overview of 3g mobile systems in the asia pac region

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Sophia Univ. T. Hattori Takeshi Hattori Sophia University, Japan E-mail: [email protected] "Overview of 3rd Generation mobile communication Systems in Asia Pacific Regions" ICC2000 21 June, 2000

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Page 1: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Takeshi Hattori

Sophia University, Japan

E-mail: [email protected]

"Overview of 3rd Generation mobilecommunication Systemsin Asia Pacific Regions"

ICC2000

21 June, 2000

Page 2: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

- Market growth of mobile communications

in Asia

- IMT-2000 general description

- Status in China and Korea

- IMT-2000 standardization in Japan

- Future prospect of mobile computing in

Japan

Contents

Page 3: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Physical users in million

2000 2005 2010

Europe, EU15 113 200 260

North America 127 190 220

Asia Pacific 2 149 400 850

Rest of the world 37 150 400

Total 426 940 1730

World-Wide Mobile Market Forecast

(UMTS Forum - Report No.8)

Asia Pacific has the most potential in terms of market scale.

The number of users is now estimated to reach 850 millions in 2010.

Page 4: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Projected Distribution of World Cellular Subscriber

North America 17%

Asia-Pacific 35%

Western Europe 30%

Latin America 8%

Eastern Europe 5%

Africa 3%

Middle East 2%

NorthAmerica

17%

Asia Pacific35%

WesternEurope

30%

Latin America 8%

Eastern Europe 5%

Base by region as year of 2004

Page 5: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

250

200

150

100

50

0

Subs in Miliion

Region

Middle East

Africa

Eastern Europe

Latin America

North America

Westerm Europe

Asia-Pacific

Projected Cumulative Subscriber Base by Region

1994-2004

Asia-Pacific region will have more than 200 million

subscriber from 1994 to 2004.

Page 6: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Distribution of Cellular Subscriber Base by Country

% share

Japan

China

Korea

Australia

Taiwan

Hong Kong

Malaysia

Thailand

Philippines

India

Others

Japan

41.7%

China

22.7%

Korea

5.5%

Australia4.4%

Taiwan 2.7%

Strategy Group 1998

Asia-Pacific region

Page 7: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

PDC

GSM

CDMA

TACS

PHS

AMPS

NMT

TDMA

Others

Distribution of Cellular subscriber Base by Technology

PDC35.1%

GSM34.1%

CDMA13.1%

TACS6.5%

PHS5.6%

AMPS4.4%

Strategy Group 1998

Asia-Pacific region

Page 8: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Cellular/3G Penetration 1998 and 2003 in Asia

32.3%

21.8%

8.1%3.6%

9.5%2.0%

24.4%11.2%

39.6%18.9%

53.5%

55.1%

58.3%26.5%

62.3%29.8%

64.5%35.6%

68.7%42.4%

20031998

Thailand

China

Malaysia

New Zealand

Taiwan

Australia

Singapore

Korea

Japan

Hong Kong

Country

Strategy Group 1998

Page 9: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

- Higher quality of mobile phone

- International roaming capability

- Multimedia services of voice, data and video

- Seamless service capability with VHE concept.

- Service integration of terestial and satellite

service

Objectives of IMT-2000

Page 10: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Scenario for mobile communications in IMT-2000

BS

A or

B

RP

MS

CX

MS

R1

R1R1

R1=R2 (1)

PS

PS

CSR2

R2

R2

R2

R2P B X

A A or B

R2

PS

PS

PS

CS

CS

CS

CS

MS

PTM

PS

R2

R1 BS

A or B

R1

PS

MS

PSMS

CS

R2

AA or

B

R2R2

CSPS

PSPS

PS

PS

CS

W P

P B S

(2)

R4

MS MS PS

R3R3

R2

* R1 to R7 interfaces have been defined.

* R1 is for Vehicular and R2 is for Pedestrian environment.

* R1 and R2 may be merged into one interface.

