peel housing corporation board of directors agenda …€¦ · 2015-06-04 · (hsc) as being too...
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PEEL HOUSING CORPORATION
BOARD OF DIRECTORS AGENDA PHC-4/2015 DATE: June 4, 2015 TIME: 8:30 AM – 10:30 AM LOCATION: Conference Centre, 1st Floor Regional Administrative Headquarters 10 Peel Centre Drive, Suite A
Brampton, Ontario MEMBERS:
D. Austin F. Dale S. Elias C. Fonseca V. Hall R. Mendis
G. Miles E. Moore P. Palleschi C. Parrish B. Shaughnessy
Chaired by President P. Palleschi or Vice-President G. Miles 1.
DECLARATIONS OF CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
2.
APPROVAL OF MINUTES
2.1.
Minutes of the Board of Directors Meeting (PHC-3/2015) meeting held on May 7, 2015
3.
APPROVAL OF AGENDA
4.
IN CAMERA MATTERS
4.1.
Update on Bargaining (Labour Relations or Employee Negotiations)(Oral)
5.
REPORTS
5.1.
Shareholder Directive (Oral)
Presentation by Patrick O’Connor, Corporate Counsel 5.2.
2014 Peel Housing Corporation Investment Report (For information)
PHC-4/2015 Board of Directors Agenda
-2- June 4, 2015
6.
DELEGATIONS
6.1.
Dee Karski, Project Manager, Peel Living, Providing an Update on Twin Pines
6.2.
Tim Welch, Tim Welch Consultants (TWC), Regarding an Overview of the TWC Report on Financial Viability
7.
GENERAL MANAGER'S UPDATE
8.
COMMUNICATIONS
9.
OTHER BUSINESS
10.
NOTICE OF ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF THE SHAREHOLDER
11.
NEXT MEETING To be determined
12.
ADJOURNMENT
* See text for arrivals
See text for departures
PEEL HOUSING CORPORATION
BOARD OF DIRECTORS M I N U T E S PHC-3/2015 The Peel Housing Corporation met on Thursday, May 7, 2015 at 8:35 a.m., in the Conference Centre, 1st Floor, Regional Administrative Headquarters, 10 Peel Centre Drive, Suite A, Brampton.
Directors Present: D. Austin; F. Dale; S. Elias; V. Hall; R. Mendis; C. Fonseca; P. Palleschi; B. Shaughnessy; E. Moore Directors Absent: G. Miles; C. Parrish
Also Present: D. Szwarc, Chief Administrative Officer, Region of Peel; M.
Mwarigha, General Manager; D. Bingham, Treasurer; J. Arcella, Deputy Treasurer, B. Colavecchia, Manager, Housing Operations and Tenancy Management; Mary Jo MacCrae, Manager, Housing Operations and Tenancy Management; P. O’Connor, Corporate Counsel; A. Macintyre, Corporate Secretary; C. Law, Deputy Corporate Secretary
Chaired by President P. Palleschi. 1. DECLARATIONS OF CONFLICTS OF INTEREST – Nil 2. APPROVAL OF MINUTES
Moved by Director Hall, Seconded by Director Shaughnessy; That the April 2, 2015 Peel Housing Corporation (PHC-2/2015) Meeting Minutes be approved.
Carried 2015-15
PHC-3/2015 Thursday, May 7, 2015
3. APPROVAL OF AGENDA
Moved by Director Elias, Seconded by Director Mendis; That the agenda for the May 7, 2015, Peel Housing Corporation Board of Directors meeting include a delegation from the General Manager regarding updates to ongoing staff work, to be dealt with under Delegations – Item 4.2; And further, that the agenda also include an oral update from Bruno Colavecchia, Manager, Housing Operations and Tenancy Management regarding several administrative matters, to be dealt with under Other Business – Item 7.1; And further, that the agenda for the May 7, 2015, Peel Housing Corporation Board of Directors meeting be approved, as amended.
Carried 2015-16 4. DELEGATIONS 4.1 Carolyn Kearns, Management Consultant, Regarding Excellence in Not for Profit
Governance
Received 2015-17
Carolyn Kearns, Management Consultant, provided the Board with information regarding effective not-for-profit board best practices, and performing the following essential roles for their organization: completing formal strategic planning exercises; monitoring executive performance; formulating policy and having clear decision making; providing strong financial oversight; ensuring effective communications; and coherently and firmly self-managing as a single body that achieves its goals and objectives. President Palleschi thanked Carolyn Kearns for her presentation, and informed staff that a future session on development and its related costs would be of great value to the Board. Director Fonseca stated that currently the Association of Municipalities of Ontario (AMO) have organized a housing working group of various stakeholders, and suggested that staff could look at inviting this group to speak to the Board on the topic of advocacy for increased housing funding to the higher levels of government. Additional Item - Item 4.2:
4.2 M.S. Mwarigha, General Manager, Peel Housing Corporation, Providing the Board with an Update on Ongoing Staff Work Related to Several Emerging Issues
Received 2015-18
PHC-3/2015 Thursday, May 7, 2015
M.S. Mwarigha, General Manager, Peel Housing Corporation (PHC), provided an update on the following: He stated that engagement with the Cedar Grove Board is going well, and the residents seem open to providing their input into the long-term redevelopment of the site. Further, he stated that discussions with the primary bank dealing with the residents has also occurred, and the bank is now well informed of the plans for the site. He informed the bank that PHC is aiming to keep willing residents as tenants once the site is redeveloped. He added that staff will provide an update on the progress as available. He informed the Board of an article recently written in Tough Times magazine criticizing Peel Housing Corporation’s parking fees at various sites. He stated that agencies that provide services do have special areas or allotted spots at various sites, and that fees are charged at various sites as part of Peel Living’s revenue recovering for various non-housing services. Lastly, he informed the Board of a recent media criticism by a Member of Provincial Parliament of Peel Housing Corporation’s insurance and energy provider Housing Services Corporation (HSC) as being too expensive in the services it provides. He provided details of HSC’s relationship to Peel Housing Corporation and the value it provides to Peel Housing Corporation in order to keep energy costs predictable for residents, and insurance costs comparatively low. 5. REPORTS 5.1 Business Transformation Project
Presentation by M.S. Mwarigha, General Manager, Peel Housing Corporation
Moved by Director Moore, Seconded by Director Shaughnessy;
That the Business Transformation Project, as a foundation to the Board’s role in the development of a new Strategic Plan for Peel Housing Corporation, be approved; And further, that the Board appoint Board Advisors for each of the following projects areas: Governance, and Tenant & Community Experience; And further, that Directors Palleschi, Austin, and Elias be appointed as Board Advisors for the project area of Governance; And further, that Directors Hall, and Austin be appointed as Board Advisors for the project area of Tenant & Community Experience.
Carried 2015-19 M.S Mwarigha, General Manager, Peel Housing Corporation, introduced the Business Transformation Project to the Board as the beginning stages of developing a new strategic planning process that will define Peel Living for the next 20-30 years. He stated that staff is
PHC-3/2015 Thursday, May 7, 2015
looking to engage with the Board in three major areas of interest: governance, financial and asset viability, and tenant and community experience. He suggested the Board appoint certain members to be advisors to staff on each of the three major areas. While volunteer Directors were chosen for the areas of governance, and tenant and community experience; it was agreed the entire Board of Directors would be engaged on the topic of financial and asset viability, given significant interest indicated by Directors. 5.2 Creditbend Terrace – Attic Mould Remediation
Moved by Director Austin, Seconded by Director Shaughnessy;
That the budget for a major capital project, with a maximum budget increase of up to $800,000 in order to accommodate necessary and unplanned capital work at Creditbend Terrace, be approved; And further, that the Treasurer be authorized to transfer up to $800,000 from Working Fund Reserves to cover costs in excess of $989,995 already allocated for roof replacement and necessary repairs at Creditbend Terrace; And further, that the contract for roof replacement and mould remediation at Creditbend Terrace be awarded to the successful vendor of the Tender process.
Carried 2015-20 President Palleschi indicated he has concerns with the amount of additional money being requested. Joseph Abraham, Construction Project Manager, stated that the $1 million was calculated given estimates from a consulting engineering firm. President Palleschi suggested the contingency amount of $200,000 could be removed. Dave Bingham, Treasurer, Peel Housing Corporation confirmed that $800,000 would be the revised amount. The Board recessed at 10:40 a.m. The Board resumed at 10:45 a.m.
PHC-3/2015 Thursday, May 7, 2015
5.3 Year End Financial Report – December 31, 2014
Moved by Director Fonseca, Seconded by Director Elias;
That the financial report for the twelve months ending on December 31, 2014 be received; And further, that Capital Project 14-0501 for 2014 Major Capital Work be increased by $770,000 for a total revised budget of $6,209,254; And further, that the increase be funded from the Working Fund Reserves.
Carried 2015-21 5.4 2014 Peel Housing Corporation Financial Statements (Unaudited)
Moved by Director Mendis, Seconded by Director Dale;
That the 2014 Peel Housing Corporation (operating as Peel Housing Corporation) unaudited financial statements, be approved.
Carried 2015-22 6. COMMUNICATIONS – Nil 7. OTHER BUSINESS
Additional Item - Item 7.1:
7.1 Upcoming Administrative Matters (Oral) Received 2015-23
Staff advised that planning for tours of the Twin Pines housing site is underway; Bruno Colavecchia, Manager, Housing Operations and Tenancy Management stated that sites for an off-site Board meeting to occur on July 2, 2015 where Board members would be transported to the site in the morning, are being evaluated with further information to be conveyed as it becomes available; and an invitation to all Board members to the Divisional Staff Day occurring on July 9, 2015 at 11:30 am at 10 Peel Centre Drive, Brampton.
PHC-3/2015 Thursday, May 7, 2015
8. NEXT MEETING
Thursday, June 4, 2015, 8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Conference Centre, 1st Floor Regional Administrative Headquarters 10 Peel Centre Drive, Suite A Brampton, Ontario
9. ADJOURNMENT
The meeting adjourned at 10:57 a.m.
1 Legal Services
SHAREHOLDER DIRECTION
Presentation to Peel Housing
Corporation BoardJune 4, 2015
5.1-1
2 Legal Services
Presentation Summary
Nature
Purpose
Board’s Input
Process for Development
Timeframe
5.1-2
3 Legal Services
Nature
Legal instrument provided for in the Business
Corporations Act.
Under subsection 108(3) of the Business
Corporations Act a shareholder of a corporation
may issue an unanimous shareholders
agreement to direct the corporation’s board.
5.1-3
4 Legal Services
Nature
Many municipal sole shareholders of local housing
corporations like Peel Living have Shareholders
Directions. Examples:
Toronto
York
Ottawa
Hamilton
Windsor
5.1-4
5 Legal Services
Purpose
Articulates the relationship between The Region and Peel Living.
May be used to establish:
A high level framework for the conduct of business by setting the Shareholder’s objectives
for Peel Living.
Principles of operation.
An accountability framework.
A general articulation of the Region’s expectations for Peel Living.
Reflects the Region’s role as owner of the corporations entire shareholding
Connects tenants and all other Peel residents to the corporation and its
board through their elected representatives.
5.1-5
6 Legal Services
Board’s Input
Regional staff will recommend that Council
consult with Board.
The Board’s input will be a relevant consideration
for Regional Council.
The process is not in the nature of a “negotiation”
but is part of Regional Council’s decision making.
5.1-6
7 Legal Services
Process for Development
Regional staff will consult with other key
personnel to develop the draft Direction.
To be co-ordinated with complementary
amendments to the Board’s By-law No. 1.
Proposed Direction will be presented to Regional
Council for approval.
5.1-7
8 Legal Services
Timeframe
Board can anticipate an opportunity for
input this coming summer.
Finalization anticipated for early fall of
2015.
5.1-8
REPORT Meeting Date: 2015-06-04
Peel Housing Corporation
For Information
DATE: May 26, 2015
REPORT TITLE: 2014 PEEL HOUSING CORPORATION INVESTMENT REPORT
FROM: David Bingham, Treasurer, Peel Living
OBJECTIVE To provide the annual results of investment activity in accordance with the investment policy adopted by the Board in the report of the Treasurer, Peel Living, titled “Investment Policy” dated March 27, 2007.
REPORT HIGHLIGHTS At December 31, 2014, Peel Housing Corporation (PHC) had holdings totaling $19.2 million, of which $16.3 million was cash invested by the Region of Peel and the remaining $2.9 million invested in Social Housing Investment Funds (SHIF) pooled funds. The cash received the Region’s earnings rate which averaged 3.5 per cent in 2014. The SH – Canadian Equity Funds as at December 31, 2014 had an unrealized annual return of 15.8 per cent. The Investment Policy has provided sufficient flexibility to generate good overall returns during volatile economic periods and therefore does not require updating at this time.
