind Energy
Salt Valley
Valley
Kimball
Ainsworth Wind Energy
Elkhorn Ridge Wind, LLC
Flat Water Wind Farm, LLC
Laredo Ridge Wind Farm
Springview II/Bluestem, LLC
TPW Petersburg, LLC
Crofton Bluffs Wind Farm
Broken Bow Wind, LLC
1998
1998 and 1999
2001
2002
2005
2009
2010
2011
2011
2011
2012 (Scheduled)
2012 (Scheduled)
Retired
1.32
.66
10.5
60
80
60
80
3
40.5
40
80
NPPD
LES
OPPD
MEAN
NPPD
Edison Mission
Gestamp Wind N.A.
Edison Mission
Bluestem, LLC
Third Planet Wind
Edison Mission
Edison Mission
14
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
NPPD Share MW's
31.40181
0 0 0 39.95 0 64 67 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 98
NPPD Accumu-lated MW's
31.40181
31.40181
31.40181
31.40181
71.35181
71.35181
135.35181
202.35181
202.35181
202.35181
202.35181
202.35181
302.35181
302.35181
302.35181
400.35181
% to-ward Board goal
0.0784355389825763
0.0784355389825763
0.0784355389825763
0.0784355389825763
0.17822277361
5036
0.17822277361
5036
0.33808217327
655
0.50543498229
7195
0.50543498229
7195
0.50543498229
7195
0.50543498229
7195
0.50543498229
7195
0.75521529426
8309
0.75521529426
8309
0.75521529426
8309
1
25
75
125
175
225
275
325
375
425
NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER DISTRICTWind Generation Addition Plan to Meet 10% Renewable Goal by 2020
Nam
epla
te M
W
(2)
▲430*
(3, 4) (5,6)
(7)
NPPD Involved Wind Projects(1) Ainsworth Wind Energy Facility(2) Elkhorn Ridge(3) Laredo Ridge(4) Bluestem, LLC(5) Crofton Bluffs(6) Broken Bow(7) RFP 4(8) RFP 5
Project size (Total MWs)
60 80 80 3 40 80 200 200
(1)
(8)
*Updated 11/14/2011
10% Board GoalEstablished Feb 2008
Actual amount acquired by NPPD to be adjusted according to most recent load forecast.
NPPD does not plan to add more wind generation before 2017
15
Things to ponder regarding future wind projects◦ Continue with Power Purchase Agreement or NPPD
ownership? What is the future of Production Tax Credits (PTCs)?
Same impact as the current PTC program?
◦ What will EPA regulations looks like?
◦ How will the compressed air (energy storage) project evolve?
◦ Strong desire to work with other utilities on participation
NPPD Wind Development…
NPPD Wind Development…
17
Elkhorn Ridge Crofton Bluffs Laredo Ridge Broken Bow Springview II**
80 MW 40 MW 80 MW 80 MW 3 MW
Share % Share* % Share % Share* % Share %
NPPD 40 50.0 20 50.0 61 76.3 47 58.7 3 100
OPPD 25 31.3 13 32.5 0 0.0 18 22.5
MEAN 8 10.0 4 10.0 8 10.0 4 5.0
LES 6 7.5 3 7.5 10 12.5 10 12.5 Grand Island 1 1.3 0 0.0 1 1.3 1 1.3
NPPD Wind Development
*Planned**OPPD, MEAN, LES, Grand Island and KBR Rural PPD participate in the project
18
NPPD Wind Development
*Planned
Elkhorn Ridge Crofton Bluffs Laredo Ridge Broken Bow Springview II
Turbine Mfg.
Size - MWNumber
Vestas
327
Vestas
3-22-18
General Electric
1.554
General Electric*
1.650
Vensys
1.52
In Service 3/2009 12/2012* 2/2011 12/2012* 10/2011
CommentsGearboxes
being replacedPlanned to have two
different size turbines
(2-3MW; 18-2MW)
In service Potential for expansion
Direct Drive
First Katana Summit
(Columbus, NE) Towers in
Nebraska
19
Questions?