peninsula energy limited
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COMPANY PRESENTATION 2012
EMERGING PRODUCER
Disclaimer
This presentation is provided on the basis that the Company nor its representatives make any warranty (express or implied) as to the accuracy, reliability, relevance or completeness of the material contained in the Presentation and nothing contained in the Presentation is, or may be relied upon as, a promise, representation or warranty, whether as to the past or the future. The Company hereby excludes all warranties that can be excluded by law. The Presentation contains material which is predictive in nature and may be affected by inaccurate assumptions or by known and unknown risks and uncertainties, and may differ materially from results ultimately achieved. The Presentation contains “forward-looking statements”. All statements other than those of historical facts included in the Presentation are forward-looking statements including estimates of resources. However, forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed, projected or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks include, but are not limited to, gold and other metals price volatility, currency fluctuations, increased production costs and variances in ore grade or recovery rates from those assumed in mining plans, as well as political and operational risks and governmental regulation and judicial outcomes. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to any “forward-looking statement” to reflect events or circumstances after the date of the Presentation, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. All persons should consider seeking appropriate professional advice in reviewing the Presentation and all other information with respect to the Company and evaluating the business, financial performance and operations of the Company. Neither the provision of the Presentation nor any information contained in the Presentation or subsequently communicated to any person in connection with the Presentation is, or should be taken as, constituting the giving of investment advice to any person. Presentation does not relate to any securities which will be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 nor any securities which may be offered or sold in the United States or to a US person unless registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or in a transaction exempt from registration. The Exploration and Target Potential described in this presentation is conceptual in nature, and there is insufficient information to establish whether further exploration will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource.
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Company Overview
• Emerging uranium producer with established project pipeline
• Flagship project in Wyoming (Lance) and South Africa (Karoo)
Lance
• 2.2mlbs U3O8 pa ramping up over 3 years
• Low Capex - Initial development expenditure US$78m
• US$251 million NPV8%
Karoo
• Exploration potential 150mlbs U3O8
• Targeting 30mlbs U3O8 2012
• Targeting Development CY16/CY17
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TARGETTING PRODUCTION Q4/13-Q1/14
Business Plan
• PRODUCTION TARGET 10MLBS U308 – before 2025
• From USA, RSA and Australia
• Commence ISR production at Lance Projects, Wyoming in 2013-14
building to 2.2mlbs U3O8 pa over 3 years (plant capacity 3mlbs pa)
• Develop conventional mining and milling operation at Karoo Projects,
South Africa by 2016/17 building to 3mlbs pa
• Continue to develop the mineral potential
Wyoming: 104-163mlbs U3O8
Karoo: 100-150mlbs U3O8
• Acquire an identified third project in a third geographical location and
develop a further 3mlbs pa
4
UNDERPIN BALANCE SHEET WITH PROFIT FROM LANCE PROJECTS
Market Valuation
Peninsula Energy indicative market valuation as a function of production
5
Company
Production
2011E
(U3O8 lbs)
Market cap Market cap
(US$/lb prod)
Pre-
Fukushima
market cap
Market cap
(US$/lb prod)
Cameco 21.7m US$8,010m 369 US$14,324m 660
Paladin 5.7m US$942m 165 US$3,677m 645
Uranium One 10.5m US$2,430m 231 US$5,704m 548
Production U3O8
(lbs pa)
Implied market cap
@ US$255/lb
Implied market cap
@ US$600/lb
2.2m US$561m US$1,320m
6.0m US$1,530m US$3,600m
10.0m US$2,550m US$6,000m
SIGNIFICANT RE-RATING UPSIDE
Share price history
Corporate Overview
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Shareholding Shares % holding
Pala Investments 505m 19.85%
HSBC 66m 2.62%
John (Gus) Simpson 91m 4.61%
JP Morgan
Top 20 Shareholders
53m
826m
2.12%
32.26%
Capitalisation
Shares on issue 2,510m
Share price 3.0c
Market capitalisation US$76m
Cash balance US$20m
Debt US$0
Enterprise value US$56m
STRONG SHAREHOLDER SUPPORT
Directors and Management
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Management
Board of Directors
Gus Simpson
Executive Chairman
Strong leadership, background in resources, corporate finance and project
management ; 25 years experience
Malcolm James
Finance Director
Chartered accountant ,strong corporate finance background and project
management ; 25 years experience
Alf Gillman
Technical Director
Highly experienced uranium geologist; 35 years experience
Warwick Grigor
Non-executive Director
Experienced mining analyst and corporate director
Michael Barton
Non-executive Director
Chartered accountant with strong background in resources and finance
Management
Glenn Black
COO, CEO South Africa
Senior management engineer mine construction and African operations; 30 years
experience
Ralph Knode
CEO Wyoming
Senior management geologist /engineer, ISR mine construction and operation
expert ; 25 years experience
Tony Allen
Chief Financial Officer
Chartered Accountant and experienced mineral production CFO
DEVELOPMENT TEAM ENGAGED
Existing Demand Drivers
• One ton of natural uranium produces more than 40 million kilowatt-
hours of electricity
• This is equivalent to burning 16,000 tons of coal or 80,000 barrels of
oil
• Electricity generation costs
– Gas and coal costs 5.0c per Kwh
– Nuclear costs 0.7c per Kwh
• 434 operating nuclear power stations (Feb 2012) in 31 countries
• 240 research and medical isotope reactors
• 140 nuclear powered ships
• Consuming 200mlbs uranium p.a.
