possible shake out scenarios for the uk electricity supply industry prepared by utility consultants ...
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Possible shake out scenarios for the UK electricity supply industry
Prepared by Utility Consultantswww.utilityconsultants.co.nz
© Utility Consultants Ltd 2002
Disclaimer
This report containsmaterial that is speculativeand which may or may not
occur in practice
Proceeding beyond thispage is your acceptance
of the following statement
Utility Consultants,its directors and shareholdersshall not be liable for any lossor damage arising from action
or inaction based on thisreport
Introduction
This report considerstwo possible shake-out
scenarios based on ScottishPowerand S&SE being the only two
independent companies left in the industry
The report considersmarket share analyses
for each of three scenarios
The scenarios
The three scenariosare as follows…
Scenario 1ScottishPower and
S&SE amalgamate toform Company Q
Scenario 2(a)Eon acquires
ScottishPower andintegrates with
Powergen
Scenario 2(b)RWE acquires S&SEand integrates withInnogy in retaliation
to 2(a)
Present industry structure
Supply - present situation
Pow ergen (Eon)
Innogy (RWE)
EdF
S&SE
ScottishPow er
Centrica
Distribution - present situation
LE Group
Northern Electric
Scottish & Southern
ScottishPower
Western Power Distribution
Eon
Aquila Networks
United Utilities
Scenario 1
SP and S&SE merge (supply)
Powergen (Eon)
Innogy (RWE)
EdF
Company Q
Centrica
SP and S&SE merge (distribution)
LE Group
Northern Electric
Company Q
Western Power Distribution
Eon
Aquila Networks
United Utilities
Scenario 2(a)
Scenario 2(a) - supply
Powergen (Eon)
Innogy (RWE)
EdF
S&SE
Centrica
Scenario 2(a) - distribution
LE Group
Northern Electric
Scottish & Southern
Eon
Western Power Distribution
Aquila Networks
United Utilities
Scenario 2(b)
Scenario 2(b) - supply
Powergen (Eon)
Innogy (RWE)
EdF
Centrica
Scenario 2(b) - distribution
LE Group
Northern Electric
RWE
Eon
Western Power Distribution
Aquila Networks
United Utilities
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