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Logan JONES – Runway Safety Specialist 20 November 2017 Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics

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Page 1: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

Logan JONES – Runway Safety Specialist 20 November 2017

Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics

Page 2: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958-2016

20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium 2

RE LOC-I ARC SCF CFIT

Page 3: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958-2016

20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium 3

Hul

l Los

s Fa

tal

64%

27%

9%

Veer-Off Overrun Undershoot

10 year moving average Runway Excursion rate by aircraft generation per million flights

Page 4: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

Focus on Runway Overruns

20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium 4

Reported events on Airbus aircraft since 2005 • Average of 3 events per year • 80% of events with weather as contributor

VISIBILITY 31%

WET/ CONTAMINATED

74% TAILWIND

45%

Every deviation counts in a landing distance.

Page 5: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

Focus on Runway Veer-Offs

20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium 5

Reported events on Airbus aircraft since 2005 • Average of 7 events per year • 75% of events with weather as contributor

VISIBILITY 39%

WET/ CONTAMINATED

50% CROSSWIND

32%

High CROSSWIND • Know the AFM limits and • Reduced limits recommended if runway wet or

contaminated

Low Visibility • Loss of visual contact with runway or approach

lights, below minima Go Around

Brief combinations of weather hazards Use Correct technique

Page 6: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

Focus on Undershoots

20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium 6

Reported events on Airbus aircraft since 2005 • Average less than 1 event per year • 7 events with weather identified as contributor:

o Wind shear, Downburst, Thunderstorm o Fog, Mist, Heavy rain, Drifting Snow

• Majority of events were non precision approaches

Weather as a Contributor

78%

Aircraft Guidance - xLS Landing System concept • Common procedures and symbology for

almost all types of approach • ILS « look alike » guidance for Non

Precision Approach • Precision approach capability when no

ILS

SOP and training - Respect the minima…keep visual at or below minimum…if not go around

Page 7: Overview of Runway Excursion Statistics 3/P3... · 2017-11-20 · A statistical Analysis of Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958- 2016 . 3 . 20 NOV 2017 ICAO Global Runway Safety Symposium

Thank you