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Planetary Science R&A Jonathan Rall Planetary Science R&A Lead Planetary Science Subcommittee Meeting Washington, DC March 30, 2015

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Page 1: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Planetary Science R&A

Jonathan RallPlanetary Science R&A Lead

Planetary Science Subcommit tee Meet ingWashington, DCMarch 30, 2015

Page 2: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

PSD  R&A  ROSES  14  Program  Name   Step-­‐1  Due  Date   Step-­‐2  Due  Date  

Emerging  Worlds  (EW)   03/31/2014   06/04/2014  Exoplanets  (XRP)   03/31/2014   05/23/2014  Exobiology   04/14/2014   06/03/2014  Solar  System  Obs.  (SSO)   04/07/2014   06/06/2014  MatISSE   04/21/2014   06/20/2014  Laboratory  Analysis  of  Returned  Sample  (LARS)   04/28/2014   06/27/2014  Solar  System  Workings  (SSW)   05/23/2014   07/25/2014  Planetary  Data  Archiving,  Resto,  Tools  (PDART)   07/17/2014   09/17/2014  Discovery  Data  Analysis  (DDAP)   07/21/2014   09/19/2014  Planetary  Sci./Tech.  Throu  Analog  Research  (PSTAR)   07/25/2014   09/26/2014  Cassini  Data  Analysis  (CDAP)   07/28/2014   09/26/2014  Mars  Data  Analysis  (MDAP)   08/04/2014   10/03/2014  Lunar  Data  Analysis  (LDAP)   08/29/2014   10/24/2014  PICASSO   09/15/2014   11/14/2014  Habitable  Worlds  (HW)   11/24/2014   01/23/2015  

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Proposal  Decisions  Program  Name   Step-­‐1  

Submissions  Step-­‐2  

Submissions  Selected  

(*  Pending)  

EW     219   159   32  

SSW     509   384   56*  

Exobiology  

SSO    

186  

99  

144  

71  

Pending  

21  

PDART   143   100   20*  

CDAPS   101   78   19*  

DDAP   32   27   10  

LARS   29   24   9  

XRP    

MDAP  

LDAP  

PSTAR  

168  

139  

82  

69  

134  

104  

51  

46  

21/11†  

Pending  

Pending  

7  

HW  

MatISSE  

110  

55  

72  

44  

Review  Pending  

5*  

PICASSO   112   96   Pending  

Page 4: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Trends  in  the  PSD  R&A  Program  2004-­‐2013  

Big  thanks  to  Susan  Keddie,  Michael  New,  and  Jeff  Grossman  

Page 5: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Data

13,330 proposals submit ted to solicitat ions inROSS-04 to ROSES-13

Data from select ion spreadsheets (pre-2009) andNSPIRES

Foreign proposals removed from set

Any proposals listed as “Selectable”considered “Declined”

Page 6: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

12031247

1578

1273

13731407

1520

1186

1413

387419

548

371417

353 345

263335

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Com

pete

d Sp

endi

ng (A

ctua

l Yea

r $ M

)

Num

ber o

f Pro

posa

ls

Federal Fiscal Year

Proposals received

Proposals selected

1st LASER call, LRO PSP, DSMCE

No ASTID, ASTEP, or EXOB calls

Proposal Pressure and Budgets

Page 7: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Success Rates of Core Programs thru t imePe

rcen

tage

Page 8: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Remove variat ion due to number ofsolicitat ions

95

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

Num

ber o

f Pro

posa

ls

59

6667

81

70

76

70

88

72

67

Proposals per Element = 2.0671 (Year - 2003) + 60.222= 0.57517R2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Solicitat ion Year

Page 9: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

#Proposals/#Individual Pls

1.4141.405

1.455

1.559

1.501 1.495 1.495

1.526 1.531

1.485

1.300

1.350

1.400

1.450

1.500

1.550

1.600

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Prop

osal

s/In

divi

dual

Solicitat ion Year

Page 10: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

$

$50M

$100M

$150M

$200M

$250M

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Fiscal Year

Planetary Science Research Spending

Core research

Inst itutes

InstrumentsSupport

NEO

PSP / GSP

Page 11: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

$  

$50M  

$100M  

$150M  

$200M  

$250M  

2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014  Fiscal  Year  

Planetary  Science  Research  Funding  Sources  

Planetary  R&A  

Mars  R&A   OP  Res.  Discov.  Res.  

