peter black, director of one health australian department of agriculture, fisheries and forestry
DESCRIPTION
Full video here: www.catchtalk.tv/events/gfia2014/videos/peter-black-director-of-one-health-australian-department-of-agriculture-fisheries-and-forestryTRANSCRIPT
MR PETER BLACK DIRECTOR OF ONE HEALTH
AUSTRALIAN DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, FISHERIES AND FORESTRY
Food system trade-offs: what do we really want ?
Peter Black BVSc MPVM MSc MACVSc Director, One Health Contact: [email protected]
Global Forum for Innovations in Agriculture
3-5 February, Abu Dhabi, UAE
Inputs
Strategy
Outputs
Analysis
Interpretation
“what might we need to do?”
“what will we do?”
“how will we do it?”
“what’s really happening?”
“what seems to be happening?”
look and see what’s happening
Foresight Copyright © 2000 Joseph Voros
Prospection “what might happen?”
Generic Foresight Process
Possible, Probable and Preferred Futures
Probable Futures
Possible Futures
Today Tomorrow
Preferred future
Adapted from
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005)
Context
GFIA 2014
Focus: Consequences of Ecosystem Change for Human Well-being
GFIA 2014
Global
National/Landscape
Community
Individual
Group
Regional
Key issues Research variables
Scale issues
Where to focus? It depends!!! Slide draws on work from David Waltner – Toews
GFIA 2014
GFIA 2014
Useful metrics to consider
GFIA 2014
Source: Robert Gonsalves paintings
The human dimension