DISCUSSION 1. Background
At the April 19, 2007 Peel Housing Corporation Board meeting, the Board adopted the Investment Policy for Peel Living and authorized the Treasurer to utilize all pooled investment funds of Social Housing Services Corporation Financial Inc. (SHSCFI) in accordance with specified limitations “to supplement the investment activity performed on behalf of the Corporation by the Region of Peel”. The Housing Services Corporation (HSC) manages the pooled funds from replacement reserve balances of all eligible housing providers in Ontario. With the exception of Peel, Ottawa and Toronto, all prescribed housing providers were mandated to participate in this pooled investment program. Participation for the three exempt providers was optional. SHSCFI was incorporated in September 2002 to manage, on behalf of HSC, the pooling of capital reserve funds for prescribed providers as required under section 141(b) of the Social Housing Reform Act. This organization is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission and is subject to regulatory oversight in its role as an investment fund.
5.2-1
May 26, 2015 2014 PHC INVESTMENT REPORT
- 2 -
Effective November 2014, SHSCFI was reconstituted as Encasa Financial Inc. (Encasa) when its investment base was broadened through an expansion of its ownership when four key housing organizations (Housing Services Corporation, Co-operative Housing Federation of Canada, Co-operative Housing Federation of BC and BC Non-Profit Housing Association) came together. Encasa's daily investment activities are conducted by Phillips, Hagars and North (PH&N). Oversight of PH&N is conducted by Encasa's board of directors. At the end of 2014, PH&N was managing in excess of $476.1 million for Encasa in three separate product lines: SH - Canadian Short-Term Bond Fund (1 to 5 Year Horizon) SH - Canadian Bond Fund (5 to 7 Year Horizon) SH - Canadian Equity Fund (Beyond 7 Year Horizon)
In September 2007, Peel Housing Corporation (PHC) invested $2.5 million of the SH - Canadian Bond Fund and $2.5 million of the SH - Canadian Equity Fund. In October 2013, PHC liquidated their long term bond holdings and replenished cash balances held with the Region as cash in capital replacement reserves had been drawn down to finance state of good repair expenditures. Cash balances with the Region have been attributed the same earnings rate as has been earned by the broader Peel portfolio. The initial 2007 investment in the SH – Canadian Equity Fund was retained.
2. 2014 Overview of PHC Holdings
a) Transactions
In September of 2014, approximately $1.6 million or 50% of the SH – Canadian Equity Fund holdings were switched to the SH – Canadian Short Term Bond Fund. The funds were held in the SH – Canadian Short Term Bond Fund until December 11, 2014 at which time all funds were switched back into the SH – Canadian Equity Fund. During this time period the SH – Canadian Short Term Bond Fund units and unit price increased 638.41 and $0.0358 respectively resulting in a capital gain of $12,280.02 or a 3.2 per cent annualized return. The SH – Canadian Equity Fund experienced a decrease in its unit price (-$1.2560 or -6.3%) allowing for an additional 6,206.43 units to be obtained on the re-purchase.
b) Year End Holdings
Total Working Fund and Capital Reserves have increased to $9.8 million at the end of 2014 from $8.6 million (2013). Replacement reserves have increased to $2.5 million at the end of 2014 from $1.6 million at the end of 2013. The balance of Peel Living’s holdings consisted of working capital that had ranged from average monthly balances of approximately $9.3 million to $13.4 million throughout the year. As noted in the following table, of the total holdings of $19.2 million, $16.3 million was invested with the Region of Peel and the balance under the SHIF program with Encasa.
5.2-2
May 26, 2015 2014 PHC INVESTMENT REPORT
- 3 -
Dec. 31, 2014
Available Pooled Funds (Book Value)
SH - Canadian Short-Term Bond Fund $117 *
SH - Canadian Bond Fund $0
SH - Canadian Equity Fund $2,896,449
Total SHIF $2,896,566
Region of Peel $16,254,510
Total Funds $19,151,076
* December 19, 2014 Management Fee Rebate.
From the time of the original investment in the SHIF funds in 2007, the rates of return on the balances varied as noted in the graph below. Funds held with the SH – Canadian Bond Fund fluctuated between -1.1 per cent in 2013 and 8.5 per cent in 2009. The returns for the SH – Canadian Equity Fund experienced volatile fluctuations with the largest occurring during the 2008 economic downturn. The Region of Peel’s earnings rate provided a more consistent rate of return ranging from 3.3 per cent to 4.8 per cent with overall rates of return declining since 2007 due to lower interest rates.
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Annual Rate of Return
SHIF - ST Canadian Bond Fund (2014) SHIF - Canadian Bond Fund
SHIF - Canadian Equity Fund Region of Peel - Earnings Rate
5.2-3
May 26, 2015 2014 PHC INVESTMENT REPORT
- 4 -
i) Funds held in SH – Canadian Equity Fund
The investment policy imposes a limit of the lessor of 10 per cent of the reported SH – Canadian Equity Fund balance and $5 million. At December 31, 2014, the SH – Canadian Equity Fund had a balance of $103.1 million (10 per cent equivalent to $10.3 million) while the PHC investment was a book value of $2.9 million, well within the limitation.
SH - Canadian Equity Fund Rate
Annual Rate of Return (2014) 15.8%
Annualized Rate of Return (2007 to 2014) 3.9%
ii) Funds held in SH – Short Term Canadian Bond Fund
In September 16, 2014, $1.6 million of the fund was purchased and then redeemed in December 11, 2014.
Purchased Sept. 2014
Redeemed Dec. 2014
Total Earnings
Annualized Rate
of Return
SH - ST Canadian Bond Fund $1,634,287 $1,646,567 $12,280 3.2%
iii) Funds held with the Region of Peel
The investment policy also states that a minimum of 25 per cent of total PHC funds must be maintained with the Region of Peel. In addition to the SHIF investments, PHC held $16.3 million with the Region. The Region’s earnings rate (monthly General Fund investment rate less administration fees) was applied to PHC’s average monthly bank balances (ranging from $16.6 million to $21.0 in 2014), and for the year averaged 3.5 per cent (slightly below the seven year average of 3.9%), which translates to interest earnings of $648 thousand. More information regarding the Region of Peel General Fund can be found in the report entitled “2014 Treasury Report” scheduled to be presented to Region of Peel Council on June 25, 2015.
Region of Peel General Fund earnings rate (on varying monthly balances)
Rate
Annual Rate of Return (2014) 3.5%
Annualized Rate of Return (2007 to 2014) 3.9%
5.2-4
May 26, 2015 2014 PHC INVESTMENT REPORT
- 5 -
CONCLUSION
PHC’s Investment Policy allows for an effective and efficient investment management operation that provides the flexibility to adjust investments to the Corporation’s changing fiscal condition while providing opportunities to supplement returns earned on behalf of the Corporation by the Region of Peel.
David Bingham, Treasurer, Peel Living For further information regarding this report, please contact David Bingham, Treasurer Peel Living, 4292, [email protected]. Authored By: Debbie Williams,Treasury
5.2-5
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
EVOLVING INTO THE FUTURE:
A FINANCIAL VIABILITY REPORT FOR PEEL LIVING
August, 2014
6.2-1
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
Table of Contents
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................... i
1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1
1.1 Context and Purpose of this Study .................................................................................. 1
1.2 Background – Peel Living ................................................................................................. 1
1.3 Context – Legacy Housing Programs ............................................................................... 3
1.4 Work Plan ........................................................................................................................ 5
1.5 Highlights of Project Profiles ........................................................................................... 6
2. Financial Information & Operational Viability ............................................................................. 8
2.1 Purpose of This Section ................................................................................................... 8
2.2 Financial Projections Based on Current Operations ........................................................ 8
2.3 Cost-Control Opportunities ........................................................................................... 16
2.4 Conclusions – Operating Viability .................................................................................. 20
3 Capital Needs .............................................................................................................................. 22
3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................... 22
3.2 Building Condition Assessment Data ............................................................................. 23
3.3 Facility Condition Index ................................................................................................. 25
3.4 Capital Repair Practices and Energy Conservation ........................................................ 29
3.4 Future Directions – Building Conditions and Capital ..................................................... 33
4. Social Return on Investment (SROI) .......................................................................................... 37
4.1 SROI – Introduction ....................................................................................................... 37
4.2 Social Outcomes of Housing: Main Dimensions ............................................................ 37
4.3 Pilot Measurements of SROI, and Next Steps ............................................................... 38
5. Analysis of Sites ......................................................................................................................... 41
5.1 Introduction and Evaluation Matrix .............................................................................. 41
5.2 Typology of Sites ............................................................................................................ 43
5.3 Redevelopment and Intensification of Existing Peel Living Sites .................................. 45
6. Strategic Directions and Recommendations ............................................................................. 48
6.2-2
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 i
Executive Summary
Evolving into the Future:
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living
Nature and Purpose of the Study
This study examines options for Peel Living to support the work of a Task Team established by
the Board of Directors, to address the long-term financial and social viability of Peel Living.
The context is a portfolio which faces new needs and opportunities, rising operational and
capital repair needs, aging buildings, lower mortgages, phase-out of federal subsidy, and
potential site redevelopment and intensification.
The study examines the operational financial viability, capital repair requirements, site needs
and opportunities, and social return on investment, on a site-by-site and portfolio-wide basis.
A typology of sites is developed, financial and other options are identified, and
recommendations are made to support the long-term financial sustainability of Peel Living.
Operational Viability
Peel Living data was used to create long-run financial scenarios, using varying assumptions.
As mortgages expire and legislated subsidy declines, rental income will cover a rising share of
costs (from 62 percent today to a high of 83 percent, falling back to 77 percent by 2040). Some
ongoing Regional subsidy will therefore be required for existing operations (before considering
the costs of capital repairs); but a year-to-year subsidy increase lower than projected inflation
or property tax increases would suffice to cover operating costs. Lower utility costs or
manageable costs, or increased market rents would reduce subsidy requirements.
Capital Repair Requirements
Data from 2009 Building Condition Assessments (BCA s updated by the 2009-2013
improvements are used to project capital repair requirements from 2014 to 2023. A Facility
Condition Index FCI is al ulated, easu i g the u e t ph si al state of Peel Li i g s housi g stock which overall is in the good to fair range. As buildings age and their various components
and systems reach the end of their lifespan, more capital repair and replacement will be
needed. For the next 10 years (2014-2023) the projected capital expenditures needed for the
portfolio are $20 million per year. This figure will need to be updated upon completion of the
new BCAs scheduled for later in 2014.
6.2-3
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 ii
Other key capital issues include potential savings from energy retrofits, since 38 Peel Living
sites are heated with electric baseboard heating.
There are three main options for paying for capital repairs: pay-as-you-go, a reserve fund
strategy, or borrowing to do work in stages starting in the near future and repay over time.
The report presents an option whereby capital repairs funds are borrowed in rolling five-year
tranches, each repaid over the following 25 years. This would enable needed work to be
carried out in the short term as needed, while putting the largest financial impact after 2030
when operating subsidy requirements are at lower levels. It may offer a predictable,
manageable approach to the combined operating and capital requirements.
Social Return on Investment (SROI)
SROI can be a means to sustain public support for social housing and a basis for future social
finance. This report offers an initial foundation for SROI steps by Peel Living over a longer term.
SROI deals with quantitative measurement of outcomes, going beyond performance or output
measures. SROI is complex, and usually involves research partners.
Social finance in Canada is at an early stage of development. To pursue SROI for social finance,
Peel Living will need partnerships with other organizations. It is unlikely that social finance will
supplant established financing sources for regeneration, repair, or new supply; support services
and new initiatives are the best candidates for social finance.
The report identifies 18 main types of social outcomes of housing, based on prior research.
Two SROI indicators are measured on a pilot basis. The value of RGI in increased household
income and purchasing power is $36.5 million annually. Peel Living capital expenditure
generates 600 jobs (person-years) for 2009-13 actual; 810 jobs for 2014-18 requirements.
Site Needs and Opportunities
Information from site visits, Peel Living staff, and other sources was used to create site profiles
for each of the 66 sites that were included in this study. The site profiles summarize housing
stock, key financial and condition data, planning status and intensification potential, parking,
and nearby transit and services.
Most sites are in good condition and are functioning well in social terms. A significant number
are well located near transit and services. Market units are readily tenanted.
6.2-4
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 iii
A matrix of the 66 sites was created, ranking the sites on a various criteria. This is the basis for
assigning each site in a typology of five categories (with further options within each). The
diagram shows the number of sites in each category.