Lunar  Sci.  Res.  OP  Flg.   NEO  

Page 12: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Proposals by Organizat ion Type

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Num

ber o

f Pro

posa

ls

Solicitat ion Year

Company

University

Other US Gov.

NASA (inc. JPL)

Non-prof it

Page 13: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Community Proposal Workload (1)

800

857 858

1013

849

918942

997

776

952

229 235 246

343

264 284 304 310

255290

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Num

ber o

f Ind

ivid

uals

Solicitat ion Year

Individuals submit t ing at least one proposal.

Individuals submit t ing more than one proposal.

Page 14: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Community Proposal Workload (2)

571 621 611669 584 633 637 686 524 665

165 159 156215

174 173 202 183 156 175

42 48 53 75 52 66 71 74 61 81

13 22 27 28 21 33 15 32 24 226 5 4 16 11 10 8 12 13 73 1 6 9 6 2 8 9 2 5

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Pcen

tage

of I

ndiv

idua

ls

Solicitat ion Year

>5 proposals

5 proposals

4 proposals

3 proposals

2 proposals

1 proposalActualnumber of individuals

Page 15: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

------ --------

------ --------

DRAFT  ROSES  2015  Table  of  Contents   APPENDIX C. PLANETARY SCIENCE RESEARCH PROGRAM

C.1 Planetary Science Research Program Overview C.1-1 C.2 Emerging Worlds C.2-1 C.3 Solar System Workings C.3-1 C.4 Habitable Worlds C.4-1 C.5 Exobiology C.5-1 C.6 Solar System Observations C.6-1 C.7 Planetary Data Archiving, Restoration, and Tools C.7-1 C.8 Lunar Data Analysis C.8-1 C.9 Mars Data Analysis C.9-1 C.10 Cassini Data Analysis and Participating Scientists C.10-1 C.11 Discovery Data Analysis C.11-1 C.12 Planetary Instrument Concepts for the Advancement of Solar C.12-1 System Observations C.13 Maturation of Instruments for Solar System Exploration C.13-1 C.14 Planetary Science and Technology from Analog Research C.14-1 C.15 Planetary Protection Research C.15-1 C.16 Fellowships for Early Career Researchers C.16-1 C.17 Planetary Major Equipment C.17-1 C.18 Laboratory Analysis of Returned Samples C.18-1

Focused Research Opportunities C.19 Hayabusa2 Participating Scientist program C.19-1 C.20 MSL Participating Scientist program C.20-1

Cross Divisional Activities E.3 Exoplanets E.3-1

15  

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PSD R&A ROSES 15 DeadlinesProgram Name Step-1 Due Date Step-2 Due Date

Exoplanets (XRP) 03/27/2015 05/22/2015Emerging Worlds (EW) 03/31/2015 06/05/2015Exobiology 04/10/2015 06/12/2015Solar System Obs. (SSO) 04/10/2015 06/12/2015Laboratory Analysis of Returned Sample (LARS) 04/24/2015 06/26/2015Planetary Data Archiving, Resto, Tools (PDART) 05/15/2015 07/17/2015Cassini Data Analysis (CDAPS) 06/01/2015 08/18/2015Solar System Workings (SSW) 06/11/2015 09/10/2015

02/25/2016Planetary Sci./Tech. Throu Analog Research (PSTAR) 07/24/2015 09/25/2015Mars Data Analysis (MDAP) 08/28/2015 10/02/2015Lunar Data Analysis (LDAP) 08/28/2015 10/30/2015Discovery Data Analysis (DDAP) 09/10/2015 11/20/2015PICASSO 09/14/2015 11/13/2015Habitable Worlds (HW) 11/20/2015 01/22/2016

Page 17: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

FY15 BudgetProgram

Planetary R&A

Budget

$162.4M

Mars R&A $10.0M

Outer Planets Research $8.5M

Discovery Research

JRPA — SSERVI

NEOO

Total

$9.8M

$10.0M

$13M*

$213.7M

*Est imate based on Approvals in RAPTOR and no expected solicitat ion

Page 18: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Quest ions?