Page 11: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Requirements of transmission capability

3 8 4 k b p s3 8 4 k b p s1 4 4 k b p s

3 8 4 k b p s3 8 4 k b p s1 2 8 k b p s

P a c k e t

C i r c u i t

O - E n v i r o n m e n tP - E n v i r o n m e n tV - E n v i r o n m e n t

* Step I

s a m e s a m e 2 . 0 4 8 M b p s

1 . 5 3 6 M b p ss a m es a m e

P a c k e t

C i r c u i t

O - E n v i r o n m e n tP - E n v i r o n m e n tV - E n v i r o n m e n t

* Step II

Page 12: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Proposal for ITU-R of IMT-2000 Radio Access

Country Proposal AssociationEnvironment

CommentI-E P-E V-E S-E

Japan W-CDMA ARIB 4.096 Mcps

Europe UTRA: W-CDMA ETSI SMG2 4.096 Mcps FDD, TDD

DECT EP DECT

USA UWC-136 TIA TR45.3 TDMA Packet

cdma2000 TIA TR45.5 3.684 Mcps

WIMS W-CDMA TIA TR46 Shilling, AT&T

NA W-CDMA T1P1

Korea CDMA I TTA cdma2000

CDMA II TTA

China TD-CDMA CATT

Synchronous CDMA

Europe SW-CDMA ESA W-CDMA

SW-CTDMA ESA CDMA/TDMA

ICO-RTT ICO Global Com. ICO

Korea SAT-CDMA TTA LEO

Inmarsat Horizons Inmarusat GEO

Page 13: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

USA

MSS : Mobi le Satel l i te Services Reserve40 MHz

1850 1910 1930 1990 2110 2150 2165 2200 MHz

A15

D5

B15

E5

F5

A15

D5

B15

E5

Unlicensed

20MHz

C15

F5

C15 MSS MSS

2025

1980 2010 2025 2110 2170 2200 MHz1885 1900 1920

DECT UMTS UMTS MSS MSS

Europe

UMTS

FDD FDDTDD

1980 2010 2025 2110 2170 2200 MHz1885 1920

IMT-2000 MSS MSS

Japan

IMT-2000

1893.5 1919.6

PHS

FDD FDDTDD

IMT2000

UMTS

Frequency Assignment of IMT-2000

R

MSSRR

R

MSSRWLLCellular

China

Page 14: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

The operators Harmonization Group (OHG) has reached

an agreement.

1. FDD mode 1 - Direct Sequence (ETSI UTRA supported by ARIB)

2. FDD mode 2 - Multi-Carrier (TIA cdma 2000)

3. TDD mode - TD/CDMA (ETSI UTRA)

Globally harmonized 3 G W-CDMA standard

Page 15: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

IMT-2000 Harmonization

Flexible Connection Between Core Network

and Radio Access Network

Network - Network

Interfaces

Evolved

GSM(MAP)

Evolved

ANSI-41

IP-based

Networks

IMT-DS

W-CDMA(UTRA FDD)

Direct Spread

IMT-MS

CDMA2000

Multi Carrier

IMT-TC

UTRA TDD

Time Code

IMT-SC

UWC-136

Single Carrier

IMT-FT

DECT

Frequency

Time

Page 16: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

=< 150 ms10-5 - 10-8

=< 150 ms10-5 - 10-8

=< 150 ms10-5 - 10-8

=< 200 ms10-5 - 10-8

< 20-300 ms10-3 - 10-7

< 20-300 ms10-3 - 10-7

< 20-300 ms10-3 - 10-7

< 400 ms10-3 - 10-7

Non-realtimeRealtimeEnvironment

Indoor/low speed:< 10 km/h

Urban/ :< 120 km/h

Rural:< 500 km/h

Satellite:< 1000 km/h

Service Quality discussed in 3GPP

Page 17: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Connection of Core Network and RTT

L3,MM,CC

(WCDMA)

L3,MM,CC

(cdma2000)

L3 RRC(WCDMA)

L2(WCDMA)

L1(WCDMA as per Section 2)

L3,MM,CC

(cdma2000)

