nyc dep hydrological workshop presentation
DESCRIPTION
An overview of the wicked pluvial of the 2000's and, more broadly, since the end of the 1960s drought in the NYC region as reconstructed by tree rings. Presented at a NYC Dept. of Env. Protection workshop on hydrology and climate changeTRANSCRIPT
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NYC & an Epic PluvialNYC & an Epic Pluvial
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Regional Streamflow Extremes – southern NY State
Matonse (CUNY) & Frei (Hunter College), in prep
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Seager et al., 2012 – Journal of Climate
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Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region?
Kevin VranesEd CookAndrew Bell Manu Lall Naresh DevineniRichard SeagerKeith Eggleston
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500 Years of Drought history in Eastern New York State
Context for the 2000’sHudson Estuary, Sept 2011
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12 species
eastern hemlock
chestnut oak
pitch pine
white oak
eastern redcedar
post oak
pignut hickory
sweet birch
yellow-poplar
shagbark hickory
northern red oak
black oak
32 chronologies
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- Better at estimating wet years
r2 = 66.2%
May-Aug
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inst.datatackedontoend
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NE/NYC Hydroclimatic History:1531-2011
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NE/NYC Hydroclimatic History:1531-2011
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Eastern US Hydroclimatic History: 1500-2006
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1568-1573 Drought: NADA v2
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Seager et al., 2012 – Journal of Climate
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Potential Driver of Centennial-scale Hydroclimatic Trend Li et al., 2011Clim. Dynamics
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Less interested in PDSI?
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500 Years of Drought history in Eastern New York State
Context for the 2000’s and beyond?