over wive international finance

39
1 International Finance

Upload: mba-corner-by-babasab-patil-karrisatte

Post on 27-May-2015

613 views

Category:

Business


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Over wive international finance

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Over wive international finance

1

International Finance

Page 2: Over wive international finance

2

International Finance Course topics

Foundations of International Financial Management

World Financial Markets and Institutions Foreign Exchange Exposure Financial Management for a Multinational Firm

Page 3: Over wive international finance

3

Financial Management for a Multinational Firm

Foreign direct investment International Capital Structure, Cost of Capital International Capital Budgeting

Page 4: Over wive international finance

4

Cost of Capital For a levered firm, the financing costs can be

represented by the weighted average cost of capital:• K = (1 – )ke + (1 – )i

Where

K = ___________ average cost of capital

ke = cost of equity capital for a levered firm

i = pretax cost of debt

= % of debt, debt to total market value ratio

= _____________ corporate income tax rate

Page 5: Over wive international finance

5

The Firm’s Investment Decision and the Cost of Capital

A firm that can reduce its cost of capital will increase the profitable capital expenditures that the firm can take on and increase the wealth of the shareholders.

Internationalizing the firm’s cost of capital is one such policy.

cost

of

cap

ital

(%

)

Investment ($)

Page 6: Over wive international finance

6

Cost of Capital in Segmented vs. Integrated Markets

The cost of equity capital (ke) of a firm is the expected return on the firm’s stock that investors require.

This return is frequently estimated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

)(company , fMifie RRβRk

)Var(

),Cov(

M

Mii R

RRβ where

Page 7: Over wive international finance

7

Segmented vs. Integrated Markets If capital markets are segmented, then investors can only

invest domestically. This means that the market portfolio (M) in the CAPM formula would be the domestic portfolio instead of the world portfolio.

)( CANfTSX

CANi

CANfi RRβRR

versus )( WorldfWorldMSCI

Worldi

Worldfi RRβRR

Clearly integration or segmentation of international financial markets has major implications for determining the cost of capital.

Page 8: Over wive international finance

8

Does the Cost of Capital Differ among Countries?

There do appear to be differences in the cost of capital in different countries. Local rates for debt and equity capital may differ Leverage ratio may differ across countries

In US, Canada, UK leverage _____, on average In Europe, Japan leverage _______, on average

When markets are imperfect, international financing can lower the firm’s cost of capital.

One way to achieve this is to internationalize the firm’s ownership structure.

Page 9: Over wive international finance

9

Example: Novo Industri

Page 10: Over wive international finance

10

Cross-Border Listings of Shares

Cross-border listings of stocks have become quite _________ among major corporations.

The largest contingent of foreign stocks are listed on the ___________ Stock Exchange.

U.S. exchanges attracted the next largest contingent of foreign stocks.

Page 11: Over wive international finance

11

Cross-Border Listings of Shares Cross-border listings of stocks benefit a company in

the following ways. The company can ________ its potential investor base,

which will lead to a higher stock price and lower cost of capital.

Cross-listing creates a _____________ market for the company’s shares, which facilitates raising new capital in foreign markets.

Cross-listing can enhance the ____________ of the company’s stock.

Cross-listing enhances the ___________ of the company’s name and its products in foreign marketplaces.

Page 12: Over wive international finance

12

Cross-Border Listings of Shares Cross-border listings of stocks have costs.

It can be ____________ to meet the disclosure and listing requirements imposed by the foreign exchange and regulatory authorities.

Once a company’s stock is traded in overseas markets, there can be volatility __________ from these markets.

Once a company’s stock is make available to foreigners, they might acquire a ___________ interest and challenge the domestic control of the company.

Page 13: Over wive international finance

13

Cross-Border Listings of Shares Cross-border listings of stocks do carry costs.

Daimler Benz’s net profit/loss (DM bn) German Vs American Accounting rules

Page 14: Over wive international finance

14

Cross-Border Listings of SharesSelected Foreign Firms listed on the NYSE

Page 15: Over wive international finance

15

The Effect of Foreign Equity Ownership Restrictions

While companies have _______________ to internationalize their ownership structure to lower the cost of capital and increase market share, they may be concerned with the possible loss of corporate control to foreigners.

In some countries, there are legal ____________ on the percentage of a firm that foreigners can own.

These restrictions are imposed as a means of ensuring domestic ___________ of local firms.

