pipeline options for canadian crude oil to the us gulf coast
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Presentation to the Wyoming Pipeline Authority. October 24, 2006. Casper, WY. Pipeline options for Canadian crude oil to the US Gulf Coast. Forward Looking Statements. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Pipeline options for Canadian crude oil to the US Gulf Coast Pipeline options for Canadian crude oil to the US Gulf Coast
Presentation to the Wyoming Pipeline Authority Presentation to the Wyoming Pipeline Authority
October 24, 2006October 24, 2006
Casper, WYCasper, WY
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Forward Looking StatementsForward Looking Statements
Certain information provided in this presentation constitutes forward-looking statements. The words "anticipate", "expect", "project" and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward looking statements. Although Enbridge believes that these statements are based on information and assumptions which are current, reasonable and complete, these statements are necessarily subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, economic conditions and commodity prices. You can find a discussion of those risks and uncertainties in our SEC filings. While Enbridge makes these forward-looking statements in good faith, should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary significantly from those expected. Enbridge assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements made herein or otherwise, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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Rocky Mountain Issues
Expected growth from the WCSB
Enbridge pipeline transportation solutions1. Spearhead Pipeline
2. Southern Access
3. Alberta Clipper
4. Gateway
5. US Gulf Coast
AgendaAgenda
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Rocky Mountain Region Issues & SolutionsRocky Mountain Region Issues & Solutions
Guernsey, Wyoming hub has been oversupplied
Canadian production and Williston Basin production in Montana and North Dakota has increased dramatically
Oversupply has led to increased demand for transportation into other markets
Portions of the Enbridge North Dakota system have been prorated
Enbridge North Dakota has implemented Capacity Initiatives and Mainline Segment Expansions
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Expected growth from the WCSB:• Current production 2.4 MMbpd• 3.0 MMbpd by 2010, an increase of 25%• 4.0 MMbpd by 2015, an increase of 67%
Enbridge pipeline transportation solutions1. Spearhead Pipeline2. Southern Access Expansion3. Southern Access Extension4. Alberta Clipper
Access to new markets for WCSB production will be required.
Target: US Gulf CoastUS Gulf Coast
Supply Growth and Transportation SolutionsSupply Growth and Transportation Solutions
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Alberta Clipper and Southern Access Capacity ExpansionsAlberta Clipper and Southern Access Capacity Expansions
System capacity expansions to improve access from Hardisty
Southern Access Expansion – Approved & under construction
Southern Access Extension – Regulatory Application filed, pending approval
Alberta Clipper – Commercial Concept, Regulatory Application to be filed Q1 2007
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GatewayGateway
Oil pipeline 525 kbpd capacity
725 miles of 36” pipe
Condensate pipeline193 kbpd capacity725 miles of 20” pipe
Mainline Terminal5.5 MM bbl tankage (oil)1.5 MM bbl tankage
(Condensate)2 tanker berths
Finalizing Anchor ShippersQ4 2006 Regulatory filing
pending commercial certainty
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USGC Access USGC Access
USGC Proposed Pipeline Options:
1. Flanagan to Houston
2. Patoka to Beaumont
3. Patoka to St. James
4. Hardisty to Houston
Proposed options are all greenfield projects which Enbridge can develop independently and in a timely manner. Other options are being considered (i.e. utilizing existing pipelines owned by others) but are not addressed in this presentation.
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USGC MapUSGC Map
Key Points:
Gulf Coast, largest US refining area
Viable destination for Oilsands growth
Options 1-3 efficiently build upon proposed Clipper & S.A. projects
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USGC Summary of OptionsUSGC Summary of Options
Hardisty to USGC
Illustrative Toll (2011) ($US/bbl)
Estimated in-Service Date
Hardisty to USGC Approximate Transit Time
(Days)
Option 1
30” Flanagan to Cushing, 30” Cushing to Houston
4.30 2011 31
Option 2
30” Patoka to Beaumont 3.95 2011 29
Option 3
30” Patoka to St. James3.75 2011 27
Option 4
36” Hardisty to Houston 3.95 2011-12 33
* Tolls include power * Capacity 400 kbpd
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USGC Access Considerations as it Affects WyomingUSGC Access Considerations as it Affects Wyoming
Wyoming support may help accelerate ROW access in certain areas
Intermediate receipt or delivery points in Wyoming need to be examined
Access to Wyoming refineries
Pipeline operations, crude quality, tankage
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USGC Access Next Steps USGC Access Next Steps
Continue to define project scope through ongoing dialogue with interested shippers
Run further toll analysis as project scope and cost estimates are better defined
Continue to examine alternative options
Finalize scope: Q4/2006
Open Season: Q1/2007
Execute agreements: Q2/2007
Pipeline options for Canadian crude oil to the US Gulf Coast Pipeline options for Canadian crude oil to the US Gulf Coast
Presentation to the Wyoming Pipeline Authority Presentation to the Wyoming Pipeline Authority
October 24, 2006October 24, 2006
Casper, WYCasper, WY
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Historical & Forecast SupplyMarket Unconstrained CaseHistorical & Forecast SupplyMarket Unconstrained Case
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1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
(000 BPD)
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(000 BPD)
Conventional LightConventional Light
Synthetic LightSynthetic Light
Raw BitumenRaw Bitumen
Conventional HeavyConventional HeavyPentanes PlusPentanes Plus
Synthetic HeavySynthetic Heavy
ForecastHistorical
2006 Survey Potential
2006 Risked Supply
2006 CAPP Forecast 2006 NEB Forecast