8 STRONG EXISTING DEMAND
Future Uranium Demand
• Global expansion of nuclear power generation will fuel significant increase in U3O8 demand
• 61 nuclear power plants are in construction, 156 are at the approval stage and a further 450 are planned
• China, India, Eastern Europe and the Middle East expected to increase uranium consumption by 250% by 2030
9 Source : UxConsulting Q2 2012
Reactor units U3O8 demand (mlbs pa)
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
North America 124 126 129 127 131 52 54 59 59 60
Western Europe 129 118 116 111 97 54 55 58 53 52
Eastern Europe 67 76 78 85 91 29 33 38 40 44
Asia & Oceania (ex
Japan) 69 101 143 182 223 23 44 67 85 108
Japan 54 43 44 42 35 23 24 26 25 22
Africa & Middle East 2 3 7 15 22 1 1 5 10 12
South America 4 6 6 8 11 2 3 3 4 7
TOTAL 441 470 523 570 617 184 213 255 276 293
Reactor Units and Market Demand Forecasts by Region
DEVELOPING NATIONS REQUIRE LOW EMISION POWER
Uranium Supply
• Kazakhstan ISL U3O8 production spectacular growth - slowing – 2000: 5mlbs
– 2008: 18mlbs
– 2009: 36mlbs
– 2011: 44mlbs
– 2012: 44mlbs (est.)
• Megatons to Megawatts program coming to an end
– Uranium recovery from nuclear warheads
– US utilities buying 24mlbs pa
– Agreement expires at the end of 2013
• Fukushima more likely to impact supply rather than demand in long term
– 20mlbs delivery suspended due to Fukushima spot price suffering
– Trekopje 7mlbs pa(NBA), Olympic Dam add. 9mlbs pa ( SA),
Bakouma 7mlbs pa (CAR), Kintyre 6mlbs pa (WA)
– Ranger (NT Australia), Rossing (Namibia)
– Hathor (Saskatchewan), Mkuju River (Tanzania), Husab (Namibia),
– Paladin ($200m pre-payment), UAE (forward purchase multi suppliers)
– EdF taken 20 yr contract with AREVA for 60mlbs
10 DEMAND FUNDEMENTALS STRONG – SUPPLY GROWTH NEEDED
Supply Deficit Looming
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0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
(90,000)
(60,000)
(30,000)
0
30,000
60,000
90,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Net Balance (LHS) World Supply (RHS) World Requirements (RHS)
(000 lbs) (000 lbs)
Supply Deficit
Global uranium supply-demand balance
LANCE PRODUCTION COMMENCES AS SUPPLY DEFICIT INCREASES
Uranium Price Forecast
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$0
$15
$30
$45
$60
$75
$90
$105
$120
$135
$150
87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
© UxC
Historical Spot Ux U3O8 Price
Long-Term vs Spot
Composite Scenario
Historical Ux Long-Term U3O8 Price
Source: UxConsulting
LONG TERM CONTRACTS - PREMIUM OVER SPOT PRICE
Uranium Mining in Wyoming
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URANIUM EXTRACTION SUPPORTIVE STATE
Lance – Development Model
• Building a 2.2mlbs per year ISR operation
• ISR is a low cost non-disruptive method of recovering uranium as yellow cake
• Inclusive of – Ion exchange facility
– centralised resin stripping, drying and packaging plant at Ross (CPP)
– Remote ion exchange facility at Barber trucking resin to CPP
• Targeting development & production in 2013/14
• 3 stage development ramping up over 3 years
• Acquisition of other projects
• Possible expansion to permit capacity 3mlbpa
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Central Processing Plant: Reverse Osmosis System, Brine Tanks (rear)
Central Processing Plant: Ion Exchange Vessels (left), Elution circuit (right)
PROVEN TECHNOLOGY – ISR PRODUCES 42% OF WORLD URANIUM
Lance – Financials
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Financials – Steady State US$ p.a US$/lb
Gross revenue US$179m US$70.00*
Royalties and indirect taxes US$20m US$9.26
Operating costs US$28m US$12.83
Restoration and closure
costs US$7m US$2.94
Wellfield development costs US$40m US$14.21
Total operating costs US$95m US$39.24
EBITDA US$84m US$41.63
Pre-tax NPV 8% US$251m
* December 2012 base price escalated
Capex by Prod. Phase US$
Phase 1 :
Ross Production Unit
(750klbs pa)
US$56m
Phase 2 :
Kendrick Production
Unit
(750klbs pa)
US$39m
Phase 3 :
Barber Production Unit
(750klbs pa)
US$40m
ROBUST ECONOMICS
Lance – Exploration Potential • 13 Historic resources
• 22 roll fronts extend for a combined linear strike length of 194 miles (312km)
• Exploration potential
104-163mlbs U3O8
16 FURTHER SIGNIFICANT RESOURCE POTENTIAL
Lance – Rapid Resource Growth
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3,644,099 3,813,347 3,835,486 4,014,475 3,960,000
5,587,760 6,681,340 7,500,039 10,697,540 11,130,000
15,955,169
22,454,321
30,178,789
36,783,402
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
March 2010 July 2010 January 2011 July 2011 March 2012
lbs U
3O
8
Inferred
Indicated
Measured
No. PEN holes
No. NuBeth holes
4,738
4,738
4,738
4,738
4,738
281
600
805
1,106
1,854
ONGOING EXPLORATION SUCCESS & RESOURCE CONVERSION
Lance – Permitting on Schedule • Deep Disposal Wells
− DDW feasibility study completed
− Licence application lodged
− Environmental and technical review completed
− Licence granted 30 March 2011
− Aquifer is deemed exempt
• NRC Source Material Licence − Technical reports completed
− Environmental reports completed
− Licence application deemed complete
− Environmental and technical review completed
− Grant of draft SML - Nov. 2012 (NRC est.)
