out-wayne’s population growth post-1990 came to a halt in 2002
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The Status of Young Children in Wayne County A 2010 Update from Great Start Collaborative - Wayne Presented by Kurt Metzger Data Driven Detroit (D3). Out-Wayne’s Population Growth Post-1990 Came to a Halt in 2002. Source: Census Bureau. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Status of Young Children in Wayne County
A 2010 Update from Great Start Collaborative - Wayne
Presented byKurt Metzger
Data Driven Detroit (D3)
Out-Wayne’s Population Growth Post-1990 Came to a Halt in 2002
1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
1,300,000
1,203,368
1,027,946
951,270935,637 927,802 926,035 923,352 920,675 918,849 916,936 912,062 910,920
1,134,475
1,083,7411,109,892 1,122,450 1,124,594 1,118,797 1,112,349 1,103,508 1,090,355
1,064,7181,037,867
1,014,928
Detroit Out-Wayne
Source: Census Bureau
Wayne County’s Significant Net Out-Migration Has Resulted in the Largest Population Loss of Any County
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
-50,000
-40,000
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
-24,587 -23,297-25,143 -26,213
-28,228
-32,576-36,225
-40,645
-30,662
DomesticImmigrationNet Migration
Source: Census Bureau
The Total Number of Births In Wayne County Have Experienced a Steady Decrease Since 1990
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
40,680
40,001
37,264
35,802
34,816
32,875
31,685
31,843
31,477
30,913
31,130
30,548
29,191
28,830
28,280
27,422
27,383
26,416
25,774
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
While Births Have Decreased by 15.4 Percent in Out-Wayne County, They Have Dropped 51.2 Percent in Detroit
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
16,551
16,544
15,716
15,542
15,395
15,297
15,099
15,118
15,048
15,113
15,238
15,233
14,854
14,759
14,661
14,233
14,367
14,233
13,999
24,129
23,457 21,548
20,260
19,421 17,578
16,586
16,725
16,429
15,800
15,892
15,315
14,337
14,071
13,619
13,189
13,016
12,183
11,775
Out-WayneDetroit
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
Decreasing Births Have Reduced the Size of the Cohort Less than 5 Years of Age
1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000 170,851
152,600 151,161 149,829 147,467 145,481 142,825 138,965
134,655 130,405 127,757
6.6%
Source: Census Bureau
8.0%
7.4%
6.6%
Young Children in Wayne County are More Racially/Ethnically Diverse Than the General Population
Total Population Less than 5 Years0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
51%42%
40%
43%
0%0%
3%3%
1%3%
5%9%
Hispanic / Latino
Other / Multi-Race
Asian/Pacific Is-lander
Native American
Black /African American
White
Source: Census Bureau
The Unemployment Rate for Detroit Runs About Three Times That of Out-Wayne County
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
4.3%
6.1% 7.
3% 8.6%
8.6%
8.7%
8.4% 8.7% 9.
9%
16.2
%
7.3%
10.1%
12.0%
13.9% 14.0% 14.1% 13.7% 14.1%
16.0%
25.0%
2.4%3.4%
4.0%4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9%
5.6%
9.4%
Wayne CountyDetroitOut-Wayne
Source: MI Labor Market Information
The Percent of Wayne County Births Paid For By Medicaid Has Increased Over Last Two Years
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
33% 34%37%
39%41%
39% 39%41%
43%46%
State Wayne
Source: MI Department of Human Services
The Number of Wayne County Households Receiving Food Stamps Increased by 137% Over the Decade
1 of Every 3 Households in Dec. 2009
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 FY 2010200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
225,842
258,478274,703
301,358
338,030
361,145369,737
378,457
412,778
471,413
Source: Michigan Dept. of Human Services
Nearly Half of All Wayne County Children, 5 Years and Under, Were in Food Stamp Households in June 2010
< 1 year 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
42.4%
49.7%51.5%
49.9%47.9%
45.9%
11,400
12,957
13,104
12,777 12,416
11,973
Source: MI Department of Human Services
The Percent of K-12 Students Receiving FRL has increased over the decade from 47.0% in 2001-02 School Year to 54.8% in 2008-09 (State – 32.2 and 41.3%)
The Buying Power of Wayne County Households Has Decreased by 20 Percent Between 1999 and 2008.
3 of Every 10 Wayne County Children <6 years live in poverty; 1 of every 2 in Detroit.