The typology relates to the role of Peel Living in meeting future needs and opportunities. It
also relates to objectives of long-term financial viability. For example, increased revenue
through higher market rents will reduce long-term subsidy requirements, while improving the
condition of buildings may save other long-run costs and enhance revenues. Redevelopment
of sites, although entailing large capital costs, would lead to lower energy costs and capital
repairs in the newer buildings created, and has potential to enhance the social sustainability by
adjusting income mix on the site.
The report identifies various factors to consider when embarking on redevelopment or
intensification of sites.
Recommendations
1. Peel Living should pursue a strategy of raising market rents in advantageous site locations
in order to maximize market rent revenues.
2. Peel Living should attempt to set targets for increases to manageable costs that take into
account the three-year rolling average of the provincial rent guideline (and explore the
creation of operational benchmarks with similar large scale non-profit housing corporations
in Ontario as none are currently in existence), in order to reduce as much as possible the
need for municipal subsidy.
6.2-5
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 iv
3. Peel Living should analyse the options, legal aspects, revenue implications and social
impacts of switching from the current RGI scale to a shallow flat- ate housi g allo a e subsidy for some share of its units, when operating agreements expire.
4. Peel Living should ensure that the Building Condition Audits planned for 2014 include more
intrusive testing; and that FCI ratings and capital budget planning for each site should be
updated upon the completion of these new BCAs.
5. Peel Living should undertake an energy and water audit in co-operation with the Region, to
identify upgrades providing the best payback and restraint of utility costs, and including
review of lessons from recent retrofit work by Peel Living or other providers.
6. Peel Living should systematically examine options, including longer term borrowing, to pay
for the additional $60 million in additional capital expenditures (over and above the
planned annual $14 million) required by 2024, on a portfolio-wide basis.
7. Peel Living should undertake future financial feasibility updates every five years, using data
from updated BCAs as these are carried out from time to time.
8. Peel Living should select two full redevelopment sites and one intensification site in late
2014 and proceed with a feasibility analysis and the creation of a business case in 2015.
9. Peel Living should take initial steps to establish capacity to measure social return, as set out
in this report.
10. Peel Living should review the implications of this report as they affect its overall financial
relationship to Peel Region; determine a preferred future relationship in collaboration with
the Region as service manager; and take related transition steps.
11. Peel Living should pursue different priorities for each site, along the lines of the typology
presented in this report
6.2-6
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 1
1. Introduction
1.1 Context and Purpose of this Study
In April 2014, Peel Living (Peel Housing Corporation) retained Tim Welch Consulting Inc. to
develop a set of options for a financially sustainable model for future years. The new financial
model will allow Peel Living to redefine itself and successfully move forward over the next 25
years. The goal is to ensure that Peel Living continues to be a leader in providing quality
affordable and social housing in the Region of Peel.
This financial viability study is led by housing consulting firm Tim Welch Consulting Inc. (TWC)
and the consulting team includes Connelly Consulting Services, Greg Suttor Consulting and GSP
Group. The study examines options for Peel Living in terms of the operational, capital and
social/community needs of its portfolio and residents. This study also provides an initial
foundation for measuring social return on investment (SROI) in Peel Living, and develops a
typology of sites to inform strategic decision-making by Peel Living.
1.2 Background – Peel Living
Peel Housing Corporation is a non-profit housing corporation owned by the Region of Peel. Peel
Living owns and manages 68 residential properties with 7,100 residential units. It also manages
six Region-owned buildings, two transitional housing residences and three shelters. Peel Living
has o e ea s e pe ie e i the de elop e t a d ope atio of housi g that is affordable
for low- and moderate-income families, seniors and single people in the Region of Peel.
The portfolio includes over 1,000 units developed directly by the Ontario Housing Corporation
(OHC) between 1967 and 1978. Development of these units was funded through Ontario
Housing Corporation debentures, and annual operating subsidies were the shared
responsibility of the Federal and Provincial governments. Capital repairs were paid out of
annual operating budgets and there were no capital reserve funds or contributions.
On January 1, 2001, the Province of Ontario transferred the OHC units in the Region of Peel to
Peel Living as part of the devolution of social housing. The former OHC segment of the portfolio
(now referred to as Peel Region Housing Corporation – or PRHC – stock) includes townhouses,
and low-, mid- and high-rise apartment units. All of the former OHC housing was initially rented
to low-income families and seniors on a Rent-Geared-to-Income (RGI) basis. Since the transfer
in 2001, Peel Living has gradually introduced market rent units into the former Ontario Housing
Corporation portfolio; typically about 10% of the units in a building, or townhouse complex are
now rented at market rents.
6.2-7
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 2
At the time of devolution, the former provincial responsibility for providing operating subsidies
was assumed by the Region of Peel in its role as Service Manager, delivering housing programs
under the authority of the Social Housing Reform Act (subsequently replaced by the Housing
Services Act).
Peel Living developed most of its housing portfolio under various Federal and Provincial
housing programs in the 1980s and first half of the 1990s. The housing developed during this
time typically had 35-year operating agreements that required a minimum percentage of units
to be rented on an RGI basis to low- or moderate-income households. The operating
agreements for these developments require that a certain amount of rental revenue must be
put aside each year in a capital reserve fund to be used to pay for the capital repairs of a
building. This is because, unlike in the private sector, a government guarantee of the mortgage
allowed non-profit corporations developing housing during this time to borrow 100% of the
capital cost of the project. This, in turn, meant that governments did not wish to see the
projects encumbered by further borrowing for capital work (as in the private-sector) and so the
only way to amass capital was to create a reserve that required annual contributions from
operations.
Since 2003, Peel Living has developed and now owns/operates two housing developments
funded through capital grants under Federal and Provincial housing new-supply initiatives.
These developments also had significant one-time capital funding from the Region. The grants
were conditional, in part, on Peel Living setting the rents in these projects at affordable rates
(in one development 100% of average market rent, in the other 80% of average market rent)
for a period of 25 years. There are no ongoing operating funds provided.
While the Peel Living stock is in good condition overall, the portfolio will require continuous
repairs and significant capital improvements due to its age, as more than 80% of the stock is 18
years or older and over 1,000 units are 40 – 45 years old.
The viability of the existing portfolio is important for both current and future Peel Living
residents. In addition, there are opportunities for Peel Living to redevelop or expand its stock to
help meet the growing need for both low-income and market rental housing in the Region.
Peel Region has been growing at a quick pace in recent years, as illustrated by the population
figures below.
Table 1: Population of Peel Region: 2001-11
2001 2006 2011
988,948 1,159,455 1,296,814
“ource: Peel’s Housing and Homelessness Plan A Community Strategy 2014-2024
6.2-8
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 3
This trend of significant population growth is expected to continue. The Government of
O ta io s Amendment 2 (2013) To The Growth Plan For The Greater Golden Horseshoe provides
for an increase in the ‘egio of Peel s populatio al ost half a illio people to a total of
1,770,000 between 2011 and 2031.
The current need for affordable housing can be measured many ways. The Region s Housi g and Homelessness Plan notes that almost one third of households spend more than 30% of
their income on housing and so need affordable housing. The Regional waiting list for
subsidized housing in 2013 contained 13,600 households. The current need and the anticipated
population increase indicate that the requirement for affordable housing will almost certainly
continue to grow.
Peel Living, as part of its future direction, has a significant role to play in helping the Region of
Peel a hie e the stated goal of the ‘egio s Housi g a d Ho eless ess Pla : E e o e has a home and homelessness is eliminated.
1.3 Context – Legacy Housing Programs
As the public housing program stopped developing new units, federal and then the provincial
government initiated a number of non-profit housing programs. While these programs had a
number of variations in their design, they generally fall into three categories:
1. Federal housing programs: From 1981 to 1988, under Section 15.1 and then Section
56.1 (subsequently renamed as Sec. 95) of the National Housing Act, Peel Living created
2,315 units in 20 developments. Ultimately in Peel Living, 47 percent of combined 15.1
and 56.1 units are RGI, including 18 percent (of the total) funded through rent
supplement. The balance of the units had rent levels set at low end of market, rather
than average market rent. The operating agreements require regular payments into a
capital reserve fund to be used for repairs that were beyond the scope of annual
maintenance budgets. In the Sec. 95 program the federal government pays an ongoing
operating subsidy to help reduce the cost of the mortgage payment. (This subsidy is
scheduled to expire when the mortgage is paid off.) In addition, the province had the
option to provide additional rent supplement to a specific number of units to allow
tenants who could not afford low-end-of market rents to have affordable housing. The
annual Federal government subsidies will begin to expire as early as 2016 on two Peel
Living sites with the expiry of the mortgage. The operating agreement governing
management of these properties will also expire at that time, and all will expire by
2023. Since devolution, the former provincial operating subsidies for the additional rent
supplement units have been the responsibility of the Region.
6.2-9
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 4
2. Federal-Provincial Municipal programs: Between 1987 and 1994, Peel Living developed
1,662 units in 14 projects under these programs. Originally, these programs required a
high percentage of RGI tenants (up to 80%), with operating subsidies shared between
the federal and provincial governments according to how many of the RGI tenants were
i o e eed, that is ith e lo i o e a d e ui i g deep subsidy to be able to
afford their housing. In 2000, the federal government relinquished its role in these
programs to the Province, but made a commitment that it would continue to provide
block funding at 1996 levels for the Province to administer until the end of the
mortgages. Shortly afterward, with the passage of the Social Housing Reform Act
(SHRA), the Province terminated the operating agreements providers had signed under
these programs, but undertook to continue to pass through the federal subsidy as
required on an annual basis till the expiry of the project mortgage. The federal subsidy
will begin to decrease in 2022 with the end of the 35-year mortgage of the first project
funded under this program. The last mortgage originally funded under an F/P operating
agreement will expire 2029 and this will mark the end of the federal responsibility for
projects that were developed under these programs. Under the SHRA, as well as
terminating the operating agreements, the Province obliged the service managers,
including the Region of Peel, to pay the balance of the subsidy not provided by the
fede al go e e t that is dete i ed u de the A t s fu di g fo ula. The fu di g formula includes the requirement that housing providers set aside funds annually for
future capital repairs. The majority of tenants pay rent on an RGI basis.
3. Provincial Unilateral programs: Peel Living created 1,385 units in 14 developments
between 1991 and 1995 under these programs. Essentially, these programs attempted
to replicate the F/P programs as set out above, with the province assuming the entire
subsidy obligation, since the government of the day wanted a larger housing program
than the federal government was willing to cost-share. As with the F/P program,
projects funded under unilateral programs had a high percentage of RGI tenants – often
up to 80%. These operating agreements were also terminated by the SHRA and replaced
by a legislative framework and a funding formula that requires a certain amount be set
aside from annual operating budgets in a reserve for future capital work. With the
passage of the “H‘A, the ‘egio of Peel assu ed the p o i ial go e e t s su sid responsibility for projects funded under these programs.
Understanding the financial impact of the expiry of the existing operating agreements on Peel
Living, and on the Region of Peel in its role of Service Manager, is a key part of this study. The
need for funding an increased amount of capital repairs for the aging housing stock is also a key
reason in undertaking this study.
6.2-10
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 5
The expiry of the operating agreements make it more challenging to continue to provide
housing that is affordable to the lowest income households in the community. In general terms
the expiry of the operating agreements, after the end of the 35 year period, end both the
mortgage payments that Peel Living has had to make on the properties as well as the operating
subsidies received from the federal government. The Region of Peel has been paying the
portion of the subsidies that the Provincial government used to pay up until the downloading
of housing responsibilities in 2001.
As noted above typically the higher percentage there are of RGI units in a building (such as in
PRHC and Provincial unilateral programs) the greater the need for ongoing operating subsidies.
Municipal organizations and housing sector organizations have been advocating that the
federal government, upon the expiry of the operating agreements (and therefore the end of
the requirement for Federal government operating subsidies), should continue to invest the
same level in housing with a particular focus on ensuring there are funds for capital repairs and
ensuring that the number of RGI households do not decrease.
1.4 Work Plan
A work plan was drawn up by the TWC team in order to analyze the current and future
situation of Peel Living. This execution of the workplan has as its goal devising a financially
viable model for the future of Peel Living to deal with the growing capital repair needs, the
implications of the expiry of operating agreements, and the increasing need for new affordable
housing.
6.2-11
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 6
1. Visiting 66 Peel Living sites by the TWC team to view the buildings and discuss the
building issues with the property managers for the various sites.
