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17th Family Medicine Conference | 4 to 7 July 2013 | The Zenith KuantanPlenary 3

TRANSCRIPT

  • BATTLE AGAINST HIV/AIDS, MALARIA & TB

    ARE WE WINNING?

    BY

    SHAARI NGADIMAN,

    MD, MPH, EIP, AM

    MINISTRY OF HEALTH MALAYSIA

    [email protected]

  • HIV/AIDS kill > 20 millions 90% Malaria death in Africa TB death about 1.8 millions TB/HIV death about 0.5 million

  • Evolution of the Millennium Development Goals

    World leaders at the United Nations Millennium Summit held in New York in September 2000 resolved to strengthen global efforts for peace, democracy, good governance, and poverty eradication while continuing to promote the principles of human rights and human dignity.

    The Millennium Declaration made a strong commitment to the right to development, to gender equality and the empowerment of women, to the eradication of the many dimensions of poverty, and to sustainable human development.

    The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) emerged as the principal means of implementing the Declaration.

  • In September 2000, 189 world leaders including Malaysia adopted the Millennium Declaration which was translated into a set of eight Millennium Development Goals

    The goals have been commonly accepted as framework for measuring development progress. In September 2005, the UN Summit resoundingly endorsed these MDGs.

    These goals are set for the target year of 2015 with 1990 as the baseline and are summarized on issues that afflict developing countries like ours.

    Evolution of the Millennium Development Goals

  • Millennium Development Goals 8 goals

    MDG 1 - to eradicate extreme poverty and hunger.

    MDG 2 - to ensure all boys and girls complete a full course of primary schooling, in other words universal primary education.

    MDG 3 - relates to the status of women, by promoting gender equality and empowerment of women.

    MDG 4 - to reduce child mortality.

    MDG 5 - to improve maternal health.

    MDG 6 - to combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases.

    MDG 7 - to ensure environmental sustainability, and the measures relate to safe drinking water and slum dwellers.

    MDG 8 - to develop a global partnership for development. Many of these relate to trade and financing systems that will benefit countries those saddled with debts.

  • TARGETS AND INDICATORS

    MDG Target Indicators

    6a Have halted by 2015

    and begun to reverse the

    spread of HIV/AIDS

    Prevalence among 15 24 years Condom use at last high risk sex Proportion with comprehensive correct

    knowledge

    Ratio of school attendance of orphans

    6b Achieve universal access

    to treatment for

    HIV/AIDS for all who

    need it by 2010

    Proportion of infected persons (advanced HIV) with access to ART

    6c Have halted and begun

    to reverse the incidence

    of malaria and other

    major diseases by 2015

    Incidence and death rates Insecticide-treated bed nets Appropriate anti-malarial drugs (fever) TB incidence, prevalence and death rates Detection and cure rates (DOTS)

  • BATTLE AGAINST HIV/AIDS, MALARIA & TB

    ARE WE WINNING?

    PART 1

    HIV / AIDS

  • SYNOPSIS GLOBAL SITUATION

  • SYNOPSIS GLOBAL SITUATION

  • SYNOPSIS GLOBAL SITUATION

  • SYNOPSIS GLOBAL SITUATION

  • Target of NSP on AIDS 2011-15

    80% MARPs reached prevention programmes

    60% of MARPs use condoms consistently.

    60% of IDUs use clean injecting equipment.

    Able to eliminate vertical HIV transmission

    80% ARV coverage for eligible PLHIV,

  • HIV NOTIFICATION IN MALAYSIA

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    0

    500,000

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Detec

    tion r

    ate (%

    )

    No. sc

    reenin

    g

    Year

    No. screening Detection Rate

    Cumulative HIV = 98,279

    Cumulative deaths = 15,688

    PLHIV (end of 2012) = 82,591

    Annual Notification of HIV/AIDS and HIV&AIDS Death , Malaysia 1986 - 2012

    No. of Annual HIV Testing and Positive Rate

  • NEW HIV CASE: TARGET FOR 2015

    YEAR

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    TARGET 16.0 15.3 14.6 13.9 13.2 12.5 11.7 11.0

    ACHIEVED 13.3 10.8 12.8 12.2 11.7

    Target : To reduce new HIV from 21.7 per 100.000 pop (year 2000) to 11 per 100,000 pop by year 2015

  • TB-HIV CO-INFECTION IN MALAYSIA

    Isoniazid Prophylaxis Therapy in 2010

  • MALAYSIA HIV SITUATION

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

    Perc

    en

    tag

    e o

    f H

    IV c

    ases

    IDU Sexual

  • MALAYSIA HIV SITUATION

    Estimated Prevalence of Selected Groups EPP Model 2013

  • COVERED (2012):

    PROGRAMME:

    (REGISTERED CLIENTS)

    NSEP (55,255) MMT (27,756)

