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  • 8/7/2019 Palestine Papers Olmert Offer

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    The Palestine Papers as published by Al Jazeera represent only a relatively1

    small number of the Palestinian Authority (P.A.) documents that exist on the peace process.

    As Khaled Elgindy (an advisor at the Palestinian Negotiations Support Unit from 2004 to 2009

    and a key participant in the Annapolis negotiations) stated when he spoke at the Palestine Center

    in Washington D.C. on February 11, 2011, it is a useful but limited snapshot of what actually

    occurred. http://sabbah.biz/mt/archives/2011/02/17/the-palestine-papers-fallout/.

    www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221;2

    http://www.aljazeerah.info/Opinion%20Editorials/2011/March/8%20o/Till%20September,%20A

    re%20the%20PA's%20Deadlines%20Meaningless,%20A%20Reply%20By%20Saeb%20Erakat.

    htm.

    E.g. Bernard Avishai, A Plan for Peace That Still Could Be (New York Times,3

    February 7, 2008).

    The Palestine Papers and the 2008 Olmert Offer

    By Staff, Christians for Fair Witness on the Middle East

    March, 16 2011

    Executive Summary

    Earlier this year Al Jazeera released the Palestine Papers -- nearly 1,700 files of documents

    authored by Palestinian negotiators and advisors, memorializing a decade of Israeli/Palestinian peace

    talks. Christians for Fair Witness on the Middle East has carefully reviewed the Palestine Papers,1

    including those documents concerning the comprehensive peace offer Israeli Prime Minister (PM)

    Ehud Olmert made in 2008.

    There has been a good deal of hype and sensationalism surrounding the media coverage of the

    Palestine Papers. Therefore, it is important for the public to read the documents for themselves

    when making any assessment of the course of the actual negotiations.

    Some news reports and articles about the Palestine Papers have fail[ed] to differentiate between

    official positions and explorations or polemical rhetoric during the course of negotiations . . . as

    former chief Palestinian negotiator Dr. Saeb Erekat wrote in a recent article. In the words of Dr.2

    Erekat, the Palestine papers have not revealed a single official agreement or document that offers

    concessions. (Id.) We agree.

    In spite of claims by some commentators that there were far reaching proposals on each side, the3

    Palestine Papers indicate that Palestinian Authority (P.A.) President Mahmoud Abbas did not

    make a counter-offer to Olmerts package offer and so ultimately the possibility of a final status

    agreement in 2008 was allowed to die.

    http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.
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    E.g.4

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/ehud-olmert-still-dreams-of-peace/story-e6frg76f

    -1225804745744;

    http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/haaretz-exclusive-olmert-s-plan-for-peace-with-the-p

    alestinians-1.1970.

    2

    I. According to the Palestine Papers, PM Olmerts Initial Offer was Presented to

    President Abbas on August 31, 2008

    An August 31, 2008 memo entitled Summary of Ehud Olmerts Package Offer to Mahmoud

    Abbas - August 31, 2008 is described as a:

    Summary on Israels package offer to the Palestinians, including

    detailed maps of land swaps in Israel and Jerusalem. The summary

    includes offers on territory, Jerusalem, refugees and security. Israel

    would annex 6.8% of the West Bank, and safe passage between Gaza

    and West Bank would be under Israeli sovereignty. Sovereignty over

    the Holy Basin would be delayed to a later stage. On refugees, Israel

    would acknowledge the suffering of but not responsibility for

    Palestinian refugees. No mention is made of security.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736

    With regard to the refugees:

    Israel would take in 1,000 refugees per year for a period of 5

    years on humanitarian grounds. (Id.)

    This memo indicates the Palestinians were aware of the details of Ehud Olmerts package offer

    for a final status agreement including detailed maps, on August 31, 2008.

    For the most part, this version of the offer is in agreement with details released by Olmert, the only

    real distinction being the status of the Holy Basin. According to Olmert, he proposed (on September

    16, 2008) that, as part of his package offer, while Jewish neighborhoods in Jerusalem would be underIsraeli sovereignty and Arab neighborhoods under Palestinian sovereignty, the Holy Basin would be

    under some sort of international control -- Israeli, Palestinian, U.S., Saudi and Jordanian. But4

    according to the Palestinian memo, The issue [of the Holy Basin] would continue to be negotiated

    bilaterally between Israel and Palestine with the involvement of the United States, Saudi Arabia,

    Jordan and Egypt, but without the ability of these third parties to force an agreement on the parties.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736
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    Ehud Olmert Still Dreams of Peace, The Australian, September 28, 20095

    (http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/ehud-olmert-still-dreams-of-peace/story-e6frg76f-1225804745744).