Page 16: Over wive international finance

16

Pricing-to-Market Phenomenon Suppose foreigners, if allowed, would like to buy 30

percent of a Korean firm. But they are constrained by ownership constraints

imposed on foreigners to purchase at most 20 percent.

Because this constraint is effective in ________ desired foreign ownership, foreign and domestic investors face different market share prices.

This dual pricing is the pricing-to-market phenomenon.

Page 17: Over wive international finance

17

Foreign Ownership Restrictions: Nestlé

Nestlé used to issue two different classes of common stock: bearer shares and registered shares. Foreigners were only allowed to buy ______ shares. Swiss citizens could buy ____________ shares. The bearer stock was ____________________

On November 18, 1988, Nestlé lifted restrictions imposed on foreigners, allowing them to hold registered shares as well as bearer shares.

Page 18: Over wive international finance

18

Nestlé’s Foreign Ownership Restrictions

12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

11 20 31 9 18 24

Source: Financial Times, November 26, 1988 p.1. Adapted with permission.

SF

Page 19: Over wive international finance

19

Foreign Ownership Restrictions: Nestlé

Following this, the price spread between the two types of shares ___________ dramatically. This implies that there was a major _______ of

wealth from foreign shareholders to Swiss shareholders.

The price of bearer shares declined about 25 percent.

The price of registered shares rose by about 35 percent.

Page 20: Over wive international finance

20

Foreign Ownership Restrictions: Nestlé

Because registered shares represented about two-thirds of the market capitalization, the total value of Nestlé ______________ substantially when it internationalized its ownership structure.

Nestlé’s cost of capital therefore _________.

Page 21: Over wive international finance

21

Foreign Ownership Restrictions: Nestlé

Foreigners holding Nestlé bearer shares were exposed to __________ risk in a country that is widely viewed as a haven from such risk.

The Nestlé episode illustrates The importance of considering market

imperfections. The peril of political risk. The benefits to the firm of internationalizing its

ownership structure.

Page 22: Over wive international finance

22

The Financial Structure of Subsidiaries.

There are three different approaches to determining the subsidiary’s financial structure.

1. Conform to the parent company's norm.

2. Conform to the local norm of the country where the subsidiary operates.

3. Vary judiciously to capitalize on opportunities to lower taxes, reduce financing costs and risk, and take advantage of various market imperfections.

Page 23: Over wive international finance

23

Financial Management for a Multinational Firm

Foreign direct investment International Capital Structure, Cost of Capital International Capital Budgeting

Page 24: Over wive international finance

24

Review of Capital Budgeting The basic net present value equation is

01 )1()1(

CK

TV

K

CFNPV

TT

T

tt

t

Where:

CFt = expected incremental after-tax cash flow in year t,

TVT = expected after tax cash flow (terminal value) in year T, including return of net working capital,

C0 = initial investment at inception,

K = weighted average cost of capital.

T = economic life of the project in years.

Page 25: Over wive international finance

25

Review of Capital Budgeting Cash flow estimation

)1()1)(( τIDτIDOCRCF ttttttt

Rt is incremental revenueOCt is incremental operating cost Dt is incremental depreciationIt is incremental interest expense is the marginal tax rate

Page 26: Over wive international finance

26

Review of Capital Budgeting Various ways to represent CF

)1()1)(( τIDτIDOCRCF ttttttt )1( τIDNI ttt

ttt DτDτOCR )1)((

tt DτNOI )1(

ttt τDτOCR )1)((

tt τDτOCF )1(

Page 27: Over wive international finance

27

Review of Capital Budgeting We can use

ttt τDτOCFCF )1(

01 )1()1(

CK

TV

K

CFNPV

TT

T

tt

t

to rewrite the NPV equation

01 )1()1(

)1(C

K

TV

K

τDτOCFNPV

TT

T

tt

tt

as:

Page 28: Over wive international finance

28

The Adjusted Present Value Model

Can be converted to adjusted present value (APV) 0

1 )1()1()1(

)1(C

K

TV

K

τD

K

τOCFNPV

TT

T

tt

tt

t

01 )1()1()1()1(

)1(C

K

TV

i

τI

i

τD

K

τOCFAPV

Tu

TT

tt

tt

tt

u

t

Page 29: Over wive international finance

29

The Adjusted Present Value Model The APV model is a value

additivity approach to capital budgeting. Each cash flow that is a source of value to the firm is considered individually.