    Retention Rate 70.1 (2012)

    PRIVATE GPs

    DST (22,000)

    Estimated PWID : 170,000 Coverage about : 62%

  • CUMMULATIVE ON HAART AS 31 DEC 2012

    15,028 on ARV in 2012

    39,000 Adult Eligible for ARV in 2012 (EPP Model)

    39,000 Adult Eligible for ARV in 2012 (EPP Model)

  • Expenditure 2008 2012

    0

    10000000

    20000000

    30000000

    40000000

    50000000

    60000000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Global Fund

    Domestic

    ARV : 2011 USD 16.10 mil 2012 USD 20.41 mil

    USD 16.76 1st Line ARV USD 3.65 2nd Line ARV

    Expenditu

    re (

    US

    D)

    DOMESTIC FUND FOR HIV WORKS

    38%

  • BATTLE AGAINST HIV/AIDS

    ARE WE WINNING?

    YES , WE ARE ON TRACK!

  • BATTLE AGAINST HIV/AIDS, MALARIA & TB

    ARE WE WINNING?

    PART 2

    MALARIA

  • 6c: HAVE HALTED AND BEGUN TO REVERSE THE INCIDENCE

    OF MALARIA AND OTHER MAJOR DISEASES BY 2015

    MALARIA Have achieved target of halting and reversing the incidence of malaria

    Can we really win the fight against malaria? In the past ten years, increased investment in malaria prevention and control has saved more than a million lives,

    This is a tremendous achievement. But we are still far from achieving universal access to life-saving malaria interventions.

    Until countries are able to test, treat, and report every malaria case, we will never defeat this disease,

    "We need strong and sustained political commitment from all

    countries where malaria is endemic, and from the global health

    community, to see this fight through to the end.

    Dr Margaret Chan, WHO Director-General.

  • GLOBAL MALARIA

    Malaria is a life-threatening disease

    caused by parasites that are

    transmitted to people through the

    bites of infected mosquitoes.

    In 2010, there were about 219 million

    cases of malaria and an estimated

    660 000 deaths globally.

    Approximately half of the world's population is at risk

    of malaria. Most malaria cases and deaths occur in sub-

    Saharan Africa.

    In 2011, 99 countries and territories had ongoing

    malaria transmission.

  • 24

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    69

    5,2

    94

    5,4

    56

    7,3

    90

    7,0

    10

    6,6

    50

    5,3

    06

    4,7

    25

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    MALARIA IN MALAYSIA

    1961 Malaria Eradication Programme (Sabah & Sarawak)

    1967 Malaria Eradication Programme (Peninsular Malaysia)

    1980 Malaria Control Programme

    2011 National Strategic Plan for Elimination of Malaria (2011-2020)

    In 1961, there were 243,870 malaria cases reported in Malaysia while in 1990, the cases have declined to 50,500.

    A decade later, in the year 2000, the number of reported cases have further decreased to 12,705 cases.

    In 2012, there were 4,725 cases which is a 63% reduction compared to 2000.

  • 6c: HAVE HALTED AND BEGUN TO REVERSE THE INCIDENCE

    OF MALARIA AND OTHER MAJOR DISEASES BY 2015

    MALARIA Have achieved target of halting and reversing the incidence of malaria

    Malaysia has achieved the MDG goal for malaria well ahead of the 2015 deadline and has built on these achievements to strengthen current efforts and secure further commitments towards elimination by 2020 which is the target for Malaysias MDG-Plus.

    The incidence of malaria has declined from 289.5 per 100,000 populations in 1990 to 54.6 per 100,000 populations by year 2000 and to 16.4 per 100,000 populations in 2012. (Target to reduce to 27.3 per 100,000 by 2015 but achieved much earlier)

    There has also been a reduction in the number of malaria deaths from 43 in 1990 to 35 in 2000 and to 16 deaths in 2012. The mortality rate due to malaria has been around 0.1 per 100,000 population since 2006.

  • MALAYSIA: NSP MALARIA, MALARIA

    ELIMINATION 2011 - 2020

    STRATEGY

    1. Early case detection & prompt treatment

    2. Close monitoring of imported cases

    3. Residual spraying

    4. Usage of bednets

    5. Environmental management & anti larva.

    6. Monitoring of drug resistance

    7.Collaboration with the neighbouring countries

    2011 - 2015 2011 - 2017

    GENERAL OBJECTIVE

    o To ensure Malaysia is free from local malaria transmission by 2020

    SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES

    o Peninsular Malaysia malaria free by 2015

    o Sabah & Sarawak malaria free by 2017

  • CHALLENGES

    Malaria transmission in Sabah and Sarawak.

    Malaria transmission among migrant workers.

    Ensuring effective and efficient malaria prevention and control measures.