    Saeb Erekat was the head Palestinian negotiator until his resignation in February6

    2011.

    Hala Rashed is identified in the memo as a Legal Advisor to the NSU.7

    3

    II. Once PM Olmert Revealed his Package Offer to President Abbas, Lower Level

    Negotiations Become Irrelevant to that Offer

    Israeli/Palestinian negotiations took place on two tracks. One was meetings among senior negotiators

    and aides to the leaders. The other track was private one-on-one meetings between Abbas andOlmert.

    Under the terms of the Joint Understanding on the Negotiations at Annapolis (November 27, 2007),

    Prime Minister Ehud Olmert represented the Government of the State of Israel and President

    Mahmoud Abbas in his capacity as Chairman of the PLO Executive Committee and President of the

    Palestinian Authority represented the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO).

    Therefore, only Olmert and Abbas had the authority to bind the respective parties whom they

    represented and once an offer was made by one, only the other had the authority to respond by

    accepting or rejecting it or issuing a counter-offer.

    III. The Only Meeting that President Abbas had with PM Olmert Subsequent to August

    31st was on September 16, 2008

    According to the Palestine Papers, subsequent to receiving the package offer memorialized in the

    August 31, 2008 memo, Abbas only met with Olmert one more time -- on September 16, 2008.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106. This is also in agreement with details offered

    by Olmert.5

    A. The Palestinians Appear to have Decided Prior to the September 16th

    Meeting that Abbas would Not Issue a Counteroffer at that Meeting

    In a memo dated September 9, 2008, containing a string of emails between Saeb Erekat and members6

    of the Palestinian Negotiations Support Unit ( NSU), Hala Rashed wrote:7

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106
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    Abu Mazen ( Mahmoud Abbas).8

    Ehud Olmert.9

    United Nations General Assembly.10

    Saeb Erekat.

    11

    FAPS is an acronym for Framework Agreement on Permanent Status. The FAPS12

    goes back to the Oslo/Camp David era. The objective of concluding an FAPS was agreed upon byIsrael and the PLO in the Sharm El-Sheik Memorandum (September 4, 1999). It was agreed that the

    FAPS would facilitate the eventual conclusion of the Comprehensive Agreement on Permanent

    Status (CAPS). It was further agreed that these two documents, FAPS and CAPS, would constitute

    the Permanent Status Agreement between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.

    This same memo also states that prior to the 9 , but after August 31 , SE met13 th st

    with Saudis and asked them to tell the US that they could not live without the holy basin/Old

    City. It further states Mubarak said that he dares any Arab leader to advise Pals to accept

    Olmerts proposal, and that At the Arab FM mtg, Pals did not share specifics, percentages or

    numbers about Olmert proposal. However, they secured agreement from Arab states on a

    communique about (1) nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, (2) no interim agreements,

    (3) no partial agreements. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4240

    4

    It is not clear when AM will meet EO to give him AMs response to98

    the proposal. They might meet before or after UNGA. EO may not10

    end up attending the UNGA. SE thinks there are three ways AM11

    could respond: (1) give EO our FAPS, (2) issue general communiqu12

    about Annapolis progress, (3) simply say no to offer. He wants us to

    think up other ways to respond. Whatever we propose, he wants tomake sure that: (a) we are not blamed, (b) negos are uninterrupted,

    and (c) no submission is made that we cannot retract. We will have a

    mtg with SE on Tuesday at 10am to discuss our thinking on this and

    other issues. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/424013

    What these proposed responses reveal is that the Palestinian thinking about the Olmert proposal, at

    least on the Erekat/NSU level, appeared not to have been focused on developing a serious counter-

    offer. Rather, it sought to avoid making any binding commitments as well as being blamed for

    the failure to reach an agreement or for disrupting the negotiations process.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4240http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4240http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4240http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4240
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    Brig. Gen. Udi Dekel was the head of the Israeli negotiations team post-

    14

    Annapolis.

    The next meeting is an apparent reference to the September 16, 2008 meeting15

    between Olmert and Abbas.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.16 (emphasis added)

    5

    A September 10, 2008 memo memorializing a meeting between Saeb Erekat and Udi Dekel says14

    that with regard to the AM-Olmert meeting:

    SE noted that the next meeting was not likely to be one where AM

    gives a decision because he doesnt have enough information. Udi said

    if AM needs more information he should ask Olmert in the nextmeeting.15 http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4050

    The document then contains the following notation:

    [WE MAY WANT TO SHAPE THE QUESTIONS AS ONE

    POSSIBLE RESPONSE] [sic] (Id.)

