paul m. grant future watch ss&t council meeting 11-12 may 1998 palo alto future watch emergent...

Paul M. GrantFuture Watch

SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto

Future WatchEmergent Science & Technology

Paul M. GrantStrategic Science & Technology



Agenda

• Endless Energy Revisited

• Let the Sun Shine In

• Beam Me Up, Scotty!



Hot Fusion

14 MeVITER

Specifications• Fusion Power 1.5 GW• Thermal Power 1.0 MW/m2

• Magnets 12.5 T• Q 15-30

Issues:• Cost $1 B (so far!)• Site US ?• Viability for Electric Power ?

How do youboil water withneutrons? It’shard! SeeParkins, Starr &Krumhansl, inPhysics Today,March, 1997



p - 11B Features• No Radioactivity• Low Maintenance• Stable Plasma• Direct Electricity• Q 3• Lots of 11B (1:14)

“Light Fission”

20-Mule-Team-Borax20-Mule-Team-Borax

H+ + 11B5+ 3He2+ + (8.7 MeV)

H+

11B5+

“Colliding Beam Fusion Reactor,”Rostoker, Binderbauer, & Monkhorst, Science, 21 November 1997


SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto “Light Fission”

Beam Drivers28%

Energy Recovery System

4%

Land14%

Structures15%

Remote Controls

5%

Reactor Chamber

15%

Heat Management

19%

100 MW Plant Cost• $346 M• $3460/KW


SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto “Light Fission”

P - 11B Issues

• Monoenergetic Beams

• Different Energies, p, 11B5+

• Bremsstrahlung Losses

• Anisotropic Plasmas

Q << 1


SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto Solar-PV to H2



PV/H2

SpecificationsComponent Vendor Configuration Specification

PV Array Arco M75Modules

192 modules 12 subarrays

(16) 8 series pairs

9.2 KW 24 V 380 A

Battery Nickel-Cadmium 24 V 37 Ahr

Electrolyzer TeledyneEnergyAltus 20

12 cells 24 V, 240 A H2: 20 slm O2: 10 slm

Tanks H2: 1000 gal O2: 500 gal

700 KPa 85 KWh H2

Fuel Cell ErgenicsPowerSystems

PEM 250 KPa

Input

1.0 KW Output 55 % Efficient

Load Air Compressor 1.0 hp



PV/H2 Operation



PV/H2 Performance

Note: System efficiency is dominated by photovoltaic efficiency



Power System Security Under Deregulation

• Distributed Networks and Systems– Complex Adaptive Systems– Independent Intelligent Agents

• Greater Reliance on Communications– Power Flow– Market Transactions

• Exposed Infrastructure– Power Lines– Communication: Wire, Wireless, Optical

A 1995 DARPA study determined that by hacking the phone system, 1/3 of US power systems could be attacked simultaneously!



Power System Security:Issues

• Destruction– Blow it up!– Virus insertion

• Penetration– Infiltrate, spy– “wiretap,” code-breaking

• Intervention– Dis-information– Opt control

Solution ! -- Secure Communication


SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto Quantum Computing

Quantum computing is not nano-computing!

• Quantum…

– Computing

– Cryptography

– Teleportation (!)

• Antecedents– Einstein, et al. (30s)– Landauer (IBM, 60s-70s)– Bell (Oxford, 60-80s)– Bennett (IBM, 80s)

• Current– Zeilinger (Innsbruck)– Duetsch (Oxford)– Kimble (Cal Tech)There is a future Nobel

Prize here !



Double - SlitExperiment

You can tell where it’s going,or from whence it came,but never you’ll be knowing,both them quite the same.

Anon. (maybe)

“No one really understandsthe double-slit experiment.”

R. P. Feynman

Total

1 2

2 2 1

12



Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen

Physical Review, 1935Physical Review, 1935

Total 1 2“Quantum mechanics requires that any attempt to measurethe state of 1 will affect the state of 2 simultaneouslyeven though 2 may be light-years away.”



QuantumEntanglement

||

||

eH H V V

eH H V V

eH V V H

eH V V H

i

A B A B

i

A B A B

i

A B A B

i

A B A B

2

2

2

2

c hc hc hc h

“Bell States”

AB



QuantumTeleportation

Fax or Clone Teleport

NB: Original Destroyed !


SS&T Council Meeting11-12 May 1998 Palo Alto Experiment



Energy Physicsfor the Future

……according to St. Albert...according to St. Albert...

Spooky!

E mc 2

E h

HV A B A BH V V H 1

2[ ]

paul m. grant future watch ss&t council meeting 11-12 may 1998 palo alto future watch emergent...

Documents