pdcwg update

23
PDCWG Update • PDCWG has not met since the last ROS meeting. • Reviewed ERCOT Frequency Performance and summarized for ERCOT Bias setting. • Reviewing TNT White Paper on Frequency Response Service. • Next meeting scheduled for Jan 20 & 21, 2005 room 168 Met Center.

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PDCWG Update. PDCWG has not met since the last ROS meeting. Reviewed ERCOT Frequency Performance and summarized for ERCOT Bias setting. Reviewing TNT White Paper on Frequency Response Service. Next meeting scheduled for Jan 20 & 21, 2005 room 168 Met Center. ERCOT CPS1 July 143.64. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: PDCWG Update

PDCWG Update

• PDCWG has not met since the last ROS meeting.

• Reviewed ERCOT Frequency Performance and summarized for ERCOT Bias setting.

• Reviewing TNT White Paper on Frequency Response Service.

• Next meeting scheduled for Jan 20 & 21, 2005 room 168 Met Center.

Page 2: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0:15

1:15

2:15

3:15

4:15

5:15

6:15

7:15

8:15

9:15

10:1

5

11:1

512

:15

13:1

5

14:1

5

15:1

5

16:1

5

17:1

5

18:1

5

19:1

5

20:1

5

21:1

5

22:1

5

23:1

5

Interval Ending

July-04

ERCOT CPS1 July 143.64

127.52 12mo rolling avg

Page 3: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0:15

1:15

2:15

3:15

4:15

5:15

6:15

7:15

8:15

9:15

10:1

5

11:1

512

:15

13:1

5

14:1

5

15:1

5

16:1

5

17:1

5

18:1

5

19:1

5

20:1

5

21:1

5

22:1

5

23:1

5

Interval Ending

August-04

ERCOT CPS1 August 139.19

128,90 12mo rolling avg

Page 4: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Interval Ending

September-04

ERCOT CPS1 September 124.16

129.56 12mo rolling avg

Page 5: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Interval Ending

October-04

ERCOT CPS1 October 126.17

Page 6: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

0:15

1:15

2:15

3:15

4:15

5:15

6:15

7:15

8:15

9:15

10:1

5

11:1

512

:15

13:1

5

14:1

5

15:1

5

16:1

5

17:1

5

18:1

5

19:1

5

20:1

5

21:1

5

22:1

5

23:1

5

Interval Ending

November-04

ERCOT CPS1 November 116.59

Page 7: PDCWG Update

ERCOT CPS1 By Day - November 2004

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Day

0

3500

7000

10500

14000

17500

21000

24500

28000

31500

35000

38500

42000

45500

49000

52500

56000

59500

63000

66500

70000

SCPS1 Avg SCPS1 ERCOT Pk Load

11 of the 21 Frequency Control issues reported in the Operations Report occurred during the first seven days of Nov.

23 of the 57 Responsive Deployments occurred during the first seven days of Nov.

ERCOT CPS1 November by day

Page 8: PDCWG Update

QSE SCPS1 Performance 5:45 to 6:15

-1600

-1400

-1200

-1000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

CI

DR

AO

AB

CC

CF

BG

DP

AM AY

CD

CV

BC BX

DK

CW BY CJ

EW CQ DF

AR

BE

EC

BP

AP

DA CX

AD

DE CT

BU

1% Minimum Particpation Factor

November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004

Sorted by November Scores

QSE SCPS1 4 months 06:00

Page 9: PDCWG Update

QSE SCPS1 Performance 21:45 to 22:15

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200A

M AB

BG

BC

CD

DA

CC

AY

AR

CW BY

DK

CQ

CV

BE BX

CF CJ

EC

DP

DF

AO

BP

DR

EW AP CI

AD CT

CX

DE

BU

1% Minimum Participation Factor

November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004

Sorted by November Scores

QSE SCPS1 4 months 22:00

Page 10: PDCWG Update

ERCOT Frequency Response

Average Frequency Bias for Frequency Control and ACE

Page 11: PDCWG Update

1995 Average1996 Average1997 Average1998 Average1999 Average2000 Average2001 Average2002 Average2003 Average2004 Average

C Point B PointFrequency Freq Resp Freq Resp Freq Resp

Response (A to C) (A to C) (A to C)

(A to C) No High Set 1st step HS 2nd step HS

MW/.1Hz c > 59.8 59.8>c > 59.7 C < 59.7

373.7 345.1 388.9 389.3370.6 353.2 365.5 401.4359.5 353.3 328.9 404.9383.4 393.7 359.5 377.1382.3 333.2 410.0 383.3391.2 396.5 371.5436.7 421.9 455.3 554.3395.6 390.4 436.2 394.9434.3 435.3 460.5 472.3381.5 374.1 394.4 405.6