    A memo dated September 16, 2008 entitled Talking Points and Questions, is self-described as having

    been prepared for Abbas Meeting with Olmert. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.

    The memo consists primarily of a long list of questions mostly about the specifics of Olmerts package

    offer.

    Some of the questions in the September 16 memo appear to be aimed at clarifying Abbas understanding

    of the terms of the offer. If these questions had been posed to Olmert and if he had given forthright

    answers, they could have helped move the peace process forward. Others, however, appear to be more

    along the lines of general argument. For example, with regard to Olmerts offer on territory:

    What is the basis of this demand? What interests are you trying to

    achieve? How do you see it addressing our interests . . . (Id.)

    Some questions just reiterate points that Olmert had already made clear. With regard to refugees for

    example, in spite of the fact that Olmerts proposal clearly stated 1,000 refugees per year for a

    period of 5 years on humanitarian grounds, the September 16th memo poses the following16

    question:

    Regarding the 1000 annually for 5 years: . . . are you proposing

    this will be under the right of return, or on humanitarian grounds

    under your discretion?

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4050http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4050http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.
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    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/473617 (emphasis added)

    While there are later claims to U.S. officials that questions were presented to18

    Olmert and/or the Israelis for clarification: (i) there are no internal memos documenting this; and

    (ii) there are no similar claims made to the Israelis -- i.e. there is no document indicating that the

    Palestinians ever said to the Israelis Abbas submitted questions to Olmert where are the

    answers? The Israelis, of course, would have known if the questions had actually been

    presented to them. See Section VII (D), below.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/332819 .

    6

    Some questions in the memo actually do not appear related to Olmerts offer. For example, in spite of

    the fact that the Palestine Papers clearly reflect that the Palestinians understood that safe passage (i.e.,

    territorial link) between Gaza and the West Bank would be under Israeli sovereignty with

    Palestinian control . . ., the September 16th memo poses the following question:17

    If you are proposing a territorial link, under whose sovereigntywould it fall? Under whose control?

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.

    Accordingly, the September 16, 2008 memo seems not to have been prepared as a serious or final list

    of questions to clarify Olmerts package offer, but rather some sort of internal working document with

    some questions possibly taken from old discussions with negotiators. In any event, there is no indication

    in the Palestine Papers that Abbas posed these or any other questions to clarify Olmerts offer at the

    meeting. 18 http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294. If the meeting was merely ceremonial

    as the Papers indicate (see Section III(B), below), then it seems likely he did not.

    Moreover, a memo dated September 22, 2008 (see Section IV, below) contains many of the same and19

    similar questions as the September 16th memo. This indicates that the questions had not been presented

    to Olmert as of September 16 but rather were still being formulated six days later.

    What also seems clear from the Palestine Papers is that Abbas and Olmert never met again after

    September 16, 2008 and that Abbas never proffered a counter-offer to Olmerts package offer. There

    is not one document indicating a subsequent meeting and not one document outlining a counter-offer

    or indicating that one was ever worked on or proposed in writing or verbally.

    B. The NSU Notes from Abbas Morning Meeting Clarify that Abbas Did Not

    Intend to Make a Counter-Offer at the September 16, 2008 Meeting with Olmert

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736
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    Communications advisor at the NSU.20

    7

    An email from Wassim Khazmo to other NSU members memorializes President Abbas morning20

    meeting on September 16, 2008. It discusses the 8 p.m. meeting Abbas was to have (later that day) with

    Olmert to discuss the package offer, refers to Olmerts media stunts and makes very clear that Abbas

    did not intend to propose a counter-offer at that meeting. It also makes clear that the Palestinians

    considered this a final and ceremonial meeting only and with regard to the Olmert offer did not want

    to be blamed for the failure to reach a final agreement:

    The assessment is that the meeting will be a ceremonial meeting;

    since this will be their last meeting before Olmert leaves office. I

    raised the issue of the leaks again, and how event [sic] the JPost

    article has leaked the 98.1% offer. There was an agreement that

    the article was not very credible, and even though, Olmert tenure

    is over, and the percentages are deceiving. In order to avoid the

    blame game, the President today is going with a positive attitude,

    where he will ask more questions from Olmert on his offer, and he

    will tell him that the Palestinians will respond later.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106

    There is a very detailed map dated September 16, 2008 in the Papers which is the Palestinian

    Projection of Israeli Proposal for Territory, indicating a fairly good understanding of what Olmerts

    proposal on territory was. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301 . There is another detailed

    map also dated September 16, 2008 which is the Palestinian projection of Olmerts proposal specifically

    for Jerusalem, again indicating a good understanding of the proposal .

