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From heterogeneous microscopic traffic flow models to macroscopic models Pierre Cardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine Joint work with N. Forcadel (INSA Rouen) May 18, 2020

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Page 1: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

From heterogeneous microscopic traffic flow models tomacroscopic models

Pierre CardaliaguetUniversité Paris Dauphine

Joint work with N. Forcadel (INSA Rouen)

May 18, 2020

Page 2: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

The problem of modelling traffic flow

§ By which laws do vehicles interact with each other?§ Temporal evolution of traffic density?

Page 3: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

What we address here

§ Traffic on a single line§ No overtaking

Page 4: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Two classical models of traffic flow

We study traffic flow models on a single straight road (without overtake).

Two kinds of models:

1) Microscopic models: e.g., the follow-the-leader model is a system ofODEs

ddt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z.

2) Macroscopic models: e.g., the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR)model is the scalar conservation law

Btρ` pρvpρqqx “ 0 in Rˆ p0,`8q,

(M. J. Lighthill and G. B. Whitham (1955), P. I. Richards (1956))

Page 5: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

The follow-the-leader model

i=0 i=1 i=2i=-1i=-2

U-2(t)U

-2(t) U

-1(t) U

0(t) U

1(t) U

2(t)

ddt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

where§ Uiptq denotes the position of car i P Z at time t ě 0,§ Cars are ordered: Uiptq ď Ui`1ptq for all t, i ,§ The velocity V “ V ppq ě 0 of car i depends in an increasing way onthe distance p of car i to car i ` 1.

Page 6: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Vz(h)

hz0

0

V zmax

h

Figure: Typical shape of the optimal velocity function V .

Page 7: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Properties of the follow-the-leader model

ddt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

§ Compute trajectories of each vehicle

§ Can be extended to multiple lanes

§ At the core of most micro-simulators

§ Good for simulation

(cf. Seibold, B. (2015). A mathematical introduction to traffic flow theory.IPAM Tutorials.)

Page 8: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

The LWR Model

The Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) model is the scalar conservation law

Btρ` pρvpρqqx “ 0 in Rˆ p0,`8q,

where§ ρ is the density of vehicles on the road,§ v : R` Ñ R`. The map f pρq “ ρvpρq is the so-called “fundamentaldiagram"

Properties of the LWR model:§ Describe aggregate quantities via PDE§ Natural framework for traveling waves and shocks

Page 9: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

The fundamental diagram f pρq “ ρvpρq

(after Seo, T., Kawasaki, Y., Kusakabe, T., & Asakura, Y. (2019))

Page 10: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Goal of the talk

§ Discuss how to derive the LWR model

Btρ` pρvpρqqx “ 0 in Rˆ p0,`8q,

from the follow-the-leader modelddt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z.

§ Well-known when all the vehicles are identical, i.e., V does not dependon i . Then f pρq “ ρvpρq “ ρV p1ρq (Aw, Klar, Materne, and Rascle (2002))

§ The fact that the vehicles are identical is a very restrictive (andunatural) assumption.

§ Main contribution: we address the case where the vehicles are different:ddt Uiptq “ VipUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

where the distribution of the Vi is “well distributed".

Page 11: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

From an homogeneous traffic flow...ddt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z, f pρq “ ρV p1ρq

i=0 i=1 i=2i=-1i=-2

U-2(t)U

-2(t) U

-1(t) U

0(t) U

1(t) U

2(t)

... to an heterogenous one:ddt Uiptq “ VipUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

i=0 i=1 i=2i=-1i=-2

U-2(t)U

-2(t) U

-1(t) U

0(t) U

1(t) U

2(t)

Page 12: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 13: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 14: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 15: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 16: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Heuristic derivation of the macro model from the micro oneThe microscopic model: d

dt Uiptq “ V pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,The macroscopic model (LWR): Btρ` pρvpρqqx “ 0 in Rˆ p0,`8q

§ Consider the distribution of vehicles Rptq “ÿ

iPZδUi ptq.

§ After an hyperbolic scaling px , tq Ñ pε´1x , ε´1tq, we obtainρεptq “ ε

ÿ

iPZδεUi pε´1tq.

§ Then, for any test function φ P C8c pRq,

ddt

ż

Rφpxqρεpdx , tq “ d

dt εÿ

iPZφpεUipε

´1tqq

“ εÿ

iPZφx pεUipε

´1tqq ddt Uipε

´1tq

“ εÿ

iPZφx pεUipε

´1tqq V`

Upi`1qpε´1tq ´ Uipε

´1tq˘

§ Next we show that Upi`1qpε´1tq ´ Uipε

´1tq » 1`

ρεpUipε´1tq

˘

.

Page 17: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

§ Proof that Upi`1qpε´1tq ´ Uipε

´1tq » 1`

ρεpUipε´1tq

˘

:

Indeed, if x “ εUipε´1tqq and dx “ εpUpi`1qpε

´1tq ´ Uipε´1tqq, then,

ρεprx , x ` dxq, tq “ ε cardtj P Z, εUjpε´1tq P rx , x ` dxqq “ ε,

so that

ρεpx , tq » ρεprx , x ` dxq, tq pdxq´1 “ ε pdxq´1

“ pUpi`1qpε´1tq ´ Uipε

´1tqq´1.