2. Analyzing the financial and operational data provided by Peel Living staff, including the
long-term projections of operating costs and capital needs (giving consideration to the
implications of the expiry of mortgages and the end of mandated government operating
subsidies). The data analysis also included examining, in a preliminary fashion, some of
the Social Return on Investment (SROI) that occurs through the operations of Peel Living
communities.
3. Combining the information from site visits and from the SROI analysis with the
operational and capital-needs data to create an evaluation matrix which rates the
potential for redevelopment and intensification of the sites.
4. Using this evaluation matrix, creating typologies to classify the 66 Peel Living sites.
5. Through the classification of sites and through the aggregate analysis of the data, a
number of recommendations are provided that set out financial viability options for
Peel Living.
1.5 Highlights of Project Profiles
For each of the 66 sites, a four-page summary has been created (see Appendix D) that
highlights ea h de elop e t s ke i fo atio , including;
Description of the housing stock.
Municipal zoning rules and whether the current building underutilizes the zoning.
Proximity to transit, retail, schools and other services.
Parking utilization.
Current and projected financial operations.
Building condition information.
Recommendations for future directions.
The following is a summary of observations made from the site visits or from discussions with
Peel Living property managers:
6.2-12
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 7
A significant portion of the sites are located in good central locations close to transit
(higher order transit in some cases), retail, grocery stores and community, recreational,
education and social services which are attractive to both market and RGI tenants. In
most buildings renting up units is not difficult.
The majority of the sites benefit from having a variety of social and community services
provided in the common meeting rooms on the sites. Services ranging from seniors
hair services and foot examinations to literacy programs for all ages to life-skills in food
preparation help build a sense of community in the buildings and provide a larger social
return on investment (explored in a later section of the report).
The refurbishment of lobbies and stairwells in a number of buildings in recent years has
given a sense of pride to both residents (further helping marketability) and staff of Peel
Living. There are, however, a few buildings with well worn hallways and lobby areas
which give a sense of the building not being looked after.
In a number of the townhouses, the high utility costs for market-rent tenants can trigger
financial strain, which can either lead to rent arrears or quicker turnover of units.
Just over half of the sites have electric baseboard heating, typically a cause of higher
utility costs than other heating systems, although arguably simpler to operate and
maintain.
There are a significant number of parking garages that are underused (in part due to
some tenants not owning cars and in other situations tenants illegally parking in visitor
spots).
While many of the family Peel Living sites work well socially with a high level (80 – 90%)
of RGI households, some Peel Living property managers stated that some family sites
could benefit from a greater mix of market rental units.
There are some sites that underutilize the land and are possible candidates for either
complete redevelopment or intensification through adding to the existing building or
adding a new building on to the site.
6.2-13
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 8
2. Financial Information & Operational Viability
2.1 Purpose of This Section
The purpose of this section is to examine the financial information regarding current revenue
and expenses to project the future operational viability of the individual projects and the
portfolio as a whole. The projection uses the assumptions set out below (as provided by Peel
Living/Region of Peel), applies them to the current budget of each property then aggregates
the projections first by program then for the portfolio as a whole.
Examining the operational viability is a useful first step since Peel Living needs to be confident
about what will be required to ensure it can meet its day-to-day obligations. Only then will it be
able to turn to addressing how to fund the capital work that will be required over the next 25
years.
2.2 Financial Projections Based on Current Operations
The base case for future budget years uses the following assumptions:
Projected annual cost increases are:
o Manageable costs: 3%
o Minor capital costs: 2%
o Taxes: from 2.4% to 3.2% annually between now and 2040 (note: tax-increase
projections provided by Peel staff).
o Mandated contributions to reserves: 2%.
o Water & Sewage: 6.0% annually till 2025, then by 2% annually.
o Hydro and gas:
2015 2016 2017 Subsequent years
Hydro 7.1% 0.7% 3.2% 2%
Gas 3.4% 6.6% 6.2% 3%
The assumptions about annual increases to revenue are:
o Market Rent: 1.8%.
o RGI rent: 1.25%.
The assumptions about subsidy are:
o Federal subsidy fixed till expiry of mortgage, then eliminated
o Municipal subsidy generally fixed at current level till expiry of mortgage, except:
Subsidy to PRHC properties balances operating deficit
6.2-14
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 9
Subsidy in projects not included in PRHC, 15.1, 56.1 or F/P Municipal
depends on individual arrangements. The aggregate average annual
increase for those projects is 0.8%.
Using the above assumptions, the following chart shows per-program and portfolio projections
till 2040:
The Sec. 56.11 program properties will generally show a substantial operating surplus
each year, especially once the mortgages are paid off, despite the loss of subsidy.
The PRHC properties will require municipal subsidy to break even. It is almost certain
these properties will experience losses every year because the low incomes of the
residents mean rents will be low and cannot equal total operating costs, thus the need
for ongoing subsidy. (In order to help minimize the losses, Peel Living should look at
working with other larger non-profit housing providers to establish operating cost
benchmarks so that Peel Living would be able to examine its operational expenses on a
comparative basis). This is the current financial model for the PRHC program, except
that federal funds contribute to the subsidy while there is debt attached to these
properties. Ongoing attention to managing operating costs, including through
benchmark comparisons with former public housing stock in other Ontario
municipalities, will help promote optimal efficiency and mitigate the need for subsidies
increases, but in its very design, this portion of the portfolio is non-market, so operating
subsidies will be required as long as a large majority of the residents is made up of
households ho a t affo d e ts that e ual ope ati g osts. The 15.1 segment of the portfolio (only one project) is projected to start with a slight
surplus but then begin to show small annual losses as the annual cost increases outpace
the increases in rents.
The FP/Municipal program properties are anticipated to show annual operating deficits
because the base projection is that federal subsidy will not increase beyond current
levels and because expenses are projected to rise faster than rents (as per the base
case). A significant portion of the tenants in the F/P Municipal program properties
receive social assistance as their source of income. Social assistance rates have only
been increasing at 1% annually over the past number of years, less than increases in
building operating costs. Operating subsidies will fluctuate over time because of
changes to taxes, utilities and operating costs but the overall trend is downwards
because the mortgages will be retired on a predictable schedule based on their 35-year
amortization period. However, even as mortgage costs drop, the fact that the majority
of tenants are in low-income households means that this section of the portfolio will
show an operating loss. This is because experience shows that incomes of RGI
1 For consistency with the naming practices of Peel Living, this section of the portfolio is called 56.1 program. In
fact, the program design and subsidy rules of these units are now governed by Sec. 95 of the National Housing Act.
6.2-15
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 10
households do not rise as fast as operating costs. However, the charts do not show an
RGI subsidy being applied to the FP/Municipal program to help it break even. Instead,
the deficit is shown as part of the total potential cost exposure the Region faces
regarding the entire portfolio.2
The other projects (i.e. those not funded through any of the above programs) are
projected to show a small aggregate deficit.
The Service Manager has made loans to a number of 56.1 and FF/Municipal program
projects. The repayment of each loan on a 15-year timeframe after the retirement of
the mortgage of the respective projects is included in the base-case projection.
Chart 1: Projected Net Surplus (Deficit) by Program
2 This approach is being used because there is no general consensus across the sector, or definitive legal
opinion, about whether or not service managers are obliged to continue to provide ongoing operating
subsidy after the mortgages are paid off. If there were general agreement that this obligation is indeed
ongoing, then the projected deficit shown for the FP/Municipal program would be substantially reduced
and the municipal subsidy obligation shown in Chart 2 would be correspondingly increased.
6.2-16
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 11
Chart 1A: Projected Net Surplus (Deficit) by Program – No Capital Reserve Contributions
Chart 1 assumes no additional municipal subsidy beyond the amounts set out in the
assumptions. The anticipated portfolio result is net annual surpluses till approximately 2027,
followed by annual deficits. Chart 1A is similar except it assumes the elimination of the current
program requirement for contribution to capital reserves, instead leaving capital funding to be
dealt with outside of operating funding.
The chart below shows municipal subsidy that would be expended in the above scenario. Note
the wide variation in the subsidy mandated per program.
6.2-17
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 12
Chart 2: Municipal Subsidy Obligation by Program, 2014 to 2040
The major contributor to the fall-off in the mandated municipal subsidy shown in Chart 2 is the
retirement of mortgages in the former FP/Municipal program developments between 2020 and
2030. After that, the majority of the subsidy required on an ongoing basis is in the PRHC
portfolio (and relatively small amount in the non-program properties), because inflation-
adjusted rental revenue is not expected to track inflation-adjusted expenses. (The assumed
general interest rate is 2% annually while, as noted above, the projected annual increase in
market rents is 1.8% and 1.25% in RGI rents.) See chart 3.
(Note: the financial projections for this study are for the period ending in 2040. However, since
the general characteristics of the PRHC portion of the portfolio are expected to remain as they
were, then the general trend of subsidy requirement in those units will probably continue after
2040.)
6.2-18
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 13
Chart 3: Inflation-Adjusted Monthly Net Rental Revenue per Unit
Chart 4: Inflation-Adjusted Monthly Expenses Per Unit, by Program
Note that once the mortgages are paid off in the 56.1 Program and then the FP/Municipal
Program, it appears that the per-unit costs will be generally quite close to each other, with the
15.1 project the lowest and the FP/Municipal projects the highest on average. However, all
programs are anticipated to have cost increases that are higher than the general inflation rate
6.2-19
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 14
of 2% (the lines rise over time), but anticipated rents will not track inflation and so will fall
elati el fu the ehi d the osts o e ti e. The p oje ts i the othe atego a e e luded from the above two charts because many of them have beds, not units, so direct comparisons
are not possible.)
Sensitivity Analysis
Here are the results of a sensitivity analysis, starting with the base case above, using the
following variations:
1. Manageable cost increases are 2% per annum instead of 3%. All other assumptions are
as in the base case.
2. Market-rent increases are 90% of base-case manageable cost increases (i.e. 90% x 3% =
2.7% per annum instead of 1.8%). All other assumptions are as in the base case.
3. Hydro and Gas costs are 100 basis points above the base case. All other assumptions are
as in the base case.
4. The final sensitivity analysis changes two variables at once. Hydro and gas costs are 100
basis points above base case, and market rents increase by 2.7% per annum instead of
1.8% as in the base case.
6.2-20
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 15
Chart 5: Sensitivity Analysis vs. Base Case; No Subsidy Beyond Legislative Requirement
Notes:
The base case starts to go into negative territory around the year 2027. Having higher-
than-projected costs for hydro and gas would accelerate that process.
Controlling manageable-cost increases to 2% rather than 3% per annum delays the
point of crossing to negative till around 2037, and the subsequent losses are relatively
small.
A major determining factor seems to be the ability to charge market rents that track
cost inflation. If market-rent increases could be 90% of cost increases, then the portfolio
would run a surplus every year.
Even with higher-than-anticipated utility costs, the ability to have market rents track
cost inflation would allow the portfolio to stay in the black for most of the period under
discussion.
The above scenarios assume municipal subsidy is limited to the currently mandated obligations.
However, in three of the five scenarios, additional subsidy would be required to allow the
6.2-21
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 16
portfolio to break even on an operating basis. In the base case, this additional subsidy would be
required beginning in 2027, as shown in the following chart.
Chart 6: Base-Case Subsidy Obligation Compared to Additional Subsidy Required for Break-even
Note that the above calculation of additional subsidy would only apply to the base case. If the
operating results varied from the prediction of the base case (e.g. costs and revenues vary
according to the other scenarios presented above), then the subsidy requirement would vary
accordingly.
2.3 Cost-Control Opportunities
A major variable in determining operating results in the coming years will be cost control. The
following chart compares per-unit manageable costs, minor capital expense and utility costs for
the three major program groups in the portfolio. These are: PRHC (1,011 units), 56.1 Program
(2,315 units) and the FP/Municipal Program (3,105 units).
6.2-22
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 17
Chart 7: Annual Per-Unit Costs, Selected Programs
Although manageable costs are similar in all three program groups, it is interesting to note that
the oldest program has the lowest per-unit manageable costs and the newest one the highest.
Also, note that utility costs are higher in the newest program group. Although one might
perhaps expect the newer units to have better insulation, it is also true that many FP/Municipal
projects have electric heat because the provincial government of the day tended to approve
capital cost budgets that only allowed for baseboard heating rather than the more expensive
boilers. It has been claimed that baseboard heaters allow for lower maintenance costs than
other heating systems, but Peel still has higher manageable costs in the FP/Municipal portion
of its portfolio.
Based on the above charts, it appears that improving energy efficiency to reduce the rate of
cost increase would be the most effective approach to improving operational effectiveness. It
would be worthwhile for Peel Living to conduct a cost-benefit analysis of capital investment in
improving the energy efficiency of the portfolio, combined with a renewed program of tenant
education about the importance of conservation.