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299.

    IV. According to the Documents in the Palestine Papers, the Palestinians Did Not Consider

    Olmerts Package Offer a Proposal that Required a Response

    A September 22, 2008 memo entitled Palestinian Talking Points Regarding Israeli Proposal indicates

    that the Palestinians took the position that Olmerts package offer was not an actual proposal to which

    they had to respond:

    Given the significant gaps in what Israel has presented so far in

    terms of meeting the interests of both sides, and the lack of

    completeness in what we have seen, we cannot say honestly that we

    have received any real consider it a proposal. [sic] Therefore wehaving nothing to accept or to reject. , and should not be expected

    to either accept or reject what we dont know.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4106
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    8

    Therefore, we need to know more, particularly on the key core issues,

    from Israel in order to assess their proposal and give our response to it.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328

    The September 22 memo contains a list of general requirements the Palestinians would have for a final

    status agreement. For the most part it is a conglomeration of previous positions the P.A. had held oncore issues. At times it is vague and in draft form. For example, on the issue of refugees:

    An international mechanism should be established [bold this language:

    after a detailed agreement is reached on the above elements. The

    mechanism will serve to manage the implementation of refugees

    rights: to assist in the movement and rehabilitation of refugees and to

    process their restitution and compensation claims. (Id). (emphasis in

    original)

    In some cases, requirements were left uncompleted -- for example, the reference to refugees lacked any

    specific numbers:

    [including ______ refugees per year for a period of ______ years

    to Israel.] (Id.).

    Certain points are clearly meant not as proposals to the Israelis, but rather as starting points or terms of

    reference for negotiations:

    Even if the 1967 line may not be the end point to the territorial

    negotiations, it must be the basis of all claims addressed in the

    agreement (refugees, compensation, etc.). (Id.)

    Thus, all of the requirements listed in the September 22 memo put together would not amount to a

    counter-offer even if they had been presented to Olmert, although the memo may reflect efforts to

    produce an initial working document from which Abbas might have developed a serious counter-offer.

    The memo also contains a long list of questions for clarity on many of the ideas that have been put

    forward so far . . . (Id.) As with the September 16th memo, (see Section III(A), above), some are

    questions which would have been useful to clarify Olmerts offer. Many others, however, are merelyargumentative and cannot be characterized either as questions which could be used to clarify the package

    offer or as counter-offers. E.g.:

    How does Israel propose to reach an agreement on the end of

    conflict without addressing the right of return, as well as the right

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328
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    PLO legal adviser and member of NSU.21

    9

    to restitution? and If the suffering of the refugees is recognized,

    why does Israel refuse to deal with compensation for non-material

    damages? (Id.)

    Again, some questions in the memo do not seem to be connected to, or to take cognizance of, Olmertsoffer. For example, the following question is listed under Issues that require response by Israel:

    If Israel is proposing a territorial link,

    Under whose sovereignty would it fall?

    Under whose control? (Id.)

    Yet, according to the Palestinian memo dated August 31, 2008, the issue of territorial link from the West

    Bank to Gaza had been made very clear to the Palestinians in Ehud Olmerts package offer:

    The safe passage (i.e., territorial link) between Gaza and the

    West Bank would be under Israeli sovereignty with Palestiniancontrol, and is not included in the above percentages.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.

    There are no maps drawn to go along with the September 22 Memo. In fact, while the Palestine Papers

    include detailed maps depicting Olmerts 2008 offer on territory, nowhere in the Palestine Papers is there

    a map -- detailed or otherwise-- depicting a Palestinian counter-offer.

    Thus, it is very clear that whatever this memo is, and however it was put together and for whatever

    purpose, it was not a counter-offer.

    And just like the September 16, 2008 memo, there is no evidence in the Palestine Papers that this memowas ever finalized into the form of a counter-offer, or delivered to Olmert in any form. In fact, after

    September 2008, the Palestinians continued to take the position that the Olmert package offer was not

    a proposal that warranted a counter-offer.

    An October 5, 2008 email from Zeinah Salahi summarizes a meeting between Saeb Erekat and Udi21

    D e k e l w h e r e i n t h e t w o d i s c u s s t h e O l m e r t p a c k a g e p r o p o s a l .

