peco-pedc electric power purchase agreement expository presentation 9 september 2010

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PECO-PEDC PECO-PEDC Electric Power Purchase Electric Power Purchase Agreement Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010 9 September 2010

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PECO-PEDC Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010. Panay Region Power Situation (newspaper clippings). EPC PROJECT:2 x 82MW CFB POWER PLANT EXPANSION PROJECT Brgy . Ingore , La Paz, Iloilo City GROUND BREAKING:September 2008 DATE STARTED:February 2009 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC PECO-PEDC Electric Power Purchase Electric Power Purchase

AgreementAgreement

EXPOSITORY PRESENTATIONEXPOSITORY PRESENTATION9 September 20109 September 2010

Page 2: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

Panay Region Power Situation (newspaper clippings)

Page 3: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

EPC PROJECT: 2 x 82MW CFB POWER PLANT EXPANSION PROJECT

Brgy. Ingore, La Paz, Iloilo City

GROUND BREAKING : September 2008DATE STARTED : February 2009DATE OF COMPLETION : December 30, 2010PROJECT COST : PhP19,908,518,700.00BOILER MANUFACTURER : FORMOSA HEAVY INDUSTRIES, INC.

(Under License from Foster-Wheeler)TURBINE MANUFACTURER : KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIESGENERATOR MANUFACTURER: TOSHIBA ELECTRIC

3

Page 4: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

4

2 X 82MW CFB POWER PLANT EXPANSION PROJECTBrgy. Ingore, La Paz, Iloilo City

TARGET COMPLETION DATES:

UNIT 1 COLD TEST - August 2010INITIAL IGNITION - September 4, 2010SYNCHRONIZATION - September 30, 2010

UNIT 2COLD TEST - November 2010INITIAL IGNITION - Mid of November 2010SYNCHRONIZATION - December 30, 2010

Page 5: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

Visayas Power SituationPower Demographics – CNP 2010

Source: Source: Planning & Development Division, TRANSCO, September 2007Planning & Development Division, TRANSCO, September 2007

2010 SUPPLY-DEMAND SCENARIO

Luzon

Leyte Geothermal

Cap. 400

BoholCapacity 15Demand 42Reserve 44

Line Capacity212 MW

Line Capacity80 MW

Cebu

Baseload 442

Peak 190

TOTAL DEMAND 632

Less

Inland (307)

Import (270)

SHORTAGE (55)

Plus RESERVE (100)

TOTAL SHORTAGE (155)

Line Capacity360 MW

Negros

Baseload 178

Peak 76

TOTAL DEMAND 254

Less

Inland (185)

Import -

SHORTAGE (69)

Plus RESERVE (60)

TOTAL SHORTAGE (129)

Panay

Baseload 209

Peak 90

TOTAL DEMAND 299

Less

Inland (202)

Import (90)

SHORTAGE (7)

Plus RESERVE (70)

TOTAL SHORTAGE (77)

Page 6: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

Consolidated CNP Grid Supply-Demand Consolidated CNP Grid Supply-Demand 2009-20202009-2020(As of end October 2009)(As of end October 2009)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Embedded Capacity 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644Import from Leyte 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368Total Available Capacity (SUPPLY) 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012 1012

Peak Demand 1033 1085 1139 1196 1256 1318 1384 1454 1526 1603 1683 1767Reserve (23.4%) 242 254 266 280 294 309 324 340 357 375 394 413Total Needed Capacity (DEMAND) 1275 1338 1405 1476 1549 1627 1708 1794 1883 1978 2076 2180

Surplus / (Deficit) (263) (326) (393) (464) (537) (615) (696) (782) (871) (966) (1064) (1168)Unfilled Demand (21) (73) (127) (184) (244) (306) (372) (442) (514) (591) (671) (755)Unfilled Reserve (242) (254) (266) (280) (294) (309) (324) (340) (357) (375) (394) (413)

Total Added Capacity from New Plants 0 219 565 565 565 565 565 565 565 565 565 565

Total Available Capacity with New Plants 1012 1231 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577 1577

SURPLUS/DEFICIT (Adjusted Computation)

(263) (107) 172 101 28 (50) (131) (217) (306) (401) (499) (603)

Unfilled Demand (21) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (26) (106) (190)Available / (Unfilled) Reserve (242) (107) 172 101 28 (50) (131) (217) (306) (375) (394) (413)

Note:Note: Additional Additional 219MW219MW will come in by Year 2010 {146MW from CEDC Units 1 & 2 and 73MW from PEDC Unit-1}will come in by Year 2010 {146MW from CEDC Units 1 & 2 and 73MW from PEDC Unit-1} Another Another 565MW565MW will come in by Year 2011 {219MW from 2010, plus 200MW from KEPCO, 73MW from CEDC Unit-3, and 73MW from PEDC Unit-2} will come in by Year 2011 {219MW from 2010, plus 200MW from KEPCO, 73MW from CEDC Unit-3, and 73MW from PEDC Unit-2}

Page 7: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

Generating Company

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020PANAY GRID (Bunker Fired peaking plants)