    Inaccessible remote areas especially in Sabah and Sarawak

    Zoonotic infection (Plasmodium knowlesi)

    Control activities at the border areas

  • BATTLE AGAINST MALARIA

    ARE WE WINNING?

    YES , WE ALREADY WIN THE GAME!

  • BATTLE AGAINST HIV/AIDS, MALARIA & TB

    ARE WE WINNING?

    PART 3

    TUBERCULOSIS

  • Myanmar

    Thailand

    Cambodia

    Viet Nam

    Philippines

    Indonesia

    Indonesia

    Sabah

    SarawakJohorKL

    Pinang

    MANAGING TB SITUATION IN MALAYSIA

    The National Tuberculosis Control Programme (NTBCP) in Malaysia was launched in 1961 as a vertical programme with the main aim to control and reduce the prevalence of tuberculosis as a public health concern. BCG Vaccination program was introduced as one of the strategies of NTBCP in the same year. In 1995, the programme was integrated into the general medical and health system following WHOs recommendation and implementation of primary care concept in Malaysia. Ministry of Health is the leading agency in NTBCP and collaborates with other ministries and relevant non governmental agency for this course.

    Malaysia is classified as a country with an intermediate TB burden, that is, with an incidence of between 20-100 reported cases per 100,000 population annually.

    Since the implementation of national TB Control Program in 1961, the number of reported TB cases had successfully reduced to from 350 cases per 100,00 to less than 100 per 100,000 in 1980s. However, since then reported TB cases has remained unchanged between 60 to 68 per 100,000 population. It was noted that the reported TB cases had show slight increment since 2004.

  • Tuberculosis in the World

    Incidence: 9.5 million new cases/year

    Prevalence: 14 million cases

    95% of cases in resource poor settings

    1.1 millions co-infection TB/ HIV

    (12% HIV Positive have TB)

    1.7 millions deaths/year

    98% deaths in poor resource countries

    WHO 2010

  • Incidence Rate and Mortality Rate Of Communicable Disease 2012

    (per 100,000 population) Communicable Disease Incidence Rate Mortality Rate

    Food and Water Borne Disease

    Cholera 0.96 0.003

    Dysentry 0.29 0.000

    Food Poisoning 44.93 0.003

    Typhoid 0.75 0.003

    Hepatitis A 1.58 0.000

    Vector Borne Disease

    Dengue 72.20 0.000

    Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever 2.45 0.119

    Malaria 16.11 0.050

    Typhus 0.03 0.000

    Plague 0.00 0.000

    Yellow Fever 0.00 0.000

    Vaccine Preventable Disease

    Acute Poliomyelitis 0.00 0.000

    Diphtheria 0.00 0.000

    Measles 6.39 0.000

    Other Tetanus 0.08 0.010

    Neonatal Tetanus 0.02 0.004

    Hepatitis B 8.99 0.070

    Whooping Cough 0.76 0.010

    Sexually Transmitted Disease

    Chancroid 0.00 0.000

    Gonorrhoea 5.09 0.000

    Syphilis 5.70 0.003

    Other Infectious Disease

    HIV 11.72 0.570

    AIDS 4.64 1.820

    Ebola 0.00 0.000

    Hepatitis C 5.91 0.109

    Hand, Foot & Mouth Diseases 117.67 0.003

    Leprosy 1.10 0.000

    Other Specified Viral Hepatitis 0.26 0.000

    Rabies 0.00 0.000

    Relapsing Fever 0.00 0.000

    Tuberculosis 77.41 4.900

    Viral Encephalitis 0.08 0.006

    H1N1 0.93 0.010

    Leptospirosis 12.49 0.164

    Influenza 2.90 0.024

    Source: Disease Control division, MOH

    18 304 new TB cases (mean ~ 50 cases /day)

    1414 TB death (mean ~ 4 death/day)

    Source: Disease Control

    Division, Ministry of Health,

    2012

  • Incidence Rate (Notification Rate) of TB in

    Malaysia, 1990-2012

    127

    95

    82 81 78

    61 65 68

    72 77

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Rate/100,000

    Year

    WHO Estimated Incidence R per 100,000 1990-2020Malaysia Reported Incidence Rate (Notification Rate) per 100,000, 1990-2012