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4115. Erekat made reference to a Palestinian proposal

    on territory, and noted that this was the first time they showed flexibility on the majority of the

    Jerusalem settlements, but Udi Dekel pointed out that this was not a counter-proposal offered by Abbas

    to Olmerts package proposal, but rather positions that had been previously taken by the Palestinian

    negotiators. According to the email, Dekel told Erekat:

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4115.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4115.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736.
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    A comprehensive package proposal need not be in writing. When Bill Clinton22

    issued the take it or leave it Clinton Parameters to Yasser Arafat and Ehud Barak in December

    2000, they were not in writing. (See Clinton, Bill,My Life (Vintage Books. 2005) at pp. 936-

    937 ; Dennis Ross,A Missing Peace: The Inside Story of the Fight for Middle-East Peace

    (Farrar, Straus and Giroux - June 2005) at pp. 809- 813.)

    Mr. Elgindy was an advisor at the Palestinian Negotiations Support Unit from23

    2004 to 2009 and a key participant in the Annapolis negotiations.

    10

    What youve [i.e. palis] [sic] put forward are just your positions

    repackaged and not reflective of the negotiations. (Id.)

    According to Mr. Salahis email UD [Udi Dekel] clearly thinks that most of the substance was

    happening between AM and Olmert. (Id.)

    And when Erekat argued that Olmert had not given Abbas anything in writing and noted that it was

    ridiculous to think any decisions could be made with nothing submitted in writing, Mr. Dekels22

    response was This is the leaders not the NSU they dont need details. They need to agree in theory

    and then get the details . . . (Id.) Saeb Erekat also argued that Constructive ambiguity gets you no

    where and gave as an example How do you expect palis [Palestinians] to make a decision if we have

    no idea how you define the holy basin. (Id.)

    An internal Palestinian memo dated December 22, 2008, which describes meetings with various U.S.

    officials refers to Olmerts purported offer, indicating that by the end of December the Palestinians

    were still not characterizing Olmerts comprehensive proposal as a legitimate offer.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664

    V. The Palestine Papers Reveal that Abbas was Being Advised Not to Respond to Olmerts

    Offer

    Khaled Elgindy wrote an advisory email dated October 6, 2008 which included potential23

    recommendations for AM. Mr. Elgindys advice was for Abbas to delay negotiations until George

    Bush was out of the White House. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4113.

    First Elgindy notes that:

    It is now clear that the Bush Administration does not expect an

    agreement before Jan. 09, and that the goal between now and then is to

    maintain momentum and a proper transition to the next Admin. (Id.)

    Elgindy goes on to explain that because Condoleeza Rice wanted an Israeli-Palestinian final status

    agreement before the end of Bushs term she would have to be neutralize[d]:

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4113http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4113http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664
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    This appears to be a reference to the territory negotiating committee and Mr.24

    Elgindy appears to be taking the position that because PM Olmert did not give President Abbas a

    copy of the Israeli-drawn map depicting Olmerts offer, there is nothing [for the Palestinian

    negotiators] to discuss, presumably including trying to develop a counter-offer for the territory

    portion of the package offer.

    11

    We can therefore conclude that Rice is basically alone in thinking an

    agreement can be reached by Jan. 09. This is consistent with what I heard

    from CM, who confirmed that Rice does not have the support of her

    senior staff. However, the fact that Rice is alone does not mean she cant

    still do damage, even after Jan. 09. In which case, it will still be necessaryto neutralize (though not necessarily block) Rice on some level. (Id.)

    Elgindy apparently did not want Abbas to have any further meetings with PM Olmert, advising instead

    to:

    Continue to engage at the Abu Mazen-Livni level at the current pace (1

    mtg/month = ~3 meetings by Jan. 09). (Id.)

    Elgindy made the following specific recommendations for how the Palestinians should proceed:

    Allow Technical committees to engage as needed (i.e., at the discretion of

    the committee heads), but without forcing them to do so (e.g., Territory

    has nothing to discuss without being allowed to see the Israeli map).24

    Intensify diplomatic outreach efforts both domestically and abroad,

    particularly with key governments (US, Europe, Arab states),

    highlighting: (a) facts on the ground (settlement expansion, closures, etc.),

    as well as (b) the problematic nature of Israeli proposals (delaying

    Jerusalem, Ariel/Maale Adumim, etc.).

    Develop a comprehensive media/PR strategy in parallel with the above

    (including more op-eds interviews by AM and other senior Pals with

    major US/European media, etc).

    Immediately initiate contacts with both the Obama and McCain camps

    (i.e., before Nov. 4) in order to brief them on the negotiations and begin

    preparing them for the transition (obviously, this will intensify with the

    winning camp after Nov. 5). (Id)

    In essence, according to the documentation available in the Palestine Papers, Mr. Elgindys advice as

    of October 6, 2008, was focused on managing public opinion and moving towards a new U.S.

    administration, rather than getting back to PM Olmert with a counter-offer that could conceivably have

    resulted in a final status agreement in late 2008/early 2009.