B Point B+30 PointFrequency Freq Resp Freq Resp Freq Resp

Response (A to B) (A to B) (A to B)

(A to B) No High Set 1st step HS 2nd step HS

MW/.1Hz c > 59.8 59.8>c > 59.7 C < 59.7

707.6 543.0 702.9 1049.9705.8 548.7 670.1 948.4723.3 540.8 689.4 1019.4663.3 632.3 622.9 1108.9648.9 557.3 741.4 824.2575.2 570.7 588.2643.4 637.8 645.5 728.0597.5 565.9 660.5 969.0618.7 582.6 853.2 861.1528.9 470.8 636.8 796.6

ERCOT Load

MW

24039.326115.526251.132568.128736.132164.930775.033886.334545.136549.2

1995 Average1996 Average1997 Average1998 Average1999 Average2000 Average2001 Average2002 Average2003 Average2004 Average

System System

Near Droop Near Droop

(Using load (Using load

not capacity) not capacity)

at B pt (%) at C pt (%)

6.48% 11.20%6.40% 11.85%6.67% 12.21%

8.4% 14.2%8.0% 13.1%9.5% 13.6%8.4% 12.3%9.8% 14.0%9.7% 13.5%

12.1% 16.1%

Average Response by Year

Page 12: PDCWG Update

Spike "Point C" Frequency Response Trend All Points

y = 0.0175x - 246.84

R2 = 0.0408

y = 0.013x - 84.356

R2 = 0.028

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

550.0

600.0

650.0

700.0

750.0

800.0

850.0

900.0

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05 10/10/06

MW

Res

pons

e

2004

2003

Point C Response all Events

Page 13: PDCWG Update

Spike "Point C" Frequency Response Trend No High Set Points

y = 0.0228x - 449.91R2 = 0.0496

y = 0.0179x - 270.45

R2 = 0.0328

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

550.0

600.0

650.0

700.0

750.0

800.0

850.0

900.0

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05 10/10/06

MW

Res

pons

e

2004

2003

Point C Response (No LaaRs Tripping)

Page 14: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B" Frequency Response Trend All Points

y = -0.0462x + 2328R2 = 0.0443

y = -0.0474x + 2371.9

R2 = 0.0711

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

1100.0

1200.0

1300.0

1400.0

1500.0

1600.0

1700.0

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05 10/10/06

MW

Res

po

nse

2004

2003

Point B Response all Events

Page 15: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B" Frequency Response Trend No High Set Points

y = 0.0123x + 126.82R2 = 0.0059

y = -0.0144x + 1097.2

R2 = 0.0099

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05 10/10/06

MW

Res

po

nse

2004

2003

Point B Response (No LaaRs Tripping)

Page 16: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B+30" Frequency Response Trend All Points

y = -0.2835x + 11341

R2 = 0.0649

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

1100.0

1200.0

1300.0

1400.0

1500.0

1600.0

1700.0

08/17/03 10/06/03 11/25/03 01/14/04 03/04/04 04/23/04 06/12/04 08/01/04 09/20/04 11/09/04 12/29/04

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B+30 Response all Events

Page 17: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B+30" Frequency Response Trend No High Set Points

y = -0.3032x + 12038

R2 = 0.1105

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

1100.0

1200.0

1300.0

1400.0

1500.0

1600.0

1700.0

08/17/03 10/06/03 11/25/03 01/14/04 03/04/04 04/23/04 06/12/04 08/01/04 09/20/04 11/09/04 12/29/04

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B+30 Response (No LaaRs Tripping)

Page 18: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B" Frequency Response Trend No High Set or HS Response Removed

y = -0.0075x + 800.98

R2 = 0.0055

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05 10/10/06

Oct thru Apr data only

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B Oct-Apr Response

Page 19: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B+30" Frequency Response Trend No High Set or HS Response Removed

y = -0.3143x + 12449

R2 = 0.223

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

08/17/03 10/06/03 11/25/03 01/14/04 03/04/04 04/23/04 06/12/04 08/01/04 09/20/04 11/09/04 12/29/04

