otc -18912 risk based inspection approach for topside … · 2018-09-18 · topsides modules, 6...
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Copyright 2007, Offshore Technology Conference This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2007 Offshore Technology Conference held in Houston, Texas, U.S.A., 30 April–3 May 2007. This paper was selected for presentation by an OTC Program Committee following review of information contained in an abstract submitted by the author(s). Contents of the paper, as presented, have not been reviewed by the Offshore Technology Conference and are subject to correction by the author(s). The material, as presented, does not necessarily reflect any position of the Offshore Technology Conference, its officers, or members. Papers presented at OTC are subject to publication review by Sponsor Society Committees of the Offshore Technology Conference. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper for commercial purposes without the written consent of the Offshore Technology Conference is prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrations may not be copied. The abstract must contain conspicuous acknowledgment of where and by whom the paper was presented. Write Librarian, OTC, P.O. Box 833836, Richardson, TX 75083-3836, U.S.A., fax 01-972-952-9435.
Abstract The fleet of Total floating production units is at present highly
increasing. They range from converted tankers to new built
mega-FPSO projects as Girassol or Dalia (Angola). In order to
better assess for the safety, environmental and economic
aspects in these developments, it has been decided to develop
and use Risk Based Inspection methodologies for all systems
and sub-systems of the units. In the past decade, RBI
methodologies have been developed and applied for the Hull
part and the Process part of the FPSO’s. This paper presents
the Risk Based Inspection planning approach that has been
developed and implemented for defining the inspection plan of
Topsides Structural Components of FPSO’s.
This approach has been applied to the topsides modules of
a specific FPSO used as reference and will be applied in the
future to the full Total fleet of FPSO’s.
Due to the large variety of components types, a qualitative
risk approach has been developed and applied. In this
approach, failure modes are described and probabilities and
consequences of failure are assessed. Risk level and
corresponding inspection effort are estimated. An overall
inspection plan is then provided for all structural components
of the topside process modules: basic modules, pipe racks
modules and manifolds. Such a methodology has the benefit to
rank the components and results in the optimising of the
inspection and maintenance effort. Typical input data and
results of the application on the reference FPSO are included
in the paper.
Very few publications on RBI methodologies for Topsides
Structural components exist and have been actually applied.
The work presented in the paper allows now to provide such
methodology. Redundancy analyses are used and Risk
Analysis is performed taking into account the consequences of
failures of Topsides Structural Components in terms of
Physical injury, Environment and Asset (Loss of production,
Unavailability, Costs of repair). The development of RBI
approach for Topsides Structural Components, in addition to
specific RBI methodologies already developed for Hull and
Process, provide a full consistent approach for the
maintenance and the inspection of offshore facilities, where all
systems and sub-systems are addressed.
Introduction Total is now operating and will operate in the future almost a
dozen of assets having the function of storage, and/or
production, and/or offloading - in short FPSO. Paper OTC-
18563 (this Conference) is giving an extensive panorama of
this fleet [1].
These Floating Units can be ship-shaped or box-shaped or
any other shape such as TLPs, SPARs, SEMIs, etc. They can
be in steel or concrete and can handle various types of
hydrocarbon products (oil, condensates, gas, LPG, LNG…).
What are common to all are the topsides that are built in
separate modules which are then put together on the main
support in the construction yard. Each module is made of a
structure that supports all process equipment.
The inspection issue
In conventional offshore development, i.e. jacket based, the
inspection of topside structure is mainly driven by the painting
deterioration and the subsequent corrosion issue. In locations
where passive fire protection is present, there may be an issue
when the ageing of this material and potential water ingress
that would develop corrosion similar to corrosion under
insulation in areas where the temperature regime is favourable.
Basically, Total current inspection standards have been
developed on these grounds.
Now the modules are installed on a floating vessel,
consideration needs to be given to fatigue induced not only by
sea state at the operating location but also by the towing phase
from the construction yard. This new working regime for
topside structures has an obvious consequence on the
inspection activity that now needs to address the detection of
fatigue cracking, in addition with the conventional metal loss.