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    TL is Tzipi Livni.25

    See, e.g.,26 http://worldnews.about.com/od/israel/p/ehudolmert.htm;

    The memo did contain a recommendation suggesting that a comprehensive27

    media/PR strategy . . . be developed taking into consideration, among other things, the fact that

    Israeli journalists have blamed the Palestinians who keep saying no to Israeli offers because

    they know that they will be offered more the next time around.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391

    12

    VI. By September 16, 2008 the Palestinians Appeared to be Thinking Beyond Olmert and

    Excluding Him From any Serious Negotiating Action

    One very interesting line in the October 5, 2008 email says SE noted [in the meeting with Udi Dekel]

    that once there is one track (TL with AM) much of the confusion over positions etc. will beharmonized. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4115.25

    This is a very strong indication that by October 2008 the Palestinians were no longer interested in

    engaging PM Olmert in serious peace talks and instead were looking ahead to an Israeli leadership that

    would follow Olmert. In fact, however, Olmert was not out of office until March 31, 2009.26

    Repeated subsequent internal Palestinian documents reinforce the impression that from this point

    forward, the P.A. was looking beyond Olmert and not making any serious attempt to fashion a final

    status agreement out of his offer. E.g. Draft NSU Memo Re: NAD/NSU Visit to Washington, D.C.

    (December 1-5, 2008) http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664(all parties now understand

    that there is no chance of concluding a peace agreement before the end of Bushs term).

    VII. There is No Indication Anywhere in the Palestine Papers that President Abbas ever

    Made a Counter-offer

    After Khaled Elgindys October 6, 2008 memo, the record in the Palestine Papers pretty much falls

    silent on the Olmert package offer. Internal memos (including those summarizing morning meetings

    with President Mahmoud Abbas) after October 6, 2008 do not reference it at all, except when it is raised

    by U.S. officials and the Israelis.

    An October 7 memo entitled Recommendations on Negotiation Process (marked confidential Not

    for Distribution) drafted by the NSU contains no reference whatever to Olmerts proposal and the list

    of recommendations for negotiations Process Immediate [sic] (emphasis in original) contain no

    reference to a possible counter-proposal. In fact, in spite of the fact that Olmert remained in office27

    http://worldnews.about.com/od/israel/p/ehudolmert.htm;http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3664http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391http://worldnews.about.com/od/israel/p/ehudolmert.htm;
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    In his article entitled A Plan for Peace That Still Could Be, Bernard Avishai28

    wrote that with regard to the 2008 proposal, Abbas, in particular, was counting on American

    bridging proposals. Mr. Avishai may not have been familiar with the contents of the Palestine

    Papers at the time he wrote this article. (New York Times, February 7, 2008).

    13

    for almost six additional months, the entire memo looks right past both Olmert and his proposal and

    instead recommended:

    In the short term, it may be constructive to continue to engage at

    the Abu Mazen - Livni level at the current pace.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391

    A. From the Palestinian Perspective Abbas and Olmert were Not Close to an

    Agreement

    The Palestinians continued to perceive the Olmert proposal as lacking viability and the gaps between

    the two parties as wide. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493.

    A November 9, 2008 internal Palestinian memo containing talking points for Mahmoud Abbas

    upcoming meeting with the Quartet acknowledges that Due to political developments and the wide

    gaps, it is clear that an agreement by the end of 2008 is unlikely.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493

    Repeated documents dated after Olmerts offer had been delivered, refer to the fact that there remain

    many gaps and difficulties. E.g. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637.

    B Bridging Proposals from the U.S. or any Third Party were Expressly Rejected

    Recent statements by commentators to the contrary, there are repeated places in the post-Olmert offer28

    Palestine Papers where it is expressly stated that both the Palestinians and the Israelis had agreed that

    they did not want bridging proposals from any third party. [They] need[ed] political decisions on both

    sides. November 9, 2008 Talking Points for President Mahmoud Abbas Re: Upcoming QuartetMeeting http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493.

    See also e.g. October 8, 2008 NSU Email Re: Heads of Committee Meeting,

    http://www.ajtransparency.com/en/document/4096 (Saeb confirmed there should be no partial or

    bridging agreements and proposals.); Talking Points - Post-Annapolis Process, December 2008,

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637 (In addition, we have agreed with the Israeli side

    on the following principles: We do not need bridging proposals from any third party, but rather political

    decisions by both sides.).

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493.http://www.ajtransparency.com/en/document/4096http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637http://www.ajtransparency.com/en/document/4096http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3637http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3493http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3391
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    David Welch was, at the time, serving as Assistant Secretary of State for Near29

    Eastern Affairs in the United States Department of State.

