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TRANSCRIPT
Wind Power Development in Wind Power Development in PakistanPakistan
29th February, 2012
2
HISTORIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND
ENERGY SITUATION IN PAKISTANENERGY SITUATION IN PAKISTAN(FROM A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE)(FROM A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE)
Total Population: 180 MillionElectricity Available to: 61% (70 Million without power) Natural Gas Available to: 21% (140 Million without piped gas)Diesel Imports 4.5 Million Tones (50%)Yet there is shortages of Gas and Electricity leading to load shedding.
ENERGY DEMAND TO GROW FASTER:Pakistan has amongst the worlds highest and fastest rising urbanization. Under 15 population 39%, pointing to spurt rather than gradual increase in energy demandHigher Economic and population growth, with highest rate of Urbanisation
AFFECTING AGRICULTURE, INDUSTRY, COMMERCETubewells, Transport, Fish-farms, Industry and commerce effected
POOR PAYING THE MOSTPoor are paying 5-7 time more for their fuel costs than those in the cities,Increase in prices of modern commercial fuel, its lack of availability is forcing the consumer to step down on the energy ladder to biomass.
Needed Power Capacity Needed Power Capacity 2007–2030 (Countrywide)2007–2030 (Countrywide)
1888324474
36217
54359
80566
113695
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MW
Years
Annual Growth Percentage = 8%
Source of Growth Rate : PEPCO , P&D Div
PEPCO (Thermal)
24%
WAPDA (Hydel)32%Nuclear
2%
IPPs(Thermal)31%
KESC(Thermal)9%
Rental & SPP2%
Thermal (Oil and Gas) - 66%Hydel & Nuclear - 34%
Why Alternative Energy For Why Alternative Energy For Pakistan?Pakistan?
Reduced dependence on Imported Oil:2011 Oil Import Bill: $11+ Billion 60% of the total Export Earnings 2015 Oil Import Bill US $ 38 Billion (ADB Estimate)200% of the National Export Earnings
Renewable Energy Potential: Wind*: 346,000 MW Solar*: 2.9 Million MW Hydro : 58,000 MW Bagasse : 2,000 MW Waste to Energy: 2,000 MW Geothermal 2500 MW Off-Grid Application:10,000 MW Alternate Fuels Large TBD
Energy Source
Cost/Unit
Waste-to-Energy
5 -8 Cents
Small Hydro 6 – 9 Cents
Wind 14 Cents
Solar 20+ Cents
RFO (Thermal)
Expensive*
*dependant on fuel oil prices
Alternative Energy Development Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB)Board (AEDB)
(Act 2010)(Act 2010)
Wind Resource in PakistanWind Resource in Pakistan
350,000 MW National Potential
50,000 MW in Sindh
Sites in Baluchistan, Punjab and Northern Areas being identified.
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WIND MEASURING SITES IN SIND
Wind Measuring Masts Gharo
Wind Corridor
BHAMBORE JHAMPIR
KHUTTIKUN
Area Where Wind Power
Projects Are Being Executed(Jhimpir)
Land Allocation - Jhimpir
Created Enabling Environment: Feed-in-Tariff as well as Cost Plus tariff with Wind risk available Grid Code Amended for Wind Power Streamlined Land Issues by developing standardized documentation which included specific
statement of conditions for Wind Projects
Created Lender / Investor Confidence ADB Counter Guarantee in place Regained Lenders Confidence – OPIC supporting 4, IFC, ADB and IDB 6 Projects. Lender Acceptable Standardized the Project Documents (PPA / IA / Wheeling) available Regional Environment Impact Analysis, approved by donors available to investors
Reduced Lead Times And EPC Contract From Turbine Manufacturers All major turbine manufacturers now offering 4-6 months delivery and EPC contract
Encouraged Local Manufacturing DESCON now producing Wind Masts for Nordix Machines. HIT negotiating Turbine Assembly.
Expanding Wind Corridors New corridors identified. New wind masts installed Sindh, Baluchistan and Punjab through
UNDP asst.
Creating Enabling Environment
Resource Risk - responsibility of GoP Guaranteed Electricity Purchase Grid provision is the responsibility of the purchaser Attractive Tariff (17%-18% ROE) Attractive Feed-in Tariff (US Cents 14.66/kWh) Counter Guarantee by the ADB Special Incentives by the State bank for upto 20 MW
plants Free Repatriation of Profits No Import Duties on Equipment Zero Sales Tax Net Metering Banking of Electricity Wheeling Provisions Grid Spill Over Concept introduced Carbon Credits
Fast Track Projects Policy being implemented for COD by March 2013
49.5 MW Wind Power Project of FFC Energy Limited under construction
56.4 MW Wind Power Project of Zorlu Enerji under construction
Construction / civil works at 49.5 MW wind project of M/s Three Gorges Pakistan
Progress Status of First 550 MW WPPs
Name of ProjectCapacity
(MW)
Project Cost
(Million USD)
Expected Financial
CloseExpected
Completion Cumulative
1 Fauji Fertilizer 50 133.56Under
Construction 11-Jun 12-Sep 50 MW
2 Zorlu Enerji Pak 56 143.60 Under
Construction 12-Mar 12-Nov 106 MW
3 Three Gorges 50 134.75Under
Construction 12-Jun 12-Nov 156 MW
4 Foundation 1 50 128.69-Awaiting
Tariff 12-Mar 13-Mar 206 MW
5 Foundation 2 50 128.70-Awaiting
Tariff 12-Mar 13-Mar 256 MW
6 Lucky Energy 50 132.53-Tariff
Received- 12-Apr 13-Apr 306 MW
7 Sapphire Power 50 128.87-Awaiting
Tariff- 12-Jun 13-Jun 356 MW
8 Tenaga Generasi 50 129.67 -do- 12-Jun 13-Jun 406 MW
9 Metro Power 50 132.56 -do- 12-May 13-May 456 MW
10 Master Energy 50 133.68 -do- 12-Aug 13-Aug 506 MW
11 Gul Ahmed 50 132.87 -do- 12-Jun 13-Jun 556 MW
List of Fast Track Wind Power ProjectsSr. No. Company Name Project Capacity
1. NBT Wind Power (Norway) 500 MW
2. Titan Energy Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 MW
3. Tapal Wind Energy (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 MW4. Ismail Power Limited 10 MW5. Fina Energy (Turkey) 250 MW
6. FFC Energy 100 MW
7. Japan Green Power (Japan) 50 MW
8. Associate Technologies 100 MW
9. Anadulo Wind Pakistan 50 MW
10. China Sunnec Energy (Pvt.) Ltd 50 MW11 System Wind Energy (Turkey) 50 MW12. Hydro China 300 MW
13. HZ Wind Power (CHINA) 100 MW
1582.4 MW
Pakistan: Investors Choice Destination
Norway, Turkey, Iran, GermanyUSA, China and Japan
2012: 500 MW 2013: 800 MW 2014 +: 1000 ++
Next Focus: Indigenous Manufacturing
Renewable Target 2020: 9700 MW
Wind Sector is attracting the largest investment of any sectors in Pakistan
Come invest in the Pakistan Wind Sector
•Wind Risk•Project Site Availability•Feed in Tariff•Standard Agreements•ADB Counter Guarantee•Free Repatriation•Extraordinary Returns•Special Incentives for local Manufacturer
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