ott: the next big thing in broadcast & media
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OTT: THE NEXT BIG THING IN BROADCAST & MEDIA
Over-the-top (OTT, Over-the-top Video) - n. -
def.- Premium video services delivered over the Internet
to televisions and other connected devices.
CATEGORY PLAYERS
Connected TVs
Connected STBs
Connected TV Platforms
Gaming Consoles
Content & SW Services
2011 – The Year of the Cable Cut
• In Q2, 711,000 subscribers cut cable TV
• 6 of 8 operators suffered worst quarterly losses
SNLKagan points to these factors:
• Economic woes
• Promotional churn
Not so fast!
% of U.S. cord-cutting homes remains stable as cable & broadband homes grow
Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2010
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Perc
ent (
%) o
f Pop
ulati
onSource: Nielsen National People Meter Sample (Jan 2008 to April 2010)
GROWTH OF MEDIA PLATFORMS
54.8
61.6
66.3
3.23.9 3.9
Cable & Broadband
Cable - No & Broadband -Yes
of US cord-cutting homesas cable and broadband homes grow
Young: 54% of likely cord cutters are under 40.
Educated: 97% have graduated high school;69% pursued or are pursuing post secondary education
Employed: 90% are employed, full-time students, or retired
Not Poor: 57% make more than $50,000 / year
Source: Gigaom / Strategy Analytics, Multiplay Market Dynamics Service
• 13% of American’s surveyed plan to cut the cord
• Cord cutters are young, educated & affluent
Who? When?
OTT Players and their Hurdles
*Source: Forrester Study 2010
Connected TVs
4 PROS :
• Heavy industry support:
o Best Buy to sell only connected TVs by 2011
o Wal-Mart promises the same by 2012
• 43 M+ Connected TVs in US homes by 2015*
6 HURDLES :
• Consumers: 61% are unaware, and 40% question the value*
• Not enough processing power to offer compelling services and UE
Most Connected TVs sold will never be used in connected mode
4 PROS :
• Apple TV – Good UE and Apple’s muscle
• Boxee – Innovative platform / market buzz
• Roku – Great content and low price point
• TiVo - Great brand clearly now focused on apps and connected features
6 HURDLES :
• Consumers don't want to buy another box when cable provides one for free
• None of these services provide the same level of content as cable
• Most consumers won’t cut the cord for one of these services
Connected STBs
4 PROS :
• Potentially the most promising player
• Offers a stepping stone to OTT : builds on existing TV experience
• Provides an app marketplace
6 HURDLES :
• Lack of broadcaster cooperation
• Complexity
• Expensive
• No app marketplace at launch
Connected TV Platforms
Gaming Consoles
4 PROS :
• Massive install base
• Easy to use and install
• 60% of Netflix streaming
6 HURDLES :
• Only 6% of Console owners watch streaming video
• Lack of content - too little too late
Content & SW Services
4 PROS :
• Netflix is winning here
o Play nice with content owners
o Available on every Internet TV platform
o Account for 20% of the Internet’s bandwidth usage during primetime
• Vudu - Massive library, high quality streaming and the muscle of Walmart
6 HURDLES :
• None are a complete solution
Incumbent Cable and Satellite Operators
• Most threatened by OTT
• Fighting back with TV Everywhere
• Adding OTT services of their own
• Deep content relationships getting even deeper (Comcast/NBC Universal merger)
Incumbent Telcos
• OTT providers will capture the value of their IPTV investments
• Adding OTT capabilities to their IPTV offerings
• Creating their own pure OTT offerings
What will it take?
Key Success Factors:1. Powerful processors
2. Apps marketplace (like mobile, only bigger)
o Support for 3rd party apps
o Complete SDKs
o Social discovery
o Apps will become the new channels
3. Great User Experience including set-up and ease-of-use
4. Premium, timely content live and on-demand
5. Interactivity to extend the TV viewing experience
6. OTT business models for content owners
7. Advertisers sponsoring interactive experiences
7. Consumer education and marketing
8. Broadcast networks need to get on board
9. Single platforms that have it all
o Ad supported free content
o Subscription content
o Paid VoD from 1 provider
Thanks!
Daniel GoodfellowEmail:[email protected]