− BLM acknowledged NRC lead
• WDEQ Permit to Mine − Technical reports completed
− Environmental reports completed
− Licence application deemed complete
− Environmental and technical review completed
− Environmental bonds lodged
− 4 week public notice period completed
− No objections after PNP
− Grant of PTM - Nov. 2012
− Air Quality Permit granted
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PERMITTING AHEAD OF REGULATORY SCHEDULES
Lance – Uranium Sales
• First sale contract entered into in February 2011
– USA utility
– WAP $75.60 per lb
– 7 year contract – first delivery 2013
• Planned sales structure
– 30% to a strategic partner taking an investment in Peninsula Energy
– 40% to 3-4 utilities on long-term contracts
– 30% on the spot market
• Negotiations advancing with utilities and trading houses
• Strategic relationship: Boswell Capital
– Specialist uranium advisory group
– Ongoing role evaluating juniors for utilities
– Completed DD on PEN
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STRATEGIC PARTNERING AND LONG TERM CONTRACTS
Lance – Development Schedule
20 DEVELOPMENT SCHEDULES ON TRACK
2012 2013
PROJECT EVALUATION ✔ ✔ ✔
ENGINEERING / PROCUREMENT
PERMITTING
Deep Disposal Wells ✔
Permit To Mine
Source Material License (SML)
Project FUNDING
Stage 1 - $30
Stage 2 - $145m
CONSTRUCTION
Pre SML License
Post SML License
Karoo – Geological Setting
• Sandstones of the Adelaide Subgroup (Beaufort Group)
• SW of the Karoo basin
• Extends from NE of Western Cape, across SE of Northern Cape, and into Free State
• Stretches east to Cradock in the Eastern Cape includes smaller satellite area located to the ENE of Bloemfontein
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KNOWN URANIUM PROVINCE
Karoo Projects
• 6 project areas (2,200 sqkm) over Permian sandstones of the Karoo Basin South Africa
• Ownership: Peninsula 74%, BEE Partners 26%
• 3 project areas contain historic resources
• The Karoo Basin is a known uranium and molybdenum mineralised province
• All sites contain outcropping to sub-cropping uranium and molybdenum anomalism
• Resource statement expected in Dec. 2012- Mar. 2013
• Feasibility work planned for 2H/2013 commencement
• Test work indicate most sites would likely be amenable to mining by combination of open pit and adit mining
22 SIGNIFICANT RESOURCES
Karoo – Mineral Potential
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Exploration
potential
Tonnes (m) Grade (ppm U3O8)
Contained U3O8 (mlbs)
From To From To From To
Total 72 120 1,200 1,400 93 156
Mineral Tonnes Grade (ppm eU3O8) Contained eU3O8
(mlbs)
Site 22 1,480 2.8
Site 45 700 4.3
Site 29 1,050 0.7
TARGETTING 93-156 MLBS U308
Karoo – Conceptual Development Model
• Multiple open-pits;
with central
processing facility at
Site 29
• All sites within road-
hauling distance
• Planning
development in
2016/2017
• Continue to delineate
> 120mlbs of
uranium
mineralisation
24
CONVENTIONAL MINING
Investment Analysis
• The uranium sector is at a historic low
• Increased demand and tightening supply will lift the
whole uranium sector
• Uranium producers attract a significant premium
• Peninsula is a near term uranium producer with high
liquidity, high margins and strong financial support
• The Company has a low risk, clear path to production
and the ability to expand this from its existing projects
• This information is not yet recognised by the market
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MAJOR SECTOR AND COMPANY RE-RATING COMING