L3,MM,CC

(WCDMA)

L3 RRC(cmda2000)

L2(cmda2000)

L1( cmda2000as per Section 2)

HOOKS

HOOKS

HOOKS

EXTENSION

EXTENSION

EXTENSION

Direct Spread Mode Multi-Carrier Mode

ANSI 41GSM MAPGSM MAP ANSI 41

HOOKS

HOOKS

HOOKS

EXTENSION

EXTENSION

EXTENSION

Page 18: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Status of mobile communications in China

- China telecom and China unicom

- 43 millon subs. in 1999 and 60 million subs. in 2000

- More than 90% is shared by China Telecom GSM

- The lowest monthly charge of RMB 50 (US5$) per month and lowest

usage charge of RMB0.40 (US 5 cent)/minute in the world.

- Many trials of CDMA in Beijing, Shanghai and other cities by China

Unicom with the supports of Motorola, Lucent Samsung and Nortel.

Page 19: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

- TD-SCDMA proposal for IMT-2000 by CATT

- 100 MHz will be available for TS-SCDMA system

- TD-SCDMA is now discussed in 3GGP for system integration.

- Field trial tests in Biding conducted by CATT with NTT DoCoMo

and Ericsson for the demonstration of W-CDMA.

IMT-2000 status in China

CATT : China Academy o Telecommunications Technology

TD-SCDMA : Time Division Synchronous / Smart / Software-radio CDMA

R

MSS

R

MSSWLLCellular

China

1920 1945

R

2010 2025

R

2110 2170

R

Page 20: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Status of mobile communications in Korea

- SK Telecom, Shinsegi Telecom Inc. and 3 PCS operators.

- Most advanced country in cdma introduction.

- cdmaOne with 800 MHz and 1900 MHz.

- 14 million subs in 1998 and 23 million subs. in 1999.

- Fleetel has made field trial test of HDR..

Page 21: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

- TTA proposal I (W- CDMA  based) and proposal II ( cdma2000 based)

- SK Telecom has finished field trials of W-CDMA with NTT DoCoMo,

NEC and Ericsson by Dec., 1999.

- DACOM has made an agreement with Japan telecom for field trials.

- Consortium has been established with 60 companies joining for the

development of IMT-2000.

- SK Telecom will introduce IMT-2000 by Feb., 2002.

IMT-2000 status in Korea

Page 22: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Deployment of mobile communications in Japan

1st Generation1979-1991

2nd Generation1992-2000

3rd Generation2001-

PDC-800

PDC-1500

W-CDMA/FDD-2000

by DoCoMo

cdma2000-2000

by KDDI 1992*J-Phone*Digital Tu-Ka*Tu-Ka Cellular

PDC-800

cdmaOne

PDC-1500

1987/1988*NTT-800/IDO*TACS-800/DDI W-CDMA/FDD-2000

by J-Phone

1979NTT-800/NTT

Page 23: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

NTT DoCoMo

J-Phone

Cellular-G

IDO

TU-KA

NTTDoCoMo29.99 m

J-Phone8.42 m

DDI Cellular6.28 m

IDO3.92 m

TU-KA3.56 m

Market Share of Japanese Cellular Operators

52.19 millions as of April 2000

Page 24: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Growth of cellular subscribers in Japan

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99.1 99.7 00.5

year

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100millions

Digital ratio

Page 25: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Growth of PHS subscriber in Japan

Astel G

DDI-P

NTT-P

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

95.7 95.9 95.12 96.3 96.9 96.11 97.2 97.9 97.12 98.3 98.9 98.12 99.3 99.9

year

millions

Page 26: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

0

20

40

60

80

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

[千万台]

Fixed telephone

Mobilephone

ISDN

Page 27: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Standardization of IMT-2000 in Japan

* Interim report for IMT-2000 by MPT in Sept. 1999

W-CDMA and cdma2000 have been recommended.

