powerpoint summary part i of the 2012 atlantic hurricane and tropical storm season
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POWERPOINT Summary PART I of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm season * Actual Storms Exceeded The Forecast * Forecast: 15 Named Storms With 4-8 Becoming Hurricanes Powerpoint presentation courtesy of Dr Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster ReductionTRANSCRIPT
ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED STORMS; 10 HURRICANES
ACTUAL STORMS EXCEEDED THE FORECAST
FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS
WITH 4-8
BECOMING HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS IN 2012
• ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19
• BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27
• CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21
• DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23
• ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3
• FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5
• GORDON –Hurricane, August 16
NAMED STORMS FOR 2012
• HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19
• ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21
• JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25
• KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27
• LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5
• MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5
• NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12
NAMED STORMS IN 2012
• OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4
• PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11
• RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12
• SANDY– Hurricane; October 22
• TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24
• VALERIE– Did not happen
• WILLIAM – Did not happen
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ---
FIRST STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMS OFF SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTMay 19-21, 2012
ALBERTO ARRIVED 2 WEEKS BEFORE THE 2012 SEASON BEGAN
Located about 140 miles east-southeast of Charleston, SC, Alberto had sustained winds of 100 kph (60 mph)
As expected, Alberto turned northward and brought rain to the east coast for several days.
ALBERTO: MAY 19, 2012
ALBERTO: MAY 20, 2012
ALBERTO’S POSITION: MAY 20-21
On Sunday, Alberto was 120 miles south of Cape Fear, NC with sustained winds of 83 kph (50 mph)
On Monday, Alberto began to turn eastward, indicating that it will likely stay in the Atlantic Ocean and die there.
SURF BOARDING IN MIAMI THANKS TO ALBERTO: MAY 21, 2012
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ---
SECOND STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMED OFF NORTH FLORIDA
COASTMay 27-28, 2012
BERYL: MAY 28, 2012
BERYL’S POSITION: MAY 28
Early on Monday morning (12:10 AM), Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall near Jacksonville Beach, FL with near-hurricane winds of 115 kph (70 mph).
A rain-maker, Beryl, dumped 10-20 cm (4-8 inches) of rain; a welcome relief for the drought-stricken region.
Beryl weakened quickly
BERYL: A RAINMAKER
Beryl became a rainmaker as it weakened and moved northward along the USA’s east coast, complicating the Memorial Day holiday traffic.
BERYL: PROJECTED PATH
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ---
BECAME FIRST HURRICANE OF 2012 SEASON
NO THREAT TO LAND DURING SHORT LIFE
June 21, 2012
HURRICANE CHRIS
• Chris had 120 kph (75 mph) winds and was located about 625 miles (1005 km) southeast of Cape Race, Newfound-land, Canada.
• It was moving to the northeast at 32 kph (20 mph) with a minimum central pressure of 987 millibars.
CHRIS: FIRST HURRICANE OF 2012 SEASON
CHRIS (NO THREAT TO LAND), AND THE PRE-DEBBY DEPRESSION
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ---
FOURTH STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMED IN GULF SOUTHWEST OF
FLORIDAFIRST TIME IN HISTORY FOR FOUR
NAMED STORMS BEFORE JULY 1ST
June 23, 2012
DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY UNCERTAIN: JUNE 23
DEBBY: ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS; JUNE 24
• Debby expected to become a CAT I hurricane
• Storm warnings issued from Texas to Florida
• Oil rigs in gulf of Mexico begin to shut down production and plan evacuations
• Coastal States begin to implement emergency response plans
DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY STILL UNCERTAIN: JUNE 24
On June 24th, Debby dumped up to 60 cm (24
inches) of rain on parts of Florida and spawned some
isolated tornadoes
The center of the storm continued to be essentially stationary, increasing the likelihood of being a big rainmaker
DEBBY CAN’T DECIDE: THE PRE-FERRED MODEL 10 AM JUNE 24
DEBBY FINALLY DECIDES: IT’S EAST, NOT WEST; JUNE 25
FLORIDA’S GOVERNOR, RICK SCOTT, DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY
MONDAY, JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING IN CEDAR KEY, FLORIDA: JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING; JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING; JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING IN CLEARWATER, FL; JUNE 25
Tuesday, June 26Debby, barely a tropical storm, finally made landfall Tuesday
afternoon near Steinhatchee in the Big Bend area, with a 60 cm (2 foot) storm surge and sustained winds near 66 kph
(40 mph).
INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA
• Four straight days of rain
• The storm left 29,000 people without power across the central and northern parts of the state.
• Mandatory evacuation ordered for 14,000 to 20,000 people living between the Anclote and Pithlachascotee Rivers.
INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA
• The capital, Tallahassee, was cutoff from Jacksonville due to flooding of the Interstate Highway
• Debby was expected to bring another 10-20 cm (4 to 8 inches) of rain as it moved across Florida, possibly strengthening again after reaching the Atlantic Ocean
Wednesday, June 27Debby is expected to cross the state and head into the
Atlantic on Wednesday afternoon.
JULY 14 NOTE:: Experts are now saying that 2012 is
turning out to be an EL NINO YEAR (i.e., a warmer Pacific and a cooler Atlantic than
was the case in 2011)
A QUIET PERIOD JULY 8 – AUGUST 2
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ---
FIFTH STORM OF 2012 SEASONSPEEDING TOWARDS THE CARIBBEAN
The storm is centered about 90 miles (145 kilometers) west of St. Lucia. And
moving west near 21 mph (34 kph).
August 3, 2012
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ---
SIXTH STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
The storm, which was moving westward and 515 miles (830 km) west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands,
died quickly
August 5, 2012.
TS ERNESTO’S LOCATIONAUGUST 3, 2012
TS ERNESTO’S PROJECTED PATH: AUGUST 4, 2012
TS ERNESTO BECAME HURRICANE
NEAR HONDURAS: AUG 6
Ernesto was a weak hurricane when it made its first landfall
late Tuesday (Aug. 7) near the cruise ship port of Mahahual in
Yucatan,
Ernesto’s second landfall on Thursday (Aug 9) was as a
“Rainmaker” near the Mexican oil port city of
Coatzacoalcos
Three people killed
WHAT HAPPENED AFTER LANDFALL?
• Heavy rains continued into Friday night as Ernesto’s winds declined quickly to 40 mph (65 kph). .
VERA CRUZ: FLOODING FROM ERNESTO AUG 10
TROPICAL STORM GORDON ---
SEVENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
The storm is moving westward at present.
August 16, 2012.
TS GORDON: AUG 16
TROPICAL STORM GORDON ---
EIGHTH STORM OF 2012 SEASONFORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
The storm is moving westward at present.
August 16, 2012.
TROPICAL STORM--HURRICANE ISAAC
---NINETH STORM OF 2012 SEASONHEADING FOR CARIBBEAN AND
POSSIBLY FLORIDAThe storm could affect the Republican
National Convention
August 21, 2012.
ISAAC: FROM TS ON AUG, 21 TO HURRICANE ON AUG. 26
CAT I HURRICANE ISAAC, A HUGE RAINMAKER, WAS
DEVASTATING ALONG THE GULF COAST, AND ESPECIALLY IN
LOUISIANA
SEE SEPARATE FILE
TS JOYCE: AUG 25
TS KIRK: SEPT. 1
LESLIE: FROM A TS ON SEPT 3 TO HURRICANE ON SEPT 5
ISAAC COULD HAVE RETURNED AS TS NADINE, BUT DIDN’T
The 2012 season is lagging behind past seasons:
By Sept. 5, 2005, we had three major hurricanes (Dennis, Emily,
and Katrina),and by Sept. 5, 2011, we had one major
hurricane (Katia). This year, we have had none.
2012’S CUMMULATIVE IMPACTS
320 DEATHS
ECONOMIC LOSSES: ESTIMATED AT $68 BILLION +