OTC -18912
RISK BASED INSPECTION APPROACH FOR TOPSIDE STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS Michel TRUCHON - TOTAL S.A., Antoine ROUHAN and Jean GOYET - Bureau Veritas
The prioritisation issue
The design of a topside framework makes it a complex
structure. In particular, they are built with a large number of
individual members and consequently an equally large number
of welded connexions that are potential sites for fatigue cracks
to initiate. As usual in such case, both feasibility on site and
business efficiency command to prioritise connexions and
identify the ones that need to be periodically inspected.
Introducing risk
On one hand, not all welded connections are mechanically
stressed in the same way and, thanks to smart software’s, it is
now an ordinary task to rank them according to this criterion.
In other words, this ranking exercise allows identifying the
connections that have the highest probability to crack.
On the other hand, not all modules have the same role in
the process of the facility. It is easy to understand that
equipment failure in a water injection module has not the same
consequence on production or safety as in a hydrocarbon
processing one.
Probability on one side, consequence on the other, we can
see from the above that we are naturally inclined to use risk as
the driving parameter to design inspection programmes for
topside structures.
Risk-Based Inspection is now a well-known method to
design inspection programmes but it has only been
standardised for pressure systems by API 581. When it comes
to such items as topside structures, there exists no such
reference. This makes the approach presented in this paper an
original attempt to develop inspection programs based on
Risk.
Introducing the case
This approach has been developed during a recent project,
deep offshore Angola (Dalia, Figure 1). The scope was to
design inspection programs for topside structures such as:
module framework, flare structure, riser supports and interface
connexions between modules and hull, the final objective
being to review and amend Total inspection standards
accordingly (Total inspection standards are given in [3]).
Figure 1: Dalia FPSO at the construction yard
Topsides structures overview
The topsides structures of Dalia are composed of a set of 12
topsides modules, 6 pipe-rack modules located amid-ship and
2 manifold modules portside of the FPSO.
These modules are supporting the process equipments.
Basically the process is composed of two trains A & B to
process oil and gas.
Methodology
The methodology is based on the risk analysis of topsides
structures. The study focuses on the risk of fatigue failure of
structural members. As all the modules are coated or protected
by Passive Fire Protection systems, it was decided not to focus
on structural risks related to corrosion.
The basic process for providing the inspection plan based
on our risk analysis includes two steps:
o Asses the risk level – related to fatigue – of each
structural member.
o Based on the risk level, determine an inspection
frequency.
The following sections present the methodology:
o Issues with fatigues analyses are presented.
o The way probabilities and consequences are
calculated is underlined.
o Risk Acceptance Criteria are explained which allows
building the inspection plan.
o Inspection frequency in relation to the risk level is
given.
Fatigue issues
Fatigue computations
One of the main inputs of the risk evaluation is the fatigue life
of structural components. For each module, fatigue is
computed by means of beam finite element models. The figure
3 gives an overview of the topsides structural model of the
Dalia FPSO. In fatigue computations, the selection of relevant
Stress Concentration Factors (SCF) is an important issue.
Structural complexity
The structural components of topside modules are linked
together with welded connections. The RBI methodology, as
applied in this paper, focuses on the fatigue degradation
phenomena. Generally, quantitative RBI (see [2]) is used for
determining inspection frequency in relation to fatigue
degradation. However, due to structural complexity of
connections and the wide variety of welded connection types,
it was found not tractable to used quantitative approach. This
latter uses probabilistic fracture mechanics models and generic
database of crack propagation. The kind of structural
complexity is illustrated on figure 2. It represents a very fine
mesh for fatigue computation of a primary structural node of a
topside module. It is clearly seen that the number of required
detailed fracture mechanics models for each of the connection
is not practicable. For this reason, a qualitative approach has
been chosen for risk level evaluation and risk based
inspection.
Fig 2: Typical primary node of a topside structure
Fig 3: Overview of topsides structural model of DALIA FPSO
Decision trees
For each fatigue failure that is selected for risk analysis, a
decision tree is built (see figure 5 below). It describes the
sequences of events that lead to major consequences in terms
of Physical Injury, Environment and Asset (P, E, A). In these
sequences, 3 main events have been identified:
o Collapse of the module. This might happen in
case of failure of a non-redundant primary
member.
o Local collapse of structure, leading to a breach in
the process flow.
o Escalation to fire/explosion in case where a
breach appears.
The decision tree is built for all nodes. It allows
determining the probabilities and the consequences of terminal
events initiated by fatigue failures.