MPTRadio system and Frequency assignmentLicensing

ARIBRadio Interface and protocol

TTCNetwork System and Interface

3GPPW-CDMAGSM-MAP

3GPP2M-CDMAANSI-41

* Interim report for IMT-2000 by MPT in Sept. 1999

W-CDMA and cdma2000 have been recommended.

Page 28: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

* 60 x 2 MHz has been allocated for IMT-2000.

* 5 MHz band adjacent with PHS will not assigned initially due to

interference.

* 3 operators will licensed for IMT-2000 by beauty contest and not

by auction.

* Initially 5 MHz band will be assigned to each operator and

up to 15 MHz will be added depending upon deployment status.

* 20 MHz will be assigned finally after resolving the interference.

Frequency Assignment and Licensing Policy in Japan

1980 2010 2025 2110 2170 2200 MHz1885 1920

IMT-2000 MSS MSS

Japan

IMT-2000

1893.5 1919.6

PHS

FDD FDDTDD

IMT

2000

op1 op2 op3 op1 op2 op3

Page 29: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

PDC Air

PDC RAN PDC CN

IWF

A IMT-2000NNI

IMT-2000Air

IMT-2000 CN

GSM Evolution

IMT-2000 CNANSI-41 Evolution

IMT-2000 RAN

cdma2000A

IWF

IMT-2000NNI

IMT-2000 RAN

W-CDMA

Interwork of PDC and 3 G system in Japan

Page 30: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Field Trials and Potential Licensing in Japan

Field Trials

Early to mid 1999

Potential Licensing

* NTT DoCoMo- W-CDMA

* Japan Telecom- W-CDMA

* KDD - W-CDMA

* DDI/ IDO - cdma2000

* NTT DoCoMo- W-CDMA

* J-Phone - W-CDMA

* KDDI - M-CDMA

Page 31: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

PHS

Cellular

Future Prospected Subscriber of Cellular and PHS in Japan

80 Million Subscriber in year of 2003

Source: MPCP2000 report

Page 32: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

9000

8000

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Voice

Data

Mobile computing users vs. mobile phone users

The number of mobile computing users is estimated to be

52.92 million, 66.1% in 2003.

Source: MPCP2000 report

Page 33: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

10

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

million $

Year1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

contents fee

video

data

male

Market estimation of mobile computing in Japan

The market will be 8 billion $ in 2003.

Source: MPCP2000 report

Page 34: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

million $

Year1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

contents fee

video

wireless terminal

note computer

Market estimation of mobile computing

The market will reach up to 8 billion $ in 2003.

Source: MPCP2000 report

Page 35: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

Mobile Communication Service Deployment

Transmission Rate (bps)

100 k 1 M10 k1 k

Short mailE-mail

Web Access

E-mail

Content Access

Video and PictureFAX

Web Access

File Transfer

High quality picture and motion video

2nd Generation

3rd Generation

1st Generation

Page 36: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

HTML: HyperText Markup

Language

TCP/IP: ransmission control

protocol/internet protocol

WML: Wireless Markup Language

WWW: world wide web

Mobile Net Internet

Wireless Internet network configuration

TCP/IP

Specific Protocol

WWW Server

C-HTMLHTML

WML

Mobile phones

Gate way

Page 37: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

99.12

MML

PDC-circuit

J-PHONE

J-sky

99.2

PDC-Packet

C-HTML

NTT DoCoMo

i-mode

99.4

PDC-circuit

cdmaOne-Packet

HDML/WML

IDODDI-TU-KA

EZAccessEZweb

Commercializa

tion

Transmission

Descpt.lang

Operator

Service

Wireless Internet access in Japan

5 million subscribers of i-mode followed by EZweb/EZaccess and J-sky

Page 38: Overview of 3G Mobile Systems in the Asia Pac Region

Sophia Univ. T. Hattori

* High Quality Voice

* Data base access

* Streamline Video / Interactive Video

* Message service

* Location service

* music down load with MP3

* Game

* Mobile banking

* Mobile e-commerce 

Mobile Multimedia Services in the future

It is expected that mobile terminal will act as a major role

for the future mobile multimedia service.