    E.g. The September 22, 2008 internal memo apparently drafted in part in response30

    to the Olmert Package Offer states: Regarding the 1000 returnees annually for 5 years: while we

    agree to negotiate the number of returnees in consideration of Israels capacity of absorption, this

    particular offer cannot be taken seriously. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328

    [31 http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736;

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299)

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301;

    14

    C. While the Palestinians told U.S. Officials that Abbas Made a Counter-Offer,

    Every Indication in the Palestine Papers is that He Never Did

    In a December 2, 2008 memo memorializing a briefing Saeb Erekat gave to U.S. officials:

    Erekat expresses his concerns about a recent proposal fromOlmert and the ultimate viability of such a proposal.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610 .

    This December 2, 2008 memo indicates that in response to David Welchs question What do you29

    think of Olmerts presentations?, Erekat complained that the proposal had been verbal and not in

    writing. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610. Erekat further informed Mr. Welch that

    We offered 2% swap that would allow 70% of settlers to remain. (Id.)

    Offering a 2% swap, however, would not have constituted a counter-offer to a comprehensive package

    deal. Not unless the Palestinian Authority is ready to take the position that it otherwise accepted the

    elements of Olmerts proposal including a cap on 5,000 Palestinian refugees returning to Israel. Thisis clearly not the case.30

    Moreover, nowhere in the Palestine Papers is there any indication that Abbas ever communicated this

    counter-offer of 2% swap -- or any other -- to PM Olmert. And while the Palestinians had memos

    and maps outlining the Israeli offer in detail, there is no documentation in the Palestine Papers of the31

    parameters of a counter-offer designed to respond to this offer.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3301http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3299http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4736http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328
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    While there is this record of Saeb Erekat telling U.S. officials that the32

    Palestinians had submitted questions to Olmert for clarification of his proposal, there is no record

    of any Palestinian negotiator saying this to any Israeli negotiator. (See Section VII (D), below)

    See Clinton, Bill,My Life (Vintage Books. 2005) at pp. 936- 937 ; Dennis Ross,A33

    Missing Peace: The Inside Story of the Fight for Middle-East Peace (Farrar, Straus and Giroux -

    June 2005) at pp. 809- 813.

    15

    According to the memo, Saeb Erekat told David Welch that We asked Olmert to respond to the

    questions and explain in writing what he is proposing but he didnt respond. I asked him again on32

    November 16 there was no response, no map. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.

    A December 22, 2008 memo memorializing meetings in Washington D.C. between Palestinian

    negotiators and U.S. officials notes that Current administration officials continue to have a very limitedunderstanding and appreciation for Palestinian interests and needs as they relate to current negotiations.

    Indeed, several NSC and DOS officials are still inquiring about Olmerts purported offer, some of

    whom apparently had not seen Abu Mazens list of questions seeking clarification from Olmert.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3664.

    In a February 27, 2009 meeting between Saeb Erekat and George Mitchell, Mr. Erekat took the position

    that because there was no written proposal from Olmert they could not counter-offer, but that they had

    submitted questions for clarification. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4449 (if Olmert had

    offered AM in writing, things would be different. Instead he refused to hand him the map. We prepared

    questions for Olmert to clarify what he was offering [SE discussed several examples of the questions,

    notably on Jerusalem and the so-called holy basin].

    Mr. Erekat tells Mr. Welch at the December 2 meeting that on the one hand the Palestinians offered [a]

    2% swap, and on the other hand We need something [sic] writing with such sensitive issues.

    Otherwise how can you say we have an offer? and Olmert wants to lock in that Palestinians agreed

    t o h i s p r o p o s a l . B u t w h a t t h i s p r o p o s a l i s w e d o n t k n o w .

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3610.

    These are seemingly contradictory positions. Either Olmerts proposal was too vague to be responded

    to because it was not in writing or a 2% swap was the Palestinian response.