Page 19: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Back  Up  

Page 20: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Not ional Timeline for SSWSingle Step 1 per yearTwo Step 2 deadlinesTwo Funding Decision Dates~45% from 2.1, ~45% from 2.2 and final ~10% from total remaining selectable proposals

SSW2015Step 1Due 6/11/2015

SSW2015Step 2.1Due 9/10/2015

SSW2015Step 2.11st FundingDecision1/2016

SSW2015Step 2.2Due 2/25/2016

SSW2015Step 2.22nd Fundingdecisions5/2016

SSW2016Step 1Due 6/9/2016

SSW2016Step 2.1Due 9/8/2016

SSW2016Step 2.11st FundingDecision1/2017

SSW2016Step 2.2Due 2/23/2016

Page 21: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

Average Budget Requests

$186,384$190,374

$147,048

$196,517

$157,788

$146,561

$201,197

$158,805

$145,266

$168,882

$128,826

$135,008

$129,408

$137,996 $136,254$134,027 $135,758 $134,557

$126,909

$142,894

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Aver

age

Annu

al R

eque

st (F

Y13

$)

Solicitat ion Year

No EXOB call

All programs

Non-Instrument Development programs

Page 22: Planetary Science R&A · 3/30/2015  · 1203 1247 1578 1273 1373 1407 1520 1186 1413 387 419 548 371 417 353 345 263 335 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000

PDART CDAPS DDAP LDAP MDAP SSW

ScienceInvest igat ion

No“does not accept proposals in

which the main focus ishypothesis-based science”

YES YES YES YES YES

LaboratoryStudies

YES

“may be performed to validateany generated products”

YES Minor“not intended to support

invest igat ions whose primaryemphasis is ... laboratory

measurements”

Minor“provided that the request areclearly described and that the

observations or measurementsare essential to the success ofthe work proposed” and “does

not exceed 20% of theproposal’s total effort”

Minor YES

Field Work

No YES No Minor“provided that the request areclearly described and that the

observations or measurementsare essential to the success ofthe work proposed” and “does

not exceed 20% of the proposal’s total effort”

Minor YES

Comparat ivePlanetology

YES

“may be performed to validateany generated products”

YES

As long as all Cassini Data

YES

As long as all Discoverymission data

No No YES“If the proposal analyzes datawithin the scope of more thanone of the [DAPs] in order toperform comparat ive studies

across the Solar System, but isnot appropriate to any one

[DAP]”

Data ProductsYES YES

must include a scienceinvest igat ion

YESmust include a science

invest igat ion

YESmust include a science

invest igat ion

YESmust include a science

invest igat ion

YESmust include a science

invest igat ion

Modeling

Minor

“may be performed to validateany generated products”

YES Minor“not intended to support

investigations whoseprimary emphasis is ... thedevelopment of numerical

models”

Minor Minor YES

No YES YES YES YES YESCassini-Huygens

“Proposals to work with Cassinidata and also use ground-based

or other data are acceptable,provided that the success of the

NEARLunarProspector

StardustGenesis

LCROSSM3LRO

GRAIL

MPFMGSMO

MERs

“Although this programencourages the utilization of

data from planetarymissions ... it does not acceptproposals eligible for funding

by the Data Analysis Programs”Mission Data

Analysisproposal, as written, is

dependent upon the Cassinidata.”

Deep ImpactMESSENGER

DawnEPOXI

Stardust-NExT

ARTEMISLADEE

non-US Lunar missions“data analyses that require the

use of older mission data sets areallowable in the context ofenhancing the analysis and

understanding of the data fromthe missions listed above.”

MEXMROPHXMSL

“PDART does not supportScientif ic investigations whose

primary emphasis is dataanalysis”

“Improved atmosphericmodels...” and “Improved

models for the Mars gravityf ield and global topography and

planetary f igure.”

“greatly increase the use of, orsignif icantly facilitate the

interpretation of, data fromthe mission”

“greatly increase the use of, orsignif icantly facilitate the

interpretation of, data fromthe mission”

“greatly increase the use of, orsignif icantly facilitate the

interpretation of, data fromthe mission”