The following chart ranks the projects according to total utility cost. A focus on reducing the
energy consumption of the highest-cost quartile of projects may yield worthwhile results.
6.2-23
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 18
Chart 8: Utility Cost per Unit (2014), by Project.
(The project marked in red and all the ones to the left constitute the most expensive quartile.)
Chart 9: Manageable Cost per Unit (2014), By Project.
6.2-24
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 19
Manageable costs are always an area where housing providers are seeking improvement. Of
the 17 projects that constitute the highest-cost-per-unit quartile, 10 are in the FP/Municipal
Program, four are 56.1 projects, two are PRHC and one is not funded through a program. It may
be useful to investigate why this pattern appears. It could be nothing more than the original
base budgets of FP/Municipal projects were set higher than in other programs, so cost inflation
has kept them higher on average. However, if there were another factor that could be
identified and addressed, then this would have a positive effect on the bottom line.
Another consideration would be to find ways to keep increases in manageable costs below 3%
annually. Consistently increasing manageable costs significantly above inflation3 will put
pressure on the finances of the corporation, while controlling these increases to below 3% will
reduce the need for additional municipal subsidy. As a long-term target, annual increases of 3%
may be somewhat conservative. On the one hand, Peel Living has budgeted for above-inflation
annual increases to staff salaries (3.0%) and benefits (4.0%). Furthermore, an aggressive
preventive maintenance program may also lead to higher cost increases in the short term. On
the othe ha d, Peel Li i g s a agea le osts pe u it a tuall d opped . % et ee 2011 and 2013 and the budgeted increase from 2013 to 2014 was only 2.3%, so keeping cost
increases below the long-term target has been achievable recently. (By way of comparison, the
cost factors for 2012 to 2014 set by the Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing averaged an
annual increase of 2.51%.)
The final key component of the annual budget to consider is market rents. If Peel Living can
raise market rents by the maximum permitted under the Ontario Rent Regulation Guidelines
and also be aggressive in setting market rents on turnover (to the extent permitted under
program guidelines while these are in force and then as much as the market will permit), this
additional income will go straight to the bottom line.
None of these projections assume a change in the current portfolio RGI/market mix. Since one
of the goals of social housing is to provide good-quality housing at an affordable price for low-
income households, it would appear to be good news that Peel Living will not have to reduce
the RGI percentage in its portfolio to stay viable assuming the Region is willing to continue to
provide a subsidy to bridge the gap between what low-income tenants can afford and the
market rent.
The projections also do not take into account the possible costs and revenues associated with
demolition, intensification, sale or repurposing of any sites. These projections are solely
focused on operational viability of the current portfolio.
3 The actuarial assumptions listed in the o po atio s o solidated fi a ial state e ts i lude . % pe ea as
the future inflation rate.
6.2-25
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 20
2.4 Conclusions – Operating Viability
FINDINGS:
1. The base-case operating projection from 2015 to 2040 shows relatively small annual
surpluses in the short term, rising to a high of $5.8 million in 2020 before falling into a
negative amount in 2027.
2. The operating projection varies dramatically from program to program. This is primarily
a function of the mandated targeting plan of the programs. The PRHC program shows
no operating deficit because the required subsidy is included as a source of revenue.
The FP/Municipal program shows large deficits because there is no built-in subsidy.
(Both of these programs have a high percentage of RGI tenants.) The 56.1 program runs
a surplus because it has a higher proportion of market rent tenants (i.e. rents are much
higher than RGI and also rising more quickly over time).
3. This projection indicates that an ongoing subsidy from the Region will be required for
Peel Living to break even. However, the rate of increase in subsidy between 2015 and
2018 will be substantially less than the projected rate of municipal tax increase. Subsidy
would then decline in 2019-2030, beginning to rise again around 2031. Adjusted for
inflation, the annual subsidy required for a break-even budget, excluding capital repair
expenditures, is projected to be at all times less than the 2014 subsidy.
Chart 10: Annual Subsidy Required for Break-even Budget as Percentage of 2014 Subsidy (Constant $)
6.2-26
Material Related to Delegations – Item 6.2
A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 21
4. As mortgages expire and legislatively mandated subsidy ends, rental income will cover
an increasing percentage of total costs, rising from the current level of approximately
62% to a high of 83% after 16 years and then falling back to around 77% by 2040. (The
decline towards the end of the period is directly a result of the assumption that
projected revenues will rise more slowly than projected costs).
5. Controlling increases in manageable costs, vacancies, and utilities will have a significant
positive effect on the bottom line. Reductions in these cost increases would reduce the
need for municipal subsidy.
IMPLICATION FOR ADDRESSING FUTURE CAPITAL NEEDS
The projections shown above are for annual operations only. They do not include the provision
of funding for capital work. Since the projections show the Peel Living portfolio as a whole will
need some level of subsidy to break even on an operating basis, Peel Living therefore cannot
fund its future capital needs without additional assistance. (The amount of assistance will be
somewhat dependent on how closely the operating results match any of the cases in the
sensitivity analysis.) This is as expected in an organization whose role is to provide rents well
below market levels.
Nevertheless, Peel Li i g s o e all fi a ial situatio appea s to gi e g ou ds fo opti is that it can manage its future capital requirements in a way that can be affordable for the Region.
The surpluses identified in the first few years of the projection provide an opportunity to fund
some capital requirements directly from operating revenues, or to borrow funds to do the work
immediately and then begin repayments from the operating surpluses. Since the subsidy
requirement is projected to decline in real terms over the following years, it will be possible for
the Region to assist Peel Living in meeting future capital needs without a significant real-dollar
increase in the total municipal subsidy contribution.
This issue will be subject to a more in-depth examination in the next section of the report.
6.2-27
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 22
3 Capital Needs
3.1 Introduction
Peel Li i g s po tfolio, uilt f o to 8 with an average age of approximately 29 years,
consists of approximately 7,100 units in high- and low-rise apartments, townhouses and
stacked townhouses.
The most recent building condition assessments (BCAs) commissioned by Peel Living have
identified issues regarding the state of individual buildings as well as potential capital shortfalls
across the entire portfolio.
Note: A Building Condition Assessment is an inspection and assessment of the physical facilities
of the buildings. Typically a BCA will include:
Inspection of building envelope, interior finishes, electrical/mechanical systems and
accessible structural components
Assessment of fire/life safety and exterior site features (i.e., walkways, roadways,
parking, landscaping, etc.)
Written and photographic documentation of each component together with observed
deficiencies
Review of general documentation on repair/maintenance history of the elements, if
available.
Cursory review of drawings and/or previous reports pertaining to the building, if
available
Interviews and discussions with on-site staff regarding repairs/maintenance conducted
on the building
Compilation of findings in a written report including observed deficiencies, together
with a list of recommendations for repair/replacement with associated estimated costs.
BCA s ha e li itatio s i that t pi all the involve visual inspections and that the accuracy of
the projections about the lifespan of building components can vary from industry standards
depending on the quality of the original construction. The older a BCA is, the less reliable the
projections typically are.
The project team has sought to understand the physical state of the Peel Living buildings and
complexes by
Analyzing the BCA data and providing detail as to the costs of improvements done over
the years 2009-2013;
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 23
Analyzing Facility Condition Index (FCI) summary data to indicate the condition across
the portfolio as well as for each site/building as data allows. (The concept of FCI is
examined later in this section);
Determining capital repair shortfalls and requirements for upcoming years.
Note: I p o e e ts efers, in this section, to repairs, replacements, modernization and
upgrades which are not part of routine operating costs, processes or budgets.
3.2 Building Condition Assessment Data
BACKGROUND
In 2009, Peel Living hired Nadine International, a consulting engineering firm to conduct a
complete assessment of the condition of its portfolio. Nadi e s BCA provided Peel Living with a
visual evaluation of its entire housing portfolio by building. Peel Living is due to update its BCA
data in the fall of 2014 and is currently validating the 2009 BCA through Asset Planner
software, which also allows for FCI (Facility Condition index) analysis across the portfolio.
While the recently updated FCI figures need to be further refined in the near future to include
the results of the forthcoming 2014 Building Condition Audit, the portfolio appears in good
condition over all.
BCA DATA ISSUES
The BCAs have not been fully updated since 2009 and therefore are somewhat dated as
the physical state of the buildings has changed over the past five years – some building
components have deteriorated more quickly than expected in the 2009 projections
while other building components have lasted longer than projected. In addition, over
the past five years some unplanned or reactive capital repairs have been undertaken
and other scheduled capital improvements based on the BCAs have had to be
postponed.
BCA data in 2009 was collected by observation only. The new 2014 BCA studies will be
more intrusive in their investigations by physically examining some of the mechanical,
ele t i al a d othe uildi g o po e ts ehi d the d all. The 2014 BCA should
also consider the interior visual appearance of the rental units and the exterior
appearance of the buildings/townhouses as it is important for Peel Living to be able
easu e the u appeal of the buildings.
For costs that were applied to multiple sites (i.e. multi-site contracts), Peel Living
assisted by breaking out a site-specific cost attribution. For the most part, there are no
building-by-building cost breakouts of improvements already carried out on sites with
more than one building – for instance, a site with both an apartment building and
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townhouses – which creates some uncertainties in the data used.
BCA NEEDS SHORTFALL – Looking Back
The BCA figures highlight the continuous need to renew capital assets. There has been
significant shortfall of funding compared with BCA-identified needs over the last four years.
From 2010-2013 those needs averaged over $19 million per year while spending on
improvements averaged approximately $10 million per year – a total shortfall of almost $40M
million across the portfolio.
Chart 11
RECENT IMPROVEMENTS 2009-2013
The project team analyzed spending on improvements across the portfolio from 2009 to 2013.
Approximately $50M was spent on improvements in this period. Chart 12, below, breaks down
this sum by the percentage allocated to each type of improvement over the last five years.
Over 25 percent of all improvements are for the exterior building envelope (more if
windows are included).
Paving and parking including underground parking also accounts for almost 30 percent
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 25
of improvement spending within the period. (This reflects life cycle needs at the current
age of the portfolio and may not be typical in future.)
Chart 12
3.3 Facility Condition Index
BACKGROUND – FCI
The Facility Condition Index (FCI) is an accepted industry standard used to measure the
condition of properties in a portfolio. This index is the value of the outstanding work required
(deferred costs) divided by the current replacement value of the building expressed as a
pe e tage. Fo e a ple, if a uildi g s epla e e t alue as $ illio , a d the alue of the outstanding work on the building was $500,000, the FCI would be 5.0. The generally
a epted a ge of FCIs fo esta lishi g a uildi g s o ditio e p essed is shown below. The
lower the value of the FCI, the better condition a building is in.
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Benchmarks are:
0-5% asset is in good condition
5-10% asset is in fair condition
10-30% asset is in poor condition
30% + critical condition
Overall, as FCI increases, assets will experience:
1. increased risk of component failure
2. increased facility maintenance and operating costs
3. greater negative impacts to residents and staff
As well as measuring the condition of a single building, group of buildings, or allowing for
comparisons with a total portfolio or between different portfolios, the FCI can act as a rule of
thumb for the annual reinvestment rate (funding percentage) that is needed to stop the
deferred maintenance backlog from growing.
The FCI can be used to describe the absolute and relative condition of each building, and the
spending required to complete all needed repairs and improvements (eliminate deferred
maintenance). The FCI is a s apshot of the uildi g s o ditio o , a d indicates which
buildings have the greatest need for repairs and maintenance relative to their value.
PORTFOLIO FCI AVERAGE
The FCI for the Peel Living portfolio on average is just over six per cent. This indicates that the
portfolio as a whole is good to fair condition, with some remedial work required. The portfolio
has been underfunded over the period of the analysis from 2010 to 2013. The average BCA
costs estimated as necessary for this period were approx. $19M/year. On the other hand,
improvements actually made over this same period were approximately $10M/year.
The 2009 BCA data is thought to be out of date, as noted above. More recent data on
improvements has been entered into Asset Planner so the updated FCIs take into account work
done between 2009 and December 2013. Furthermore, the visual method of inspections used
in 2009 did not allow for a sufficiently thorough investigation, thus making the projections less
reliable than desired. The 2014 BCA is expected to be more intrusive and therefore provide
both updated but also more detailed information.
The six-per-cent average FCI figure across the portfolio may be a little higher than is the case as
the 2009 BCA has recently been revalidated. Improvements have been incorporated and
deferred BCA items are being re-examined. FCI estimates are expected to be moderately lower
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as a result of this process. The new BCA to be tendered in the fall will more adequately verify
the state of the portfolio and building conditions.