    1. Not achieving WHO estimated incidence case

    2. WHO Estimation Notification Rate (NR) downwards trend 3. Actual NR increasing (CDR 2011: 85%, 2012 :95%)

  • Malaysia: TB Mortality Rate, 1990-2012

    Year

    26.0

    13.0

    8.5 8.2 7.9 7.1

    4.2 4.4 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8 4.9

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    30.0

    19

    90

    19

    91

    19

    92

    19

    93

    19

    94

    19

    95

    19

    96

    19

    97

    19

    98

    19

    99

    20

    00

    20

    01

    20

    02

    20

    03

    20

    04

    20

    05

    20

    06

    20

    07

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    20

    11

    20

    12

    20

    13

    20

    14

    20

    15

    20

    16

    20

    17

    20

    18

    20

    19

    20

    20

    Rate/100,000

    WHO Estimated Mortality Rate (Excluding TBHIV Mortality) per 100,000, 1990-2020

    Malaysia Reported TB Mortality per 100,000, 1990-2012

    a

    1. WHO estimated mortality rate (MR) is excluding TBHIV mortality

    2. Actual MR : 1990-2011 including TBHIV mortality; 2012 excluding TBHIV mortality.

    3. WHO estimated MR downward trend 4. Actual MR : plateau since 1990

    Year

  • 050

    100

    150

    200

    250

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    Prevalence

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    Mortality

    Ca

    ses p

    er

    10

    0,0

    00 p

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    lation

    Death

    s p

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    TB prevalence and mortality, Malaysia

    Target = 113 Target = 13

    107 8.5

    227 26

  • 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Not evaluated 12 42 15 9 8 7 8

    Failed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Defaulted 10 3 5 4 4 4 4

    Died 8 6 8 8 9 9 9

    Complete 1 3 5 1 1 1 1

    Cure 69 46 67 78 78 79 78

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100%

    Treatment Outcome New Smear Positive Cases, Cohort 2005-2011

    Cure Rate shows improvement . Management of TB patient need to strengthen especially on

    detection of default cases and on decreasing deaths during TB treatment (TBHIV).

  • Treatment Outcome New Smear Positive

    Cases, Cohort 2005-2011

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Not evaluated 12 42 15 9 8 7 8

    Failed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Defaulted 10 3 5 4 4 4 4

    Died 8 6 8 8 9 9 9

    Complete 1 3 5 1 1 1 1

    Cure 69 46 67 78 78 79 78

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100%

    Treatment Outcome New Smear Positive Cases, Cohort 2005-2011

    Cure Rate shows improvement . Management of TB patient need to strengthen especially

    on detection of default cases and on decreasing deaths during TB treatment (TBHIV).

  • Cure Rate States in Malaysia, Cohort 2010,2011 & 2012

    Target 85%

    0 15 30 45 60 75

    Perlis

    Kedah

    P.Pinang

    Perak

    Selangor

    WP(KL)

    N.Sembilan

    Melaka

    Johor

    Pahang

    Terengganu

    Kelantan

    WP(Labuan)

    Sabah

    Sarawak

    MALAYSIA

    Cohort 2011 Cohort 2010 Cohort 2009

  • TB control in Malaysia: 1995-2015 Special Project (2000 2010)

    2000 2005 1995 2010

    Impact targets

    Intermediate targets

    70% Case Detection

    85% Treatment success

    100% DOTS Coverage

    TB Control

    integrated to

    Public Health

    2015

    MDG

    Reverse

    Policies

    Notification of TB under CDC Act 1988

    National Tuberculosis Information System (TBIS 2002)

    Practice Guidelines For The Control

    And management of TB 2nd edition 2002

    BCG

    Guidelines on TB in Prison

    Guidelines on TB in Rehabilitation Centre

    Direct Smear Microscopy 2000

  • MALAYSIA NSP TO CONTROL TB

    Malaysia National Strategic Plan 2011-2015

    Vision

    To reduce the burden of TB

    Goal

    To accelerate the reduction of TB related

    morbidity and mortality towards the

    achievement of the TB related MDG

    targets by 2015.

    NSP To Control TB

    2011-2015

    Strategies

    3. Delivering, enhancing and

    expanding high-quality TB treatment

    4. Empower people with TB

    and the community

    5. Limiting people from

    contracting TB

    6. Promote TB centered research

    1.Strengthening components of health system

    2. Enhancing case detection of

    TB

  • *HCW

    98

    Migrant

    127

    Elderly

    132

    *DM

    351

    Close Contact

    708

    Prisoner

    752

    Drug Rehabilitation Inmates

    937

    HIV positive

    1782

    TB

    Burden

    in

    General

    Population :

    77 per 100,000

    *HCW- Health Care Worker

    *DM-Diabetes Mellitus

    High Risk Groups

  • 6c: HAVE HALTED AND BEGUN TO REVERSE THE INCIDENCE

    OF MALARIA AND OTHER MAJOR DISEASES BY 2015

    TUBERCULOSIS Have achieved target of halting and reversing the incidence of

    tuberculosis

    Have not achieved target of halting and reversing the incidence of tuberculosis. Unlikely to

    achieve by 2015

    127

    95

    82 81 78

    61 65 68 72

    77

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Rate/100,000

    Year

    Estimation by WHO

    Actual Incidence

  • BATTLE AGAINST TUBERCULOSIS

    ARE WE WINNING?

    NOT YET!, NEED INNOVATIVE AND

    VIGOROUS APPROACH TO WIN THE GAME!

  • 45