84,923 Wayne County Children, Less than 6 Years of Age, Lived in Families at or below 200% of Poverty in the 2006-08 Period. This represented 54% of Wayne County kids <6 and 27% of the State’s total <6 below 200%.
Other Issues
While Infant Mortality Has Generally Decreased Across All Groups, Racial Disparities Still Exist
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
11.1 11.5 11.310.6 10.5
6.0 6.0 5.85.3 5.7
17.318.1 17.7
16.615.8
7.6
9.2 8.8
7.4 7.6
Total White, NHAfrican American Hispanic/Latino
Deaths per 1,000 Live Births
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
While Infant Mortality Has Generally Decreased In All Regions, Geographic Disparities Still Exist
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
11.1 11.5 11.310.6 10.5
15.516.0 15.6
14.6 14.5
6.77.4
7.97.2 7.1
2.4
4.5
5.84.9
5.76.5 6.4
5.7 5.8 6.0
Total Core Downriver East
West
Deaths per 1,000 Live Births
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
The Share of Wayne County Women With Less than Adequate Prenatal Care Has Remained Constant
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
21.7 21.8 21.9 21.9 22.5
28.7 28.4 28.2 28.5 29.3
Michigan Wayne
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
The Share of Women With Less than Adequate Prenatal Care Demonstrates Large Geographic Disparities
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
28.7 28.4 28.2 28.5 29.3
40.7 40.0 39.7 39.7 39.9
15.5 15.3 15.116.4
18.517.9
20.8 20.9 20.9 21.6
18.1 18.4 18.7 19.321.0
WayneCoreDownriverEastWest
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
Inadequate Prenatal Care Is An issue in Many Wayne County Communities – These Are Top Five
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
40.8 40.1 39.7 39.7 39.7
35.2 34.836.7
38.1
40.0
45.043.6 44.6
46.7 46.6
37.2 36.7 36.335.0
33.232.430.2
28.5
31.9 31.3
Detroit Hamtramck Highland Pk Inkster Sumpter T
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
New Mothers in Wayne County Have Consistently Lower Levels of High School Completion
1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
5
10
15
20
25
30
18.717.2 17.1 17.062797474258616.957106090208616.848425186757516.888615175299816.863540082907716.8
27.4
24.2 24.0 24.0 23.9 23.8 24.0 24.3 24.5
State
Wayne
Percent of Mothers Without High School Degree
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
The Educational Attainment of New Mothers Varies Widely Across Wayne County – Critical Indicator
2003 2004 2005 2006 20070.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
34.0% 34.4% 35.0% 35.5% 35.9%
17.9% 17.5% 17.2% 17.2% 17.6%
2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9%
9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2%
Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
The Percent of New Mothers Who Smoked During Pregnancy Has Remained Below State Average (12.1 vs. 14.1%)
The Percent of Low Birthweight Babies Has Stayed Constant at 10.5%. Detroit’s Rate is Higher – 14%. Highland Park is highest at 16.7%.
Medicaid paid for 45.7% of Wayne County births in 2007.
The Number and Percent of Children (0-18 years) Insured by Medicaid has increased Over the Decade.
The number and percent of 1 and 2 year olds Testing Positive for Lead has Been Decreasing.
Other Issues
The Number of Children Receiving English Language Learning Services Has Shown A Steady Increase
The Percent of Births to Teenagers Has Shown An Increase Over the Last Two Years – Reversing Trends.
Increase Has Occurred in All 4 Regions. Core is 19.3%, while next closest is Downriver at 8.1%.
Repeat Births, as a Share of All Teen Births, Has Continued to Decrease.
The number and percent of 1 and 2 year olds Testing Positive for Lead has Been Decreasing.
Other Issues
In order to make good management decisions about our resources (based on up to date information), Wayne County MUST develop an integrated, “real time”, interactive database that will track the indicators (of child and family well-being) and link to resources. Or, as Child Trends notes, “What gets measured gets done”.
Every child in Wayne County should have a medical home with a primary care pediatrician and access to pediatric sub-specialties.
Every child in Wayne County should have access to quality child care.
Ensure that ALL young children in Wayne County have access to a preschool education.
Report Recommendations
Recognize that “early childhood development is economic development” and ADVOCATE for making young children a priority in the county and state budget processes.
Investing in our human capital is as important as our infrastructure and the return on investment is significantly greater.
Report Recommendations
The Status of Young Children in Wayne County
A 2010 Update from Great Start Collaborative - Wayne
Presented byKurt Metzger
Data Driven Detroit (D3)