Within the Peel Living portfolio, there is a wide range of ratings. The 2014 FCIs across the
buildings in the portfolio are presented in Chart 13, below. The buildings have been grouped by
condition to illustrate overall portfolio condition. Of particular concern are the 12 buildings that
have high FCI s ed , which indicate they are in relatively poor condition. Of the other
buildings, 21 are in fair condition and 32 are in good condition.
The BCA/FCI analysis generally lines up with the information provided by property managers
and the visual impression from the site visits.
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 28
Chart 13
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FCI ANALYSIS
As noted above, the average FCI across the buildings in the Peel Living portfolio is
approximately six per cent. The overall asset condition for the portfolio is good to fair. This
is partially a reflection of the age of the buildings. Buildings on average are almost 30 years of
age, and 29 buildings are more than 30 years old. The FCI also factors the type and size of the
building in the index.
The relatively good news is that there are no buildings in the critical category (over 30% FCI),
i.e. buildings that require constant emergency work and major system replacement. Twelve
buildings (17% of the Peel Living portfolio) currently fall into the poor condition category.
Buildings in this condition are beginning to show signs of wear. There are increased facility
maintenance and operating costs as well as increased risk of major system component failure
such as building envelope, heating and plumbing, boilers, windows, elevators, balconies, roof
replacements etc.
As a result of deferred capital spending there may be more occurrences of system and
component failures resulting in more reactive and emergency approaches. Staff time may be
diverted from regularly scheduled maintenance and there will be greater issues with residents
as a result of repair issues.
The esults he e suggest that hile the FCI s of olde sto k sho elati el ell, the also a a greater projected cost burden as assemblies, systems and finishes face expiration of their
anticipated life cycles. It is less a question of whether these assets will require capital
expenditures than how much and when.
FCI ASSUMPTIONS
Some of the needs are based on replacement of the same/similar technology
No allowance for future technology and advancement or altered work practice
FCI may be skewed because underground parking costs are associated with one building
and not factored between buildings.
Needs generated by the Asset Planner software are based on lifecycle and do not
always reflect the actual operation i.e. the asset software (via the BCA) might suggest an
interior repair in 2016, with the repair costs a percentage of the replacement value of
that component; in reality Peel Living performs some of this interior work at turnover.
3.4 Capital Repair Practices and Energy Conservation
ENERGY CONSERVATION
On a case-by-case basis, Peel Living has been replacing older building components with the
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most efficient technology available. While there is presently no formal overarching Peel Living
energy conservation program in place, Region of Peel Energy Management has worked with
Peel Living to set energy-efficiency standards to ensure up-to-date technology. The present age
and condition of the Peel Living housing stock presents an opportunity to replace old and
inefficient equipment with more efficient equipment. Peel living staff continues to look to
high-efficiency equipment for space heating and hot water heating on a portfolio-wide basis as
a best practice.
The Canada-Ontario Affordable Housing Renewable Energy Initiative (REI) (2009) provided
funding for Peel Living to install solar technology in five projects. Hillside, Ridgewood and
Wedgewood are now using solar power to heat their domestic water. Savings in energy
consumption are being monitored. Derrybrae and Erindale have photovoltaic systems that are
intended to feed electricity into the grid but are not yet operational.
Peel Living has 38 electric-baseboard-heated buildings/sites. (A list of sites with electric
baseboard heating is set out in Appendix B.) The higher cost to heat these buildings, resulting
from the higher cost of electricity as a source of energy for heating, presents both a challenge
and an opportunity for Peel Living to reduce future energy costs. Currently, staff from Region of
Peel Corporate Energy are preparing an investigation of the available options, that is, weighing
the merits of installing more efficient electric heating machinery as opposed to changing the
entire heating system.
It would beneficial to have Peel Living conduct a full energy audit of its buildings. Following this
there should be a cost/benefit analysis of the alternative energy retrofits/replacements
possible across the portfolio and within individual buildings.
CAPITAL AND MAINTENANCE SPENDING PRACTICES
As noted earlier, there are challenges in working with a five-year-old BCA. Staff also indicate
there were issues with the 2009 BCA projections. Staff felt that the 2009 BCA, based on visual
inspections, did not reflect the true reality in some of the buildings. As a result some capital
needs were not articulated by the 2009 BCA. In fact staff indicated that more intensive work to
determine the efficacy of foundations and structural integrity would need to be part of the RFP
requirements for the new BCA work.
Staff also have come to believe that the lifecycle projections are too short and in fact systems
are lasting longer than projected. Staff indicate that the most critical needs across the portfolio
are now being prioritized and investigation processes have been improved – more intrusive
testing and processes will be put into the requirements for the new BCA RFP before it is issued.
Efforts have been made more recently to fund critical needs as opposed to giving all buildings a
component piece of funding annually. Procurement for work across the portfolio has also
become more cost-effective as multiple site tenders are issued for items such as windows and
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 31
furnaces.
Capital and maintenance oversight are becoming more integrated within Peel Living. Unit
turnovers for instance and the costs associated with this work are being validated with the
2009 BCA so as to make the next BCA a more accurate reflection of projected capital costs. In
other words the new BCAs will not reflect current work being done at turnover and as a result,
BCA, maintenance and operations costing will be more precise.
A continued shortfall of capital funding for scheduled replacement of assets would pose
challenges across the portfolio, including:
deferral of replacements may eventually result in more emergency failures and
unscheduled outages;
emergency/unforeseen critical repairs are more expensive than pre-planned and
scheduled work, due to after hours work and limitations in obtaining competitive bids
during emergency work – opportunities to enhance methods for innovation/code
improvement may also be lost;
opportunities for economies of scale through more preventative approaches may also
bypassed.
BCA NEEDS AND PER-UNIT COST
As an additional metric, the consulting team determined a per-unit cost of future capital repairs
for each site/building as BCA data was available. As noted earlier, the reliability of the
projected BCA data is an issue until an update of these figures is calculated once the BCAs are
updated in the fall of 2014. From 2010-2023 there are two buildings that have expected per
unit capital costs over $56,000. Appendix A lists the buildings with the highest capital
expenditures needed through to 2023. On average unit BCA costs across the portfolio in the
period were approximately $2,300 per unit/year.
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 32
Chart 14
(The X axis lists the various projects, not identified here by name.)
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 33
3.4 Future Directions – Building Conditions and Capital
BUILDING CONDITION SHORTFALL – Future Needs
1. According to the 2009 BCA there are significant capital renewal requirements for the
next ten years (2014-2023) as Chart 14 on the previous page indicates. When comparing
2009 projected BCA costs to the Capital Plan by building for the next 10 years there is a
projected capital shortfall (over and above the planned expenditures of $14 million
annually) of over $60M for the portfolio as a whole. These figures will need to be
updated upon the completion of the 2014 BCA in order to fine tune the amounts of
capital needs expenditures.
2. Based on a revised FCI index with revised and validated 2014 BCA data approximately
$20 million annually would be required to maintain the portfolio in good condition at an
FCI of 5%. These annual amounts include the funds required to eliminate the current
deferred unmet BCA needs from 2009 to 2013.
In sum, the recent FCI analysis concludes that Peel Living must spend $20 million annually
($2,800/per unit) from 2015 through the foreseeable future.
FINANCIAL OPTIONS FOR CAPITAL REPAIRS/CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
There are significant financial challenges with the funding of needed capital repairs. Assuming
Peel Living has a goal of eliminating the back log and keeping up to date on addressing capital
needs – there are three major options to consider for paying for such work:
A. Continue with the current practice of making annual contributions to and withdrawals
from an annual reserve.
B. Pay-as-you-go on an annual basis (this is the approach Peel Living has been moving
towards).
C. Borrow against the portfolio asset and cash flow (with the backing of the Region) to
carry out the work and then pay off the debt as part of a long-term asset-management
strategy.
Since current reserves are practically exhausted (or will be shortly), option A is essentially
impractical. The size of the contributions and withdrawals would match, rendering the concept
of a reserve redundant, and making this option look essentially the same as Option B.
Option B is also problematic. Current contributions to capital reserves are approximately $5
million annually. Applying this to the required $20 million identified above as the 2015
requirement would leave a shortfall of approximately $15 million. This shortfall could not be
addressed without a significant contribution of funds from the Region. In fact, the implication of
the annual capital needs figure is that an immediate and permanent increase of between $15
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 34
million and $20 million in Regional subsidy over current annual projections would be required.
The impracticality of Options A and B thus require a focused investigation of Option C,
borrowing for current needs with repayment coming from future cash flow. Here is one
approach, presented for discussion purposes.
Let us assu e the fu ds a e o o ed i t a hes e ual to fi e ea s o th of apital eeds, minus the amounts that had already been planned to be contributed to capital. Thus, over the
next 25 years, the borrowing would be:
Table 2: 25-Year Borrowing Plan (Example for
Discussion)
Tranche Year Amount
1 2015 $75,000,000
2 2020 $84,000,000
3 2025 $93,000,000
4 2030 $97,000,000
5 2035 $97,000,000
Total $446,000,000
For each tranche, repayment amounts are calculated based on the following assumptions:
It will not be possible to spend all of the tranche in the first year, so assume the actual
borrowing and spending takes place over the first three years of the five years. Thus, funds
would be advanced on an interest-only basis till the entire tranche had been used up. At that
point, P&I payments would begin.
The current Infrastructure Ontario rate for lending to municipalities is 3.66% on a 25-year
amortized loan. Assuming a slightly more conservative rate of 3.75% both for the interest-only
time and the amortization period, the cashflow for the first tranche would be:
Table 3: Cash-flow for First Tranche of Capital Borrowing
Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Funds Advanced ($25.0 m.) ($25.0 m.) ($25.0 m.)
Interest-Only
Payment
$0.3 m $1.2 m $2.2 m.
P&I Payment 0 0 0 $4.66 m $4.66 m
Total Payments $0.3 m $1.2 m $2.2 m. $4.66 m. $4.66 m
The payments of $4.66 million would continue for the following 23 years.
The process would be repeated every five years, with the principal amount for each tranche
being as shown in Table 2. Of course, the remaining P&I payments from previous tranches
would still have to be made till each one was retired, so the overall payment flow would be as
follows:
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 35
Chart 15: 25-Year Cost of Capital Borrowing Projection
Although this approach involves spending more money in absolute terms than the pay-as-you-
go approach, its advantage is that it creates room for a more affordable cash flow without
delaying the work.
The payment stream is extended beyond the actual period the funds are expended, but since
payments start to drop after 25 years, there is financial room at that point to finance very long-
run capital repairs that cannot be estimated at this time.
It should be noted that as current interest rates are at historic lows, the projections are based
on Region of Peel assumptions of rising interest rates beginning in 2020. Due to the difficult
nature of long-range forecasts, interest rates were assumed to be 5.85% for every tranche from
2020 onwards.
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 36
Chart 16: Projected Annual and Average Payments for Capital Needs Borrowing vs. Pay-as-You-Go
Note that the figures and projections rely on the following assumptions:
No change to the current stream of contributions to capital reserve
The capital rese e is esse tiall e hausted at this poi t, a d so a t e elied upo fo significant funds for capital repairs in future. Thus, any remaining funds in the reserve
can be used for emergencies and for minor capital.
Peel Living decides it wants to eliminate the shortfall in capital work within the next five
years.
Peel Living also commits to achieving an FCI rating of 5.0% or better and is not satisfied
with some lower standard, such as the current 6.0%.
Although Peel Living has not done any capital projections beyond 2040, it should be
assumed that there will be additional capital spending required on an ongoing basis. At
that point, Peel Living would again have the option of reverting to a pay-as-you-go
model or else taking on additional borrowing. In the latter case, it is to be expected that
new debt service for additional tranches will still be manageable since the payments on
the earlier tranches will be coming to an end.
In the scenario shown in chart 15 and in the red line in chart 16, the largest financial impact of
capital repairs occurs after about 2030. This achieves a deferral of those impacts until the point
in time where subsidy requirements to achieve operating viability fall to about 30 to 50 percent
of current levels (see section 2). At the same time it enables a higher level of capital repair
spending in the near term to carry out required work.
This approach appears to be a preferred option for ensuring good repair of the portfolio and
also a manageable financial impact. It should be explored in more detail once information from
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the 2014 BCAs is analysed.
4. Social Return on Investment (SROI)
4.1 SROI – Introduction
Social return on investment refers to the social, health, quality-of-life and related benefits of
program activities, and to measuring these in specific, detailed, financial terms.
Measuring social return on investment is seen as having potential to help sustain public support
for social housing by demonstrating the alue of Peel Li i g s ole a d se i es. It is also seen
as a basis for future social finance and impact investing (see explanation below) in Peel Living.