§ As ρεptq “ εř

iPZ δεUi pε´1tq, we have

ddt

ż

Rφpxqρεpdx , tq » ε

ÿ

iPZφx pεUipε

´1tqqVˆ

1ρεpεUipε´1tq, tq

˙

ż

Rφx pxqV

ˆ

1ρεpx , tq

˙

ρεpdx , tq.

§ So ρε solves pLWRq Btρε ` pρεvpρεqqx “ 0 in the sense of

distribution with vpsq “ V p1sq.

Page 18: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Some references

Rigorous derivation of the macroscopic model from the microscopic one:§ For one type of vehicles:

§ Argall, Cheleshkin, Greenberg, Hinde, and Lin (2002)§ Aw, Klar, Materne, and Rascle (2002)§ Di Francesco and Rosini (2015)§ Goatin and Rossi (2017)§ Holden and Risebro (2018)

§ For several types of cars:§ Chiabaut, Leclercq, and Buisson (2010)

(random model, heuristic derivation)§ Forcadel and Salazar (2015)

(periodic setting)

Page 19: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Another heuristic derivation (through Hamilton-Jacobi)

The microscopic model: ddt Uiptq “ VipUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

The macroscopic model (LWR): Btρ` pρvpρqqx “ 0 in Rˆ p0,`8q

§ Let up¨, tq be the piecewise affine map such that upi , tq “ Uiptq for alli P Z.

§ We consider the hyperbolic scaling: uεpx , tq “ εupε´1x , ε´1tq.§ If ρεptq “ ε

ÿ

iPZδεUi pε´1tq, one can show that ρεptq “ Bx puεq´1p¨, tq.

§ If x “ εi ,

Btuεpx , tq “ddt

`

εUipε´1tq

˘

“ddt Uipε

´1tqq “ VipUi`1pε´1tq ´ Uipε

´1tqq

“ Vrxεs`

ε´1puεpx ` ε, tq ´ uεpx , tqq˘

» VrxεspBxuεpx , tqq.

§ So uε “solves” the HJ equation: Btuεpx , tq “ VrxεspBxuεpx , tqqfrom which one expect to derive (LWR).

Page 20: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Some references (cont’d)

The proof based on Hamilton-Jacobi is related to the analysis of theFrenkel-Kontorova models:

§ Aubry (1983), Aubry and Le Daeron (1983),§ Forcadel, Imbert, and Monneau (2009)

Our work is within the framework of (stochastic) homogenization of HJequations:

§ Lions, Papanicolaou, and Varadhan (1987): periodic setting§ Souganidis (1999), Rezakhanlou and Tarver (2000): convergence§ Armstrong, C., Souganidis: convergence rate§ Subsequent works by Armstrong, Ciomaga, Davini, Feldman, Kosygina,Lin, Lions, C., Nolen, Novikov, Schwab, Seeger, Smart, Souganidis,Tran, Varadhan, Yilmaz, Zeitouni...

Page 21: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 22: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

A random microscopic model

We consider a random version of the follow-the-leader model:

ddt Uiptq “ VZi pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z,

where§ Uiptq denotes the position of car i at time t,§ Cars are ordered: Uiptq ď Ui`1ptq for all t, i ,§ The velocity V “ VZi ppq of car i depends on the distance p of car i tocar i ` 1 and on the “type” Zi of car i

§ The types are pZiq are I.I.D. random variables.

(cf. N. Chiabaut, L. Leclercq, and C. Buisson (2010))

Page 23: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Assumptions

On the optimal velocity map V : Z ˆ R` Ñ R`, we assume the following:pH1q The map pz , pq Ñ Vzppq is uniformly continuous on Z ˆ R` and

p Ñ Vzppq is Lipschitz continuous, uniformly with respect to z P Z;pH2q For any z P Z, there exists hz

0 ą 0 (depending in a measurable way onz) such that Vzppq “ 0 for all p P r0, hz

0s;pH3q For any z P Z, p Ñ Vzppq is increasing in rhz

0,`8q;pH4q There exists Vmax ą 0 and, for any z P Z, there exists V z

max ď Vmax,such that limpÑ`8 Vzppq “ V z

max.

pH5q If we set Vmax :“ infzPZ V zmax, then lim

θÑVmax´E”

V´1Z0pθq

ı

“ `8.

Page 24: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Vz(h)

hz0

0

V zmax

h

Figure: Schematic representation of the optimal velocity functions.

Page 25: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Main result (1)

Scaling: For ε ą 0, we consider an initial condition pUε,0i q such that there

exists a Lipschitz continuous function u0 : RÑ R with

limεÑ0, εiÑx

εUε,0i “ u0pxq,

locally uniformly with respect to x . Let pUεi q be the solution of

ddt Uε

i ptq “ VZi pUεi`1ptq ´ Uε

i ptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z.

with initial condition pUε,0i q.