Oct thru Apr data only

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B+30 Oct-Apr Response

Page 20: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B" Frequency Response Trend No High Set or HS Response Removed

y = -0.0755x + 3435.6

R2 = 0.1461

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

06/15/94 10/28/95 03/11/97 07/24/98 12/06/99 04/19/01 09/01/02 01/14/04 05/28/05

May thru Sep data only

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B May-Sep Response

Page 21: PDCWG Update

Recovery "Point B+30" Frequency Response Trend No High Set or HS Response Removed

y = 0.9648x - 36351

R2 = 0.1034

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1000.0

04/23/04 06/12/04 08/01/04 09/20/04 11/09/04 12/29/04

May thru Sep data only

MW

Res

po

nse

Point B+30 May-Sep Response

Page 22: PDCWG Update

ERCOT Bias Settings

Summer Load Shoulder and WinterMay through September October through April

2004 604 533Opt A 552 497 Using Point B dataOpt B 489 481 Using Point B+30 dataOpt C 520.5 489 Average of B & B+30other

ERCOT Bias Setting

Page 23: PDCWG Update

1 17:37:06 Jan-04-2004 Sunday 28914 5022 9:01:32 Jan-05-2004 Monday 35408 5603 21:05:28 Jan-18-2004 Sunday 33372 7584 16:16:48 Jan-23-2004 Friday 28750 13305 22:32:08 Jan-31-2004 Saturday 34872 7316 15:07:28 Mar-03-2004 Wednesday 35268 7707 9:27:20 Mar-26-2004 Friday 35597 5948 19:10:30 Apr-24-2004 Saturday 35129 5459 20:38:30 May-18-2004 Tuesday 47570 64010 17:30:30 May-19-2004 Wednesday 51394 65511 10:43:26 Jun-06-2004 Sunday 44510 59512 10:02:56 Jun-07-2004 Monday 46330 71313 13:36:00 Jun-11-2004 Friday 52927 53614 15:43:56 Jun-14-2004 Monday 58346 64015 2:56:28 Jun-20-2004 Sunday 38159 64516 13:04:08 Jun-20-2004 Sunday 52813 54217 18:07:30 Jun-24-2004 Thursday 52158 98918 11:06:18 Jul-24-2004 Saturday 43238 594.5719 11:05:38 Jul-30-2004 Friday 42297 615.820 11:29:44 Jul-30-2004 Friday 43156 664.4921 13:05:12 Aug-07-2004 Saturday 41990 798.1822 8:47:52 Aug-11-2004 Wednesday 38409 451.0823 9:59:20 Aug-18-2004 Wednesday 39502 1103.5924 11:08:00 Aug-19-2004 Thursday 42531 125325 14:33:08 Aug-25-2004 Wednesday 55170 641.6726 5:54:38 Aug-28-2004 Saturday 31769 -42727 16:43:48 Sep-21-2004 Tuesday 49094 525.2828 2:31:46 Oct-03-2004 Sunday 24958 767.0929 20:28:40 Oct-10-2004 Sunday 36521 649.9930 18:36:08 Nov-03-2004 Wednesday 38738 358.6431 3:00:02 Nov-04-2004 Thursday 27519 531.0532 21:17:44 Nov-05-2004 Friday 34860 699.7233 13:51:22 Nov-10-2004 Wednesday 36188 751.8234 21:36:28 Nov-20-2004 Saturday 33490 569.4335 21:53:18 Nov-21-2004 Sunday 33130 482.7136 8:27:30 Dec-07-2004 Tuesday 35460 791.26

Event #Total

Generation Online

MW lostTime of Event Date Day of WeekActual ERCOT Governor Response

(MW/0.10Hz)Frequency Deviation

at Point B at Point B + 30697.35 N/A494.73 467.79434.87 346.29798.44 356.59515.35 429.73383.71 287.96522.81 388.25487.23 429.06579.56 362.281162.46 866.72523.43 373.38538.99 448.92420.76 349.72495.98 481.77731.31 490.67592.68 458.80628.99 429.79502.54 414.41511.70 719.01472.09 457.80518.60 508.16435.00 375.56431.84 406.66405.67 382.62474.96 580.51326.06 334.65547.19 514.77443.04 423.96405.21 364.97180.82 168.50486.17 472.47497.78 467.70455.75 356.03374.57 360.16424.26 395.67343.93 304.93

Six Event Rolling Average

at Point B at Point B + 30

554.07 377.67524.98 379.44523.73 372.98547.85 375.65608.52 460.67609.87 451.27635.75 478.10618.74 471.68620.20 480.46645.49 501.86550.53 433.88568.12 443.28562.04 437.53577.20 499.07573.22 495.08537.77 497.99511.49 484.12478.63 480.27462.48 474.97456.36 451.89432.02 431.36436.79 432.46438.13 440.53433.69 433.58396.21 397.89398.08 379.89426.70 402.06411.46 375.61400.05 364.97403.23 370.09430.41 392.83

ERCOT Frequency Response Std