This summary is intended as a preliminary foundation for SROI in Peel Living – pointing to initial
steps down a path that will take many months and years to develop comprehensively.
This SROI section summarizes the following matters, following this introduction. Fuller
information on SROI is in Appendix C.
Identifying the main social outcomes of housing – an essential foundation for SROI
Measuring SROI i Peel Li i g o t o pilot i di ato s Next steps on SROI in Peel Living
With social housing no longer funded as part of a federal-provincial social safety net, and
instead supported at the municipal level, it is important to demonstrate the local social benefits
of social housing and the fiscal benefits in terms of savings on other costs. SROI is expected to
support Peel Living s dual mandate in quality housing and opportunities for success for tenants.
Peel Li i g s i te est i “‘OI efle ts rising interest at Peel in measuring outcomes: for example,
Human Services systematically measured social return on its homelessness programs, and Peel
Living has measured the value of new affordable housing (see references in Appendix A).
4.2 Social Outcomes of Housing: Main Dimensions
Research literature points to several main categories of outcomes of housing, at three scales.
This su a is ased o the o sulta t s fa ilia it ith the esea h lite atu e o health, social and economic outcomes of housing – sometimes called non-shelter outcomes. (The
scope of work did not include a detailed literature review.) Appendix C provides a brief
elaboration of each of the following, as well as references to some main research sources.
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Table 5: Main Dimensions of Social Outcomes of Housing
A. Individual and family outcomes
1) Physical health
2) Mental health and general well-being
3) Employment and income
4) Educational outcomes
5) Material well-being
6) Outcomes for vulnerable social groups
7) Outcomes for children and youth
C. Broader societal and economic outcomes
13) Economic multipliers
14) Program costs, cost avoidance, and
other fiscal impacts
15) Energy and the natural environment
16) Income inequality and related inequities
17) Conditions and opportunities for
disadvantaged social groups
18) Urban form and structure
B. Neighbourhood & local community outcomes
8) Community connectedness, social capital
9) Social integration/mix in neighbourhoods
10) Safety and security
11) Neighbourhood characteristics
12) Local services
4.3 Pilot Measurements of SROI, and Next Steps
The following summarizes the estimated social return at a portfolio- ide le el o t o pilot SROI indicators. Appendix C provides these at a site-specific level.
Table 6: Total Value of SROI
Outcome Measure Estimated Value in Peel Living
Value of RGI i.e. increased household
disposable income and therefore
purchasing power in the local community $36.5 million (2013-2014 annual)
Multiplier effects of Peel Living capital
repair expenditure.
Job generation: 600 person-years (actual capital 2009-2013); 810 person-years (capital requirements 2014-18)
NEXT STEPS ON S.R.O.I. FOR PEEL LIVING
The consultants reviewed the various categories of social outcomes, and specific variables, with
feedback from Peel Living staff. They were assessed in terms of (a) how measurable the
variable or type of outcome is, and (b) the most feasible measurement approach in Peel Living.
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A Financial Viability Report for Peel Living – TWC Inc. – July 2014 39
The types of outcomes variables were grouped into the following categories in terms of next
steps on measurement. This is an initial sorting and is expected to require further refinement.
Table 7: Next Steps on SROI
Peel Living pursue as
a priority for
measurement on a
pilot basis
Residential stability (avoiding eviction / involuntary moves)
Value of RGI as household disposable income & local purchasing power
Outcomes for vulnerable groups, e.g. homeless and/or frail elderly
Economic multiplier of capital repair expenditure
Peel Living take steps
to make fuller use of
operational /
administrative data
Income trajectory of individual tenant households
Rent arrears
Employment status
Housing quality (need for major repair)
Car ownership
Peel Living consider
an expanded tenant
survey to obtain data
Enrolment in adult education and computer ownership at home
Sense of community connection
“o ial suppo ts a d eigh ou i g
Explore
measurement in
collaboration with
other Peel
departments and
services, and/or with
other funders of
community services
Effects of social housing on overall segregation by income
Effects of social housing on overall segregation by ethnoracial group
Overall mix of housing tenure and price
Incidence of violent crime and of property crime
Gang activity or drug-related violence
Immigrant settlement services, child care, and Youth programs/recreation
Delivery of targeted social programs to disadvantaged populations
Homelessness prevention programs and Emergency shelter programs
Social assistance costs
Assessment base and property tax revenue
Effect on overall access to better schools, for disadvantaged families
Effect on overall incidence of high shelter/income ratios, etc.
Pursue research
partnerships (usually
applies to more
complex health and
social outcomes)
Hospital costs
Seniors support services, long term care costs, and assisted living costs
Residential energy consumption per household or per person
Energy use embodied in construction and repair materials
Hydrocarbon consumption and greenhouse gas emissions
The following next steps are suggested as ways for Peel Living to make itself best prepared for
fuller measurement and use of social impact measurement and social return.
a) Internal Process
Establish a working group (about 6 to 12 staff with research and operational knowledge)
from Peel Living and relevant Peel departments, to carry SROI forward.
Establish an executive liaison group to provide strategic decisions and resource support.
Communicate to tenants about the processes, at suitable points as SROI moves forward.
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b) Clarifying Goals
Critically review the initial analysis undertaken in this report, and revise and refine the
suggested directions as appropriate.
Determine the priority SROI areas for purposes of sustaining public and political support.
Move toward clarifying the aspects of SROI that may be most relevant to potential
impact investing, bearing in mind that specific measures for that purposes will need to
be developed in partnership with potential lenders or intermediaries.
Ascertain the evolving goals of key potential research partners (e.g. Public Health, some
academics, LHINs) and clarify what potential common interests and priorities may exist.
c) Data and Indicators
Confirm what administrative/operational data is most relevant to the SROI priorities of
Peel Living and is also feasible to record, track and extract for SROI purposes.
Establish IT and operational procedures to support SROI use of admin/operational data.
Consider in more detail the costs and benefits of undertaking a tenant survey, possibly
in partnership, that may help track key social outcomes data on a longitudinal basis.
Explore potential to use support agency data to measure outcomes for vulnerable
tenants. (Some agencies may already compile data for their own service management
for reporting to the LHIN, which could also help measuring social impacts of housing).
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d) Process and Partners
Participate in provincial processes regarding social housing tenant surveys, with special
emphasis on suitable control groups such as low-income tenants in market rental.
Investigate the possibility of research partnerships with bodies that are well-equipped to
undertake research on health and social outcomes and may be interested in partnership
arrangements with Peel Living. In particular, these may be:
o Peel Human Services
o Peel Planning Department
o Public Health
o Local Health Integration Networks
o Academic
researchers
Make contact with the MaRS Centre for Impact Investing to explore common interests,
potential resources, and frameworks of analysis, and to link to up-to-date information.
5. Analysis of Sites
5.1 Introduction and Evaluation Matrix From the direct observations made of the sites, from the analysis of the planning rules, the
existence of a variety of services, and from analyzing operating costs and capital needs, a matrix of
all 66 sites was created ranking the sites on a number of criteria using scores. The matrix is listed in
Appendix A.
While the rankings assigned are kept simple, they provide a helpful tool to consider the properties
individually in giving direction to Peel Living in how to approach each site in future years.
For example, if the evaluation matrix shows that a site:
is significantly below the density permitted by municipal planning rules.
has a poo FCI ati g, a d/o sig ifi a t apital epai osts to e u dertaken in the next
five years.
has higher-than-average operating costs.
is walking distance to higher-order transit.
then it is likely that this site is a prime candidate for redevelopment.
Or,
If the evaluation matrix shows that a site:
is at its maximum density according to municipal planning rules and the surrounding
neighbourhood has similar or lower density than the Peel Living site;
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has lower-than-average operating costs;
is easy to rent up and is close to many services and higher-order transit;
then it is likely that the site has the potential to increase the market rents to help with the overall
revenue stream of Peel Living.
The matrix scoring does not line up perfectly as a predictor of actions for sites to be redevelop. For
example there are some sites which have relatively low capital expenditures planned in the next
five years (a low score for redevelopment potential) and would need Official Plan amendments
(also a low score in redevelopment potential) but have underutilized land and are located on major
transit corridors.
While not all of the Peel Living sites can be so neatly defined (a number of sites could fit in more
than one of the five classifications), the study has created typologies to guide Peel Living with an
assessment of the predominant types of sites and to help provide direction for future actions that
ill p o ide opti al st ategies a d help e su e Peel Li i g s lo g te fi a ial ia ilit .
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5.2 Typology of Sites
Our study has suggested a Typology with five classifications for Peel Living sites based on key
variables, such as:
under-utilization of the land;
ease of renting and proximity to key amenities such as transit, employment and
retail/services, and therefore the ability to potentially raise market rents;
need for repairs;
energy efficiency; and
need to improve social mix.
The five classifications are:
1. Full site redevelopment. Variations within this could include:
• Peel Living redevelops and operates the whole site;
• Peel Living sells a portion of the site to a private developer and redevelops part of
site itself; and
• Peel Li i g sells all of site, uses e e ue to epla e lost u its at a othe Peel Li i g site.
2. Intensify or add housing to existing site while preserving all or most of existing buildings.
Variations within this include:
Peel Living adds to existing building/complex and operates entire development; and
Peel Living sells/long term leases a portion of land to private or other developer.
3. Increase operating revenue through increased market rents in good locations.
4. Upgrade physical state of building and/or possible energy upgrades.
5. Change market/RGI mix when it is seen to help with social issues
CLASSIFICATIONS OF 66 SITES IN 5 TYPOLOGIES
The following charts show the breakdown of Peel living sites by typology classifications then the
number of units per classification:
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Chart 17
Chart 18
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Chart A.1 in Appendix A has a full list of what sites fall into which primary category, noting that
some of the sites will have primary classifications but could also have a secondary focus (for
example building could have a primary focus on undertaking capital repairs but should also
adjust the RGI/market mix).
The typology classifications link into a number of key objectives in the long-term financial
viability.
The 20 sites with a focus on increased revenue through higher market rents will help
moderately improve the rate of increasing market rent from the base assumption of 1.8%.
The 29 buildings with a focus on the physical state of the buildings will see some improvements
in some buildings at good lo atio s, hi h ould the o e the i to a lassifi atio of increasing rental revenue. A significant number of these 29 sites would have a major focus on
capital work related to potential energy upgrades, reflecting the significant number of sites
with electric baseboard heating.
The five sites to be fully redeveloped should see a significant reduction in energy consumption
costs (four of the five sites have electric baseboard heating) helping with the long-term financial
viability of Peel Living. In newly redeveloped sites there would be many energy efficient options
for Peel Living to consider including higher levels of insulation, use of solar energy to heat hot
water or generate electricity, or geothermal heating.
The five sites to be redeveloped also bring potential to have a moderate decrease in planned
capital expenditures as these five sites have planned capital expenditures of $2.43 million in the
next 1- 5 years and a further $2.97 million in the subsequent 5- 10 years. If redevelopment
goes ahead, most of these expenditures will not be required, therefore lessening the required
capital expenditures.
5.3 Redevelopment and Intensification of Existing Peel Living
Sites
As set out in the above typologies, there are five of Peel Living sites recommended for
redevelopment as well as six recommended for intensification. Both redevelopment and
intensification of sites can be a lengthy process often lasting five years in some cases.
While the process of redevelopment can be long and detailed, there can be a significant
number of positives to redevelopment:
Replacing older stock in need of significant capital repairs with new energy efficient
housing
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Replacing walk-up units with new accessible housing
The potential to increase the number of affordable units in a community
The potential to mix more market housing with social /affordable housing on some Peel
Living sites
The potential to support more efficient use of existing municipal infrastructure through
more intensive use of sites
There are some very significant challenges as well in moving ahead with redevelopment:
The municipal planning approvals process (most sites looking to redevelop would
require at least a rezoning and in some cases an Official Plan Amendment) typically
involves 1 -2 years even if there is strong municipal planning staff support for the
proposed redevelopment/intensification.
Ministerial Consent from the Ontario Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing, with
support from the Region of Peel as Service Manager for any demolition of exiting units is
required. A full business case, highlighting a tenant relocation plan, would be required.
Only Region of Peel consent is required if there is an addition/intensification which does
not demolish any units.