We want to study the limit

upx , tq :“ limεÑ0, εpi ,sqÑpx ,tq

εUεi psq

Page 26: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Main result (2)

Theorem (C.-Forcadel)Under assumptions pH1q ´ pH5q, the limit

upx , tq :“ limεÑ0, εpi ,sqÑpx ,tq

εUεi psq

exists a.s., locally uniformly in px , tq, and u is the unique (deterministic)viscosity solution of

"

Btu “ F pBxuq in Rˆs0,`8rupx , 0q “ u0pxq in R

where the effective velocity F : r0,`8q Ñ r0,Vmaxq is the continuous andincreasing map defined by

§ F ppq “ 0 if p ď h0 where h0 :“ ErhZ00 s,

§ and F ppq is the unique solution to ErV´1Z0pF ppqqs “ p if p ą h0.

Page 27: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Link with the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) modelWe consider the (rescaled) empirical density of cars:

ρεptq “ εÿ

iPZδεUε

i ptεq, t ě 0.

Corollary [Convergence to the LWR model]As εÑ 0, ρεptq converges, a.s., in distribution and locally uniformly in time,to the density of cars

ρptq :“ up¨, tq7dx ,

where u is the solution of the limit HJ equation. If, in addition, there existsC ą 0 such that

C´1 ď Bxu0pxq ď C ,

then ρ has an absolutely continuous density which is locally bounded and isthe entropy solution of the LWR model

pLWRq Btρ` Bx pρvpρqq “ 0 in Rˆ R`,

with vpρq “ F p1ρq.

Page 28: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Sketch of proof of the corollary

§ Let ϕ P C0c pRq. Then, for any t 1 ě 0,

ż

Rϕpxqρεpdx , t 1q “ ε

ÿ

iPZϕpεUε

i pt 1εqq “ż

RϕpεUε

rxεspt1εqqdx .

§ As εprxεs, t 1εq Ñ px , tq as εÑ 0 and t 1 Ñ t, the main Theoremimplies:

limεÑ0, t1Ñt

ż

Rϕpxqρεpdx , tq “

ż

Rϕpupx , tqqdx

ż

Rϕpxqdpup¨, tq7dxq “

ż

Rϕpxqρpdx , tq.

This proves that ρεptq converges locally uniformly in time and in thesense of measures to ρptq :“ up¨, tq7dx .

§ This implies that ρ is an entropy solution to (LWR) (Caselles (1992)).

l

Page 29: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Outline

Heuristic arguments in the homogeneous case

Main results

Ideas of proof

Page 30: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Preliminary results on the micro model

Lemma [Uniform bounds]Let Ui be a solution of

pMicroq ddt Uiptq “ VZi pUi`1ptq ´ Uiptqq, t ě 0,@i P Z.

Then, for all t ě 0,0 ď Uiptq ´ Uip0q ď Vmaxt.

We also have the following comparison principle:Proposition [Comparison]Let Ui and Ui be two solutions of (Micro) such that there exists i0 P Z with

Uip0q ď Uip0q @i ě i0.

ThenUiptq ď Uiptq @t ě 0 and i ě i0.

Page 31: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Construction of the effective velocity

Recall that h0 :“ ErhZ00 s. Given p ą h0, we consider the solution Up to the

problem with linear initial condition:

ddt Up

i ptq “ VZi pUpi`1ptq ´ Up

i ptqq, t ě 0, Upi p0q “ p i @i ě 0.

Proposition [Convergence for linear initial conditions]There exists Ω0 P F with PpΩ0q “ 1 such that for every p ě 0, i P N andω P Ω0

limtÑ`8

Upi ptqt “ F ppq @i ě 0,

where the continuous and non-decreasing map F : R` Ñ R` is defined by§ F ppq “ 0 if p ď h0 where h0 :“ ErhZ0

0 s,§ ErV´1

Z0pF ppqqs “ p if p ą h0.

Page 32: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Main argument of the proof of the proposition: CorrectorsGiven θ P p0,Vmaxq, we consider the random sequence pcθi qiě0 defined by

cθ0 “ 0, cθi`1 “ cθi ` V´1Zipθq i ě 0.

In other words,VZi pcθi`1 ´ cθi q “ θ @i ě 0.

Thus, if we set Uθi ptq “ cθi ` tθ, we have

ddt Uθ

i ptq “ θ “ VZi pcθi`1 ´ cθi q “ VZi pUθi`1ptq ´ Uθ

i ptqq.

So the pUθi q are the correctors of the problem.

By the law of large numbers, there exists Ω0 with PpΩ0q “ 1 such that forevery ω P Ω0, we have

cθii “

1i

i´1ÿ

j“0V´1

Zjpθq Ñ E

V´1Z0pθq

ı

as i Ñ `8.

Page 33: PierreCardaliaguet Université Paris Dauphine€¦ · Thefollow-the-leadermodel d dt U iptq VpU i 1ptq U iptqq,t ¥0,@i PZ, where U iptqdenotesthepositionofcari PZ attimet ¥0, Carsareordered:

Open problems

‚ Convergence rate

‚ Models with local perturbations(cf. Forcadel-Salazar-Zaydan (2017),deterministic setting)

‚ Models with several roads(cf. Forcadel-Salazar (2019), twooutgoing roads)