Probabilities evaluations
The probabilities are assessed using several inputs. The
initiating event is the fatigue failure of a structural component
of the given module. So the probability of the initiating event
is computed based on the fatigue life of the structural detail.
Then all probabilities are computed using the event trees.
Some probabilities related to events such as the event of
ignition of gas cloud or ignition of oil leaks are assessed using
the process flow diagrams and the results and assumptions of
the existing Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) study.
In figure 5, it is seen that the first shunting branches deal
with total collapse of the module structure. The collapse
occurrence is directly linked to the redundancy of the structure
given a fatigue structural failure. So, redundancy
corresponding to each structural element is assessed by means
of “redundancy meetings” where experts in steel works assess
the local and global redundancy of each structural component
that is analyzed in risk analysis and RBI.
Consequences evaluations
The evaluation of consequences is made through the event
tree. For each terminal event of the event tree, 3 kinds of
consequences are assessed:
o Consequences in terms of Physical
injury/Personnel (P). This is achieved by taking
into account the eventual loss of personnel
onboard the module but also consequences of
personnel on other adjacent modules in case
events escalate to fire and/or explosions. Manning
allocation is taken from the Quantittaive Risk
Assessment (QRA) study which was established
for the FPSO. For module which process water,
consequences to personnel are much lower than
modules which process oil or gas.
o Consequences to Environnement (E). For each
isolatable section, the total volume of the section
is assessed and serves as a basis for computing
gas release volumes and oil spill volumes.
o Consequences to the Asset (A) or economical
consequences. For this kind of consequences, a
“consequences meeting” was held with:
- The Company,
- The people in charge of the design of the
process equipments, which have also
participated to the HAZID and HAZOP
sessions for process,
- The RBI team,
- The people in charge of inspection and
maintenance.
This meeting used mainly process flow diagrams
for assessing the impact of the failure of any
isolatable section on the production, given a
fatigue failure – in this isolatble section - lead to
impact the process for repairs. An example of
process flow diagram is given on figure 4.
Fig 4: Typical process flow diagram used for consequences assessment
Event tree
A typical event tree used in the study is presented in the figure
5 below:
Fig 5: Typical event tree used for the evaluation of probabilities of terminal event and consequences of initiating events.
As already mentioned, the event tree uses 4 specific
probabilities:
- X: Probability of module collapse given fatigue failure.
- Z: Probability of a breach in the flow line of the supported
equipment, given no collapse of module and equipment
support failure.
- T: Probability of explosion/fire given breach in the flow
line.
- U: Probability of component fatigue failure.
Risk acceptance criteria Once the risks – probabilities and consequences - are assessed,
the ranking is performed using the Risk Acceptance Criteria
matrix (see figure 6). This matrix allows distinguishing 3
different risk levels (from the red one – the level 1 - to the
green one – the level 3 - ) which are then used for inspection
frequency attribution.
There are 3 matrices like the matrix given on figure 6, one
for the risk to personnel, one for the risk to the environment
and one for the risk to the asset. This allows assessing the risk
level of each structural component for each type of risk
(Personnel, Environment and Asset).
Figure 6: Risk matrix used for risk ranking
The highest risk level – among the three – is assigned to
each structural component and is then used for computing the
inspection frequency, which is directly linked to it.
Risk matrices are 5x5 matrices where the labels of the 5
levels are as follows:
- For probabilities: remote, extremely unlikely, very
unlikely, unlikely, likely.
- For consequences: moderate, serious, major, catastrophic,
disastrous.
Definition of levels for probabilities and consequences are
classical. It has to be noted that the definition of the 5 levels
for the consequences to the asset (economical consequences)
is specific to the unit under consideration.
Inspection frequency In this project,
• NDT inspection each 5 years was decided for all Risk
Level 1 structural components
• NDT inspection each 7.5 years was decided for all
Risk Level 2 structural components
• No NDT inspection was decided for all Risk Level 3
structural components
NDT inspection includes PFP (Passive Fire Protection)
removal for inspection of welds. For all other inspection than
the previously defined fatigue NDT inspections, inspection is
performed according to Total inspection standards [3]. That
includes in particular general visual inspection of tertiary
structures at most every year and general visual inspection of
complete structure at most every two years.