The capital funding required to replace units or add additional Peel Living units is
significant, likely close to $200,000 per unit. It is assumed that Peel Living would not be
reducing its total number of housing units in a redevelopment plan (even if the
replacement units are built at a different location). While there can be some significant
revenue generated from the sales of land from its sites (estimates range from $15-
$20,000 per unit for multi-residential land sales but could be in the $20- $25,000 per
unit range for sites close to higher-order transit nodes) it should be assumed that unless
there is a conscious decision to reduce the number of Peel Living units, that there will
not be any net revenue to Peel Living from the sale of land to potential private-sector
developers because that revenue would need to be reallocated to the cost of
replacement units. There have been recent examples where Toronto Community
Housing (TCH) has tried to maximize revenue by, in addition to payment for land,
negotiating with the developer a percentage of the sales price of new condominiums
when they are being proposed as part of the redevelopment. This is an approach Peel
Living could explore to help it maximize the revenue from redevelopment but it would
not be as financially significant as the revenue to be derived from land sales.
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While land sales revenue and municipal assistance through offsetting grants for development
charges and fees can be an important help to new affordable housing development, it is likely
that any significant replacement of units would require capital assistance through Federal and
Provincial government housing funds. There have been Federal and Provincial government
announcements of a five-year extension of the Canada-Ontario Investment in Affordable
Housing Program in both the Federal and Provincial budgets of 2014, although it will likely be
late summer or early fall before full program details, including the amount of funding allocated
specifically for the Region of Peel, are made known.
In the recent Toronto Community Housing redevelopment at Regent Park, for example, Federal-
Provincial investment in Affordable Housing program funds were required in order to make the
replacement of the existing TCH units financially viable.
Studies looking at older social housing stock in other municipalities (Waterloo Region, Kawartha
Lakes and Niagara Region), indicate that unless units are sold for market value (i.e. converting
to ownership housing), rather than being demolished, there will need to be significant
additional capital funding from sources such as Federal-Provincial housing programs or other
outside sources of significant capital funding in order to create new affordable housing which
can replace the existing social housing. In general, the sale of Peel Living sites with a significant
number of units (over 40) will not produce enough revenue from land sales to offset the costs
of replacing those units.
Significant issues in redevelopment related to working with existing Peel Living residents as well
as partnering with the private sector are explored further in Appendix B.
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6. Strategic Directions and Recommendations
Strategic Choices and Opportunities for Peel Living
Looking into the next decade and beyond, Peel Living faces significant financial opportunities,
some challenges, and major strategic choices as a result.
The opportunities are created by two factors. First are real estate opportunities, as Peel Region
continues to grow and becomes more diverse, dense, and strategically located in the Greater
Toronto housing market. Second is the flexibility arising from expiry of project agreements for
the 21 sites (containing about one third of Peel Living units) funded under the 1979-1985 Sec.
95 federal housing program.
The main challenge is aging buildings. For most Peel Living properties, this creates a need for
ongoing capital repair expenditure to keep them in good condition. A second challenge is that
– like all social housing in Canada – Peel Region as service manager and Peel Living will
experience a sharp decline in annual federal subsidies over the next decade, tapering to zero by
20 years from now. This leaves Peel Region with sole responsibility for providing capital and
operating subsidies after that point. This will reinforce the need for Peel Living to reduce the
‘egio s su sid u de o t olli g ost i eases a d a i izi g i o e while continuing
to provide good service to its residents.
Other large housing providers in Ontario are dealing with similar issues of capital repairs and
have taken new approaches. Ottawa Community Housing, for example, has a larger portion of
older public housing stock than Peel Living and has focussed on borrowing on a portfolio wide
basis as a means of financing some of its capital repair backlog. Toronto Community Housing
has also taken an approach of borrowing on a portfolio wide basis in order to support part of its
redevelopment work (which eliminates capital repair backlogs in the units being redeveloped)
as well as borrowing to undertake some capital repairs.
The financial projections indicate clearly that there will be an ongoing need for operating
subsidy to allow Peel Living to remain financially viable. This operating subsidy is projected to
rise at less than the anticipated rate of inflation, meaning the cost in constant dollars to the
Region is expected to decline (as shown on Chart 10). However, significant additional subsidies
will be needed to pay for required capital repairs.
As discussed in Part 3, two of the options that might normally be open to social housing
providers and their funders will not be viable in Peel in future: covering all required work on a
pay-as-you-go basis; and reserve fund contributions and withdrawals. The most viable scenario
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appears to be financing (borrowing) for capital needs. This most low-cost approach to
borrowing by Peel Living will involve the backing of the Region. Borrowing will spread out the
cost of the capital work to an extent that it could be more affordable to both Peel Living and
the Region to carry out the work in a timely fashion while ensuring the financial burden is
manageable.
Chart 19: Effect of Capital Needs on Subsidy Requirements
The solid blue area at the base of Chart 19 shows the mandated subsidy as discussed in Section
2, with the added red area being the subsidy that would allow the portfolio to break even in
operations, using the base-case assumptions. The top shaded area shows the effect of
increasing the 2105 anticipated municipal subsidy by 2% annually (i.e. the anticipated long-term
inflation rate). The purple line shows the impact of the pay-as-you-go approach to capital
spending if the entire capital need identified in Section 3 were to be allocated. The green line
shows the effect of borrowing for capital needs as opposed to pay as you go. In summary, there
would be immediate fiscal pressure if the pay-as-you-go approach were adopted, while the
more serious impact of capital spending would be delayed through the borrowing approach.
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The latter would give enough time for operating efficiencies, decisions around sale or
redevelopment of sites or even future grants by senior governments (if any) to take effect and
improve the bottom line.
In broad terms, the borrowing scenario achieves a long-term financial impact that is much
better aligned with gradual annual increments in subsidy. The pay-as-you-go scenario creates
very large financial impacts over the next decade (approximately 2015-2025) before mortgage
debt service and associated operating subsidy requirements have fallen to lower levels.
Note once again that Chart 19 uses data from the base case. If manageable costs were to be
controlled at levels below the base case of 3% annual inflation, or if market rental income were
to rise at a faster rate than the projected 1.8% annually, then the fiscal pressure on the region
would be correspondingly less. Chart 20 shows the potential effect of two other scenarios apart
from the base case, either increasing rents to track cost increases more closely or reducing the
annual increase in manageable costs.
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Chart 20: Effect of Operating Scenarios on Total Subsidy Requirement
Apart from the impact of annual operating results on the overall subsidy requirement, there are
alternative scenarios of the capital picture that would affect subsidy. Examples are:
Peel Living determines that an FCI of 5% is an unreasonably aggressive target and that
6% (or some other target) would still yield good-quality housing,
The revised BCAs, scheduled for late 2014, show the condition of buildings is better than
expected,
Senior government(s) introduce programs to provide funding for capital retrofit and/or
energy-efficiency programs, thus reducing pressure on capital funds.
The capital and operating spending projections used in the base case are quite conservative
(though not necessarily unreasonable in the current age when costs generally are rising at
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faster rates than incomes and rents), so future performance that exceeds the assumptions
would have the direct effect of reducing the demand for Regional subsidy.
Another key direction for Peel Living is looking at redevelopment and regeneration involving a
number of its existing sites. Development opportunities exist on various Peel Living sites. These
have arisen as buildable densities change over time as due to changes in real estate market,
planning norms, the introduction of rapid transit, and as buildings age and project funding/legal
agreements expire. And on a few sites there are obsolescent buildings, such as older walk-up
apartments. Several sites are good candidates for overall redevelopment, which could be
carried out in various ways by Peel Living or in partnership with private-sector developers. This
could result in an increased number of affordable rental units; new lower-maintenance, energy-
efficient buildings; more mix of income and tenure; or financial proceeds from sale or lease of
parts of sites which can enhance the overall redevelopment or operational goals of Peel Living.
(Also, if it were decided to demolish some buildings, Peel Living could decide to cancel any
capital work already planned for them.) Finally, some sites are good candidates for intensifying
the use while retaining all or most of the existing buildings.
All this points to the strategic importance of the relation between Peel Region and its arms-
length agency, Peel Living. Decisions may be needed on whether RGI subsidy should continue
to be funded in the existing three forms. To manage the financial pressures of the next 5 to 10
years will require a financial strategy between the Region and Peel Living. Options for funding
or financing capital repairs may involve the Region either as funder or as the key to getting
favourable interest rates from Infrastructure Ontario or private lenders. Progress on measuring
Social Return on Investment (SROI) will depend on research partnerships, including the Regional
Human Services, Public Health, and Planning Departments. Redevelopment may generate sale
or lease revenues but will not easily pay for itself: it is likely to require Regional funding, or
Regional allocation of federal-provincial program funds, or a Regional role in facilitating private
financing.
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Recommendations
Operations
1. Peel Living should pursue a strategy of raising market rents in advantageous site locations,
in order to maximize market rent revenues.
Various Peel Living sites are well located: close to good transit and highways, with shopping,
schools, employment and other services nearby. Market rent units are readily rented out.
As operating agreements expire, a ket e t u its a e set at Peel Li i g s dis etio . (Sitting tenants are covered by the Residential Tenancies Act limits.)
In support of this strategy, Peel Living should undertake a market study of rent levels in key
neighbourhoods where opportunities to increase rents may exist.
2. Peel Living should attempt to set targets for increases to manageable costs that take into
account the three-year rolling average of the provincial rent guideline (and explore the
creation of operational benchmarks with similar large scale non-profit housing corporations
in Ontario), in order to reduce as much as possible the need for municipal subsidy.
3. Peel Living should analyse the options, legal aspects, revenue implications and social
impacts of switching from the current RGI scale to a shallow flat-rate housing allowance subsidy for some share of its units, when operating agreements expire.
This option has the potential to provide assistance to needy households in ways that
improve the revenue situation of Peel Living. Analysis would be required, and this option
would also involve related decisions by Peel Region as service manager.
Capital
4. Peel Living should ensure that the Building Condition Audits planned for 2014 include more
intrusive testing of its buildings; and that FCI ratings and capital budget planning for each
site should be updated upon the completion of these new BCAs.
5. Peel Living should undertake an energy and water audit in co-operation with the Region, to
identify upgrades providing the best payback and restraint of utility costs, and including
review of lessons from recent retrofit work by Peel Living or other providers.
6. Peel Living should systematically examine options, including longer term borrowing, to pay
for the additional $60 million in additional capital expenditures (over and above the
planned annual $14 million) required by 2024, on a portfolio-wide basis.
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Multi-year funding for capital work should be on a portfolio-wide basis, not a project-
specific basis. Options may include: use of reserve funds; financing (borrowing) for capital
work with the loans repaid from operating surpluses; more capital work from current
operating revenue; Regional capital funding; or other options. Enhanced capital work is
required in the near term (2014-2018) and will exceed the projected operating surpluses
until the longer term when more mortgages are paid off. Hybrids of these options may be
suitable. The $60 million is an approximate estimate, pending completion of the 2014 BCAs.
7. Peel Living should undertake future financial feasibility updates every five years, using data
from updated BCAs as these are carried out from time to time.
Redevelopment and Intensification of Sites
8. Peel Living should select two full redevelopment sites and one intensification site in late
2014 and proceed with a feasibility analysis and the creation of a business case in 2015.
The feasibility analysis and business case will identify specific costed development options.
The approach to working with existing tenants is integral in this work. It is also likely to
require discussions with the Region of Peel regarding funding from the federal-provincial
Investment in Affordable Housing (IAH) program or regional resources. In support of this
activity, Peel Living should apply for CMHC seed funding and subsequently CMHC Project
Development Funding (PDF) to help offset the costs of this predevelopment work.
Social Return on Investment
9. Peel Living should take initial steps to establish capacity to measure social return, as set out
in this report.
Measuring social return requires research capacity and research partners. The suggested
steps include establishing a working group and executive liaison group; reviewing the initial
analysis undertaken in this report and refining the directions; confirming the suggested
priority areas for SROI measurement; making better use of operational data for SROI and
considering an enhanced tenant survey; and investigating potential research partnerships.
Financial Relation of Peel Living to Peel Region
10. Peel Living should review the implications of this report as they affect its overall financial
relationship to Peel Region; determine a preferred future relationship in collaboration with
the Region as service manager; and take related transition steps.
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Key elements of the financial relationship include or potentially include: the decline over
the next few years in existing funding under the Housing Services Act; ongoing Regional
funding for the PRHC portion of the portfolio; and overall commitment to a 2 percent
annual increase in Regional funding; a Regional role in funding or financing of capital
repairs; a Regional role in funding regeneration or infill development; any adjustments to
RGI or rent supplement funding; and other matters.
Implementation of Report
11. Peel Living should pursue different priorities for each site, along the lines of the typology presented in
this report
Based on the analysis in this report, the typology identifies potential actions and needs in the
categories redevelopment, infill, raising market rent revenues, adjusting RGI/market mix, and
upgrading the physical state of buildings. This provides an integrated set of strategic priorities
reflecting the issues and potential on each site.
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