predicting and preparing for natural disasters margaret a. davidson director noaa coastal services...
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Predicting and Preparing for Natural Disasters
Margaret A. Davidson
DirectorNOAA Coastal Services Center
June 7, 2005
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HURREVAC Inland Flood Planning and HURREVAC Inland Flood Planning and Response ToolResponse Tool
Capabilities: emergency managers can access real-time flood information:
• current rainfall estimates• rainfall forecasts• current and forecasted
river stages• general flood alerts
Partners: • NOAA Coastal Services Center • NOAA National Weather Service• Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)• U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
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NOAA Pacific Services Center NOAA Pacific Services Center Risk Management Activities Risk Management Activities
• Hazards Training and Technical Assistance • Locally Applicable, Regionally Replicable Decision-Support Tools • Natural Hazards Regional Partnerships and Integration • Pacific Islands Geospatial Network • Pacific Islands Mapping Activities Database • Pacific Islands Spatial Training
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/psc/riskmgmt.html
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Pacific Risk Management ‘Pacific Risk Management ‘OhanaOhana (PRiMO) (PRiMO)
• Roundtable in 2004• Second meeting in March 2005
Working Groups/hui o hana:
• Coastal, Ocean, and Atmospheric Processes and Observations
• Data Management
• Data Analysis and Decision-Support Tools
• Communications Infrastructure and Information Dissemination
• Education, Outreach, and Training
• Traditional Knowledge and Practices
Enhance communication, coordination, and collaboration among the Pacific islands agencies, institutions, and organizations involved in natural hazards risk management
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Flood Forecast MappingWeb based flood inundation maps for emergency managers
• Used LIDAR data from FEMA and State of North Carolina
• Built unsteady hydraulic model for 73 miles of Tar River with NOAA NWS and CSC
• Presented flood forecast results in easy to read format over the Web
• Used operationally by NWS Southeast River Forecast Center as flood forecast tool during Hurricane Isabel (2003)
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Historical Hurricane Tracks ToolHistorical Hurricane Tracks Tool
• Search for tropical cyclone tracks by city, state, or zip code, latitude and longitude, or geographic region
• View coastal population data versus hurricane strikes for coastal counties from Maine to Texas
• Access tropical cyclone reports written by specialists at the National Hurricane Center
http://hurricane.csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes
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Providing Resources and Assistance During Hurricanes
• GIS assistance to FEMA for forecast information and decision making
• Products used for FEMA Presidential Briefing Package
• Products used for resource allocation decisions
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• Group on Earth Observations (GEO) – Integrated Earth Observation System Public Engagement Workshop
• Ocean.US – Second Annual IOOS Implementation Conference
Key MessageKey Message
High resolution shallow coastal bathymetric and topographic data (Digital Elevation Models) are essential framework for:
• modeling and understanding coastal risk and vulnerability to inundation, from a variety of causes
• other applications, including coastal habitat assessment
Observing Systems Observing Systems and Coastal Disasters and Coastal Disasters