Note that with the APV model, each cash flow is discounted at a rate that is appropriate to the riskiness of the cash flow.

0111 )1()1()1()1(

)1(C

K

TV

i

τI

i

τD

K

τOCFAPV

Tu

TT

tt

tT

tt

tT

tt

u

t

Page 30: Over wive international finance

30

Domestic APV Example Consider a project of the Pearson Company, the timing and

size of the incremental after-tax cash flows for an all-equity firm are:

0 1 2 3 4

-$1,000 $125 $250 $375 $500

The unlevered cost of equity is r0 = 10%:

Page 31: Over wive international finance

31

Domestic APV Example Now, imagine that the firm finances the project with $600 of

debt at r = 8%. Pearson’s tax rate is 40%, so they have an interest tax shield

worth t×I = .40×$600×.08 = $19.20 each year. The net present value of the project under leverage is:

shieldtaxunlevered PVNPVAPV

4

1 )08.01(

20.19$50.56$

tt

APV

Page 32: Over wive international finance

32

Domestic APV Example Note that there are two ways to calculate the NPV of

the loan. Previously, we calculated the PV of the interest tax shields. Now, let’s calculate the actual NPV of the loan:

loanunlevered NPVNPVAPV

59.63$

)08.1(

600$

)08.1(

)4.1(08.600$600$

4

4

1

loan

ttloan

NPV

NPV

Page 33: Over wive international finance

33

Capital Budgeting from the Parent Firm’s Perspective

Donald Lessard (1985) developed an APV model for a MNC analyzing a foreign capital expenditure. The model recognizes many of the particulars peculiar to foreign direct investment.

T

tt

d

ttT

ud

TT

T

tt

d

ttT

tt

d

ttT

tt

ud

tt

i

LPSCLSRFSCS

K

TVS

i

τIS

i

τDS

K

τOCFSAPV

1000000

111

)1()1(

)1()1()1(

)1(

Page 34: Over wive international finance

34

APV Example A US-based International Diesel

Corporation (IDS-US) is evaluating whether to build a diesel engine plant in the UK (IDS-UK). The estimated project after tax operating cash flows in millions GBP are below.

YEAR

0 1 2 3 4 5 5+

-26.5 2.2 3.3 5.6 6.3 6.3 19.0

The optimal capital structure is 80% equity and 20% debt. GBP is expected to depreciate by 2% per year vis-à-vis USD. Depreciation is 5 million GBP during first 5 years. Today's exchange rate is USD/GBP $2.00. The applicable marginal tax rate in the UK and US 40%, borrowing rate in USD is 8% and 10% in GBP, the unlevered cost of equity is 12%. IDS borrows in the US market to finance the project.

Should IDS undertake the project?

Page 35: Over wive international finance

35

APV Example Exchange rates.

FX(t+1)=0.98*FX(t) YEAR

0 1 2 3 4 5 5+

$2.00

$ cash flows. $CF = FX(t) * GBP CF(t)

YEAR

0 1 2 3 4 5 5+

Present value. Use CF and NPV worksheets.

Present value =

Page 36: Over wive international finance

36

APV Example Depreciation tax shield = D(t) *

tax * FX(t). PV @ 8% = YEAR

0 1 2 3 4 5

n/a

Interest write-off tax shield

Page 37: Over wive international finance

37

Risk Adjustment in the Capital Budgeting Process

Clearly risk and return are correlated. ____________ risk may exist along side of business

risk, necessitating an adjustment in the discount rate. Systematic risk is reflected by Kud. Therefore, if a

project is riskier than average firm’s project, __________ Kud, or if less risky, _________ Kud by 2-3% or so.

Page 38: Over wive international finance

38

Sensitivity Analysis In the APV model, each cash flow has a probability

distribution associated with it. Hence, the realized value may be different from what was

expected. In sensitivity analysis, ___________ estimates are used for

expected inflation rates, cost and pricing estimates, and other inputs for the APV to give the manager a more complete picture of the planned capital investment.

Page 39: Over wive international finance

39

Real Options The application of options pricing theory to the

evaluation of investment options in real projects is known as real options. A timing option is an option on when to make the

investment. A growth option is an option to increase the scale

of the investment. A suspension option is an option to temporarily

cease production. An abandonment option is an option to quit the

investment early.