PB 103 (Estancia) 24 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PB 102 (Obrero) 24 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PB 101 21 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PPC1 & PPC2 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 PDPP1 25 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 PDPP3 (Pinamucan Plant) 10 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 Ennervantage 9 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 TransOil Power Dev't. Corp. 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 PPC Nabas/New Washington 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Total Panay Embedded Capacity 213 228 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 Negros-Panay (Imported power) 80 60 45 45 41 41 41 38 38 38 38 38

Panay Available Supply 293 288 224 224 220 220 220 217 217 217 217 217

Panay Maximum/Peak Demand 226 234 246 258 271 285 299 314 330 346 364 382Negros requirement (export from Panay) 0 0 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73Required Reserve (23.4%) 53 55 58 60 63 67 70 73 77 81 85 89

Total Needed Capacity 279 289 376 391 407 424 442 460 479 500 521 544

Gross Reserve/(Deficit ) 14 (1) (152) (167) (187) (204) (222) (243) (262) (283) (304) (327)Filled/Unfilled Demand

67 54 -22 -34 -51 -65 -79 -97 -113 -129 -147 -165Panay Grid (Coal-fired baseload Plant)

Panay Energy Development Corp. 72 144 144 144 144 144 144 144 144 144 144

Total Available Capacity with New Plants 293 360 368 368 364 364 364 361 361 361 361 361

SURPLUS/DEFICIT (Adjusted Computation) 14 71 (8) (23) (43) (60) (78) (99) (118) (139) (160) (183)

Note :1. NPC Power Barges assumed to be privatized when TSC of EC end on December 20102. Except for PEDC all plants in Panay are expensive diesel fired power plants which should be dispatched for peaking requirments only.3. Negros Power Supply Aggregation Group requires 90MW of intermediary and peaking requirments from Panay.

MW

PANAY SUPPLY DEMAND SITUATION

Page 8: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

The Panay Expansion Project, to be undertaken by the Project Company, Panay Energy Development Corporation, offers a partial solution to the power crisis in the Island of Panay.

Project Rationale

Page 9: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPATariff Computation – General Parameters

WACC 14.50%Forex Php/ USD 46.00 Contract Years years 25

Gross Capacity kW 164,000 Auxiliary Load 10.37%

kW 17,000

Net Capacity = Gross Capacity - Auxiliary LoadkW 147,000

Capacity Factor 80%

Days per year 365 Hours per day 24 Hour per year 8,760

Generation per year = Net Capacity x Capacity Factor x Hours per yrkWh 1,030,176,000

Page 10: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPATariff Computation

Electricity Fees =

(Capital Recovery + Peso O&M Charge + Dollar O&M Charge) + Fuel Cost

Page 11: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPACapital Recovery Fee

Using the concept of the Time Value of Money (Annuities)

tn

tn i

PMTPVA

1 1

1

Where:PVAn = Present value

PMT = value of the annuityn = periodi = interest rate

Page 12: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPACapital Recovery Fee

Total Project Cost PhP 19,908,518,700.00Less:

Value Added Tax 1,473,177,600Duties 122,764,800Transmission Line and Facilities

428,415,552

Net Amount to be Recovered 17,884,160,748

Page 13: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPACapital Recovery Fee

WhereTotal Project Cost Php 17,884,160,748 Contract Period years 25ERC Approved Cost of Capital 14.50%

Computing the Capital Recovery Fee

PV = Total Project Cost (17,884,160,748) FV 0n = Contract period in years 25 i = Cost of Capital 14.50%PMT = Annuity payment Php p.a. 2,684,124,580

Generation per yearPhp per kWh 2.6055

Page 14: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPAPeso O&M Fee

Php-Based Cost (Php)

Total Peso-based Costs Php 438,383,118

÷ Generation per year

At 100% Load Factor 0.4255

Page 15: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPADollar O&M Fee

USD-Based Costs

Total USD-Based Costs USD 8,549,587

÷ Generation per yearAt 100% Load Factor 0.0083

x Forex0.3820

Page 16: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PECO-PEDC EPPAFuel Cost Computation

Fuel Cost = Current Fuel Cost + Transport Cost x Consumption Rate x Forex 1000

Current Fuel Cost = Base Coal Price x Current Newcastle Index Base Newcastle Index

Base Coal Price = US$ 53.22/MTCurrent New Castle Index = Preceding Quarter’s Average Coal Price as per the

Global Coal New Castle Physical TradingBase Newcastle Index = US$ 63.44/MT

Consumption Rate = Actual Consumption Rate or 0.7kg/kWh escalated at 1.5% per year, whichever is lower

Page 17: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

PEDC RATE COMPUTATIONPECO Tariff at Different Load Factors

TARIFF SUMMARY

Php-based costs Php per kWh100% Load

Factor75% Load

FactorCapital Recovery 2.6055 2.6055 3.4740 O&M 0.4254 0.4254 0.5671

USD-based costs USD per kWh0.0082 0.4018 0.5341

Total Base Tariff 3.4327 4.5752

Fuel 1.7597 1.7597

Total Cost 5.1924 6.3349

Php Equivalent

Page 18: PECO-PEDC  Electric Power Purchase Agreement EXPOSITORY PRESENTATION 9 September 2010

End of Presentation

THANK YOU