    There is a history in the Israeli/Palestinian peace negotiations of serious and comprehensive offers beingmade verbally so that neither party could walk away from the offer without making a counter-offer and

    then return to it at a later date as a starting point for future negotiations. Since there are multiple33

    documents within the Papers outlining the proposal with explicit language identifying it as the Israeli

    proposal and there are maps of the proposal, the Palestinians seemed to have understood the contours

    well enough certainly at least to fashion a counter-offer. A Palestinian counter-offer could have supplied

    whatever details they thought necessary to close gaps.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3664.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4449http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3610.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/4449http://transparency.aljazeera.net/document/3664.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3610.
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    Palestinian negotiators at the meeting included Dr. Saeb Erekat, Zeinah Salahi34

    and Ziyad Clot. The Israeli negotiators present were Tal Becker, Udi Dekel , Kamil Abu Rukun,

    and Lee Arad. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651

    16

    There are no documents showing the questions that were supposed to have been submitted to Olmert;

    no documents memorializing that Erekat asked Olmert about those questions on November 16; no

    internal memos referencing any questions that had been posed; no internal memos indicating that Abbas

    was waiting for clarifying answers from Olmert; no documents outlining a counter-proposal; no memos

    indicating that Abbas or the negotiators were working at drafting a counter-offer; and no documents

    memorializing the fact that a counter-proposal was ever written or otherwise fashioned or submitted.

    Although there are memos memorializing the fact that Palestinian negotiators told U.S. officials they

    had submitted questions for clarification to Olmert, there are no internal memos specifying which

    questions had been sent and when or complaining that they had not been responded to or indicating that

    the Palestinians were waiting for a response from Olmert before making a counter-offer.

    D. As of December 2008 the Israelis Were Still Asking for a Counter-Offer

    According to the Palestine Papers, the topic of a Palestinian counter-offer to Olmerts proposal also came

    up at a December 14, 2008 meeting of Palestinian and Israeli negotiators on the Refugee Committee.34This meeting and the conversations among the negotiators is memorialized in considerable detail in an

    internal memo. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651.

    Unlike the position he took with U.S. officials, when speaking with the Israelis, Saeb Erekat does not

    claim that the Palestinians submitted questions for clarification of Olmerts package offer. If in fact

    Abbas had submitted these questions, why didnt Erekat ask the Israelis where the answers were? When

    Udi Dekel pointed out that Abbas had not made a counter-offer to Ehud Olmerts package offer, why

    didnt Erekat tell him that Abbas could not make a counter-offer because he was still waiting for answers

    to his questions? Instead Saeb Erekat responded to Dekel only by saying On territory, we have offered

    1.9% of the WB. (Id.).

    It is not clear here what Saeb Erekat is referring to here. The 1.9% figure pre-dates the Olmert offer and

    goes back to at least June 15, 2008 in the Palestine Papers, where it is shown in a Matrix of Israeli and

    Palestinian Positions chart as having been presented to Udi Dekel in a negotiating committee meeting.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2722. See also June 30, 2008 Matrix of Palestinian-

    Israeli Positions, http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2819.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2722.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2819.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2819.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/2722.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651
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    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.35

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/332836

    www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221;37

    http://www.aljazeerah.info/Opinion%20Editorials/2011/March/8%20o/Till%20September,%20A

    re%20the%20PA's%20Deadlines%20Meaningless,%20A%20Reply%20By%20Saeb%20Erakat.

    htm.

    17

    The 1.9% figure is not mentioned at all in either the September 16, 2008 memo of talking points for

    Abbas at his final meeting with Olmert, or the September 22, 2008 memo of Palestinian Talking35

    Points Regarding Israeli Proposal. Therefore, it appears that the 1.9% figure did not play a part in36

    the Palestinian thinking about possible responses to Olmerts package offer. Moreover, there is no

    indication whatever of this figure having been presented to Olmert post-September 16, 2008.

    In response to Erekats reference to 1.9%, Dekel says this is not a counter offer to our package.

    It deals only with territory. http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651. Erekat then said: But

    we have made detailed offers on refugees, territory, Jerusalem etc. We have submitted detailed papers

    on all issues. (Id). Dekel then makes the point that:

    There is difference between offering a package deal and our

    discussions on territory. You have not presented a counter offer to

    us. (Id.)

    Udi Dekels reference to our discussions on territory appear to refer to the negotiators meetings whichwere separate and distinct from any meetings (held on a higher level) between Abbas and Olmert. This

    is an important point because while myriad ideas on all of the core issues had been presented by mid-

    and lower-level negotiators before, during and after Annapolis, none of this is a counter offer to the

    comprehensive peace deal proposed by PM Olmert in the fall of 2008. To use the words of Dr. Erekat

    in his recent article, this is the distinction between official positions and explorations or polemical

    rhetoric during the course of negotiations . . . Explorations or polemical rhetoric exchanged37

    between negotiators in their committee meetings did not constitute a specific counter-offer from Abbas.

    Moreover, once the Israeli Prime Minister presented a comprehensive offer to President Abbas, only

    President Abbas had the authority to respond in a binding manner. (See Section II, above). And there

    is no record in the Palestine Papers that this ever happened.

    http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3651.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://ng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=364221.http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3328http://transparency.aljazeera.net/en/document/3294.