RBI outcomes The Risk Based Inspection is part of a more general data
management system. The documentation includes the
following:
- Sketches and drawings of primary and secondary
structural elements of topsides modules used for the RBI
study. The aim of these is to match the computer model
failureFatigue
beamsupportequipment
collapse ofmodule
no collapseof module
noexplosion/fire
no breachin line
Event tree for risk analysis of structural failure of topside modules
Asset
Environment
Personnel
Consequences to:
Asset
Environment
Personnel
Consequences to:
Asset
Environment
Personnel
Consequences to:
Asset
Environment
Personnel
Consequences to:
Asset
Environment
Personnel
Consequences to:
breach in line
explosion/fire
beam do notsupport
equipment
pro
ba
bili
ty l
ev
els
Consequence levels
used for fatigue and the drawings, so that any structural
changes can be reflected and traced further on.
- 3D views of the module with emphasis on the location
where the fatigue detail is to be inspected. The provided
views are based on the engineering computer model.
- 2D views of the module, highlighting the location to be
inspected. These views do exactly correspond to the
design drawings provided. The aim is to provide a good
understanding of the location to inspect.
- A set of views with typical details found on the modules.
These views make the correspondence between the 3D
and 2D views provided and the drawings of details of
structural elements, with emphasis on the location to
inspect.
A typical outcome is provided on figure 7 where the 2D
and 3D views are shown. On figure 8, the detailed drawings
are shown, which allows the inspection team to understand
what specific welds/plates to inspect given the area from the
fatigue computation.
This kind of drawing is mandatory. The fatigue
computations are based on beam finite elements. Fatigue of
structural elements is computed by means of stress
concentration factors. These reflect the complexity of the local
connection, which cannot be represented with beam elements.
It is thus necessary to provide to inspection team the local
information that is not part of 3D Beam finite elements
models, so that inspection scope reflects the investigations and
findings of the fatigue and RBI analyses.
Figure 7: 2D and 3D views showing location of inspections
Figure 8: Detailed view of scope of inspection given 3D view
The RBI provides also the risk level for each relevant
component and the associated inspection frequency. Specific
datasheets are provided and include all relevant data of the
structural component:
o ID or TAG of the component
o Means of location: module, deck, etc.
o All data related to fatigue computations
o Structural class
o A flag indicating the presence or not of Passive
Fire Protection (PFP)
o Type of inspection to be performed: NDT, CVI
etc.
o Risk level, inspection frequency
o Means of access for inspection
An example of outcome from risk analysis is presented on
the figure 9 below:
Figure 9: Example of RBI outcome of the Dalia RBI Study.
MEMBER proba conseq Risk proba conseq Risk proba conseq Risk
level level level level level level level level level
M11Z-M217 4 2 2 4 3 2 4 5 1
M211-M21A 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 2 3
M19Z-M397 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 5 1
M313-M31F 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 5 1
M19C-M19E 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 5 2
M1AB-M19C 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 5 2
M11E-M113 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 5 2
M1CB-M11E 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 5 2
M11E-M113 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 5 2
M31T-M31Y 4 2 2 4 2 2 4 2 2
personnel environnement asset
Conclusions In this paper, we have shown an example of how basic
principles of RBI methodology can be used to design
inspection programmes for topside structures in a FPSO. The
approach developed here considers fatigue cracking at welded
connexions in the structure as the main damage mechanism.
Probability of detecting such cracks is assessed considering
the use of adequate NDT techniques. Consequence is
considered from the point of view of safety to personnel,
environment impact and production impact. The risk so
determined is used to derive inspection intervals.
With this approach, we have been made able to determine
not only the more critical locations where to carry out
inspection, but also to design the inspection effort as a
function of risk to the business as a whole. We believe that the
use of this method results in an adequate compromise between
the efficiency of the inspection programme and the effort that
needs to be made to implement it.
References 1. B. Lanquetin, J. Goyet and J. Estève, “Implementing
Risk Based Inspection on our F(P)SOs: From a practical
approach to the edge of R&D”, paper OTC-18563, Offshore
Technology Conference, Houston, 2007
2. J. Goyet, D. Straub and M.H. Faber, “Risk Based
inspection planning of offshore installations”, Structural
Engineering International, Volume 12, number 3, August
2002.
3. General Specification GS EXP 211 “Plant integrity –
Minimum inspection requirements”, Total Exploration &
Production, September 2003